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lilredrooster
lilredrooster
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April 18th, 2024 at 6:12:57 AM permalink
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today - 1:10 p.m.

Angels/Rays

Pitcher Ryan Pepiot under 6.5 strikeouts_______________-145

he's been under 6.5 Ks in 18 of his 21 starts in the last 3 years including this one

edit - DraftKings just worsened the line to -165 about one minute ago - it's still my pick

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https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/baseball/mlb?category=pitcher-props&subcategory=strikeouts-thrown

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lilredrooster
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April 18th, 2024 at 2:28:06 PM permalink
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deleted

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SOOPOO
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April 18th, 2024 at 6:05:41 PM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

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today - 1:10 p.m.

Angels/Rays

Pitcher Ryan Pepiot under 6.5 strikeouts_______________-145

he's been under 6.5 Ks in 18 of his 21 starts in the last 3 years including this one

edit - DraftKings just worsened the line to -165 about one minute ago - it's still my pick

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https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/baseball/mlb?category=pitcher-props&subcategory=strikeouts-thrown

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link to original post



I got lucky on this one. I would have bet with you but was still golfing when the game started. I had an eagle today so will be happy regardless of my pathetic bets….!
lilredrooster
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April 19th, 2024 at 6:21:20 AM permalink
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Rangers/Braves

pitcher Andrew Heaney under 4.5 strikeouts_____________-135

he's been under 4.5 Ks in 13 of his last 14 starts

he's facing the Braves - the best hitting team in the MLB (in batting average)

in his last 15 starts he has only pitched over 4 innings in one game - and is very often pulled well before that - current era - 6.75


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/baseball/mlb?category=pitcher-props

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Last edited by: lilredrooster on Apr 19, 2024
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SOOPOO
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April 19th, 2024 at 9:30:55 AM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

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Rangers/Braves

pitcher Andrew Heaney under 4.5 strikeouts_____________-135

he's been under 4.5 Ks in 13 of his last 14 starts

he's facing the Braves - the best hitting team in the MLB (in batting average)

in his last 15 starts he has only pitched over 4 innings in one game - and is very often pulled well before that - current era - 6.75


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/baseball/mlb?category=pitcher-props

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link to original post

. I just HAMMERED Heaney under 4.5 K’s.

I love the Kings over the Pelicans. Against the Lakers the Pelicans were trash EXCEPT for a GREAT game by Zion. Zion is out today. I thought I’d have to give 3-3.5 points on the Kings. I’m GETTING a point.
lilredrooster
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April 19th, 2024 at 11:56:38 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

.I just HAMMERED Heaney under 4.5 K’s.


really niche move
that's how you make money betting sports
when the play is almost GUARNeffingTEED

yeah, right - sure it is_________snicker, snicker, snicker





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Last edited by: lilredrooster on Apr 19, 2024
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SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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April 19th, 2024 at 5:51:19 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: lilredrooster

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Rangers/Braves

pitcher Andrew Heaney under 4.5 strikeouts_____________-135

he's been under 4.5 Ks in 13 of his last 14 starts

he's facing the Braves - the best hitting team in the MLB (in batting average)

in his last 15 starts he has only pitched over 4 innings in one game - and is very often pulled well before that - current era - 6.75


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/baseball/mlb?category=pitcher-props

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link to original post

. I just HAMMERED Heaney under 4.5 K’s.

I love the Kings over the Pelicans. Against the Lakers the Pelicans were trash EXCEPT for a GREAT game by Zion. Zion is out today. I thought I’d have to give 3-3.5 points on the Kings. I’m GETTING a point.
link to original post



Heany has 5 Ks already…..
lilredrooster
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April 20th, 2024 at 4:18:20 AM permalink
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yeah, I know
I'm about even since I switched to picking all props
maybe some reason for hope - we'll see
haven't given up yet -

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Caris LeVert over 11.5 points +102

he's been over 11.5 in 6 of his last 7 games - his last 4 are 16,18,18, and 21 - he averages 14

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https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/basketball/nba?category=player-points&subcategory=points

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Last edited by: lilredrooster on Apr 20, 2024
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SOOPOO
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April 20th, 2024 at 5:06:36 AM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

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yeah, I know
I'm about even since I switched to picking all props
maybe some reason for hope - we'll see
haven't given up yet -

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Caris LeVert over 11.5 points +102

he's been over 11.5 in 6 of his last 7 games - his last 4 are 16,18,18, and 21 - he averages 14

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https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/basketball/nba?category=player-points&subcategory=points

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link to original post



Next mortgage payment bet on Levert over 11.5. Also a little on LeVert over 9.5 laying -200. I remember him a few years back thinking he’d be a star instead of the journeyman he became…
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
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April 20th, 2024 at 6:05:56 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO


Next mortgage payment bet on Levert over 11.5.


very shrewd move
niche

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https://www.playmaryland.com/player-wins-714k-nba-parlay-live-casino-maryland/

