Got it. Thanks.Quote: JohnzimboQuote: EdCollinsIs it DJW6486 or is it DLW6486? The first three weeks his (her?) name began with DL, but these last two weeks his (her?) name has begun with DJ.
It should be DLW
Mission146 (3-2)
Buffalo +3 (loss)
Jets PK (win)
Titans +3 (loss)
Chiefs PK (win)
Jaguars +8.5 (win)
Romes (4-2)
Giants -3 (loss)
Bengals -3 (win)
Steelers -8.5 (loss)
Colts -1.5 (win)
Eagles -6.5 Confidence (win)
WizardofNothing (4-2)
Eagles -6.5 Confidence (win)
Eagles OVER 45 (loss)
Cowboys -2.5 (loss)
Cowboys OVER 52.5 (win)
Chiefs PK (win)
DLW6486 (2-3)
Rams -1.5 (loss)
Eagles OVER 45 (loss)
Raiders -3 (loss)
Lions OVER 42.5 (win)
Steelers UNDER 42.5 (win)
MidwestAP (5-1)
Dolphins +3 Confidence (win)
Chiefs Pk (win)
Colts -1.5 (win)
Jaguars +8 (win)
Rams OVER 46.5 (loss)
JohnZimbo (5-0)
Eagles -6.5 (win)
Jets UNDER 40 (win)
Dolphins +3 (win)
Seahawks +1.5 (win)
Packers OVER 52.5 (win)
Gordonm888 (5-1)
Chargers (+3) (win)
Eagles (- 6.5) (win)
Lions (- 2.5) (loss)
Seahawks (+1.5) (win)
Packers (+2.5) Confidence (win)
KMUMF (3-2)
Panthers OVER 42.5 (win)
Ravens OVER 39 (win)
Bills +3 (loss)
Titans -3 (loss)
Vikings -2.5 (win)
RisingDough (4-1)
Bengals -3 (win)
Browns pk (loss)
Jaguars +8.5 (win)
Dolphins +3 (win)
Panthers +2.5 (win)
SOOPOO (2-4)
Lions -2.5 (Confidence) (loss)
Chiefs PK (win)
Seahawks +1.5 (win)
Cardinals +6.5 (loss)
Bills OVER 39.5 (loss)
GenWyzgy (4-1)
Bills +3 (loss)
Jets PK (win)
Jags +8.5 (win)
Packers +2.5 (win)
Seahawks UNDER 46.5 (win)
Jplot (4-2)
Jaguars +8.5 (win)
Chiefs Pk Confidence (win)
Titans UNDER 43 (win)
Raiders -3 (loss)
Vikings OVER 40 (loss)
terapined (3-2)
Ravens +3 (win)
Jaguars +8.5 (win)
Cardinals +6.5 (loss)
Dolphins +3 (win)
Bills +3 (loss)
PlayYourCardsRight (3-3)
Browns Pk (loss)
Colts -1.5 (win)
Seahawks +1.5 (win)
Ravens +3 (win)
Bears +2.5 Confidence (loss)
Face (3-3)
Dolphins +3 (win)
Raiders -3 (loss)
Rams -1.5 Confidence (loss)
Chargers +3 (win)
Packers +2.5 (win)
JW17 (2-4)
Browns (PK) (loss)
Chiefs (PK) (win)
Raiders (-3) Confidence (loss)
Vikings (-2.5) (win)
Bills (+3) (loss)
JohnnyQ (3-2)
Colts (-1.5) (win)
Lions (-2.5) (loss)
Rams (-1.5) (loss)
Ravens (+3) (win)
Packers (+2.5) (win)
DrZin (3-2)
Jets PK (win)
Dolphins (+3) (win)
Packers (+2.5) (win)
Texans (PK) (loss)
Bears (+2.5) (loss)
rainman (2-3)
Bills +3 (loss)
Cardinals +6.5 (loss)
Seahawks +1.5 (win)
Cowboys -2.5 (loss)
Chiefs PK (win)
Wizard (5-1)
Dolphins (+3) Confidence (win)
Cowboys (-2.5) (loss)
Chiefs (PK) (win)
Vikings (-2.5) (win)
Ravens (+3) (win)
Beachbumbabs (3-3)
Vikings -2.5 (win)
Vikings OVER 40 Confidence (loss)
Packers +2.5 (win)
Chiefs PK (win)
Packers UNDER 52.5 (loss)
EdCollins (3-3)
Bills +3 Confidence (loss)
Jets pk (win)
Dolphins +3 (win)
Giants -3 (loss)
Chiefs pk (win)
miplet (5-1)
Jaguars +8.5 (win)
Dolphins +3 Confidence (win)
Cowboys -2.5 (loss)
Chiefs PK (win)
Vikings -2.5 (win)
Sparty10k (4-2)
Bills+3 (loss)
Jets pk Confidence (win)
Colts-1.5 (win)
Eagles-6.5 (win)
Raiders-3 (loss)
JML24*(0-5)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
Name | Wins | Losses | % |
---|---|---|---|
MidwestAP | 20 | 7 | 74.07% |
Gordonm888 | 16 | 8 | 66.67% |
Mission146 | 16 | 8 | 66.67% |
Wizard | 19 | 10 | 65.52% |
RisingDough | 16 | 9 | 64.00% |
JohnnyQ | 15 | 9 | 62.50% |
terapined | 15 | 9 | 62.50% |
KMUMF | 11 | 8 | 57.89% |
