EdCollins
EdCollins
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October 8th, 2017 at 9:42:54 PM permalink
Quote: Johnzimbo

Quote: EdCollins

Is it DJW6486 or is it DLW6486? The first three weeks his (her?) name began with DL, but these last two weeks his (her?) name has begun with DJ.



It should be DLW

Got it. Thanks.
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
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October 8th, 2017 at 10:35:43 PM permalink
Yikes.I'm already 2-1, with 3 pts tomorrow night. Fingers and toes crossed.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
EdCollins
EdCollins
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October 9th, 2017 at 8:41:01 PM permalink
Unofficial Week 5 Results and Current Standings:

Mission146 (3-2)
Buffalo +3 (loss)
Jets PK (win)
Titans +3 (loss)
Chiefs PK (win)
Jaguars +8.5 (win)

Romes (4-2)
Giants -3 (loss)
Bengals -3 (win)
Steelers -8.5 (loss)
Colts -1.5 (win)
Eagles -6.5 Confidence (win)

WizardofNothing (4-2)
Eagles -6.5 Confidence (win)
Eagles OVER 45 (loss)
Cowboys -2.5 (loss)
Cowboys OVER 52.5 (win)
Chiefs PK (win)

DLW6486 (2-3)
Rams -1.5 (loss)
Eagles OVER 45 (loss)
Raiders -3 (loss)
Lions OVER 42.5 (win)
Steelers UNDER 42.5 (win)

MidwestAP (5-1)
Dolphins +3 Confidence (win)
Chiefs Pk (win)
Colts -1.5 (win)
Jaguars +8 (win)
Rams OVER 46.5 (loss)

JohnZimbo (5-0)
Eagles -6.5 (win)
Jets UNDER 40 (win)
Dolphins +3 (win)
Seahawks +1.5 (win)
Packers OVER 52.5 (win)

Gordonm888 (5-1)
Chargers (+3) (win)
Eagles (- 6.5) (win)
Lions (- 2.5) (loss)
Seahawks (+1.5) (win)
Packers (+2.5) Confidence (win)

KMUMF (3-2)
Panthers OVER 42.5 (win)
Ravens OVER 39 (win)
Bills +3 (loss)
Titans -3 (loss)
Vikings -2.5 (win)

RisingDough (4-1)
Bengals -3 (win)
Browns pk (loss)
Jaguars +8.5 (win)
Dolphins +3 (win)
Panthers +2.5 (win)

SOOPOO (2-4)
Lions -2.5 (Confidence) (loss)
Chiefs PK (win)
Seahawks +1.5 (win)
Cardinals +6.5 (loss)
Bills OVER 39.5 (loss)

GenWyzgy (4-1)
Bills +3 (loss)
Jets PK (win)
Jags +8.5 (win)
Packers +2.5 (win)
Seahawks UNDER 46.5 (win)

Jplot (4-2)
Jaguars +8.5 (win)
Chiefs Pk Confidence (win)
Titans UNDER 43 (win)
Raiders -3 (loss)
Vikings OVER 40 (loss)

terapined (3-2)
Ravens +3 (win)
Jaguars +8.5 (win)
Cardinals +6.5 (loss)
Dolphins +3 (win)
Bills +3 (loss)

PlayYourCardsRight (3-3)
Browns Pk (loss)
Colts -1.5 (win)
Seahawks +1.5 (win)
Ravens +3 (win)
Bears +2.5 Confidence (loss)

Face (3-3)
Dolphins +3 (win)
Raiders -3 (loss)
Rams -1.5 Confidence (loss)
Chargers +3 (win)
Packers +2.5 (win)

JW17 (2-4)
Browns (PK) (loss)
Chiefs (PK) (win)
Raiders (-3) Confidence (loss)
Vikings (-2.5) (win)
Bills (+3) (loss)

JohnnyQ (3-2)
Colts (-1.5) (win)
Lions (-2.5) (loss)
Rams (-1.5) (loss)
Ravens (+3) (win)
Packers (+2.5) (win)

DrZin (3-2)
Jets PK (win)
Dolphins (+3) (win)
Packers (+2.5) (win)
Texans (PK) (loss)
Bears (+2.5) (loss)

rainman (2-3)
Bills +3 (loss)
Cardinals +6.5 (loss)
Seahawks +1.5 (win)
Cowboys -2.5 (loss)
Chiefs PK (win)

Wizard (5-1)
Dolphins (+3) Confidence (win)
Cowboys (-2.5) (loss)
Chiefs (PK) (win)
Vikings (-2.5) (win)
Ravens (+3) (win)

Beachbumbabs (3-3)
Vikings -2.5 (win)
Vikings OVER 40 Confidence (loss)
Packers +2.5 (win)
Chiefs PK (win)
Packers UNDER 52.5 (loss)

EdCollins (3-3)
Bills +3 Confidence (loss)
Jets pk (win)
Dolphins +3 (win)
Giants -3 (loss)
Chiefs pk (win)

miplet (5-1)
Jaguars +8.5 (win)
Dolphins +3 Confidence (win)
Cowboys -2.5 (loss)
Chiefs PK (win)
Vikings -2.5 (win)

Sparty10k (4-2)
Bills+3 (loss)
Jets pk Confidence (win)
Colts-1.5 (win)
Eagles-6.5 (win)
Raiders-3 (loss)

