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DRich
DRich
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November 6th, 2022 at 2:31:29 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I broke another ‘barrier’ in winnings yesterday. Astros overcame my abysmal college picks. Today….. I’m staring at a Panthers +7.5/ Bills ML/ Packers ML parlay…..well at least there was no suspense.

I need Titans + 11 on one and 11.5 on another to crawl back close to even. Henry scoring the first TD would also help.

I’m not confident.

Looks like I’ll make Diamond on Caesar’s by early December.
link to original post



Please let me know the next time you are making a moneyline bet, I want to fade it.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
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November 6th, 2022 at 3:08:41 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: SOOPOO

I broke another ‘barrier’ in winnings yesterday. Astros overcame my abysmal college picks. Today….. I’m staring at a Panthers +7.5/ Bills ML/ Packers ML parlay…..well at least there was no suspense.

I need Titans + 11 on one and 11.5 on another to crawl back close to even. Henry scoring the first TD would also help.

I’m not confident.

Looks like I’ll make Diamond on Caesar’s by early December.
link to original post



Please let me know the next time you are making a moneyline bet, I want to fade it.
link to original post


Should be fading me a lot this week too, lol.

Anyway, I like the Titans ML @ +550 (IMO, the "fair odds" should be either +470 ^^^ or +325 ***)
^^^: With Tannehill out
***: With Tannehill in

---
Update:
I just received a bonus of $800, so I had the Titans @ +550. (Edit: Typo, previously said "+520").

----
Update 2: (~1645, Pac Time):
Just had $250 for "fun" on the "Chiefs -10.5 x Under 46.5" @ +260 ( that looks great### on paper ).

###: I had the bet based on just the public lines, and thought it was "value compared to those" (I still think the Titans are better value, going by my own "grade / system" ).
Last edited by: ksdjdj on Nov 6, 2022
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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November 7th, 2022 at 7:37:30 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: SOOPOO

I broke another ‘barrier’ in winnings yesterday. Astros overcame my abysmal college picks. Today….. I’m staring at a Panthers +7.5/ Bills ML/ Packers ML parlay…..well at least there was no suspense.

I need Titans + 11 on one and 11.5 on another to crawl back close to even. Henry scoring the first TD would also help.

I’m not confident.

Looks like I’ll make Diamond on Caesar’s by early December.
link to original post



Please let me know the next time you are making a moneyline bet, I want to fade it.
link to original post



I have the Ravens tonight. Please give me a small percentage of the money you win on the Saints…
billryan
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November 7th, 2022 at 8:35:59 AM permalink
"Mattress Mack" cashed in 75 million on the World Series, including $30 million from Ceasars. Has anyone ever hit casinos that hard over as sports bet?
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
DRich
DRich
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November 7th, 2022 at 8:37:36 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

"Mattress Mack" cashed in 75 million on the World Series, including $30 million from Ceasars. Has anyone ever hit casinos that hard over as sports bet?
link to original post



According to an article in the Review Journal, NO this is the biggest legal sports betting outcome.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
billryan
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November 7th, 2022 at 10:15:01 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: billryan

"Mattress Mack" cashed in 75 million on the World Series, including $30 million from Ceasars. Has anyone ever hit casinos that hard over as sports bet?
link to original post



According to an article in the Review Journal, NO this is the biggest legal sports betting outcome.
link to original post



How does Caesars handle a 30 million dollar loss? Is it a hiccup or does the sports book not show a profit for the quarter? Year?
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
unJon
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November 7th, 2022 at 10:56:31 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Quote: DRich

Quote: billryan

"Mattress Mack" cashed in 75 million on the World Series, including $30 million from Ceasars. Has anyone ever hit casinos that hard over as sports bet?
link to original post



According to an article in the Review Journal, NO this is the biggest legal sports betting outcome.
link to original post



How does Caesars handle a 30 million dollar loss? Is it a hiccup or does the sports book not show a profit for the quarter? Year?
link to original post



Maybe the Caesars sportsbook hedged by plowing a bunch of money into redecorating their hotel rooms with Mattress Mack furniture that is now free.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
SOOPOO
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November 7th, 2022 at 11:49:38 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Quote: DRich

Quote: billryan

"Mattress Mack" cashed in 75 million on the World Series, including $30 million from Ceasars. Has anyone ever hit casinos that hard over as sports bet?
link to original post



