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ChumpChange
ChumpChange
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November 7th, 2022 at 12:00:34 PM permalink
Tesla stock down 16% in the last 5 days, it's fallen below 200. I thought it was over 1,000 when we first started talking about him when he announced he wanted to buy twitter several months ago. Maybe there was a stock split and all the charts have been refigured for that along the way. Grumblings on the twitter say Tesla will be boycotted by the left, and Elon will get his fans to boycott all the advertisers who are boycotting twitter.

In other news, 50% of restaurants can't pay the rent, and car dealers are left holding cars they overpaid for and they aren't selling at auction anymore. Car dealers days are numbered. Wells Fargo says they've seen a 90% drop in mortgage origination. Yeah, the economy is going completely down the drain one way or another.
AxelWolf
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November 7th, 2022 at 12:13:27 PM permalink
Quote: Quadriga

Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: Quadriga

Bill Maher derides both parties:

"The Republicans are putting up a slate of election-deniers, crackpots, and crooks, and the Democrats have a guy who recently died of a stroke.
We’re not making fun, but if you saw that debate in Pennsylvania, Dr. Oz against John Fetterman — he did recently have a stroke, Fetterman, and he is still a little shaky. Neurologists call that condition ‘Herschel Walker.’"

Anyway, this is a gambling message board. Oz is a slight favorite over Fetterman in the Pennsylvania Senate race. If anyone wants to bet on Oz I'll take it at even odds. I don't have much credibility here, but if I lose I can pay by Vemo, PayPal or CashApp.

If the loser doesn't pay within two weeks, they agree to be barred from the forum until the bet is settled.


link to original post

Why do you like Fetterman? What will you take in action?
link to original post



One of the biggest offshore betting exchange now has Fetterman as a underdog at 2.5 decimal odds, which is +150 in the U.S. And the takeback on OZ is 1.5, which is -150. How about my $100.00 (for Fetterman) against your $115.00 (Oz). You're still booking me in this scenario. That's my final offer.
link to original post

If we can exchange via Crypto. You have a deal.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
TigerWu
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November 7th, 2022 at 12:14:37 PM permalink
Quote: ChumpChange

Grumblings on the twitter say Tesla will be boycotted by the left, and Elon will get his fans to boycott all the advertisers who are boycotting twitter.



Free market capitalism at work!!

I don't know about a Tesla boycott, but the only person I know who owns one is a Conservative.


Quote:

In other news, 50% of restaurants can't pay the rent, and car dealers are left holding cars they overpaid for and they aren't selling at auction anymore. Car dealers days are numbered.

link to original post



That was a quick turnaround.... Dealerships were on fire earlier this year. It was almost impossible to buy anything new, and used cars were flying out the door.
ams288
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November 7th, 2022 at 12:26:19 PM permalink
Reminder: we won’t know much tomorrow night. I, for one, am not even going to look at any results till I wake up on Wednesday.

Here’s a breakdown of the shifts we might see as votes are counted in six battleground states

It cannot be emphasized enough how messy the counting in PA is going to be.
Ding Dong the Witch is Dead
ChumpChange
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November 7th, 2022 at 12:28:47 PM permalink
Headline: Trump’s allies are trying to convince him not to announce his 2024 bid tonight

"Trump 'wants to announce' a 2024 bid tonight 'to take credit' for Republicans’ expected victory in the midterms tomorrow, a Trumpworld source told me 'But there are people asking him to hold back,'

Headline: 'They're looking for every advantage': GOP sues to block thousands of ballots in key states
https://www.rawstory.com/they-re-looking-for-every-advantage-gop-sues-to-block-thousands-of-ballots-in-key-states/

Pa. Department of State request on mail ballots alarms and angers county officials | The Philadelphia Inquirer https://nordot.app/962423809485864960?c=592622757532812385

DOJ to deploy poll monitors to 64 jurisdictions across 24 states - Raw Story
https://www.rawstory.com/justice-department-voting/

