NCAAF & NFL Grades / Results, etc
January 1st, 2023 at 11:53:11 AM
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Note: I can't find it here (or even the "sports betting chatter", thread) but I am almost certain that I posted some of these already.
Anyway, below are my Graded NFL bets:
x: 2.2 units Vikings' +3.5 @ $1.85
xxx: 0.8 units Ravens' -9.5 @ $4.50
xxx: 1.5 units Ravens' @ $1.83 ML ^^^
xxx: 4.5 units Lions' @ $1.43 ML***
xxx: 3.3 units Saints' +6.5 @ $1.83 ***
^^^: Wanted 3.3 units on @ this price, but they cut me to this amount (my estimated "$ EV" is higher for this bet, but the "% EV" is higher for the "Ravens -9.5" one).
***: These will not be part of the "official results", but I may put them in the adjustments (as the games have already started).
(Edit:~1500, Pac Time):
x: 2.2 units Raiders' +10.5 @ $1.85@@@ (Had written 49ers -9.5, I will still count the 49ers bet as part of the official results, and probably make an adjustment).
@@@: I may post a temporary screenshot to one-drive (for up to 36 hours) if the bet ends up winning (and if anyone wants to see it?).
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Update (~1200, Pac Time):
The +27.5 @ $1.90 "live odds" for the Texans looked "pretty good" to me (probably would have had 2.5 units at those odds, if it wasn't 6am### where I live).
###: I can bet live easily, after 10am (East Australia Time).
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Other:
. I know I had money in the game (so I will have a bit of bias at least) but do you think that Michigan play was a TD or not? (The one where it was ruled just short, and then Michigan Fumbled on the next play).
. I probably won't be "testing my limits for a while", because I have a pretty good idea now.
. Besides losing an extra $7k on Michigan. I didn't do too bad yesterday (because I went alright on some NBA and NBL bets).
. Even though I liked Purdue +14.5, I had some more money on LSU -11 @ $1.89 and -11.5 @ $1.93, as I respected the market more than my own opinion (especially since Pinnacle has LSU -13 @ $1.625 / -160, so these -11 etc are obviously "great on paper").
Update (~1215, Pac Time): They will still probably win, but glad I couldn't find any $1.15+ @ the ML for the Chiefs (score is 17-13 to the Broncos').
Note: It was only going to be a "for fun bet".
Anyway, below are my Graded NFL bets:
x: 2.2 units Vikings' +3.5 @ $1.85
xxx: 0.8 units Ravens' -9.5 @ $4.50
xxx: 1.5 units Ravens' @ $1.83 ML ^^^
xxx: 4.5 units Lions' @ $1.43 ML***
xxx: 3.3 units Saints' +6.5 @ $1.83 ***
^^^: Wanted 3.3 units on @ this price, but they cut me to this amount (my estimated "$ EV" is higher for this bet, but the "% EV" is higher for the "Ravens -9.5" one).
***: These will not be part of the "official results", but I may put them in the adjustments (as the games have already started).
(Edit:~1500, Pac Time):
x: 2.2 units Raiders' +10.5 @ $1.85@@@ (Had written 49ers -9.5, I will still count the 49ers bet as part of the official results, and probably make an adjustment).
@@@: I may post a temporary screenshot to one-drive (for up to 36 hours) if the bet ends up winning (and if anyone wants to see it?).
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Update (~1200, Pac Time):
The +27.5 @ $1.90 "live odds" for the Texans looked "pretty good" to me (probably would have had 2.5 units at those odds, if it wasn't 6am### where I live).
###: I can bet live easily, after 10am (East Australia Time).
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Other:
. I know I had money in the game (so I will have a bit of bias at least) but do you think that Michigan play was a TD or not? (The one where it was ruled just short, and then Michigan Fumbled on the next play).
. I probably won't be "testing my limits for a while", because I have a pretty good idea now.
. Besides losing an extra $7k on Michigan. I didn't do too bad yesterday (because I went alright on some NBA and NBL bets).
. Even though I liked Purdue +14.5, I had some more money on LSU -11 @ $1.89 and -11.5 @ $1.93, as I respected the market more than my own opinion (especially since Pinnacle has LSU -13 @ $1.625 / -160, so these -11 etc are obviously "great on paper").
Update (~1215, Pac Time): They will still probably win, but glad I couldn't find any $1.15+ @ the ML for the Chiefs (score is 17-13 to the Broncos').
Note: It was only going to be a "for fun bet".
Last edited by: ksdjdj on Jan 1, 2023
January 1st, 2023 at 2:52:43 PM
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The Michigan play was 100% a TD. His knee was down before the ball was in the end zone. Which was IRRELEVANT, as he did not have possession until he was IN the end zone. Stunningly bad officiating. And both announcers and their ‘rules expert’ pointed it out.
Also, on the previous play the officials spotted the ball on the WRONG side of the 50 yard line, costing Michigan 2-3 yards. Which might have made the other bad call moot!
So many bad coaching decisions by Harbaugh. Don’t know where to start. He was 1-5 in Bowl games before yesterday. He earned his 1-6.
Also, on the previous play the officials spotted the ball on the WRONG side of the 50 yard line, costing Michigan 2-3 yards. Which might have made the other bad call moot!
So many bad coaching decisions by Harbaugh. Don’t know where to start. He was 1-5 in Bowl games before yesterday. He earned his 1-6.
January 1st, 2023 at 3:12:39 PM
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Quote: SOOPOOThe Michigan play was 100% a TD. His knee was down before the ball was in the end zone. Which was IRRELEVANT, as he did not have possession until he was IN the end zone. Stunningly bad officiating. And both announcers and their ‘rules expert’ pointed it out.
Also, on the previous play the officials spotted the ball on the WRONG side of the 50 yard line, costing Michigan 2-3 yards. Which might have made the other bad call moot!
So many bad coaching decisions by Harbaugh. Don’t know where to start. He was 1-5 in Bowl games before yesterday. He earned his 1-6.
link to original post
. Even his father wanted to take a time-out (at one stage) if I am remembering correctly?
Note: This likely wouldn't have changed the result, but you never know(?)
. Even though I didn't count it in this thread, I was "lucky I had and extra $2500 in total" on Ohio State (had about half on the +2.5 @ $2.50, and the other half +5.0 @ $1.90).
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Live Betting (potential):
Won't count this "hypothetical" live bet either, but I like (xxx) the Vikings +22.5 @ $1.90, available at half time.