According to an article in the Review Journal, NO this is the biggest legal sports betting outcome.
link to original post



How does Caesars handle a 30 million dollar loss? Is it a hiccup or does the sports book not show a profit for the quarter? Year?
link to original post



$30 million? Not quite..... I had $250 on the Dodgers with them. So $29,999,750. Mattress Mack makes big bets and allows them to be fully publicized. There are probably a bunch of New Yorkers bemoaning their Yankee World Series futures losses, NY Mets futures losses (that one was only $50 with betRivers). How much do you think Caesars won on the geniuses who had the Bills -10.5 and Chiefs -14? I'm not worried about caesars handling any loss from a fair bet against a fair line.
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
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November 7th, 2022 at 12:51:11 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: billryan

Quote: DRich

Quote: billryan

"Mattress Mack" cashed in 75 million on the World Series, including $30 million from Ceasars. Has anyone ever hit casinos that hard over as sports bet?
link to original post



According to an article in the Review Journal, NO this is the biggest legal sports betting outcome.
link to original post



How does Caesars handle a 30 million dollar loss? Is it a hiccup or does the sports book not show a profit for the quarter? Year?
link to original post



$30 million? Not quite..... I had $250 on the Dodgers with them. So $29,999,750. Mattress Mack makes big bets and allows them to be fully publicized. There are probably a bunch of New Yorkers bemoaning their Yankee World Series futures losses, NY Mets futures losses (that one was only $50 with betRivers). How much do you think Caesars won on the geniuses who had the Bills -10.5 and Chiefs -14? I'm not worried about caesars handling any loss from a fair bet against a fair line.
link to original post


I couldn't find a link for Caesars specifically, but below are a couple of links.
1. "Legal US Sports Betting Revenue, Handle And Tax Totals Since PASPA Repeal " and
2. " US SPORTS BETTING REVENUE & HANDLE "

1. https://sportshandle.com/sports-betting-revenue/
2. https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting/revenue/
DRich
DRich
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November 8th, 2022 at 4:16:20 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: DRich

Quote: SOOPOO

I broke another ‘barrier’ in winnings yesterday. Astros overcame my abysmal college picks. Today….. I’m staring at a Panthers +7.5/ Bills ML/ Packers ML parlay…..well at least there was no suspense.

I need Titans + 11 on one and 11.5 on another to crawl back close to even. Henry scoring the first TD would also help.

I’m not confident.

Looks like I’ll make Diamond on Caesar’s by early December.
link to original post



Please let me know the next time you are making a moneyline bet, I want to fade it.
link to original post



I have the Ravens tonight. Please give me a small percentage of the money you win on the Saints…
link to original post



If I told you I was going to give you 100% of my winnings on the Saints would you reimburse me for my losses?
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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November 8th, 2022 at 5:35:38 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: DRich

Quote: SOOPOO

I broke another ‘barrier’ in winnings yesterday. Astros overcame my abysmal college picks. Today….. I’m staring at a Panthers +7.5/ Bills ML/ Packers ML parlay…..well at least there was no suspense.

I need Titans + 11 on one and 11.5 on another to crawl back close to even. Henry scoring the first TD would also help.

I’m not confident.

Looks like I’ll make Diamond on Caesar’s by early December.
link to original post



Please let me know the next time you are making a moneyline bet, I want to fade it.
link to original post



I have the Ravens tonight. Please give me a small percentage of the money you win on the Saints…
link to original post



If I told you I was going to give you 100% of my winnings on the Saints would you reimburse me for my losses?
link to original post



No. I was looking for a free roll. I hit my big bet last nigh. BetMGM had Ravens ML/ under 45.5 parlay boosted to +320. That’s $160 win in $50. DraftKings had Knicks ML at +120 with auto win if they lead by 10 at any time. They got 10 point lead early. I was O for college basketball which sliced into my winnings.
Not allowed in NYS, but if I could I’d be putting $ down on Doncic for MVP.
DRich
DRich
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November 8th, 2022 at 7:12:23 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO



No. I was looking for a free roll. I hit my big bet last nigh. BetMGM had Ravens ML/ under 45.5 parlay boosted to +320. That’s $160 win in $50. DraftKings had Knicks ML at +120 with auto win if they lead by 10 at any time. They got 10 point lead early. I was O for college basketball which sliced into my winnings.
Not allowed in NYS, but if I could I’d be putting $ down on Doncic for MVP.
link to original post



Sadly, I can't bet anything in Florida. We had legal sports betting for a week or so before it was repealed.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
SOOPOO
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November 10th, 2022 at 11:48:39 AM permalink
Got a ton of bets tonight on Falcons mostly. Giving as much as 7.5 points! I have the over on passing yards for both QBs in the 150 yard range each. 150 yards is a PATHETIC performance in the NFL these days!

