Election Betting
January 21st, 2024 at 1:56:31 PM
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Larry Hogan should join the race in the next week or so. I think he will do very well in a two or three-person race.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
January 21st, 2024 at 3:21:03 PM
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Politically motivated post masked as betting odds.Quote: ams288Are there any sites that let you bet whether or not DJT will survive till Election Day? I’d love to see those odds.
His health seems to be failing.
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Why don't you put up the odds and take bets?
Either your odds are in line with reality or you take it on the chin to support your obvious bias.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
January 22nd, 2024 at 9:43:04 AM
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New Hampshire poll taken after DeSantis dropped out. Trump was 11 points ahead of Nikki Haley before the DeSantis dropped out now he's 27 points ahead. There's a huge pressure on her to just drop out entirely.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
January 22nd, 2024 at 10:07:07 AM
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Quote: EvenBobThis is how the odds have changed since the Iowa caucus
On the day of the caucus they were Trump 37 and Biden 29.
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Trump's odds go up almost daily now. This is two days later from the one I posted above and Trump has gone up in every one of these oddsmakers predictions. They all have him 40 and above now. After the New Hampshire primary tomorrow look for him to go up even higher.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
January 22nd, 2024 at 10:32:54 AM
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Who the hell is putting money on Michelle Obama....
January 22nd, 2024 at 12:30:12 PM
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Quote: TigerWuWho the hell is putting money on Michelle Obama....
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That's a good question considering she's not running, has never said she will run, has never said she has any desire to run. Why is she even listed.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
January 22nd, 2024 at 4:26:07 PM
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Quote: AxelWolfPolitically motivated post masked as betting odds.Quote: ams288Are there any sites that let you bet whether or not DJT will survive till Election Day? I’d love to see those odds.
His health seems to be failing.
link to original post
Why don't you put up the odds and take bets?
Either your odds are in line with reality or you take it on the chin to support your obvious bias.
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I don’t make online bets with strangers.
Just want to know what the actual oddsmakers think the chance of him surviving this apparent case of syphilis and making it to Election Day are.
Ding Dong the Witch is Dead
January 22nd, 2024 at 4:38:50 PM
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Quote: EvenBobQuote: TigerWuWho the hell is putting money on Michelle Obama....
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That's a good question considering she's not running, has never said she will run, has never said she has any desire to run. Why is she even listed.
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They once said the same thing about Corazon Aquino.
January 22nd, 2024 at 4:51:10 PM
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Quote: ams288Just want to know what the actual oddsmakers think the chance of him surviving this apparent case of syphilis and making it to Election Day are.
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Warning -- political statement. I am not fooled by phrasing it as a probability question.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
January 23rd, 2024 at 3:35:03 PM
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Quote: EvenBob
This is fascinating. The above was from yesterday and the one I'm posting now was on the evening of the New Hampshire primary and look how much Trump has gone up in just 24 hours. Nothing has even happened and look how things changed since yesterday. After the primary it'll be interesting to see what happens tomorrow.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
January 23rd, 2024 at 5:35:03 PM
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New poll of PA out today:
Hmmm
Hmmm
Ding Dong the Witch is Dead
January 25th, 2024 at 5:06:40 PM
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Quote: EvenBobQuote: EvenBob
This is fascinating. The above was from yesterday and the one I'm posting now was on the evening of the New Hampshire primary and look how much Trump has gone up in just 24 hours. Nothing has even happened and look how things changed since yesterday. After the primary it'll be interesting to see what happens tomorrow.
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This is after the New Hampshire primary.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
January 26th, 2024 at 12:56:06 PM
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I'm surprised Obama is not getting a bump. I'm seeing many stories from both the left and right speculating about her jumping in. The stories are fed by rumors that she and her husband have been meeting with their high end donors. The (conspiracy?) theory goes like this:
Biden, citing health reasons, will drop out of the race in May. Why wait until May? The theory says this would minimize Biden's time as a lame duck while still giving his replacement time to optimally rearrange the pieces on the game board heading into the summer convention season and the general election beyond.
