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DRich
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September 7th, 2024 at 6:00:15 AM permalink
I only have a few college football bets today as not much jumped out to me. All small bets $50 or less.

Boise St. +18.5
Oklahoma -27.5
Tennessee -7.5
Colorado +7.5
UCF -21.5
Syracuse +3.5
Rutgers -23.5
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
billryan
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September 7th, 2024 at 6:07:58 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

I only have a few college football bets today as not much jumped out to me. All small bets $50 or less.

Boise St. +18.5
Oklahoma -27.5
Tennessee -7.5
Colorado +7.5
UCF -21.5
Syracuse +3.5
Rutgers -23.5
link to original post



I had to look at who Rutgers was giving 23 points to. I figured it was an exhibition against some high school, but it's the Akron Zips.
The Zips are ranked 132 out of the 134 D1 football programs.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
DRich
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September 7th, 2024 at 6:14:30 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Quote: DRich

I only have a few college football bets today as not much jumped out to me. All small bets $50 or less.

Boise St. +18.5
Oklahoma -27.5
Tennessee -7.5
Colorado +7.5
UCF -21.5
Syracuse +3.5
Rutgers -23.5
link to original post



I had to look at who Rutgers was giving 23 points to. I figured it was an exhibition against some high school, but it's the Akron Zips.
The Zips are ranked 132 out of the 134 D1 football programs.
link to original post



At 132 the Zips may be overrated.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
DRich
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September 7th, 2024 at 6:40:49 AM permalink
I just made an in game bet that is a total crapshoot but I had a free $10 bet to use.

At the end of the first period the Steelers are up 1-0. The in game line is steelers +1.5 -105.

Before today I had never heard of the Sheffield Steelers but I am a fan today.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
SOOPOO
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September 7th, 2024 at 7:10:55 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Quote: DRich

Quote: SOOPOO


Barkley/Jacob’s bet hit already. Still 13 minutes to go…



Barkley looked very good.
link to original post



I think he might be the first big Free Agent a team I follow has lost in a long time. I was blindsided by his decision to jump ship like that and thrilled that his new career had started with him losing five yards on his first carry. I hope he stays healthy and the team collapses around him, but that's not very likely.
link to original post



Giants management gave the 25th best QB $40 million a year rather than give Barkley $37 million over 3 years. And I’m being generous calling him 25th best….Even in the new NFL with running backs devalued, at $12 million a year Barkley would be worth it. Do you think the Giants will have ANY Rb with 3 TDs by week 5?
DRich
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September 7th, 2024 at 8:24:58 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

I just made an in game bet that is a total crapshoot but I had a free $10 bet to use.

At the end of the first period the Steelers are up 1-0. The in game line is steelers +1.5 -105.

Before today I had never heard of the Sheffield Steelers but I am a fan today.
link to original post



Another brilliant pick and win for DRICH.

Steelers 3 Lakers 2 Final

It just shows how important research and analysis is in betting.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
billryan
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September 7th, 2024 at 8:29:30 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: billryan

Quote: DRich

Quote: SOOPOO


Barkley/Jacob’s bet hit already. Still 13 minutes to go…



Barkley looked very good.
link to original post



I think he might be the first big Free Agent a team I follow has lost in a long time. I was blindsided by his decision to jump ship like that and thrilled that his new career had started with him losing five yards on his first carry. I hope he stays healthy and the team collapses around him, but that's not very likely.
link to original post



Giants management gave the 25th best QB $40 million a year rather than give Barkley $37 million over 3 years. And I’m being generous calling him 25th best….Even in the new NFL with running backs devalued, at $12 million a year Barkley would be worth it. Do you think the Giants will have ANY Rb with 3 TDs by week 5?
link to original post



I expect to contend for the number one draft pick. They'll most likely screw that up with a late-season victory. I think Jones might be a decent QB but he has no weapons.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
AxelWolf
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September 7th, 2024 at 2:29:46 PM permalink
Another -$2,200 for the first 2 week Dogs.
Betting on Greenbay +3