JML24*(0-5)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
Name Wins Losses %
MidwestAP 20 7 74.07%
Gordonm888 16 8 66.67%
Mission146 16 8 66.67%
Wizard 19 10 65.52%
RisingDough 16 9 64.00%
JohnnyQ 15 9 62.50%
terapined 15 9 62.50%
KMUMF 11 8 57.89%
rainman 15 11 57.69%
WizardofNothing 17 13 56.67%
DrZin 14 11 56.00%
JohnZimbo 16 13 55.17%
DLW6486 13 11 54.17%
BeachBumBabs 15 13 53.57%
JW17 15 13 53.57%
EdCollins 14 13 51.85%
JPlot 15 14 51.72%
miplet 15 14 51.72%
Sparty10k 15 14 51.72%
odiousgambit 9 9 50.00%
GenWyzgy 13 14 48.15%
SOOPOO 13 15 46.43%
Romes 11 13 45.83%
Face 9 14 39.13%
JML24* 6 13 31.58%
PlayYourCardsRight 8 19 29.63%
Totals 361 305 54.20%


*2 skipped weeks. Eligible for top prize only.

Record of Skip Weeks:
Face: Week 2
Gordonm888: Week 4
JML24: Week 2, Week 5
KMUMF: Week 2
odiousgambit: Week 5
Romes: Week 4
gordonm888
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gordonm888
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October 10th, 2017 at 6:39:26 AM permalink
1. Congrats to MidwestAP on separating himself from the field. Nice start!

2. The contestants have an aggregate win rate of 54.2%, but if you exclude the 5 forfeit losses, our aggregate win rate is 54.6%. That's almost (but not quite) break-even against the vig.

3. Week 6 looks unusual to me. Most of the really bad teams are facing the very good teams. Five games currently have point spreads in the range of 9 to 13 points, and a 6th game has a 7 point spread. There may be some different issues to think about during the picking process.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
Mission146
Mission146
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October 10th, 2017 at 8:07:26 AM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

1. Congrats to MidwestAP on separating himself from the field. Nice start!

2. The contestants have an aggregate win rate of 54.2%, but if you exclude the 5 forfeit losses, our aggregate win rate is 54.6%. That's almost (but not quite) break-even against the vig.

3. Week 6 looks unusual to me. Most of the really bad teams are facing the very good teams. Five games currently have point spreads in the range of 9 to 13 points, and a 6th game has a 7 point spread. There may be some different issues to think about during the picking process.



The first thing that I want to say is that I am completely embarrassed that I had the wrong end of the Titans/Fins pick, but at least it was somewhat close. I kind of caught the line move based on the Mariota scratch, but honestly, I don't really consider Cassel that much of a downgrade such as to make a difference, and I liked TEN +3 before knowing MM was out. In my view, MM didn't change anything, but we see how well that worked for me.

It wouldn't have been so bad if half of the field didn't have MIA!!!

1.) Yes, congratulations, MidwestAP...but I am coming.

Okay, probably not.

2.) (.546 * 100) - (.454 * 110) = 4.66

4.66 per game picked, so at 361-300 betting $100 per game, the group would be at:

(361 * 100) - (300 * 110) = +$3,100 over 661 picks, so:

66100 (wagered) with a 69200 return is 69200/66100 = 1.04689864 or a 104.689864% ROI. We're crushing the vig!

Unless I am mistaken:

(x * 100) - ((1-x)*110) = 0

X = 0.52380952381

With that, you need to be running at approximately 0.524 or 52.4% winners to overcome the juice.

3.) I love weeks like this, but I reserve the right to change my opinion after we see how the Picks go.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
MidwestAP
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Mission146
October 12th, 2017 at 9:23:28 AM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

1. Congrats to MidwestAP on separating himself from the field. Nice start!



Thanks gordonm888 and you too Mission. Off to a good start, but there is a long, long, way to go!!
Mission146
Mission146
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October 13th, 2017 at 2:42:03 AM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 6 Lines will follow, but first a couple of notes:

1.) There is no VI consensus on Chargers/Raiders because most books appear not to have that on the board. CG Technology apparently has it at Raiders (-2), so better that line than no line at all.

2.) Nobody has an O/U on Chargers/Raiders, at least not according to VI.

3.) We still don't know if Mariota will play, so no lines of any kind on Monday yet.

4.) I'll check for lines a few times today and tomorrow, if anything pops up I'll edit it in...so if you really want to wait to pick those games, feel free...but don't miss the deadline!!!! MNF may not even come up by then.

