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billryan
billryan 
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Joined: Nov 2, 2009
August 14th, 2026 at 9:09:03 PM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: lilredrooster

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Nationals v. Mets over 8.5 runs - -115

the 2 teams average about 9.5 runs

the Mets starter is very weak



Let’s dig deeper. Nats gave up their #1 slugger that helped them get to their high run scored total. Their #2 slugger is out injured. Their pitcher has been great of late. Only 6 runs last 3 starts.
The ‘weak’ Mets pitcher had a great first start. Giving up only one run. He got torched in his second start and was left in (inexplicably?) to give up a boatload of runs. I’m not saying he’s good, but his stats will be skewed bad for quite a while after the single 8 runs in 3 innings start.


you made some great points
I think this pick was not a good one - my bad
I should have dug deeper
kinna strange that the line was skewed so that the worse deal came on the over though
I thought about withdrawing the pick (is that allowed -?) - but I'll let it stand and hope to get lucky

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Couldn't you make a reverse bet and only lose the vig?

BTW- The Mets moved half their starters, so past performance goes out the window.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
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