vegas
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May 4th, 2019 at 4:24:06 PM permalink
Favourite gets disqualified and 65-1 shot gets the win
50-50-90 Rule: Anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting something right, there is a 90% probability you'll get it wrong
beachbumbabs
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May 4th, 2019 at 5:53:28 PM permalink
We watched. We don't claim to be experts, but we really disagreed with that decision.

We were especially disappointed that the stewards didn't (or it wasn't televised) discuss why they had an issue. We could see that yes, ME widened out. The horse behind him checked up a little. But that horse also (supposedly) wouldn't have finished any differently if ME hadn't widened out.

It just seemed chicken!#/t not to give an on-camera ruling. I'm not positive, but I think it was such a bad decision the entire stands booed throughout the winner's presentation.

Anybody have a guess on how much money changed hands with the DQ? I'm totally swagging at 250million.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
GWAE
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May 4th, 2019 at 6:04:18 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

We watched. We don't claim to be experts, but we really disagreed with that decision.

We were especially disappointed that the stewards didn't (or it wasn't televised) discuss why they had an issue. We could see that yes, ME widened out. The horse behind him checked up a little. But that horse also (supposedly) wouldn't have finished any differently if ME hadn't widened out.

It just seemed chicken!#/t not to give an on-camera ruling. I'm not positive, but I think it was such a bad decision the entire stands booed throughout the winner's presentation.

Anybody have a guess on how much money changed hands with the DQ? I'm totally swagging at 250million.



I didnt want it live. Did they cut away from the coverage before it was decided?
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bobbartop
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May 4th, 2019 at 6:10:11 PM permalink
Youtube is great.

'Emergencies' have always been the pretext on which the safeguards of individual liberty have been eroded.
ontariodealer
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May 4th, 2019 at 6:25:33 PM permalink
very unfortunate for the 7.....he was much the best.
get second you pig
ThatDonGuy
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May 4th, 2019 at 8:04:54 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

I didnt want it live. Did they cut away from the coverage before it was decided?


On the contrary - they started the Stanley Cup game coverage on NBCSN because they had to delay the trophy presentation until the decision was made. It's just that none of the stewards was interviewed on the air about the decision, although I wouldn't be surprised if there was some sort of policy that the stewards don't discuss decisions in public, which would be similar to a policy where figure skating judges are instructed not to talk to any media.
Lovecomps
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May 4th, 2019 at 8:07:38 PM permalink
I wonder how many people bet on Titicus and tore up their tickets when he finished out of the money-- only to have him bumped up from 4th to being the show horse....and thier winning tickets destroyed :-)
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FinsRule
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May 4th, 2019 at 8:56:58 PM permalink
I consider myself an expert and I believe it was the absolute right call.

(A call that cost me around $200)

He shifted out right into War of Will’s path as War of Will was making his move to take the lead. It absolutely cost him a placing.

If Maximum Security stays straight, I’m not sure who wins the race. Code of Honor, Max, Country House, War of Will, maybe even Improbable.

I get that people are upset, because Country House didn’t deserve to win. But neither did Maximum Security, who almost caused a disaster of epic proportions.

Sometimes there is no right answer.
ontariodealer
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May 4th, 2019 at 9:05:02 PM permalink
I think he wins anyway but he had to come down.....the 1 and the 18 almost went down.
get second you pig
lilredrooster
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May 5th, 2019 at 2:03:55 AM permalink
this is, I think, a pic of right when it happened
War of Will is getting squeezed

the interesting thing to me is that it looks like Country House also fouled War of Will - he's definitely leaning in towards him and it definitely looks like he brushed him

I'd like to hear some comments on that

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billryan
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May 5th, 2019 at 2:56:32 AM permalink
I always thought the lead horse could take whichever path he wanted.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
lilredrooster
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May 5th, 2019 at 3:11:57 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

I always thought the lead horse could take whichever path he wanted.



