AZDuffman
AZDuffman
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October 31st, 2021 at 9:09:25 AM permalink
Quote: IndyJeffrey

I am consistently amazed by Wizard's success. Perhaps I should not be so amazed as I have often read him (and heard him) talk about how the underdogs seem to cover more often than not.

That said, to limit yourself to 25% of the options available and be ranked so high in the standings just amazes me.

Maybe there is some science behind having too many choices from which to select and that is where I fall down.
link to original post



Rosenthal, father of casino sportsbooks, said that most people bet too many games. He would bet just 1-2 games a week most weeks. Everything I have seen confirms this.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
gordonm888
Administrator
gordonm888
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October 31st, 2021 at 5:44:37 PM permalink
Well, I am now 1-7 on my confidence picks and I am 1-4 this week pending MNF and plummeting towards last place. Obviously, I lost half my brain cells since becoming moderator. (Just joking!)

I'm at the point where I'm not working very hard on my picks. Maybe the absence of a thought process may reverse the course I'm on.
Last edited by: gordonm888 on Oct 31, 2021
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
AZDuffman
AZDuffman
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Joined: Nov 2, 2009
November 1st, 2021 at 2:35:57 AM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

Well, I am now 1-7 on my confidence picks and I am 1-4 this week pending MNF and plummeting towards last place. Obviously, I lost half my brain cells since becoming moderator. (Just joking!)

I'm at the point where I'm not working very hard on my picks. Maybe the absence of a thought process may reverse the course I'm on.
link to original post



https://justflipacoin.com/
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
miplet
miplet
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Joined: Dec 1, 2009
November 1st, 2021 at 10:08:53 AM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

Quote: gordonm888

Well, I am now 1-7 on my confidence picks and I am 1-4 this week pending MNF and plummeting towards last place. Obviously, I lost half my brain cells since becoming moderator. (Just joking!)

I'm at the point where I'm not working very hard on my picks. Maybe the absence of a thought process may reverse the course I'm on.
link to original post



https://justflipacoin.com/
link to original post



You can also use http://miplet.net/nfl/rand.php . Just make sure that it has the correct lines.
“Man Babes” #AxelFabulous
EdCollins
EdCollins
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Joeman
November 1st, 2021 at 8:23:09 PM permalink
Week 8 Results

Mission146 (5-1)
TITANS +2.5 (win)
SEAHAWKS -3 CONFIDENCE (win)
BUCCANEERS -4.5 (loss)
COWBOYS +2.5 (win)
BEARS OVER 39.5 (win)

Johnzimbo (4-2)
BILLS UNDER 48.5 (win)
CHIEFS UNDER 52 CONFIDENCE (win)
RAMS UNDER 47.5 (loss)
FALCONS OVER 47 (loss)
SEAHAWKS -3 (win)

Joeman (3-3)
COWBOYS +2.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
BUCCANEERS -4.5 (loss)
TITANS +2.5 (win)
SEAHAWKS OVER 44 (loss)
CHARGERS -4 (loss)

mwalz9 (3-3)
LIONS +3.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
BENGALS -10.5 (loss)
BRONCOS -3 (win)
49ERS -4 (win)
TITANS +2.5 (win)

IndyJeffrey (2-4)
PANTHERS +3 (win)
LIONS +3.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
BROWNS -3.5 (loss)
SEAHAWKS -3 (win)
CHARGERS -4 (loss)

Gordonm888 (1-5)
PANTHERS +3 (win)
COLTS -2.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
CHARGERS -4 (loss)
BUCCANEERS -4.5 (loss)
CHIEFS -10 (loss)

AZDuffman (5-1)
RAMS -14.5 (win)
SAINTS OVER 49.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
BROWNS -3.5 (loss)
BRONCOS UNDER 44.5 (win)
BILLS -14 (win)

RideTheEdge (5-1)
RAMS -14.5 (win)
RAMS UNDER 47.5 (loss)
SEAHAWKS -3 CONFIDENCE (win)
BRONCOS -3 (win)
VIKINGS UNDER 53.5 (win)

SOOPOO (1-5)
VIKINGS -2.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
DOLPHINS +14 (loss)
FOOTBALL TEAM +3 (loss)
TITANS +2.5 (win)
CHIEFS -10 (loss)

EdCollins (3-3)
TITANS +2.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
LIONS +3.5 (loss)
PATRIOTS +4 (win)
BEARS +4 (loss)
FALCONS -3 (loss)

GenWyzgy (1-5)
FALCONS -3 (loss)
TITANS +2.5 (win)
CHARGERS UNDER 49 (loss)
BUCCANEERS -4.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
CHIEFS -10 (loss)

unJon (4-2)
FALCONS UNDER 47 CONFIDENCE (win)
COLTS OVER 50.5 (win)
SAINTS UNDER 49.5 (loss)
COWBOYS UNDER 53.5 (win)
BRONCOS OVER 44.5 (loss)

PlayYourCardsRight (5-1)
TITANS +2.5 (win)
49ERS -4 (win)
SEAHAWKS -3 (win)
COWBOYS +2.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
CHIEFS -10 (loss)

FourFiveFace (1-5)
BILLS -14 (win)
COLTS -2.5 (loss)
BROWNS -3.5 (loss)
BEARS +4 CONFIDENCE (loss)
CHARGERS -4 (loss)

miplet (4-2)
SEAHAWKS -3 CONFIDENCE (win)
CHARGERS -4 (loss)
BRONCOS -3 (win)
SAINTS +4.5 (win)
VIKINGS -2.5 (loss)

JohnnyQ (4-2)
LIONS (+3.5) (loss)
JETS (+10.5) (win)
STEELERS (+3.5) CONFIDENCE (win)
PATRIOTS (+4) (win)
BUCCANEERS (-4.5) (loss)

