Sports betting chatter
Quote: DRichI have four bets today.
Clemson (+14.5 +105) vs Texas
Montana State (-8) vs South Dakota
Tennessee (+7.5) vs Ohio State
SMU (+8.5) vs Penn State
Hopefully I can avoid an 0-4 day.
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I am good, I avoided an 0-4 day with an impressive 2-2 day. Sadly, one of my better days betting college football this year.
Quote: DRichQuote: DRichI have four bets today.
Clemson (+14.5 +105) vs Texas
Montana State (-8) vs South Dakota
Tennessee (+7.5) vs Ohio State
SMU (+8.5) vs Penn State
Hopefully I can avoid an 0-4 day.
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I am good, I avoided an 0-4 day with an impressive 2-2 day. Sadly, one of my better days betting college football this year.
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I was 2-1, and knew nothing of the Montona St- SD game.
Yesterday, hit 6 of 7 (only loss was Marquette not covering against Xavier, despite being up 15 with under 8 to play) and earlier in the week hit 6 of 7 (only loss was the Capitals losing to the Blackhawks, despite having a 2-0 lead and a power play opportunity in the third period).
I know parlay is the French word for sucker bet, but it seems to be working for me over the last couple of weeks.
I did very well on the CFB games. Equally poorly on the two NFL games.
Ravens- Steelers, and KC-Bills should be played when the most eyeballs will be watching, not the least.
Quote: billryanI was disappointed the NFL went against the College Playoffs by using KC, The Steelers and Ravens.
Ravens- Steelers, and KC-Bills should be played when the most eyeballs will be watching, not the least.
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My guess is that both of those games drew more viewers than the CFB games.
Quote: DRichQuote: billryanI was disappointed the NFL went against the College Playoffs by using KC, The Steelers and Ravens.
Ravens- Steelers, and KC-Bills should be played when the most eyeballs will be watching, not the least.
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I guess that both of those games drew more viewers than the CFB games.
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I'm curious about that myself. The NFL started playing on these Saturdays because the NCAA season was over, and bowls hadn't started yet. Now that the NCAA is staging Championship playoff games on the day, I'd hope the NFL would want them to succeed. They already use them as an unpaid minor league system to develop their needed talent.
It's just another thing the CFP needs to work out. Penn St plays a first-round game while Boise St gets a bye? Clemson and SMU got in on the strength of the ACC? It might have sounded good on paper but neither showed they belonged in the tournament. It's the same for Indiana.
It's all very much a work in progress.
*sigh*Quote: SOOPOOMGM giving another free deposit match. Deposit $800 and it turns into $1000. 14 days to bet $800. They’ve been giving me so many +EV $50 max profit boosts it will only take 2-3 days to collect the $200.
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Quote: SOOPOOMGM giving another free deposit match. Deposit $800 and it turns into $1000. 14 days to bet $800. They’ve been giving me so many +EV $50 max profit boosts it will only take 2-3 days to collect the $200.
I did very well on the CFB games. Equally poorly on the two NFL games.
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I am very jealous of you. As you know in Florida we only have one book available to us.
Quote: billryanQuote: DRichQuote: billryanI was disappointed the NFL went against the College Playoffs by using KC, The Steelers and Ravens.
Ravens- Steelers, and KC-Bills should be played when the most eyeballs will be watching, not the least.
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I guess that both of those games drew more viewers than the CFB games.
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I'm curious about that myself. The NFL started playing on these Saturdays because the NCAA season was over, and bowls hadn't started yet. Now that the NCAA is staging Championship playoff games on the day, I'd hope the NFL would want them to succeed. They already use them as an unpaid minor league system to develop their needed talent.
It's just another thing the CFP needs to work out. Penn St plays a first-round game while Boise St gets a bye? Clemson and SMU got in on the strength of the ACC? It might have sounded good on paper but neither showed they belonged in the tournament. It's the same for Indiana.
It's all very much a work in progress.
