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SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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April 14th, 2020 at 7:33:34 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

I am still holding out for the slightest glimmer of hope that my May 15th Caribbean beach vacation may still happen. The flights are still scheduled but I expect they will be cancelled this week. If the plane flies and the beach is open I will be going.

I planned this one for ten days and that will be the longest vacation that I have ever taken.



I'd bet you will be allowed to go. Whatever little island you are going to will be desperate for your tourist dollars. The airline will be desperate to fly you there. If you are like me, and won't be unhappy that it will be far less crowded than usual, go and enjoy!
I've taken vacations as long as 16 days. No matter how nice a place I'm at, by the end I want my own bed. 10 days will be a nice sweet spot.
DRich
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April 14th, 2020 at 7:40:11 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I'd bet you will be allowed to go. Whatever little island you are going to will be desperate for your tourist dollars. The airline will be desperate to fly you there. If you are like me, and won't be unhappy that it will be far less crowded than usual, go and enjoy!
I've taken vacations as long as 16 days. No matter how nice a place I'm at, by the end I want my own bed. 10 days will be a nice sweet spot.



I hope your are right. Today the beaches are still closed and the airport is not accepting international flights. We are going to St. Maarten / St Martin. The crazy thing is they just halted the sale of all alcoholic beverages on the island. Hopefully that will change too before we arrive.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
bobbartop
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April 14th, 2020 at 7:48:10 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

I hope your are right. Today the beaches are still closed and the airport is not accepting international flights. We are going to St. Maarten / St Martin. The crazy thing is they just halted the sale of all alcoholic beverages on the island. Hopefully that will change too before we arrive.



DRich, are you crazy? I wouldn't leave this country right now for all the money in the world. Look how many people got stuck and had a heck of a time getting back. This is no time to be leaving the United States.
'Emergencies' have always been the pretext on which the safeguards of individual liberty have been eroded.
AxelWolf
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April 14th, 2020 at 7:48:31 AM permalink
Quote: ChumpChange

"How are you gonna spend your $1,200 check?"
"Oh, my county has a $1,000 fine for not wearing a mask in public, and there's no masks anywhere."

MAKE ONE!!

Get creative: high-grade air filters fashioned into a face mask?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
DRich
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April 14th, 2020 at 8:02:21 AM permalink
Quote: bobbartop

DRich, are you crazy? I wouldn't leave this country right now for all the money in the world. Look how many people got stuck and had a heck of a time getting back. This is no time to be leaving the United States.



I don't think I am crazy, I am just not scared. What is the worst case scenario? I get sick and die? I have accepted that I am going to die at some point so I will gamble and enjoy the time that I do have. There is no point in living if you aren't happy.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
darkoz
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April 14th, 2020 at 8:21:32 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

I don't think I am crazy, I am just not scared. What is the worst case scenario? I get sick and die? I have accepted that I am going to die at some point so I will gamble and enjoy the time that I do have. There is no point in living if you aren't happy.



If I had a choice of ways to die it would not include two weeks of "being drowned" inside my lungs with fluid while a ventilator tube is shoved down my throat.

Are you certain your view on death includes any all painful variants?
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
TigerWu
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April 14th, 2020 at 8:46:24 AM permalink
Quote: ChumpChange

"How are you gonna spend your $1,200 check?"
"Oh, my county has a $1,000 fine for not wearing a mask in public, and there's no masks anywhere."



No county anywhere in the United States has a fine for not wearing a hard-to-find, medical grade face mask in public.
DRich
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April 14th, 2020 at 8:53:25 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz

If I had a choice of ways to die it would not include two weeks of "being drowned" inside my lungs with fluid while a ventilator tube is shoved down my throat.

Are you certain your view on death includes any all painful variants?



Of course I am not sure, but I am a gambler and figure the likelyhood of getting it and dieing are less than 10% so I would find that acceptable.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
billryan
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April 14th, 2020 at 8:59:41 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

I hope your are right. Today the beaches are still closed and the airport is not accepting international flights. We are going to St. Maarten / St Martin. The crazy thing is they just halted the sale of all alcoholic beverages on the island. Hopefully that will change too before we arrive.




