Got 10 Clemson with +2.5 points
Interesting, the much higher seed was a betting underdog
5 leg parlay last leg is Duke -11.5
Got a hedge in at +12.5
4 legger last leg Purdue -26.5
Got a hedge in at +27.5
And bigger one with GCU under 132.
Got a hedge at over 130.5.
I love when I get lucky and the line has moved so it’s possible I can win both the hedge and the main bet without paying extra juice.
might be an AP opportunity on hotel rooms UK paid forQuote: DRichNice to see a 13.5 point underdog beat Kentucky. that will be the only school from that state up north that I root for.
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Quote: avianrandymight be an AP opportunity on hotel rooms UK paid forQuote: DRichNice to see a 13.5 point underdog beat Kentucky. that will be the only school from that state up north that I root for.
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So when the tourney was in Buffalo I had friends that would wait until after the first round and then get tickets for pennies on the dollar. Most tickets were sold in pre-packs for all the possible games. 1/2 the out of towners became far less interested in the games….
I don’t know how the hotel market works for this type of event.
My big leftover parlay from last night finishes with South Florida on the money line. I’m hedging with VCU +3.5.
Already hit one with Marquette. My hedge was Colorado +4. Game ended on that number so hedge disappeared but parlay won. That’s good!
Quote: SOOPOOHuge +EV opportunity today. Alabama and Houston both to win at +150. FanDuel I think fair odds around -110 or -120. When I first tried to bet it it turned to their ‘locked’ symbol so I assumed they realized it was an error, but a minute later was able to get the bet in. I went to Caesar’s and bet would be at -131.
My big leftover parlay from last night finishes with South Florida on the money line. I’m hedging with VCU +3.5.
Already hit one with Marquette. My hedge was Colorado +4. Game ended on that number so hedge disappeared but parlay won. That’s good!
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Sorry, but I will be rooting for Grand Canyon. Is Dan Majerle still their coach?
Quote: DRichQuote: SOOPOOHuge +EV opportunity today. Alabama and Houston both to win at +150. FanDuel I think fair odds around -110 or -120. When I first tried to bet it it turned to their ‘locked’ symbol so I assumed they realized it was an error, but a minute later was able to get the bet in. I went to Caesar’s and bet would be at -131.
My big leftover parlay from last night finishes with South Florida on the money line. I’m hedging with VCU +3.5.
Already hit one with Marquette. My hedge was Colorado +4. Game ended on that number so hedge disappeared but parlay won. That’s good!
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Sorry, but I will be rooting for Grand Canyon. Is Dan Majerle still their coach?
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Root away! He was fired while Trump was President.
Quote: SOOPOOHuge +EV opportunity today. Alabama and Houston both to win at +150. FanDuel I think fair odds around -110 or -120. When I first tried to bet it it turned to their ‘locked’ symbol so I assumed they realized it was an error, but a minute later was able to get the bet in. I went to Caesar’s and bet would be at -131.
I had to sweat it out. Bama was down late, but came back to win. Houston nearly completed an all time epic choke but won in OT. By far the worst (and what can only be described as stupidest) play was a star Houston player, their best free throw shooter, and ballhandler, who would likely be needed down the stretch, jumping out of control at an opponent taking a 3 pointer while they were leading by 7 with less than a minute to go. Fouled out. Clock stops. Three free throws. There were other dumb plays by Houston, including the coach not willing to foul when up 3 with 7 or 8 seconds to go. Who could have guessed opponent would hit a 3 pointer to send it into OT?
In interesting news, there is a bet fixing investigation into an NBA game. Someone bet $80k to win $1.1 million on a bunch of ‘under’ bets on Jontay Porter. He ‘apparently’ had an eye injury early and missed the rest of the game. The details will be interesting. I was surprised that DK would take a bet that large on these kind of props.
Are there really nearly 6 figure bets on such outcomes?
Seattle vs. Fairfield UNDER 143.5
I counted Fairfield going 26-4 under that total in its last 30 games
I counted Seattle going 9-5 under that total in its last 14 games
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Quote: lilredrooster.
Seattle vs. Fairfield UNDER 143.5
I counted Fairfield going 26-4 under that total in its last 30 games
I counted Seattle going 9-5 under that total in its last 14 games
.
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Ok!!!! I’ll make that bet with you!
Edit. Got it at under 144 on Caesars.
Quote: SOOPOOQuote: lilredrooster.
Seattle vs. Fairfield UNDER 143.5
I counted Fairfield going 26-4 under that total in its last 30 games
I counted Seattle going 9-5 under that total in its last 14 games
.
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Ok!!!! I’ll make that bet with you!
Edit. Got it at under 144 on Caesars.
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very, very sorry
I was looking at the women's scores for Fairfield, not the men's
the men score much more
for Seattle I was looking at the men's
my bad
I didn't specify mens or women's when I searched and the women just happened to come up for Fairfield
the link is the men's scoring for Fairfield
https://www.google.com/search?q=fairfield+ncaab+mens+scores&oq=fairfi&aqs=chrome.0.69i59l3j69i57j46i131i433i512j69i60l3.1696j0j9&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8#sie=t;/m/02pqkfw;3;/g/11ckvf54fz;mt;fp;1;;;
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I only bet $11 to win $10.
+EV bet of the day is both Antetokounmpo and Davis to score 25 at +200. I think fair is around +140. I like it even more because it seems likely James won’t be playing. So more need for Davis to score. Giannis probably hits 25 well over 80% of the time. FanDuel.
Quote: SOOPOOLOL!!! No problem LilRed!
I only bet $11 to win $10.