Main reason I won't count it in the "official results": can't bet live (easily) until 10 am "East Australia Time" (currently about ~9:10 am , ATM).
January 2nd, 2023 at 3:11:50 PM
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x: 2 units on the Bengals' +2.5 @ +105***
***: I probably wouldn't have the bet, if I couldn't get the "Special Prime Time" odds.
Note: I have the "fair line" about +1 to the Bengals
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Other:
. Wanted to back the over, as I think there could be a lot of TDs, Turnovers, etc, but "on paper, there is not enough value ", IMO (so just had a "for fun bet", over 50.5).
. Even with "one very bad call in my favor", my Ravens' bet still lost.
***: I probably wouldn't have the bet, if I couldn't get the "Special Prime Time" odds.
Note: I have the "fair line" about +1 to the Bengals
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Other:
. Wanted to back the over, as I think there could be a lot of TDs, Turnovers, etc, but "on paper, there is not enough value ", IMO (so just had a "for fun bet", over 50.5).
. Even with "one very bad call in my favor", my Ravens' bet still lost.
January 2nd, 2023 at 4:20:13 PM
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Quote: SOOPOO
So many bad coaching decisions by Harbaugh. Don’t know where to start. He was 1-5 in Bowl games before yesterday. He earned his 1-6.
link to original post
And now the Broncos are trying to hire him.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
January 2nd, 2023 at 6:12:16 PM
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Sadly, that Bills player may have just died on the field. That was the first time I have seen CPR on the field.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
January 2nd, 2023 at 6:32:00 PM
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Quote: DRichSadly, that Bills player may have just died on the field. That was the first time I have seen CPR on the field.
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I was watching. I did not actually see ‘CPR’ being administered. Did you? I heard Joe Buck mention it. My wife was a CPR instructor. Her hypothesis is that he was hit in the sternum which could temporarily stop your heart. Sometimes a single thump will restart it. They have a defibrillator which can shock a fibrillating heart back into a normal rhythm. If by the time he was put in the ambulance he was breathing on his own and his heart was beating on its own he may make a full recovery.
Not impossible, but likely his neck isn’t broken, as he did stand up after the hit.
I don’t know how these guys can keep playing.
January 2nd, 2023 at 6:43:37 PM
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I'm watching the game on a few-minute delay, so I hope my prayers aren't in vain.
Last edited by: billryan on Jan 2, 2023
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
January 2nd, 2023 at 9:45:18 PM
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Man how awful. Thoughts and prayers with him and his family. I saw that his vitals had returned to normal and they knocked him out to they could put in a breathing tube.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
January 3rd, 2023 at 5:17:36 AM
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I haven't heard if they have taken the intubation tube out yet. Hopefully he is breathing on his own.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
January 3rd, 2023 at 8:35:40 AM
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Did either of you have Illinois in their bowl game? One of those horrible bad beats with no time on the clock.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
January 3rd, 2023 at 8:37:52 AM
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Quote: DRichDid either of you have Illinois in their bowl game? One of those horrible bad beats with no time on the clock.
link to original post
I know a guy that had a large bet on USC -2. That was a brutal beat as well.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
January 3rd, 2023 at 8:43:29 AM
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Quote: unJonQuote: DRichDid either of you have Illinois in their bowl game? One of those horrible bad beats with no time on the clock.
link to original post
I know a guy that had a large bet on USC -2. That was a brutal beat as well.
link to original post
It's almost as if the people who set the lines know more than the rest of us.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
January 3rd, 2023 at 8:58:51 AM
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Quote: billryanQuote: unJonQuote: DRichDid either of you have Illinois in their bowl game? One of those horrible bad beats with no time on the clock.
link to original post
I know a guy that had a large bet on USC -2. That was a brutal beat as well.
link to original post
It's almost as if the people who set the lines know more than the rest of us.
link to original post
Indeed. Though if they really knew how the last two minutes of the USC game would go, they would make more money in a different line of work.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
January 3rd, 2023 at 9:09:58 AM
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Quote: unJonQuote: DRichDid either of you have Illinois in their bowl game? One of those horrible bad beats with no time on the clock.
link to original post
I know a guy that had a large bet on USC -2. That was a brutal beat as well.
link to original post
My best friend also had a large bet on USC, he might have to stiff his bookie on this one.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
January 3rd, 2023 at 12:43:30 PM
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Quote: DRichI haven't heard if they have taken the intubation tube out yet. Hopefully he is breathing on his own.
link to original post
Me neither. The latest I have read was that he is still in a critical condition?
https://www.bbc.com/news/health-64154445
January 4th, 2023 at 7:33:19 PM
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Draft Result Summary:
Current Results:
NCAAF:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 270.355
Profit: 5.448
"Profit on Turnover": 2.01...%
NFL:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 148.06
Profit: 25.809
"Profit on Turnover": 17.43...%
"Live NFL...":
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 8
Profit: -3.5
"Profit on Turnover": -43.75%
Combined:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 426.415
Profit: 27.757
"Profit on Turnover": 6.50...%
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Comment(s):
. Mainly based the results on the bets that I wanted, rather than what I actually had.
. Didn't include some NFL bets, because the games' had already been going for about an hour, when I first posted them.
| College Football | Bet / Option | Unit Won / Lost |
|---|---|---|
| --------- | wanted: 3 units on Purdue +14.5 @ $1.90 *** | -3.000 |
| 3 units on Oklahoma +10.5 @ $1.90 | 2.700 | |
| --------- | wanted 3 units on Pittsburgh Panthers +8 @ $1.89 *** | 2.670 |
| --------- | Wanted 2.5 units on Kentucky +3.5 @ $1.70 | -2.500 |
| --------- | Wanted 1.5 units on Ohio State @ $3.00 ML | -1.500 |
| Another bet on Ohio State ..0.6 units @ $2.95 ML. | -0.600 | |
| --------- | 3 units on Michigan @ $1.31 ML | -3.000 |
| --------- | Total For Period | -5.230 |
| NFL | Bet / Option | -- |
|---|---|---|
| -------- | 2.2 units Vikings' +3.5 @ $1.85 | -2.200 |
| -------- | Wanted 3.3 units Ravens' @ $1.83 ML | 2.739 |
| -------- | Total For Period | 0.539 |
Current Results:
NCAAF:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 270.355
Profit: 5.448
"Profit on Turnover": 2.01...%
NFL:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 148.06
Profit: 25.809
"Profit on Turnover": 17.43...%
"Live NFL...":
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 8
Profit: -3.5
"Profit on Turnover": -43.75%
Combined:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 426.415
Profit: 27.757
"Profit on Turnover": 6.50...%
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Comment(s):
. Mainly based the results on the bets that I wanted, rather than what I actually had.