no, you can't cut a horse off like an aggressive car driver in a bottleneck and if in doing this you brush or bump the horse you're cutting off it's worse in terms of the likelihood of being disqualified
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vegas
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May 5th, 2019 at 3:38:10 AM permalink
I was really surprised they took the favourite down. I am not saying it was the wrong call but a gutsy one. So much money bet on that race and to take down the fav....was just gutsy.
50-50-90 Rule: Anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting something right, there is a 90% probability you'll get it wrong
Mosca
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May 5th, 2019 at 4:24:05 AM permalink
Saez had been suspended for five races just last fall for this very same act. That kind of makes his post race comments sound like early damage control; he knew exactly what happened.

http://live.drf.com/nuggets/44838-several-jockeys-fined-suspended-for-careless-riding
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SOOPOO
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May 5th, 2019 at 5:02:21 AM permalink
It was an OBVIOUS foul by MS. No way they can let him stand as the winner. The problem is the two or three horses he fouled did not cross the line second. So the horses fouled get one meaningless place up the ranking, while a horse not fouled wins. Someone else just said no good answer to this kind of problem.


The trainer of the ‘winner’, who I thought was pretty classy, did say if this was an average race at an average track MS gets dq’d every time with no controversy. I agree.
lilredrooster
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May 5th, 2019 at 6:23:49 AM permalink
I'm hoping Max, who might be a great horse, and his jock win some big upcoming races.

it seems like they've got karma on their side






Flavien Prat's objection when his horse wasn't even bothered by the incident might be the most brilliant thing any jockey has ever done throughout history
Last edited by: lilredrooster on May 5, 2019
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NokTang
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May 5th, 2019 at 6:43:45 AM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

this is, I think, a pic of right when it happened
War of Will is getting squeezed

the interesting thing to me is that it looks like Country House also fouled War of Will - he's definitely leaning in towards him and it definitely looks like he brushed him

I'd like to hear some comments on that



If I recall correctly, the horse with the jockey in the black helmet was bumped into Country House, the outside horse by the DQ'ed horse with the pink jockey helmet. I could go look but actually sick of watching the replays.
lilredrooster
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May 5th, 2019 at 6:57:19 AM permalink
take a look at this screenshot I took from the YT vid.
it definitely looks like Country House is aggressively veering way inside which had to impede War of Will




I'm posting too much. sorry guys. this will be my last post on the subject
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FinsRule
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May 5th, 2019 at 7:24:01 AM permalink
I don’t know how to post pics, but there’s some pictures that show Maximum Security stepping on War of Will.
tringlomane
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May 5th, 2019 at 7:33:40 AM permalink
Quote: FinsRule

I don’t know how to post pics, but there’s some pictures that show Maximum Security stepping on War of Will.



You have to use a 3rd party hosting site. Are the pics linked on the internet?
billryan
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May 5th, 2019 at 7:52:57 AM permalink
I was reading up on Dancers Image, the only other winner to be disqualified. Incredible, that horse ran 22 times before the Derby. Most stars these days don't run 22 races in their career.
I remember this race because my Uncle had a pretty large bet on Forward Pass, who ended up being declared the winner but they didn't honor tickets bet on him.
Supposedly, the owner of Dancers Image had made a large donation to Martin Luther Kings widow and greatly passed off the Kentucky blue bloods who didn't need a pro busing Bostonian upsetting their Apple cart. Security on the samples wasn't like it was today. 100 samples were collected on Derby Day, then sat around for days before testing, and the protocols left much to be desired.
Interesting story with several twists and turns.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
coilman
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May 5th, 2019 at 7:53:38 AM permalink
Quote: tringlomane

You have to use a 3rd party hosting site. Are the pics linked on the internet?



if you have facebook a guy I know that judges harness racing in Canada page has the photo see if this link will work for you

https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10161908043585226&set=a.10150768693235226&type=3&theater
ThatDonGuy
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May 5th, 2019 at 9:09:43 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

I was reading up on Dancers Image, the only other winner to be disqualified. Incredible, that horse ran 22 times before the Derby. Most stars these days don't run 22 races in their career.
I remember this race because my Uncle had a pretty large bet on Forward Pass, who ended up being declared the winner but they didn't honor tickets bet on him.