'Intolerable': Judge rebukes Michigan GOP candidate's efforts to throw out ballots - Raw Story
https://www.rawstory.com/kristina-karamo-2658610912/

Michigan's Democrat AG suggests she might flee the state over threats and intimidation from right-wing extremists - Raw Story -
https://www.rawstory.com/michigan-s-democrat-ag-says-she-might-flee-the-state-over-threats-and-intimidation-from-right-wing-extremists/

Nikki Haley calls for US to ‘deport’ Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock - Raw Story -
https://www.rawstory.com/nikki-haley-calls-for-us-to-deport-democratic-senator-raphael-warnock/

'Putin's chef' boasts about US election interference: 'Carefully, accurately, surgically and in our own way' - Raw Story -
https://www.rawstory.com/yevgeny-prigozhin/
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I think twitter's Fail Whale will return full time before next years' Congress convenes.
******************************************************
I never listen to Sirius Radio. I see the FCC doesn't work there.
'Are you kidding me?' Howard Stern blasts Herschel Walker in profanity-filled rant - Raw Story -
https://www.rawstory.com/are-you-kidding-me-howard-stern-blasts-herschel-walker-in-profanity-filled-rant/
Last edited by: ChumpChange on Nov 7, 2022
TigerWu
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November 7th, 2022 at 12:32:52 PM permalink
Quote: ChumpChange

Headline: Trump’s allies are trying to convince him not to announce his 2024 bid tonight

"Trump 'wants to announce' a 2024 bid tonight 'to take credit' for Republicans’ expected victory in the midterms tomorrow, a Trumpworld source told me 'But there are people asking him to hold back,'
link to original post



Conspiracy theories I've heard:

He'll do it on election night because he's a narcissist and can't stand all that attention not being on him.

He'll do it the day after the election because that is the earliest he could announce and not affect any election results.

He'll find out when the DOJ is going to indict him and do it the day before to make it look like they are coming after him because he's running for President.

Apparently there was some leak that said he's going to announce on the 10th.

I've also heard the 14th.
ChumpChange
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November 7th, 2022 at 2:22:28 PM permalink
Ron DeSantis issues a state of emergency for 34 counties for another approaching storm - Raw Story -
https://www.rawstory.com/hurricane-nicole-florida/
It's the day before Gov. Ron DeSantis' (R-FL) election, and he's ordering an emergency in 34 counties due to the incoming storm, named Nicole. He also warned the full group of 67 counties to stay vigilant and aware of where the storm was headed and its severity.
As the hurricane watch was issued, the east coast of Florida and meteorologists are watching to see if the storm takes a turn to hit Florida dead on as a hurricane. Thus far, they're anticipating that Nicole will hit as a Category 1 storm, a far cry from the massive Category 4 that Hurricane Ian made landfall on the state in September.
TigerWu
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November 7th, 2022 at 3:33:19 PM permalink
Russian oligarh Yevgeny Prigozhin appears to admit to US election interference.

Quote:

Prigozhin said that Russia has interfered, is interfering and will continue to interfere in the US democratic process, in response to a journalist’s question about Russia potentially meddling in US congressional elections on Tuesday.

“I will answer you very subtly, and delicately and I apologize, I will allow a certain ambiguity. Gentlemen, we interfered, we interfere and we will interfere,” Prigozhin said.



Quote:

It was not immediately clear how serious Prigozhin was being in his comments, which appeared to have been made somewhat sarcastically. But the US has sanctioned Prigozhin for funding the Internet Research Agency, a notorious Russian troll farm accused of meddling in several recent US elections. Prigozhin was also charged with conspiracy to defraud the United States in 2018 by special counsel Robert Mueller in relation to the alleged election meddling.



Source
ams288
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November 7th, 2022 at 4:04:56 PM permalink
I certainly hope the rumors are true and Donny announces his 2024 candidacy tonight - will help boost turnout for the Dems tomorrow.
Ding Dong the Witch is Dead
SOOPOO
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November 7th, 2022 at 4:17:51 PM permalink
Quote: ams288

I certainly hope the rumors are true and Donny announces his 2024 candidacy tonight - will help boost turnout for the Dems tomorrow.
link to original post




I wonder if Senator Walker will be his running back? I mean running mate….

