2021 WoV Picks Game Discussion Thread

Quote: EdCollins

Week 13 Results

Mission146 (3-3)
BRONCOS +9.5 (loss)
RAIDERS -1.5 (loss)
STEELERS OVER 44 (loss)
SEAHAWKS +3.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
PATRIOTS +2.5 (win)

JohnnyQ (5-1)
BUCCANEERS (-10.5) (win)
CHARGERS UNDER 50.5 (loss)
FOOTBALL TEAM (+1.5) (win)
STEELERS (+4.5) CONFIDENCE (win)
PATRIOTS (+2.5) (win)

SOOPOO (0-6)
FALCONS +10.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
BILLS-2.5 (loss)
JAGUARS +12.5 (loss)
JETS +6.5 (loss)
RAVENS -4.5 (loss)

AZDuffman (1-5)
PATRIOTS +2.5 (win)
FALCONS OVER 50.5 (loss)
BRONCOS +9.5 (loss)
STEELERS OVER 44 (loss)
RAVENS -4.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)

JohnZimbo (5-1)
RAMS UNDER 48 CONFIDENCE (win)
BRONCOS UNDER 47.5 (win)
BUCS UNDER 50.5 (win)
BILLS -2.5 (loss)
CARDINALS -7.5 (win)

JML24 (2-3)
BEARS +7.5 (loss)
RAIDERS -1.5 (loss)
STEELERS +4.5 (win)
SEAHAWKS +3.5 (win)
PATRIOTS OVER (loss)

JW17 (2-4)
BRONCOS +9.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
PATRIOTS +2.5 (win)
BENGALS -3 (loss)
GIANTS +4 (loss)
FOOTBALL TEAM +1.5 (win)

PlayYourCardsRight (4-2)
LIONS +7 (win)
EAGLES -6.5 (win)
DOLPHINS -4 CONFIDENCE (win)
RAVENS -4.5 (loss)
BILLS -2.5 (loss)

RideTheEdge (3-3)
VIKINGS -7 (loss)
CARDINALS UNDER 43.5 (loss)
COLTS UNDER 45.5 (win)
DOLPHINS -4 CONFIDENCE (win)
BILLS -2.5 (loss)

IndyJeffrey (1-5)
JETS +6.5 (loss)
DOLPHINS -4 (win)
RAVENS -4.5 (loss)
JAGUARS +12.5 (loss)
BILLS -2.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)

Sparty10k (2-4)
VIKINGS UNDER 46.5 (loss)
BRONCOS +9.5 (loss)
DOLPHINS -4 (win)
49ERS -3.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
PATRIOTS +2.5 (win)

EdCollins (4-2)
DOLPHINS -4 CONFIDENCE (win)
PATRIOTS +2.5 (win)
BRONCOS +9.5 (loss)
BENGALS -3 (loss)
RAMS UNDER 48 (win)

Wizard (2-4)
BEARS (+7.5) CONFIDENCE (loss)
JETS (+6.5) (loss)
SEAHAWKS (+3.5) (win)
BILLS (-2.5) (loss)
STEELERS (+4.5) (win)

mwalz9 (5-1)
DOLPHINS UNDER 40.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
DOLPHINS -4 (win)
JETS +6.5 (loss)
FOOTBALL TEAM +1.5 (win)
LIONS +7 (win)

miplet (4-2)
BEARS +7.5 (loss)
JETS +6.5 (loss)
DOLPHINS -4 (win)
RAIDERS UNDER 49.5 (win)
SEAHAWKS +3.5 CONFIDENCE (win)

FourFiveFace (1-5)
LIONS +7 (win)
BEARS +7.5 (loss)
FALCONS +10.5 (loss)
TEXANS +10 CONFIDENCE (loss)
JETS +6.5 (loss)

scolist (3-3)
RAVENS OVER 44 (loss)
BRONCOS +9.5 (loss)
DOLPHINS -4 (win)
49ERS -3.5 (loss)
PATRIOTS +2.5 CONFIDENCE (win)

Joeman (5-1)
FALCONS UNDER 50.5 (win)
CARDINALS -7.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
RAMS UNDER 48 (win)
49ERS -3.5 (loss)
CHIEFS -9.5 (win)

unJon (3-3)
CARDINALS UNDER 43.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
EAGLES UNDER 45 (loss)
DOLPHINS -4 (win)
RAIDERS UNDER 49.5 (win)
BILLS UNDER 42.5 (win)

Gordonm888 (3-3)
CHIEFS -9.5 (win)
TEXANS +10 (loss)
JETS +6.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
CHARGERS +3 (win)
RAMS -12.5 (win)

GenWyzgy (3-3)
BUCCANEERS -10.5 (win)
BENGALS OVER 50.5 (win)
RAIDERS -1.5 (loss)
RAMS -12.5 (win)
49ERS -3.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)


Standings Through Week 13

Name	Wins	Losses	%
RideTheEdge	55	23	70.51%
JohnZimbo	54	24	69.23%
EdCollins	47	30	61.04%
unJon	47	30	61.04%
JW17	41	31	56.94%
PlayYourCardsRight	41	31	56.94%
Wizard	43	34	55.84%
Mission146	40	32	55.56%
jml24	32	29	52.46%
scolist	35	33	51.47%
miplet	37	35	51.39%
IndyJeffrey	39	37	51.32%
mwalz9	40	38	51.28%
Joeman	37	39	48.68%
FourFiveFace	36	41	46.75%
AZDuffman	35	42	45.45%
SOOPOO	34	43	44.16%
JohnnyQ	32	45	41.56%
Gordonm888	31	45	40.79%
GenWyzgy	31	46	40.26%
Sparty10k	27	51	34.62%
Totals	814	759	51.75%

Record of Skip Weeks
miplet: Week 2
JW17: Week 6
jml24: Week 8
Mission146: Week 9
PlayYourCardsRight: Week 12
scolist: Week 12
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Quote: MatthewBeckett

Excellent analytics

Quote: Mission146

Greetings!