Bottom line…. Easy win for Panthers?
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
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November 10th, 2022 at 1:57:59 PM permalink
In bonus bets, I have $175 to collect $1,505 on D'Onta Foreman to score at least 2 TDs.
DRich
DRich
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November 10th, 2022 at 4:02:32 PM permalink
I like the Sabres +145 tonight for a small wager. I assume Soopoo will be watching this game since he lives in Buffalo.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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November 10th, 2022 at 4:31:45 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

I like the Sabres +145 tonight for a small wager. I assume Soopoo will be watching this game since he lives in Buffalo.
link to original post



I thought I was. But it is only on ESPN + which I don’t have yet. I went the other way. A bunch of parlays with VGK -1.5.
SOOPOO
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November 10th, 2022 at 5:11:54 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Got a ton of bets tonight on Falcons mostly. Giving as much as 7.5 points! I have the over on passing yards for both QBs in the 150 yard range each. 150 yards is a PATHETIC performance in the NFL these days!

Bottom line…. Easy win for Panthers?
link to original post



I’m too lazy. Very rainy. VERY windy there. Hard to throw. And I forgot that Mayfield may replace Walker if Walker starts slowly. There are squares and sharps. I’m not a sharp!
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
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November 10th, 2022 at 5:37:36 PM permalink
Quote: ksdjdj

In bonus bets, I have $175 to collect $1,505 on D'Onta Foreman to score at least 2 TDs.
link to original post


Damn you hind-sight (lol).
Using bonus funds, I was actually looking to take the first score a Panthers FG, but I could only get +360 (I wanted at least +380, at the time).
DRich
DRich
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November 11th, 2022 at 6:24:46 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: DRich

I like the Sabres +145 tonight for a small wager. I assume Soopoo will be watching this game since he lives in Buffalo.
link to original post



I thought I was. But it is only on ESPN + which I don’t have yet. I went the other way. A bunch of parlays with VGK -1.5.
link to original post



You made the right call on that one. Eichel destroying his old team.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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November 11th, 2022 at 8:19:17 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: DRich

I like the Sabres +145 tonight for a small wager. I assume Soopoo will be watching this game since he lives in Buffalo.
link to original post



I thought I was. But it is only on ESPN + which I don’t have yet. I went the other way. A bunch of parlays with VGK -1.5.
link to original post



You made the right call on that one. Eichel destroying his old team.
link to original post



Thanks. But most of my parlays also had the Falcons….. Another overall loss for the night. Trust the process!!!!
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
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November 11th, 2022 at 11:51:49 AM permalink
$175 in bonus bets on each:
Mississippi State Bulldogs @ +530 ML and
Jacksonville Jaguars @ +325 ML
unJon
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November 11th, 2022 at 12:55:01 PM permalink
Quote: ksdjdj

$175 in bonus bets on each:
Mississippi State Bulldogs @ +530 ML and
Jacksonville Jaguars @ +325 ML
link to original post



I assume these are free bets that go away win or lose, and that’s why you are using them on big underdogs?
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
DRich
DRich
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November 11th, 2022 at 4:10:55 PM permalink
Any thoughts on TCU +7.5 against Texas tomorrow. Looks like a trap game that I would fall for.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
SOOPOO
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November 11th, 2022 at 5:15:14 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Any thoughts on TCU +7.5 against Texas tomorrow. Looks like a trap game that I would fall for.
link to original post



I have Texas -6.5. But I think I’ll be rooting for TCU.
ksdjdj
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November 11th, 2022 at 7:25:58 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

Quote: ksdjdj

$175 in bonus bets on each:
Mississippi State Bulldogs @ +530 ML and
Jacksonville Jaguars @ +325 ML
link to original post



I assume these are free bets that go away win or lose, and that’s why you are using them on big underdogs?
link to original post


Short answer, yes.
But I think the Jags are good value ATS this game, as well.
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
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November 13th, 2022 at 4:28:19 PM permalink
Won $1200 on a $500 bonus bet (Vikings' +240).