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I thought this article about the underlying law prohibiting the nfl from competing on Saturdays was interesting.
https://www.sportico.com/business/media/2024/nfl-college-football-playoff-tv-clash-1234821327/
Quote: SOOPOOSo today book X has obscure Italian league basketball game. At halftime. Team A is -115 at -.5. Team B is +130 money line. Essentially both are money line bets. I check the other sites and the -115 ‘must’ be a mistake. I keep betting the -115, and got +124 on a second site. Got 3 progressively larger bets in on both. Until halftime ended and lines moved. I think I made $7! Plus both sites must have perceived me as just making a bunch of negative EV bets. I just wonder if I made a ‘big’ bet on this obscure game($1000?) if it even gets noticed?
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I think most online sports book do assign each player an amount that triggers a review. Each players amount will be different based on their bet sizes and trends. My assumption is that most of your bets are small so a $1000 probably would trigger a review.
Quote: DRichQuote: SOOPOOSo today book X has obscure Italian league basketball game. At halftime. Team A is -115 at -.5. Team B is +130 money line. Essentially both are money line bets. I check the other sites and the -115 ‘must’ be a mistake. I keep betting the -115, and got +124 on a second site. Got 3 progressively larger bets in on both. Until halftime ended and lines moved. I think I made $7! Plus both sites must have perceived me as just making a bunch of negative EV bets. I just wonder if I made a ‘big’ bet on this obscure game($1000?) if it even gets noticed?
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I think most online sports book do assign each player an amount that triggers a review. Each players amount will be different based on their bet sizes and trends. My assumption is that most of your bets are small so a $1000 probably would trigger a review.
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I think it also might depend on what game is being bet on. A $10,000 mid game bet on darts would raise a flag that the same size bet on pre game Super Bowl would not. I re-looked at that bet. I ‘think’ it should have been -4.5 or so at -115. That $7 I won will be used to pay off my election betting losses….
Myrtle Beach Bowl: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers against the UTSA Road Runners. I would favor UTSA (-11) in this game.
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Northern Illinois Huskies vs Fresno State Bulldogs. I lean toward the Bulldogs (+3.5) to get the French fries dumped on their heads.
Quote: DRichWe have two Bowl games today:
Myrtle Beach Bowl: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers against the UTSA Road Runners. I would favor UTSA (-11) in this game.
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Northern Illinois Huskies vs Fresno State Bulldogs. I lean toward the Bulldogs (+3.5) to get the French fries dumped on their heads.
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Northern Illinois beat Notre Dame and heartbreakingly lost a handful of games in the last minute..
Fresno beat no one of significance and has lost its starting QB and a half dozen starters to the transfer portal.
What do you see that you think Fresno is a good bet?
Quote: billryanQuote: DRichWe have two Bowl games today:
Myrtle Beach Bowl: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers against the UTSA Road Runners. I would favor UTSA (-11) in this game.
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Northern Illinois Huskies vs Fresno State Bulldogs. I lean toward the Bulldogs (+3.5) to get the French fries dumped on their heads.
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Northern Illinois beat Notre Dame and heartbreakingly lost a handful of games in the last minute..
Fresno beat no one of significance and has lost its starting QB and a half dozen starters to the transfer portal.
What do you see that you think Fresno is a good bet?
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I will be honest, I did not know they lost their QB and many other players. I have probably only watched 4 Fresno games this year but honestly what I like most about them is their coach. Coach N (Hawaiian name) coached at Navy for many years but has transitioned and added a few passes since then. Also, the game being in Boise is more advantageous to them.
Put is this way, I liked them so much I only bet $30 on it. I will probably have at least a small bet on every Bowl game.
Quote: DRich
I will be honest, I did not know they lost their QB and many other players. I have probably only watched 4 Fresno games this year but honestly what I like most about them is their coach. Coach N (Hawaiian name) coached at Navy for many years but has transitioned and added a few passes since then. Also, the game being in Boise is more advantageous to them.
Put is this way, I liked them so much I only bet $30 on it. I will probably have at least a small bet on every Bowl game.