JW17 (4-2)
BRONCOS (-3) CONFIDENCE (win)
COWBOYS (+2.5) (win)
CHIEFS (-10) (loss)
SEAHAWKS (-3) (win)
FALCONS (-3) (loss)

Sparty10k (2-4)
EAGLES -3.5 (win)
COLTS -2.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
BENGALS -10.5 (loss)
49ERS OVER 39.5 (win)
BUCCANEERS-4.5 (loss)

scolist (2-4)
FALCONS -3 (loss)
BILLS -14 (win)
CHARGERS -4.5 (loss)
BUCCANEERS -4.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
COWBOYS +3 (win)

Wizard (2-4)
DOLPHINS +14 (loss)
LIONS +3.5 (loss)
TEXANS +14.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
JETS +10.5 (win)
STEELERS +3.5 (win)


Week 8 Standings

Name Wins Losses %
Johnzimbo 33 15 68.75%
PlayYourCardsRight 31 17 64.58%
RideTheEdge 31 17 64.58%
EdCollins 29 18 61.70%
IndyJeffrey 28 19 59.57%
Wizard 27 20 57.45%
JW17 24 18 57.14%
Mission146 27 21 56.25%
jml24 20 16 55.56%
unJon 25 22 53.19%
scolist 23 21 52.27%
FourFiveFace 24 23 51.06%
miplet 21 21 50.00%
mwalz9 24 24 50.00%
AZDuffman 23 24 48.94%
SOOPOO 23 24 48.94%
Joeman 22 24 47.83%
GenWyzgy 18 29 38.30%
JohnnyQ 18 30 37.50%
Sparty10k 18 30 37.50%
Gordonm888 17 30 36.17%
Totals 506 463 52.22%


Record of Skip Weeks
miplet (Week 2)
JW17 (Week 6)
jml24 (Week 8)
EdCollins
EdCollins
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Joined: Oct 21, 2011
November 1st, 2021 at 8:23:39 PM permalink
JohnnyQ
JohnnyQ
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Joined: Nov 3, 2009
November 2nd, 2021 at 6:48:38 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins


Week 8 Standings

Name Wins Losses %
GenWyzgy 18 29 38.30%
JohnnyQ 18 30 37.50%
Sparty10k 18 30 37.50%
Gordonm888 17 30 36.17%
Totals 506 463 52.22%

HEY, the Cellar is getting crowded !
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
Mission146
Mission146
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Joined: May 15, 2012
November 4th, 2021 at 4:12:03 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 9 Lines are as follows:

Texans (+5.5) @ Dolphins (-5.5) O/U 46
Broncos (+10) @ Cowboys (-10) O/U 49.5
Vikings (+6) @ Ravens (-6) O/U 49.5
Patriots (-3.5) @ Panthers (+3.5) O/U 41.5
Bills (-14.5) @ Jaguars (+14.5) O/U 48.5
Browns (+2.5) @ Bengals (-2.5) O/U 47
Raiders (-3) @ Giants (+3) O/U 46.5
Falcons (+6.5) @ Saints (-6.5) O/U 42
Chargers (-1.5) @ Eagles (+1.5) O/U 50
Packers (+7.5) @ Chiefs (-7.5) O/U 48
Cardinals (+1.5) @ 49ers (-1.5) O/U 45.5
Titans (+7.5) @ Rams (-7.5) O/U 53.5
Bears (+6.5) @ Steelers (-6.5) O/U 39.5
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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unJon
November 4th, 2021 at 4:13:38 PM permalink
I should also mention that I believe this is the week UnJon's generous add to the Perfection Bonus kicks in. Because there was no winner last week and the new weekly Perfection Bonus is up to $20, $30 is up for grabs this week.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
unJon
unJon
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EdCollinsJohnnyQJoeman
November 4th, 2021 at 6:48:34 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

I should also mention that I believe this is the week UnJon's generous add to the Perfection Bonus kicks in. Because there was no winner last week and the new weekly Perfection Bonus is up to $20, $30 is up for grabs this week.
link to original post



Correct. Good luck all.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
Mission146
Mission146
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Joined: May 15, 2012
November 7th, 2021 at 8:07:25 AM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 9 Picks are as follows:

Mission146:
Skips Week 9

SOOPOO:
Panthers +3.5 Confidence
Rams -7.5
Jaguars +14.5
Falcons +6.5
Cardinals +1.5

JohnnyQ:
Panthers (+3.5)
Bengals (-2.5) CONFIDENCE
Giants (+3)
Eagles (+1.5)
Cardinals (+1.5)

Joeman:
Panthers +3.5
Cardinals +1.5
Rams -7.5 -Confidence
Dolphins -5.5
Bengals -2.5

mwalz9:
RAIDERS -3 CONFIDENCE
RAVENS -6
CHARGERS -1.5
TEXANS +5.5
BILLS/JAGS OVER 48.5

IndyJeffrey
Vikings +6
Patriots -3.5-Confidence
Browns OVER 47
Chargers -1.5
Eagles UNDER 50

JW17:
Broncos (+10)
Cardinals (+1.5) confidence
Giants (+3)
Ravens (-6)
Packers (+7.5)

RideTheEdge:
Ravens OVER 49.5
Packers +7.5-Confidence
49ers -1.5
Titans +7.5
Titans UNDER 53.5

AZDuffman:
Browns OVER 47
Cowboys UNDER 49.5-CONFIDENCE
Packers +7.5
Bills -14.5
Texans UNDER 46

JML24:
Dolphins -5.5
Panthers +3.5
Saints -6.5
Eagles +1.5
Titans +7.5

scolist:
Raiders -3 Confidence
Ravens -6
Cardinals +1.5
Patriots -3.5
Chargers -1.5