If you lived in St Martin, how would you feel about planeloads of people from the most widely hit country coming to visit?
If the beaches are open, but alcoholic drinks are banned, are you still going?
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
Keeneone
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April 14th, 2020 at 9:05:31 AM permalink
I think it is unlikely casinos in Nevada will be allowed to open until the number of new confirmed cases drops significantly in the state. I have been checking this site:
https://nvhealthresponse.nv.gov/
Deaths look to be flattening, but new cases continue to rise (when looking at page 2 on the Microsoft BI thingy). I would guess the almost ~4% death rate (of confirmed tests) may be a sign that more testing is needed.
gordonm888
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April 14th, 2020 at 9:08:37 AM permalink
there is a growing realization that ventilators can be part of the medical burden that leads to deaths in some covid-19 cases. So, they are being used less than they were previously.

Over-pressure when using a ventilator may not be compatible with certain types of damaged lungs (from prior conditions) and is also known to lead to increasing acidification which causes hypoxia and death. I have been told that if a patient dies on a ventilator it is often/usually/always due to hypoxia (caused by being on the ventilator) rather than the underlying virus or respiratory problem.

Of course, the medical profession still lists the cause of death as Covid-19, which is entirely sensible and appropriate.

Except, perhaps, in China, where there is speculation that the government may have changed the categorization of deaths from Covid-19 to something else -maybe hypoxia. We just don't know.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
DRich
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April 14th, 2020 at 9:17:19 AM permalink
Quote: billryan


If the beaches are open, but alcoholic drinks are banned, are you still going?



Yes I would still go, alcohol is not a necessity.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
TDVegas
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April 14th, 2020 at 9:21:24 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Yes I would still go, alcohol is not a necessity.


I've had some very good non alcoholic island type drinks. Almost can't tell other than no buzz after the 3rd.

Would not bother me to be on the beach and not have alcohol.

Maybe it's a message...lay off the vice stuff and keep our bodies healthy. We only get 1 chance at it.
billryan
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April 14th, 2020 at 9:24:04 AM permalink
If the entire North East, and the West Coast are still on lock down, does it make economic sense for Vegas to reopen the casinos? I can't imagine conventions and conferences will be back on the schedule, and how many shows will be able to run if half the seats can't be sold? How many restaurants will be able to survive if social distancing makes them remove half the tables. Will they shut down every other slot machine to give people space?
Speaking of which, is the airport in Vegas open? Is it the only place you can play slots right now?
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
SOOPOO
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April 14th, 2020 at 9:26:24 AM permalink
Quote: Keeneone

I think it is unlikely casinos in Nevada will be allowed to open until the number of new confirmed cases drops significantly in the state. I have been checking this site:
https://nvhealthresponse.nv.gov/
Deaths look to be flattening, but new cases continue to rise (when looking at page 2 on the Microsoft BI thingy). I would guess the almost ~4% death rate (of confirmed tests) may be a sign that more testing is needed.



I have a great analogy. If you are waiting to go back to everything open because deaths are 'going down'....

"There were 5 deaths a day at this intersection. We put up a 4 way stop sign. There was only 1 death in the subsequent month at that intersection..... So now it is time to remove the stop signs?"
Keeneone
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April 14th, 2020 at 9:33:53 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I have a great analogy. If you are waiting to go back to everything open because deaths are 'going down'....

"There were 5 deaths a day at this intersection. We put up a 4 way stop sign. There was only 1 death in the subsequent month at that intersection..... So now it is time to remove the stop signs?"


Without using analogies, what point are you trying to make about my post?
As you are a medical professional, I sincerely value and appreciate your posts on this subject.
SOOPOO
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April 14th, 2020 at 9:54:08 AM permalink
Quote: Keeneone

Without using analogies, what point are you trying to make about my post?
As you are a medical professional, I sincerely value and appreciate your posts on this subject.



Your post was fine. My retort was more about the concept that since we have been successful using a specific strategy (social distancing), that now we no longer need social distancing because it worked.

I think the stop sign analogy sums that up well. The stop signs worked. But they will not work once removed. Same as social distancing works.... until we stop doing it.

As I have said.... there will be a time we 'open things up', and IT WILL cost lives. But our entire existence as a society is not to not lose a single life unnecessarily. We of course allow smoking, allow high speed highways, allow sugar laden beverages, ....

The difficult decision will be to figure out HOW MANY extra lives will be lost to coronavirus to feel opening up the economy is worth it. If you read this forum, many feel that the time is now; that the lives lost will be worth ending unemployment, despair, suicide, child abuse, etc...