+EV bet of the day is both Antetokounmpo and Davis to score 25 at +200. I think fair is around +140. I like it even more because it seems likely James won’t be playing. So more need for Davis to score. Giannis probably hits 25 well over 80% of the time. FanDuel.
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Easy $100. Hit with around 6 minutes to go. I have another big parlay that all player props already hit…. but…. I need the over and only way I can hit that is if it goes to OT. Let’s go ‘tie’.
Quote:Seven of the nation’s largest gaming companies are joining forces to create a trade group to promote responsible gaming, and for the first time ever, will share information about problem gamblers.
The seven operators — FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, Penn Entertainment, Fanatics Betting & Gaming, Hard Rock Digital and bet365 — will form the Responsible Online Gaming Association, or ROGA, the group announced Wednesday.
What if they share information about who is non grata ? OH, what am I worried about, it's only problem gamblers who need to look out, they say. Right.
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/27/largest-us-sportsbooks-join-forces-to-tackle-problem-gambling.html
Quote: odiousgambitUh-oh. Am I the only one who sees a potential problem?
Quote:Seven of the nation’s largest gaming companies are joining forces to create a trade group to promote responsible gaming, and for the first time ever, will share information about problem gamblers.
The seven operators — FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, Penn Entertainment, Fanatics Betting & Gaming, Hard Rock Digital and bet365 — will form the Responsible Online Gaming Association, or ROGA, the group announced Wednesday.
What if they share information about who is non grata ? OH, what am I worried about, it's only problem gamblers who need to look out, they say. Right.
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/27/largest-us-sportsbooks-join-forces-to-tackle-problem-gambling.html
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Good analysis, OG!
If they do something as simple as cross referencing winners I’m toast.
3 withdrawals yesterday. Two were done instantaneously. Third cleared this morning.
Can I do a Florida account as a non resident?
From my experience of going into West Virginia, if they have DK you are ready to rock and roll. I could even play casino games immediately [you can't in VA where I live]. Of course the location device has to confirm where you are.Quote: SOOPOO
Good analysis, OG!
If they do something as simple as cross referencing winners I’m toast.
3 withdrawals yesterday. Two were done instantaneously. Third cleared this morning.
Can I do a Florida account as a non resident?
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When I had going into KY on an earlier date, I got the idea I had to sign up in Kentucky separately. I'm not sure now.
Quote: SOOPOO
Can I do a Florida account as a non resident?
I think you can.
"Florida sports betting is now legal! You can now legally bet on sports in Florida with Hard Rock Bet. We’re the only place where you can bet so long as you’re within the State of Florida. It doesn’t matter whether you’re in Key West, Jacksonville, or Pensacola, sports betting in Florida is legal so long as you’re 21+ years of age, are located in the state, and have an account with Hard Rock Bet in good standing. Welcome to Florida’s sportsbook!"
okay - I know everybody has been waiting for this_______________:)
my 5 star pick for today - loosen up on that green stuff for this one
this time there is no goof - I looked at the men's scores
Alabama/UNC
UNDER the total of 173.5 which I'm pretty sure is the highest total set for any tournament game
Alabama has gone over that total in 4 of its last 6 games but they only scored 72 against Grand Canyon in their last game and Grand Canyon got 61 for a total of 133
UNC has gone under that total in all of its last 6 games and in 4 of its last 6 games and in 3 of its last 4 its held the opponent to scoring in the 60s
the most points scored in a UNC game in the last 6 games is 163
edit - I just counted UNC going under that total 33-3 for the entire season
2nd edit - it's a better deal if you can get a halftime total very close to 87 - I don't have an account and I can't find any halftime totals
.
Quote: lilredrooster.
okay - I know everybody has been waiting for this_______________:)
my 5 star pick for today - loosen up on that green stuff for this one
this time there is no goof - I looked at the men's scores
Alabama/UNC
UNDER the total of 173.5 which I'm pretty sure is the highest total set for any tournament game
Alabama has gone over that total in 4 of its last 6 games but they only scored 72 against Grand Canyon in their last game and Grand Canyon got 61 for a total of 133
UNC has gone under that total in all of its last 6 games and in 4 of its last 6 games and in 3 of its last 4 its held the opponent to scoring in the 60s
the most points scored in a UNC game in the last 6 games is 163
edit - I just counted UNC going under that total 33-3 for the entire season
2nd edit - it's a better deal if you can get a halftime total very close to 87 - I don't have an account and I can't find any halftime totals
.
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It’s 82.5 o/u first half. Doing well or doing poorly, Alabama just runs and shoots. I have the over in my main parlay. I think UNC will run with them.
Quote: SOOPOOQuote: lilredrooster.
okay - I know everybody has been waiting for this_______________:)
my 5 star pick for today - loosen up on that green stuff for this one
this time there is no goof - I looked at the men's scores
Alabama/UNC
UNDER the total of 173.5 which I'm pretty sure is the highest total set for any tournament game
Alabama has gone over that total in 4 of its last 6 games but they only scored 72 against Grand Canyon in their last game and Grand Canyon got 61 for a total of 133
UNC has gone under that total in all of its last 6 games and in 4 of its last 6 games and in 3 of its last 4 its held the opponent to scoring in the 60s
the most points scored in a UNC game in the last 6 games is 163
edit - I just counted UNC going under that total 33-3 for the entire season
2nd edit - it's a better deal if you can get a halftime total very close to 87 - I don't have an account and I can't find any halftime totals
.
link to original post
It’s 82.5 o/u first half. Doing well or doing poorly, Alabama just runs and shoots. I have the over in my main parlay. I think UNC will run with them.
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I think there’s high variance in this total not captured by many books standard odds adjustment to get to the “adjusted line” totals.
I don't think 82.5 is good
I would go with under the 173.5
.