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tuttigym
tuttigym
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May 9th, 2024 at 9:44:13 AM permalink
Hey, did you see where Sylvester Stallone is auctioning off his wrist candy collection. One watch is said to be worth between $2.5 mil and $5 mil. You need to jump in and claim some of it. CHA' CHING!!!

tuttigym
MDawg
MDawg
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May 9th, 2024 at 6:34:37 PM permalink
Yes that Patek is rarer than rare, and has something like 20 functions - quite Complicated.
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MDawg
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May 9th, 2024 at 6:36:11 PM permalink
The market was interesting today in that it didn't break off in one direction or another, on the stocks I trade, kept within predictable ranges all day. Usually something changes within a few hours of the opening bell, and that when a lot of traders get stuck. There is a reason why something like 90% of day traders lose money!
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MDawg
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May 13th, 2024 at 7:25:30 AM permalink
E*Trade has been down all morning! Been using my Schwab account instead.
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MDawg
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May 13th, 2024 at 8:11:06 AM permalink
People trading GME is clogging up the market. eTrade still DOA.



Schwab login is available but trading is slow.



The guy who started the meme thing made an appearance on Twitter and set all this off.

GameStop stock gains 110%, gets halted for volatility after 'Roaring Kitty' post

To have that kind of power. I wonder if he bot in long before tweeting?
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MDawg
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May 15th, 2024 at 6:31:29 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Quote: Ace2

You may be fine waiting 15 years to break even. I'm not
link to original post


I thought it was going to take 15 years for this market to come back?



Quote: MDawg

And meantime, the stock market is doing just fine and I expect that predictions of long term doom and gloom will be proven wrong.
link to original post


link to original post


Ace2 was waiting for SPY 275? I guess his hands are still in his pocket...waiting, after he sold off in the 280s. He should stick to running the Tangiers. He doesn't understand the stock market.

Meantime, for the rest of us, Nasdaq hit another ATH! yesterday.
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vegas
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MDawg
May 15th, 2024 at 8:53:16 AM permalink
Quote: vegas

Bitcoin is now in the accumulating phase. This is the time to buy. It might reach say 34,000 but will also go down some and it will trade sideways all Fall and Winter so you will have time to add. The big move up in Bitcoin will come at the Bitcoin halving event which should be sometime in April 2024. This will begin the markup stage and when prices will start moving up. So if you buy in the fall or winter you will realize significant gains next spring and after the halving event.

That's what I believe will happen. Bitcoin between now and April 2024, 28,000 to 34,000 and then look for huge increases after April 2024
link to original post




Nailed it. It went up a bit early in March
50-50-90 Rule: Anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting something right, there is a 90% probability you'll get it wrong
MDawg
MDawg
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May 17th, 2024 at 1:26:21 AM permalink
Managed a few trades yesterday.

See what today brings in terms of opportunity.

Long term, nothing to complain about!
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MDawg
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May 17th, 2024 at 12:57:24 PM permalink
Hard to keep CMG down lately.



Dips, and then buy'em! right back up.
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DRich
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May 17th, 2024 at 6:23:28 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Hard to keep CMG down lately.



Dips, and then buy'em! right back up.
link to original post



I think McDonalds is regretting selling their stake in Chipolte
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
MDawg
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May 17th, 2024 at 9:35:00 PM permalink
It actually ended the day +67.5. CMG also has a very small float, and jumps (or drops) crazy amounts at times. Also if you watch it real time, because of the small float (and high stock price) it doesn't tick as frequently as many other stocks.

When bad news has hit CMG in the past, it has tanked mightily, but over the long term, it has flown.