I just found out that Palin is running for the House seat that Alaska has.. and is a decided UNDERDOG to her relatively cute Democrat opponent. Do you realize how bad a candidate you have to be as a Republican to lose a statewide election in Alaska?
ChumpChange
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November 7th, 2022 at 4:28:20 PM permalink
Palin was horrible in 2008. It's turned into reality TV since.
******************************************************************
'Marked for elimination': Wisconsin man arrested after threatening to kill Gov. Tony Evers - Raw Story -
https://www.rawstory.com/tony-evers-wisconsin-threats/

Let me add that Wisconsin is looking at a veto-proof GOP legislature after this election so it will become a dictatorship GOP-style the likes of which we haven't seen since Trump.
********************************************************************
Wu-Tang is for the Children on Twitter: "Beer can thrown at Ted Cruz at the Astros parade today 🤣…they sure love him in his hometown https://t.co/UcnerhOQEJ" / Twitter https://twitter.com/WUTangKids/status/1589724203275948033
Ted Cruz gets relentless boos in his parade.
Last edited by: ChumpChange on Nov 7, 2022
JackSpade
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November 7th, 2022 at 10:25:28 PM permalink
Democrat in OR governor race has surged over the past 7 days:
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7590/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Oregon-gubernatorial-election

No significant changes in Senate races. AZ continues to look like it will be the closest. GOP will likely win control of the Senate even they lose AZ.
TigerWu
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November 8th, 2022 at 7:53:56 AM permalink
Quote: ChumpChange

Palin was horrible in 2008. It's turned into reality TV since.
link to original post



Agreed. I'm convinced she cost McCain the election.
SOOPOO
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November 8th, 2022 at 8:01:58 AM permalink
DraftKings has free entry $20k election pick’em contest. 20 races. 12 or so locks. For Georgia, you could pick ‘run off’ as a choice, which I did. I think you will need 20/20 to win, and you won’t be alone.
EvenBob
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November 8th, 2022 at 8:25:03 AM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

Quote: ChumpChange

Palin was horrible in 2008. It's turned into reality TV since.
link to original post



Agreed. I'm convinced she cost McCain the election.
link to original post



Seriously? John McCain could not have beat Barack Obama in 2008 if he had Jesus as his running mate. Barack Obama say what you want about him was one of the best campaigners we've ever had. He had charisma up the wazoo and John McCain was an asshat RINO. Sarah Palin had nothing to do with anything.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
Wizard
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November 8th, 2022 at 8:49:39 AM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

Agreed. I'm convinced she cost McCain the election.
link to original post



I think he would have lost by more with a boring safe VP.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
TigerWu
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November 8th, 2022 at 8:56:49 AM permalink
I'll just say I was going to vote for McCain until he picked Palin, so he for sure lost my vote.

I know I can't be the only one.
TinMan
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November 8th, 2022 at 9:45:04 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Quote: TigerWu

Agreed. I'm convinced she cost McCain the election.
link to original post



I think he would have lost by more with a boring safe VP.
link to original post



I watch a lot of lacrosse. This scenario is common: team down by 4 goals with like 2:30 to go. Many many teams adopt a strategy that if it works, they lose by 2 goals. Maryland did this in the finals a few years ago. It’s an awful strategy because they guarantee a loss. What they should be doing is playing wildly. Take shots from far away. Go for home run passes inside. Never take a long time for shots. Just go wild and hope you catch the goalie and face off players sleeping. But teams hate to do it. They stick with their standard plays that are designed to get one shot after 60-80 seconds.