I think there's about 12 more dogs between tomorrow and Monday.
I got down $2,200 so far.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
AxelWolf
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September 7th, 2024 at 4:44:13 PM permalink
I bet all the remaining Dogs just now for $2,200 ea, I'm over 22k bet so far.
Yes, one place (WH) asked for ID at 3k in bets


FYI Circa didn't want ID until over 10k.
Last edited by: AxelWolf on Sep 7, 2024
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
SOOPOO
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September 8th, 2024 at 8:19:06 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

I bet all the remaining Dogs just now for $2,200 ea, I'm over 22k bet so far.
Yes, one place (WH) asked for ID at 3k in bets


FYI Circa didn't want ID until over 10k.
link to original post



Go Dogs! Is this just a pure cash play or are you getting points/boosts/etc.. for your bets as well?

WILDLY different lines on the NASCAR race today. I got Larson at +1600. Was only +750 on first book I checked. Blaney is favorite at +700 on one book, I got him at +1200 elsewhere. I (think?) they are both slightly +EV.

My longshot pick for today (+690) is Dawson Knox TD.
Everyone is yapping about the Bills’ other TE, Kincaid. Knox is a big bodied red zone (potential) target.
GenoDRPh
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September 8th, 2024 at 9:55:31 PM permalink
I congratulate those who bet the Patriots to win, and bet the under!
SOOPOO
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September 9th, 2024 at 4:03:39 AM permalink
Quote: GenoDRPh

I congratulate those who bet the Patriots to win, and bet the under!
link to original post

. That would be me….. But….. it’s only because I have one offer that makes taking the biggest underdog the best bet. Sadly, I hedge these and only made a small win….Maybe lunch at a diner..!

My one pick that I loved that hit was Daniel’s over rushing total. I think he’s a good bet to break 1000 yards rushing.

So many good NFL games. Both for watching and betting…!


I already bet AGAINST the Panthers next week. Only had to give 4.5 points. I predict that line will go up and up!
DRich
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September 9th, 2024 at 4:32:56 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO


So many good NFL games. Both for watching and betting…!



Sadly, i was travelling yesterday and only watched about 20 minutes of NFL. I am not a big NFL fan, but i usually still watch two or three games a week.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
toolyp
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September 9th, 2024 at 5:56:12 AM permalink
I suggest a thread dedicated to the sport and season. Maybe this year should read “American Football Betting 2024”. Cuz there is an even bigger betting phenom “Football Proper (Soccer”).
Steelers -3 Broncos (plus 4 times ½ points).
SOOPOO
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September 9th, 2024 at 10:21:43 AM permalink
I like BetMGM boost today. Hall and McCaffrey each to get 60 yards rushing. +240. I’d say Hall hits 60%, Maccaffrey 70%. So +240 seems good.

BetRivers sent me a 50% boost to use today. Said max bet $25. When I tried to use it I was limited to around $8. Why give it to me at all? Seems like if I’ve been identified as a ‘winner’ why let me win anything? (I won $12 on that bet today!)
AxelWolf
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September 9th, 2024 at 12:58:10 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: AxelWolf

I bet all the remaining Dogs just now for $2,200 ea, I'm over 22k bet so far.
Yes, one place (WH) asked for ID at 3k in bets


FYI Circa didn't want ID until over 10k.
link to original post



Go Dogs! Is this just a pure cash play or are you getting points/boosts/etc.. for your bets as well?

WILDLY different lines on the NASCAR race today. I got Larson at +1600. Was only +750 on first book I checked. Blaney is favorite at +700 on one book, I got him at +1200 elsewhere. I (think?) they are both slightly +EV.

My longshot pick for today (+690) is Dawson Knox TD.
Everyone is yapping about the Bills’ other TE, Kincaid. Knox is a big bodied red zone (potential) target.
link to original post

Purely cash at the books in person, I barely line shopped as I only bet 3 different places.

