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SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
  • Threads: 101
  • Posts: 5790
September 8th, 2019 at 5:50:15 AM permalink
I enjoy these threads. But I implore you NOT to put a 'record' down, as unless you are picking even money bets it is either meaningless, or misleading.

And if you can put a starting bankroll that is of some importance. In other words, if you are 0-5 but have lost just $1.00, then just decide to start betting $2.00, go 0-5 again, then make a $100 bet, and win.... no one wants to hear you are up $80 after 11 bets.....

I am 4-0 this year by the way. I had Alabama money line yesterday.
prozema
prozema
Joined: Oct 24, 2016
  • Threads: 22
  • Posts: 1139
September 8th, 2019 at 6:38:55 AM permalink
I vote we let him bet on whatever he wants.
"A little luck never hurt any fisherman, that's all I know." - Sig Hansen
es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
  • Threads: 2
  • Posts: 65
September 8th, 2019 at 7:05:03 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I enjoy these threads. But I implore you NOT to put a 'record' down, as unless you are picking even money bets it is either meaningless, or misleading.

And if you can put a starting bankroll that is of some importance. In other words, if you are 0-5 but have lost just $1.00, then just decide to start betting $2.00, go 0-5 again, then make a $100 bet, and win.... no one wants to hear you are up $80 after 11 bets.....



I make one bet per day and post the amount of the bet. I donít think it will be misleading to just keep the running balance.
DRich
DRich
Joined: Jul 6, 2012
  • Threads: 68
  • Posts: 4920
September 8th, 2019 at 8:05:01 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO


I am 4-0 this year by the way. I had Alabama money line yesterday.



Good thing you didnt have the spread. I think they won by 53 and the line was 55.
Living longer does not always infer +EV
es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
  • Threads: 2
  • Posts: 65
Thanks for this post from:
Romes
September 8th, 2019 at 11:51:49 AM permalink
Quote: GWAE

You dont need proof of concept. Just back test it.



It is a lot more fun when there is actually something at stake.
es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
  • Threads: 2
  • Posts: 65
September 8th, 2019 at 10:14:28 PM permalink
Last Result: +0.16
Running Total: $0.32
Record: 2-1 (0.6666)

Sport: NFL
Game: Houston @ New Orleans
Pick: NO-289
Wager: $0.96
es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
  • Threads: 2
  • Posts: 65
September 9th, 2019 at 7:29:35 PM permalink
Last result: +0.34
Running Total: $0.66
Record: 3-1 (0.75)

No wager for 9/10/19
Romes
Romes
Joined: Jul 22, 2014
  • Threads: 27
  • Posts: 5393
Thanks for this post from:
7crapsRisingDough
September 9th, 2019 at 7:50:29 PM permalink
Quote: es330td

...
Sport: NFL
Game: Houston @ New Orleans
Pick: NO-289
Wager: $0.96

So just an FYI, since you're doing this to test things and learn... The "sharp money" all around the sports betting arena was on the Texans +7. Glad you pulled it off (and so did my rather large bet Texans +7), but just a hint that it looks like you were on the wrong side there, at least according to all the sharp money bet in vegas and online.
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
7craps
7craps
Joined: Jan 23, 2010
  • Threads: 18
  • Posts: 1852
September 9th, 2019 at 8:00:42 PM permalink
Quote: es330td

I am not going to reveal this system to anybody but Mike Shackleford and even then only if he asks me directly what I am doing. I actually tested this in python using one million trials and will give him my source code.


betting on BIG favorites on the money line and betting BIG after a loss (the CHASE SYSTEM)
has been done at least 1.34 million times in the recent past.
It is a disaster waiting to happen and it does fail 100% of the time.
of course, many losers believe their way, and that is GREAT!

The top sports pickers laugh too.
so far
bet #$ wagertotal wageredoddsnettotal
10.840.84-260-0.84-0.84
22.823.66-28210.16
30.464.12-2860.160.32
40.965.08-2890.340.66
5.....
6.....
7.....
8.....
9.....
10.....
11.....
12.....
13.....
14.....
15.....
16.....


Quote: es330td

You will never know what I am doing. Even if someone guesses exactly I will not confirm.

LOL
great comedy!
take ALL the sports books cash and shut them all down
LOL
winsome johnny (not Win some johnny)
es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
  • Threads: 2
  • Posts: 65
September 9th, 2019 at 8:33:35 PM permalink
Thanks but I have a method I am testing based on line, bet sizing and bankroll. I tested it using one million trials and I have followed it for 500 actual picks to get me here. In all that time I have never considered anyone elseís opinion or pick. I am going to keep to my method until I get to where I want or I am bankrupt. I will declare success or failure at that point.

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