TumblingBones
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March 19th, 2020 at 5:19:50 PM permalink
Quote: ams288

I’d guess more on all except murders.

Additional suicides probably way more...


Traffic accidents will be way down.
My goal of being well informed conflicts with my goal of remaining sane.
bobbartop
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March 19th, 2020 at 5:34:39 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Watch this video. We don't want what happened in china to happen here
https://youtu.be/ycrqXJYf1SU




so disturbing
'Emergencies' have always been the pretext on which the safeguards of individual liberty have been eroded.
TDVegas
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March 19th, 2020 at 5:39:31 PM permalink
Frankly, I trust nothing coming from state run Chinese media. This is a communist dictatorship that has a secrecy agenda greater than 1970’s Soviet Union. Who knows when they actually knew they had a problem on their hands.
onenickelmiracle
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March 19th, 2020 at 5:42:30 PM permalink
Maybe they took care of SARS the same way and it worked, pure speculation.
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beachbumbabs
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March 19th, 2020 at 5:45:31 PM permalink
The Chinese were burning bodies in the incinerators in the same hospitals they died. They had corpses on the floors, in the hallways, even some on the sidewalks.

All that is to say, there is no way in hell they released accurate numbers of deaths. Idk now, but at the height of it in Jan/Feb, they were just dumping to get infectious bodies out of circulation.

Not to mention

A. All the deaths that were not CONFIRMED Corona virus during the last several months, and

B. All the still-quarantined population who were sealed into their buildings. No chance there aren't many many dead bodies among those people.
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FleaStiff
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March 19th, 2020 at 6:13:50 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

, , . there is no way in hell they released accurate numbers of deaths.

I agree it would be an unthinkable act for the Chinese officials to be truthful. I do not mean to be sarcastic, I mean that at no level of society much less amongst Chinese officials is there a desire or habit of telling the truth about anything. It is alien to their culture. it always has been and always will be.
onenickelmiracle
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March 19th, 2020 at 6:29:26 PM permalink
Quote: FleaStiff

I agree it would be an unthinkable act for the Chinese officials to be truthful. I do not mean to be sarcastic, I mean that at no level of society much less amongst Chinese officials is there a desire or habit of telling the truth about anything. It is alien to their culture. it always has been and always will be.

group culture, not individualist culture
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rxwine
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March 19th, 2020 at 7:36:13 PM permalink
Quote: TDVegas

Frankly, I trust nothing coming from state run Chinese media. This is a communist dictatorship that has a secrecy agenda greater than 1970’s Soviet Union. Who knows when they actually knew they had a problem on their hands.



Although I agree with the general mistrust, it doesn't actually tell us what is the true scenario, since I think there is more than one possible explanation that might be reasonable to consider.

Countries try to cover up accidents, not just intentional plots of any sort. And people within the countries, may even hide things from the authorities to avoid punishment. Especially in a country that sometimes executes the head of departments occasionally.
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FleaStiff
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March 19th, 2020 at 8:10:24 PM permalink
True Scenario?

Look at the Chinese Dry Wall that was so cheap? Look at that brand new skyscraper in Australia that had a catastrophic failure? Look at all the Chinese who come here for fresh air and uncontaminated foods because they know what it is like in China, always been and always will be.

"With aces from the sleeve of the heathen Chinee"
AZDuffman
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March 20th, 2020 at 3:48:45 AM permalink
Quote: FleaStiff

True Scenario?

Look at the Chinese Dry Wall that was so cheap? Look at that brand new skyscraper in Australia that had a catastrophic failure? Look at all the Chinese who come here for fresh air and uncontaminated foods because they know what it is like in China, always been and always will be.

"With aces from the sleeve of the heathen Chinee"



Despite her recent wealth, China is still very Third World in many ways. Half the people are still in poverty. Get off the coast and it gets very poor. They are still quantity over quality. Many problems to overcome and they are a demographic time bomb who's fuse has been lit.
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boymimbo
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March 20th, 2020 at 4:47:06 AM permalink
I agree on the additional numbers of deaths due to mental health issues bringing about suicides and murders.

Divorce rates will be higher too as couples are forced to deal with each other at home and financial stress goes up. On the other hand being and loving together might become an economic necessity which might up cohabitations.