I only watched 3 games so far so I'm not even sure where I'm at, and I still have a game left.

Here in Vegas I haven't noticed anything from the regulated online apps that gives anything extra. There might be stuff I don't know about, I just haven't investigated.

As far.as betting offshore with bonuses I have something totally different going on and I didn't want to mix this in.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
SOOPOO
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September 9th, 2024 at 1:22:08 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I like BetMGM boost today. Hall and McCaffrey each to get 60 yards rushing. +240. I’d say Hall hits 60%, Maccaffrey 70%. So +240 seems good.



Doesn’t mean I’m gonna win, but BetMGM dropped the offer to +220. And my previous post taking Chargers over Panthers giving 4.5 is looking better too! Line is now 6.5.

As far as Axel betting $25k ish on the NFL, if I trusted that they were actually +EV, I could get a bunch of points (=money), Tier status, by betting that much. The negative is of course it is a permanent record on line, as opposed to cash in Axel’s pocket at the local books.
unJon
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September 9th, 2024 at 4:47:00 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: SOOPOO

I like BetMGM boost today. Hall and McCaffrey each to get 60 yards rushing. +240. I’d say Hall hits 60%, Maccaffrey 70%. So +240 seems good.



Doesn’t mean I’m gonna win, but BetMGM dropped the offer to +220. And my previous post taking Chargers over Panthers giving 4.5 is looking better too! Line is now 6.5.

As far as Axel betting $25k ish on the NFL, if I trusted that they were actually +EV, I could get a bunch of points (=money), Tier status, by betting that much. The negative is of course it is a permanent record on line, as opposed to cash in Axel’s pocket at the local books.
link to original post



CMC out
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
AxelWolf
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September 9th, 2024 at 5:50:49 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: SOOPOO

I like BetMGM boost today. Hall and McCaffrey each to get 60 yards rushing. +240. I’d say Hall hits 60%, Maccaffrey 70%. So +240 seems good.



Doesn’t mean I’m gonna win, but BetMGM dropped the offer to +220. And my previous post taking Chargers over Panthers giving 4.5 is looking better too! Line is now 6.5.

As far as Axel betting $25k ish on the NFL, if I trusted that they were actually +EV, I could get a bunch of points (=money), Tier status, by betting that much. The negative is of course it is a permanent record on line, as opposed to cash in Axel’s pocket at the local books.
link to original post

I’m no sports betting guru.

I believe rooster"s stats and the logic behind thise stats make sense to me. I also talked to a few people regarding this method who I know have been making money sports betting for years they also agree it's +EV. Unfortunately it's not like a Video poker machine where one can provide 100% mathematical proof it's +EV.

FYI My Wife helps put in the bets and gets involved checking score, watching games etc (she watcjed more football than I did this weekend) .

+EV and some entertainment value with my wife is always nice and extra added EV.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
SOOPOO
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September 10th, 2024 at 5:22:15 AM permalink
Quote: unJon

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: SOOPOO

I like BetMGM boost today. Hall and McCaffrey each to get 60 yards rushing. +240. I’d say Hall hits 60%, Maccaffrey 70%. So +240 seems good.



Doesn’t mean I’m gonna win, but BetMGM dropped the offer to +220. And my previous post taking Chargers over Panthers giving 4.5 is looking better too! Line is now 6.5.

As far as Axel betting $25k ish on the NFL, if I trusted that they were actually +EV, I could get a bunch of points (=money), Tier status, by betting that much. The negative is of course it is a permanent record on line, as opposed to cash in Axel’s pocket at the local books.
link to original post



CMC out
link to original post



I can’t explain it well, but the 49ers just look like a well coached team and the Jets do not. I hate Rodgers, but he was not the reason the Jets lost. (Stupid me) made a few hedge bets on the Jets after CMC ruled out.