The Week 14 Lines are as follows:

Raiders (+10) @ Chiefs (-10) O/U 48
Saints (-5.5) @ Jets (+5.5) O/U 43
49ers (-1.5) @ Bengals (+1.5) O/U 48.5
Jaguars (+8.5) @ Titans (-8.5) O/U 43.5
Ravens (+2.5) @ Browns (-2.5) O/U 43
Falcons (+2.5) @ Panthers (-2.5) O/U 41.5
Cowboys (-4) @ Football Team (+4) O/U 48
Seahawks (-8) @ Texans (+8) O/U 41
Lions (+10) @ Broncos (-10) O/U 42
Giants (+10) @ Chargers (-10) O/U 42.5
Bills (+3) @ Buccaneers (-3) O/U 53.5
Bears (+12.5) @ Packers (-12.5) O/U 43
Rams (+2.5) @ Cardinals (-2.5) O/U 51.5
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Quote: EdCollins

I was tied for Third Place prior to this weekend, and still had hopes of making a run towards the two leaders. Alas, after my dismal 1-5 performance this weekend, I know that is no longer likely at all. I'm too far out with just four weeks to go. Congrats in advance to Edge and JohnZimbo, since I don't believe they will be caught.
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Quote: gordonm888

What truly sucked was having picked Bills +3 vs Tampa. The score was Bucs 27 and Bills 24 with under 2 minutes to go and Bills had the ball. If they don't score, I push on the pick. if they score a TD, I win the pick. But the Bills drive down deep into Buccaneers territory and kick a field goal to send the game into OT. The villainous Bucs win the coin flip and Brady takes them down the field to score a TD and win by 6. Only scenario in which I lose that pick.

When you pick an underdog, and they tie in regulation, you were correct in your assessment! Having the opponent cover the spread due to a coin flip and a quick TD is one of the (many) unfair things about sports betting.
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Quote: SOOPOO

Someone obviously did not watch the game! The Bills WON the OT coin toss. I hope you pay more attention to details in your task as an administrator!
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Quote: gordonm888

What truly sucked was having picked Bills +3 vs Tampa. The score was Bucs 27 and Bills 24 with under 2 minutes to go and Bills had the ball. If they don't score, I push on the pick. if they score a TD, I win the pick. But the Bills drive down deep into Buccaneers territory and kick a field goal to send the game into OT. The villainous Bucs win the coin flip and Brady takes them down the field to score a TD and win by 6. Only scenario in which I lose that pick.

When you pick an underdog, and they tie in regulation, you were correct in your assessment! Having the opponent cover the spread due to a coin flip and a quick TD is one of the (many) unfair things about sports betting.
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Quote: gordonm888

Congrats to AZDuffman for his perfect 6-0 in a week where so many stumbled.
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Quote: AZDuffman

Will Sat be the deadline this week due to Sat games?

Quote: Johnzimbo

So can we pick the Tuesday games or not? I am thinking not since they are not on Saturday-Monday......

Quote: gordonm888

Please be aware:

"The Browns will reportedly no longer play the Raiders on Saturday, with the NFL expected to reschedule the game for Monday at 5 p.m. ET, pending official confirmation, per Adam Schefter of ESPN."

Mission may need to comment, but I imagine that if you submit a pick on this game that it would not count (or effectively count as a push) if the game is not played at all.
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Quote: gordonm888

Congrats to AZDuffman for his perfect 6-0 in a week where so many stumbled.
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Quote: myself

Greetings!

Unclaimed/Donated Prizes

Okay, so I looked and the Perfection Bonuses that were unclaimed/donated were as follows:

Kuma: Donated $10 to NCAA Game (2020 Tournament Did Not Happen)
DJATC + BeachBumBabs: Total of $16.67 in Unclaimed Perfection Bonuses

When we establish whether or not we are going to have a Playoff game (when I get at least seventeen commitments) I will put it to a vote what we do with these funds. We can either carry them over to NCAA Tournament, just add them to Playoff Picks Prizes as they are now...or bet them on the Playoff Picks consensus winners. Assuming -110 Lines all the way, we could conceivably add:

26.67 + (26.67 * 100/110) = $50.91 (I assume rounds down always)

50.91 + (50.91 * 100/110) = $97.19

97.19 + (97.19 * 100/110) = $185.54

185.54 + (185.54 * 100/110) = $354.21

So, that would actually more than double the prize pool I am offering if our consensus could go 4-0.

That said, $25 is right about the line where I would feel better to take a vote on it than to just do something like that. We're obviously unlikely to go 4-0.