There are quotes that CO2 emissions and pollution is greatly reduced which are saving lives through reduced complications from asthma, for example.
----- You want the truth! You can't handle the truth!
boymimbo
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March 20th, 2020 at 5:05:48 AM permalink
I feel bad that your feds did not jump on this sooner. Generally, the number of infections will double every four days unless it is abated via social distancing. Really, the number of positive cases doesn’t really matter because there is a lack of testing so there are plenty of people who are positive who aren’t/can’t get tested. And there is no incentive in most states to self-quarantine and just stay at home if you are sick. It becomes a risk/reward but you propogate your risk on others so that you can get paid.

Here in southern Ontario, we are on the cusp on what California has just ordered, a stay-in-place order. Yet the government here has put in income replacement programs if you are stuck at home declaring self-quarantine, are caring for someone with COVID, or are staying home because kids have been orders to stay out of school. They are upping the child care bonus checks and VAT checks for everyone who needs it. Legislation is in place so that people don’t lose their job.

We realize how strained our health care system is and understand that flattening the curve will prevent us from getting to a situation where a doctor has to choose who to save. When you I get to that point, everyone who is sick becomes prone to much higher mortality rates.

My hope is that this pandemic creates the appropriate federal and state social programs in the United States with the realization that being sick is everyone’s problem with the burden falling on society as a while to take care of them. That means socialized medicine and more general welfare programs to take care of those who need it. In the next few weeks, with so many thrown out of work and not having health insurance, it has pretty much got to change the ways things are done down there.

As for me, I work from home. My job is not in danger of immediate jeopardy. All of my social activities (church, friends, etc) has shut down. I can’t see my mom in the nursing home, and I am limiting contact to my dad to one last visit today and then phone calls. Most Canadians are trying to do their part with social distancing because we realize that we are all in this together and don’t want Italy to happen to us.

As for how long this will last, South Korea is going to be your best case scenario with truthful information and technological strategies on place. I am guessing 8 weeks before things start to ease off on restrictions at minimum, and if things get out of hand (as I suspect they will on the Stares due to a lack of coordination) 4-6 months. In Canada here, I am guessing 3 months before life starts to get back to normal.
----- You want the truth! You can't handle the truth!
AxelWolf
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March 20th, 2020 at 5:23:34 AM permalink
Quote: boymimbo



Divorce rates will be higher too as couples are forced to deal with each other at home and financial stress goes up.

I have to imagine domestic violence will absolutely Skyrocket. 😥

Where can I get me some body armor?🤣
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
TigerWu
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March 20th, 2020 at 9:16:37 AM permalink
Mostly business as usual in Oklahoma. They've shut down a lot of stuff, but I feel like most people are still like, "Whatevs... I don't give a ****. I'm gonna go out and do my thing." I'd love to be self-quarantining right now but I work at a non-essential retail establishment and we're open for business like it's any old day of the week, with customers coming in to B.S. and buy stupid crap. I have a feeling that Oklahoma is going to be hit hard by this and by then it will be too late and I'll be caught in the crossfire, but I hope I'm wrong.
Calder
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March 20th, 2020 at 10:49:06 AM permalink
Quote: boymimbo


...My hope is that this pandemic creates the appropriate federal and state social programs in the United States with the realization that being sick is everyone’s problem with the burden falling on society as a while to take care of them. That means socialized medicine and more general welfare programs to take care of those who need it. In the next few weeks, with so many thrown out of work and not having health insurance, it has pretty much got to change the ways things are done down there...


A genuine question:

Why the heck does a Canadian care about U.S. domestic policy?
rxwine
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March 20th, 2020 at 12:20:47 PM permalink
As I told my sister (or gonna tell her shortly when I text next)., even though a vaccine may still be a year away, the longer you can hold out without getting infected, the more likely there might be some preliminary or intermediate treatment, or just better methods from taking care of people thus improving your chances.

At least that's my theory.
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AZDuffman
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March 20th, 2020 at 1:44:47 PM permalink
Quote: Calder

A genuine question:

Why the heck does a Canadian care about U.S. domestic policy?



I’ve been asking that on here for years. Along with those of any other nation. Americans rarely have much input into local politics of other nations. Why so much interest in ours?
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
onenickelmiracle
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March 20th, 2020 at 2:13:46 PM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

I’ve been asking that on here for years. Along with those of any other nation. Americans rarely have much input into local politics of other nations. Why so much interest in ours?