rainman | 15 | 11 | 57.69% |
WizardofNothing | 17 | 13 | 56.67% |
DrZin | 14 | 11 | 56.00% |
JohnZimbo | 16 | 13 | 55.17% |
DLW6486 | 13 | 11 | 54.17% |
BeachBumBabs | 15 | 13 | 53.57% |
JW17 | 15 | 13 | 53.57% |
EdCollins | 14 | 13 | 51.85% |
JPlot | 15 | 14 | 51.72% |
miplet | 15 | 14 | 51.72% |
Sparty10k | 15 | 14 | 51.72% |
odiousgambit | 9 | 9 | 50.00% |
GenWyzgy | 13 | 14 | 48.15% |
SOOPOO | 13 | 15 | 46.43% |
Romes | 11 | 13 | 45.83% |
Face | 9 | 14 | 39.13% |
JML24* | 6 | 13 | 31.58% |
PlayYourCardsRight | 8 | 19 | 29.63% |
Totals | 361 | 305 | 54.20% |
*2 skipped weeks. Eligible for top prize only.
Record of Skip Weeks:
Face: Week 2
Gordonm888: Week 4
JML24: Week 2, Week 5
KMUMF: Week 2
odiousgambit: Week 5
Romes: Week 4
2. The contestants have an aggregate win rate of 54.2%, but if you exclude the 5 forfeit losses, our aggregate win rate is 54.6%. That's almost (but not quite) break-even against the vig.
3. Week 6 looks unusual to me. Most of the really bad teams are facing the very good teams. Five games currently have point spreads in the range of 9 to 13 points, and a 6th game has a 7 point spread. There may be some different issues to think about during the picking process.
Quote: gordonm8881. Congrats to MidwestAP on separating himself from the field. Nice start!
2. The contestants have an aggregate win rate of 54.2%, but if you exclude the 5 forfeit losses, our aggregate win rate is 54.6%. That's almost (but not quite) break-even against the vig.
3. Week 6 looks unusual to me. Most of the really bad teams are facing the very good teams. Five games currently have point spreads in the range of 9 to 13 points, and a 6th game has a 7 point spread. There may be some different issues to think about during the picking process.
The first thing that I want to say is that I am completely embarrassed that I had the wrong end of the Titans/Fins pick, but at least it was somewhat close. I kind of caught the line move based on the Mariota scratch, but honestly, I don't really consider Cassel that much of a downgrade such as to make a difference, and I liked TEN +3 before knowing MM was out. In my view, MM didn't change anything, but we see how well that worked for me.
It wouldn't have been so bad if half of the field didn't have MIA!!!
1.) Yes, congratulations, MidwestAP...but I am coming.
Okay, probably not.
2.) (.546 * 100) - (.454 * 110) = 4.66
4.66 per game picked, so at 361-300 betting $100 per game, the group would be at:
(361 * 100) - (300 * 110) = +$3,100 over 661 picks, so:
66100 (wagered) with a 69200 return is 69200/66100 = 1.04689864 or a 104.689864% ROI. We're crushing the vig!
Unless I am mistaken:
(x * 100) - ((1-x)*110) = 0
X = 0.52380952381
With that, you need to be running at approximately 0.524 or 52.4% winners to overcome the juice.
3.) I love weeks like this, but I reserve the right to change my opinion after we see how the Picks go.
Quote: gordonm8881. Congrats to MidwestAP on separating himself from the field. Nice start!
Thanks gordonm888 and you too Mission. Off to a good start, but there is a long, long, way to go!!
The Week 6 Lines will follow, but first a couple of notes:
1.) There is no VI consensus on Chargers/Raiders because most books appear not to have that on the board. CG Technology apparently has it at Raiders (-2), so better that line than no line at all.