Part of what's going on now is due to the announced 50 for 1 split, its first ever, which will happen June 25, 2024.
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MDawg
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May 22nd, 2024 at 7:50:49 AM permalink
NVDA reports today.
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MDawg
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May 22nd, 2024 at 2:35:48 PM permalink
NVDA over a thou now, blowout earnings and 10:1 split.
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MDawg
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May 22nd, 2024 at 4:49:00 PM permalink
Quote: vegas

Yes Nvidia will be well over 1000$ per share
link to original post



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MDawg
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May 23rd, 2024 at 5:14:24 PM permalink
NVDA all over the place today, but profitable pretty much anywhere you threw a dart for a trade, the first couple hours.

Cha'Chings! galore.

I got busy with some other work, came back and saw it was at 1062! so I was typing up the order to short when it already fell to 1057. That was it for the day for me...but it dropped all the way back to about 1020 before recovering some. Now THAT would have been a Cha'Ching to write home about. Not that I would have held it all the way down, but at least for 20 pts or $20K easily.

NVDA looks solid. Congrats to the longs (not me) and successful traders (me). NVDA is one I never bot to hold, unfortunately.
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MDawg
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May 29th, 2024 at 6:36:45 AM permalink
NVDA on a tear lately.

Hi TuttiGym, so I suppose your philosophy would be - I should not have bothered with making all the money Cha'Ching! I have lately (and over the years) on trading because...of tax consequences? 🤔😂

Let's just stand around with our hands in our pockets because we don't want to get taxed.
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unJon
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May 29th, 2024 at 6:40:12 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

NVDA on a tear lately.

Hi TuttiGym, so I suppose your philosophy would be - I should not have bothered with making all the money Cha'Ching! I have lately (and over the years) on trading because...of tax consequences? 🤔😂
link to original post



Do you track your trade gains vs the opportunity cost of having had the principal invested in your long term holds?
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
MDawg
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May 29th, 2024 at 6:42:40 AM permalink
Keep in mind that for most stocks (not NVDA) I am trading additional shares on top of long terms holds.

With NVDA I came to the party late and am just trading it.

But, yes, for example I have a different account I set up some time back in my wife's name only and in hers I just buy and hold. That account has done great without any trading.

Do I trade for just fun? For fun and profit? Probably both.
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MDawg
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May 29th, 2024 at 6:47:21 AM permalink
For example I did two NVDA trades this morning already. Cha'Ching! NVDA has dipped to where if I had held those two profitable trades, I'd be in the red right now on both trades that I closed out!. But, if NVDA is 1200 in a few days, will it matter at what price I had bot and closed today? versus just holding.

I also was trading NVDA in the low 800s a month ago. I can't say that it hasn't occurred to me (more than occurred) that if I had just held I'd be up 300 pts. I definitely did not clip 300 pts off those trades. But, when a stock ends up going sideways or drops a lot and I made money anyway going long, in those situations I did better trading versus having just held long.
Last edited by: MDawg on May 29, 2024
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MDawg
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May 29th, 2024 at 6:55:40 AM permalink
Anyway, what I do (did) on a dropping stock like NVDA (today), is put in a buy around where I think it will fall on the first leg of the drop. Cha'Ching. Dump for a few points. Then put in an even lower buy for the second leg of the drop. Cha'Ching! I've been doing this for so long I almost never miss. Then I drop it even more for the third leg. I didn't get anything on that third leg because I put it in at 1109 for NVDA. Didn't drop quite that low. (I missed it by a penny...yes sometimes I'm that good at calling the low for the day.)

But, if I am doing this right, that is exactly the way it should pan out for me, where the final order doesn't get filled. If I am doing it wrong, my final order will get filled, and the stock will end up dropping too far below that.

I am extremely conservative (and nimble) with my buy orders (or shorts, if I am doing that, which I do sometimes, but rarely compared to longs), and some days I get shut out for being too cheap and execute no trades at all. But I'd rather miss opportunities than end up stuck.

I also don't bother with mid run entries, if the stock is halfway between its low and high for the day, that's just guessing as to where it will go. Once the market day is in full swing, I'm looking for extreme entry points beyond the high for a short, beyond the low for a long, looking both today and in the recent past.