Other countries need is like we need them, all in varying degrees.
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rxwine
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March 20th, 2020 at 3:16:26 PM permalink
Whelp, time for signs and wonders Newly discovered comet.

Quote:

'Comet ATLAS continues to brighten much faster than expected,' Karl Battams of the Naval Research Lab in Washington DC told SpaceWeatherArchive.
'Some predictions for its peak brightness now border on the absurd.'
It's original name was C/2019 Y4 when it was first discovered but has been nicknamed ATLAS due to the system that spotted it.
It has seen a 4,000-fold increase in brightness since it was first discovered and could be visible to the naked eye as early as April.



Possibly bright as the moon.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/newly-discovered-comet-atlas-could-shine-as-bright-as-the-moon-when-it-makes-its-closest-approach-to-earth-in-may-as-long-as-doesnt-break-up-on-its-way-towards-the-sun/ar-BB11tsI3?ocid=spartandhp
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onenickelmiracle
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March 20th, 2020 at 3:40:45 PM permalink
Had to go out of the house to get a few things, it was really weird. Everyone acted like they were paranoid and scared of each other and everyone was afraid to even touch anything at all. That's why other people are buying so much, they want to limit their exposure to the outside world. I just bought food at the gas station. They had boxes of cereal, etc. to buy. The cashier said she was wiping the counter and changing gloves often. I had brought some non-medical gloves with me but didn't use them out of pride. There is nobody out, it's like 4am in the stores and 6 am on the roads.
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EvenBob
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March 20th, 2020 at 3:44:23 PM permalink
Spoke with my 85 year old friend
in NC. He has all his groceries
delivered to his door for a $4
fee and the guy leaves them
and my friend brings them
in when the guy is gone. No
human contact.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
petroglyph
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March 20th, 2020 at 4:16:32 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Spoke with my 85 year old friend
in NC. He has all his groceries
delivered to his door for a $4
fee and the guy leaves them
and my friend brings them
in when the guy is gone. No
human contact.

I would gladly do that, if I can find that service here. So far locally they are offering "seniors only" hours. But I'm not going to be at the store at 5 AM, or at all.
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
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March 20th, 2020 at 4:27:58 PM permalink
Quote: petroglyph

https://www.reviewjournal.com/business/las-vegas-strip-club-to-offer-drive-through-peep-show-1985402/



Those guys should just blow their brains out.
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SOOPOO
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March 20th, 2020 at 4:30:43 PM permalink
Quote: onenickelmiracle

Those guys should just blow their brains out.



I've been wondering what prostitutes are doing to circumvent the difficulties that this shutdown has caused. Due to the nature of their work I doubt they would 'self quarantine....'
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
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March 20th, 2020 at 4:42:13 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I've been wondering what prostitutes are doing to circumvent the difficulties that this shutdown has caused. Due to the nature of their work I doubt they would 'self quarantine....'

Many are probably still working just as much. Just checked out an escort site, they're still working, 16 available now in the state of Ohio.
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redietz
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March 20th, 2020 at 4:43:22 PM permalink
Quote: petroglyph

https://www.reviewjournal.com/business/las-vegas-strip-club-to-offer-drive-through-peep-show-1985402/




Thanks for posting this. I would have missed it.
"You can't breathe dead hippo waking, sleeping, and eating, and at the same time keep your precarious grip on existence."
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
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March 20th, 2020 at 5:00:30 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Spoke with my 85 year old friend
in NC. He has all his groceries
delivered to his door for a $4
fee and the guy leaves them
and my friend brings them
in when the guy is gone. No
human contact.



Good way to not tip.
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petroglyph
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March 20th, 2020 at 5:01:58 PM permalink
Quote: onenickelmiracle

Those guys should just blow their brains out.

This part might not be bad? "“On Saturday we’re doing nude triple-X hand sanitizer wrestling,” Carlson said. “We have about 20 gallons of hand sanitizer, and we’re doing a cool nude hand sanitizer wrestling show.”