Just received another $750 bonus, and had it on the Chargers' @ +280.
SOOPOO
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November 14th, 2022 at 8:56:18 AM permalink
Quote: ksdjdj

Won $1200 on a $500 bonus bet (Vikings' +240).

Just received another $750 bonus, and had it on the Chargers' @ +280.
link to original post



Not sure if you want to divulge, but I get $5 and $10 and occasionally $25 free bets. A few times I made it to $100. How do you keep getting those huge bonus bets? Is this still from ‘sign up bonus’?

I’ve been on the wrong side of variance recently. Worst beat was a parlay that everything hit and needed Mahomes to rush for 40 yards. He DID rush for 40…. But ended at 39…. likely a kneel down at end of game….

Also had big one about to hit in Bucs game. Needed Fournette to get a few yards in second half…. But he got injured and didn’t play after the stupid pass to Brady.
MDawg
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ksdjdj
November 14th, 2022 at 9:28:33 AM permalink
Apparently DanDruff (he's a member here too, no?) has been killing it with NFL picks (35-12-1, +24.42 units). RobSinger has been doing well too, much to the lament of REDietz, with whom he has engaged some kind of contest.

Someone should carry those posts over here, which are all made in advance.

I don't know nothin' about sports betting, don't do that.
Last edited by: MDawg on Nov 14, 2022
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
SOOPOO
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November 14th, 2022 at 10:57:49 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Apparently DanDruff (he's a member here too, no?) has been killing it with NFL picks (35-12-1, +24.42 units). RobSinger has been doing well too, much to the lament of REDietz, with whom he has engaged some kind of contest.

Someone should carry those posts over here, which are all made in advance.

I don't know nothin' about sports betting, don't do that.
link to original post



A sports betting win/loss ‘record’ is irrelevant unless you are only picking ‘even money’ type bets. I’m perfect this year in college football, having taken Georgia and Ohio State money line bets only…. 16-0!
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
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November 14th, 2022 at 11:21:47 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: ksdjdj

Won $1200 on a $500 bonus bet (Vikings' +240).

Just received another $750 bonus, and had it on the Chargers' @ +280.
link to original post



Not sure if you want to divulge, but I get $5 and $10 and occasionally $25 free bets. A few times I made it to $100. How do you keep getting those huge bonus bets? Is this still from ‘sign up bonus’?

I’ve been on the wrong side of variance recently. Worst beat was a parlay that everything hit and needed Mahomes to rush for 40 yards. He DID rush for 40…. But ended at 39…. likely a kneel down at end of game….

Also had big one about to hit in Bucs game. Needed Fournette to get a few yards in second half…. But he got injured and didn’t play after the stupid pass to Brady.
link to original post


The only things I can think of is that I am still in the "honeymoon period" with that 'book, and / or "they like my business ATM, and want to keep me" ?

Bad luck, with your recent parlays.
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
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November 14th, 2022 at 11:28:03 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: MDawg

Apparently DanDruff (he's a member here too, no?) has been killing it with NFL picks (35-12-1, +24.42 units). RobSinger has been doing well too, much to the lament of REDietz, with whom he has engaged some kind of contest.

Someone should carry those posts over here, which are all made in advance.

I don't know nothin' about sports betting, don't do that.
link to original post



A sports betting win/loss ‘record’ is irrelevant unless you are only picking ‘even money’ type bets. I’m perfect this year in college football, having taken Georgia and Ohio State money line bets only…. 16-0!
link to original post


I think he did write the "units won" as "+24.42 units".
So DD must be throwing in some "better than even money " ML bets , not flat-betting and getting lucky (eg not betting 1 unit on each "50/50 line" bet) or something else?

Note: If they were all for the same amount, and if he is flat-betting, then the average odds would be around +104 (with that record).

I agree with you that the "win/loss ‘record’ is irrelevant unless you are only picking ‘even money’ type bets" , though.
Last edited by: ksdjdj on Nov 14, 2022
SOOPOO
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November 14th, 2022 at 1:43:25 PM permalink
For those wanting easy money, I have the Heat -1.5 as my biggest pick tonight.