I believe McCain’s best chance to win was to go big and bold on the VP choice. It was the one potential game changer he had. There are reasons why the party may prefer for him to have a close-ish loss (because they’re looking to the future) but for him looking at just that election and knowing he won’t get another chance if he lost, he maximized his chance of winning by picking bold and rolling the dice. Whether he got 268 EC votes or 50, he would still lose.
Last edited by: TinMan on Nov 8, 2022
If anyone gives you 10,000 to 1 on anything, you take it. If John Mellencamp ever wins an Oscar, I am going to be a very rich dude.
JackSpade
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November 8th, 2022 at 11:35:04 AM permalink
Electability is counterintuitive. Trump proved to be more electable than McCain or Romney. Herschel Walker may prove to be more electable than a conventional Republican.

Voter behavior often makes no sense when interpreted from the lens of policy preferences. Montana consistently re-elects a Republican and a Democrat Senator. Each Senator officially represents the same constituents but their votes represent entirely different ideological constituencies.
ams288
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November 8th, 2022 at 11:37:41 AM permalink
Quote: JackSpade

Electability is counterintuitive. Trump proved to be more electable than McCain or Romney.link to original post



The only person Trump was more electable than was Hillary Clinton.
Ding Dong the Witch is Dead
EvenBob
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November 8th, 2022 at 11:40:53 AM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

I'll just say I was going to vote for McCain until he picked Palin, so he for sure lost my vote.

I know I can't be the only one.
link to original post



I actually voted for Barack Obama in 2008 just to defeat asshat John McCain, I could not stand that guy he was a republican in name only. He sold his party down the river every chance he got. And the Democrats knew it, look what they did when he died it was like a president died. Screw John McCain good riddance. I don't care that he was a war hero, that doesn't make up for what he did afterwards.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
JackSpade
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November 8th, 2022 at 11:41:23 AM permalink
Quote: ams288

Quote: JackSpade

Electability is counterintuitive. Trump proved to be more electable than McCain or Romney.link to original post



The only person Trump was more electable than was Hillary Clinton.
link to original post



Well, he was also more electable than Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, and a host of others the pundits said were more likely to win the GOP nomination.
EvenBob
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November 8th, 2022 at 11:47:25 AM permalink
Quote: JackSpade

Quote: ams288

Quote: JackSpade

Electability is counterintuitive. Trump proved to be more electable than McCain or Romney.link to original post



The only person Trump was more electable than was Hillary Clinton.
link to original post



Well, he was also more electable than Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, and a host of others the pundits said were more likely to win the GOP nomination.
link to original post



Yeah, but we don't have video of any of them collapsing at an event and being thrown bodily into the back of a van. I bet I watched that video 40 times, laughing every time. I'm laughing just thinking about it.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
Wizard
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IndyJeffrey
November 8th, 2022 at 12:03:32 PM permalink
Quote: ams288

The only person Trump was more electable than was Hillary Clinton.
link to original post



May I remind you Hillary won the popular vote in 2016.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
ams288
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November 8th, 2022 at 12:06:21 PM permalink
Quote: JackSpade

Quote: ams288

Quote: JackSpade

Electability is counterintuitive. Trump proved to be more electable than McCain or Romney.link to original post



The only person Trump was more electable than was Hillary Clinton.
link to original post



Well, he was also more electable than Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, and a host of others the pundits said were more likely to win the GOP nomination.
link to original post



We will never know for certain, but I suspect any one of those candidates you mentioned would have won against Hillary in 2016 by a larger margin than Donny did. They may even have won the popular vote.
Ding Dong the Witch is Dead
JackSpade
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November 8th, 2022 at 12:21:01 PM permalink
Of course, I've been saying that Desantis is more electable than Trump for 2024. But maybe the fact that Trump's own former VP, AG, Secretary of State, daughter, wife, and closest advisors think he's deranged won't dissuade voters who continue to find him more entertaining than his rivals.
AxelWolf
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November 8th, 2022 at 12:22:55 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: Quadriga

Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: Quadriga

Bill Maher derides both parties:

"The Republicans are putting up a slate of election-deniers, crackpots, and crooks, and the Democrats have a guy who recently died of a stroke.
We’re not making fun, but if you saw that debate in Pennsylvania, Dr. Oz against John Fetterman — he did recently have a stroke, Fetterman, and he is still a little shaky. Neurologists call that condition ‘Herschel Walker.’"