With Biden out, Obama rides in to the rescue. She declares that, although she never intended to seek office, the terrifying evil must be defeated and the country must band together and yada yada yada. The press and the people then cheer her bravery as she charges into the arena, defeats the orange dragon and we all live happily ever after (at least for the next eight years). The end.
Does this sound like a possibility or a pipe dream? Despite its unprecedented nature, in this crazy century I won't say it's impossible. In fact, it might even work. As things stand now, however, I can't bet on her. Consider all the obstacles that need to be overcome and the people that would have to play ball and step aside including a sitting Veep and POTUS himself.
Still, this story does have the look of a trial balloon intentionally leaked to see if it floats (and easily denied if it doesn't). If people read the rumor tea leaves, look at Obama's current odds and decide she's worth betting money on, I wouldn't call them crazy.
Biden, citing health reasons, will drop out of the race in May. Why wait until May? The theory says this would minimize Biden's time as a lame duck while still giving his replacement time to optimally rearrange the pieces on the game board heading into the summer convention season and the general election beyond.
With Biden out, Obama rides in to the rescue. She declares that, although she never intended to seek office, the terrifying evil must be defeated and the country must band together and yada yada yada. The press and the people then cheer her bravery as she charges into the arena, defeats the orange dragon and we all live happily ever after (at least for the next eight years). The end.
Does this sound like a possibility or a pipe dream? Despite its unprecedented nature, in this crazy century I won't say it's impossible. In fact, it might even work. As things stand now, however, I can't bet on her. Consider all the obstacles that need to be overcome and the people that would have to play ball and step aside including a sitting Veep and POTUS himself.
Still, this story does have the look of a trial balloon intentionally leaked to see if it floats (and easily denied if it doesn't). If people read the rumor tea leaves, look at Obama's current odds and decide she's worth betting money on, I wouldn't call them crazy.
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
January 26th, 2024 at 8:01:13 PM
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Quote: GialmereWhy wait until May? The theory says this would minimize Biden's time as a lame duck while still giving his replacement time to optimally rearrange the pieces on the game board heading into the summer convention season and the general election beyond.
There is a missing piece here. By May primary season is effectively over. Meaning an old-school floor fight. How important are the superdelegates these days? I heard they were cutting them back but have heard nothing sense. The Obamas would need to convince that Michelle is the future and not the past.
An outside chance but in this day and age who knows.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
January 27th, 2024 at 7:04:16 AM
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Quote: AZDuffmanQuote: GialmereWhy wait until May? The theory says this would minimize Biden's time as a lame duck while still giving his replacement time to optimally rearrange the pieces on the game board heading into the summer convention season and the general election beyond.
There is a missing piece here. By May primary season is effectively over. Meaning an old-school floor fight. How important are the superdelegates these days? I heard they were cutting them back but have heard nothing sense. The Obamas would need to convince that Michelle is the future and not the past.
An outside chance but in this day and age who knows.
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You mean, with the Democrats? After the complaints by the Sanders supporters that the Superdelegates had too much influence in getting Clinton nominated in 2016, the rules were changed for 2020; Superdelegates are not allowed to vote on the first ballot for President, unless it is clear that their votes will not change the result.
Also remember that there aren't that many of them - you have to be a Democrat who is any of:
* a member of the Democratic National Committee;
* a sitting member of Congress;
* a sitting Governor;
* a former Speaker, House Minority Leader, or Senate Majority or Minority Leader;
* a former DNC chair;
* President Biden, and former Presidents Obama, Clinton, and Carter;
* Vice-President Harris, and former Vice-President Gore
According to the 2024 Call to the Democratic National Convention, there are 3770 "pledged" delegates and 749 Superdelegates as of March, 2023.
January 27th, 2024 at 7:56:34 AM
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Quote: ThatDonGuyQuote: AZDuffmanQuote: GialmereWhy wait until May? The theory says this would minimize Biden's time as a lame duck while still giving his replacement time to optimally rearrange the pieces on the game board heading into the summer convention season and the general election beyond.
There is a missing piece here. By May primary season is effectively over. Meaning an old-school floor fight. How important are the superdelegates these days? I heard they were cutting them back but have heard nothing sense. The Obamas would need to convince that Michelle is the future and not the past.