That is because the "declared official" result was Dancer's Image first, Forward Pass second. The DQ didn't happen until a few days later.

Shades of how NASCAR works - a winning driver can have a car fail a post-race inspection and have points removed and the win ignored for purposes of "postseason" qualifying (and possibly for eligibility in the next All-Star Race), but the win itself stands; he keeps the trophy, and all bets on the winning driver are paid. I think it was Bill France that instituted this policy, as he didn't want the fans to have to wait until they read it in the next day's newspaper to learn who won the race.
AxelWolf
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May 5th, 2019 at 9:24:56 AM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

take a look at this screenshot I took from the YT vid.
it definitely looks like Country House is aggressively veering way inside which had to impede War of Will




I'm posting too much. sorry guys. this will be my last post on the subject

I know next to nothing about horse racing, and now I'm learning a little something, I think. I had no clue about the having to stay in your lane thing since it has never come up in the very few races I have seen. And here I thought it was a free for all, whatever happens, happens. It certainly makes sence that can't be allowed. Please post more.

Perhaps one day you will find me at the "horse book" ripping up losing tickets and scrounging around for drink tickets.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
lilredrooster
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May 5th, 2019 at 9:53:48 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Perhaps one day you will find me at the "horse book" ripping up losing tickets. Please post more.





𝐫𝐢𝐩𝐩𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐮𝐩 𝐥𝐨𝐬𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐤𝐞𝐭𝐬 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐫𝐨𝐰𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐦 𝐨𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐬 𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐡𝐚𝐩𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐠𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐞𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐤 𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐨𝐟 𝐚𝐥𝐥




🇦🇸 🇱🇴🇳🇬 🇦🇸 🇮🇹 🇩🇴🇪🇸🇳'🇹 🇲🇴🇷🇵🇭 🇮🇳🇹🇴 🇵🇺🇳🇨🇭🇮🇳🇬 🇦 🇭🇴🇱🇪 🇮🇳 🇾🇴🇺🇷 🇨🇴🇲🇵🇺🇹🇪🇷 🇸🇨🇷🇪🇪🇳
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SkittleCar1
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May 5th, 2019 at 11:07:47 AM permalink
Quote: ThatDonGuy

That is because the "declared official" result was Dancer's Image first, Forward Pass second. The DQ didn't happen until a few days later.

Shades of how NASCAR works - a winning driver can have a car fail a post-race inspection and have points removed and the win ignored for purposes of "postseason" qualifying (and possibly for eligibility in the next All-Star Race), but the win itself stands; he keeps the trophy, and all bets on the winning driver are paid. I think it was Bill France that instituted this policy, as he didn't want the fans to have to wait until they read it in the next day's newspaper to learn who won the race.



That policy has changed effective for the 2019 season. It hasn't happened yet.
DRich
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May 5th, 2019 at 11:51:24 AM permalink
It was pretty exciting at my house. We had another couple over to swim, BBQ, and watch the race. The lady, a good friend of mine, had Country House to win. She was bitter at first because her boyfriend didn't bet it to Place for her. Her opinion then changed when she found out she won over $1,200 on her $20 bet. No, she knows nothing about horse racing and chose it for the name and did't even know or understand the odds.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
billryan
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May 5th, 2019 at 11:59:55 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

It was pretty exciting at my house. We had another couple over to swim, BBQ, and watch the race. The lady, a good friend of mine, had Country House to win. She was bitter at first because her boyfriend didn't bet it to Place for her. Her opinion then changed when she found out she won over $1,200 on her $20 bet. No, she knows nothing about horse racing and chose it for the name and did't even know or understand the odds.




