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Wizard
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Wizard
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September 26th, 2021 at 11:00:29 AM permalink
Quote: joedol

I'd like to know why the mods put up with crap like this nonsense. The forum has really gone to hell
lately and everyone knows why.

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    I'm going to file this as an indefinite resignation.
    "For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
    Wizard
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    September 26th, 2021 at 11:03:45 AM permalink
    Quote: Expectedvalue

    This 60 hands is bullshit.



    Personal insult/profanity -- Seven days.
    "For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
    TomG
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    unJon
    September 26th, 2021 at 12:28:19 PM permalink
    Konik, whom I respect quite a lot, reported about a player winning "More than 50 hands". He isn't exactly clear if it is really consecutive wins, or if there is an occasional loss in there. He also provides a theory for why Wiz's (or any similar) analysis shouldn't apply:

    https://www.cigaraficionado.com/article/cheatin-man-7728

    (that whole series from him that went on for several years is worth checking out).
    AlanMendelson
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    September 26th, 2021 at 12:37:34 PM permalink
    Quote: Wizard

    Quote: MDawg

    Quote: Wizard

    Hmmm. I'm going to give you a chance to retract that before I pounce all over it.

  • link to original post


    It should be "some sixty" hands in a row. If you want to PM me I will tell you my average bet and how much exactly I walked with, and you figure out how many hands in a row I won! I was unstoppable. We can talk about this more when I see you or on the phone. It is truthful.

    Looking back, I wonder if the fact that they were constantly changing decks or getting to the point where they would deal only one hand to me and then shuffle was actually what made my streak possible. In any case, yes, it did happen.



    I would not be able to determine the exact consecutive number of hands based on that information. How many shuffles took place in between is not very relevant, compared to the enormity of your claim.

    That said, my page on variance in blackjack (which I always have difficulty finding) shows that under liberal Vegas Strip rules, shows the following probability of the net result per hand:

    Win: 42.43%
    Push: 8.48%
    Loss: 49.09%

    I'll nicely take out the pushes, for a probability of winning, given the bet was resolved, of 46.36%.

    Let me say that yes, I know the odds are a little different for other sets of rules. I am just making an estimate here.

    The probability of winning 60 hands in a row, starting at any one point, is 1 in 107,294,826,280,306,000,000.

    Let's say you play blackjack four hours a day, at 100 hands per hour, for a year, five days a week. The probability of seeing 60 wins in a row is about 1 in 102,885,449,857,828,000. Before somebody jumps down my black, this is just an estimate. It's not exactly right because of overlapping sequences of 60 hands.

    As a basis of comparison, the probability of winning the Powerball is 1 in 292,201,338 and the probability of winning Megamillions is 1 in 302,575,350. If you purchased one of each ticket, the probability of winning both would be 1 in 88,412,922,115,818,300. So, it's 16% more likely to win both lotteries, with two tickets, than do what you're claiming.

    I see the comparison to Alan's 18 yo's in a row as already been made. As a reminder, the probability of that, starting with any one roll, is 1 in 39,346,408,075,296,500,000,000. That is still 367 times more unlikely than starting with any one hand in blackjack, but they are the same order of magnitude.

    I have said many times that I don't believe Alan and think his memory is not perfect. I suspect he read somewhere that the probability of an 11 is 1 in 18, and the 18 stuck in his head.

    Likewise, I think your memory, or your math, is not perfect. You are now in the same basket with Alan. May you become good friends.
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    Since my name was brought up...

    For the record I DID NOT throw 18 yos in a row. I was at a craps table at Caesars Palace when a random shooter rolled 18 yos in a row. Also I never bet on the yo nor did the shooter or his friend... so I cant claim any huge winnings.

    Also I know little about blackjack and havent played it in years except at a free blackjack tournament at Red Rock Casino pre Covid.

    I did play Blackjack one time at the old Sahara when they had a $1 game. I bought in for $20 and I lost 20 hands in a row. I've been told that's some kind of a record. At the time the pit boss came over to me and said it was the worst run of bad luck he ever saw.

    I was playing okay... no stupid moves. But when I had 18 the dealer had 19. When I had 20 the dealer had 21. It was like that.

    Other players at the table got blackjacks but not me. Other players won but not me.