. Didn't include some NFL bets, because the games' had already been going for about an hour, when I first posted them.
Last edited by: ksdjdj on Jan 4, 2023
January 4th, 2023 at 7:52:50 PM
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| Games | Playoff | ---- | Points | Points | Expected | Actual | Predicted No. | Actual No. | ---- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Played | Berth (A/B/F) | Team | For | Against | Win % | Win % | of Wins | of Wins | Team |
| 16 | A | KC | 465 | 356 | 63.05% | 81.25% | 10.09 | 13 | KC |
| 16 | B | PHI | 455 | 328 | 66.44% | 75.00% | 10.63 | 13 | PHI |
| 15 | A | BUF | 420 | 263 | 72.53% | 80.00% | 10.88 | 12 | BUF |
| 16 | A | SF | 412 | 264 | 71.58% | 75.00% | 11.45 | 12 | SF |
| 16 | A | MIN | 395 | 414 | 48.11% | 68.75% | 7.70 | 12 | MIN |
| 16 | B | DAL | 461 | 316 | 68.69% | 68.75% | 10.99 | 12 | DAL |
| 15 | B | CIN | 391 | 306 | 62.62% | 73.33% | 9.39 | 11 | CIN |
| 16 | W | LAC | 363 | 353 | 51.89% | 62.50% | 8.30 | 10 | LAC |
| 16 | B | BAL | 334 | 288 | 57.91% | 56.25% | 9.27 | 10 | BAL |
| 16 | W | NYG | 349 | 349 | 50.48% | 53.13% | 8.08 | 9.5 | NYG |
| 16 | A | TB | 296 | 328 | 45.32% | 50.00% | 7.25 | 8 | TB |
| 16 | JAX | 384 | 334 | 57.48% | 46.88% | 9.20 | 8 | JAX | |
| 16 | NE | 341 | 312 | 54.96% | 43.75% | 8.79 | 8 | NE | |
| 16 | SEA | 388 | 385 | 50.88% | 43.75% | 8.14 | 8 | SEA | |
| 16 | DET | 433 | 411 | 53.11% | 43.75% | 8.50 | 8 | DET | |
| 16 | MIA | 386 | 393 | 49.58% | 43.75% | 7.93 | 8 | MIA | |
| 16 | GB | 354 | 351 | 50.91% | 43.75% | 8.15 | 8 | GB | |
| 16 | PIT | 280 | 332 | 41.97% | 43.75% | 6.71 | 8 | PIT | |
| 16 | F | WSH | 295 | 337 | 43.80% | 43.75% | 7.01 | 7.5 | WSH |
| 16 | F | NYJ | 290 | 305 | 47.94% | 43.75% | 7.67 | 7 | NYJ |
| 16 | F | NO | 323 | 335 | 48.64% | 43.75% | 7.78 | 7 | NO |
| 16 | TEN | 282 | 339 | 41.29% | 37.50% | 6.61 | 7 | TEN | |
| 16 | F | CLE | 347 | 353 | 49.62% | 37.50% | 7.94 | 7 | CLE |
| 16 | F | CAR | 337 | 367 | 46.19% | 37.50% | 7.39 | 6 | CAR |
| 16 | F | ATL | 335 | 369 | 45.62% | 37.50% | 7.30 | 6 | ATL |
| 16 | F | LV | 382 | 387 | 49.83% | 31.25% | 7.97 | 6 | LV |
| 16 | F | LAR | 291 | 365 | 39.24% | 31.25% | 6.28 | 5 | LAR |
| 16 | F | IND | 258 | 395 | 30.19% | 28.13% | 4.83 | 4.5 | IND |
| 16 | F | DEN | 256 | 331 | 37.79% | 25.00% | 6.05 | 4 | DEN |
| 16 | F | ARI | 327 | 411 | 39.14% | 25.00% | 6.26 | 4 | ARI |
| 16 | F | CHI | 313 | 434 | 34.55% | 18.75% | 5.53 | 3 | CHI |
| 16 | F | HOU | 257 | 389 | 30.68% | 15.63% | 4.91 | 2.5 | HOU |
Note 1 : A = " Division Winner ", B = "Made it to a Playoff Berth" , W = "Wild Card Spot", and F = "Failed to make the Playoffs"
Note 2(a): The figures in the "Expected Win % column" have been adjusted so that the sum of the whole column is 1600%.
Note 2(b): Because of this, the "Predicted No. of Wins" will be slightly higher than it should be ( at least for this week).
Strike-through (see above): Mainly didn't bother doing this adjustment, as the figures add up close to 1600% (~1602%).