An outside chance but in this day and age who knows.
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You mean, with the Democrats? After the complaints by the Sanders supporters that the Superdelegates had too much influence in getting Clinton nominated in 2016, the rules were changed for 2020; Superdelegates are not allowed to vote on the first ballot for President, unless it is clear that their votes will not change the result.
Also remember that there aren't that many of them - you have to be a Democrat who is any of:
* a member of the Democratic National Committee;
* a sitting member of Congress;
* a sitting Governor;
* a former Speaker, House Minority Leader, or Senate Majority or Minority Leader;
* a former DNC chair;
* President Biden, and former Presidents Obama, Clinton, and Carter;
* Vice-President Harris, and former Vice-President Gore
According to the 2024 Call to the Democratic National Convention, there are 3770 "pledged" delegates and 749 Superdelegates as of March, 2023.
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749 of about 4500 is actually quite a lot. They are the de facto tiebreaker.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
January 28th, 2024 at 2:24:25 PM
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Quote: AZDuffman749 of about 4500 is actually quite a lot. They are the de facto tiebreaker.
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Of course, that assumes that, if there is no majority on the first ballot, the parties that be don't go into some back room at the convention center and work out a deal to make absolutely sure there is a nominee on the second ballot - otherwise, they might as well declare Trump the President then and there.
Even this assumes that they don't have a plan where, if there is no guaranteed winner on the first ballot, they have enough minor candidates officially withdraw (which "should" release their delegates on the first ballot; it depends on the state) so that one can be arranged, as even having to go to a second ballot may send the message, "We can't choose a Democrat to be President; why should you?"
January 28th, 2024 at 3:40:13 PM
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Quote: ThatDonGuyQuote: AZDuffman749 of about 4500 is actually quite a lot. They are the de facto tiebreaker.
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Of course, that assumes that, if there is no majority on the first ballot, the parties that be don't go into some back room at the convention center and work out a deal to make absolutely sure there is a nominee on the second ballot - otherwise, they might as well declare Trump the President then and there.
That I do not see the logic in.
If there is an old school floor fight, is any Trump voter going to vote for Trump more?
Is any Democrat going to vote Trump because of it? OK, I will concede some will stay home, but that is in a more normal election. Everything about Trump breaks all convention, no pun.
Mr and Mrs average voter are usually so uninformed they will think "floor fight" is a WWE PPV event.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
January 28th, 2024 at 4:30:09 PM
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Quote: AZDuffmanQuote: ThatDonGuyQuote: AZDuffman749 of about 4500 is actually quite a lot. They are the de facto tiebreaker.
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Of course, that assumes that, if there is no majority on the first ballot, the parties that be don't go into some back room at the convention center and work out a deal to make absolutely sure there is a nominee on the second ballot - otherwise, they might as well declare Trump the President then and there.
That I do not see the logic in.
If there is an old school floor fight, is any Trump voter going to vote for Trump more?
Is any Democrat going to vote Trump because of it? OK, I will concede some will stay home, but that is in a more normal election. Everything about Trump breaks all convention, no pun.
Mr and Mrs average voter are usually so uninformed they will think "floor fight" is a WWE PPV event.
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I think that if the Democrats can't select a nominee in two ballots, then a lot of the undecided voters are going to think long and hard before voting for whoever the party chooses. Not everybody who voted for Biden in 2020 is necessarily a "Never Trumper."
January 28th, 2024 at 4:35:34 PM
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Quote: ThatDonGuyNot everybody who voted for Biden in 2020 is necessarily a "Never Trumper."
I'm sure you are right but I would be surprised if more than 1% that voted for Biden would vote for Trump.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
January 28th, 2024 at 5:00:34 PM
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Quote: ThatDonGuyQuote: AZDuffmanQuote: ThatDonGuyQuote: AZDuffman749 of about 4500 is actually quite a lot. They are the de facto tiebreaker.
link to original post
Of course, that assumes that, if there is no majority on the first ballot, the parties that be don't go into some back room at the convention center and work out a deal to make absolutely sure there is a nominee on the second ballot - otherwise, they might as well declare Trump the President then and there.
That I do not see the logic in.
