Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
Joined: Nov 17, 2009
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August 7th, 2018 at 11:48:31 AM permalink
Perhaps an asterisk should be added to the stats to indicate when the consolation prizes were added. Pick behavior changed from going for all winners to shooting for 50/50 or all losers, so the data is skewed.
Voice of the Announcer: Meanwhile, at an abandoned gold mine, a sinister figure lurks. Snidley Whiplash: I love to lurk. It's so me
Mission146
Mission146
Joined: May 15, 2012
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August 7th, 2018 at 12:18:23 PM permalink
I suppose that's true, but it's really tough to tell when people stop trying to win and start trying to lose.

For my part, I've always just tried to pick as well as possible. I actually kind of fear that I'll never win just because I'm too damn consistent. So far I've never picked badly, and I never picked extremely well, either!

2012: 43-35 .551
2013: 41-38 .519
2014: 40-41 .494
2015: 50-42 .544
2016: 43-33 .566
2017: 41-37 .526

Total: 258-226 .533

I fear that I'm too average for my own good, but not average enough. The year that I went .494 (if the, "Most Average," prize had existed) there were two teams who went .500!

I might go back and look through the 2015 thread one day. I have no idea why I would have made at least seven Confidence Picks. I very rarely use them.

I'm coming for you, MidwestAP! My goal this year is to overtake you for second on the all-time list!
Vultures can't be choosers.
MidwestAP
MidwestAP
Joined: Feb 19, 2012
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August 7th, 2018 at 12:51:32 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

I suppose that's true, but it's really tough to tell when people stop trying to win and start trying to lose.

For my part, I've always just tried to pick as well as possible. I actually kind of fear that I'll never win just because I'm too damn consistent. So far I've never picked badly, and I never picked extremely well, either!

2012: 43-35 .551
2013: 41-38 .519
2014: 40-41 .494
2015: 50-42 .544
2016: 43-33 .566
2017: 41-37 .526

Total: 258-226 .533

I fear that I'm too average for my own good, but not average enough. The year that I went .494 (if the, "Most Average," prize had existed) there were two teams who went .500!

I might go back and look through the 2015 thread one day. I have no idea why I would have made at least seven Confidence Picks. I very rarely use them.

I'm coming for you, MidwestAP! My goal this year is to overtake you for second on the all-time list!



Bring it!!

Actually, to be technical, there are a number of players with higher percentages than either of us, but I didn't include them in the summary as they didn't have enough play to make the artificial minimum selection requirement that I used to create the chart.

For instance, VCUSkyhawk went 16-8 in 2014, but them must have dropped out. Likewise, Buzz has results from 2012, 2013, and 2014, but looks like he only finished one season. Regardless, his lifetime winning pct is 60.17%. Others with one or two seasons that have higher percentages include Scottimus, Romes, BoyMimbo, MWalz9, wudged, Gordonm888, JoelDeze, Boz and ZoomZoom8.
Mission146
Mission146
Joined: May 15, 2012
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August 7th, 2018 at 1:01:17 PM permalink
Makes sense. I'm guessing there aren't many people between 200-239 picks, anyway, so you'd have to drop it all the way down to something like 150 to increase the range. I think 150 would be the lowest rasonable total of wins/losses for two full seasons played. Any less than that would take a ton of pushes.

Buzz was a monster at this game. It's a shame with all of the tough stuff he has had to deal with over the years. No offense to the Wizard, but I wouldn't be shocked if Buzz had taken the title one of the three years that Wizard won it.
Vultures can't be choosers.
Romes
Romes
Joined: Jul 22, 2014
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August 7th, 2018 at 1:59:45 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Sounds good! What's his handle?

Bruce1
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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August 7th, 2018 at 2:10:27 PM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

I will play.

So, I am predicting I will finish in the top 3 this year. For sure.



I'll give you 2-1 odds you don't on any amount up to $1,000.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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August 7th, 2018 at 2:11:35 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I'm in. It is an even-numbered year, so I'm sure to win.



I'll give you 5-1 odds on any amount up o $200 that you don't. (I'll risk $1,000)
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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Thanks for this post from:
Mission146
August 7th, 2018 at 2:13:34 PM permalink
I'm in, by the way.
Romes
Romes
Joined: Jul 22, 2014
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August 7th, 2018 at 2:24:37 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I'll give you 5-1 odds on any amount up o $200 that you don't. (I'll risk $1,000)

Will you give me the same odds/bet? That I'll make it in to the top 3? Any interest on top 5?
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
EdCollins
EdCollins
Joined: Oct 21, 2011
  • Threads: 14
  • Posts: 967
August 7th, 2018 at 4:13:24 PM permalink
The year I won it was on the honor system.

Not everyone paid me, despite my e-mails and reminders. I've never forgotten that, naturally.

Not going that route again. (Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me.)

I'm out this year.

Hope everyone enjoys the contest.

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