| Games | ---- | Points | Points | Expected | Actual | Predicted No. | Actual No. | ---- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Played | Team | For | Against | Win % | Win % | of Wins | of Wins | Team |
| 13 | PHI | 386 | 248 | 71.38% | 92.31% | 9.28 | 12 | PHI |
| 13 | BUF | 353 | 221 | 72.45% | 76.92% | 9.42 | 10 | BUF |
| 13 | KC | 384 | 298 | 62.94% | 76.92% | 8.18 | 10 | KC |
| 13 | MIN | 312 | 313 | 50.26% | 76.92% | 6.53 | 10 | MIN |
| 13 | DAL | 360 | 229 | 71.79% | 76.92% | 9.33 | 10 | DAL |
| 13 | SF | 317 | 197 | 72.75% | 69.23% | 9.46 | 9 | SF |
| 13 | BAL | 301 | 250 | 59.68% | 69.23% | 7.76 | 9 | BAL |
| 13 | CIN | 335 | 265 | 62.03% | 69.23% | 8.06 | 9 | CIN |
| 13 | MIA | 316 | 312 | 51.07% | 61.54% | 6.64 | 8 | MIA |
| 13 | WSH | 253 | 256 | 49.83% | 57.69% | 6.48 | 7.5 | WSH |
| 13 | NYG | 267 | 300 | 44.57% | 57.69% | 5.79 | 7.5 | NYG |
| 13 | TEN | 241 | 276 | 43.63% | 53.85% | 5.67 | 7 | TEN |
| 13 | LAC | 295 | 326 | 45.40% | 53.85% | 5.90 | 7 | LAC |
| 13 | NYJ | 264 | 243 | 54.59% | 53.85% | 7.10 | 7 | NYJ |
| 13 | SEA | 342 | 334 | 51.62% | 53.85% | 6.71 | 7 | SEA |
| 13 | NE | 276 | 239 | 57.63% | 53.85% | 7.49 | 7 | NE |
| 13 | TB | 224 | 254 | 44.12% | 46.15% | 5.74 | 6 | TB |
| 13 | DET | 349 | 347 | 50.71% | 46.15% | 6.59 | 6 | DET |
| 13 | GB | 263 | 302 | 43.49% | 38.46% | 5.65 | 5 | GB |
| 13 | JAX | 294 | 294 | 50.42% | 38.46% | 6.55 | 5 | JAX |
| 13 | LV | 308 | 313 | 49.61% | 38.46% | 6.45 | 5 | LV |
| 13 | CAR | 260 | 290 | 44.94% | 38.46% | 5.84 | 5 | CAR |
| 13 | ATL | 288 | 312 | 46.40% | 38.46% | 6.03 | 5 | ATL |
| 13 | CLE | 300 | 323 | 46.70% | 38.46% | 6.07 | 5 | CLE |
| 13 | PIT | 227 | 293 | 37.83% | 38.46% | 4.92 | 5 | PIT |
| 13 | IND | 209 | 298 | 33.25% | 34.62% | 4.32 | 4.5 | IND |
| 13 | ARI | 277 | 348 | 39.11% | 30.77% | 5.08 | 4 | ARI |
| 13 | NO | 265 | 297 | 44.70% | 30.77% | 5.81 | 4 | NO |
| 13 | LAR | 218 | 296 | 35.46% | 30.77% | 4.61 | 4 | LAR |
| 13 | DEN | 194 | 238 | 40.26% | 23.08% | 5.23 | 3 | DEN |
| 13 | CHI | 270 | 333 | 40.00% | 23.08% | 5.20 | 3 | CHI |
| 13 | HOU | 211 | 314 | 31.37% | 11.54% | 4.08 | 1.5 | HOU |
Important: I haven't adjusted these results to any "strength of schedule" yet, so it is just the "raw data".
Note 1: If any figure in the "Actual No. of Wins" ends in 0.5, then that just means that they had an "odd number of tied games" (all of those have teams have only tied once, so far this season).
Note 2: I am just using the info on the standings page on ESPN (feel free to check for errors, if you like).
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How to use the above table to work out how to get a "ball-park estimated spread" for a game,
1) Find two teams that are playing each other this week
2) Go to the column "Expected win %" and find the figure for each team.
3) Multiply the above figures by 16.
4) Subtract the bigger figure from the smaller figure.
5a) Multiply that figure by 2 (that will be the 'dogs' "estimated spread")
5b) To work out the "estimated spread" for the favorite, just put a "- " in front of the figure.
6) Optional: Adjust for any home field advantage (I usually set this between 0 and 1 , but you can use any figure you think is a good estimate).
Important 1: This method is based on the "old" 16 game regular season, so that is why step 3 is to "Multiply ... by 16".
Important 2 (but obvious): The team with the bigger "Expected win %" will always be the favorite (before making any adjustments, at least).
Important 3: This will just get you a "ball park" estimate, as it doesn't take into account things like "strength of schedule", "key injuries", "eliminated teams, tanking for draft picks^^^ ",and any other factors you think will need to make an adjustment for.
^^^: Any teams that have been eliminated from the playoffs may be subject to this. Though I personally don't believe in it strongly enough to account for it in my own estimates (I find this a very hard area to account for, so if you do use this, then it is just another adjustment you have to make to the "ball-park estimate").
Hypothetical Example using the above method ("Strongest Team" vs "Weakest Team"):
1) Pretend SF is playing HOU this week, whether they are or aren't (I haven't checked)
2) SF = 72.75%, and HOU = 31.37%, "Expected win %"
3) SF = 11.64, and HOU = 5.02
4) 11.64 - 5.02 = 6.62.
5a) 6.62 x 2 = 13.24 = +13.24
5b) -13.24
6) I will use 0 for this game, since it is just a "hypothetical game".
Therefore, the "ball-park estimate" for SF should have them as a 13 to 13.5 point favorite when playing against HOU, (using the above figures).
January 5th, 2023 at 2:51:53 PM
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Already had the bet:
xxx: 3.2 units Jaguars -5.5 @ $1.84
Want / Wanted:
x: 2 units on Chiefs Under 52.5 @ $1.9, but got limited to win about $250*** .
xxx: 3 units on the Raiders +9.5 @ $1.9, not on yet, as it is only available at the "betting shop" (so I can go in about an hour from now, and hope it is still available).
***: That 'book has effectively "barred my business", so I won't bet there from now on.
Note 1a): Before I did any of my "own work", I had ~$5k on the Chiefs' @ $1.28 / ~ -357, because the "market average" was about $1.22 / ~ -455 for them at the ML.
Note 1b): This bet won't count towards the "official results", but in "real money terms" the best result will be if Chiefs' win and the Raiders' Cover (if I manage to get on @ +7.5, or better).
xxx: 3.2 units Jaguars -5.5 @ $1.84
Want / Wanted:
x: 2 units on Chiefs Under 52.5 @ $1.9, but got limited to win about $250*** .
xxx: 3 units on the Raiders +9.5 @ $1.9, not on yet, as it is only available at the "betting shop" (so I can go in about an hour from now, and hope it is still available).
***: That 'book has effectively "barred my business", so I won't bet there from now on.
Note 1a): Before I did any of my "own work", I had ~$5k on the Chiefs' @ $1.28 / ~ -357, because the "market average" was about $1.22 / ~ -455 for them at the ML.
Note 1b): This bet won't count towards the "official results", but in "real money terms" the best result will be if Chiefs' win and the Raiders' Cover (if I manage to get on @ +7.5, or better).
January 5th, 2023 at 3:21:16 PM
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I try to follow your bets…. But when you add a ‘wanted to’ …. I kinda stop paying attention.
I think if you just put the bets you actually make, and count them all, that will make your results clear.
I don’t care if you post some of the bets after the game. If someone wants to think you are making shit up, who cares?