Browns (+9.5) @ Texans (-9.5) O/U 47
Patriots (-9.5) @ Jets (+9.5) O/U 47.5
Dolphins (+12.5) @ Falcons (-12.5) O/U 46
Lions (+4.5) @ Saints (-4.5) O/U 50
Packers (-3) @ Vikings (+3) O/U 46.5
Bears (+6.5) @ Ravens (-6.5) O/U 39.5
49ers (+11) @ Redskins (-11) O/U 46.5
Rams (+2.5) @ Jaguars (-2.5) O/U 42.5
Buccaneers (-1.5) @ Cardinals (+1.5) O/U 45
Steelers (+4.5) @ Chiefs (-4.5) O/U 47
Chargers +2 (-) @ Raiders -2 (+) O/U
Giants (+11.5) @ Broncos (-11.5) O/U 38.5
Colts (-) @ Titans (+) O/U
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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October 13th, 2017 at 2:47:31 AM permalink
Quote: Mission146

I'll check for lines a few times today and tomorrow, if anything pops up I'll edit it in



but what is already posted stands, right?
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
Mission146
Mission146
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October 13th, 2017 at 5:23:32 AM permalink
Absolutely, I’d only add lines, not change existing ones.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
jml24
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October 15th, 2017 at 1:28:17 PM permalink
I missed 2 weeks after last week and was thinking I would still keep playing for a long shot at the win but I spaced again last night so I am not even going to bother sending any more picks. My strategy of waiting until the last minute to see line moves backfired completely because then I just forget to make my picks :-)
EdCollins
EdCollins
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October 15th, 2017 at 1:42:10 PM permalink
Quote: jml24

...My strategy of waiting until the last minute to see line moves backfired completely because then I just forget to make my picks :-)

I had to smile and now my head in silent agreement when I read that sentence... because that almost happened to me, not once but twice.

Acknowledged on not sending any more picks. Rather than continue to give you an 0-5 record each week, which seems silly, when I post the unofficial results, I think I will just remove your name completely from the standings.
SOOPOO
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October 15th, 2017 at 2:34:58 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Absolutely, I’d only add lines, not change existing ones.



It's now halfway through the afternoon games. No picks have been posted. I think if you offer a for money game and collect an entrance fee you owe it to those who entered to post the picks before the games are played, not after. If you can't guarantee that I don't think you should run the game. Just saying.....
I am not worried that you are taking the entrance fees and skipping town to Grand Cayman Island....
terapined
terapined
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October 15th, 2017 at 3:15:47 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

It's now halfway through the afternoon games. No picks have been posted. I think if you offer a for money game and collect an entrance fee you owe it to those who entered to post the picks before the games are played, not after. If you can't guarantee that I don't think you should run the game. Just saying.....
I am not worried that you are taking the entrance fees and skipping town to Grand Cayman Island....



I 2nd that
There is money at stake
besides, I like to see which teams getting the most love.
Maybe Ed Collins or BBB taking over if Mission is getting overwhelmed with other things in life.
On the flip side
I hope everything is ok with Mission and maybe this is a one time thing.
Its just a forum. Nothing here to get obsessed about.
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
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October 15th, 2017 at 3:42:36 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

It's now halfway through the afternoon games. No picks have been posted. I think if you offer a for money game and collect an entrance fee you owe it to those who entered to post the picks before the games are played, not after. If you can't guarantee that I don't think you should run the game. Just saying.....
I am not worried that you are taking the entrance fees and skipping town to Grand Cayman Island....



Quote: terapined

I 2nd that
There is money at stake
besides, I like to see which teams getting the most love.
Maybe Ed Collins or BBB taking over if Mission is getting overwhelmed with other things in life.
On the flip side
I hope everything is ok with Mission and maybe this is a one time thing.



Ok.
1. Mission did not file his picks with me.
2. He is seriously in contention for the win.
3. I've played 4 years. He has never, to my knowledge, missed getting the picks posted.
4. He has not opened our picks, at least not mine.

I'm seriously worried about him. This game means a lot to him, as far as his commissioner job. I think his record of reliability has been such that your default thought is more correctly concern than suggesting he blew it off.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
JohnnyQ
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October 15th, 2017 at 4:02:34 PM permalink
I hope M146 is OK, like previously mentioned. I have 99.9 % confidence in his credibility.
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
PlayYourCardsRight
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October 15th, 2017 at 4:08:35 PM permalink
Increase that to 100 percent from me.
Wizardofnothing
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October 15th, 2017 at 4:20:43 PM permalink
I was in contact with him yesterday, without disclosing too much a member of his family had a medical issue. I'm sure he will get them done as soon as possible
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
SOOPOO
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October 15th, 2017 at 4:40:38 PM permalink
Oh well. I'll be removing my foot from my miuth as soon as I can. Hoping all is well. Apropos I am typing this in an ER with a family member. No biggie here luckily.
beachbumbabs
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October 15th, 2017 at 5:17:31 PM permalink
I'm in touch with Mission. He asked me to say he is ok. He will post the picks tomorrow. He is using his skip week.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
gordonm888
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gordonm888
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October 15th, 2017 at 6:01:08 PM permalink
Am I the only one who got crushed this week? Was this week crazier than usual?

- Atlanta, a 2-TD favorite is ahead 17-0 at home against terrible Miami - and loses 20-17?
- Aaron Rodgers breaks his collarbone and GB loses?
- New Orleans scores 3 defensive TDs, amassing 52 points against Detroit?
- Jameis Winston gets hurt early in the 2nd Q and exits the game and TB loses?
- Undefeated KC, with the #1 offense in the NFL, goes into the 4th quarter with only 3 points?
- Raiders and Jags are upset, 49ers and Jets (massive underdogs) both beat the spread and almost overcome huge odds to win?

Negative variance happens, I guess.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
JohnnyQ
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October 15th, 2017 at 7:13:13 PM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

Am I the only one who got crushed this week? Was this week crazier than usual?

I believe I will go 5-0 IF the Giants don't royally screw the pooch in the 2nd half.