Dam. Don't you know pretty ladies who know nothing about betting always win? You should have bet the house. And the Wife.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
aceofspades
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May 6th, 2019 at 8:48:15 AM permalink
Maximum Security's owner will appeal and pulls the horse from the Preakness since there would be no Triple Crown on the line

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/sports/stunned-owner-maximum-security-vows-appeal-says-horse-won-t-n1002266
SOOPOO
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May 6th, 2019 at 9:05:06 AM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

Maximum Security's owner will appeal and pulls the horse from the Preakness since there would be no Triple Crown on the line

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/sports/stunned-owner-maximum-security-vows-appeal-says-horse-won-t-n1002266



I'll give anyone 5-1 the appeal fails. Maybe more. Is there anyone who thinks the appeal has any chance?
billryan
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May 6th, 2019 at 9:11:40 AM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

Maximum Security's owner will appeal and pulls the horse from the Preakness since there would be no Triple Crown on the line

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/sports/stunned-owner-maximum-security-vows-appeal-says-horse-won-t-n1002266



Utterly ridiculous. Any judgement in favor of the plaintiff would put an end to sports as we know it. Imagine if there were no Stanley Cup tournament because the Islanders are in court vs. the NHL, or if the Super Bowl had been delayed a month while the Eagles sued the NFL.
If he thought he had a chance to succeed, he would ask for the Preakness to be postponed.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
darkoz
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May 6th, 2019 at 9:26:52 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Utterly ridiculous. Any judgement in favor of the plaintiff would put an end to sports as we know it. Imagine if there were no Stanley Cup tournament because the Islanders are in court vs. the NHL, or if the Super Bowl had been delayed a month while the Eagles sued the NFL.
If he thought he had a chance to succeed, he would ask for the Preakness to be postponed.



More importantly what happens to the winning tickets that are now losers?

And there may be people who tore up the tickets that would now be eligible for payout if there was this kind of reversal

I dont see it happening either
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billryan
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May 6th, 2019 at 9:31:25 AM permalink
The ticket money is gone. It's already been paid out and can't be retrieved.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
FinsRule
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May 6th, 2019 at 11:32:45 AM permalink
5-1 is hilarious. I’d give anyone 100-1. The stewards make the final decision. There isn’t any reason to reverse anything. This is making the Wests look bad. They had a great reputation, and this is ruining it.
lilredrooster
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May 6th, 2019 at 3:17:57 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

More importantly what happens to the winning tickets that are now losers?

And there may be people who tore up the tickets that would now be eligible for payout if there was this kind of reversal




gamblers and their bad beats

I don't think there's anyone in the whole world who has any empathy for a gambler who had a bad beat - it falls into the who gives an eff category

probably not even other gamblers

probably not even the gambler himself who had the bad beat - he probably doesn't even have any empathy for himself 😃
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aceofspades
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billryan
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May 9th, 2019 at 11:45:09 AM permalink
Marx's owner had a pretty good reputation before this, but he is coming off like a punk.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
terapined
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May 9th, 2019 at 11:54:53 AM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

https://www.foxnews.com/sports/war-of-will-outrage-kentucky-derby-maximum-security



Here is a really dumb and moronic view of the derby. This chump cant even spell the name of the race. What an idiot

Donald Trump
"The Kentuky Derby decision was not a good one. It was a rough & tumble race on a wet and sloppy track, actually, a beautiful thing to watch. Only in these days of political correctness could such an overturn occur. The best horse did NOT win the Kentucky Derby - not even close!?" "
Its just a forum. Nothing here to get obsessed about.
terapined
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May 9th, 2019 at 11:56:54 AM permalink
Quote: FinsRule

I consider myself an expert and I believe it was the absolute right call.


I agree
They don't make that call that then other jockeys will pull that same move in other races to get an advantage
Its just a forum. Nothing here to get obsessed about.
Ayecarumba
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May 9th, 2019 at 12:13:39 PM permalink
While many went from winners to losers, at least one punter in Las Vegas reaped a big benefit from the disqualification:
Quote: Fox News

A Las Vegas bettor turned an $8 wager on the Kentucky Derby into more than $78,000 at The Mirage on Saturday after Country House was declared the winner, according to the casino’s sportsbook manager.

The gambler raked in the payday after placing two identical $4 superfecta bets that paid out $51,400 each -- or $39,065 after taxes, the Las Vegas Review-Journal reported. Betting on a superfecta means picking the first four finishers of a race in the exact order. At the Derby, Country House won, followed by Code of Honor, Tacitus and Improbable. Maximum Security was disqualified after a review by the stewards...