I think I post most of my bets after the games. If someone thinks I’m making stuff up, that’s fine by me.
I think if you just put the bets you actually make, and count them all, that will make your results clear.
I don’t care if you post some of the bets after the game. If someone wants to think you are making shit up, who cares?
I think I post most of my bets after the games. If someone thinks I’m making stuff up, that’s fine by me.
January 5th, 2023 at 3:26:13 PM
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Wanted:
xxx: 3.2 units on TCU +13.5 @ $1.85
Got:
1.6 units at the above odds and
to win about $250 on TCU +9.5 @ $1.70, in the first half.
----
Comment(s):
. There are two 'books now that seem to limit my business significantly. : (
xxx: 3.2 units on TCU +13.5 @ $1.85
Got:
1.6 units at the above odds and
to win about $250 on TCU +9.5 @ $1.70, in the first half.
----
Comment(s):
. There are two 'books now that seem to limit my business significantly. : (
January 5th, 2023 at 3:31:08 PM
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Quote: SOOPOOI try to follow your bets…. But when you add a ‘wanted to’ …. I kinda stop paying attention.
I think if you just put the bets you actually make, and count them all, that will make your results clear.
I don’t care if you post some of the bets after the game. If someone wants to think you are making shit up, who cares?
I think I post most of my bets after the games. If someone thinks I’m making stuff up, that’s fine by me.
link to original post
Ok, but it doesn't stop them from being "xxx " or whatever I happen to grade them (even though they are being significantly reduced by the 'book, from what I wanted to bet).
I also try to post them as early as possible (if I remember to, at least) so if other people want to follow and bet, then they have more time to get on.
----
Update (~1800, Pac Time):
Got on LVR for $3k @ $1.90, as it is still an "xxx bet" (IMO, the line should be closer to ~ +6.5).
Below is a link to a screenshot of the bet (I will leave it up for as long as I want, but at least 24 hours)
Raiders + 9.0
Note 1: It is a "cash ticket", so it is " harder for them to limit me ".
Note 2: From now on I can only get on with them for decent amounts (and sometimes Pinnacle, even though doing that is a lot harder for me) so I will probably post my actual bet amounts next season (if I continue doing this, that is).
Note 3: The bet was made in Australia, that is why it says that the game will be played on "Sun 08 / 01 ".
Last edited by: ksdjdj on Jan 5, 2023
January 6th, 2023 at 1:30:14 PM
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xxx: $2k on Tampa Bay @ $2.82 ML and
$200 on them -3.5 @ $4.05
Note 1: Two main indicators I use to adjust my bet-size are against me on this (like "smart money", "big bets / $ ") but this is one of the "rare times" that I haven't adjusted my bet down to a lower rating (when those types of situations' occur).
Note 2a: Since I can pretty much only get on with one 'book (the "betting shop") I have decided to make it easier for myself and post the $ amounts from this week on.
Note 2b: I will convert the results from units to $, in the next result summary.
$200 on them -3.5 @ $4.05
Note 1: Two main indicators I use to adjust my bet-size are against me on this (like "smart money", "big bets / $ ") but this is one of the "rare times" that I haven't adjusted my bet down to a lower rating (when those types of situations' occur).
Note 2a: Since I can pretty much only get on with one 'book (the "betting shop") I have decided to make it easier for myself and post the $ amounts from this week on.
Note 2b: I will convert the results from units to $, in the next result summary.
January 6th, 2023 at 2:02:00 PM
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Quote: ksdjdjxxx: $2k on Tampa Bay @ $2.82 ML and
$200 on them -3.5 @ $4.05
Note 1: Two main indicators I use to adjust my bet-size are against me on this (like "smart money", "big bets / $ ") but this is one of the "rare times" that I haven't adjusted my bet down to a lower rating (when those types of situations' occur).
Note 2a: Since I can pretty much only get on with one 'book (the "betting shop") I have decided to make it easier for myself and post the $ amounts from this week on.
Note 2b: I will convert the results from units to $, in the next result summary.
link to original post
I frankly have no idea how to even guess on a game involving two teams playing for absolutely nothing. I think TB will essentially forfeit the game. If they lose 100-0 it means nothing. If they lose a meaningful player Todd Bowles may get fired.
January 6th, 2023 at 2:46:59 PM
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Quote: SOOPOOQuote: ksdjdjxxx: $2k on Tampa Bay @ $2.82 ML and
$200 on them -3.5 @ $4.05
Note 1: Two main indicators I use to adjust my bet-size are against me on this (like "smart money", "big bets / $ ") but this is one of the "rare times" that I haven't adjusted my bet down to a lower rating (when those types of situations' occur).
Note 2a: Since I can pretty much only get on with one 'book (the "betting shop") I have decided to make it easier for myself and post the $ amounts from this week on.
Note 2b: I will convert the results from units to $, in the next result summary.
link to original post
I frankly have no idea how to even guess on a game involving two teams playing for absolutely nothing. I think TB will essentially forfeit the game. If they lose 100-0 it means nothing. If they lose a meaningful player Todd Bowles may get fired.
link to original post
I suspect that is why the "smart money" etc is on the Falcons.
-----
Extra:
Positive(s) (IMO):
. On paper I have the match-up close to a "pick 'em".
. This can potentially be Toms' first losing regular season as a starter (if I am reading the records correctly?).
. Todd Bowles is planning to " play all of his (healthy) starters' " (but I will look like an idiot if he pulls the "old switcheroo", and decides to sit at least some of them out).
Negative(s):
. Bucs' defenders' have generally faded in the 2nd half (maybe the first half odds of ~$2.25 on TB were a better bet?).
. Because of this they haven't closed out a lot of games "very well" (eg blown "a few leads", and things of that nature).
----
Update (made a few edits, a bit before 1500, Pac Time)
January 6th, 2023 at 5:12:09 PM
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I am going to lay the 12.5 with Georgia in the championship.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
January 6th, 2023 at 5:23:15 PM
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Quote: ksdjdjQuote: SOOPOOQuote: ksdjdjxxx: $2k on Tampa Bay @ $2.82 ML and
$200 on them -3.5 @ $4.05
Note 1: Two main indicators I use to adjust my bet-size are against me on this (like "smart money", "big bets / $ ") but this is one of the "rare times" that I haven't adjusted my bet down to a lower rating (when those types of situations' occur).
