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SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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Thanks for this post from:
ksdjdj
November 2nd, 2022 at 4:47:02 AM permalink
Quote: ksdjdj

GameBet / OptionClosing LineGrade / Units
Kent State Golden Flashes vs Ball State Cardinals Under 62.5 @ $1.88 Will x x x / 3
Buffalo Bulls @ Ohio Bobcats Ohio Bobcats @ $1.90 (+2.5) be x x x / 3
Duke Blue Devils @ Boston College EaglesBoston College Eagles @ $3.85 (ML)posted x x x / 1.5
Oregon State Beavers @ Washington HuskiesOver 54.5 @ $1.85after x x x / 3.1
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Virginia Tech HokiesVirginia Tech Hokies @ $1.89 (-3.0)all x x x / 3
UTSA Roadrunners @ UAB Blazers Over 51.5 @ $1.85 games x x x / 3.1
UTSA Roadrunners @ UAB Blazers UAB Blazers @ $1.88 (+1.0) have x x x / 3.1
Troy Trojans @ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns @ $2.02 (+4.5)been x x x / 2.7
Troy Trojans @ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns @ $2.8 (ML)completedx x x / 0.1
Tennessee Volunteers @ Georgia BulldogsOver 65.5 @ $1.90x x x / 3
Iowa State Cyclones vs West Virginia Mountaineers West Virginia Mountaineers @ $1.76 (+8.5) x x x / 3.25

---
Other info:
A bit drunk, but the above table was completed before I went out (just got back from my Birthday dinner).

The first 2 bets in the table are repeats from my previous post.

---
Update:
Utah State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos: ("Grade x x x", as well)
Note 1a): I had this bet a "special way" (important, does not mean that I think it is better or worse than the others' in the above table).
Note 1b): The reason I had it this way, is so that I could get the "average price equivalent" of about $6.80 (ML) on the Lobos or "draw" (the next best ML price available to me was $6.4 for the Lobos, at the time of the bet).
Note 2: All are "first half x second half" doubles (except the first one)

Lobos @ $1.90 (+16.5) / 0.5 (units)

New Mexico Lobos x New Mexico Lobos @ $21 / 0.250
New Mexico Lobos x Draw @ $67 / 0.058
Utah State Aggies x Draw @ $46 / 0.083
Draw x Draw @ $101 / 0.039
Utah State Aggies x New Mexico Lobos @ $26 / 0.150
Draw x New Mexico Lobos @ $71 / 0.075
link to original post



Happy birthday.
DRich
DRich
Joined: Jul 6, 2012
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Thanks for this post from:
ksdjdj
November 2nd, 2022 at 4:53:46 AM permalink
Good start for the week with your Kent st Under and Ohio picks.
Order from chaos
unJon
unJon 
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Thanks for this post from:
ksdjdj
November 2nd, 2022 at 5:38:11 AM permalink
Happy birthday!
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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November 2nd, 2022 at 12:12:48 PM permalink
Thank you everyone, for the birthday comments.

Quote: DRich

I am excited to see Tuesday night college football is back on ESPN. We now have football on TV seven days a week. Go Golden Flashes and Bobcats.
link to original post


Also, thank you for posting this (see quote above from the "sports chatter thread") because I didn't even know about the Tuesday games' this week.

Note: I would probably still have bet on them, but maybe the "total for the game that I bet on the under" would have been closer to 61.5 (the closing line, according to VI ).
Last edited by: ksdjdj on Nov 2, 2022
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
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November 2nd, 2022 at 12:57:08 PM permalink
I like*** the under for both of todays' college games (if I picked a grade, both would be around "x x", IMO).

"Northern Illinois Game" (Total currently 56.5 to 57).
"Bowling Green Game" (Total currently 47.5 to 48).

***: Not enough to bet^^^ though (because there are plenty of "x x x" ones this week).

^^^: The other reason, I am not betting on anything lower ATM, is because I read some interesting articles that said something along the lines of: "...don't bet on everything, even if you think they are good value, just pick the ones you think are the best value... ".

Also, if "forced to pick" a team ATS today, I am leaning towards Western Michigan @ +5, but I wouldn't even have that as an "x " one (somewhere between 54 and 55%, is the estimated chance that I got for them).

Important: I haven't bet on these, so they won't be counted as part of the "official results".
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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November 2nd, 2022 at 3:01:37 PM permalink
Quote: ksdjdj

I like*** the under for both of todays' college games (if I picked a grade, both would be around "x x", IMO).

