Coronavirus math

Being poor is apparently somewhat tolerable as most poor people aren't slashing their throats, jumping out windows, etc., The possibility of going poor requires the death of at least 1% of the population to prevent it.

Quote: ChumpChange

Typically if your area has 500 cases, there's already 10 deaths. If there's 5,000 cases, there's already 100 deaths. If there's 50,000 cases, there's already 1,000 deaths. These numbers may change if the curve flattens or changes the other way.

If your county is lagging by 400 deaths, they may happen today and/or tomorrow.

Due death theory?
2% mortality rate? You pulling these numbers out of your derrière??

Quote: billryan

I want to save lives. Seems like that should be the only priority. Obviously you don't put as much value on that as others do.
I hope my wish comes true. Don't you?

Really? You want to save your life. So you ignore abortion, car wrecks, lung cancer(self inflicted) the “normal” flu, not to mention eating yourself to 400 pounds. There a host of others we could mention here as preventable deaths. You would sacrifice your country for an unprovable number of deaths. Didn’t John Kennedy have something to say about that?

No, it’s all about you.

I'm not sure if this article has been posted here but there seems to be a discrepancy with the number of deaths reported in China's Wuhan province and the number of funeral urns being distributed to family members. According to official Chinese government data, 50,006 people were infected with the Covid-19 virus in Wuhan with 2,535 dying from the disease. Recent photos, however, show a single mortuary receiving 5,000 urns for families to claim.

Wuhan has seven other mortuaries.

Full story at the Shanghai-ist

Quote: Gialmere

I'm not sure if this article has been posted here but there seems to be a discrepancy with the number of deaths reported in China's Wuhan province and the number of funeral urns being distributed to family members. According to official Chinese government data, 50,006 people were infected with the Covid-19 virus in Wuhan with 2,535 dying from the disease. Recent photos, however, show a single mortuary receiving 5,000 urns for families to claim.

Wuhan has seven other mortuaries.

Full story at the Shanghai-ist

So, what's the point? The Chinese probably lied about their death toll. Is this supposed to provide some comfort to America on its own self-induced COVID slaughter?

What if the other family members died in car accidents or natural deaths etc

France had an usually low death per case during 2010. China had more swine than usa.

North korea had reported recoveries and deaths in 2010.

Im more worried that countries will not release a cure for a year

Quote: LuckyPhow

Really? That low??

Do these Stanford doctors make any assumptions about hospitals functioning well or poorly? Is this a news interview? Or, a peer-reviewed journal article with a full explanation and a more detailed data analysis? I sure would like to know more... link, perhaps?

C'mon, man, there has absolutely not been any time to write up journal articles and have them peer reviewed. If those are your standards, then no statement that anyone makes about covid-19 meets your standards - and thus nobody knows anything about this subject other than the WHO report of January 28.

Quote: jjjoooggg

France had an usually low death per case during 2010. China had more swine than usa.

North korea had reported recoveries and deaths in 2010.

Im more worried that countries will not release a cure for a year

Why did Italy lead the world in Swine Flu cases in 2009-2010? I mean, what in Hell goes on in Italy?

So, figuring math on US cases is going to be wildly inaccurate right now, with the curve still accelerating, AND the length of time it takes to get past the virus.

US deaths more than doubled in less than 48 hours, with 1005 deaths at 4pm Friday, and 2298 as of noon Sunday (just now).

Incubation until showing symptoms 2-5 days on average, as long as 14 days reported. Serious cases taking 2-4 weeks to resolve to the point of "recovered".

Rolling rates by region, all showing a similar curve sharply upward, but at different points in time for the escalation.

I said earlier (Friday) somewhere on here, that it was 5 to 1, deaths to recovered. That has improved, with recovered just today passing deaths at 1:1. So no telling where this ratio will end up, though certainly it appears it will continue to improve.

Total cases "resolved", either by death or recovery, still less than 5000, with 130,156 total cases reported in the US, so 125,000+ still sick and testing positive.

And those cases are reflecting what actually happened 2 weeks ago on average, NOT the real picture of infection today.

Stay the hell home, people.