My secret to success ? Just leveraging the power of randomness !
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
beachbumbabs
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October 15th, 2017 at 8:21:37 PM permalink
I'm going 2-4 this week. It was either going to be blowouts or upsets. Seems to be the latter.

My worst decision was 2nd guessing myself. I had Vikes. They announced late Fri StephAn Diggs would not play. So I revised my roster to take Ravens instead. A minus 2 decision when rodgers went out in the 1st q.

Arggggh.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
Mission146
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October 15th, 2017 at 10:27:17 PM permalink
Greetings!

1.) Let me first apologize for missing getting the Picks posted. My son has been vomiting, occasionally violently, for the last few days. The hospital ran a bunch of tests on him on Friday and we are still waiting for those results. They were originally going to admit him, but essentially said he could be released to us (not really anything they could do for him without knowing the specific problem) as long as we understood the need to keep him hydrated at all times. They also stated to come back if the problem became any worse. I don't know why they would say that, still nothing they could do except stand there and look concerned until the tests come back, which should be tomorrow.

2.) I did not want to Skip this week and would have went 4-1, if you guys will believe me, we'll just go ahead and tack that on my record.

Kidding, but I really would have went 4-1, my Picks would have been all dogs, for a change.

3.) I think this is maybe the second time I have failed to get Picks up...I want to say the first was a power outage, so no Internet, but don't really remember.

Either way, if anyone wants to volunteer to be a backup to me, say if I don't have the Picks posted by 1:00p.m, then that person could do them? Everyone would just PM the Picks to both people, but would only technically have to send them to me.

I honestly try to have the Picks up in a timely fashion every time. I did them all from my phone once because my Internet wasn't working, and that may have sucked worse than anything I have ever done in my life.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
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October 15th, 2017 at 10:50:26 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 6 Picks are as follows:

Mission146:
Skips Week 6

BeachBumBabs:
Chiefs - 4.5 - confidence
Broncos -11.5
Texans -9.5
Ravens -6.5
Saints -4.5

johnnyq:
Jets (+9.5)
Dolphins (+12.5)
Vikings (+3) O/U 46.5
49ers (+11)
Giants (+11.5)

DrZin
Browns (+9.5)
Vikings (+3)
Jaguars (-2.5)
Cardinals (+1.5)
Chiefs (-4.5)

PlayYourCardsRight:
Packers -3
Bears +6.5
Jaguars -2.5
Cardinals +1.5
Broncos Over 38.5

JW17:
Browns (+9.5)
Patriots (-9.5)
Dolphins (+12.5)
49ers (+11)
Broncos (-11.5) confidence

RisingDough:
Browns +9.5
Redskins -11
Jaguars UNDER 42.5
Steelers +4.5 confidence
Giants +11.5

Odiousgambit:
Giants OVER 38.5
Lions +4.5
Raiders -2
Broncos -11.5
Falcons -12.5

SOOPOO:
Browns +9.5
Jets + 9.5
Dolphins + 12.5
Packers -3 (confidence)
Giants +11.5

terapined:
Jets +9.5
Dolphins +12.5
Ravens -6.5
49'ers +11
Bucs -1.5

Gordonm888
Falcons (-12.5)
Steelers (+4.5)
Lions (+4.5)
Raiders (-2)
Buccaneers (-1.5) Confidence

JohnZimbo:
Browns +9.5
Saints -4.5
Patriots -9.5
Broncos under 38.5 confidence
Steelers +4.5

Wizard:
Jets (+9.5)
Giants (+11.5)
Steelers (+4.5) -- confidence
49ers (+11)
Bears (+6.5)

JPlot:
Giants +11.5 CONFIDENCE
Raiders -2
Giants OVER 38.5
49ers UNDER 46.25
Bears +6.5

KMUMF:
Lions UNDER 50
Jaguars -2.5
Broncos OVER 38.5
Packers -3
Ravens -6.5

GenWyzgy:
Jets +9.5
Packers -3
Jets OVER 47.5
Packers UNDER 46.5
Chiefs -4.5

rainman:
49er's +11
lions +4.5
cheifs -4.5
Packers -3
Rams + 2.5

EdCollins:
Jets +9.5
Jags -2.5
Steelers +4.5
Cardinals +1.5
Raiders -2

Miplet:
Jets +9.5
Falcons -12.5
Lions +4.5
Steelers +4.5-confidence
Broncos -11.5

MidwestAP:

Browns +9.5
Falcons -12.5
Packers UNDER 46.5
Steelers +4.5
Raiders -2 - Confidence

Sparty10k
Jets +9.5
Lions +4.5-confidence
Bears +6.5
Buccaneers -1.5
Raiders -2

Romes:
Texans -9.5
Falcons -12.5
Saints -4.5
Ravens -6.5
Redskins -11 CONFIDENCE

DLW6486:
Chiefs UNDER 47
Falcons OVER 46
Vikings OVER 46.5
Cardinals +1.5
Ravens -6.5

WizardofNothing:
Chiefs -4.5
Patriots -9.5
Patriots OVER 47.5
Packers -3
Packers OVER 46.5
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
JohnnyQ
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Mission146
October 16th, 2017 at 4:00:30 AM permalink
Quote: Mission146

They also stated to come back if the problem became any worse. I don't know why they would say that, still nothing they could do except stand there and look concerned until the tests come back, which should be tomorrow.