2.) Nobody has an O/U on Chargers/Raiders, at least not according to VI.
3.) We still don't know if Mariota will play, so no lines of any kind on Monday yet.
4.) I'll check for lines a few times today and tomorrow, if anything pops up I'll edit it in...so if you really want to wait to pick those games, feel free...but don't miss the deadline!!!! MNF may not even come up by then.
Browns (+9.5) @ Texans (-9.5) O/U 47
Patriots (-9.5) @ Jets (+9.5) O/U 47.5
Dolphins (+12.5) @ Falcons (-12.5) O/U 46
Lions (+4.5) @ Saints (-4.5) O/U 50
Packers (-3) @ Vikings (+3) O/U 46.5
Bears (+6.5) @ Ravens (-6.5) O/U 39.5
49ers (+11) @ Redskins (-11) O/U 46.5
Rams (+2.5) @ Jaguars (-2.5) O/U 42.5
Buccaneers (-1.5) @ Cardinals (+1.5) O/U 45
Steelers (+4.5) @ Chiefs (-4.5) O/U 47
Chargers +2 (-) @ Raiders -2 (+) O/U
Giants (+11.5) @ Broncos (-11.5) O/U 38.5
Colts (-) @ Titans (+) O/U
Quote: Mission146I'll check for lines a few times today and tomorrow, if anything pops up I'll edit it in
but what is already posted stands, right?
I had to smile and now my head in silent agreement when I read that sentence... because that almost happened to me, not once but twice.Quote: jml24...My strategy of waiting until the last minute to see line moves backfired completely because then I just forget to make my picks :-)
Acknowledged on not sending any more picks. Rather than continue to give you an 0-5 record each week, which seems silly, when I post the unofficial results, I think I will just remove your name completely from the standings.
Quote: Mission146Absolutely, I’d only add lines, not change existing ones.
It's now halfway through the afternoon games. No picks have been posted. I think if you offer a for money game and collect an entrance fee you owe it to those who entered to post the picks before the games are played, not after. If you can't guarantee that I don't think you should run the game. Just saying.....
I am not worried that you are taking the entrance fees and skipping town to Grand Cayman Island....
Quote: SOOPOOIt's now halfway through the afternoon games. No picks have been posted. I think if you offer a for money game and collect an entrance fee you owe it to those who entered to post the picks before the games are played, not after. If you can't guarantee that I don't think you should run the game. Just saying.....
I am not worried that you are taking the entrance fees and skipping town to Grand Cayman Island....
I 2nd that
There is money at stake
besides, I like to see which teams getting the most love.
Maybe Ed Collins or BBB taking over if Mission is getting overwhelmed with other things in life.
On the flip side
I hope everything is ok with Mission and maybe this is a one time thing.
Quote: SOOPOOIt's now halfway through the afternoon games. No picks have been posted. I think if you offer a for money game and collect an entrance fee you owe it to those who entered to post the picks before the games are played, not after. If you can't guarantee that I don't think you should run the game. Just saying.....
I am not worried that you are taking the entrance fees and skipping town to Grand Cayman Island....
Quote: terapinedI 2nd that
There is money at stake
besides, I like to see which teams getting the most love.
Maybe Ed Collins or BBB taking over if Mission is getting overwhelmed with other things in life.
On the flip side
I hope everything is ok with Mission and maybe this is a one time thing.
Ok.
1. Mission did not file his picks with me.
2. He is seriously in contention for the win.
3. I've played 4 years. He has never, to my knowledge, missed getting the picks posted.
4. He has not opened our picks, at least not mine.
I'm seriously worried about him. This game means a lot to him, as far as his commissioner job. I think his record of reliability has been such that your default thought is more correctly concern than suggesting he blew it off.
- Atlanta, a 2-TD favorite is ahead 17-0 at home against terrible Miami - and loses 20-17?
- Aaron Rodgers breaks his collarbone and GB loses?
- New Orleans scores 3 defensive TDs, amassing 52 points against Detroit?
- Jameis Winston gets hurt early in the 2nd Q and exits the game and TB loses?
- Undefeated KC, with the #1 offense in the NFL, goes into the 4th quarter with only 3 points?
- Raiders and Jags are upset, 49ers and Jets (massive underdogs) both beat the spread and almost overcome huge odds to win?
Negative variance happens, I guess.
I believe I will go 5-0 IF the Giants don't royally screw the pooch in the 2nd half.Quote: gordonm888Am I the only one who got crushed this week? Was this week crazier than usual?