Note 2a: Since I can pretty much only get on with one 'book (the "betting shop") I have decided to make it easier for myself and post the $ amounts from this week on.
Note 2b: I will convert the results from units to $, in the next result summary.
link to original post
I frankly have no idea how to even guess on a game involving two teams playing for absolutely nothing. I think TB will essentially forfeit the game. If they lose 100-0 it means nothing. If they lose a meaningful player Todd Bowles may get fired.
link to original post
I suspect that is why the "smart money" etc is on the Falcons.
-----
Extra:
Positive(s) (IMO):
. On paper I have the match-up close to a "pick 'em".
. This can potentially be Toms' first losing regular season as a starter (if I am reading the records correctly?).
. Todd Bowles is planning to " play all of his (healthy) starters' " (but I will look like an idiot if he pulls the "old switcheroo", and decides to sit at least some of them out).
Negative(s):
. Bucs' defenders' have generally faded in the 2nd half (maybe the first half odds of ~$2.25 on TB were a better bet?).
. Because of this they haven't closed out a lot of games "very well" (eg blown "a few leads", and things of that nature).
----
Update (made a few edits, a bit before 1500, Pac Time)
link to original post
You never can know for sure, but apparently there are minor injuries to major offensive linemen for the Bucs. And the backups suck. So you aren’t going to want Brady playing with sub par offensive linemen. Maybe he plays one series just handing the ball off.
It’s not like the Falcons are good though….
As far as DRich and the natty, I have TCU +13.5 from when the line came out. Final score….. Georgia 40, TCU 27.
January 6th, 2023 at 7:43:04 PM
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Quote: DRichI am going to lay the 12.5 with Georgia in the championship.
link to original post
I took over 62.5
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
January 7th, 2023 at 12:40:56 PM
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Chiefs' game/1st half :$2k under 24.5 @ $2.08
January 7th, 2023 at 1:05:18 PM
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Quote: ksdjdjChiefs' game/1st half :$2k under 24.5 @ $2.08
link to original post
I like that bet a lot. Therefore it is probably a bad bet.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
January 7th, 2023 at 1:38:46 PM
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Quote: DRichQuote: ksdjdjChiefs' game/1st half :$2k under 24.5 @ $2.08
link to original post
I like that bet a lot. Therefore it is probably a bad bet.
link to original post
Under "looking good".
KC scored a TD in a bit over 2 minutes of play, in the opening drive.
----
Update (after HT):
Sorry, I should have bet "Chiefs' under 24.5 ".
Bet was looking "ok" at one stage late in the 2nd Q, but eventually : (
----
Comment(s):
. Chiefs' probably looked at how bad they have been covering ATS this season, so now they are "making up for it".
Last edited by: ksdjdj on Jan 7, 2023
January 7th, 2023 at 3:13:13 PM
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Quote: ksdjdjAlready had the bet:
xxx: 3.2 units Jaguars -5.5 @ $1.84
(snip)
link to original post
Had another bet of $800 on the Jags' -6.5 @ $1.95.
-----
Comment(s)r:
. Even if all the bets I have made so far this week lose , I am still $75k - $80k up, since the start of this football season.
. Got a total of $7k on the Chiefs' +1.5 @ $1.28 (average odds) so not "too bad" if they win (though it will be a nice result if the Raiders' manage to still lose, but cover ATS).
. "Not afraid" to make these kinds of comments, because I can only get on with the "betting shop" easily, from now on .
. (Didn't watch the game): The Raiders' went well against the 49ers' defense last week, but the Chiefs' D are "giving them a hard time" in the 1st half (WTH?) lol.
-----
Update (1630, Pac Time):
Jags' game: Had $480 on the over 51.5 @ $5.25.
----
Update 2 (after game):
Lost about $2800### today in "real money" terms.
###: I took $3k on the Jag's @ HT +2.5, to win $3k.
Last edited by: ksdjdj on Jan 7, 2023
January 7th, 2023 at 11:06:31 PM
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"TL;DR" version / "what I actually had":
$4k on the Jets +3.5 @ $1.76, in the 1st Half.
$400 on the Jets -5.5 @ $5.1
$4k on the Rams +6.5 @ $1.85
$2k on the Browns +2.5 @ $2
$600 on the Browns -5.5 @ $3.95
$400 Giants +1.5 @ $10
------
Extra:
" Grade" (where applicable):
xxx: Jets +3.5 @ $1.90
xx: Rams +6.5 @ $1.85
x: Browns +2.5 @ $2.00
Special / "no grade": Giants "looked good" +1.5 @ $10, when compared to the best ML with various 'books, at the time of my bet (~2 hours ago).
------
Bucs' Game Update:
I am getting conflicting reports about the Bucs' (in terms of certain starters' being played or not***) so if I were to have the bet now, it would be x grade (was xxx).
***: At the time of this post, the Coach is still saying something like "yes, I plan to start them", and other people I trust are saying "they probably won't send them out".
$4k on the Jets +3.5 @ $1.76, in the 1st Half.
$400 on the Jets -5.5 @ $5.1
$4k on the Rams +6.5 @ $1.85
$2k on the Browns +2.5 @ $2
$600 on the Browns -5.5 @ $3.95
$400 Giants +1.5 @ $10
------
Extra:
" Grade" (where applicable):
xxx: Jets +3.5 @ $1.90
xx: Rams +6.5 @ $1.85
x: Browns +2.5 @ $2.00
Special / "no grade": Giants "looked good" +1.5 @ $10, when compared to the best ML with various 'books, at the time of my bet (~2 hours ago).
------
Bucs' Game Update:
I am getting conflicting reports about the Bucs' (in terms of certain starters' being played or not***) so if I were to have the bet now, it would be x grade (was xxx).
***: At the time of this post, the Coach is still saying something like "yes, I plan to start them", and other people I trust are saying "they probably won't send them out".
January 8th, 2023 at 4:52:47 AM
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Quote: ksdjdj
***: At the time of this post, the Coach is still saying something like "yes, I plan to start them", and other people I trust are saying "they probably won't send them out".
I would not be surprised if they played a couple of series to start the game.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
January 8th, 2023 at 12:06:35 PM
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Quote: DRichQuote: ksdjdj
***: At the time of this post, the Coach is still saying something like "yes, I plan to start them", and other people I trust are saying "they probably won't send them out".
