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es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
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September 10th, 2019 at 1:16:00 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

Then there is no way for you to know your system is working.



My balance is increasing and the method is working as expected. That is a pretty good indicator.
es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
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September 10th, 2019 at 1:30:38 PM permalink
Quote: kubikulann

Do you use code for neutrality, or because eye and hand cannot produce the answer?

Also, your statement that bankroll plays a role seems contradictory with first mentioning 33.92$ as a starting BR then switching to zero.



The code was for neutrality. I also wanted to code it because I can run lots of trials quickly. I switched to zero base at another users suggestion to show my running total. My bankroll is a little more than $34.
kubikulann
kubikulann
Joined: Jun 28, 2011
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September 10th, 2019 at 1:52:54 PM permalink
Quote: es330td

y. I switched to zero base at another users suggestion to show my running total. My bankroll is a little more than $34.

Yes, I got that much. But are your choices dependent on it? On 34 or on the running total?
Reperiet qui quaesiverit
GWAE
GWAE
Joined: Sep 20, 2013
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Thanks for this post from:
7craps
September 10th, 2019 at 1:58:39 PM permalink
Quote: es330td

My balance is increasing and the method is working as expected. That is a pretty good indicator.



You said that you back tested it. It is not possible to back test something without having data. You are just making stuff up at this point. Good luck with your system but I am exiting this non sense.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
  • Threads: 2
  • Posts: 103
September 10th, 2019 at 3:34:26 PM permalink
Quote: kubikulann

Yes, I got that much. But are your choices dependent on it? On 34 or on the running total?



Got it. Yes. How much I bet is a function of my balance. I will include that info on future posts.
es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
  • Threads: 2
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September 11th, 2019 at 3:30:05 AM permalink
No wager today. No games match criteria.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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September 11th, 2019 at 4:41:43 AM permalink
Quote: es330td

Because I still donít believe it myself. I had a thought occur to me when reading something Shackleford wrote. Curiosity made me throw together a quick test program and it didnít blow up immediately like other systems. That then made me wonder if managing the bet sizes made a difference. After making this adjustment and running a couple thousand trial tests it only produced single digit failure rates. At that point I decided it had merit and decided to try it out on the site I had access to. I am still not certain I programmed my code right or that I am not somehow influencing the record. Next step is a public trial.



I think you are not understanding what a 'system' is when the Wiz says no betting system will work. If you have found some way to identify an advantage that is reproducible that the linemakers are not aware of, then you could make money in the long run. You have not shared with us how you select your picks.

As an example, (hypothetical, of course) it is possible that an average bet on UFC fighters from Brazil produce a net win when they fight in Brazil, but betting against them produces a net win when they fight in the USA, Making those bets now would not be considered a betting system.

In other words, if somehow(extremely doubtful) you have found a way to identify picks that are +EV, your 'system' will work. If your picks are -EV (likely), your system will fail.
es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
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September 12th, 2019 at 10:32:21 AM permalink
Balance: $34.24
Running Total: +0.36

Sport: MLB
Game: Oakland @ Houston 9/12/19
Pick: Houston - 259
Wager: $0.89
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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September 12th, 2019 at 11:01:32 AM permalink
Quote: es330td

Balance: $34.24
Running Total: +0.36

Sport: MLB
Game: Oakland @ Houston 9/12/19
Pick: Houston - 259
Wager: $0.89



How frequently will your system pick an underdog to bet on on the money line?
es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
  • Threads: 2
  • Posts: 103
September 12th, 2019 at 12:31:25 PM permalink
Never. I only bet heavy favorites.

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