EdCollins
Cardinals +1.5
Falcons OVER 42 Confidence
Panthers +3.5
Browns +2.5
Packers +7.5

PlayYourCardsRight:
Ravens -6
Panthers +3.5
Raiders -3
Chargers -1.5
Packers +7.5 CONFIDENCE

Wizard:
Broncos (+10)
Panthers (+3.5)
Packers (+7.5) -- confidence
Titans (+7.5)
Falcons (+6.5)

Genwyzgy:
Texans +5.5
Broncos +10
Vikings +6-CONFIDENCE
Browns +2.5
Rams UNDER 53.5

Johnzimbo:
Cowboys -10
Packers under 48
Bills -14.5
Bills under 48.5 confidence
Browns under 47

UnJon:
Falcons +6.5
Falcons OVER 42
Browns OVER 47-confidence
Vikings +6
Texans UNDER 46

FourFiveFace:
Dolphins -5.5
Panthers +3.5-Confidence
Chargers -1.5
Rams -7.5
Steelers -6.5

Gordonm888
Vikings +6
Bills -14.5 Confidence
Bills Over 48.5
Falcons +6.5
Packers +7.5

Sparty10k:
Ravens -6
Giants +3
Eagles +1.5
Packers +7.5
49ers -1.5- confidence

miplet:
Broncos +10
Browns +2.5
Packers +7.5-confidence
49ers -1.5
Titans +7.5

Perfection Bonus Log:

Week 1: UnJon ($10)

Week 3: JohnZimbo ($20)

Week 6: PlayYourCardsRight ($15) & SOOPOO ($15)

Week 7: JohnZimbo ($5) & EdCollins ($5)

Week 9 Perfection Bonus Available: $30
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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PlayYourCardsRight
November 7th, 2021 at 8:10:51 AM permalink
I can confirm that Mission146 did indeed reach out to me and say he is skipping this week intentionally. He thinks that the matchups, injuries and lines make this week way too weird and only likes the Raiders laying three and the Steelers game to go OVER...but he doesn't even have Confidence in either of those.

He also points out that the Buccaneers are off, so by not making Picks, he can also have a bye week.

Third-person just for the lulz, positive variance to everyone this weekend! I have a lot to get done, so no real time to have one eye on games or scores all day.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
EdCollins
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JohnnyQ
November 7th, 2021 at 8:17:40 AM permalink
LOTS of love for the Packers. This many picks for them, and zero for their opponent, is probably a new record.

PlayYourCardsRight
PlayYourCardsRight
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Mission146
November 8th, 2021 at 3:32:43 PM permalink
After that massacre, seems like Mission made the right choice.
mwalz9
mwalz9
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Mission146
November 8th, 2021 at 3:45:54 PM permalink
Mission was right. I went 1-5! OUCH!
EdCollins
EdCollins
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Mission146
November 8th, 2021 at 3:47:42 PM permalink
Quote: PlayYourCardsRight

After that massacre, seems like Mission made the right choice.
link to original post


It was certainly an interesting day.

The Bills, a 14.5 favorite over the Jaguars, lost outright.
The Cowboys, a 10 point favorite over the Broncos, lost outright.
The Rams, a 7.5 favorite over the Titans, lost outright.
The Saints, a 6.5 favorite over the Falcons, lost outright.
The Bengals, a 2.5 favorite over the Browns, lost outright.
The 49ers, a 1.5 favorite over the Cardinals, lost outright.

What's even more surprisingly is nearly all of these favorites were playing at home. (The Bills/Jags game is the only exception. The Bills lost but they were playing away.)
Mission146
Mission146
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Joined: May 15, 2012
November 8th, 2021 at 3:56:08 PM permalink
Don’t forget the Raiders (the only spread that I liked) also lost outright. So, I’d be 0-1 on the two Picks I said I would have liked at all. I guess we’ll see if tonight’s game goes over.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
mwalz9
mwalz9
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Mission146
November 8th, 2021 at 4:11:12 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Don’t forget the Raiders (the only spread that I liked) also lost outright. So, I’d be 0-1 on the two Picks I said I would have liked at all. I guess we’ll see if tonight’s game goes over.
link to original post



I had Raiders as my confidence. ;o(
gordonm888
Administrator
gordonm888
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November 8th, 2021 at 4:11:48 PM permalink
I lost 3 points on the Bills Jaguar game.

My confidence pick was the Bills -14.5 and they failed to cover ATS by 18 points!
I also picked the Bills Over 48.5, and that failed to cover by 40 points!

Not only am I in last place, I am royally stinking up the contest.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
Mission146
Mission146
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Joined: May 15, 2012
November 8th, 2021 at 4:12:08 PM permalink
It probably would have been mine, except I wouldn’t have had actual confidence in anything this week.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
EdCollins
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Joined: Oct 21, 2011
November 8th, 2021 at 4:27:44 PM permalink
This was actually our most successful week. 9 players all posted records of 5-1 or better this week.