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Please disregard that whole thing. I had Coach N mixed up because he is at San Jose St not Fresno St. Please bet against me.
Quote: DRichQuote: billryanQuote: DRichWe have two Bowl games today:
Myrtle Beach Bowl: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers against the UTSA Road Runners. I would favor UTSA (-11) in this game.
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Northern Illinois Huskies vs Fresno State Bulldogs. I lean toward the Bulldogs (+3.5) to get the French fries dumped on their heads.
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Northern Illinois beat Notre Dame and heartbreakingly lost a handful of games in the last minute..
Fresno beat no one of significance and has lost its starting QB and a half dozen starters to the transfer portal.
What do you see that you think Fresno is a good bet?
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I will be honest, I did not know they lost their QB and many other players. I have probably only watched 4 Fresno games this year but honestly what I like most about them is their coach. Coach N (Hawaiian name) coached at Navy for many years but has transitioned and added a few passes since then. Also, the game being in Boise is more advantageous to them.
Put is this way, I liked them so much I only bet $30 on it. I will probably have at least a small bet on every Bowl game.
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I didn't know about the portal situation myself until I read a synopsis of the game. but any team that whupped The Irish should manhandle Fresno. IMO.
One of my friends played rugby for Fresno. He is originally from Milan, and he toured the States as a member of the Italian under-17 Rugby team. They played a tournament in SoCal and he fell in love with California. He met the coach from Fresno, who offered him a scholarship. He had no idea where Fresno was when he accepted it; he just wanted to surf and go to Muscle Beach.
Quote: billryanQuote: DRichWe have two Bowl games today:
Myrtle Beach Bowl: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers against the UTSA Road Runners. I would favor UTSA (-11) in this game.
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Northern Illinois Huskies vs Fresno State Bulldogs. I lean toward the Bulldogs (+3.5) to get the French fries dumped on their heads.
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Northern Illinois beat Notre Dame and heartbreakingly lost a handful of games in the last minute..
Fresno beat no one of significance and has lost its starting QB and a half dozen starters to the transfer portal.
What do you see that you think Fresno is a good bet?
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It’s info like this (that I’m too lazy to hunt down) that makes opportunities abound during the transfer portal/opt out to prepare for NFL draft season.
Yesterday made $$$ on Bills game. Pats +14.5 pregame. Even when up 14-0, got Pats +3.5! Got other bets in throughout the game. Pats + 7.5, Pats + 8.5. (I got lucky that Pats scored late TD!). Also hit my boosted parlay (correlated of course!). Allen under passing. Allen under rushing. Pats +14. Cha Ching.
Just bet on Jets +10. If I was a gambler I’d bet A LOT. There is a decent likelihood the game will be totally meaningless for the Bills. And McDermott I think might forfeit (which means start Trubisky, play no starters). Even if Bills need the game, they are just not as good as their record. Beating New England by a field goal at home is evidence of that.
Quote: SOOPOOQuote: billryanQuote: DRichWe have two Bowl games today:
Myrtle Beach Bowl: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers against the UTSA Road Runners. I would favor UTSA (-11) in this game.
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Northern Illinois Huskies vs Fresno State Bulldogs. I lean toward the Bulldogs (+3.5) to get the French fries dumped on their heads.
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Northern Illinois beat Notre Dame and heartbreakingly lost a handful of games in the last minute..
Fresno beat no one of significance and has lost its starting QB and a half dozen starters to the transfer portal.
What do you see that you think Fresno is a good bet?
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It’s info like this (that I’m too lazy to hunt down) that makes opportunities abound during the transfer portal/opt out to prepare for NFL draft season.
Yesterday made $$$ on Bills game. Pats +14.5 pregame. Even when up 14-0, got Pats +3.5! Got other bets in throughout the game. Pats + 7.5, Pats + 8.5. (I got lucky that Pats scored late TD!). Also hit my boosted parlay (correlated of course!). Allen under passing. Allen under rushing. Pats +14. Cha Ching.