I would not be surprised if they played a couple of series to start the game.
link to original post
Just woke up, but it is not "looking good":
. Score was 17-10 to the Bucs' at HT, now it is 17-13 with Falcons' on the TB 6 yard line.
. B Gabbert has been in for Brady for a while, if he was in the whole game, I would make whatever I thought was a "fair line" with Brady @ 38% instead of "50/50" (so in other words, I wouldn't have had the bet)..
. Falcons' just scored a TD, so 17-20 to them.
January 8th, 2023 at 12:56:55 PM
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xx: $6250 on the Cowboys' +1.5 @ $1.32.
-----
Update (~1650, Pac Time):
xxx: $5k on the Packers' -5 @ $1.90
"special": $10k on the Packers' +1.5 @ $1.40, with "the plan being to bet / hedge all the winnings into the Lions, if I get a favorable price, live".
-----
Update (~1650, Pac Time):
xxx: $5k on the Packers' -5 @ $1.90
"special": $10k on the Packers' +1.5 @ $1.40, with "the plan being to bet / hedge all the winnings into the Lions, if I get a favorable price, live".
Last edited by: ksdjdj on Jan 8, 2023
January 13th, 2023 at 10:45:54 PM
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Sorry that I have been away for about a week (been sick).
Anyway below are my raw figures / "estimates" and bet(s) for the 49ers' game:
Estimates, IMO the "50/50" markets should be: -9.0 / 49ers' , and 41/ total.
Bet(s):
x grade: to win $5k on the "49ers -9.5 x Under 44.5" @ +270 (so I had ~ $1,852 on them).
Other:
Like the Seahawks ML of +400, but still feeling too sick to drive and make the bet (would be x grade as well).
------
Extra:
After I started working and doing this post, I got really tired again, so won't be doing the other games until tomorrow (if I do get around to them) sorry.
I will update the results summary etc, when I get a chance (maybe after Wild Card Weekend).
Anyway below are my raw figures / "estimates" and bet(s) for the 49ers' game:
Estimates, IMO the "50/50" markets should be: -9.0 / 49ers' , and 41/ total.
Bet(s):
x grade: to win $5k on the "49ers -9.5 x Under 44.5" @ +270 (so I had ~ $1,852 on them).
Other:
Like the Seahawks ML of +400, but still feeling too sick to drive and make the bet (would be x grade as well).
------
Extra:
After I started working and doing this post, I got really tired again, so won't be doing the other games until tomorrow (if I do get around to them) sorry.
I will update the results summary etc, when I get a chance (maybe after Wild Card Weekend).
January 14th, 2023 at 6:44:08 AM
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Quote: ksdjdjSorry that I have been away for about a week (been sick).
Anyway below are my raw figures / "estimates" and bet(s) for the 49ers' game:
Estimates, IMO the "50/50" markets should be: -9.0 / 49ers' , and 41/ total.
Bet(s):
x grade: to win $5k on the "49ers -9.5 x Under 44.5" @ +270 (so I had ~ $1,852 on them).
Other:
Like the Seahawks ML of +400, but still feeling too sick to drive and make the bet (would be x grade as well).
------
Extra:
After I started working and doing this post, I got really tired again, so won't be doing the other games until tomorrow (if I do get around to them) sorry.
I will update the results summary etc, when I get a chance (maybe after Wild Card Weekend).
link to original post
If I remember correctly, the big favorite (49ers) ‘generally’ should be paired with the over, not under? Ok, I’ll give you 49ers 27, Seahawks 17. (But really feeling 49ers 34, Seahawks 20).
January 14th, 2023 at 8:38:46 AM
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Quote: SOOPOO
If I remember correctly, the big favorite (49ers) ‘generally’ should be paired with the over, not under? Ok, I’ll give you 49ers 27, Seahawks 17. (But really feeling 49ers 34, Seahawks 20).
link to original post
I think you guys are being generous. I don't envision the Seahawks scoring much at all.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
January 14th, 2023 at 9:01:15 AM
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That field was horrible when the Giants played there, and it looks like it will be played in a driving rainstorm. Should be fun
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
January 14th, 2023 at 1:29:38 PM
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Just had $4k on the Jags' +2.5 @ $1.90.
$5.5k on the 49ers -9.5 @ $1.95^^^
^^^: Betfair odds after commission (like the bet below) also I know what I said about the game in my previous post, but a lot can change in the"short-ish" amount of time, between posts.
-----
Super Bowl:
Also backed the "Field" against KC to win the SB @ ~ -358 (lose $11,900 or win $3,325*** )
***: Wager made on Betfair, so this amount is after their 5% commission on potential winnings.
Comment(s):
. Even though they still deserve a short price (in other words should be one of the favorites) I think KC are "over-hyped" , because most of the focus is on a "great offence" (still no 1 overall ?) vs a lot less focus on a "middling defense".
-----
Update (just after the 49ers first TD):
Really like the "live odds" under 46.5 @ $1.90, but can't take it since the "shop" isn't open for me until the next game starts.
$5.5k on the 49ers -9.5 @ $1.95^^^
^^^: Betfair odds after commission (like the bet below) also I know what I said about the game in my previous post, but a lot can change in the"short-ish" amount of time, between posts.
-----
Super Bowl:
Also backed the "Field" against KC to win the SB @ ~ -358 (lose $11,900 or win $3,325*** )
***: Wager made on Betfair, so this amount is after their 5% commission on potential winnings.
Comment(s):
. Even though they still deserve a short price (in other words should be one of the favorites) I think KC are "over-hyped" , because most of the focus is on a "great offence" (still no 1 overall ?) vs a lot less focus on a "middling defense".
-----
Update (just after the 49ers first TD):
Really like the "live odds" under 46.5 @ $1.90, but can't take it since the "shop" isn't open for me until the next game starts.
Last edited by: ksdjdj on Jan 14, 2023
January 14th, 2023 at 3:04:22 PM
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Quote: ksdjdj(snip)
Update (just after the 49ers first TD):
Really like the "live odds" under 46.5 @ $1.90, but can't take it since the "shop" isn't open for me until the next game starts.
link to original post
HT Update:
Glad this game wasn't played in the latter time slot, as the HT score is 33.