As a group, Regular Picks are currently 50-30, with just one pick remaining for tonight's game.
Johnzimbo
Johnzimbo
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November 8th, 2021 at 6:24:38 PM permalink
I had the Bills -14.5 and the Cowboys -10, both lost straight up. I stink
EdCollins
EdCollins
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Joeman
November 8th, 2021 at 8:37:30 PM permalink
Week 9 Final Results

SOOPOO (3-3)
PANTHERS +3.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
RAMS -7.5 (loss)
JAGUARS +14.5 (win)
FALCONS +6.5 (win)
CARDINALS +1.5 (win)

JohnnyQ (2-4)
PANTHERS (+3.5) (loss)
BENGALS (-2.5) CONFIDENCE (loss)
GIANTS (+3) (win)
EAGLES (+1.5) (loss)
CARDINALS (+1.5) (win)

Joeman (2-4)
PANTHERS +3.5 (loss)
CARDINALS +1.5 (win)
RAMS -7.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
DOLPHINS -5.5 (win)
BENGALS -2.5 (loss)

mwalz9 (1-5)
RAIDERS -3 CONFIDENCE (loss)
RAVENS -6 (loss)
CHARGERS -1.5 (win)
TEXANS +5.5 (loss)
BILLS/JAGS OVER 48.5 (loss)

IndyJeffrey (5-1)
VIKINGS +6 (win)
PATRIOTS -3.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
BROWNS OVER 47 (win)
CHARGERS -1.5 (win)
EAGLES UNDER 50 (loss)

JW17 (5-1)
BRONCOS (+10) (win)
CARDINALS (+1.5) CONFIDENCE (win)
GIANTS (+3) (win)
RAVENS (-6) (loss)
PACKERS (+7.5) (win)

RideTheEdge (5-1)
RAVENS OVER 49.5 (win)
PACKERS +7.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
49ERS -1.5 (loss)
TITANS +7.5 (win)
TITANS UNDER 53.5 (win)

AZDuffman (5-1)
BROWNS OVER 47 (win)
COWBOYS UNDER 49.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
PACKERS +7.5 (win)
BILLS -14.5 (loss)
TEXANS UNDER 46 (win)

JML24 (2-3)
DOLPHINS -5.5 (win)
PANTHERS +3.5 (loss)
SAINTS -6.5 (loss)
EAGLES +1.5 (loss)
TITANS +7.5 (win)

scolist (3-3)
RAIDERS -3 CONFIDENCE (loss)
RAVENS -6 (loss)
CARDINALS +1.5 (win)
PATRIOTS -3.5 (win)
CHARGERS -1.5 (win)

EdCollins (5-1)
CARDINALS +1.5 (win)
FALCONS OVER 42 CONFIDENCE (win)
PANTHERS +3.5 (loss)
BROWNS +2.5 (win)
PACKERS +7.5 (win)

PlayYourCardsRight (3-3)
RAVENS -6 (loss)
PANTHERS +3.5 (loss)
RAIDERS -3 (loss)
CHARGERS -1.5 (win)
PACKERS +7.5 CONFIDENCE (win)

Wizard (5-1)
BRONCOS (+10) (win)
PANTHERS (+3.5) (loss)
PACKERS (+7.5) CONFIDENCE (win)
TITANS (+7.5) (win)
FALCONS (+6.5) (win)

Genwyzgy (5-1)
TEXANS +5.5 (loss)
BRONCOS +10 (win)
VIKINGS +6 CONFIDENCE (win)
BROWNS +2.5 (win)
RAMS UNDER 53.5 (win)

Johnzimbo (3-3)
COWBOYS -10 (loss)
PACKERS UNDER 48 (win)
BILLS -14.5 (loss)
BILLS UNDER 48.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
BROWNS UNDER 47 (loss)

UnJon (6-0)
FALCONS +6.5 (win)
FALCONS OVER 42 (win)
BROWNS OVER 47 CONFIDENCE (win)
VIKINGS +6 (win)
TEXANS UNDER 46 (win)

FourFiveFace (2-4)
DOLPHINS -5.5 (win)
PANTHERS +3.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
CHARGERS -1.5 (win)
RAMS -7.5 (loss)
STEELERS -6.5 (loss)

Gordonm888 (3-3)
VIKINGS +6 (win)
BILLS -14.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
BILLS OVER 48.5 (loss)
FALCONS +6.5 (win)
PACKERS +7.5 (win)

Sparty10k (2-4)
RAVENS -6 (loss)
GIANTS +3 (win)
EAGLES +1.5 (loss)
PACKERS +7.5 (win)
49ERS -1.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)

miplet (5-1)
BRONCOS +10 (win)
BROWNS +2.5 (win)
PACKERS +7.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
49ERS -1.5 (loss)
TITANS +7.5 (win)

Standings Thru Week 9

Name Wins Losses %
Johnzimbo 36 18 66.67%
RideTheEdge 36 18 66.67%
EdCollins 34 19 64.15%
PlayYourCardsRight 34 20 62.96%
IndyJeffrey 33 20 62.26%
JW17 29 19 60.42%
Wizard 32 21 60.38%
unJon 31 22 58.49%
Mission146 27 21 56.25%
miplet 26 22 54.17%
jml24 22 19 53.66%
AZDuffman 28 25 52.83%
scolist 26 24 52.00%
FourFiveFace 26 27 49.06%
SOOPOO 26 27 49.06%
mwalz9 25 29 46.30%
Joeman 24 28 46.15%
GenWyzgy 23 30 43.40%
Gordonm888 20 33 37.74%
JohnnyQ 20 34 37.04%
Sparty10k 20 34 37.04%
Totals 578 510 53.13%


Record of Skip Weeks

miplet (Week 2)
JW17 (Week 6)
jml24 (Week 8)
Mission146 (Week 9)
EdCollins
EdCollins
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Joined: Oct 21, 2011
November 8th, 2021 at 8:38:00 PM permalink
unJon
unJon
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Joined: Jul 1, 2018
Thanked by
Mission146
November 9th, 2021 at 5:42:40 AM permalink
How about that.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
IndyJeffrey
IndyJeffrey
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Joined: Feb 10, 2013
November 9th, 2021 at 2:32:21 PM permalink
Keep in mind, the winner of the 2020 Circa Million III had a winning percentage of 67.06%
JW17
JW17
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Joined: Dec 30, 2011
November 9th, 2021 at 8:36:34 PM permalink
Yeah I just jinxed my self. Not a red week yet.
Mission146
Mission146
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Joined: May 15, 2012
Thanked by
unJon
November 10th, 2021 at 8:19:47 AM permalink
Quote: unJon