Plus they were giving away free hand sanitizer.
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
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March 20th, 2020 at 5:08:23 PM permalink
Well someone said to me I could try delivering for grubhub during this time. Thought, maybe it's not so unsafe, they are not even taking anything other than your personal info right now. This was assumed to be relatively safe imo, just deal with the restaurant, leave food by door, but not even an option.
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onenickelmiracle
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March 20th, 2020 at 5:10:53 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I've been wondering what prostitutes are doing to circumvent the difficulties that this shutdown has caused. Due to the nature of their work I doubt they would 'self quarantine....'

Yeah, sucks I turned in the lease on my gf.
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onenickelmiracle
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March 22nd, 2020 at 3:51:16 AM permalink
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lWOYj8hjjjM

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onenickelmiracle
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March 22nd, 2020 at 5:54:51 AM permalink
These things will be if high risk to die: high blood pressure, heart problems, diabetes, cancer, immune disorders. Basically anything which leaves you susceptible to infection is high risk. I'm sure you can live if you have these problems, but these problems will be those which are to worry about. Age might matter, but it's not the main factor. Hope this is over soon.
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boymimbo
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March 22nd, 2020 at 5:59:13 AM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

I’ve been asking that on here for years. Along with those of any other nation. Americans rarely have much input into local politics of other nations. Why so much interest in ours?



Actually, socializing medicine in the United States is a big deal.

Americans buy our pharmacy items for cheaper, lowering supplies and upping pricing here. Health care workers here in Canada frequently go to the states to work, creating doctor and nursing shortages here. Differences in health care benefits, in part, determine where multinationals locate factories and headquarters.

On a higher level, we are your biggest trading partner. We share the world’s longest border with you. We are heavily influenced by your government’s decisions on trade, defence, and everything else. About 75 percent of the population lives within 100 miles of our border.

And finally, my wife is American. I’ve lived in the US for five years. My employer is American.

And it is incredible to see how such a great country in so many ways managed to screw up health care so badly.
----- You want the truth! You can't handle the truth!
AZDuffman
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March 22nd, 2020 at 7:03:45 AM permalink
Quote: boymimbo

Actually, socializing medicine in the United States is a big deal.

Americans buy our pharmacy items for cheaper, lowering supplies and upping pricing here. Health care workers here in Canada frequently go to the states to work, creating doctor and nursing shortages here. Differences in health care benefits, in part, determine where multinationals locate factories and headquarters.

On a higher level, we are your biggest trading partner. We share the world’s longest border with you. We are heavily influenced by your government’s decisions on trade, defence, and everything else. About 75 percent of the population lives within 100 miles of our border.

And finally, my wife is American. I’ve lived in the US for five years. My employer is American.

And it is incredible to see how such a great country in so many ways managed to screw up health care so badly.



You are treading very close to a political statement there.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
onenickelmiracle
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March 22nd, 2020 at 7:58:21 AM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

You are treading very close to a political statement there.

Do you work here? Where is the toilet paper?
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darkoz
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March 22nd, 2020 at 8:30:19 AM permalink
https://youtu.be/ugtN6HCqatc

Please check that video out. It's hilarious
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
TumblingBones
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March 22nd, 2020 at 9:20:09 AM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

You are treading very close to a political statement there.


Politics is defined as "the set of activities that are associated with the governance of a country, state or area. It involves making decisions that apply to groups of members." How the hell can anyone have a meaningful discussion about a public health threat without bringing up political issues? Keeping it civil and rational I'm all for but if the effectiveness and impact of the decisions that have been, or will be, made by elected officials is deemed off-limits then the benefit of sharing information via this forum is significantly reduced IMO.
My goal of being well informed conflicts with my goal of remaining sane.
EvenBob
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March 22nd, 2020 at 9:21:09 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz

https://youtu.be/ugtN6HCqatc

Please check that video out. It's hilarious



I lasted 34 seconds till the guy
started rapping. I don't do rap,
it hurts my brain.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
AZDuffman
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March 22nd, 2020 at 9:37:56 AM permalink
Quote: TumblingBones

Politics is defined as "the set of activities that are associated with the governance of a country, state or area. It involves making decisions that apply to groups of members." How the hell can anyone have a meaningful discussion about a public health threat without bringing up political issues? Keeping it civil and rational I'm all for but if the effectiveness and impact of the decisions that have been, or will be, made by elected officials is deemed off-limits then the benefit of sharing information via this forum is significantly reduced IMO.