I have made my position clear.... when an area can handle the expected number of coronavirus ICU cases, I say open things up. Any individual can still choose to social distance, but it won't be mandated.
billryan
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April 14th, 2020 at 10:10:34 AM permalink
South Dakota decided they didn't need a stay at home order. Now they have one of the largest clusters yet found, and our pork supply is threatened. Quite the coincidence.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
TDVegas
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April 14th, 2020 at 10:14:34 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Your post was fine. My retort was more about the concept that since we have been successful using a specific strategy (social distancing), that now we no longer need social distancing because it worked.

I think the stop sign analogy sums that up well. The stop signs worked. But they will not work once removed. Same as social distancing works.... until we stop doing it.

As I have said.... there will be a time we 'open things up', and IT WILL cost lives. But our entire existence as a society is not to not lose a single life unnecessarily. We of course allow smoking, allow high speed highways, allow sugar laden beverages, ....

The difficult decision will be to figure out HOW MANY extra lives will be lost to coronavirus to feel opening up the economy is worth it. If you read this forum, many feel that the time is now; that the lives lost will be worth ending unemployment, despair, suicide, child abuse, etc...

I have made my position clear.... when an area can handle the expected number of coronavirus ICU cases, I say open things up. Any individual can still choose to social distance, but it won't be mandated.


I’m pretty much in agreement. How many lives lost do we tolerate vs. a complete shut down continuing?
rxwine
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April 14th, 2020 at 10:41:03 AM permalink
Quote: standbymyman

And the great part is a family of five could get by with just one vaccination. Just use the voucher 1 at a time.



Hey, it's a dollar. you get what you pay for.. You want a more extensive system you pay more. Anyway only one person can use it at a time.
Sanitized for Your Protection
LuckyPhow
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April 14th, 2020 at 11:17:40 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Of course I am not sure, but I am a gambler and figure the likelyhood of getting it and dieing are less than 10% so I would find that acceptable.


I understand that some people are totally comfortable with their transitioning from this existence at some future time. And, I understand gamblers estimate the likelihood of adverse events occurring. No problem.

But, you might want to monitor the island's C-virus status. There are other data sites, but I use the WHO site. It says the 88 positive C-virus cases reported so far resulted in 11 deaths. That's a 12.5 percent chance of dying if you get the virus, assuming the data represents the true disease prevalence. You said you're a gambler, but it looks chancy to me.

I can hardly wait for your trip report. Whatever happens, I expect you will have an adventure.
EvenBob
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April 14th, 2020 at 11:26:38 AM permalink
Vegas has fired or laid off 150 of
it's police officers. Here's one
of them in an interview yesterday:

"Everything has been basically shut down, so we were let go saying they’re not sure when they’re gonna be able to bring this back, because they’re thinking it could be years before, you know, the Strip opens up again. It provides close to 70% of the revenue for the entire state."

He said March is the busiest convention
month in Vegas and it's accounts for
most of the profit Vegas casinos and
hotels make for the year. All that was
flushed down the toilet, the city was
totally booked for the month. Like I
said 2 weeks ago, Vegas is finished.
It will be a shadow of what it was
by next year.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
LuckyPhow
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April 14th, 2020 at 11:33:40 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

South Dakota decided they didn't need a stay at home order. Now they have one of the largest clusters yet found, and our pork supply is threatened. Quite the coincidence.



I wonder what the COV-19 infection count will be in another two weeks. All those workers were close to all their families and all their neighbors, relatives, and friends. An exponential growth in case count, anyone?

I think South Dakota may serve as the perfect example of what happens when you do it wrong and open up (or never shut down) the state before you have control of the virus infection.
billryan
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April 14th, 2020 at 11:36:06 AM permalink
Quote: TDVegas

I’m pretty much in agreement. How many lives lost do we tolerate vs. a complete shut down continuing?




I think everyone is pretty much in agreement on this. The disagreement is what the number is. I believe soopoo has said he is okay with two hundred deaths a day. Dr Fauci has said sixty, if I recall correctly. Someone else said 90, and another said thirty.
Arizona has been in lockdown since March 31st. Deaths have increased from 20 to 131
, and will double by weeks end. In fact, they went from 89 on Friday to 131 today. Most models show us a week or two from the peak. I suspect we ( the state) will reopen in early May and I pray it isn't a tragic accident. Southern Arizona is doing pretty well, but Phoenix and the Navajo Nation are dealing with major outbreaks. The Navajos just requested 500 body bags from FEMA.
I doubt I am opening up before June 1st,although I just got word today one of my major consigners is going to be opening up May 1st and I'll be sending a couple grand worth of merchandise for him to auction off.
As an aside- I deal with two auction houses in Texas. One is in Dallas, the other is in Arlington. Both are internet only auction houses, yet one was deemed an essential business and the other was not.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
TDVegas
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April 14th, 2020 at 11:37:20 AM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Vegas has fired or laid off 150 of
it's police officers. Here's one
of them in an interview yesterday:


Not accurate at all. No police officers have been laid off or fired. There have been some behind the scenes layoffs....mostly part time workers. Lab people, crime scene photographers, etc. They also disbanded the horse unit and gave away the horses. The officers were re assigned.