Another thing I do is tend to trade only very early in the market day. Stocks, especially the ones I trade, tend to have a lot of elasticity especially in those early hours, and are very forgiving for almost any entry point. Plus you have the whole day to recover if you do get stuck. Later in the day, less time to recover, and people might have by then given up on the stock and are not buying the dips as voraciously. As you get closer to the bell, it's just a coin flip as to which way it will close. I'm not doing this for coin flips, I have followed the stocks I trade for long enough to be able to predict how they will behave. Doesn't hurt that they keep hitting new ATHs too - so for the rare times I do get stuck, I switch from a day trade to a swing trade, and hold a bit, and might also average in. I haven't needed to average in in some time, all my trades have hit quite well quite quickly.
Last edited by: MDawg on May 29, 2024
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tuttigym
tuttigym
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May 29th, 2024 at 8:33:26 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

NVDA on a tear lately.

Hi TuttiGym, so I suppose your philosophy would be - I should not have bothered with making all the money Cha'Ching! I have lately (and over the years) on trading because...of tax consequences? 🤔😂

Let's just stand around with our hands in our pockets because we don't want to get taxed.
link to original post


No not all. However, it would seem to me that one such as yourself who is, I assume, self-employed would have a number of tax deferred IRA's or SEP's and trade within those parameters thus avoiding immediate and short term capital gains. Oh, well, such is life.

tuttigym
MDawg
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May 29th, 2024 at 9:42:22 AM permalink
I've never discussed what I am or am not doing tax wise.

My focus in posts here is to discuss ways to make money.
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tuttigym
tuttigym
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May 29th, 2024 at 9:54:44 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

I've never discussed what I am or am not doing tax wise.

My focus in posts here is to discuss ways to make money.
link to original post


"Making money" and keeping money made are different stories. If one loses $$ by not taking certain advantages, the "adventures" are incomplete and unreliable.

tuttigym
MDawg
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May 29th, 2024 at 10:50:29 AM permalink
You have too much spinning in your head and should stick to not making assumptions.
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tuttigym
tuttigym
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May 29th, 2024 at 2:47:41 PM permalink
Did I hit a nerve? "Assumptions" are valid until corrected factually. The only spin here is yours.

tuttigym
MDawg
MDawg
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May 29th, 2024 at 3:42:09 PM permalink
It's all about Cha'Chings! over here.
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MDawg
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June 3rd, 2024 at 10:27:14 AM permalink
Some decent Cha'Ching action on CMG, buying near the bottom after a major dip after a halt.

Takes a lot of buying power though to swing this @ 1000 shares, and be ready to average in more if necessary.

I got a (broken up) partial @ 700 then took a while before the other 300 were filled (also broken up). Trying to buy and sell 1000 sh of CMG is like a Mack Truck swinging into a traffic laden freeway lane.
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MDawg
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June 3rd, 2024 at 10:39:49 AM permalink


The cross symbol indicates partial fills.
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MDawg
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June 5th, 2024 at 7:41:16 AM permalink
NVDA trying to breach 1200. Who do they think they are, GOOGL?
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MDawg
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June 7th, 2024 at 5:50:06 AM permalink
Haven't been trading the AH/pre lately, but I jumped on NVDA at 1181 this morning. Cha'Ching.
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MDawg
MDawg
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June 7th, 2024 at 5:57:24 AM permalink
Out @ 1191. Probably will go higher later, but $10K is $10K.
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SOOPOO
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June 7th, 2024 at 5:13:42 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Out @ 1191. Probably will go higher later, but $10K is $10K.
link to original post



Use 10% of that to get the VIP tour at Disney.
MDawg
MDawg
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June 8th, 2024 at 9:52:15 AM permalink
Within my peer group there is probably someone with the connections to get me the package, but I've never been into Disney enough to ask around.