No apology necessary. Life happens

I hope the little guy is feeling better and has this episode behind him.
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
EdCollins
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October 16th, 2017 at 5:31:25 AM permalink
Unofficial Week 6 Results and Current Standings

BeachBumBabs (2-4)
Chiefs - 4.5 Confidence (loss)
Broncos -11.5 (loss)
Texans -9.5 (win)
Ravens -6.5 (loss)
Saints -4.5 (win)

johnnyq (5-0)
Jets (+9.5) (win)
Dolphins (+12.5) (win)
Vikings (+3) O/U 46.5 (win)
49ers (+11) (win)
Giants (+11.5) (win)

DrZin (2-3)
Browns (+9.5) (loss)
Vikings (+3) (win)
Jaguars (-2.5) (loss)
Cardinals (+1.5) (win)
Chiefs (-4.5) (loss)

PlayYourCardsRight (2-3)
Packers -3 (loss)
Bears +6.5 (win)
Jaguars -2.5 (loss)
Cardinals +1.5 (win)
Broncos OVER 38.5 (loss)

JW17 (2-4)
Browns (+9.5) (loss)
Patriots (-9.5) (loss)
Dolphins (+12.5) (win)
49ers (+11) (win)
Broncos (-11.5) Confidence (loss)

RisingDough (3-3)
Browns +9.5 (loss)
Redskins -11 (loss)
Jaguars UNDER 42.5 (loss)
Steelers +4.5 Confidence (win)
Giants +11.5 (win)

Odiousgambit (0-5)
Giants OVER 38.5 (loss)
Lions +4.5 (loss)
Raiders -2 (loss)
Broncos -11.5 (loss)
Falcons -12.5 (loss)

SOOPOO (3-3)
Browns +9.5 (loss)
Jets + 9.5 (win)
Dolphins + 12.5 (win)
Packers -3 Confidence (loss)
Giants +11.5 (win)

terapined (3-2)
Jets +9.5 (win)
Dolphins +12.5 (win)
Ravens -6.5 (loss)
49ers +11 (win)
Bucs -1.5 (loss)

Gordonm888 (1-5)
Falcons (-12.5) (loss)
Steelers (+4.5) (win)
Lions (+4.5) (loss)
Raiders (-2) (loss)
Buccaneers (-1.5) Confidence (loss)

JohnZimbo (4-2)
Browns +9.5 (loss)
Saints -4.5 (win)
Patriots -9.5 (loss)
Broncos UNDER 38.5 Confidence (win)
Steelers +4.5 (win)

Wizard (6-0)
Jets (+9.5) (win)
Giants (+11.5) (win)
Steelers (+4.5) Confidence (win)
49ers (+11) (win)
Bears (+6.5) (win)

JPlot (3-3)
Giants +11.5 Confidence (win)
Raiders -2 (loss)
Giants OVER 38.5 (loss)
49ers UNDER 46.25 (loss)
Bears +6.5 (win)

KMUMF (0-5)
Lions UNDER 50 (loss)
Jaguars -2.5 (loss)
Broncos OVER 38.5 (loss)
Packers -3 (loss)
Ravens -6.5 (loss)

GenWyzgy (2-3)
Jets +9.5 (win)
Packers -3 (loss)
Jets OVER 47.5 (loss)
Packers UNDER 46.5 (win)
Chiefs -4.5 (loss)

rainman (2-3)
49ers +11 (win)
lions +4.5 (loss)
chiefs -4.5 (loss)
Packers -3 (loss)
Rams + 2.5 (win)

EdCollins (3-2)
Jets +9.5 (win)
Jags -2.5 (loss)
Steelers +4.5 (win)
Cardinals +1.5 (win)
Raiders -2 (loss)

Miplet (3-3)
Jets +9.5 (win)
Falcons -12.5 (loss)
Lions +4.5 (loss)
Steelers +4.5 Confidence (win)
Broncos -11.5 (loss)

MidwestAP (2-4)
Browns +9.5 (loss)
Falcons -12.5 (loss)
Packers UNDER 46.5 (win)
Steelers +4.5 (win)
Raiders -2 Confidence (loss)

Sparty10k (2-4)
Jets +9.5 (win)
Lions +4.5 Confidence (loss)
Bears +6.5 (win)
Buccaneers -1.5 (loss)
Raiders -2 (loss)

Romes (2-4)
Texans -9.5 (win)
Falcons -12.5 (loss)
Saints -4.5 (win)
Ravens -6.5 (loss)
Redskins -11 Confidence (loss)

DLW6486 (2-3)
Chiefs UNDER 47 (win)
Falcons OVER 46 (loss)
Vikings OVER 46.5 (loss)
Cardinals +1.5 (win)
Ravens -6.5 (loss)

WizardofNothing (0-5)
Chiefs -4.5 (loss)
Patriots -9.5 (loss)
Patriots OVER 47.5 (loss)
Packers -3 (loss)
Packers OVER 46.5 (loss)

Face (0-5)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)

Name Wins Losses %
Wizard 25 10 71.43%
JohnnyQ 20 9 68.97%
MidwestAP 22 11 66.67%
Mission146 16 8 66.67%
terapined 18 11 62.07%
RisingDough 19 12 61.29%
JohnZimbo 20 15 57.14%
Gordonm888 17 13 56.67%
rainman 17 14 54.84%
DrZin 16 14 53.33%
EdCollins 17 15 53.13%
DLW6486 15 14 51.72%
JPlot 18 17 51.43%
miplet 18 17 51.43%
BeachBumBabs 17 17 50.00%
JW17 17 17 50.00%
Sparty10k 17 18 48.57%
WizardofNothing 17 18 48.57%
SOOPOO 16 18 47.06%
GenWyzgy 15 17 46.88%
KMUMF 11 13 45.83%
Romes 13 17 43.33%
odiousgambit 9 14 39.13%
Face* 9 19 32.14%
PlayYourCardsRight 10 22 31.25%
Totals 409 370 52.50%


*2 skipped weeks. Eligible for top prize only.


