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es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
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7craps
September 12th, 2019 at 12:34:03 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

How frequently will your system pick an underdog to bet on on the money line?



My system is based on bet size and bankroll management.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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September 12th, 2019 at 1:24:51 PM permalink
Quote: es330td

My system is based on bet size and bankroll management.



If that is the case it is bound to be a losing system, because, well, it is a system! But I'll be rooting for you! Good luck.
beachbumbabs
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beachbumbabs
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September 12th, 2019 at 2:59:30 PM permalink
Quote: es330td

Never. I only bet heavy favorites.



This is what made Mustang Sally and her husband very rich. So I'm guessing there's something to it if you have a solid plan. And disciplineD betting. And are willing to win pennies per dollar with lots of small bets.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
kubikulann
kubikulann
Joined: Jun 28, 2011
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September 12th, 2019 at 3:03:27 PM permalink
Quote: es330td

My system is based on bet size and bankroll management.

Oh, Iím sorry to read that. I hoped your system exploited a bias that some Wizardís comment and a 20-year backdata analysis had made you discover.

Bet size and bankroll management are tools to use on a positive EV. They will never beat a negative EV. And even favorites have (normally) a negative edge for the bettor. Unless a bias exists....
Like, if the book thinks the true odds is not attractive enough and lowers the price. Or, if the book underestimates how far the favorite is favorite...

Then, I guess, playing the favorite would be positive EV.
Reperiet qui quaesiverit
es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
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September 12th, 2019 at 3:32:07 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

This is what made Mustang Sally and her husband very rich. So I'm guessing there's something to it if you have a solid plan. And disciplineD betting. And are willing to win pennies per dollar with lots of small bets.



I donít get this reference to Mustang Sally. Can you elaborate?
es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
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7craps
September 12th, 2019 at 3:36:17 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

If that is the case it is bound to be a losing system, because, well, it is a system! But I'll be rooting for you! Good luck.



I thought this too but I havenít gotten it to break in a year and a half of betting. Only by going on the record can I know if it works.
beachbumbabs
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beachbumbabs
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September 12th, 2019 at 3:41:28 PM permalink
Quote: es330td

I donít get this reference to Mustang Sally. Can you elaborate?



If you search for her as a member and read her most recent threads, (which are months old, maybe a year now), she described in much detail how they were betting heavy favorites. Then he died suddenly, leaving a huge cash out from their method, and she collected the money, moved away, and disappeared from the board here.

She's gone away for long periods before and returned, so she may be back again, but I'm guessing this time is different and she's moved on.

You'll have to work for it, because she took a couple months to drip info into the forum, but the aggregate is probably worth the read.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
unJon
unJon
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
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September 12th, 2019 at 3:49:13 PM permalink
Quote: es330td

My system is based on bet size and bankroll management.

Maybe there is a language barrier here. Are you saying your systems inputs are only about bet size and bankroll management. There is no other criteria you use to select which heavy favorites to bet on?
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
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7craps
September 12th, 2019 at 10:07:39 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

Maybe there is a language barrier here. Are you saying your systems inputs are only about bet size and bankroll management. There is no other criteria you use to select which heavy favorites to bet on?



My system is a combination of choosing games according to a criteria then sizing my bets based on bankroll and results.
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
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7craps
September 12th, 2019 at 10:36:58 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

This is what made Mustang Sally and her husband very rich.

Proof?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪

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