Last edited by: ksdjdj on Jan 14, 2023
January 14th, 2023 at 3:54:53 PM
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Quote: DRichQuote: SOOPOO
If I remember correctly, the big favorite (49ers) ‘generally’ should be paired with the over, not under? Ok, I’ll give you 49ers 27, Seahawks 17. (But really feeling 49ers 34, Seahawks 20).
link to original post
I think you guys are being generous. I don't envision the Seahawks scoring much at all.
link to original post
You need to ‘re-invision’. I need a FG from each team to hit my score exactly. But the over is already done. I don’t think Seattle tries for any more FGs down 14.
49ers are for real. Only QB in NFL history to start career 5-0 with two TD tosses in each game. But they certainly don’t look unbeatable. I think they are a point or two underdog in Philly. But f that game comes to pass…..
January 14th, 2023 at 4:53:20 PM
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Summary of bets on the Jags' (some may be repeats from earlier post(s) ):
$4k +2.5 @ $1.90
$800 -5.5 @ $3.50
$7.5k @ $2.2 ML^^^ (the plan is to try and lay all of that back @ ~ $1.30, if they are up by 10 early)
^^^: Even though this bet was on Betfair, I wrote it like this because I plan to chop it out if possible, otherwise the price will be $2.14 after the com (if the bet still wins).
———
Ht update:
Chargers’ should still be up by dbl digits, but there are a few missed calls that are also hurting the Jaguars’ .
Sent from phone
$4k +2.5 @ $1.90
$800 -5.5 @ $3.50
$7.5k @ $2.2 ML^^^ (the plan is to try and lay all of that back @ ~ $1.30, if they are up by 10 early)
^^^: Even though this bet was on Betfair, I wrote it like this because I plan to chop it out if possible, otherwise the price will be $2.14 after the com (if the bet still wins).
———
Ht update:
Chargers’ should still be up by dbl digits, but there are a few missed calls that are also hurting the Jaguars’ .
Sent from phone
Last edited by: ksdjdj on Jan 14, 2023
January 14th, 2023 at 10:37:33 PM
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Draft result for the previous week (mainly from memory, so there could be errors?):
Current Results (in $ now, and the foreseeable future):
NCAAF:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 272,205
Profit: 3,598
"Profit on Turnover": 1.32...%
NFL:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 165,138
Profit: 13,459
"Profit on Turnover": 8.15...%
"Live and Other Bets...":
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 34,980
Profit: 2,020
"Profit on Turnover": 5.77...%
Combined:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 472,323
Profit: 19,077
"Profit on Turnover": 4.03...%
Note / Reminder: I am pretty sure that I said I would convert this to $'s, in a previous post.
| College / NFL / live or non-graded (other) | Bet / Option | $ Won / Lost |
|---|---|---|
| College | xxx = 1.6 units on TCU +13.5 @ $1.85 | -1600 |
| College | $250 on TCU +9.5 @ $1.70, in the first half. | -250 |
| NFL | xxx: 3.2 units Jaguars -5.5 @ $1.84 | -3200.000 |
| -------- | x = Chiefs Under 52.5 @ $1.9, but got limited to win about $250 | 250.000 |
| -------- | LVR for $3k @ $1.90, @ +9.0 | -3000.000 |
| -------- | X: $2.2k on Tampa Bay (various) | -2200.000 |
| -------- | xxx: $5k on the Packers' -5 @ $1.90 | -5000.000 |
| -------- | $2.6k Browns' game +2.5 and -5.5 (various) | -2600.000 |
| NFL | $4k on the Rams +6.5 @ $1.85 | 3400.000 |
| Other | $4k on the Jets +3.5 @ $1.76, in the 1st Half. | 3040.000 |
| -------- | Jags' game: Had $480 on the over 51.5 @ $5.25. | -480.000 |
| -------- | 10k on the Packers' +1.5 @ $1.40 | -10000.000 |
| -------- | $2.5k on the Lions $5.00 ML | 10000.000 |
| -------- | $3k on the Jag's @ HT +2.5, to win $3k | 3000.000 |
| -------- | $7k on the Chiefs' @ $1.28 | 1960.000 |
| Other | Chiefs' game/1st half :$2k under 24.5 @ $2.08 | -2000.000 |
| -------- | Total For Period | -8680.000 |
Current Results (in $ now, and the foreseeable future):
NCAAF:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 272,205
Profit: 3,598
"Profit on Turnover": 1.32...%
NFL:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 165,138
Profit: 13,459
"Profit on Turnover": 8.15...%
"Live and Other Bets...":
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 34,980
Profit: 2,020
"Profit on Turnover": 5.77...%
Combined:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 472,323
Profit: 19,077
"Profit on Turnover": 4.03...%
Note / Reminder: I am pretty sure that I said I would convert this to $'s, in a previous post.
January 14th, 2023 at 10:47:03 PM
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xxx: $5500 on the Giants' +3.5 @ $1.74
other bets:
$900 on the " Bengals -5.5 and Under 44.5 " @ $3.30
~$600 on the " Bills -10.5 and Under 44.5 " @ $4.15
Note: Only had the "other bets" because of the "stale lines", so that is why I couldn't get on for as much as I would have liked.
other bets:
$900 on the " Bengals -5.5 and Under 44.5 " @ $3.30
~$600 on the " Bills -10.5 and Under 44.5 " @ $4.15
Note: Only had the "other bets" because of the "stale lines", so that is why I couldn't get on for as much as I would have liked.
January 15th, 2023 at 7:18:42 AM
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I fell asleep last night when the Chargers were up 27-0. I was a little surprised when I saw the score this morning.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
January 15th, 2023 at 8:54:23 AM
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I sort of watched the first half but really it was just background noise that I'd look up at after each score.I was taping the game and tuned in at 27-7, but the first play I saw live made it 27-14, and I watched the rest live. Friday night, I watched the last five minutes of last years Buffalo- KC game and it still brings a thrill to me.
Right now I'm being battered by heavy rains and the wind is gusting enough to make it uncomfortable. I just hope I don't lose my Dish reception.
Right now I'm being battered by heavy rains and the wind is gusting enough to make it uncomfortable. I just hope I don't lose my Dish reception.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
January 15th, 2023 at 2:14:22 PM
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. Looking good for the “over punters” this weekend.
. 14 pts scored in less than 10 minutes in the Giants game.
. Luckily I didn’t do any work on the totals this week, because more than 1/2 the time I think/ “find value” on the under.
. 14 pts scored in less than 10 minutes in the Giants game.
. Luckily I didn’t do any work on the totals this week, because more than 1/2 the time I think/ “find value” on the under.