Meaning you should bet on the Suns…

FanDuel parlay.
Hurts over 199.5 passing
Brown over 39.5 receiving
Sanders over 39.5 rushing
Pays +130.
Seems +EV to me.

Edit. Hurts 7/8 over 200. 6/8 over 238
Both Sanders and Brown over 58 7/8.
Sanders perfect 8/8 over 39
Last edited by: SOOPOO on Nov 14, 2022
ksdjdj
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November 14th, 2022 at 2:22:52 PM permalink
For next week I had 5 units on the 49ers ML @ $1.38 (about -263).

Note 1: I haven't graded this game (and I probably won't have time) so that is why it is not in my "...Grades ... " thread.
Note 2: I had this bet by "odds shopping", and found a "stale ML " (I may "off-set" with another 'book^^^, closer to the game ).

^^^: I can currently get +300 on the Cards' with my "betting shop", at the time of this post.
SOOPOO
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November 14th, 2022 at 3:15:19 PM permalink
Quote: ksdjdj

For next week I had 5 units on the 49ers ML @ $1.38 (about -263).

Note 1: I haven't graded this game (and I probably won't have time) so that is why it is not in my "...Grades ... " thread.
Note 2: I had this bet by "odds shopping", and found a "stale ML " (I may "off-set" with another 'book^^^, closer to the game ).

^^^: I can currently get +300 on the Cards' with my "betting shop", at the time of this post.
link to original post



So I’d have of course bet the max on the 49ers -263. Then bet enough on the Cards +300 so that if Cards win I break even and if Cards lose I make a profit.
I like having the negative EV bet on the Cards on the book. It is good cover plus I get points, free bets, etc….
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
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November 14th, 2022 at 3:55:58 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: ksdjdj

For next week I had 5 units on the 49ers ML @ $1.38 (about -263).

Note 1: I haven't graded this game (and I probably won't have time) so that is why it is not in my "...Grades ... " thread.
Note 2: I had this bet by "odds shopping", and found a "stale ML " (I may "off-set" with another 'book^^^, closer to the game ).

^^^: I can currently get +300 on the Cards' with my "betting shop", at the time of this post.
link to original post



So I’d have of course bet the max on the 49ers -263. Then bet enough on the Cards +300 so that if Cards win I break even and if Cards lose I make a profit.
I like having the negative EV bet on the Cards on the book. It is good cover plus I get points, free bets, etc….
link to original post


With the "betting shop", I won't get any offers*** .

***: I didn't try to bet more than 5 units, because that bet was with the 'book that I am currently still getting offers' semi-regularly (don't want to "burn that bridge", if possible).

Also, I may have somewhere between 0.5 and 1 unit on the Cards' as a partial hedge (if I manage to get 1 unit @ +300, then it will be "the equivalent of having 2 units on the 49ers @ $1.45 or about -222).
SOOPOO
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November 14th, 2022 at 5:39:27 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

For those wanting easy money, I have the Heat -1.5 as my biggest pick tonight.

Meaning you should bet on the Suns…

FanDuel parlay.
Hurts over 199.5 passing
Brown over 39.5 receiving
Sanders over 39.5 rushing
Pays +130.
Seems +EV to me.

Edit. Hurts 7/8 over 200. 6/8 over 238
Both Sanders and Brown over 58 7/8.
Sanders perfect 8/8 over 39
link to original post



FanDual smarter than me. Huts with zero passing yards first 10 minutes. Sanders zero rushing yards.
unJon
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November 14th, 2022 at 6:49:41 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: MDawg

Apparently DanDruff (he's a member here too, no?) has been killing it with NFL picks (35-12-1, +24.42 units). RobSinger has been doing well too, much to the lament of REDietz, with whom he has engaged some kind of contest.

Someone should carry those posts over here, which are all made in advance.

I don't know nothin' about sports betting, don't do that.
link to original post



A sports betting win/loss ‘record’ is irrelevant unless you are only picking ‘even money’ type bets. I’m perfect this year in college football, having taken Georgia and Ohio State money line bets only…. 16-0!
link to original post



He is betting even money and underdog money lines. It is a super impressive start. The underlying assumption in your response is incorrect.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
SOOPOO
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November 14th, 2022 at 7:08:50 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: MDawg

Apparently DanDruff (he's a member here too, no?) has been killing it with NFL picks (35-12-1, +24.42 units). RobSinger has been doing well too, much to the lament of REDietz, with whom he has engaged some kind of contest.