My secret to success ? Just leveraging the power of randomness !
My worst decision was 2nd guessing myself. I had Vikes. They announced late Fri StephAn Diggs would not play. So I revised my roster to take Ravens instead. A minus 2 decision when rodgers went out in the 1st q.
Arggggh.
1.) Let me first apologize for missing getting the Picks posted. My son has been vomiting, occasionally violently, for the last few days. The hospital ran a bunch of tests on him on Friday and we are still waiting for those results. They were originally going to admit him, but essentially said he could be released to us (not really anything they could do for him without knowing the specific problem) as long as we understood the need to keep him hydrated at all times. They also stated to come back if the problem became any worse. I don't know why they would say that, still nothing they could do except stand there and look concerned until the tests come back, which should be tomorrow.
2.) I did not want to Skip this week and would have went 4-1, if you guys will believe me, we'll just go ahead and tack that on my record.
Kidding, but I really would have went 4-1, my Picks would have been all dogs, for a change.
3.) I think this is maybe the second time I have failed to get Picks up...I want to say the first was a power outage, so no Internet, but don't really remember.
Either way, if anyone wants to volunteer to be a backup to me, say if I don't have the Picks posted by 1:00p.m, then that person could do them? Everyone would just PM the Picks to both people, but would only technically have to send them to me.
I honestly try to have the Picks up in a timely fashion every time. I did them all from my phone once because my Internet wasn't working, and that may have sucked worse than anything I have ever done in my life.
The Week 6 Picks are as follows:
Mission146:
Skips Week 6
BeachBumBabs:
Chiefs - 4.5 - confidence
Broncos -11.5
Texans -9.5
Ravens -6.5
Saints -4.5
johnnyq:
Jets (+9.5)
Dolphins (+12.5)
Vikings (+3) O/U 46.5
49ers (+11)
Giants (+11.5)
DrZin
Browns (+9.5)
Vikings (+3)
Jaguars (-2.5)
Cardinals (+1.5)
Chiefs (-4.5)
PlayYourCardsRight:
Packers -3
Bears +6.5
Jaguars -2.5
Cardinals +1.5
Broncos Over 38.5
JW17:
Browns (+9.5)
Patriots (-9.5)
Dolphins (+12.5)
49ers (+11)
Broncos (-11.5) confidence
RisingDough:
Browns +9.5
Redskins -11
Jaguars UNDER 42.5
Steelers +4.5 confidence
Giants +11.5
Odiousgambit:
Giants OVER 38.5
Lions +4.5
Raiders -2
Broncos -11.5
Falcons -12.5
SOOPOO:
Browns +9.5
Jets + 9.5
Dolphins + 12.5
Packers -3 (confidence)
Giants +11.5
terapined:
Jets +9.5
Dolphins +12.5
Ravens -6.5
49'ers +11
Bucs -1.5
Gordonm888
Falcons (-12.5)
Steelers (+4.5)
Lions (+4.5)
Raiders (-2)
Buccaneers (-1.5) Confidence
JohnZimbo:
Browns +9.5
Saints -4.5
Patriots -9.5
Broncos under 38.5 confidence
Steelers +4.5
Wizard:
Jets (+9.5)
Giants (+11.5)
Steelers (+4.5) -- confidence
49ers (+11)
Bears (+6.5)
JPlot:
Giants +11.5 CONFIDENCE
Raiders -2
Giants OVER 38.5
49ers UNDER 46.25
Bears +6.5
KMUMF:
Lions UNDER 50
Jaguars -2.5
Broncos OVER 38.5
Packers -3
Ravens -6.5
GenWyzgy:
Jets +9.5
Packers -3
Jets OVER 47.5
Packers UNDER 46.5
Chiefs -4.5
rainman:
49er's +11
lions +4.5
cheifs -4.5
Packers -3
Rams + 2.5
EdCollins:
Jets +9.5
Jags -2.5
Steelers +4.5
Cardinals +1.5
Raiders -2
Miplet:
Jets +9.5
Falcons -12.5
Lions +4.5
Steelers +4.5-confidence
Broncos -11.5
MidwestAP:
Browns +9.5
Falcons -12.5
Packers UNDER 46.5
Steelers +4.5
Raiders -2 - Confidence
Sparty10k
Jets +9.5
Lions +4.5-confidence
Bears +6.5
Buccaneers -1.5
Raiders -2
Romes:
Texans -9.5
Falcons -12.5
Saints -4.5
Ravens -6.5
Redskins -11 CONFIDENCE
DLW6486:
Chiefs UNDER 47
Falcons OVER 46
Vikings OVER 46.5
Cardinals +1.5
Ravens -6.5
WizardofNothing:
Chiefs -4.5
Patriots -9.5
Patriots OVER 47.5
Packers -3
Packers OVER 46.5
Quote: Mission146They also stated to come back if the problem became any worse. I don't know why they would say that, still nothing they could do except stand there and look concerned until the tests come back, which should be tomorrow.