If there is an old school floor fight, is any Trump voter going to vote for Trump more?
Is any Democrat going to vote Trump because of it? OK, I will concede some will stay home, but that is in a more normal election. Everything about Trump breaks all convention, no pun.
Mr and Mrs average voter are usually so uninformed they will think "floor fight" is a WWE PPV event.
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I think that if the Democrats can't select a nominee in two ballots, then a lot of the undecided voters are going to think long and hard before voting for whoever the party chooses. Not everybody who voted for Biden in 2020 is necessarily a "Never Trumper."
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They were either Nevers or just (D) voters. Biden has the thinnest support base since probably Carter. Clinton kind of got elected without such a base, an accidental POTUS. But he built some over time. I am drifting towards a warning here so lets get it back to the numbers. A floor fight could drift some supporters to a Nader-style 3rd party type. Been a quarter centurt subce we gave had one of those. IOW, anyone under age 35 or so does not remember how they draw votes off. So one could catch.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
January 29th, 2024 at 8:46:13 AM
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I honestly think Nikki Haley has way better odds than people are giving her credit for. I'm not a prop bettor but I would put money on her for being the next President. I think she's going to come from behind in a big way over the next couple of months.
January 29th, 2024 at 11:08:58 AM
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Quote: TigerWuI honestly think Nikki Haley has way better odds than people are giving her credit for. I'm not a prop bettor but I would put money on her for being the next President. I think she's going to come from behind in a big way over the next couple of months.
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If you really feel that way, today you can get 12 to 1 on predictit on Haley to be Republican nominee. Give it a go!
January 29th, 2024 at 12:12:11 PM
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Quote: SOOPOOQuote: TigerWuI honestly think Nikki Haley has way better odds than people are giving her credit for. I'm not a prop bettor but I would put money on her for being the next President. I think she's going to come from behind in a big way over the next couple of months.
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If you really feel that way, today you can get 12 to 1 on predictit on Haley to be Republican nominee. Give it a go!
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I'm not going to do that, but if she DOES win POTUS, or at least the nomination, I'm going to come back here and say to everyone, "I told you so!"
If she doesn't I'll just admit I was wrong.
January 30th, 2024 at 9:25:23 AM
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Haley is obviously a longshot but one worth taking a close look at. As the only remaining alternative candidate on the right, should Trump be forced out of the race she would have the strongest claim to the nomination.
The rumors for Haley are that her campaign will be kept alive by left wing donors. The idea is that she'd stir up dissent on the right and also act as a last line of defense. If the left is going to lose, they want to lose to Haley who is moderate and even sympathetic on some issues the left holds dear. Well, that and she isn't Trump.
Betting on Haley, however, really comes down to if you think Trump will make it unscathed to election day.
The rumors for Haley are that her campaign will be kept alive by left wing donors. The idea is that she'd stir up dissent on the right and also act as a last line of defense. If the left is going to lose, they want to lose to Haley who is moderate and even sympathetic on some issues the left holds dear. Well, that and she isn't Trump.
Betting on Haley, however, really comes down to if you think Trump will make it unscathed to election day.
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
February 1st, 2024 at 7:26:54 AM
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If your bored contemplating Biden vs Trump:
There's also action on Tucker Carlson as a longshot.
There's also action on Tucker Carlson as a longshot.
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
February 1st, 2024 at 7:33:44 AM
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.
if Taylor Swift comes out for Biden as many are speculating would it be a game changer___________?
I'm not sure_________your opinion______?
I googled how many fans she has and the linked result showed that 53% of adults identify as being a fan of hers
that's hard to believe - I don't know if it's really true
https://www.google.com/search?q=how+many+fans+does+taylor+swift+have&oq=how+many+fans+does+&aqs=chrome.0.0i131i433i512j69i57j0i512l8.3632j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
.
if Taylor Swift comes out for Biden as many are speculating would it be a game changer___________?
I'm not sure_________your opinion______?
I googled how many fans she has and the linked result showed that 53% of adults identify as being a fan of hers
that's hard to believe - I don't know if it's really true
https://www.google.com/search?q=how+many+fans+does+taylor+swift+have&oq=how+many+fans+does+&aqs=chrome.0.0i131i433i512j69i57j0i512l8.3632j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
.