Whenever I list the top QBs, I always seem to forget Purdy. I shouldn’t. If Prescott got $60 mil a year, does Purdy get $61 mil?

I got Bills over 48.5 on Thursday. How do you stop Hill/Waddle/Achane? How do you stop Josh Allen?
DRich
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September 10th, 2024 at 5:29:56 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO



Whenever I list the top QBs, I always seem to forget Purdy. I shouldn’t. If Prescott got $60 mil a year, does Purdy get $61 mil?



I believe he is making less than $1 million this season.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
Luckyace
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September 10th, 2024 at 6:24:12 AM permalink
That’s an interesting prediction! It’s always tough to gauge how player performance will pan out over a season. If he does end up making less than $1 million, it could be due to various factors like injuries, team dynamics, or just an off year. Either way, it’s always exciting to see how the season unfolds and how players adapt to the challenges. What are your thoughts on his overall performance this season?
DRich
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September 12th, 2024 at 8:56:33 AM permalink
Soopoo, do you have any insight on the University of Buffalo football team? I haven't seen either of their games but they are only laying 3.5 points tomorrow and by the stats it looks like a decent play.
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SOOPOO
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September 13th, 2024 at 2:43:09 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Soopoo, do you have any insight on the University of Buffalo football team? I haven't seen either of their games but they are only laying 3.5 points tomorrow and by the stats it looks like a decent play.
link to original post



Not really. General impression is a down year. Didn’t do much at all against Mizzou. I can’t bet on them here in NY.
DRich
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September 13th, 2024 at 7:32:12 PM permalink
Quote: GenoDRPh

https://www.espn.com/sports-betting/story/_/id/41246553/south-alabama-blowout-leads-voided-bets-unique-settlements
link to original post





"The NCAA's official football rulebook says, "Any time during the game, the playing time of any remaining period or periods may be shortened by mutual agreement of the opposing head coaches and the referee."

Wow, I was not aware of that. I believe most Vegas sportsbook rules will prevent them from paying a winner.
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DRich
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September 13th, 2024 at 7:37:09 PM permalink
A big win for UNLV over Kansas tonight. this is the first time UNLV has been 3-0 since Randall Cunningham was quarterback for them.

After watching that game I believe UNLV is going to be a team I m betting against a lot in the next few weeks.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
GenoDRPh
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September 13th, 2024 at 9:13:19 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: GenoDRPh

https://www.espn.com/sports-betting/story/_/id/41246553/south-alabama-blowout-leads-voided-bets-unique-settlements
link to original post





"The NCAA's official football rulebook says, "Any time during the game, the playing time of any remaining period or periods may be shortened by mutual agreement of the opposing head coaches and the referee."

Wow, I was not aware of that. I believe most Vegas sportsbook rules will prevent them from paying a winner.
link to original post



The article says most sportsbook require a game to go at least 55 minutes for bets to be valid.
DRich
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September 14th, 2024 at 6:27:32 AM permalink
Quote: GenoDRPh

Quote: DRich

Quote: GenoDRPh

https://www.espn.com/sports-betting/story/_/id/41246553/south-alabama-blowout-leads-voided-bets-unique-settlements
link to original post





"The NCAA's official football rulebook says, "Any time during the game, the playing time of any remaining period or periods may be shortened by mutual agreement of the opposing head coaches and the referee."

Wow, I was not aware of that. I believe most Vegas sportsbook rules will prevent them from paying a winner.
link to original post



The article says most sportsbook require a game to go at least 55 minutes for bets to be valid.
link to original post



I was at the Wisconsin vs UNLV game when the power went out and the game was ended with Wisconsin covering. Wisconsin fans were convinced it was intentional so the books didn;t have to pay their Wisconsin bets.
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odiousgambit
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September 14th, 2024 at 7:33:03 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

A big win for UNLV over Kansas tonight. this is the first time UNLV has been 3-0 since Randall Cunningham was quarterback for them.