No apology necessary. Life happens
I hope the little guy is feeling better and has this episode behind him.
BeachBumBabs (2-4)
Chiefs - 4.5 Confidence (loss)
Broncos -11.5 (loss)
Texans -9.5 (win)
Ravens -6.5 (loss)
Saints -4.5 (win)
johnnyq (5-0)
Jets (+9.5) (win)
Dolphins (+12.5) (win)
Vikings (+3) O/U 46.5 (win)
49ers (+11) (win)
Giants (+11.5) (win)
DrZin (2-3)
Browns (+9.5) (loss)
Vikings (+3) (win)
Jaguars (-2.5) (loss)
Cardinals (+1.5) (win)
Chiefs (-4.5) (loss)
PlayYourCardsRight (2-3)
Packers -3 (loss)
Bears +6.5 (win)
Jaguars -2.5 (loss)
Cardinals +1.5 (win)
Broncos OVER 38.5 (loss)
JW17 (2-4)
Browns (+9.5) (loss)
Patriots (-9.5) (loss)
Dolphins (+12.5) (win)
49ers (+11) (win)
Broncos (-11.5) Confidence (loss)
RisingDough (3-3)
Browns +9.5 (loss)
Redskins -11 (loss)
Jaguars UNDER 42.5 (loss)
Steelers +4.5 Confidence (win)
Giants +11.5 (win)
Odiousgambit (0-5)
Giants OVER 38.5 (loss)
Lions +4.5 (loss)
Raiders -2 (loss)
Broncos -11.5 (loss)
Falcons -12.5 (loss)
SOOPOO (3-3)
Browns +9.5 (loss)
Jets + 9.5 (win)
Dolphins + 12.5 (win)
Packers -3 Confidence (loss)
Giants +11.5 (win)
terapined (3-2)
Jets +9.5 (win)
Dolphins +12.5 (win)
Ravens -6.5 (loss)
49ers +11 (win)
Bucs -1.5 (loss)
Gordonm888 (1-5)
Falcons (-12.5) (loss)
Steelers (+4.5) (win)
Lions (+4.5) (loss)
Raiders (-2) (loss)
Buccaneers (-1.5) Confidence (loss)
JohnZimbo (4-2)
Browns +9.5 (loss)
Saints -4.5 (win)
Patriots -9.5 (loss)
Broncos UNDER 38.5 Confidence (win)
Steelers +4.5 (win)
Wizard (6-0)
Jets (+9.5) (win)
Giants (+11.5) (win)
Steelers (+4.5) Confidence (win)
49ers (+11) (win)
Bears (+6.5) (win)
JPlot (3-3)
Giants +11.5 Confidence (win)
Raiders -2 (loss)
Giants OVER 38.5 (loss)
49ers UNDER 46.25 (loss)
Bears +6.5 (win)
KMUMF (0-5)
Lions UNDER 50 (loss)
Jaguars -2.5 (loss)
Broncos OVER 38.5 (loss)
Packers -3 (loss)
Ravens -6.5 (loss)
GenWyzgy (2-3)
Jets +9.5 (win)
Packers -3 (loss)
Jets OVER 47.5 (loss)
Packers UNDER 46.5 (win)
Chiefs -4.5 (loss)
rainman (2-3)
49ers +11 (win)
lions +4.5 (loss)
chiefs -4.5 (loss)
Packers -3 (loss)
Rams + 2.5 (win)
EdCollins (3-2)
Jets +9.5 (win)
Jags -2.5 (loss)
Steelers +4.5 (win)
Cardinals +1.5 (win)
Raiders -2 (loss)
Miplet (3-3)
Jets +9.5 (win)
Falcons -12.5 (loss)
Lions +4.5 (loss)
Steelers +4.5 Confidence (win)
Broncos -11.5 (loss)
MidwestAP (2-4)
Browns +9.5 (loss)
Falcons -12.5 (loss)
Packers UNDER 46.5 (win)
Steelers +4.5 (win)
Raiders -2 Confidence (loss)
Sparty10k (2-4)
Jets +9.5 (win)
Lions +4.5 Confidence (loss)
Bears +6.5 (win)
Buccaneers -1.5 (loss)
Raiders -2 (loss)
Romes (2-4)
Texans -9.5 (win)
Falcons -12.5 (loss)
Saints -4.5 (win)
Ravens -6.5 (loss)
Redskins -11 Confidence (loss)
DLW6486 (2-3)
Chiefs UNDER 47 (win)
Falcons OVER 46 (loss)
Vikings OVER 46.5 (loss)
Cardinals +1.5 (win)
Ravens -6.5 (loss)
WizardofNothing (0-5)
Chiefs -4.5 (loss)
Patriots -9.5 (loss)
Patriots OVER 47.5 (loss)
Packers -3 (loss)
Packers OVER 46.5 (loss)
Face (0-5)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
Name | Wins | Losses | % |
---|---|---|---|
Wizard | 25 | 10 | 71.43% |
JohnnyQ | 20 | 9 | 68.97% |