Anyway, this is a gambling message board. Oz is a slight favorite over Fetterman in the Pennsylvania Senate race. If anyone wants to bet on Oz I'll take it at even odds. I don't have much credibility here, but if I lose I can pay by Vemo, PayPal or CashApp.

If the loser doesn't pay within two weeks, they agree to be barred from the forum until the bet is settled.


link to original post

Why do you like Fetterman? What will you take in action?
link to original post



One of the biggest offshore betting exchange now has Fetterman as a underdog at 2.5 decimal odds, which is +150 in the U.S. And the takeback on OZ is 1.5, which is -150. How about my $100.00 (for Fetterman) against your $115.00 (Oz). You're still booking me in this scenario. That's my fi nal offer.
link to original post

If we can exchange via Crypto. You have a deal.
link to original post

Ill assume no bet since you haven't responded.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
ChumpChange
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November 8th, 2022 at 12:35:45 PM permalink
If the GOP wins 306 seats in the House, that'd be a 2/3rds supermajority.
FinsRule
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November 8th, 2022 at 1:00:11 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

DraftKings has free entry $20k election pick’em contest. 20 races. 12 or so locks. For Georgia, you could pick ‘run off’ as a choice, which I did. I think you will need 20/20 to win, and you won’t be alone.
link to original post



I would have had a perfect score in the Fanduel contest last election had PA gone to Trump…. I’ll try DK now.
FinsRule
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November 8th, 2022 at 1:01:42 PM permalink
One bet for me. +360 Dems Senate, R House.

Bovada gave me a 50% bonus and 20 slot machine spins to deposit. I then won and cashed out $100 from the slots.
ChumpChange
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November 8th, 2022 at 1:27:42 PM permalink
More threats from the Mob Father! #DonTheCon
Trump says DeSantis could 'hurt himself very badly' with 2024 White House bid - Raw Story -
https://www.rawstory.com/desanctimonious-trump-desantis/

Trump serves Election Day notice to Mitch McConnell - Raw Story -
https://www.rawstory.com/donald-trump-mitch-mcconnell-2658619086/?utm_source=push_notifications
********************************************************************
Small election glitches today will be used as justification for violence tomorrow: Former national security official - Raw Story -
https://www.rawstory.com/election-violence-2022/
********************************************************************
With 1% of the vote in, cable TV news is calling races already. OMG!
********************************************************************
Mar-a-Lago is in the line of incoming Tropical Storm Nicole — and they're being told to evacuate.
********************************************************************
Huckabee wins Arkansas Governorship. Early signs of states seceding from the union.
Last edited by: ChumpChange on Nov 8, 2022
Quadriga
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November 8th, 2022 at 2:46:25 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: Quadriga

Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: Quadriga

Bill Maher derides both parties:

"The Republicans are putting up a slate of election-deniers, crackpots, and crooks, and the Democrats have a guy who recently died of a stroke.
We’re not making fun, but if you saw that debate in Pennsylvania, Dr. Oz against John Fetterman — he did recently have a stroke, Fetterman, and he is still a little shaky. Neurologists call that condition ‘Herschel Walker.’"

Anyway, this is a gambling message board. Oz is a slight favorite over Fetterman in the Pennsylvania Senate race. If anyone wants to bet on Oz I'll take it at even odds. I don't have much credibility here, but if I lose I can pay by Vemo, PayPal or CashApp.

If the loser doesn't pay within two weeks, they agree to be barred from the forum until the bet is settled.


link to original post

Why do you like Fetterman? What will you take in action?
link to original post



One of the biggest offshore betting exchange now has Fetterman as a underdog at 2.5 decimal odds, which is +150 in the U.S. And the takeback on OZ is 1.5, which is -150. How about my $100.00 (for Fetterman) against your $115.00 (Oz). You're still booking me in this scenario. That's my fi nal offer.
link to original post

If we can exchange via Crypto. You have a deal.
link to original post

Ill assume no bet since you haven't responded.
link to original post



Sorry for the no response. I never made out with Crypto....when I ran away from his apartment on a horrible date.
Last edited by: Quadriga on Nov 8, 2022
SOOPOO
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November 8th, 2022 at 5:25:31 PM permalink
Early results show how ‘Red’ or ‘Blue’ certain areas are. As of now Fetterman leads Oz by 90% - 10%.

