Sports betting chatter

Where was this broadcast? My computer said it was on CBS but the local channel was showing basketball.

I believe game was on nfl network. Colts gave an early Christmas present with that delay of game penalty making the field goal 40 yard instead of 45. Vikings clinch NFC north with that win

Quote: ksdjdj

Quote: SOOPOO

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Bets:

Before the game, I had $2.5k on the Vikings +1.5 @ $1.52 (part of the reason for the bet, they had the ML @ $1.52 , as well).

A few minutes ago, I also tried to get on for $4k on the Browns' -2.5 @ $1.95*** / ~ -105, but they cut me back to $1.6k.
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Can still lose, but I am also on the Browns' $7.5k @ -150 *** .

***: If this wins, then I am about square for the week, when combined with my "blunder" (cough) I mean "bet to test my current limits" on the recent Thursday night game.

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Extra:

Lucky (for me) the Ravens' Kicker missed a "seemingly easy FG (for him, at least)'" just before Half-Time.

Update (Just after the Ravens' 2nd missed FG): This one was blocked though (so fair enough, with that one being a "miss").

Update 2: Another missed FG, this time by the Browns'

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Update (about 1620, Pac Time):

For the Dolphins' game, I just had $300 in bonus bets on the Under 31.5 @ +450 .

It looks like we will get a repeat of last years championship game. The Bison squeaked one out and the Jackrabbits are crushing.

Even though I think it is great value as well, at up to~26% EV, I had a "for fun" bet of $150 on the Giants -6.5*** @ +500.

*** (Main Reason, for not having more money on it): I already had a lot bigger bet on the Giants +4.5 @ +100, earlier, and don't want to "load up to much on the same side / team".

Quote: ksdjdj

Even though I think it is great value as well, at up to~26% EV, I had a "for fun" bet of $150 on the Giants -6.5*** @ +500.

*** (Main Reason, for not having more money on it): I already had a lot bigger bet on the Giants +4.5 @ +100, earlier, and don't want to "load up to much on the same side / team".
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Are these mid game bets? When could you get +500 on Giants -6.5?

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: ksdjdj

Even though I think it is great value as well, at up to~26% EV, I had a "for fun" bet of $150 on the Giants -6.5*** @ +500.

*** (Main Reason, for not having more money on it): I already had a lot bigger bet on the Giants +4.5 @ +100, earlier, and don't want to "load up to much on the same side / team".
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Are these mid game bets? When could you get +500 on Giants -6.5?
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"TL;DR answer": Like most of my bets, I had this one before kick-off.


"Longer / more detailed answer":
I am about to send you a PM, with a "one-drive screenshot" of my most recent bets (with the one in question included).

Reminder: I am posting "slightly wrong $ amounts" in this thread, on purpose (see note in partial quote of the relevant post below).

Quote: ksdjdj

(big snip, of a lot of what was written, for relevance)

Note:

These bets' that I am posting are "true" (in terms of the odds for the ML and / or spread that I am taking) but I am "tweaking the amounts to make it harder for any 'book to guess who I am" (hopefully)

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Not my opinion, so that is why it is not in the graded bets thread, but I had the following bet in the Rams @ GB game:

$750 @ +220 on "Green Bay Packers -6.5 x Under 41.5 Points " (same game: parlay / double / multi).

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Extra:
If I can remember the figure off the top of my head correctly, I think I actually had the Rams' +2.5*** to +3.0*** for this game.
*** (important): those are the figures I got before replacing Stafford with Mayfield, and Donald also still being ruled out (plus a few more out for the Rams ).

Thought the Packers' odds had a good chance of moving in a favorable direction, so I had:

~12 hours ago: a bet on them at $1.31 ML (which is almost perfectly in the middle, between -320 to -325 American).
~A couple of hours ago: a bet on the Packers' -5.5 @ $1.68 (~ -147).

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Early bets for next week:

Lions' -2.5 @ $1.90 (~ -111)
Lions' ML @ $1.70 (~ -143)
Giants' +3.5 @ $1.85 (~ - 118)

Note 1: I wanted all my bet on the Lions' ATS, but they cut me to win about $1600.

Note 2: I didn't put these in the graded bets thread, as I mainly had these bets because I thought there was a "greater than 50% chance the odds would move in my favor".

might as well play craps - put it on the pass line...