"Northern Illinois Game" (Total currently 56.5 to 57).
"Bowling Green Game" (Total currently 47.5 to 48).
(snip)
link to original post


These games' will be upgraded to an "x x x", if you can get at least (before kick-off):

"Northern Illinois Game" (Under 57.5)
"Bowling Green Game" (Under 48.5)

Note: Odds must be -111 or better (-110 is the standard line with most US 'books).
unJon
unJon 
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
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Thanks for this post from:
ksdjdj
November 2nd, 2022 at 3:53:17 PM permalink
Quote: ksdjdj

Quote: ksdjdj

I like*** the under for both of todays' college games (if I picked a grade, both would be around "x x", IMO).

"Northern Illinois Game" (Total currently 56.5 to 57).
"Bowling Green Game" (Total currently 47.5 to 48).
(snip)
link to original post


These games' will be upgraded to an "x x x", if you can get at least (before kick-off):

"Northern Illinois Game" (Under 57.5)
"Bowling Green Game" (Under 48.5)

Note: Odds must be -111 or better (-110 is the standard line with most US 'books).
link to original post



Northern Illinois total is 53.5 from right now.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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November 2nd, 2022 at 4:14:00 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

Quote: ksdjdj

Quote: ksdjdj

I like*** the under for both of todays' college games (if I picked a grade, both would be around "x x", IMO).

"Northern Illinois Game" (Total currently 56.5 to 57).
"Bowling Green Game" (Total currently 47.5 to 48).
(snip)
link to original post


These games' will be upgraded to an "x x x", if you can get at least (before kick-off):

"Northern Illinois Game" (Under 57.5)
"Bowling Green Game" (Under 48.5)

Note: Odds must be -111 or better (-110 is the standard line with most US 'books).
link to original post



Northern Illinois total is 53.5 from right now.
link to original post


ATM, I don't know why the total dipped by 3 to 3.5 points in the last hour or so (maybe a QB, or a key offensive player is out?).

Also, I didn't end up having bets on today's games, anyway.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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Thanks for this post from:
ksdjdj
November 2nd, 2022 at 4:16:47 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

Quote: ksdjdj

Quote: ksdjdj

I like*** the under for both of todays' college games (if I picked a grade, both would be around "x x", IMO).

"Northern Illinois Game" (Total currently 56.5 to 57).
"Bowling Green Game" (Total currently 47.5 to 48).
(snip)
link to original post


These games' will be upgraded to an "x x x", if you can get at least (before kick-off):

"Northern Illinois Game" (Under 57.5)
"Bowling Green Game" (Under 48.5)

Note: Odds must be -111 or better (-110 is the standard line with most US 'books).
link to original post



Northern Illinois total is 53.5 from right now.
link to original post



I got under 57.5. Wonder what happened to have a 4 point swing?
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
  • Threads: 94
  • Posts: 1545
November 2nd, 2022 at 5:44:24 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: unJon

Quote: ksdjdj

Quote: ksdjdj

I like*** the under for both of todays' college games (if I picked a grade, both would be around "x x", IMO).

"Northern Illinois Game" (Total currently 56.5 to 57).
"Bowling Green Game" (Total currently 47.5 to 48).
(snip)
link to original post


These games' will be upgraded to an "x x x", if you can get at least (before kick-off):

"Northern Illinois Game" (Under 57.5)
"Bowling Green Game" (Under 48.5)

Note: Odds must be -111 or better (-110 is the standard line with most US 'books).
link to original post



Northern Illinois total is 53.5 from right now.
link to original post



I got under 57.5. Wonder what happened to have a 4 point swing?
link to original post


I know you didn't say how much you bet on the N Illinois game*** , but if you bet more than 5% of your "total betting funds", then I would recommend that you partially hedge^^^ to reduce the maximum liability to somewhere between 3.3 and 5%.

***: The live total is between 41.5 and 42.5 with the two Aussie 'books that I am looking at (but I don't bet live very often, so I don't know if those are good value, or not?).

^^^: If you have been following my "bet-size" recommendations fairly strictly, then you shouldn't need to hedge.

----
Other:
Sorry to use your bet as a potential example of when it is "sometimes a good play to hedge" (especially if you did bet less than 5% of your "total betting funds").

----
Update:
Important: The live totals mentioned above, were correct at half-time.
So now that the second half has started, please disregard them (especially in regards to any potential "hedging opportunities").

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