SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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December 2nd, 2022 at 7:14:39 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: SOOPOO

Due to offers I have USC -2.5 at +117 and Utah +3 at -115. I can either win $1 or $50. Something like that. I’m picturing Utah kicking that FG in OT then USC scoring the game winning TD. I had a bunch of parlays including Bills -3.5….. but none hit. I needed Allen to score a TD and he got tackled at the 1 yard line….

Go Brazil shutout and over 8.5 corner kicks!
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Wow, over 8.5 corner kicks? Is that about an average number for a soccer game?
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The fair money line for this game was 9.5. I laid 3-2 on that easily won bet. I feel like the fool again. Brazil played their B team. They were still better than Cameroon despite losing. But not as better had they been if anyone of their regular starters played.
As the game was winding down it was clear Cameroon needed to win by 2 to have a chance to advance. The rocket scientist that scored the goal for Cameroon with around 7 minutes to go took his Jersey off, you know, to show how smart and manly he is. But doing that gets you a yellow card. Combined with his earlier yellow card that makes a red card and an ejection. His team had to play short handed the final 7 minutes and didn’t get a sniff of that second goal. The selfishness of some athletes knows no bounds.
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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December 3rd, 2022 at 11:52:45 AM permalink
Looks' like I won't get much on anymore, for the "good alt spreads" (as they now cut me to $100) so below is likely the last game for that:

I have even stakes on Green Bay @ -12.5, -13.5, -15.5, -16.5 and -18.5 (if they win by 19+, I collect $8,200+)

I have most of my money on Chicago @ -5.5 and smaller bets (same stake) @ -3.5, -4.5, -6.5, 7.5, and -8.5 (if they win by 9+, I collect $7,600+)

If the result is either G B win by 12 (or less), or Chicago win by 3*** or less (***realistically 5 or less ) I will have a bad game, as I bet $3,000 in total.

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Extra:
Bet a bit more than I normally do, because I think this will be the last time I can get these good alt spreads (for decent money, at least).

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Other Comments:

Going by ESPN game-cast, it looks like my "interest bet" on TCU is going to lose (TCU down by 11) but there is still over 11 minutes of game to go.

Update (after score is 28-28): Just signed up to a free trial, so that I can watch a few more college games. Hopefully get to see my first live overtime game.
Last edited by: ksdjdj on Dec 3, 2022
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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ksdjdj
December 3rd, 2022 at 1:27:23 PM permalink
Was listening to one of those sports betting shows…. The analyst said Ohio is missing QB that led them to good record. Will have trouble scoring. So I had DraftKing parlay boost. Toledo-3.5/under 55.5. Toledo 17, Ohio 7.

Need Fresno State under 54.5 to finish 4 leg boosted parlay. Go defense!
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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December 3rd, 2022 at 2:08:13 PM permalink
Just with two 'books, the live total are 4 pts different, ATM:

Book A: 64.5 , O -115 and U -115
Book B: 68.5, O -114 and U -116

Note 1: These are just rough conversions, as both 'books are Australian and showed "Decimal odds".
Note 2: Correct at the time of this post (obviously subject to change, since they are "live odds"),

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Questions:

Will Georgia eventually "step off the gas if they get a big enough lead", or will they want to try to "keep piling on the points " ?

Besides the obvious (Georgia lose "somehow" and Michigan win) what are the other ways (if any) for Georgia to lose the top spot ?
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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ksdjdj
December 3rd, 2022 at 7:49:27 PM permalink
Quote: ksdjdj

Just with two 'books, the live total are 4 pts different, ATM:

Book A: 64.5 , O -115 and U -115
Book B: 68.5, O -114 and U -116

Note 1: These are just rough conversions, as both 'books are Australian and showed "Decimal odds".
Note 2: Correct at the time of this post (obviously subject to change, since they are "live odds"),

-----
Questions:

Will Georgia eventually "step off the gas if they get a big enough lead", or will they want to try to "keep piling on the points " ?

Besides the obvious (Georgia lose "somehow" and Michigan win) what are the other ways (if any) for Georgia to lose the top spot ?
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Georgia with a win is number one. With a loss they would be behind Michigan if Michigan stays undefeated. This was written after TCU lost, so they are out of the picture for the number one spot.
This year, the difference between the number one and number two seed is not very significant. Unfortunately it’s looking like Michigan will be 2 and Ohio State will be 3, so they will be playing each other Georgia will play number 4 (Alabama or TCU….?)
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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December 4th, 2022 at 12:25:08 AM permalink
I like the Jets enough to back them at the good "alt spreads" below:

-5.5 @ +330 (40% of total bet)
-6.5 @ +365 (40%... )
-7.5 @ +450 (20%...)

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Comments:
The "50/50" line of +2.5 to +3.0 in this game for the Jets, is probably about right for this match up.

I think the Vikings' are lucky to be 9-2, and at a bare minimum I think the teams' ^^^ below are better*** , atm:

^^^: Only picked teams' with a season "win-loss" record equal to or worse than the Vikings'.

***: I still think this, even if the Vikings' have played and/or beaten any of these teams, earlier this season.

Note: They are not listed in any special order

Cowboys' , Bengals', Chiefs', Bills', 49ers', Dolphins' (maybe even the Titans', Ravens', and Seahawks' ? ).
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
  • Threads: 119
  • Posts: 9796
December 4th, 2022 at 8:23:39 AM permalink
Quote: ksdjdj

I like the Jets enough to back them at the good "alt spreads" below:

-5.5 @ +330 (40% of total bet)
-6.5 @ +365 (40%... )
-7.5 @ +450 (20%...)

----
Comments:
The "50/50" line of +2.5 to +3.0 in this game for the Jets, is probably about right for this match up.

I think the Vikings' are lucky to be 9-2, and at a bare minimum I think the teams' ^^^ below are better*** , atm:

^^^: Only picked teams' with a season "win-loss" record equal to or worse than the Vikings'.

***: I still think this, even if the Vikings' have played and/or beaten any of these teams, earlier this season.

Note: They are not listed in any special order

Cowboys' , Bengals', Chiefs', Bills', 49ers', Dolphins' (maybe even the Titans', Ravens', and Seahawks' ? ).
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If you need more proof, I have the Vikings in a bunch of my bets today. That generally means a Jets win. The Vikings looked even with the Bills. The Bills will be 7+ faves over the Jets next week. (I think?).
DRich
DRich
Joined: Jul 6, 2012
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ksdjdj
December 4th, 2022 at 9:35:32 AM permalink
First lines I see are Georgia -7 vs Ohio State and Michigan -9.5 vs TCU.

With those numbers I like Georgia and TCU
Order from chaos
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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December 4th, 2022 at 11:27:53 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: ksdjdj

(snip)
Comments:
The "50/50" line of +2.5 to +3.0 in this game for the Jets, is probably about right for this match up.

I think the Vikings' are lucky to be 9-2, and at a bare minimum I think the teams' ^^^ below are better*** , atm:
(snip)
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If you need more proof, I have the Vikings in a bunch of my bets today. That generally means a Jets win. The Vikings looked even with the Bills. The Bills will be 7+ faves over the Jets next week. (I think?).
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I think the Vikings' heard me "talking smack about them" as they are "slaughtering the Jets" atm .
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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December 4th, 2022 at 12:24:16 PM permalink
I like^^^ the Chargers enough to back them at the good "alt spreads" below:

^^^: I think they should be between 0 and +1

-6.5 @ +305 (1/3 of total bet)
-7.5 @ +390 (1/3... )
-8.5 @ +450 (1/3...)

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