MidwestAP | 22 | 11 | 66.67% |
Mission146 | 16 | 8 | 66.67% |
terapined | 18 | 11 | 62.07% |
RisingDough | 19 | 12 | 61.29% |
JohnZimbo | 20 | 15 | 57.14% |
Gordonm888 | 17 | 13 | 56.67% |
rainman | 17 | 14 | 54.84% |
DrZin | 16 | 14 | 53.33% |
EdCollins | 17 | 15 | 53.13% |
DLW6486 | 15 | 14 | 51.72% |
JPlot | 18 | 17 | 51.43% |
miplet | 18 | 17 | 51.43% |
BeachBumBabs | 17 | 17 | 50.00% |
JW17 | 17 | 17 | 50.00% |
Sparty10k | 17 | 18 | 48.57% |
WizardofNothing | 17 | 18 | 48.57% |
SOOPOO | 16 | 18 | 47.06% |
GenWyzgy | 15 | 17 | 46.88% |
KMUMF | 11 | 13 | 45.83% |
Romes | 13 | 17 | 43.33% |
odiousgambit | 9 | 14 | 39.13% |
Face* | 9 | 19 | 32.14% |
PlayYourCardsRight | 10 | 22 | 31.25% |
Totals | 409 | 370 | 52.50% |
*2 skipped weeks. Eligible for top prize only.
Record of Skip Weeks:
Face: Week 2, Week 6
Gordonm888: Week 4
KMUMF: Week 2
Mission146: Week 6
odiousgambit: Week 5
Romes: Week 4
Please note that per JML24's post, he is dropping out, and thus I removed his name from the current standings. (The standings only reflects active players.)
Mission - No worries about the delayed posting, life happens, and your priorities were in the right place, hope your little guy feels better soon!!
I do have a question about one of the picks
Quote: EdCollinsUnofficial Week 6 Results and Current Standings
johnnyq (5-0)
Jets (+9.5) (win)
Dolphins (+12.5) (win)
Vikings (+3) O/U 46.5 (win)
49ers (+11) (win)
Giants (+11.5) (win)
I see three picks on the highlighted row, Vikings +3, Vikings Over, and Vikings Under?
I checked the PM though, and that's what it says.
I think the intent of Vikings +3 seems pretty clear, but I'm willing to hear other thoughts.
When I saw that, I read that as just one pick for the pick for the Vikings with the spread.
When Mission posts the lines, recall that he posts them exactly like this:
Packers (-3) @ Vikings (+3) O/U 46.5
I believed johnnyq simply copied and pasted the part of the pick he wanted (Vikings) and accidentally copied over the rest of it too.
Furthermore, johnnyq almost never picks the OVER/UNDER. He did once, in Week 1. When he did, he clearly listed the full word: "UNDER." This further indicated to me he did not intend to bet the Over/Under on this game at all, let alone on the same line, which would of course, give him six picks not five.
I'm all for leniency, but then I'd like my 4/6 I went on my "bye" week when I accidentally got my picks to Mission before kickoff of any games but technically after the 10am time frame, which caused me to use my bye week. It's tough, because I really don't care, I just want consistency. If we're gonna be lax, then with good reasons (such that JohnnyQ has) let's be lax. If we're gonna be tough, then we gotta be tough for all.Quote: gordonm888I agree with Ed Collins on his interpretation of johnnyq's pick. I personally have no problem with giving johnnyq credit for that one.
Quote: gordonm888I agree with Ed Collins on his interpretation of johnnyq's pick. I personally have no problem with giving johnnyq credit for that one.