Someone should carry those posts over here, which are all made in advance.

I don't know nothin' about sports betting, don't do that.
link to original post



A sports betting win/loss ‘record’ is irrelevant unless you are only picking ‘even money’ type bets. I’m perfect this year in college football, having taken Georgia and Ohio State money line bets only…. 16-0!
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He is betting even money and underdog money lines. It is a super impressive start. The underlying assumption in your response is incorrect.
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Let me re phrase. Define a unit. Tell me how many units you are betting at what odds. Show me those odds were actually available to place a real money bet. Then I can evaluate how well the tout is doing.
I don’t check on touts’ records. But if you are saying the guy is really nailing it this year, good for him!
unJon
unJon 
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November 14th, 2022 at 7:12:09 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: unJon

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: MDawg

Apparently DanDruff (he's a member here too, no?) has been killing it with NFL picks (35-12-1, +24.42 units). RobSinger has been doing well too, much to the lament of REDietz, with whom he has engaged some kind of contest.

Someone should carry those posts over here, which are all made in advance.

I don't know nothin' about sports betting, don't do that.
link to original post



A sports betting win/loss ‘record’ is irrelevant unless you are only picking ‘even money’ type bets. I’m perfect this year in college football, having taken Georgia and Ohio State money line bets only…. 16-0!
link to original post



He is betting even money and underdog money lines. It is a super impressive start. The underlying assumption in your response is incorrect.
link to original post



Let me re phrase. Define a unit. Tell me how many units you are betting at what odds. Show me those odds were actually available to place a real money bet. Then I can evaluate how well the tout is doing.
I don’t check on touts’ records. But if you are saying the guy is really nailing it this year, good for him!
link to original post



Let me start again. He’s not a tout. He’s a poker player that owns a gambling forum like this one. He sports bets and posts his picks before hand like ksdsdj does.

MDAWG posted about it here because he thought it would interest the two of you as it’s a similar thread to this one, on a different gambling forum.

There’s not more to the story. You just misinterpreted what MDawg was saying.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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November 14th, 2022 at 8:00:08 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: unJon

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: MDawg

Apparently DanDruff (he's a member here too, no?) has been killing it with NFL picks (35-12-1, +24.42 units). RobSinger has been doing well too, much to the lament of REDietz, with whom he has engaged some kind of contest.

Someone should carry those posts over here, which are all made in advance.

I don't know nothin' about sports betting, don't do that.
link to original post



A sports betting win/loss ‘record’ is irrelevant unless you are only picking ‘even money’ type bets. I’m perfect this year in college football, having taken Georgia and Ohio State money line bets only…. 16-0!
link to original post



He is betting even money and underdog money lines. It is a super impressive start. The underlying assumption in your response is incorrect.
link to original post



Let me re phrase. Define a unit. Tell me how many units you are betting at what odds. Show me those odds were actually available to place a real money bet. Then I can evaluate how well the tout is doing.
I don’t check on touts’ records. But if you are saying the guy is really nailing it this year, good for him!
link to original post



Let me start again. He’s not a tout. He’s a poker player that owns a gambling forum like this one. He sports bets and posts his picks before hand like ksdsdj does.

MDAWG posted about it here because he thought it would interest the two of you as it’s a similar thread to this one, on a different gambling forum.

There’s not more to the story. You just misinterpreted what MDawg was saying.
link to original post



Gotcha. If the guy wants to join our forum and post, I would like that. And if others want to join his forum, that’s ok, too. This forum is enough for me….
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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November 16th, 2022 at 2:48:22 PM permalink
Yesterday morning wifey alerted me that we may have ‘blizzard like’ snowstorm over the weekend. I thus bet the under on the game.

So…. Likely sunny day with Bills 31, Browns 16. I got in at under 43. The line is now 41.5.
FinsRule
FinsRule
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November 16th, 2022 at 2:55:17 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Yesterday morning wifey alerted me that we may have ‘blizzard like’ snowstorm over the weekend. I thus bet the under on the game.