Please don't feed the trolls
February 1st, 2024 at 7:40:57 AM
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Quote: lilredrooster.
if Taylor Swift comes out for Biden as many are speculating would it be a game changer___________?
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No. She's been openly liberal for years and endorsed Biden in 2020. No one should be surprised if she does it again.
February 1st, 2024 at 7:44:47 AM
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Quote: TigerWuQuote: lilredrooster.
if Taylor Swift comes out for Biden as many are speculating would it be a game changer___________?
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No. She's been openly liberal for years and endorsed Biden in 2020. No one should be surprised if she does it again.
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you might be right but I think she may be way more popular now than 4 years ago
I don't remember her endorsing Biden in 2020 - but I think it might be a bigger thing now
Biden is trailing - I believe he was well ahead in the polls in 2020
and if the Chiefs win the SB with her boyfriend - and she's there - she might become even more popular - if that's possible
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Please don't feed the trolls
February 1st, 2024 at 8:20:12 AM
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Quote: lilredroosterQuote: TigerWuQuote: lilredrooster.
if Taylor Swift comes out for Biden as many are speculating would it be a game changer___________?
link to original post
No. She's been openly liberal for years and endorsed Biden in 2020. No one should be surprised if she does it again.
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you might be right but I think she may be way more popular now than 4 years ago
I don't remember her endorsing Biden in 2020 - but I think it might be a bigger thing now
Biden is trailing - I believe he was well ahead in the polls in 2020
and if the Chiefs win the SB with her boyfriend - and she's there - she might become even more popular - if that's possible
.
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Someone find a trump v. Biden poll from 2/1/20 and fact check this post.
Edit: did it myself.
Ding Dong the Witch is Dead
February 1st, 2024 at 8:28:14 AM
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What amazes me is how the MAGA movement is focusing on her. A few years ago, she asked her fans to register to vote, and supposedly, 35,000 did in a very short time. Why pick a fight with someone with such a popular following? It's another circular firing squad.
I spent about six hours driving to western New Mexico and back yesterday. There aren't many English language radio in that region, so I listened to talk radio. Two different hosts proclaimed the fix is in. Kelce will win the MVP, propose to Swift, and she'll request a Spring 2025 wedding at the White House, which is only possible if the current occupant is still there. There was even bizarre speculation on why the game is being held in Nevada. Some nutjob called in to say the plan was for an Obama/Swift ticket, and the host took him seriously. There was also speculation that the Baldwin prosecution is designed to fail while giving him street credibility for a future run for office. I can only imagine what a steady diet of that hoey can do to a person.
.
I spent about six hours driving to western New Mexico and back yesterday. There aren't many English language radio in that region, so I listened to talk radio. Two different hosts proclaimed the fix is in. Kelce will win the MVP, propose to Swift, and she'll request a Spring 2025 wedding at the White House, which is only possible if the current occupant is still there. There was even bizarre speculation on why the game is being held in Nevada. Some nutjob called in to say the plan was for an Obama/Swift ticket, and the host took him seriously. There was also speculation that the Baldwin prosecution is designed to fail while giving him street credibility for a future run for office. I can only imagine what a steady diet of that hoey can do to a person.
.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
February 1st, 2024 at 8:30:11 AM
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Quote: lilredrooster.
if Taylor Swift comes out for Biden as many are speculating would it be a game changer___________?
I'm not sure_________your opinion______?
I googled how many fans she has and the linked result showed that 53% of adults identify as being a fan of hers
that's hard to believe - I don't know if it's really true
https://www.google.com/search?q=how+many+fans+does+taylor+swift+have&oq=how+many+fans+does+&aqs=chrome.0.0i131i433i512j69i57j0i512l8.3632j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
.
link to original post
I can’t imagine it mattering.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
February 1st, 2024 at 8:35:03 AM
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Two dinosaurs were feasting on their latest meal when a giant rock in the sky flew by. "I can't imagine it mattering," said one, as they went back to their feast, secure in their place at the top of the food chain.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
February 1st, 2024 at 8:52:48 AM
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Quote: ams288Quote: lilredrooster
Biden is trailing - I believe he was well ahead in the polls in 2020
link to original post
Someone find a trump v. Biden poll from 2/1/20 and fact check this post.