Lenient or tough
I think we need to look at these situations on a case by case basis
In this case, I agree with Ed
Well I meant to just pick "Vikings +3". I carelessly did not delete the "O/U 46.5".Quote: Mission146That's bizarre, must have just been a mistake and I would assume he meant to delete O/U 46.5 from that.
I checked the PM though, and that's what it says.
I think the intent of Vikings +3 seems pretty clear, but I'm willing to hear other thoughts.
But far be it for me to sow any discord. So whatever is reasonable and fair and/or the consensus or however these things are sorted out is OK by me.
I was not trying to sneak in a "pick 6" or 7. Romes mentioned "good reasons". I don't have a reason. I have an explanation.
ps:
Personally, I wouldn't mind if ROMES got his picks updated either. I assume somewhere in the official rules, which I probably didn't read thoroughly, it says that if a decision has to be made, it is up to the game administrator to make it, and I think we all trust M146 to apply his judgement. So, again, I say whatever is fair.
Quote: EdCollins
Please note that per JML24's post, he is dropping out, and thus I removed his name from the current standings. (The standings only reflects active players.)
I just joined to assist the drive for 50 players, and with no gambling chops plus not having watched football regularly since Marino helmed the 'Fins, was making a play for an easy $75. Alas, I forgot foosball falls during trout season, and that has a way of pushing all else from one's mind.
I'm out. Feel free to omit my info going forward as well.
Quote: FaceI just joined to assist the drive for 50 players, and with no gambling chops plus not having watched football regularly since Marino helmed the 'Fins, was making a play for an easy $75. Alas, I forgot foosball falls during trout season, and that has a way of pushing all else from one's mind.
I'm out. Feel free to omit my info going forward as well.
Acknowledged.
Thanks for entering and for playing as long as you did!!!!
Well, I don't want to say that's silly, BUT that's silly.Quote: FaceI'm out. Feel free to omit my info going forward as well.
Just tell M146 that you want default picks. Make them easy. IE, first 5 teams listed. Or whatever. Who knows, that should have as good of a shot as getting the "most average" prize as anyone else, right ?
Jump back in, no harm done.
By the way, to this list you can also now add the winless Giants defeating the heavily favored Broncos, in Denver.Quote: gordonm888Was this week crazier than usual?
- Atlanta, a 2-TD favorite is ahead 17-0 at home against terrible Miami - and loses 20-17?
- Aaron Rodgers breaks his collarbone and GB loses?
- New Orleans scores 3 defensive TDs, amassing 52 points against Detroit?
- Jameis Winston gets hurt early in the 2nd Q and exits the game and TB loses?
- Undefeated KC, with the #1 offense in the NFL, goes into the 4th quarter with only 3 points?
- Raiders and Jags are upset, 49ers and Jets (massive underdogs) both beat the spread and almost overcome huge odds to win?
Questions, questions, questions.....
Quote: EdCollinsWithout looking at their respective schedules, I'd have to venture an educated guess that the 49ers will win before the Browns do. From what I've seen, the 49ers at times have actually been competitive. The Browns simply look horrible.
I would take a small side wager on the Browns winning first, with " first" defined as their respective games in a week, ignoring the bye. $10 or so? If they do it in the same respective week, it's no decision.
Agreed.Quote: beachbumbabsI would take a small side wager on the Browns winning first, with " first" defined as their respective games in a week, ignoring the bye. $10 or so? If they do it in the same respective week, it's no decision.
The Browns have a Bye first, in Week 9.
Just to be clear, if the 49ers win that week, then I don't necessarily yet lose. I would only lose if the Browns lost that next week, in Week 10. If the Browns also win, the bet is then over and cancelled with no decision, no matter what the result is for the 49ers game in Week 10. (Each team won during their 9th week. Both had an identical record of 1-8 after nine games and the bet is over.)
Quote: beachbumbabsI would take a small side wager on the Browns winning first, with " first" defined as their respective games in a week, ignoring the bye. $10 or so? If they do it in the same respective week, it's no decision.
I'll take some of that if still available
The Week 7 Lines are as follows:
Titans (-6) @ Browns (+6) O/U 45.5
Jaguars (-3) @ Colts (+3) O/U 43.5
Bengals (+5.5) @ Steelers (-5.5) O/U 40.5
Ravens (+5.5) @ Vikings (-5.5) O/U 38.5
Jets (+3) @ Dolphins (-3) O/U 38.5
Buccaneers (+3) @ Bills (-3) O/U 45
Panthers (-3) @ Bears (+3) O/U 41
Saints (-4) @ Packers (+4) O/U 47.5
Cardinals (+3) @ Rams (-3) O/U 45.5
Cowboys (-6) @ 49ers (+6) O/U 48.5
Seahawks (-4) @ Giants (+4) O/U 40
Broncos (PK) @ Chargers (PK) O/U 40.5
Falcons (+3) @ Patriots (-3) O/U 56.5
Redskins (+4.5) @ Eagles (-4.5) O/U 49
Quote: EdCollinsAgreed.