This is not unusual as there has likely been a decrease in crime, fatal car accidents, crowd control, etc.

Budget cuts are likely but they have not been firing or laying off “police officers.”

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.reviewjournal.com/news/politics-and-government/las-vegas-police-announce-layoffs-in-wake-of-coronavirus-struggles-2004337/amp/
TigerWu
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April 14th, 2020 at 12:38:52 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob


"Everything has been basically shut down, so we were let go saying they’re not sure when they’re gonna be able to bring this back, because they’re thinking it could be years before, you know, the Strip opens up again. It provides close to 70% of the revenue for the entire state."



If the Strip provides 70% of revenue for the entire state, there is zero chance of it taking "years" to open back up. ZERO. I will be extremely surprised if the Strip is not mostly open by the end of June at the absolute latest. 100% chance it's back to full capacity by the end of the year.
Ace2
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April 14th, 2020 at 12:44:56 PM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

If the Strip provides 70% of revenue for the entire state, there is zero chance of it taking "years" to open back up. ZERO. I will be extremely surprised if the Strip is not mostly open by the end of June at the absolute latest. 100% chance it's back to full capacity by the end of the year.

Just remember, probably 69.9 % of Nevada’s revenue comes from people visiting from other states/countries.
It’s all about making that GTA
billryan
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April 14th, 2020 at 12:50:24 PM permalink
We just broke the 25,000 deaths mark.
A Moment of Silence might be appropriate.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
AZDuffman
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April 14th, 2020 at 1:05:16 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

We just broke the 25,000 deaths mark.
A Moment of Silence might be appropriate.



Why?

Wasn't is supposed to me many times that?

That is barely 8 people per county.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
TDVegas
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April 14th, 2020 at 1:21:34 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

We just broke the 25,000 deaths mark.
A Moment of Silence might be appropriate.


Sure. Also a moment of silence for the 42,000 we have lost to lung cancer since January 1, 2020.
darkoz
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April 14th, 2020 at 1:23:21 PM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

Why?

Wasn't is supposed to me many times that?

That is barely 8 people per county.



Yeah less than 3,000 died on 9/11

That's barely 1 per county.

Why do we honor such a puny amount of dead?

SMH
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
TigerWu
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April 14th, 2020 at 1:55:16 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Yeah less than 3,000 died on 9/11

That's barely 1 per county.

Why do we honor such a puny amount of dead?

SMH



7/11 was a part-time job
Marcusclark66
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April 14th, 2020 at 2:08:47 PM permalink
US alone 2018, a shade over 2,813,000 deaths.

Heart disease: 647,457
Cancer: 599,108
Accidents (unintentional injuries): 169,936
Chronic lower respiratory diseases: 160,201
Stroke (cerebrovascular diseases): 146,383
Alzheimer’s disease: 121,404
Diabetes: 83,564
Influenza and Pneumonia: 55,672
Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome and nephrosis: 50,633
Intentional self-harm (suicide): 47,173
Marcus Clark. Real Person; AKA MarcusClark66. *Professional Casino Security Expert. *Certified EMT *Certified Company Firearms Instructor. *Certified Gaming Regulations Interpreter for Corporate Applications. *Domestic UrbanTactical Combat Casualty Expert. *Tic-Tac-Toe Expert (Real Competitive Versions) & Mastering Chess. *Honorary & Official #1 Fan of the MDawg Adventures Club. *Mastering Cracking it. Bit-by-Bit, Piece-by-Piece Crediting Forum Members. *Certified Casino Property Entry & Exit Point Analyzer *Baccarat Winning Session Record: 12 out of 12 & 1 out of 1 Mini Session. Baccarat Losing Session Record: 2 Losing Sessions.
billryan
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April 14th, 2020 at 2:17:59 PM permalink
Florida just announced the WWE is an essential business and can operate inside the state.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
unJon
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April 14th, 2020 at 2:20:36 PM permalink
NY just revised it’s Covid death count by including those that were not tested but are presumed to have died from it. Brings NY alone to 10k and the country to 26k. Crazy. And so sad.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
DRich
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April 14th, 2020 at 3:31:13 PM permalink
Every slot machine and table game in the state has been shut down. Even the airport which is still open and operating does not have gambling available.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
LuckyPhow
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April 14th, 2020 at 3:42:25 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

Florida just announced the WWE is an essential business and can operate inside the state.