Many other examples.
rxwine
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November 8th, 2022 at 5:31:30 PM permalink
Take a drink every time an analyst on TV says, "It's still early."
There's no secret. Just know what you're talking about before you open your mouth.
FinsRule
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November 8th, 2022 at 5:41:34 PM permalink
Walker winning is just so surprising to me.
SOOPOO
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November 8th, 2022 at 6:19:06 PM permalink
I’m watching DeSantis’ GREAT acceptance speech. If Trump didn’t exist, or if he actually cared about America and the Republican Party, DeSantis would wipe the floor with ANY Democrat candidate in 2024.

Rubio also destroyed Val Demings.

Florida is now officially a Red State.
JackSpade
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November 8th, 2022 at 7:26:54 PM permalink
Red wave cancelled.
SOOPOO
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November 8th, 2022 at 7:59:58 PM permalink
Quote: JackSpade

Red wave cancelled.
link to original post



It’s a red trickle.

Looks like Arizona and Pennsylvania are going Blue for the Senate. Predictit has most likely result as 50-50 Senate.

Looks like Walker beatsWarnock but not by enough to avoid a run off.

If it is just the 50th seat it is only of mild importance. Imagine if it is 50-49 Repubs leading up to that run off! How many billions of dollars will be spent between now and the vote on that single election?

Of course all my blather above can change depending on who has counted which eAtly votes, which counties have reported, etc…
JackSpade
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November 8th, 2022 at 8:42:20 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I’m watching DeSantis’ GREAT acceptance speech. If Trump didn’t exist, or if he actually cared about America and the Republican Party, DeSantis would wipe the floor with ANY Democrat candidate in 2024.

Rubio also destroyed Val Demings.

Florida is now officially a Red State.
link to original post



Also a great night for Brian Kemp in Georgia. He directly defied Trump over election results and actually improved his political standing despite Trump's attempt to primary him out of office. He knows how to beat Trump, whereas Desantis hasn't yet shown that he does.
FinsRule
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November 8th, 2022 at 9:00:30 PM permalink
Quote: FinsRule

One bet for me. +360 Dems Senate, R House.

Bovada gave me a 50% bonus and 20 slot machine spins to deposit. I then won and cashed out $100 from the slots.
link to original post



That bet is looking very very good right now.
DRich
DRich
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November 9th, 2022 at 4:07:25 AM permalink
Quote: FinsRule

Quote: FinsRule

One bet for me. +360 Dems Senate, R House.

Bovada gave me a 50% bonus and 20 slot machine spins to deposit. I then won and cashed out $100 from the slots.
link to original post



That bet is looking very very good right now.
link to original post



Not looking very good this morning. Looks likely to me to be a tie in the Senate.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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November 9th, 2022 at 4:23:34 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: FinsRule

Quote: FinsRule

One bet for me. +360 Dems Senate, R House.

Bovada gave me a 50% bonus and 20 slot machine spins to deposit. I then won and cashed out $100 from the slots.
link to original post



That bet is looking very very good right now.
link to original post



Not looking very good this morning. Looks likely to me to be a tie in the Senate.
link to original post



I can deal with that. As long as the House is Republican that REQUIRES that both sides work together. It prevents one party from going overboard, which I believe the Dems have done for the past two years. Assuming Arizona and Pennsylvania are Dem, and Nevada and Wisconsin Repub, Does that make it 59-49 Dem, with Georgia runoff not as important as many thought it would be?
ams288
ams288
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November 9th, 2022 at 4:27:49 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: FinsRule

Quote: FinsRule

One bet for me. +360 Dems Senate, R House.