For one thing, we try never go to Disneyland on a weekend. Wednesdays tend to be good days. I do recall as a child going to Disneyland Christmas morning only to find that many others had the same idea.
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MDawg
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June 9th, 2024 at 10:49:59 AM permalink
I don't particularly (or at all) trade meme stocks, but anyone who follows the market knows about the phenomenon. It started around 2020, and including stocks like GME. At that time, in 2020, one man in particular, using the screen name Roaring Kitty

Who Is Keith Gill? The Man Behind Roaring Kitty

pretty much singlehandedly revived dying stocks like GME, AMC, ostensibly with an altruistic "let's not let these companies go under" motive, although obviously the guy was buying the stock heavily before each pump (and dump).

Roaring Kitty (and his other username DeepF---ingValue) disappeared from the scene in 2021, only to return about a month ago with this Sunday night May 12th twitter post



image only - no words - that set off a buying frenzy in GME.

Obviously, the guy loaded up on GME before making the post, then dumped at least some (although, he did make a post with a screenshot of his trading account to show hundreds of millions worth of GME (post runup obviously), but no sales (yet)).

It didn't quite work out as expected when he tried it a second time - announced a youtube video on GME set for Friday, June 7th, and GME posted bad news and the intention to issue millions of shares of more stock that same morning, and the stock tanked, and tanked even more after Kitty's inane lacking in any meaningful news youtube presentation.

GameStop Stock Tanks On Surprise Q1 Results, Share Offering, Despite Roaring Kitty Event

GameStop stock plummets as ĎRoaring Kittyí rambles on live stream

I am sure he still wound up ahead many millions, trampling over the dead bodies of many who tried to follow in his footsteps.

"That's too much power for one man to have."

What is interesting is whether or not Kitty violated any SEC rules. Yes, he bot ahead of (and presumably sold after) his posts, but his posts themselves offered no misinformation (no information at all, actually), other than the implication that he was IN. Even Citron Research itself, a notorious short seller that was hurt four years ago when it was caught in a massive short squeeze due to Kitty's influence, declared that he probably violated no laws:

"For the record, I don't think anything Kitty did was illegal," the firm posted on X. "Assuming Kitty does not have MNPI (Material Nonpublic Information), he has the right to make a large bet and tell everyone."
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MDawg
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June 11th, 2024 at 7:18:42 AM permalink
AAPL partying! hitting an ATH. MDawg's stocks tend to do that.
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MDawg
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June 15th, 2024 at 9:15:18 AM permalink
A family member is one of the founders/creators of a meme coin that has been around only a year or so now. Actually put money into it, but that investment is now 60X (in the millions of dollars), but can't cash out the market isn't there yet and the coin isn't sold on more established markets yet.

So, even if one's holding in a coin is "only" 1 percent or so of the market cap, that doesn't mean one is liquid.

By comparison, there were days when I used to trade for example the Google stock where I was trading almost 1% of the entire day's trading volume single handedly. How many people can say that, but still, I was completely liquid even via partial fills galore.
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tuttigym
tuttigym
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June 15th, 2024 at 9:29:39 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

A family member is one of the founders/creators of a meme coin that has been around only a year or so now. Actually put money into it, but that investment is now 60X (in the millions of dollars), but can't cash out the market isn't there yet and the coin isn't sold on more established markets yet.

So, even if one's holding in a coin is "only" 1 percent or so of the market cap, that doesn't mean you are liquid.

By comparison, there were days when I used to trade for example the Google stock where I was trading almost 1% of the entire day's trading volume single handedly. How many people can say that, but still, I was completely liquid even via partial fills galore.
link to original post


Oh great, another phantom currency.

I need to ask you an off-topic question: With the non-enforcement of many crimes such as theft, vandalism, etc., why would anybody pay traffic citations and why would the courts in certain CA jurisdictions honor bench warrants?

tuttigym
MDawg
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June 15th, 2024 at 9:34:30 AM permalink
Your assumptions reek of imprecision.

I assume you are talking about California.