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GWAE
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May 9th, 2019 at 12:18:45 PM permalink
Quote: terapined

Here is a really dumb and moronic view of the derby. This chump cant even spell the name of the race. What an idiot

Donald Trump
"The Kentuky Derby decision was not a good one. It was a rough & tumble race on a wet and sloppy track, actually, a beautiful thing to watch. Only in these days of political correctness could such an overturn occur. The best horse did NOT win the Kentucky Derby - not even close!?" "



I am stunned that you figured out a way to bring politics into a discussion
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
FinsRule
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terapined
May 9th, 2019 at 2:36:03 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

I am stunned that you figured out a way to bring politics into a discussion



I mean, it’s a moronic view....

Political correctness factored into the decision? That’s the worst take I’ve heard about this.
Johnzimbo
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May 9th, 2019 at 4:31:34 PM permalink
All the horses are snowflakes now, can't bump or impede in the slightest or they get triggered
terapined
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May 9th, 2019 at 6:13:17 PM permalink
Quote: Johnzimbo

All the horses are snowflakes now, can't bump or impede in the slightest or they get triggered



No rules have changed
Its an old sport
Jockeys in the race know best when somebody makes an unfair move
This started with a jockey objection, the stewards agreed
This is not uncommon
A jockey objects, the race is not made official, the stewards decide and either agree or disagree with the objection.
This is why it takes time for every result to become official. The stewards want to give jockeys time after every single race to object before making the result official
Standard practice for over a hundred years
Its just a forum. Nothing here to get obsessed about.
billryan
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May 12th, 2019 at 9:06:45 AM permalink
Does it matter if the jockey swings the horse wide or if the horse does it on its own?
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
lilredrooster
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May 12th, 2019 at 10:11:46 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Does it matter if the jockey swings the horse wide or if the horse does it on its own?




you can't really know that - the jock could make little hand or leg movements to influence the horse that can't be seen


it doesn't matter if the jock didn't do anything - if the horse fouls he can be disqualified


the horses have been trained how to run since they were 2 years old - they're supposed to know what to do and what not to do





it does matter in the sense that if the jock does something obviously very wrong that can be seen he can be disciplined - suspended - or without even being suspended a trainer or more than one trainer can decide not to employ the jockey
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lilredrooster
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May 14th, 2019 at 4:03:08 AM permalink
jock of offending horse was suspended - from the article:



"In the ruling, the commission said Saez was being punished for “failure to control his mount and make the proper effort to maintain a straight course thereby causing interference with several rivals that resulted in the disqualification of his mount.”

"In a seven-minute video, lawyers for Saez argued that he did nothing wrong and instead blamed War of Will jockey’s, Tyler Gaffalione, for initiating contact on the final turn that caused Maximum Security to veer."

"Bill Mott, the trainer of Country House, said after the race and reiterated in a recent interview that it was a “young, green” Maximum Security who veered off course because of the puddle and crowd noise and that Saez did a good job of reasserting control."


looks to me like an unfair suspension - the horse weighs about 1100 lbs. - the jock weighs about 114 - no way a jock can completely control a horse and ensure that he does what he is supposed to.



no visual evidence of Saez doing anything shady - Mott was right IMO - the decision to suspend Saez sucks - rubbing salt in a wound



https://www.nytimes.com/2019/05/13/sports/luis-saez-kentucky-derby.html
Please don't feed the trolls
terapined
terapined
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May 15th, 2019 at 12:35:52 PM permalink
Now for some WTF news
The owners of disqualified Kentucky Derby winner Maximum Security are now claiming the disqualification is unconstitutional

https://www.yahoo.com/sports/maximum-securitys-owners-file-suit-over-unconstitutional-kentucky-derby-dq-164455696.html
Its just a forum. Nothing here to get obsessed about.
GWAE
GWAE
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May 15th, 2019 at 12:59:05 PM permalink
Derby bettor had ticket that he thought was worth 600k, but only gets paid 35k

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.actionnetwork.com/horse-racing/kentucky-derby-exacta-trifecta-bad-beat-darren-rovell
Last edited by: GWAE on May 15, 2019
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
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