Bovada gave me a 50% bonus and 20 slot machine spins to deposit. I then won and cashed out $100 from the slots.
link to original post



That bet is looking very very good right now.
link to original post



Not looking very good this morning. Looks likely to me to be a tie in the Senate.
link to original post



A tie in the Senate means Dems control the Senate because Kamala Harris breaks the ties.
Ding Dong the Witch is Dead
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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November 9th, 2022 at 4:36:32 AM permalink
Quote: ams288

Quote: DRich

Quote: FinsRule

Quote: FinsRule

One bet for me. +360 Dems Senate, R House.

Bovada gave me a 50% bonus and 20 slot machine spins to deposit. I then won and cashed out $100 from the slots.
link to original post



That bet is looking very very good right now.
link to original post



Not looking very good this morning. Looks likely to me to be a tie in the Senate.
link to original post



A tie in the Senate means Dems control the Senate because Kamala Harris breaks the ties.
link to original post



Correct. On Predictit, they specifically state that 50-50 is a win for anyone betting on Democrat control of the Senate.

Are there any Senators or Senator elects, that if they pass on before 2023, that a person of the other party could be chosen as Senator? If so, I’d hope that person would get security akin to the President. Like if Manchin dies, does governor of West Virginia just appoint someone?
Mission146
Mission146
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November 9th, 2022 at 4:41:14 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: ams288

Quote: DRich

Quote: FinsRule

Quote: FinsRule

One bet for me. +360 Dems Senate, R House.

Bovada gave me a 50% bonus and 20 slot machine spins to deposit. I then won and cashed out $100 from the slots.
link to original post



That bet is looking very very good right now.
link to original post



Not looking very good this morning. Looks likely to me to be a tie in the Senate.
link to original post



A tie in the Senate means Dems control the Senate because Kamala Harris breaks the ties.
link to original post



Correct. On Predictit, they specifically state that 50-50 is a win for anyone betting on Democrat control of the Senate.

Are there any Senators or Senator elects, that if they pass on before 2023, that a person of the other party could be chosen as Senator? If so, I’d hope that person would get security akin to the President. Like if Manchin dies, does governor of West Virginia just appoint someone?
link to original post



The exact rules vary by state.

For instance, in West Virginia, the Governor must replace a Senator with someone of the same political party as the departed Senator.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
ams288
ams288
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November 9th, 2022 at 4:41:42 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Are there any Senators or Senator elects, that if they pass on before 2023, that a person of the other party could be chosen as Senator? If so, I’d hope that person would get security akin to the President. Like if Manchin dies, does governor of West Virginia just appoint someone?



That depends on the state. Each state has a different process for handling that.

Like I believe KY passed a law so their Dem Governor wouldn’t be able to appoint a Dem in case Mitch croaks.
Ding Dong the Witch is Dead
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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November 9th, 2022 at 6:19:05 AM permalink
To me, the three most toxic Repubs in the House are Greene, Boebert, and Gaetz. At least it looks like Boebert will be gone.

I was unaware that Sarah Hucksbee Sanders was running for anything. Apparently she will be the next governor of Arkansas.
ams288
ams288
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November 9th, 2022 at 6:24:40 AM permalink
One thing is clear after last night:

RealClearPolitics is TRASH.

I’ve known for a while that they had a huge GOP-bent. But it should be clear to everyone now.
Ding Dong the Witch is Dead
Gialmere
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November 9th, 2022 at 6:37:53 AM permalink
It was a good night for democrats who exceeded expectations in all categories.

It was a disappointing night for republicans who watched their red wave both start and end in Florida.

It was a bad night for pollsters who usually underestimate right-wing support but this time managed to overestimate it.

It was a ho-hum night for viewers who watched the national maps slowly congeal into the same ol' red and blue states take up their same ol' red and blue stances and sing their same ol' red and blue songs.
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
billryan
billryan
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November 9th, 2022 at 6:38:03 AM permalink
So much for the big bad red tsunami.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
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