As a Floridian, I cannot tell you how proud this decision makes me feel.

(If I did tell how I truly feel, I would embarrass myself with my language, and the mods would put me on bread and water for the next month or two. The decision makes NO $EN$E whatsoever.)
jjjoooggg
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April 14th, 2020 at 5:44:45 PM permalink


Pray for protection from enemies and witchcraft.
rxwine
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April 14th, 2020 at 6:05:13 PM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

Why?

Wasn't is supposed to me many times that?

That is barely 8 people per county.



It ain't over.
Sanitized for Your Protection
rxwine
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April 14th, 2020 at 6:08:34 PM permalink
Quote: TDVegas

Sure. Also a moment of silence for the 42,000 we have lost to lung cancer since January 1, 2020.



The cool thing is, you don't have to shut down the economy to go after that one. Of course, if we did, I guess many people would vote for more smoking so people could go back to work.
Sanitized for Your Protection
billryan
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April 14th, 2020 at 6:28:47 PM permalink
Quote: rxwine

It ain't over.



Mission Accomplished?
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
SanchoPanza
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April 14th, 2020 at 7:24:00 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

If you lived in St Martin, how would you feel about planeloads of people from the most widely hit country coming to visit?

More widely than China?
darkoz
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April 14th, 2020 at 7:37:46 PM permalink
Quote: SanchoPanza

More widely than China?



Yep

US has more cases and dead than China or any country in the world.

You deny that (I am sure you will)
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
SanchoPanza
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April 14th, 2020 at 7:45:21 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Yep

US has more cases and dead than China or any country in the world.

You deny that (I am sure you will)

Source?
darkoz
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April 14th, 2020 at 7:53:15 PM permalink
Quote: SanchoPanza

Source?



Google
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
EvenBob
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April 14th, 2020 at 9:15:44 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Google



Google is not a source, it's a path
to the source. It's like saying 'library'
was your source. Libraries store
sources, they aren't a source themselves.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
TDVegas
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April 14th, 2020 at 9:36:59 PM permalink
Quote: rxwine

The cool thing is, you don't have to shut down the economy to go after that one. Of course, if we did, I guess many people would vote for more smoking so people could go back to work.


The reality is if you say we will accept 100 deaths per day from the virus...there are a LOT of people who will scream bloody murder, shut it all down.

Well, we accept 400 deaths per day and still allow people to ingest something we know is killing them. We not only allow them to ingest it by advocating it for sale, we also allow them to spew those carcinogens into those who happen to be sitting next to them in our almighty casinos.

I’ll accept whatever the experts feel is the best path. I just can’t accept the moral and ethical $%#ing hypocrisy of the entire ball of wax.

I don’t have the answers but I do know how to think and conduct in a consistent manner.

It will be interesting to see what impact Joe Camel imparts on the decision making upon the grand re-opening of our gambling palaces. Is it money first or health first?
bobbartop
bobbartop
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ForagerAZDuffman
April 14th, 2020 at 9:37:01 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Google




Why don't you just shoot an email to the Chinese Communist Party, I'm sure they will give you the straight scoop.
'Emergencies' have always been the pretext on which the safeguards of individual liberty have been eroded.
rxwine
rxwine
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April 14th, 2020 at 9:54:56 PM permalink
Quote: TDVegas


Well, we accept 400 deaths per day and still allow people to ingest something we know is killing them.



No we don't. But the number of people who actually would support getting rid of tobacco usage for that reason is not powerful enough to overturn the views of the majority. Some actively support usage, and some just take a libertarian view even if they don't personally think it's a good thing. There's just not enough people in the full anti crowd.
Sanitized for Your Protection
Zcore13
Zcore13
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April 14th, 2020 at 9:57:23 PM permalink
First shot fired in Arizona. Setting the tone for re-opening. Once one does, the others will. I'm still thinking May 1st.



ZCore13
I am an employee of a Casino. Former Table Games Director,, current Pit Supervisor. All the personal opinions I post are my own and do not represent the opinions of the Casino or Tribe that I work for.
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