After watching that game I believe UNLV is going to be a team I m betting against a lot in the next few weeks.
link to original post

oddsmakers have gotten too excited about them?
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
DRich
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September 14th, 2024 at 8:18:01 AM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit

Quote: DRich

A big win for UNLV over Kansas tonight. this is the first time UNLV has been 3-0 since Randall Cunningham was quarterback for them.

After watching that game I believe UNLV is going to be a team I m betting against a lot in the next few weeks.
link to original post

oddsmakers have gotten too excited about them?
link to original post



I think the public will overvalue them.
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DRich
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September 14th, 2024 at 4:15:55 PM permalink
In about 15 minutes something is happening that I don't remember seeing before.

NBC, ABC, CBS, FOX, ESPN, ESPN2, and ESPNU will all have a college football game on at the same time. There are also games on CBSSports and FS1. Sadly, I can only watch and record four at a time.
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SOOPOO
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September 14th, 2024 at 4:55:28 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

In about 15 minutes something is happening that I don't remember seeing before.

NBC, ABC, CBS, FOX, ESPN, ESPN2, and ESPNU will all have a college football game on at the same time. There are also games on CBSSports and FS1. Sadly, I can only watch and record four at a time.
link to original post



I also have WNLO. (Ole Miss-WAKE)
SNY. (Stony Brook -Fordham)
Tru. (Kennesaw -San Jose)
BTN. (Northern Iowa -Nebraska)
SEC. (Kent St-Tenn)
BTENOHD (Eastern I’ll- Northwestern)


Maybe more. What kind of pathetic cable package do you have?
DRich
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September 14th, 2024 at 6:16:15 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: DRich

In about 15 minutes something is happening that I don't remember seeing before.

NBC, ABC, CBS, FOX, ESPN, ESPN2, and ESPNU will all have a college football game on at the same time. There are also games on CBSSports and FS1. Sadly, I can only watch and record four at a time.
link to original post



I also have WNLO. (Ole Miss-WAKE)
SNY. (Stony Brook -Fordham)
Tru. (Kennesaw -San Jose)
BTN. (Northern Iowa -Nebraska)
SEC. (Kent St-Tenn)
BTENOHD (Eastern I’ll- Northwestern)


Maybe more. What kind of pathetic cable package do you have?
link to original post



I did forget BTN and SEC but I was just showing the popular stations that I think the majority of people get.

Thank you for the TRU reminder, I have action on San Jose St.

My Ball State +35.5 pick was not my best work.
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toolyp
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September 16th, 2024 at 1:02:12 AM permalink
Quote: toolyp

I suggest a thread dedicated to the sport and season. Maybe this year should read “American Football Betting 2024”. Cuz there is an even bigger betting phenom “Football Proper (Soccer”).
Steelers -3 Broncos (plus 4 times ½ points).
link to original post


YUP!
DRich
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September 16th, 2024 at 5:19:27 AM permalink
The bumbling NY Giants did a first yesterday. The first team to ever score three or more touchdowns while giving up no touchdowns and still losing the game.
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DRich
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September 16th, 2024 at 7:07:57 AM permalink
What would guess the odds would be for a NFL team to score on 15 consecutive possessions?

I couldn't even speculate what that would be. The New Orleans saints did that to start the year.
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lilredrooster
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September 16th, 2024 at 7:46:46 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

The bumbling NY Giants did a first yesterday. The first team to ever score three or more touchdowns while giving up no touchdowns and still losing the game.
link to original post


it does seem ridiculous________but -
their field goal kicker was injured on the first play of the game and couldn't play the rest of the game
on their first TD they tried a PAT with their punter but it missed
on their next 2 TDs they tried for 2 and failed
it really was just a horrible bad break for them
they most prolly would have won if he was not injured
and the Commander guy kicked 7 field goals - a franchise record
the NFL record is 8

.
the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
SOOPOO
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September 16th, 2024 at 1:00:40 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

What would guess the odds would be for a NFL team to score on 15 consecutive possessions?