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lilredrooster
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April 20th, 2024 at 7:53:33 AM permalink
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one more for today

Miles Mikolas to allow more than 5.5 hits______________-145

he's allowed more hits than that in 3 out of 4 starts this year and 22 out of his last 34

he's facing the Brewers who are the 3rd best hitting team in the MLB (batting average)


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/baseball/mlb?category=pitcher-props&subcategory=hits-allowed

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terapined
terapined
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April 20th, 2024 at 8:08:06 AM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

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one more for today

Miles Mikolas to allow more than 5.5 hits______________-145

he's allowed more hits than that in 3 out of 4 starts this year and 22 out of his last 34

he's facing the Brewers who are the 3rd best hitting team in the MLB (batting average)


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/baseball/mlb?category=pitcher-props&subcategory=hits-allowed

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link to original post


This old guy sucks. 35 years old
Last game 5 whiffs on 75 pitches
I think this is a good bet
Only worries if he issues walks and gets pulled early
Starting pitching ain't what it used to be
Hopefully goes at least 5 innings
Its just a forum. Nothing here to get obsessed about.
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
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April 20th, 2024 at 8:26:41 AM permalink
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props are to me much more interesting than the traditional bets
really makes your mind work to try and figure out a good bet
doesn't mean I can actually get an edge - but definitely more enjoyable to try

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lilredrooster
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April 20th, 2024 at 9:22:33 AM permalink
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one last one for today

Lane Thomas a .195 hitter for the Nationals going under 1.5 total bases________________-180

he's been under that total 15 of 19 times this year

he's facing starter Ronel Blanco of the Astros who has a 0.86 era


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/baseball/mlb?category=batter-props&subcategory=total-bases


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SOOPOO
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April 20th, 2024 at 12:12:36 PM permalink
LeVert has only played 13 minutes first 3 quarters. Has 5 points. I always need to remember the guys making the lines are smarter than me and LilRed. Or at least have access to more information.

I’m close to 0 for Florida…!
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
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April 20th, 2024 at 12:31:25 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

LeVert has only played 13 minutes first 3 quarters. Has 5 points. I always need to remember the guys making the lines are smarter than me and LilRed. Or at least have access to more information.

I’m close to 0 for Florida…!
link to original post


yes, maybe the best way to play it is:
when you see a line that looks wrong like that -
either just leave it alone or play what looks to be a wrong bet
I think somehow somebody definitely knew Levert wouldn't get a lot of minutes
my bad - I'm determined to keep going - try to learn from my mistakes

edit - the Mikolas pick was a winner - that was one that didn't look like it was out of whack - Mikolas gave up 9 hits in 4 innings

from now on I'm just going to leave the lines that look wrong alone

if I win the last one my picks will have had a winning day - but not by much -


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terapined
terapined
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April 20th, 2024 at 3:35:50 PM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

Quote: SOOPOO

LeVert has only played 13 minutes first 3 quarters. Has 5 points. I always need to remember the guys making the lines are smarter than me and LilRed. Or at least have access to more information.

I’m close to 0 for Florida…!
link to original post




edit - the Mikolas pick was a winner - that was one that didn't look like it was out of whack - Mikolas gave up 9 hits in 4 innings


I'm not surprised lol
Its just a forum. Nothing here to get obsessed about.
DRich
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April 20th, 2024 at 4:00:15 PM permalink
I took the Bruins +105 at Hard Rock
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
lilredrooster
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April 20th, 2024 at 4:32:02 PM permalink
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the 3rd of my picks today was a winner - Thomas had zero total bases
since I started picking props I'm 7-4 with a 6% r.o.i.
all of my picks that won paid less than even money and most paid way less
certainly not great
hoping to do better in the future
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lilredrooster
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April 21st, 2024 at 5:11:22 AM permalink
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Pablo Reyes slumping for the Red Sox batting just .167 under 1.5 total bases______________-145

he's been under that total in 14 of his 15 games this year

facing Martin Perez of the Pirates who currently has a 2.55 era_____________1:35


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/baseball/mlb?category=batter-props&subcategory=total-bases


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gordonm888
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gordonm888
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April 21st, 2024 at 6:11:28 AM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

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Pablo Reyes slumping for the Red Sox batting just .167 under 1.5 total bases______________-145

he's been under that total in 14 of his 15 games this year

facing Martin Perez of the Pirates who currently has a 2.55 era_____________1:35


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/baseball/mlb?category=batter-props&subcategory=total-bases


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link to original post



Pablo Reyes is a right-handed batter and is batting 0.120 versus right-handed pitchers and 0.235 versus lefties. Martin Perez is a left-handed pitcher.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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April 21st, 2024 at 6:25:35 AM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

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Pablo Reyes slumping for the Red Sox batting just .167 under 1.5 total bases______________-145

he's been under that total in 14 of his 15 games this year

facing Martin Perez of the Pirates who currently has a 2.55 era_____________1:35


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/baseball/mlb?category=batter-props&subcategory=total-bases


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link to original post



Kids education fund now riding on Reyes under 1.5 total bases!