All crimes are enforced, just that for many non violent crimes the general policy (which may be deviated from at the law enforcement agency's discretion) is to not take into custody someone arrested, just to cite or book and release.

As far as bench warrants, anyone who fails to appear for court could get a no bail warrant, even for a misdemeanor depending on the judge's discretion.

As far as traffic citations or parking tickets, failing to take care of them could have consequences such as non renewal of driver license or vehicle registration.

The system...works, even when consequences are minimized.
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tuttigym
tuttigym
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June 15th, 2024 at 10:11:04 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Your assumptions reek of imprecision.

I assume you are talking about California.

All crimes are enforced, just that for many non violent crimes the general policy (which may be deviated from at the law enforcement agency's discretion) is to not take into custody someone arrested, just to cite or book and release.

As far as bench warrants, anyone who fails to appear for court could get a no bail warrant, even for a misdemeanor depending on the judge's discretion.

As far as traffic citations or parking tickets, failing to take care of them could have consequences such as non renewal of driver license or vehicle registration.

The system...works, even when consequences are minimized.
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"Cite or book and release"? No consequences no bail, so what. License non-renewal? Isn't that a "non-violent" crime? Apparently, prosecutors and the judiciary don't care or are too busy with other stuff. The "judges' discretion is to release, so the "all crimes are enforced" statement is not true. It is a canard. Your post reeks of imprecision.

tuttigym
MDawg
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June 15th, 2024 at 10:13:36 AM permalink
In CA: Judges issue no bail bench warrants daily. Police take people into custody all the time on non violent crimes, including misdemeanors. Judges do give defendants cash bail, including for misdemeanors. It does depend on the county, and the DA's policy, but judges may overrule that policy too, in either direction.

An imprecision * footnote should be added to many of your posts!
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MDawg
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June 15th, 2024 at 10:18:52 AM permalink
Another "imprecise" post you made was about life insurance.

The concept of insurance, is to hedge against the unexpected. "Self insurance" is great if the person lives long enough and is disciplined enough to have built up enough assets, but if something happens early on, that is what insurance is for. Basically, you are purchasing peace of mind. It also presupposes that you have someone you want taken care of, especially someone far younger, above and beyond whatever assets you have.

You might as well say that no need to buy homeowner's insurance if, as I, have all homes paid off. Just start saving money, deposit what would be your premium into some investment annually, and hope your house doesn't burn down for at least fifty years.

Why should I insure any of my watches? None will ever be stolen anyway. 🤦🏻‍♂️
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tuttigym
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June 15th, 2024 at 4:38:35 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

In CA: Judges issue no bail bench warrants daily. Police take people into custody all the time on non violent crimes, including misdemeanors. Judges do give defendants cash bail, including for misdemeanors. It does depend on the county, and the DA's policy, but judges may overrule that policy too, in either direction.

An imprecision * footnote should be added to many of your posts!
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Man, talk about a scatterbrained post. Where is your precision? Let's see:
1. Some judges do ask for cash bail. Others do not.
2. Police take some offenders into "custody." But some do not.
3. Some DA's do one thing and others can do the opposite.
4. Some judges can overrule the law, the system, and policy, and some do not.

Really, really PRECISE and consistent.

Thanks for all that clarity.

tuttigym
MDawg
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June 15th, 2024 at 4:41:50 PM permalink
Naturally, the fact that you have no personal knowledge about any of this matters not. In your book.

I see the system in action, and it works.
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tuttigym
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June 15th, 2024 at 4:50:31 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Another "imprecise" post you made was about life insurance.

The concept of insurance, is to hedge against the unexpected. "Self insurance" is great if the person lives long enough and is disciplined enough to have built up enough assets, but if something happens early on, that is what insurance is for. Basically, you are purchasing peace of mind. It also presupposes that you have someone you want taken care of, especially someone far younger, above and beyond whatever assets you have.