So…. Likely sunny day with Bills 31, Browns 16. I got in at under 43. The line is now 41.5.
link to original post



I sort of think the over is the play. When everyone is talking about snow, under gets pounded. So value on over?
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
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November 16th, 2022 at 3:39:57 PM permalink
Quote: FinsRule

Quote: SOOPOO

Yesterday morning wifey alerted me that we may have ‘blizzard like’ snowstorm over the weekend. I thus bet the under on the game.

So…. Likely sunny day with Bills 31, Browns 16. I got in at under 43. The line is now 41.5.
link to original post



I sort of think the over is the play. When everyone is talking about snow, under gets pounded. So value on over?
link to original post


I tend to like the under*** in those situations, but it doesn't mean there is no "+ value in betting the over " ^^^ .

***: I seem to make more bets on the under, atm (so there may be a bit of bias?, in my reasoning).

^^^: Like you said, if the" ... under gets pounded ", then the over could become value (normally you just have to wait as long as possible, before having a bet on the over, in these types situations).
AZDuffman
AZDuffman
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November 16th, 2022 at 4:02:54 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Yesterday morning wifey alerted me that we may have ‘blizzard like’ snowstorm over the weekend. I thus bet the under on the game.

So…. Likely sunny day with Bills 31, Browns 16. I got in at under 43. The line is now 41.5.
link to original post



Orchard Park will get 2 feet.
Amherst will have a light frost.

For those not in the area they are 20 minutes apart without traffic.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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November 16th, 2022 at 8:25:55 PM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

Quote: SOOPOO

Yesterday morning wifey alerted me that we may have ‘blizzard like’ snowstorm over the weekend. I thus bet the under on the game.

So…. Likely sunny day with Bills 31, Browns 16. I got in at under 43. The line is now 41.5.
link to original post



Orchard Park will get 2 feet.
Amherst will have a light frost.

For those not in the area they are 20 minutes apart without traffic.
link to original post



Last BIG storm like this friend had SIX FEET of snow near OP. I had an inch. My bet is in at under 43. If the line moves to 38 I might try and middle it.

I made (for me) a big bet on CMU football under as in one of the pregame shows I saw it snowing heavily. Got under 49.5. I think final score was 12-10.
billryan
billryan
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November 16th, 2022 at 8:32:08 PM permalink
Points vs. inches might be interesting.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
AZDuffman
AZDuffman
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November 17th, 2022 at 5:34:59 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: AZDuffman

Quote: SOOPOO

Yesterday morning wifey alerted me that we may have ‘blizzard like’ snowstorm over the weekend. I thus bet the under on the game.

So…. Likely sunny day with Bills 31, Browns 16. I got in at under 43. The line is now 41.5.
link to original post



Orchard Park will get 2 feet.
Amherst will have a light frost.

For those not in the area they are 20 minutes apart without traffic.
link to original post



Last BIG storm like this friend had SIX FEET of snow near OP. I had an inch. My bet is in at under 43. If the line moves to 38 I might try and middle it.

I made (for me) a big bet on CMU football under as in one of the pregame shows I saw it snowing heavily. Got under 49.5. I think final score was 12-10.
link to original post



If snow with that kind of variance hits for the game the network should do a piece on it as people would be amazed.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
DRich
DRich
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November 17th, 2022 at 6:15:44 AM permalink
Did you guys see that Bronco's game last night? That was the most snow I remember seeing at a football game in years. This picture was from the start of of the game the snow was falling hard during the game.

At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
billryan
billryan
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November 17th, 2022 at 7:42:36 AM permalink
I played a game like that in my Junior year of college. My team played would be more accurate as I only got in for a handful of plays. The sidelines were so bad that on one play, a guy ran a sweep and was out of bounds before he started going north-south. St Johns fumbled into their endzone, and when a player from my team recovered it, they couldn't decide if he was in the end zone for a TD or if it was a safety. Incredibly St Johns had cheerleaders and even a few fans.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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November 17th, 2022 at 9:02:08 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Did you guys see that Bronco's game last night? That was the most snow I remember seeing at a football game in years. This picture was from the start of of the game the snow was falling hard during the game.


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I saw parts of it. Few people cheer as loud as I did…. “Go under”!!!!

Weather forecast for Orchard Park shows heavy snow until Saturday. Clear Sunday. Just means that local officials will have to work hard for the fans to be able to get there. The field itself should be easily cleared. Unless forecast changes. Wifey said she saw add for shovelers paying $20 an hour.
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