Just bet on Jets +10. If I was a gambler I’d bet A LOT. There is a decent likelihood the game will be totally meaningless for the Bills. And McDermott I think might forfeit (which means start Trubisky, play no starters). Even if Bills need the game, they are just not as good as their record. Beating New England by a field goal at home is evidence of that.
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I'm glad someone is enjoying New England's misery...
Quote: GenoDRPhQuote: SOOPOO
It’s info like this (that I’m too lazy to hunt down) that makes opportunities abound during the transfer portal/opt out to prepare for NFL draft season.
Yesterday made $$$ on Bills game. Pats +14.5 pregame. Even when up 14-0, got Pats +3.5! Got other bets in throughout the game. Pats + 7.5, Pats + 8.5. (I got lucky that Pats scored late TD!). Also hit my boosted parlay (correlated of course!). Allen under passing. Allen under rushing. Pats +14. Cha Ching.
Just bet on Jets +10. If I was a gambler I’d bet A LOT. There is a decent likelihood the game will be totally meaningless for the Bills. And McDermott I think might forfeit (which means start Trubisky, play no starters). Even if Bills need the game, they are just not as good as their record. Beating New England by a field goal at home is evidence of that.
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I'm glad someone is enjoying New England's misery...
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I think almost everoney outside of New England is enjoying it. You just dominated for too long.
Quote: DRichThe French fries were dumped on Northern Illinois with a 28-20 double overtime victory,
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What a poor quality product. Both teams already had had their football teams transfer elsewhere and were using the few leftover guys that obviously weren’t good enough to be wanted elsewhere, or were seniors. The entire game the announcers were in an apology-fest. They did show a panoramic view of the stands once (by accident!). Both fans did seem interested.
I have Saints +14.5 to finish a pretty big parlay. I think they are down 70-0 at half. At least it feels that way.
Also have a Nets +9.5/Heat -8.5 middle. I win a few dollars either way but $$$ if exactly 9.
Quote: SOOPOOQuote: DRichThe French fries were dumped on Northern Illinois with a 28-20 double overtime victory,
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What a poor quality product. Both teams already had had their football teams transfer elsewhere and were using the few leftover guys that obviously weren’t good enough to be wanted elsewhere, or were seniors. The entire game the announcers were in an apology-fest. They did show a panoramic view of the stands once (by accident!). Both fans did seem interested.
I have Saints +14.5 to finish a pretty big parlay. I think they are down 70-0 at half. At least it feels that way.
Also have a Nets +9.5/Heat -8.5 middle. I win a few dollars either way but $$$ if exactly 9.
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Poor quality for both teams but it was a good competitive game. It really came down to short missed field goals deciding the game. the Fresno kicker was 0-3 including a short field goal to win the game on the last play of regulation. Both teams were close in passing, rushing and turnovers. It is always embarrassing to see the stands in these small bowl games. Obviously they make all their money from the TV contract and not ticket sales.
Quote: SOOPOO
I have Saints +14.5 to finish a pretty big parlay. I think they are down 70-0 at half. At least it feels that way.
You still have a chance but it is looking slim as the Saints are looking terrible. I assume Carr is hurt since he isn;t playing. I still think he is a decent QB.
Quote: billryanWhat a roller-coaster season. NIU starts by upsetting ND and ends it by losing to Fresno St in front of dozens of fans.
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They scored more points than Fresno State. So that makes it a win, not a loss.
One of my sons is a Mizzou grad. He has gone to a few bowl games when they were in ‘good’ locations. Boise in December would not have made that category.
In summary, this game featured two mediocre teams from weak conferences that were decimated by transfer portal losses. With as little natural school rivalry as possible.
South Florida Bulls vs San Jose State Spartans (-1.5) in the Hawaii Bowl.