How about that.
link to original post



That wasn't very polite of you. You offer up money and immediately take it away. Nice 6-0!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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  • Posts: 10939
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
November 10th, 2021 at 9:34:03 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Week 9 Final Results

SOOPOO (3-3)
PANTHERS +3.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
RAMS -7.5 (loss)
JAGUARS +14.5 (win)
FALCONS +6.5 (win)
CARDINALS +1.5 (win)

JohnnyQ (2-4)
PANTHERS (+3.5) (loss)
BENGALS (-2.5) CONFIDENCE (loss)
GIANTS (+3) (win)
EAGLES (+1.5) (loss)
CARDINALS (+1.5) (win)

Joeman (2-4)
PANTHERS +3.5 (loss)
CARDINALS +1.5 (win)
RAMS -7.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
DOLPHINS -5.5 (win)
BENGALS -2.5 (loss)

mwalz9 (1-5)
RAIDERS -3 CONFIDENCE (loss)
RAVENS -6 (loss)
CHARGERS -1.5 (win)
TEXANS +5.5 (loss)
BILLS/JAGS OVER 48.5 (loss)

IndyJeffrey (5-1)
VIKINGS +6 (win)
PATRIOTS -3.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
BROWNS OVER 47 (win)
CHARGERS -1.5 (win)
EAGLES UNDER 50 (loss)

JW17 (5-1)
BRONCOS (+10) (win)
CARDINALS (+1.5) CONFIDENCE (win)
GIANTS (+3) (win)
RAVENS (-6) (loss)
PACKERS (+7.5) (win)

RideTheEdge (5-1)
RAVENS OVER 49.5 (win)
PACKERS +7.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
49ERS -1.5 (loss)
TITANS +7.5 (win)
TITANS UNDER 53.5 (win)

AZDuffman (5-1)
BROWNS OVER 47 (win)
COWBOYS UNDER 49.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
PACKERS +7.5 (win)
BILLS -14.5 (loss)
TEXANS UNDER 46 (win)

JML24 (2-3)
DOLPHINS -5.5 (win)
PANTHERS +3.5 (loss)
SAINTS -6.5 (loss)
EAGLES +1.5 (loss)
TITANS +7.5 (win)

scolist (3-3)
RAIDERS -3 CONFIDENCE (loss)
RAVENS -6 (loss)
CARDINALS +1.5 (win)
PATRIOTS -3.5 (win)
CHARGERS -1.5 (win)

EdCollins (5-1)
CARDINALS +1.5 (win)
FALCONS OVER 42 CONFIDENCE (win)
PANTHERS +3.5 (loss)
BROWNS +2.5 (win)
PACKERS +7.5 (win)

PlayYourCardsRight (3-3)
RAVENS -6 (loss)
PANTHERS +3.5 (loss)
RAIDERS -3 (loss)
CHARGERS -1.5 (win)
PACKERS +7.5 CONFIDENCE (win)

Wizard (5-1)
BRONCOS (+10) (win)
PANTHERS (+3.5) (loss)
PACKERS (+7.5) CONFIDENCE (win)
TITANS (+7.5) (win)
FALCONS (+6.5) (win)

Genwyzgy (5-1)
TEXANS +5.5 (loss)
BRONCOS +10 (win)
VIKINGS +6 CONFIDENCE (win)
BROWNS +2.5 (win)
RAMS UNDER 53.5 (win)

Johnzimbo (3-3)
COWBOYS -10 (loss)
PACKERS UNDER 48 (win)
BILLS -14.5 (loss)
BILLS UNDER 48.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
BROWNS UNDER 47 (loss)

UnJon (6-0)
FALCONS +6.5 (win)
FALCONS OVER 42 (win)
BROWNS OVER 47 CONFIDENCE (win)
VIKINGS +6 (win)
TEXANS UNDER 46 (win)

FourFiveFace (2-4)
DOLPHINS -5.5 (win)
PANTHERS +3.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
CHARGERS -1.5 (win)
RAMS -7.5 (loss)
STEELERS -6.5 (loss)

Gordonm888 (3-3)
VIKINGS +6 (win)
BILLS -14.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
BILLS OVER 48.5 (loss)
FALCONS +6.5 (win)
PACKERS +7.5 (win)

Sparty10k (2-4)
RAVENS -6 (loss)
GIANTS +3 (win)
EAGLES +1.5 (loss)
PACKERS +7.5 (win)
49ERS -1.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)

miplet (5-1)
BRONCOS +10 (win)
BROWNS +2.5 (win)
PACKERS +7.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
49ERS -1.5 (loss)
TITANS +7.5 (win)

Standings Thru Week 9


Name Wins Losses %
Johnzimbo 36 18 66.67%
RideTheEdge 36 18 66.67%
EdCollins 34 19 64.15%
PlayYourCardsRight 34 20 62.96%
IndyJeffrey 33 20 62.26%
JW17 29 19 60.42%
Wizard 32 21 60.38%
unJon 31 22 58.49%
Mission146 27 21 56.25%
miplet 26 22 54.17%
jml24 22 19 53.66%
AZDuffman 28 25 52.83%
scolist 26 24 52.00%
FourFiveFace 26 27 49.06%
SOOPOO 26 27 49.06%
mwalz9 25 29 46.30%
Joeman 24 28 46.15%
GenWyzgy 23 30 43.40%
Gordonm888 20 33 37.74%
JohnnyQ 20 34 37.04%
Sparty10k 20 34 37.04%
Totals 578 510 53.13%


Record of Skip Weeks

miplet (Week 2)
JW17 (Week 6)
jml24 (Week 8)
Mission146 (Week 9)
link to original post