I couldn't even speculate what that would be. The New Orleans saints did that to start the year.
link to original post



Not as long as you’d think. A good offensive team playing a bad defensive team is a strong favorite to score on a possession. A bunch of the possessions may have been turnovers resulting in a ‘short field’.
However, making it much more difficult is the fact that a ‘victory formation kneeldowns’ counts as a possession, as does a similar ‘give up’ at the end of the first half.

I’m guessing it is about as likely as rolling three yo’s in a row?
SOOPOO
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September 16th, 2024 at 2:31:56 PM permalink
My ‘anti Panthers get the pick in early’ selection last week was spot on. I laid 4.5 and final line was 6.5. Both covered easily.

Just got Raiders at -5. Panthers ‘might’ do better by their benching of Bryce Young. But I’ll still ride the ‘anti-Panthers’ train.

I think Axel must have won big first two weeks. Feels like dogs covered a lot!
GenoDRPh
GenoDRPh
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September 16th, 2024 at 3:30:35 PM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

Quote: DRich

The bumbling NY Giants did a first yesterday. The first team to ever score three or more touchdowns while giving up no touchdowns and still losing the game.
link to original post


it does seem ridiculous________but -
their field goal kicker was injured on the first play of the game and couldn't play the rest of the game
on their first TD they tried a PAT with their punter but it missed
on their next 2 TDs they tried for 2 and failed
it really was just a horrible bad break for them
they most prolly would have won if he was not injured
and the Commander guy kicked 7 field goals - a franchise record
the NFL record is 8

.
link to original post



I've often wondered why teams don't have the punter practice place kicking and the place kicker practice punting, just in case this exact scenario occurs.
DRich
DRich
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September 16th, 2024 at 6:16:22 PM permalink
Quote: GenoDRPh

Quote: lilredrooster

Quote: DRich

The bumbling NY Giants did a first yesterday. The first team to ever score three or more touchdowns while giving up no touchdowns and still losing the game.
link to original post


it does seem ridiculous________but -
their field goal kicker was injured on the first play of the game and couldn't play the rest of the game
on their first TD they tried a PAT with their punter but it missed
on their next 2 TDs they tried for 2 and failed
it really was just a horrible bad break for them
they most prolly would have won if he was not injured
and the Commander guy kicked 7 field goals - a franchise record
the NFL record is 8

.
link to original post



I've often wondered why teams don't have the punter practice place kicking and the place kicker practice punting, just in case this exact scenario occurs.
link to original post



Many teams do have the punter and kicker back each other up. Punting is much easier because less is usually on the line. A bad 30 yard punt doesn't upset people but if you miss a 30 yard field goal people are upset.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
billryan
billryan
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September 17th, 2024 at 2:25:34 AM permalink
Quote: GenoDRPh

Quote: lilredrooster

Quote: DRich

The bumbling NY Giants did a first yesterday. The first team to ever score three or more touchdowns while giving up no touchdowns and still losing the game.
link to original post


it does seem ridiculous________but -
their field goal kicker was injured on the first play of the game and couldn't play the rest of the game
on their first TD they tried a PAT with their punter but it missed
on their next 2 TDs they tried for 2 and failed
it really was just a horrible bad break for them
they most prolly would have won if he was not injured
and the Commander guy kicked 7 field goals - a franchise record
the NFL record is 8

.
link to original post



I've often wondered why teams don't have the punter practice place kicking and the placekicker practice punting, just in case this exact scenario occurs.
link to original post



Well coached teams have back up plans in case their back up plan screws up. This is the Giants.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
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September 17th, 2024 at 3:52:58 AM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

.
NFL picks - first 2 weeks - all underdogs ats_______it's that time____the season starts tomorrow