You might as well say that no need to buy homeowner's insurance if, as I, have all homes paid off. Just start saving money, deposit what would be your premium into some investment annually, and hope your house doesn't burn down for at least fifty years.

Why should I insure any of my watches? None will ever be stolen anyway. 🤦🏻‍♂️
link to original post


Notice everyone that there is NO link to my post about insurance. That is because MDawg's post is misleading in its content as a rebuttal to my post about the purchase of "whole life" insurance. So, I shall repeat the absolute fact that whole life contracts are the worst form and most costly insurance products on the market, and MDawg proudly announce that he has some in his portfolio. I am sure his agent is very grateful as the commissions are huge.

tuttigym
tuttigym
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June 15th, 2024 at 4:57:44 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Naturally, the fact that you have no personal knowledge about any of this matters not. In your book.

I see the system in action, and it works.
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Sounds like you are turning a blind eye to CA reality. The system works so well that the exodus of populations and businesses is extreme.

tuttigym
MDawg
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June 15th, 2024 at 7:06:32 PM permalink
Trading NVDA this past week has been interesting. Have to remember that every dollar movement is "actually" ten. It is starting to max out though, for now anyway.
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unJon
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June 16th, 2024 at 6:53:44 AM permalink
Quote: tuttigym

Quote: MDawg

Another "imprecise" post you made was about life insurance.

The concept of insurance, is to hedge against the unexpected. "Self insurance" is great if the person lives long enough and is disciplined enough to have built up enough assets, but if something happens early on, that is what insurance is for. Basically, you are purchasing peace of mind. It also presupposes that you have someone you want taken care of, especially someone far younger, above and beyond whatever assets you have.

You might as well say that no need to buy homeowner's insurance if, as I, have all homes paid off. Just start saving money, deposit what would be your premium into some investment annually, and hope your house doesn't burn down for at least fifty years.

Why should I insure any of my watches? None will ever be stolen anyway. 🤦🏻‍♂️
link to original post


Notice everyone that there is NO link to my post about insurance. That is because MDawg's post is misleading in its content as a rebuttal to my post about the purchase of "whole life" insurance. So, I shall repeat the absolute fact that whole life contracts are the worst form and most costly insurance products on the market, and MDawg proudly announce that he has some in his portfolio. I am sure his agent is very grateful as the commissions are huge.

tuttigym
link to original post



Oh Iím glad you responded then as I thought you were anti insurance in general.

I agree whole life is a poor investment decision for most people, and you do better with term life and investing the delta.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
MDawg
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June 16th, 2024 at 8:07:05 AM permalink
There have been periods when people scoffed at whole life, universal life, term life. Each has its own pluses and minuses.

"This is Tuttigym" is someone who is even more useless to debate with than D.Oz. At least D.Oz is willing to bend T.Gym has already made up his mind before he poses a question or makes a post. I hope I'm not so inflexible when I reach that age (which of course, if I do, my term policies will expire worthless other than the return of premium one 😁).
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unJon
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June 16th, 2024 at 10:41:00 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

There have been periods when people scoffed at whole life, universal life, term life. Each has its own pluses and minuses.

"This is Tuttigym" is someone who is even more useless to debate with than D.Oz. At least D.Oz is willing to bend T.Gym has already made up his mind before he poses a question or makes a post. I hope I'm not so inflexible when I reach that age (which of course, if I do, my term policies will expire worthless other than the return of premium one 😁).
link to original post



Not getting in between you and DOz or TGym. But let me reiterate that whole life is a terrible product for most people. Donít care what ďpeopleĒ scoff at for periods.

ETA: just noting that MDawg may have reasons that itís fine for him to do as he might have circumstances that ďmost peopleĒ donít that makes allocating a certain percentage of investable assets towards whole life.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
MDawg
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June 16th, 2024 at 11:08:11 AM permalink
It doesn't just depend on circumstances, unless by circumstances you include among other things, an extremely large estate.

If you want to put it in simpler terms,

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