The Browns have a Bye first, in Week 9.
Just to be clear, if the 49ers win that week, then I don't necessarily yet lose. I would only lose if the Browns lost that next week, in Week 10. If the Browns also win, the bet is then over and cancelled with no decision, no matter what the result is for the 49ers game in Week 10. (Each team won during their 9th week. Both had an identical record of 1-8 after nine games and the bet is over.)
I agree exactly with the bye situation as you describe it. You said it better than I did. However, I want to bet that Cleveland will win first ( and I think that's what I said before; perhaps not), and you take the 49ers win first. Do you want that bet?
Midwest AP. I offer you the same bet, I say Cleveland will win first. $10. Do you want that bet?
22-Oct COWBOYS........... 22-Oct TITANS
29-Oct AT EAGLES........... 29-Oct VIKINGS
05-Nov CARDINALS........... BYE
12-Nov GIANTS.............. 12-Nov AT LIONS
BYE.......................................... 19-Nov JAGUARS
26-Nov SEAHAWKS........... 26-Nov AT BENGALS
03-Dec AT BEARS..................... 03-Dec AT CHARGERS
10-Dec AT TEXANS........... 10-Dec PACKERS
17-Dec TITANS................ 17-Dec RAVENS
24-Dec JAGUARS........... 24-Dec AT BEARS
31-Dec AT RAMS................. 31-Dec AT STEELERS
The Week 7 Picks are as follows:
Mission146:
Bengals +5.5
Panthers -3
Broncos PK
Browns UNDER 45.5
Patriots UNDER 56.5
WizardofNothing:
Eagles -4.5-Confidence
Eagles OVER 49
Cowboys -6
Cowboys OVER 48.5
Patriots -3
DLW6486:
Patriots -3
Steelers -5.5
49ers +6
Browns +6
Dolphins -3
GordonM888:
Ravens (+5.5)
Packers (+4)
Bengals (+5.5)
Broncos (PK) - Confidence
Falcons (+3)
JW17:
Titans (-6)
Jaguars (-3)
Broncos (PK) confidence
Eagles (-4.5)
Bills (-3)
RisingDough:
Browns +6
Panthers -3 Confidence
Packers +4
49ers +6
Giants OVER 40
odiousgambit:
Broncos (PK)
Seahawks -4
Panthers -3
Cowboys -6
Jaguars -3
SOOPOO:
49ers + 6 (confidence)
Seahawks-4
Saints-4
Bucs+3
Bengals+ 5.5
JohnZimbo:
Browns under 45.5
Steelers under 40.5
Bills under 45
Rams under 45.5
Falcons over 56.6
JPlot:
Ravens +5.5
49ers +6
49ers UNDER 48.5
Giants +4
Rams OVER 45.5
terapined:
Browns +6
Ravens +5.5
Bucs +3
49ers +6
Eagles -4.5
johnnyQ:
Browns (+6)
Saints (-4)
Giants (+4)
Chargers (PK)
Redskins (+4.5)
DrZin:
Colts (+3)
Bengals (+5.5)
Dolphins (-3)
Giants (+4)
Chargers (PK)
KMUMF:
Rams -3
Panthers -3
Buccaneers +3
Cowboys -6
Eagles -4.5
EdCollins:
Saints -4
Colts +3
Rams -3
Dolphins -3
Bills -3
miplet:
Browns +6
Browns UNDER 45.5
Bengals +5.5
Ravens +5.5
Broncos PK-confidence
Genwyzgy:
Bengals OVER 40.5
Bills -3
Panthers -3 Confidence
Saints -4
Broncos PK
MidwestAP:
Ravens +5.5
Cowboys -6
Giants +4
Broncos PK
Browns UNDER 45.5
Beachbumbabs:
Ravens +5.5
Bills -3 confidence
Bears +3
Saints -4
Colts +3
Sparty10k:
Titans -6
Vikings -5.5-confidence
Jets +3
49ers +6
Eagles -4.5
Romes:
Steelers -5.5
Vikings -5.5
Dolphins -3
Bills -3
Rams -3 CONFIDENCE
Wizard:
Browns +6
Colts +3
Bengals +5.5 CONFIDENCE
Ravens +5.5
Jets +3