I see me and FourFiveFace are tied for Mr. Average. Is there a Mr. Average prize this year? I think I am so average at picking I can be the first multi-time average picker winner. I am certain to go 3-3 this week to continue my middling ways.
unJon
unJon
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Joined: Jul 1, 2018
November 10th, 2021 at 9:37:38 AM permalink
I think Mr Highest Variance would be a fun prize. Whoever’s weekly picks at year end have the highest standard deviation from his average. So 18 data point standard deviation formula.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
Mission146
Mission146
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Joined: May 15, 2012
November 10th, 2021 at 9:39:33 AM permalink
Quote: unJon

I think Mr Highest Variance would be a fun prize. Whoever’s weekly picks at year end have the highest standard deviation from his average. So 18 data point standard deviation formula.
link to original post



There is a Most Average prize this year---(Post before this quoted post) and that might be a good prize for me to add next year.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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  • Posts: 16832
Joined: May 15, 2012
November 11th, 2021 at 1:54:58 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 10 Lines are as follows:

Jaguars (+10.5) @ Colts (-10.5) O/U 47.5
Browns (+2) @ Patriots (-2) O/U 45
Falcons (+9.5) @ Cowboys (-9.5) O/U 54.5
Bills (-12) @ Jets (+12) O/U 47.5
Saints (+3) @ Titans (-3) O/U 44.5
Buccaneers (-9.5) @ Football Team (+9.5) O/U 51.5
Lions (+8.5) @ Steelers (-8.5) O/U 42.5
Vikings (+3) @ Chargers (-3) O/U 53
Panthers (+10) @ Cardinals (-10) O/U 44.5
Seahawks (+3.5) @ Packers (-3.5) O/U 49.5
Eagles (+2.5) @ Broncos (-2.5) O/U 45
Chiefs (-2.5) @ Raiders (+2.5) O/U 52.5
Rams (-4) @ 49ers (+4) O/U 49.5

Perfection Bonus Log:

Week 1: UnJon ($10)

Week 3: JohnZimbo ($20)

Week 6: PlayYourCardsRight ($15) & SOOPOO ($15)

Week 7: JohnZimbo ($5) & EdCollins ($5)

Week 9: Unjon ($30)

Week 10 Perfection Bonus Available: $20
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
JohnnyQ
JohnnyQ
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Joined: Nov 3, 2009
November 12th, 2021 at 4:57:47 AM permalink
Gordon & Sparty:

Thanks for the company at the bottom of the standings, but it is getting too crowded. SO, GOOD LUCK with YOUR PICKS !
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
Mission146
Mission146
  • Threads: 142
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Joined: May 15, 2012
November 14th, 2021 at 8:14:06 AM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 10 Picks are as follows:

Mission146:
Steelers OVER 42.5-CONFIDENCE
Raiders +2.5
Rams -4
Patriots -2
Jets +12

Joeman:
Football Team +9.5
Titans -3
Broncos -2.5
Cardinals -10 -Confidence
Patriots -2

SOOPOO:
Jets +12 Confidence
Jaguars +10.5
Falcons +9.5
Football Team +9.5
Chiefs-2.5

JohnnyQ:
Jaguars (+10.5)
Patriots (-2)
Steelers (-8.5) CONFIDENCE
Chargers (-3)
Broncos (-2.5)

IndyJeffrey
Colts UNDER 47.5
Patriots -2
Titans -3
Chargers -3
Rams -4-Confidence

Wizard:
Saints (+3)
Lions (+8.5) -- confidence
Seahawks (+3.5)
Eagles (+2.5)
49ers (+4)

AZDuffman:
Patriots OVER 45
Jets +12
Raiders +2.5-CONFIDENCE
Lions +8.5
Redskins OVER 51.5

JW17:
Broncos (-2.5) confidence
Broncos UNDER 45
Chiefs (-2.5)
Chargers (-3)
Rams (-4)

mwalz9
TITANS UNDER 44.5 CONFIDENCE
PACKERS UNDER 49.5
PANTHERS +10
SEAHAWKS +3.5
CHARGERS -3

GenWyzgy:
Falcons OVER 54.5
Titans -3 CONFIDENCE
Steelers -8.5
Seahawks OVER 49.5
Broncos -2.5

JML24:
Jaguars +10.5
Cowboys -9.5
Bills -12
Seahawks +3.5
49ers +4

RideTheEdge:
Jaguars +10.5
Saints +3
Saints UNDER 44.5-Confidence
Buccaneers UNDER 51.5
Lions +8.5

JohnZimbo:
Football team +9.5
Lions +8.5
Raiders +2.5 confidence
Saints +3
Cowboys -9.5

Gordonm888
Lions +8.5
Panthers +10
Eagles +2.5 Confidence
Raiders +2.5
49ers +4

PlayYourCardsRight:
Bills -12
Titans -3
Chargers -3
Packers -3.5 CONFIDENCE
Raiders +2.5

unJon:
Lions +8.5
Falcons +9.5
Cardinals UNDER 44.5-confidence
Eagles +2.5
Steelers UNDER 42.5

EdCollins
Lions +8.5 Confidence
Jets Over 47.5
Chiefs Under 52.5
Cardinals -10
Browns +2

FourFiveFace:
Colts -10.5
Cowboys -9.5
Lions +8.5
Panthers +10-Confidence
Eagles +2.5

miplet:
Falcons +9.5
Lions +8.5
Seahawks +3.5-confidence
Eagles +2.5
49ers +4

scolist:
Packers -3.5 Confidence
Patriots -2
Titans -3
Broncos -2.5
Rams -4

Sparty10k:
Browns +2
Falcons +9.5
Jets +12
Seahawks under 49.5
Raiders +2.5-confidence

Perfection Bonus Log:

Week 1: UnJon ($10)

Week 3: JohnZimbo ($20)

Week 6: PlayYourCardsRight ($15) & SOOPOO ($15)

Week 7: JohnZimbo ($5) & EdCollins ($5)

Week 9: Unjon ($30)

Week 10 Perfection Bonus Available: $20
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
EdCollins
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Joined: Oct 21, 2011
November 14th, 2021 at 8:24:06 AM permalink
As I expected, a lot of love for the winless Lions, after it was announced that Big Ben would miss the game.