Edit: did it myself.
link to original post
don't wanna make a big deal out of this
but per the link - Pew Research
Biden was ahead 52% to 42% with one month left to go in 2020
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2020/10/09/the-trump-biden-presidential-contest/
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Please don't feed the trolls
February 1st, 2024 at 9:16:17 AM
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Found these odds on Fox Sports:
Will the Super Bowl MVP mention Taylor Swift during his speech?
Yes: +230 (bet $10 to win $33 total)
No: -310 (bet $10 to win $13.23 total)
Will Kelce propose to Swift at the Super Bowl?
Yes: +920 (bet $10 to win $102 total)
No: -2200 (bet $10 to win $10.45 total)
Will Kelce have more receptions than Swift has platinum albums (10)?
Over: +450 (bet $10 to win $55 total)
Under: -260 (bet $10 to win $13.85 total)
Exactly 10: +320 (bet $10 to win $42 total)
Will the Super Bowl MVP mention Taylor Swift during his speech?
Yes: +230 (bet $10 to win $33 total)
No: -310 (bet $10 to win $13.23 total)
Will Kelce propose to Swift at the Super Bowl?
Yes: +920 (bet $10 to win $102 total)
No: -2200 (bet $10 to win $10.45 total)
Will Kelce have more receptions than Swift has platinum albums (10)?
Over: +450 (bet $10 to win $55 total)
Under: -260 (bet $10 to win $13.85 total)
Exactly 10: +320 (bet $10 to win $42 total)
February 1st, 2024 at 9:33:48 AM
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Heh heh. They're like like gateway drug wagers designed to get Swifties into sports betting.
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
February 1st, 2024 at 10:30:39 AM
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Quote: lilredroosterQuote: ams288Quote: lilredrooster
Biden is trailing - I believe he was well ahead in the polls in 2020
link to original post
Someone find a trump v. Biden poll from 2/1/20 and fact check this post.
Edit: did it myself.
link to original post
don't wanna make a big deal out of this
but per the link - Pew Research
Biden was ahead 52% to 42% with one month left to go in 2020
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2020/10/09/the-trump-biden-presidential-contest/
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link to original post
You are comparing apples to oranges.
It’s February of this election year. You’re talking about a poll done in October of that election year.
Ding Dong the Witch is Dead
February 1st, 2024 at 10:43:59 AM
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.
I just googled "Will Taylor Swift support Biden"
more than one dozen stories came up - see link - all from major news organizations___________quite astonishing to see this
https://www.google.com/search?q=will+taylor+swift+support+bidin&oq=will+taylor+swift+support+bidin&aqs=chrome..69i57.11760j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8#ip=1
.
I just googled "Will Taylor Swift support Biden"
more than one dozen stories came up - see link - all from major news organizations___________quite astonishing to see this
https://www.google.com/search?q=will+taylor+swift+support+bidin&oq=will+taylor+swift+support+bidin&aqs=chrome..69i57.11760j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8#ip=1
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Please don't feed the trolls
February 1st, 2024 at 10:47:30 AM
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Taylor Swift has giant arena concerts in Miami, New Orleans, and Indianapolis in late October and the first weekend of November 2024.
If she were to make a political endorsement, it would probably be at one of them.
If she were to make a political endorsement, it would probably be at one of them.
Ding Dong the Witch is Dead
February 1st, 2024 at 11:48:38 AM
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Quote: ams288Taylor Swift has giant arena concerts in Miami, New Orleans, and Indianapolis in late October and the first weekend of November 2024.
If she were to make a political endorsement, it would probably be at one of them.
link to original post
Naw. If she endorses him, it will be in the Rose Garden, at a huge media event that Fox won't cover. Some talking heads are threatening that an endorsement will ruin her career. It's as if they are pushing her into doing it.
We are living in an interesting time.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
February 5th, 2024 at 8:44:23 AM
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The South Carolina primary for Democrats took place over the weekend. Biden won with 96% of the vote. Voter turnout was 4%. Make of that what you will.
