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ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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November 6th, 2022 at 1:21:42 PM permalink
Rams $2.40 ML - 2.5 units
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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November 6th, 2022 at 3:27:29 PM permalink
I had 1.1 units on the Titans ML^^^ @ $6.50 and
0.25 units on "Titans +13.5 x over 44.5 " @ $3.60.

^^^; The better value bet "on paper" was probably the +13.5 @ $1.95, but I seem to get more "bonus bets" when I place ML bets that win (with this particular 'book).

Reminder: trying to bet on only " x x x " ones this week.

----
Update:

Looks like I should have waited, I can get either $6.80 ML, or +14 @ $1.90 now (Tannehill out)
Last edited by: ksdjdj on Nov 6, 2022
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
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November 6th, 2022 at 9:32:04 PM permalink
I took the Saints' ML @ $2.05 - 3 units.

Note: As stated / implied in the above post, I am taking ML a lot more this week because I think that gives me the best chance of getting the most in bonus bet offers.
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
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November 7th, 2022 at 10:15:05 PM permalink
Results Summary:

NCAAF:
GameBet / OptionUnit Won / Lost
Kent State Golden Flashes vs Ball State Cardinals Under 62.5 @ $1.88 2.640
Buffalo Bulls @ Ohio Bobcats Ohio Bobcats @ $1.90 (+2.5) 2.700
Duke Blue Devils @ Boston College EaglesBoston College Eagles @ $3.85 (ML)-1.500
Oregon State Beavers @ Washington HuskiesOver 54.5 @ $1.85-3.100
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Virginia Tech HokiesVirginia Tech Hokies @ $1.89 (-3.0)-3.000
UTSA Roadrunners @ UAB Blazers Over 51.5 @ $1.85 2.635
UTSA Roadrunners @ UAB Blazers UAB Blazers @ $1.88 (+1.0) -3.100
Troy Trojans @ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns @ $2.02 (+4.5)-2.700
Troy Trojans @ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns @ $2.8 (ML)-0.100
Tennessee Volunteers @ Georgia BulldogsOver 65.5 @ $1.90-3.000
Iowa State Cyclones vs West Virginia Mountaineers West Virginia Mountaineers @ $1.76 (+8.5) -3.250
Oregon vs. ColoradoUnder 62.5 @ $1.92 2.760
Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Kansas JayhawksOklahoma State Cowboys @ $2.00 (ML)-3.000
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks - Texas State BobcatsUnder 46.5 @ $2.70-2.200
New Mexico Lobos ("1st half x game" doubles)-0.655
New Mexico Lobos +16.5-0.500
Clemson Notre DameNotre Dame +4.02.670
Michigan RutgersRutgers +26.0-3.000
Hawaii Under 62.5 3.2 units-3.200
Total For Week-18.900

NFL:
Bet / OptionClosing LineUnit Won / Lost
Seahawks 0.8 units @ $1.61 (+3.5) NA (alternative line)0.488
Seahawks 2.4 units @ $1.91 (+1.5).+2.52.184
Panthers (+7.5) @ $1.90 +7-3.000
Commanders (+3.0) @ $1.95 +30.000
Rams $2.40 ML - 2.5 units +3-2.500
1.1 units on the Titans ML @ $6.50 +14-1.100
0.25 units on "Titans +13.5 x over 44.5 " @ $3.60. Total 45.5-0.250
Saints' ML @ $2.05 - 3 units. +1.5-3.000
Total For Week-7.178


Current Results:

NCAAF:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 190.655
Profit: 27.606
"Profit on Turnover": 14.47...%

NFL:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 61.86
Profit: -7.734
"Profit on Turnover": -12.50...%

Combined:
Turnover (Total bet, so far): 252.515
Profit: 19.872
"Profit on Turnover": 7.86...%
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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November 8th, 2022 at 12:46:47 PM permalink
Eastern Michigan Eagles @ Akron Zips (both 2.7 units):

Under 57.0 @ $1.90
Akron Zips +3.5 @ $1.92 (1st half)

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Ohio Bobcats @ Miami RedHawks (2.4 units):

Miami RedHawks ML @ $2.20 ***

***: Had the ML because I am "bonus bet hunting" as well, if I didn't think there was a "good chance" of getting a bonus, I would have preferred the +2.5 @ $1.95 .