EdCollins
EdCollins
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Joined: Oct 21, 2011
Thanked by
Joeman
November 15th, 2021 at 7:27:42 PM permalink
Week 10 Results

Mission146 (1-5)
STEELERS OVER 42.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
RAIDERS +2.5 (loss)
RAMS -4 (loss)
PATRIOTS -2 (win)
JETS +12 (loss)

Joeman (2-4)
FOOTBALL TEAM +9.5 (win)
TITANS -3 (loss)
BRONCOS -2.5 (loss)
CARDINALS -10 CONFIDENCE (loss)
PATRIOTS -2 (win)

SOOPOO (3-3)
JETS +12 CONFIDENCE (loss)
JAGUARS +10.5 (win)
FALCONS +9.5 (loss)
FOOTBALL TEAM +9.5 (win)
CHIEFS -2.5 (win)

JohnnyQ (2-4)
JAGUARS (+10.5) (win)
PATRIOTS (-2) (win)
STEELERS (-8.5) CONFIDENCE (loss)
CHARGERS (-3) (loss)
BRONCOS (-2.5) (loss)

IndyJeffrey (2-4)
COLTS UNDER 47.5 (win)
PATRIOTS -2 (win)
TITANS -3 (loss)
CHARGERS -3 (loss)
RAMS -4 CONFIDENCE (loss)

Wizard (5-1)
SAINTS (+3) (win)
LIONS (+8.5) CONFIDENCE (win)
SEAHAWKS (+3.5) (loss)
EAGLES (+2.5) (win)
49ERS (+4) (win)

AZDuffman (2-4)
PATRIOTS OVER 45 (win)
JETS +12 (loss)
RAIDERS +2.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
LIONS +8.5 (win)
FOOTBALL TEAM OVER 51.5 (loss)

JW17 (2-4)
BRONCOS (-2.5) CONFIDENCE (loss)
BRONCOS UNDER 45 (win)
CHIEFS (-2.5) (win)
CHARGERS (-3) (loss)
RAMS (-4) (loss)

mwalz9 (4-2)
TITANS UNDER 44.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
PACKERS UNDER 49.5 (win)
PANTHERS +10 (win)
SEAHAWKS +3.5 (loss)
CHARGERS -3 (loss)

GenWyzgy (0-6)
FALCONS OVER 54.5 (loss)
TITANS -3 CONFIDENCE (loss)
STEELERS -8.5 (loss)
SEAHAWKS OVER 49.5 (loss)
BRONCOS -2.5 (loss)

JML24 (4-1)
JAGUARS +10.5 (win)
COWBOYS -9.5 (win)
BILLS -12 (win)
SEAHAWKS +3.5 (loss)
49ERS +4 (win)

RideTheEdge (6-0)
JAGUARS +10.5 (win)
SAINTS +3 (win)
SAINTS UNDER 44.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
BUCCANEERS UNDER 51.5 (win)
LIONS +8.5 (win)

JohnZimbo (4-2)
FOOTBALL TEAM +9.5 (win)
LIONS +8.5 (win)
RAIDERS +2.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
SAINTS +3 (win)
COWBOYS -9.5 (win)

Gordonm888 (5-1)
LIONS +8.5 (win)
PANTHERS +10 (win)
EAGLES +2.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
RAIDERS +2.5 (loss)
49ERS +4 (win)

PlayYourCardsRight (3-3)
BILLS -12 (win)
TITANS -3 (loss)
CHARGERS -3 (loss)
PACKERS -3.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
RAIDERS +2.5 (loss)

unJon (5-1)
LIONS +8.5 (win)
FALCONS +9.5 (loss)
CARDINALS UNDER 44.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
EAGLES +2.5 (win)
STEELERS UNDER 42.5 (win)

EdCollins (3-3)
LIONS +8.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
JETS OVER 47.5 (win)
CHIEFS UNDER 52.5 (loss)
CARDINALS -10 (loss)
BROWNS +2 (loss)

FourFiveFace (5-1)
COLTS -10.5 (loss)
COWBOYS -9.5 (win)
LIONS +8.5 (win)
PANTHERS +10 CONFIDENCE (win)
EAGLES +2.5 (win)

miplet (3-3)
FALCONS +9.5 (loss)
LIONS +8.5 (win)
SEAHAWKS +3.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)
EAGLES +2.5 (win)
49ERS +4 (win)

scolist (3-3)
PACKERS -3.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
PATRIOTS -2 (win)
TITANS -3 (loss)
BRONCOS -2.5 (loss)
RAMS -4 (loss)

Sparty10k (1-5)
BROWNS +2 (loss)
FALCONS +9.5 (loss)
JETS +12 (loss)
SEAHAWKS UNDER 49.5 (win)
RAIDERS +2.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)


Week 10 Standings

Name Wins Losses %
RideTheEdge 42 18 70.00%
JohnZimbo 40 20 66.67%
EdCollins 37 22 62.71%
Wizard 37 22 62.71%
PlayYourCardsRight 37 23 61.67%
unJon 36 23 61.02%
IndyJeffrey 35 24 59.32%
JW17 31 23 57.41%
jml24 26 20 56.52%
miplet 29 25 53.70%
FourFiveFace 31 27 53.45%
Mission146 28 26 51.85%
scolist 29 27 51.79%
AZDuffman 30 29 50.85%
SOOPOO 29 30 49.15%
mwalz9 29 31 48.33%
Joeman 26 32 44.83%
Gordonm888 25 34 42.37%
GenWyzgy 23 36 38.98%
JohnnyQ 22 38 36.67%
Sparty10k 21 39 35.00%
Totals 643 569 53.05%


Record of Skip Weeks
miplet: Week 2
JW17: Week 6
jml24: Week 8
Mission146: Week 9
EdCollins
EdCollins
  • Threads: 20
  • Posts: 1739
Joined: Oct 21, 2011
Thanked by
JW17
November 15th, 2021 at 7:28:30 PM permalink

Despite an impressive 4-2 record this week, JohnZimbo drops to Second Place.