Winner, Winner - Chicken Chow Mein Dinner

carryout only - it was only a tiny win - those ever lovin' underdogs went 17-15 per my tracking on covers.com -

in the first 2 weeks I have now tracked the dogs winning 11 of 12 seasons - and the one season they didn't win was a tie

.
Last edited by: lilredrooster on Sep 17, 2024
the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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September 17th, 2024 at 6:28:49 AM permalink
SOOPOO’s been on fire! My 11-1 record in our picks game translates into a BUNCH of parlay wins. I needed Cousins over passing yards to finish one. I was cooked…. until Barkley drops the pass I could easily catch.
FD gave live profit boost letting me get 3-1 on Falcons ML early in the 1st Q. 3-1!
BetMGM Lion Boost was easy money. Barkley and Robinson 50 each. That was never in doubt.
Needed baseball underdog today…. Go Reds!

Maybe a trend? Go OVER on FGs? Teams seem to be routinely trying 52+ yarders. And making them.

I need some random CFB picks. DRich? Gimme some!
DRich
DRich
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September 17th, 2024 at 7:27:42 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

\

Maybe a trend? Go OVER on FGs? Teams seem to be routinely trying 52+ yarders. And making them.



Good call. Field goals of over 50 yards used to be rare but are very common now.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
DRich
DRich
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September 17th, 2024 at 7:41:45 AM permalink
Did anyone else notice that the Jacksonville Jaguars did an onside-punt on Sunday. We don't see that very often in the NFL.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
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September 17th, 2024 at 1:52:31 PM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

Quote: lilredrooster

.
NFL picks - first 2 weeks - all underdogs ats_______it's that time____the season starts tomorrow


Winner, Winner - Chicken Chow Mein Dinner

carryout only - it was only a tiny win - those ever lovin' underdogs went 17-15 per my tracking on covers.com -

in the first 2 weeks I have now tracked the dogs winning 11 of 12 seasons - and the one season they didn't win was a tie

.
link to original post

I bet my games last minute and did not have time to line shop, I have yet to check where I stand, but I have a feeling not being able to line shop cost me thousands since there were at least 2 pushes. Had I had time to shop, I could have probably got an extra 1/2 -1 point.

The last quarter of the Monday night game (Falcons vs the Eagles) was super fun to watch.

They should just play hurry-up offense all the time.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
rainman
rainman
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September 17th, 2024 at 3:29:54 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: lilredrooster

Quote: lilredrooster

.
NFL picks - first 2 weeks - all underdogs ats_______it's that time____the season starts tomorrow


Winner, Winner - Chicken Chow Mein Dinner

carryout only - it was only a tiny win - those ever lovin' underdogs went 17-15 per my tracking on covers.com -

in the first 2 weeks I have now tracked the dogs winning 11 of 12 seasons - and the one season they didn't win was a tie

.
link to original post

I bet my games last minute and did not have time to line shop, I have yet to check where I stand, but I have a feeling not being able to line shop cost me thousands since there were at least 2 pushes. Had I had time to shop, I could have probably got an extra 1/2 -1 point.

The last quarter of the Monday night game (Falcons vs the Eagles) was super fun to watch.

They should just play hurry-up offense all the time.
link to original post





Are you taking +3.5 and under or will you take 4
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
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September 18th, 2024 at 3:52:51 AM permalink
.
I didn't shop for the best lines in my first 2 weeks dogs picks
I never do when I do a tracking
I know everybody can't get the best lines
I use the line posted by covers.com after the games are over which is the final and most common line among the various books
but coincidentally, it may often be the best line if someone is betting the dogs - since I have noticed (but not documented) the trend of the faves getting bet down late
I was curious so I googled, and the research done by those at the link confirms the old maxim that it's bet to bet faves early and dogs late
but of course it won't work every time and may sometimes work against you


https://www.sportsinsights.com/blog/should-you-really-bet-nfl-favorites-early-and-underdogs-late/

.
the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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