After absolutely no research I am betting the whole $30 on South Florida. I bet them on the moneyline at +150.
pretty interesting article on match betting which is sometimes called multi accounting
this involves beating sports without any or much care about actually handicapping the games
I think, Soopoo and probably some others here are doing this to some extent
the article claims that when done correctly a profit is guaranteed
it also claims, that a bettor can earn between $200 and $3,000 per month doing this
that's not a great amount of $ but it may be enough to interest many
lastly it is selling its service which is (I guess) identifying books and promotions where this is possible
https://www.profitduel.com/blog/how-much-can-you-make-matched-betting?hsCtaTracking=b9600ff9-1bf2-4dbe-8cb4-6d009d984d05%7Cd305561d-cc55-469d-a57f-af022f5e1dfc
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No bowl games scheduled for today.
they refer to hedging the bets on the initial offer you can get with about any sportsbook. The profit comes from the offer, the hedging is used to avoid bad luckQuote: lilredrooster.
pretty interesting article on match betting which is sometimes called multi accounting
this involves beating sports without any or much care about actually handicapping the games
I think, Soopoo and probably some others here are doing this to some extent
the article claims that when done correctly a profit is guaranteed
it also claims, that a bettor can earn between $200 and $3,000 per month doing this
that's not a great amount of $ but it may be enough to interest many
lastly it is selling its service which is (I guess) identifying books and promotions where this is possible
https://www.profitduel.com/blog/how-much-can-you-make-matched-betting?hsCtaTracking=b9600ff9-1bf2-4dbe-8cb4-6d009d984d05%7Cd305561d-cc55-469d-a57f-af022f5e1dfc
.
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in order to keep making money every month, though, they say this "With matched betting, the ceiling is quite literally the limit. At ProfitDuel, our top-earning members have earned between $6,000 - $10,000 per month.
How? Because on top of being members, they're also affiliates. This means that they share the ProfitDuel message far and wide through YouTube channels, social accounts, forums and more"
I can’t bet on it here but interesting NFL MVP odds. Talk show says Allen is -500, with Jackson and Barkley next. Jackson’s stats FAR exceed Allen’s, and in their head to head matchup Jackson killed Allen. Jackson was MVP last year, and by every metric he’s having a MUCH better year. And here is the cherry on top. Allen is more likely to miss the last two games due to reasonable possibility the Bills are locked into the #2 seed after todays games. I know RB’s get no love in the NFL, but if Barkley balls out and breaks the all time single season record for rushing, I think he’ll get votes.
Allen would trade theirs for a shot at winning the SB, MVP or not.
There are only five quarterbacks in the NFL who have won a Super Bowl, and only one is under 36. I think a QB has to win an SB to seal their legacy.
Quote: billryanFootball is such a team sport that the only MVP I care about is the Super Bowl MVP. I'm sure both Jackson and
Allen would trade theirs for a shot at winning the SB, MVP or not.
There are only five quarterbacks in the NFL who have won a Super Bowl, and only one is under 36. I think a QB has to win an SB to seal their legacy.
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I don't care about individual accomplishments in team sports. You just can't make a fair comparison because all of the other players are integral.
I have Pittsburgh vs Toledo UNDER 50
I have Kansas State -7 vs Rutgers
Quote: DRichI made a couple of small bets today on Bowl games.
I have Pittsburgh vs Toledo UNDER 50
I have Kansas State -7 vs Rutgers
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Another great bowl game going 6 overtimes. Pittsburgh 46 Toledo 48
My brilliant pick of under 50 was correct as both teams scored just under 50 points. :)
Syracuse opened as a 5.5 point favorite of Washington State. The line is currently Syracuse -17.5. A lot of turmoil going on in Pullman as both offensive and defensive coordinators have been fired or left.
I allowed my wife to pick the Georgia Tech yellowjackets game against the Vanderbilt Commodores.
The line is GT -3. My wife chose GT because she doesn't expect that MoTown performers can compete with the athletes of Atlanta. I made the bet and it is her first pick of the year. I expect her analysis is as good or better than mine.
Quote: billryanVanderbilt is in Nashville, not Detroit.
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Yes, I questioned her on that too, but my wife's analysis is that the Commodores are a Motown group so she has lower expectations. She thinks outside the box.
Anyway, I had been on a parlay cold streak. But hitting one boosted resumes the upward path.