Record of Skip Weeks:
Face: Week 2, Week 6
Gordonm888: Week 4
KMUMF: Week 2
Mission146: Week 6
odiousgambit: Week 5
Romes: Week 4

Please note that per JML24's post, he is dropping out, and thus I removed his name from the current standings. (The standings only reflects active players.)
Romes
Romes
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Joined: Jul 22, 2014
October 16th, 2017 at 7:15:35 AM permalink
Was trying a new flailing strategy the last 2 weeks... Funny, through the first half both weeks I was looking strong (like 5/6), and yet both weeks ended in the red. I'm glad I don't do this with real money =(. Congrats to Mike on his very green 6-0 week and claim back on top of the leader board!
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
MidwestAP
MidwestAP
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Joined: Feb 19, 2012
October 16th, 2017 at 7:41:22 AM permalink
Congrats to Mike and all those who had better weeks than me (which would be most of you)!

Mission - No worries about the delayed posting, life happens, and your priorities were in the right place, hope your little guy feels better soon!!

I do have a question about one of the picks

Quote: EdCollins

Unofficial Week 6 Results and Current Standings


johnnyq (5-0)
Jets (+9.5) (win)
Dolphins (+12.5) (win)
Vikings (+3) O/U 46.5 (win)
49ers (+11) (win)
Giants (+11.5) (win)



I see three picks on the highlighted row, Vikings +3, Vikings Over, and Vikings Under?
Mission146
Mission146
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Joined: May 15, 2012
October 16th, 2017 at 8:01:58 AM permalink
That's bizarre, must have just been a mistake and I would assume he meant to delete O/U 46.5 from that.

I checked the PM though, and that's what it says.

I think the intent of Vikings +3 seems pretty clear, but I'm willing to hear other thoughts.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
EdCollins
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Joined: Oct 21, 2011
October 16th, 2017 at 8:11:19 AM permalink
Here are my thoughts.

When I saw that, I read that as just one pick for the pick for the Vikings with the spread.

When Mission posts the lines, recall that he posts them exactly like this:

Packers (-3) @ Vikings (+3) O/U 46.5

I believed johnnyq simply copied and pasted the part of the pick he wanted (Vikings) and accidentally copied over the rest of it too.

Furthermore, johnnyq almost never picks the OVER/UNDER. He did once, in Week 1. When he did, he clearly listed the full word: "UNDER." This further indicated to me he did not intend to bet the Over/Under on this game at all, let alone on the same line, which would of course, give him six picks not five.
gordonm888
Administrator
gordonm888
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October 16th, 2017 at 8:46:03 AM permalink
I agree with Ed Collins on his interpretation of johnnyq's pick. I personally have no problem with giving johnnyq credit for that one.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
Romes
Romes
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Joined: Jul 22, 2014
October 16th, 2017 at 9:26:17 AM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

I agree with Ed Collins on his interpretation of johnnyq's pick. I personally have no problem with giving johnnyq credit for that one.

I'm all for leniency, but then I'd like my 4/6 I went on my "bye" week when I accidentally got my picks to Mission before kickoff of any games but technically after the 10am time frame, which caused me to use my bye week. It's tough, because I really don't care, I just want consistency. If we're gonna be lax, then with good reasons (such that JohnnyQ has) let's be lax. If we're gonna be tough, then we gotta be tough for all.
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
terapined
terapined
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Joined: Dec 1, 2012
October 16th, 2017 at 10:07:59 AM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

I agree with Ed Collins on his interpretation of johnnyq's pick. I personally have no problem with giving johnnyq credit for that one.



Lenient or tough
I think we need to look at these situations on a case by case basis
In this case, I agree with Ed
Its just a forum. Nothing here to get obsessed about.
gordonm888
Administrator
gordonm888
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Joined: Feb 18, 2015
October 16th, 2017 at 11:40:31 AM permalink
I find myself agreeing with Romes post. I should not have offered an opinion in the first place, because I had not adequately thought through the issue. I'll refrain from further comment and wait on Mission (or whomever) to handle this.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
JohnnyQ
JohnnyQ
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Joined: Nov 3, 2009
October 16th, 2017 at 3:22:49 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

That's bizarre, must have just been a mistake and I would assume he meant to delete O/U 46.5 from that.

I checked the PM though, and that's what it says.

I think the intent of Vikings +3 seems pretty clear, but I'm willing to hear other thoughts.

Well I meant to just pick "Vikings +3". I carelessly did not delete the "O/U 46.5".

But far be it for me to sow any discord. So whatever is reasonable and fair and/or the consensus or however these things are sorted out is OK by me.