Nevada holds it's primary tomorrow. Republicans will also hold a caucus on Thursday. A candidate may only enter one or the other. The caucus will deal out the delegates. The primary gives nothing. Trump has entered the caucus. Nikki Haley has entered the primary. Make of that what you will.
A recent Quinnipiac poll of registered voters has Biden leading Trump by 6 points. A recent NBC poll has Trump leading Biden by 5 points. Make of that what you will.
Nevada holds it's primary tomorrow. Republicans will also hold a caucus on Thursday. A candidate may only enter one or the other. The caucus will deal out the delegates. The primary gives nothing. Trump has entered the caucus. Nikki Haley has entered the primary. Make of that what you will.
A recent Quinnipiac poll of registered voters has Biden leading Trump by 6 points. A recent NBC poll has Trump leading Biden by 5 points. Make of that what you will.
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
February 13th, 2024 at 5:13:59 PM
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Quote: EvenBobThis is after the New Hampshire primary.
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Here's today's...
Trump steady. Biden down. Both Obama and Newsom ticking upward.
What's fascinating about this election is that you have no idea if the two main candidates--due to legal and/or health reasons--will even make it to election day. We're down the rabbit hole.
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
March 26th, 2024 at 11:08:31 AM
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Been 2 months since I posted one of these.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
March 26th, 2024 at 12:39:24 PM
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Quote: EvenBobBeen 2 months since I posted one of these.
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Interesting. So the 5 Democrats lead Trump by 6%. So more likely to be a Dem than Trump. As I’ve been saying…
March 26th, 2024 at 12:45:01 PM
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Sorry, I'm not going to trust the accuracy of anyone giving Michelle Obama odds to win the Presidency....LOL
March 26th, 2024 at 12:58:12 PM
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Quote: TigerWuSorry, I'm not going to trust the accuracy of anyone giving Michelle Obama odds to win the Presidency....LOL
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Will you commit to giving me $5k if she wins the Presidency? I mean, your post implies she has ZERO chance, right? So if she has ZERO chance you have no risk, right? Or DOES she have a chance? And you won’t make that commitment?
So which is it?
March 26th, 2024 at 1:11:40 PM
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Quote: SOOPOOQuote: TigerWuSorry, I'm not going to trust the accuracy of anyone giving Michelle Obama odds to win the Presidency....LOL
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Will you commit to giving me $5k if she wins the Presidency? I mean, your post implies she has ZERO chance, right? So if she has ZERO chance you have no risk, right? Or DOES she have a chance? And you won’t make that commitment?
So which is it?
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Sure, I'll give you $5,000 if Michelle Obama wins the Presidency....LOL
March 26th, 2024 at 1:16:31 PM
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Quote: TigerWuQuote: SOOPOOQuote: TigerWuSorry, I'm not going to trust the accuracy of anyone giving Michelle Obama odds to win the Presidency....LOL
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Will you commit to giving me $5k if she wins the Presidency? I mean, your post implies she has ZERO chance, right? So if she has ZERO chance you have no risk, right? Or DOES she have a chance? And you won’t make that commitment?
So which is it?
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Sure, I'll give you $5,000 if Michelle Obama wins the Presidency....LOL
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Rest assured, I am hoping to the high heavens I don’t get that $5k! But props to you!
Getting back on topic….. if I can get Biden at +odds I’m all over that.
March 26th, 2024 at 2:28:27 PM
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Quote: SOOPOO
Getting back on topic….. if I can get Biden at +odds I’m all over that.
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I suspect his odds will continue to increase the closer we get to election day.
March 26th, 2024 at 2:56:22 PM
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Quote: TigerWuQuote: SOOPOO
Getting back on topic….. if I can get Biden at +odds I’m all over that.
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I suspect his odds will continue to increase the closer we get to election day.
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If Biden is even on the ballot in November. Lots of Insiders on both sides keep saying there's no way Biden's going to be the candidate after the convention. It certainly won't be Michelle Obama, she has said in no uncertain terms that there's no way she's running. The dark horse is Kennedy, nobody knows how many votes he's going to pull away from the Democratic candidate.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