Yearlong bets are fun. Allen over yards rushing paid. Bills over 3.5 division wins paid. Still have Bills SB win at 16-1.
I have a Kincaid/Njoku over 750 each that hits if each gets 400 in last two games….
Live CFB parlay I have Navy +3 over Oklahoma. Hoping Oklahoma has been ‘transfer portal’ decimated.
My Jets +10 bet is only looking so so. Bills need to win to lock up #2 seed so all starters play.
Quote: DRichQuote: billryanVanderbilt is in Nashville, not Detroit.
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Yes, I questioned her on that too, but my wife's analysis is that the Commodores are a Motown group so she has lower expectations. She thinks outside the box.
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The Commodores suffered after L.Ritchie opted for the transfer portal.
True story- Right after Lionel left the group, the remaining Commodores did a radio blitz of the NYC Stations. I was working security for an agency and was part of the four-man detail assigned to them for the day. We ride from the airport to midtown and visit a radio station located on the top floors of a building. Two of us and the four Commodores, get in an envelope with their two PR reps. Something in that elevator smelled funky enough that I spent the rest of the day securing the limo while they hit a dozen stations in about ten hours.
Quote: billryanTeddy Bridgewater is returning to the NFL, after a year of coaching high school ball.
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My preseason Teddy Bridgewater Super Bowl MVP winner at 10,000,000 to 1 is looking better.
I don’t know who Detroit’s present QB backup is but he must really suck.
I think it will cost Detroit peanuts unless the truly unfortunate circumstance of him actually needing to play occurs.
Quote: billryanTeddy Bridgewater is returning to the NFL, after a year of coaching high school ball.
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He won the state championship as a first year coach.
I don't like either side so I made a silly bet that the game will go to overtime at 10-1.
Quote: DRichQuote: billryanTeddy Bridgewater is returning to the NFL, after a year of coaching high school ball.
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He won the state championship as a first year coach.
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He could be the first to win a high school championship and a Super Bowl in the same season.
. Looked GOOD with a minute to go.Quote: DRichMy alma matter Iowa Hawkeyes play the Missouri Tigers today in the Music City bowl. The line is Missouri -2.5.
I don't like either side so I made a silly bet that the game will go to overtime at 10-1.
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this ESPN link shows some of the wildest bets from this year so far - mostly crazy parlays
but one bettor bet $ 3.1 million on the Eagles on the moneyline -700 to beat the Panthers at Circa Sports - it went down to the wire but he won it winning $442, 857
https://www.espn.com/espn/betting/story/_/id/43222711/betting-year-review-breaking-biggest-wildest-wagers-2024
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Quote: lilredrooster.
this ESPN link shows some of the wildest bets from this year so far - mostly crazy parlays
but one bettor bet $ 3.1 million on the Eagles on the moneyline -700 to beat the Panthers at Circa Sports - it went down to the wire but he won it winning $442, 857
https://www.espn.com/espn/betting/story/_/id/43222711/betting-year-review-breaking-biggest-wildest-wagers-2024
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I’m getting ‘year in review’ type communications from the sportsbooks. It just reminds me how little I bet when I compare it to even a $1000 a game better. And some of my ‘action’ is really closer to ‘no action’. Like laying 200-1 on a soccer team ahead by 3 goals in the second half. $10 gets me a nickel. I did lose $2 recently trying to win A PENNY when the Hawks came from 17 down with 5 minutes to go.
For those of you (smart enough) who want to fade me, I have the BlackHawks to upset the Blues in the outdoor game. And under 5.5.
Texas ML starts a lot of my parlays where I need one ‘sure’ winner.
And I got Patriots plus 3, as well as some Patriots Money Line for Sunday. As far as the +3, I think there is added value, as I’d predict EITHER team would go for 2 to win(or lose) the game instead of going for possible OT.
Also just found boosts to use on PSU/BOISE over 53.5. As well as PSU/BOISE under 54.5. So either way win a few $, but if exactly 54 win $$$.
