Sports betting chatter

Quote: DRich

Quote: Ace2

Quote: ksdjdj

Akron +16.5 / Under 29.5 @ +250
Liberty -16.5 / Over 29.5 @ +250

Is that a WNBA game ?
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Come on Ace, the WNBA season wrapped up last week.
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My sarcasm / joke detector is in the shop. But I should have at least looked that up (about the WNBA season being over).

Edit (about 1945, Pac Time, see strike-through, just below): Reason: Only 6/9 games would have had a + return (in my original working out, I used 7/9).

I just had a look and I would have roughly up to +35% 17% ROI today, if I had all my bets the "normal way, for me*** " .

***: Or my next likely ROI would have been about 19.5%, if I decided to just bet all available funds on the best odds for the NC State / Connecticut game (if I did it with "hedging bets### ").

###: See link >>> "offsetting_hedging"

if you don't really know what I mean by this.

Quote: SOOPOO

(snip)
BetMGM actually had a money line on Georgia -Kent State. I bet $1000 to win $10. Georgia is up TEN in the 4th quarter, and it could have been just EIGHT! They were 44.5 point favorites…. (snip)
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I would have taken $1.01 (-10,000) too.
The 'books I bet with generally stop offering ML options for the Fav' , when the spread is somewhere between 30 to 38.

I didn't expect it to work, but for the BYU vs Wyoming game I wanted to see if I could get: the 1st Quarter, into 1st Half, and / or Game..

Because it wasn't allowed, I hope my HUGE $20 bet on Wyoming +21.5 / Under 50.5 @ +260 gets up ( since I have to turnover my deposit at least once, before I can withdraw) .

_____________


Chiefs - moneyline -244 over Colts - a win gets 41% of the wager as profit

.

Possibly unprecedented? ALL 4 projected secondary starters (White, Jackson, Poyer, Hyde) out! Two major defensive linemen (Phillips, Oliver) out!

Not as newsworthy, but starting center (Morse) out!

Miami threw 6 TD passes last week! And now they face essentially the Bills second unit.

I am not confident in my Bills-4.5 bet…..
I am confident in my Bills over 52 bet…..

As a reminder, my selections as above tend to hit nearly 48% of the time….

I'd be having a good day so far except for Kansas City not performing... not sure what's wrong there

Go Jags.
I just need another 4+ points from the Jags so I can stop sweeting on that bet***.

***: Not a good deal compared to a lot of others mentioned on this site, but I get paid straight away on ML bets as soon as the team I back is up by 17^^^ or more.

^^^: From 2014 to 2021, teams have only lost about 1/55, when leading by 17 or more.

Also, I took the "worst price available to me" on them, when they were +166 (if I had waited 20 minutes, I could have received +220).

----
update (after Jags up by 31-10):
Great.
Going by the live odds with one 'book, the chance of the Jags losing now is somewhere between ~1/19 and ~1/10 (wishful thinking, but It would be great if the Chargers come back and win by 3).

----
Update 2 (last one for this game, I promise):
Going by the live odds with one 'book, the chance of the Jags losing now is somewhere between ~1/51 and ~1/21...

Quote: ksdjdj

Go Jags.
I just need another 4+ points from the Jags so I can stop sweeting on that bet***.

***: Not a good deal compared to a lot of others mentioned on this site, but I get paid straight away on ML bets as soon as the team I back is up by 17^^^ or more.

^^^: From 2014 to 2021, teams have only lost about 1/55, when leading by 17 or more.

Also, I took the "worst price available to me" on them, when they were +166 (if I had waited 20 minutes, I could have received +220).
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Congrats, the Jags are crushing.

Quote: ksdjdj

(snip)
...so I can stop sweeting... (snip)
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(see bold)
I think most people know what I meant by that (at least it was the correct spelling of the wrong word^^^, lol).

^^^: Wasn't the first time this has happened to me, and probably won't be the last, either.

I thought Denver was "good value", so I had the ML @ +105, to win 4200.