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lilredrooster
lilredrooster
Joined: May 8, 2015
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August 14th, 2018 at 4:08:31 AM permalink
lots of confusion about NFL's new rules re helmet hitting. just about a sure thing to cause games to be won or lost based on a referee's judgement call.


https://www.businessinsider.com/nfl-helmet-rule-confusing-disaster-2018-8
𝘈𝘮𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘤𝘢 𝘪𝘴 𝘢 𝘤𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘵𝘳𝘺 𝘸𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘺𝘰𝘯𝘦 𝘩𝘢𝘴 𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘪𝘦𝘯𝘢𝘣𝘭𝘦 𝘳𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘵𝘰 𝘦𝘹𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘪𝘳 𝘰𝘸𝘯 𝘰𝘱𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘰𝘯 - 𝘯𝘰 𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘵𝘦𝘳 𝘩𝘰𝘸 𝘮𝘶𝘤𝘩 𝘰𝘧 𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘥𝘪𝘰𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘮𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘣𝘦
Gabes22
Gabes22
Joined: Jul 19, 2011
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August 14th, 2018 at 8:17:49 AM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

lots of confusion about NFL's new rules re helmet hitting. just about a sure thing to cause games to be won or lost based on a referee's judgement call.


https://www.businessinsider.com/nfl-helmet-rule-confusing-disaster-2018-8



Yes, this rule makes me hesitate about betting on the NFL, until we can get some data on which crews enforce this rule to which level. It's like how we have data on which ref crews flag PI the most as well
A flute with no holes is not a flute, a donut with no holes is a danish
Rigondeaux
Rigondeaux
Joined: Aug 18, 2014
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August 14th, 2018 at 1:00:52 PM permalink
Sounds to me like the effect on outcomes would be pretty random.
DRich
DRich
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August 14th, 2018 at 1:06:51 PM permalink
Quote: Rigondeaux

Sounds to me like the effect on outcomes would be pretty random.



I would think it might influence the Over. Lots of fifteen yard penalties should lead to more scoring.
Living longer does not always infer +EV
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
Joined: May 8, 2015
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August 14th, 2018 at 1:43:21 PM permalink
Quote: Rigondeaux

Sounds to me like the effect on outcomes would be pretty random.




don't think it's going to be random. I think it's going to adversely affect those teams whose main strength is a strong defense.

one of the reasons their defense is strong is because they are hard hitters. almost always more on defense than offense.

I think the teams with very strong defenses will be penalized more.
𝘈𝘮𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘤𝘢 𝘪𝘴 𝘢 𝘤𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘵𝘳𝘺 𝘸𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘺𝘰𝘯𝘦 𝘩𝘢𝘴 𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘪𝘦𝘯𝘢𝘣𝘭𝘦 𝘳𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘵𝘰 𝘦𝘹𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘪𝘳 𝘰𝘸𝘯 𝘰𝘱𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘰𝘯 - 𝘯𝘰 𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘵𝘦𝘳 𝘩𝘰𝘸 𝘮𝘶𝘤𝘩 𝘰𝘧 𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘥𝘪𝘰𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘮𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘣𝘦
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
Joined: May 8, 2015
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August 17th, 2018 at 1:47:39 AM permalink
I expect the Eagles as last year's SB champs to be overbet early in the season and anybody who wants to bet on them will have to give up a lot of points. betting against them and getting points might be a good deal
𝘈𝘮𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘤𝘢 𝘪𝘴 𝘢 𝘤𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘵𝘳𝘺 𝘸𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘺𝘰𝘯𝘦 𝘩𝘢𝘴 𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘪𝘦𝘯𝘢𝘣𝘭𝘦 𝘳𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘵𝘰 𝘦𝘹𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘪𝘳 𝘰𝘸𝘯 𝘰𝘱𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘰𝘯 - 𝘯𝘰 𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘵𝘦𝘳 𝘩𝘰𝘸 𝘮𝘶𝘤𝘩 𝘰𝘧 𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘥𝘪𝘰𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘮𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘣𝘦
Mission146
Mission146
Joined: May 15, 2012
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August 17th, 2018 at 3:28:28 AM permalink
Manziel will not start for the Alouettes today as he is on concussion protocol following last week’s hit that leveled him causing him to fumble in the end zone. (recovered by the Alouettes for a touchdown)

As of yesterday, he’d not been cleared to play and he is questionable for the Alouettes’ home game against Toronto next week.
Vultures can't be choosers.
NokTang
NokTang
Joined: Aug 15, 2011
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August 17th, 2018 at 3:35:44 AM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

don't think it's going to be random. I think it's going to adversely affect those teams whose main strength is a strong defense.

one of the reasons their defense is strong is because they are hard hitters. almost always more on defense than offense.

I think the teams with very strong defenses will be penalized more.



I think in the NFL they all hit hard, I'd say equally "as hard". It's very violent when you see it up close as I have only twice...
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
Joined: May 8, 2015
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August 18th, 2018 at 2:08:53 AM permalink
pitcher Jose Urena deliberately hit (most think) Braves batter Ronald Acuna, an amazing rookie who was closing in on a home run record for a leadoff batter in consecutive games. bench clearing brawl ensued after this happened.
𝘈𝘮𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘤𝘢 𝘪𝘴 𝘢 𝘤𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘵𝘳𝘺 𝘸𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘺𝘰𝘯𝘦 𝘩𝘢𝘴 𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘪𝘦𝘯𝘢𝘣𝘭𝘦 𝘳𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘵𝘰 𝘦𝘹𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘪𝘳 𝘰𝘸𝘯 𝘰𝘱𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘰𝘯 - 𝘯𝘰 𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘵𝘦𝘳 𝘩𝘰𝘸 𝘮𝘶𝘤𝘩 𝘰𝘧 𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘥𝘪𝘰𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘮𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘣𝘦
RS
RS 
Joined: Feb 11, 2014
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August 18th, 2018 at 2:54:02 AM permalink
Bruh you can at least post a video that doesn't suck....lol.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_MWm-WBSqN8


Interesting, though, of course. That's one thing I'm not super fond of in baseball is you have a guy throwing a baseball towards and sometimes at you....at 95+ MPH. Just odd how it's just seen as part of the game -- you hit my guy, I'll hit yours...and that's just "normal". Not saying that's what happened here. And of course, like in this situation, he's getting intentionally hit because he's good. Not because he's an a***hole player, did something dirty, etc. If anything, just intentionally walk the guy and be done with it, or just pitch inside and deal with it.

It doesn't take much for the ball to slip and instead of it going towards the torso, it goes a little high and hits the guy on the head....now you're going to have some SERIOUS problems.
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