I was not trying to sneak in a "pick 6" or 7. Romes mentioned "good reasons". I don't have a reason. I have an explanation.

ps:

Personally, I wouldn't mind if ROMES got his picks updated either. I assume somewhere in the official rules, which I probably didn't read thoroughly, it says that if a decision has to be made, it is up to the game administrator to make it, and I think we all trust M146 to apply his judgement. So, again, I say whatever is fair.

Last edited by: JohnnyQ on Oct 16, 2017
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
Face
Administrator
Face
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October 16th, 2017 at 3:23:03 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins


Please note that per JML24's post, he is dropping out, and thus I removed his name from the current standings. (The standings only reflects active players.)



I just joined to assist the drive for 50 players, and with no gambling chops plus not having watched football regularly since Marino helmed the 'Fins, was making a play for an easy $75. Alas, I forgot foosball falls during trout season, and that has a way of pushing all else from one's mind.

I'm out. Feel free to omit my info going forward as well.
The opinions of this moderator are for entertainment purposes only.
EdCollins
EdCollins
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Joined: Oct 21, 2011
October 16th, 2017 at 3:29:24 PM permalink
Quote: Face

I just joined to assist the drive for 50 players, and with no gambling chops plus not having watched football regularly since Marino helmed the 'Fins, was making a play for an easy $75. Alas, I forgot foosball falls during trout season, and that has a way of pushing all else from one's mind.

I'm out. Feel free to omit my info going forward as well.


Acknowledged.

Thanks for entering and for playing as long as you did!!!!
JohnnyQ
JohnnyQ
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Joined: Nov 3, 2009
October 16th, 2017 at 5:03:19 PM permalink
Quote: Face

I'm out. Feel free to omit my info going forward as well.

Well, I don't want to say that's silly, BUT that's silly.

Just tell M146 that you want default picks. Make them easy. IE, first 5 teams listed. Or whatever. Who knows, that should have as good of a shot as getting the "most average" prize as anyone else, right ?

Jump back in, no harm done.
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
EdCollins
EdCollins
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October 18th, 2017 at 4:03:01 PM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

Was this week crazier than usual?

- Atlanta, a 2-TD favorite is ahead 17-0 at home against terrible Miami - and loses 20-17?
- Aaron Rodgers breaks his collarbone and GB loses?
- New Orleans scores 3 defensive TDs, amassing 52 points against Detroit?
- Jameis Winston gets hurt early in the 2nd Q and exits the game and TB loses?
- Undefeated KC, with the #1 offense in the NFL, goes into the 4th quarter with only 3 points?
- Raiders and Jags are upset, 49ers and Jets (massive underdogs) both beat the spread and almost overcome huge odds to win?

By the way, to this list you can also now add the winless Giants defeating the heavily favored Broncos, in Denver.
JohnnyQ
JohnnyQ
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October 18th, 2017 at 5:58:40 PM permalink
Any thoughts on who will win a game first, the Browns or the 49ers ? Maybe it just depends on who plays the worst opponent first ? Also, shouldn't Kaepernick be on one of these teams ?

Questions, questions, questions.....
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
EdCollins
EdCollins
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October 18th, 2017 at 7:56:13 PM permalink
Without looking at their respective schedules, I'd have to venture an educated guess that the 49ers will win before the Browns do. From what I've seen, the 49ers at times have actually been competitive. The Browns simply look horrible.
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
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October 19th, 2017 at 12:20:40 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Without looking at their respective schedules, I'd have to venture an educated guess that the 49ers will win before the Browns do. From what I've seen, the 49ers at times have actually been competitive. The Browns simply look horrible.



I would take a small side wager on the Browns winning first, with " first" defined as their respective games in a week, ignoring the bye. $10 or so? If they do it in the same respective week, it's no decision.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
EdCollins
EdCollins
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October 20th, 2017 at 3:07:54 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

I would take a small side wager on the Browns winning first, with " first" defined as their respective games in a week, ignoring the bye. $10 or so? If they do it in the same respective week, it's no decision.

Agreed.

The Browns have a Bye first, in Week 9.

Just to be clear, if the 49ers win that week, then I don't necessarily yet lose. I would only lose if the Browns lost that next week, in Week 10. If the Browns also win, the bet is then over and cancelled with no decision, no matter what the result is for the 49ers game in Week 10. (Each team won during their 9th week. Both had an identical record of 1-8 after nine games and the bet is over.)
Last edited by: EdCollins on Oct 20, 2017
MidwestAP
MidwestAP
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October 20th, 2017 at 4:36:08 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

I would take a small side wager on the Browns winning first, with " first" defined as their respective games in a week, ignoring the bye. $10 or so? If they do it in the same respective week, it's no decision.


