but the majority of the bankroll is a combination of a 20K 0% balance transfer I took out from a credit card and a ROTH IRA balance
AxiomOfChoice - What do you mean by "4. "Cover is overrated"?
in answer to your question3c. I am comfortable with not going broke 49 out of 50 times. .5% - 1% risk of ruin would be even better..but at the expense of a lower hourly rate.. I an comfortable with the 2% risk of ruin balance as a bottom line ..but nothing over 2% ROR..
I would just like to add Foxwoods is a SWEAT SHOP. You may be able to survive a bit playing the h17 games, but don't dare venture into the high limit rooms and play. You will have to do alot of wonging whether you like it or not. short sessions at each table / pit. Other than that, everyone else pretty much gave you what you need other than telling you expect to be backed off at Foxwoods if you don't wong out frequently.
.. and it seems like it may be harder to count at this game because of the cards dealt down..
Do you think this game is beatable and countable.?
I do understand that..lowering your min wage by itself .. increases your hourly win rate because you are losing less money on the negative counts.. but it also decreases the amount of your max bets with a similar spread that you would have had at a higher min bet... to keep the same max bet after lowing your min bet .. one would have to increase their spread - thereby drawing more heat from the pit...no?
(by the way ..not trying to come off as if I know it all..because you are the experienced counter not me.. I am simply making this comment in a form of a question ..based on math and logic..) and I do appreciate your feedback and advice..
I think that $15 to $400 should be doable, if you do it right.
But, honestly, you should be fine with a $25 "minimum bet", because, really, your actual minimum bet should be 0. If playing shoe games, you need to wong out aggressively.
I would prefer a higher max than $400 though. Note than 2x$300 has about the same bankroll requirements as 1 hand of $400. (I'm not sure if you meant that you would play 1x$400 or 2x$200 when you referred to your "$400 max bet).
I don't know a $15 -$400 is a pretty ballzy spread 1-26..thats sure to catch attention from the pit..don't you think? Maybe if i'm playing 2 hands at $200 a piece..it wouldnt be as bad...