Quote: boymimbo

And it is incredible to see how such a great country in so many ways managed to screw up health care so badly.



This is not part of a discussion about a public health threat. It appears to be another "why can't you Yanks do like the rest of us on health care" statements.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
TumblingBones
TumblingBones
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March 22nd, 2020 at 10:38:14 AM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

Quote: boymimbo

And it is incredible to see how such a great country in so many ways managed to screw up health care so badly.



This is not part of a discussion about a public health threat. It appears to be another "why can't you Yanks do like the rest of us on health care" statements.



Agreed. It's the type of loaded language that is making rational political debates more and more impossible. But the bulk of boymimbo's post is a valid political statement worth considering

Quote: boymimbo

Actually, socializing medicine in the United States is a big deal.

Americans buy our pharmacy items for cheaper, lowering supplies and upping pricing here. Health care workers here in Canada frequently go to the states to work, creating doctor and nursing shortages here. Differences in health care benefits, in part, determine where multinationals locate factories and headquarters.

On a higher level, we are your biggest trading partner. We share the world’s longest border with you. We are heavily influenced by your government’s decisions on trade, defence, and everything else. About 75 percent of the population lives within 100 miles of our border.


The original question was (slightly paraphrased) why should one country be concerned about the health policies of another. Seems like a very good response IMO.
My goal of being well informed conflicts with my goal of remaining sane.
Calder
Calder
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March 22nd, 2020 at 10:53:12 AM permalink
Quote: boymimbo

Actually, socializing medicine in the United States is a big deal...
And it is incredible to see how such a great country in so many ways managed to screw up health care so badly.


And yet our screwed up system produces more ICU beds per capita than more enlightened economies, a factor that may prove critical in the current environment:

Scroll to table 1
SOOPOO
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March 22nd, 2020 at 11:07:39 AM permalink
Quote: Calder

And yet our screwed up system produces more ICU beds per capita than more enlightened economies, a factor that may prove critical in the current environment:

Scroll to table 1



Wow. Thanks for that link. I wasn't aware that socialized medicine had such a downward pressure on ICU beds. And in this crisis, likely caused additional untold deaths in Italy. I'm glad we are starting at double the ICU beds that those countries did. Even our high number will of course be inadequate, but at least we are starting well ahead of the others.
billryan
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March 22nd, 2020 at 11:25:23 AM permalink
Quote: TumblingBones

Quote: AZDuffman

Quote: boymimbo

And it is incredible to see how such a great country in so many ways managed to screw up health care so badly.



This is not part of a discussion about a public health threat. It appears to be another "why can't you Yanks do like the rest of us on health care" statements.



Agreed. It's the type of loaded language that is making rational political debates more and more impossible. But the bulk of boymimbo's post is a valid political statement worth considering


The original question was (slightly paraphrased) why should one country be concerned about the health policies of another. Seems like a very good response IMO.



Really. Why should Americans care about what the French or Chinese do. Its not as if anything that happens there might effect us or our economy.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
unJon
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March 22nd, 2020 at 11:26:10 AM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

You are treading very close to a political statement there.

You did bait him.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
billryan
billryan 
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March 22nd, 2020 at 11:27:41 AM permalink
Quote: unJon

You did bait him.



He is quite the Master baiter.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
AZDuffman
AZDuffman
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March 22nd, 2020 at 11:33:29 AM permalink
Quote: unJon

You did bait him.



How?
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
AZDuffman
AZDuffman
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March 22nd, 2020 at 11:33:29 AM permalink
Quote: unJon

You did bait him.



How?
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
TigerWu
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March 22nd, 2020 at 11:35:30 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I've been wondering what prostitutes are doing to circumvent the difficulties that this shutdown has caused. Due to the nature of their work I doubt they would 'self quarantine....'



With all the quarantining going on, there's probably a much higher demand for cam girls. Prostitutes should be moving into that if they're smart.
AZDuffman
AZDuffman
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March 22nd, 2020 at 11:37:16 AM permalink
Quote: TumblingBones


Agreed. It's the type of loaded language that is making rational political debates more and more impossible. But the bulk of boymimbo's post is a valid political statement worth considering


The original question was (slightly paraphrased) why should one country be concerned about the health policies of another. Seems like a very good response IMO.



The rest was good, but then it has to be ended as it did.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
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