I'll take some of that if still available
Mission146
Mission146
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October 20th, 2017 at 6:59:39 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 7 Lines are as follows:

Titans (-6) @ Browns (+6) O/U 45.5
Jaguars (-3) @ Colts (+3) O/U 43.5
Bengals (+5.5) @ Steelers (-5.5) O/U 40.5
Ravens (+5.5) @ Vikings (-5.5) O/U 38.5
Jets (+3) @ Dolphins (-3) O/U 38.5
Buccaneers (+3) @ Bills (-3) O/U 45
Panthers (-3) @ Bears (+3) O/U 41
Saints (-4) @ Packers (+4) O/U 47.5
Cardinals (+3) @ Rams (-3) O/U 45.5
Cowboys (-6) @ 49ers (+6) O/U 48.5
Seahawks (-4) @ Giants (+4) O/U 40
Broncos (PK) @ Chargers (PK) O/U 40.5
Falcons (+3) @ Patriots (-3) O/U 56.5
Redskins (+4.5) @ Eagles (-4.5) O/U 49
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
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October 21st, 2017 at 12:34:07 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Agreed.

The Browns have a Bye first, in Week 9.

Just to be clear, if the 49ers win that week, then I don't necessarily yet lose. I would only lose if the Browns lost that next week, in Week 10. If the Browns also win, the bet is then over and cancelled with no decision, no matter what the result is for the 49ers game in Week 10. (Each team won during their 9th week. Both had an identical record of 1-8 after nine games and the bet is over.)



I agree exactly with the bye situation as you describe it. You said it better than I did. However, I want to bet that Cleveland will win first ( and I think that's what I said before; perhaps not), and you take the 49ers win first. Do you want that bet?

Midwest AP. I offer you the same bet, I say Cleveland will win first. $10. Do you want that bet?
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
EdCollins
EdCollins
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October 21st, 2017 at 7:43:59 AM permalink
Yes, consider it a bet. I say the 49ers win before the Browns.
JohnnyQ
JohnnyQ
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October 21st, 2017 at 12:50:40 PM permalink
49ers Schedule........... Browns Schedule
22-Oct COWBOYS........... 22-Oct TITANS
29-Oct AT EAGLES........... 29-Oct VIKINGS
05-Nov CARDINALS........... BYE
12-Nov GIANTS.............. 12-Nov AT LIONS
BYE.......................................... 19-Nov JAGUARS
26-Nov SEAHAWKS........... 26-Nov AT BENGALS
03-Dec AT BEARS..................... 03-Dec AT CHARGERS
10-Dec AT TEXANS........... 10-Dec PACKERS
17-Dec TITANS................ 17-Dec RAVENS
24-Dec JAGUARS........... 24-Dec AT BEARS
31-Dec AT RAMS................. 31-Dec AT STEELERS
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
MidwestAP
MidwestAP
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October 22nd, 2017 at 5:54:18 AM permalink
BBB - consider it a bet. I say 49ers win first
Mission146
Mission146
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October 22nd, 2017 at 9:12:00 AM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 7 Picks are as follows:

Mission146:
Bengals +5.5
Panthers -3
Broncos PK
Browns UNDER 45.5
Patriots UNDER 56.5

WizardofNothing:
Eagles -4.5-Confidence
Eagles OVER 49
Cowboys -6
Cowboys OVER 48.5
Patriots -3

DLW6486:
Patriots -3
Steelers -5.5
49ers +6
Browns +6
Dolphins -3

GordonM888:
Ravens (+5.5)
Packers (+4)
Bengals (+5.5)
Broncos (PK) - Confidence
Falcons (+3)

JW17:
Titans (-6)
Jaguars (-3)
Broncos (PK) confidence
Eagles (-4.5)
Bills (-3)

RisingDough:
Browns +6
Panthers -3 Confidence
Packers +4
49ers +6
Giants OVER 40

odiousgambit:
Broncos (PK)
Seahawks -4
Panthers -3
Cowboys -6
Jaguars -3

SOOPOO:
49ers + 6 (confidence)
Seahawks-4
Saints-4
Bucs+3
Bengals+ 5.5

JohnZimbo:
Browns under 45.5
Steelers under 40.5
Bills under 45
Rams under 45.5
Falcons over 56.6

JPlot:
Ravens +5.5
49ers +6
49ers UNDER 48.5
Giants +4
Rams OVER 45.5

terapined:
Browns +6
Ravens +5.5
Bucs +3
49ers +6
Eagles -4.5

johnnyQ:
Browns (+6)
Saints (-4)
Giants (+4)
Chargers (PK)
Redskins (+4.5)

DrZin:
Colts (+3)
Bengals (+5.5)
Dolphins (-3)
Giants (+4)
Chargers (PK)

KMUMF:
Rams -3
Panthers -3
Buccaneers +3
Cowboys -6
Eagles -4.5

EdCollins:
Saints -4
Colts +3
Rams -3
Dolphins -3
Bills -3

miplet:
Browns +6
Browns UNDER 45.5
Bengals +5.5
Ravens +5.5
Broncos PK-confidence

Genwyzgy:
Bengals OVER 40.5
Bills -3
Panthers -3 Confidence
Saints -4
Broncos PK

MidwestAP:
Ravens +5.5
Cowboys -6
Giants +4
Broncos PK
Browns UNDER 45.5

Beachbumbabs:
Ravens +5.5
Bills -3 confidence
Bears +3
Saints -4
Colts +3

Sparty10k:
Titans -6
Vikings -5.5-confidence
Jets +3
49ers +6
Eagles -4.5

Romes:
Steelers -5.5
Vikings -5.5
Dolphins -3
Bills -3
Rams -3 CONFIDENCE

Wizard:
Browns +6
Colts +3
Bengals +5.5 CONFIDENCE
Ravens +5.5
Jets +3
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
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