-----
Important: Because I had such a big drop in "betting capital" this week, 2.7 units is probably the biggest bet I will have on "50/50" lines, so in other words these are still " x x x grade ", IMO.
DRich
DRich
Joined: Jul 6, 2012
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Thanks for this post from:
ksdjdj
November 8th, 2022 at 1:39:31 PM permalink
Quote: ksdjdj

Eastern Michigan Eagles @ Akron Zips (both 2.7 units):

Under 57.0 @ $1.90
Akron Zips +3.5 @ $1.92 (1st half)

-----
Ohio Bobcats @ Miami RedHawks (2.4 units):

Miami RedHawks ML @ $2.20 ***

***: Had the ML because I am "bonus bet hunting" as well, if I didn't think there was a "good chance" of getting a bonus, I would have preferred the +2.5 @ $1.95 .

-----
Important: Because I had such a big drop in "betting capital" this week, 2.7 units is probably the biggest bet I will have on "50/50" lines, so in other words these are still " x x x grade ", IMO.
link to original post



Wow, I don't know that I have ever had a winning bet on the Zips. Best of luck.
Order from chaos
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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Thanks for this post from:
ksdjdj
November 8th, 2022 at 2:00:54 PM permalink
Quote: ksdjdj

Eastern Michigan Eagles @ Akron Zips (both 2.7 units):

Under 57.0 @ $1.90
Akron Zips +3.5 @ $1.92 (1st half)

-----
Ohio Bobcats @ Miami RedHawks (2.4 units):

Miami RedHawks ML @ $2.20 ***

***: Had the ML because I am "bonus bet hunting" as well, if I didn't think there was a "good chance" of getting a bonus, I would have preferred the +2.5 @ $1.95 .

-----
Important: Because I had such a big drop in "betting capital" this week, 2.7 units is probably the biggest bet I will have on "50/50" lines, so in other words these are still " x x x grade ", IMO.
link to original post



I got under 57.5 at -110
I also got +4 1st half at -110.

Both slightly better than your odds.
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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November 8th, 2022 at 2:02:08 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: ksdjdj

Eastern Michigan Eagles @ Akron Zips (both 2.7 units):

Under 57.0 @ $1.90
Akron Zips +3.5 @ $1.92 (1st half)

-----
Ohio Bobcats @ Miami RedHawks (2.4 units):

Miami RedHawks ML @ $2.20 ***

***: Had the ML because I am "bonus bet hunting" as well, if I didn't think there was a "good chance" of getting a bonus, I would have preferred the +2.5 @ $1.95 .

-----
Important: Because I had such a big drop in "betting capital" this week, 2.7 units is probably the biggest bet I will have on "50/50" lines, so in other words these are still " x x x grade ", IMO.
link to original post



Wow, I don't know that I have ever had a winning bet on the Zips. Best of luck.
link to original post


I think they should be about +2.0 for the 1st half, and +3.0 for the 2nd half.

Note: I normally don't bet on the "halves", but I could only get +6.5 for the "whole game" with the 'books that I bet with (I was looking for +7.5).
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
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November 8th, 2022 at 3:30:32 PM permalink
IMO, these are about 53%-54% chance at their current line, for the following NFL teams, this week:

Packers (+5.5)
Rams (-3)
Texans (+6.5)
Bucs' (-2.5) ***

***: This was the hardest one to pick, because I really liked the Seahawks' (before I did any extra work on this game).

Also, if you can get the following lines (or better) for the above games, then they will almost automatically^^^ become a "x x x grade", IMO.

^^^: Only true if the rosters' (especially key players') haven't changed between now and game time.

Packers (+7.0)
Rams (-2)
Texans (+7.5)
Bucs' (" Pick em ")
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
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November 8th, 2022 at 8:17:24 PM permalink
The only good thing that happened today, was that I got $700 in bonus bets (so roughly the equivalent value to $500 in cash).

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