Subtle point…. Road teams always get 27 outs, 40% ish of the time Home teams only get 24.

I finally won one yesterday. The HardRock boost gave +450 on Edwards over 29.5/Twolves win.
gordonm888
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gordonm888
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April 21st, 2024 at 7:15:52 AM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

Quote: lilredrooster

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Pablo Reyes slumping for the Red Sox batting just .167 under 1.5 total bases______________-145

he's been under that total in 14 of his 15 games this year

facing Martin Perez of the Pirates who currently has a 2.55 era_____________1:35


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/baseball/mlb?category=batter-props&subcategory=total-bases


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link to original post



Pablo Reyes is a right-handed batter and is batting 0.120 versus right-handed pitchers and 0.235 versus lefties. Martin Perez is a left-handed pitcher.
link to original post



I just looked at Pablo Reyes' splits on slugging percentage: his slugging percentage is 0.120 vs right-handed pitchers and 0.297 versus lefties.

Danger, Will Robinson!
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
lilredrooster
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April 21st, 2024 at 7:18:46 AM permalink
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gonna make tomorrow's pick - a non prop pick - early, because I think the line may get a lot worse as we approach game time

Bruins -135 over Maple leafs___________playoff game in TD Garden

Bruins crushed them on Saturday and beat them in all 4 regular season games

I just love it when SOOPOO 𝙃𝘼𝙈𝙈𝙀𝙍𝙎 my picks - gives me reason to live__________________:)

https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/hockey/nhl

Quote: gordonm888


Pablo Reyes is a right-handed batter and is batting 0.120 versus right-handed pitchers and 0.235 versus lefties. Martin Perez is a left-handed pitcher.
I just looked at Pablo Reyes' splits on slugging percentage: his slugging percentage is 0.120 vs right-handed pitchers and 0.297 versus lefties.
Danger, Will Robinson!



how many left handed pitchers has Reyes faced that are as tough as Perez this season - not many I would presume

it looks like you're not planning to 𝙃𝘼𝙈𝙈𝙀𝙍 my picks - I laugh in the face of danger_____________:)

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lilredrooster
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April 21st, 2024 at 1:45:48 PM permalink
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Reyes had one hit today - a double - the pick lost -

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lilredrooster
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April 21st, 2024 at 2:42:00 PM permalink
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going to try and get some of that loss back

Darius Vines Braves pitcher tonight - under 2.5 earned runs allowed_________-120

he's played in 6 games in the majors and given up just 10 runs - only played 1 game this year and gave up just one run in four innings


https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/baseball/mlb?category=pitcher-props&subcategory=earned-runs-allowed

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lilredrooster
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April 22nd, 2024 at 4:56:01 AM permalink
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NBA player Jontay Porter of the Raptors was banned for life by the NBA for betting on his own team to lose and disclosing confidential info

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https://www.nba.com/news/jontay-porter-banned-from-nba


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SOOPOO
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April 22nd, 2024 at 8:00:50 AM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

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NBA player Jontay Porter of the Raptors was banned for life by the NBA for betting on his own team to lose and disclosing confidential info

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https://www.nba.com/news/jontay-porter-banned-from-nba


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link to original post



Where did you read he bet on his own team to lose? You are just making that up, right?

The main allegation (to my knowledge) is that he had an accomplice bet the ‘under’ on all his personal results from a game, and that he pulled himself out of the game.
DRich
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April 22nd, 2024 at 2:28:52 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO


Where did you read he bet on his own team to lose? You are just making that up, right?



They were talking about that today on the radio and also said he was betting against his team.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
DRich
DRich
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April 22nd, 2024 at 2:33:02 PM permalink
I've got a small bet on the Stars game over 5.5 tonight.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
DRich
DRich
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April 22nd, 2024 at 7:54:04 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

I've got a small bet on the Stars game over 5.5 tonight.
link to original post



I guess that I am either a genius or very lucky. Six goals with 19 minutes left in the second period.


I guess if I was a genius I would have made a big bet.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
DrawingDead
DrawingDead
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April 22nd, 2024 at 8:22:15 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Where did you read he bet on his own team to lose? You are just making that up, right?

<SNIP>

Quote: Associated Press - BY TIM REYNOLDS - 5:11 PM CDT, April 17, 2024

Toronto Raptors player Jontay Porter was banned for life from the NBA on Wednesday after a league probe found he disclosed confidential information to sports bettors and wagered on games, even betting on the Raptors to lose...

https://apnews.com/article/nba-jontay-porter-banned-265ad5cb703d9483347037762ee90a8f
Suck dope, watch TV, make up stuff, be somebody on the internet.
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