RideTheEdge is on a 16-2 run.

unJon is on a 15-3 run.

JW17 had his first ever losing weekend.

sparty10K is doing extremely well. It's obvious his best chance is for the You Suck consolation prize and he's on a 7-23 run over the past five weeks.
gordonm888
Administrator
gordonm888
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Joined: Feb 18, 2015
November 15th, 2021 at 8:22:28 PM permalink
Hoo Hah! My 5-1 record this week only moved me up from 19th to 18th place, but its a tremendous weight off my shoulders. I'm only picking for my pride now, but I'm hoping this is the start of some more favorable variance. Or, is that hope just a textbook case of Gambler's Fallacy?
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
Mission146
Mission146
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Joined: May 15, 2012
November 16th, 2021 at 6:38:53 AM permalink
Congratulations to RideTheEdge on soloing the Week 10 Perfection Bonus!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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Joined: Aug 8, 2010
Thanked by
Mission146
November 16th, 2021 at 7:57:17 AM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Congratulations to RideTheEdge on soloing the Week 10 Perfection Bonus!
link to original post

. I was perfectly mediocre at 3-3. Tied with AZ for most mediocre.
RideTheEdge
RideTheEdge
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Joined: Apr 30, 2020
Thanked by
Mission146
November 16th, 2021 at 7:57:55 AM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Congratulations to RideTheEdge on soloing the Week 10 Perfection Bonus!
link to original post



Thanks! It's going to take that kind of luck to have a chance against Johnzimbo.
Johnzimbo
Johnzimbo
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Joined: Sep 29, 2010
Thanked by
Mission146
November 16th, 2021 at 8:38:56 AM permalink
I was perfect. Until the Raiders. Never liked them...not sure why I took them. Ridetheedge is on fire for sure
JW17
JW17
  • Threads: 8
  • Posts: 344
Joined: Dec 30, 2011
November 16th, 2021 at 5:40:02 PM permalink
I knew I jinxed myself. I thought this was an incredibly difficult week, obviously 🤦‍♂️
unJon
unJon
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  • Posts: 4570
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
November 16th, 2021 at 6:56:38 PM permalink
I’m winning this thing. No question (in my mind).
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
JohnnyQ
JohnnyQ
  • Threads: 262
  • Posts: 4021
Joined: Nov 3, 2009
November 17th, 2021 at 4:24:40 AM permalink
Quote: unJon

I’m winning this thing. No question (in my mind).
link to original post

Plenty of weeks left to make your move !
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
EdCollins
EdCollins
  • Threads: 20
  • Posts: 1739
Joined: Oct 21, 2011
November 18th, 2021 at 1:58:25 PM permalink
Breakdown of Picks Made after Week 10

Johnzimbo
Johnzimbo
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Joined: Sep 29, 2010
November 18th, 2021 at 3:30:43 PM permalink
I haven't skipped a week, why do I only total 45 picks?
EdCollins
EdCollins
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Joined: Oct 21, 2011
November 18th, 2021 at 3:53:23 PM permalink
Ah, good question. Let me check...
Mission146
Mission146
  • Threads: 142
  • Posts: 16832
Joined: May 15, 2012
November 18th, 2021 at 4:04:45 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 11 Lines are as follows:

Lions (+11.5) @ Browns (-11.5) O/U 43.5
49ers (-6.5) @ Jaguars (+6.5) O/U 45.5
Colts (+7) @ Bills (-7) O/U 50
Dolphins (-3) @ Jets (+3) O/U 45
Football Team (+3.5) @ Panthers (-3.5) O/U 42.5
Ravens (-4.5) @ Bears (+4.5) O/U 45
Saints (+2) @ Eagles (-2) O/U 43.5
Texans (+10) @ Titans (-10) O/U 44.5
Packers (-1.5) @ Vikings (+1.5) O/U 47
Bengals (-1) @ Raiders (+1) O/U 50
Cardinals (-2.5) @ Seahawks (+2.5) O/U 48.5
Cowboys (+2.5) @ Chiefs (-2.5) O/U 56
Steelers (+6.5) @ Chargers (-6.5) O/U 47.5
Giants (+10.5) @ Buccaneers (-10.5) O/U 49.5
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
EdCollins
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Joined: Oct 21, 2011
Thanked by
unJon
November 18th, 2021 at 4:09:17 PM permalink
Quote: Johnzimbo

I haven't skipped a week, why do I only total 45 picks?
link to original post

Ah, I figured it out.

It's because when Mission posted your picks for week 4, he posted them like this:

JohnZimbo:
49ers confidence
Lions
Titans
Buccaneers
Vikings

(Maybe that's exactly how you sent them to him.)

Anyway, notice no lines are included with the games. All other picks, for everyone, includes the mascot name and the line. The little macro I wrote earlier, to produce that pick breakdown, was written to look at the lines to determine if a favorite was picked or if a dog was picked. Obviously, there were no lines for this lone entry, and so these games weren't added to your breakdown at all.

Fixed. Thanks.

Last edited by: EdCollins on Nov 18, 2021
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