    Regarding 60+ wins in a row: after seeing a random roller throw 18 yos in a row i can believe 60 wins at blackjack in a row.

    By the way, my personal record is 4 yos in a row. And I took photos of dice being thrown and ending up stacked three different times and I sent those to the Wizard, and two of those throws were mine.

    I've also been married four times. Do the math on that too. LOL
    Mission146
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    September 26th, 2021 at 12:44:39 PM permalink
    Quote: FastEddie

    So since the odds of 18 yo’s is less than the odds of two dice landing atop each other 18 times in a row, you accept Alan’s claim as well ??? Fair is only fair !

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    Sure, why not? He says it happened. It’s mathematically possible.

    Besides, I never really went after Alan over that one. If you watch a Craps Table for twenty rolls, whatever the precise order of outcomes is, it’s pretty ridiculously unlikely that such a specific sequence will happen.

    Like I said before, the aspect of Alan’s story that I most questioned is that nobody bet the Yo!
    https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
    Mission146
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    September 26th, 2021 at 12:48:41 PM permalink
    Quote: Dieter

    I believe this would be consistent with the mythology that many dealers perpetuate.

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    Not exactly a, “Mythology.” If Blackjack paid on a, “For one,” rather than, “To one,” basis, then pushes would be considered a win. That’s why slots can call so many outcomes in which a player has a net loss a, “Win.”
    https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
    Dieter
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    September 26th, 2021 at 1:26:44 PM permalink
    Quote: Mission146

    Quote: Dieter

    I believe this would be consistent with the mythology that many dealers perpetuate.

  • link to original post



    Not exactly a, “Mythology.” If Blackjack paid on a, “For one,” rather than, “To one,” basis, then pushes would be considered a win. That’s why slots can call so many outcomes in which a player has a net loss a, “Win.”
  • link to original post



    Quote: Random blackjack dealer, tapping table with back of hand


    A push is a win!



    Perhaps it's more of a religion than a mythology to miscategorize "not-loss" as "Win!"
    May the cards fall in your favor.
    JimRockford
    JimRockford
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    September 26th, 2021 at 3:02:34 PM permalink
    Quote: AxelWolf

    Quote: JimRockford

    I recall that a few years back, a regular poster was nearly run out of here because he claimed 33 consecutive blackjack losses.

  • link to original post

    If you are talking about AOS it was 30.
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    I’m sure you’re right. I didn’t name the poster because so I would not be asked to provide evidence.
    "Truth is ever to be found in the simplicity, and not in the multiplicity and confusion of things." -- Isaac Newton
    Wizard
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    September 26th, 2021 at 3:03:51 PM permalink
    Quote: JimRockford

    I didn’t name the poster because so I would not be asked to provide evidence.

  • link to original post



    You would only get asked if somebody else did a coach's challenge.
    "For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
    Wellbush
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    September 26th, 2021 at 3:40:21 PM permalink
    Quote: Mission146

    I'm going to take MDawg at face value on this one and would highly encourage everyone to direct WellBush to this thread.

    In the event that, "Some sixty," consecutive Blackjack wins in a row can happen (disregarding pushes) as MDawg is claiming to have happened, AND the probability of losing an individual hand is greater than the probability of winning one (which it is) that means that MDawg was personally involved in an event that is LESS probable than losing, "Some sixty," hands in a row.

    Therefore, if WellBush accepts anything even close to this account as true, then any negative progression betting system he can come up with (as we already know) can fail.

    We have the real life proof account here, if MDawg is to be believed, except in reverse...because this event is actually less likely than losing some sixty hands in a row.

  • link to original post

    I have no problem whatsoever in responding to this post, except for one thing. A lack of protection for posters, especially on controversial topics. Kisses
    All persons reading my posts gamble at their own risk, as I do. I don't ordinarily dispute math. I may dispute math I don't understand, or if I think it's faulty. I am not a conspiracy theorist.
    vegas
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    September 26th, 2021 at 4:41:22 PM permalink
    To quote Jim Carrey 1 in 107,294,826,280,306,000,000. "So your telling me there's a chance"
    50-50-90 Rule: Anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting something right, there is a 90% probability you'll get it wrong
    Wellbush
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    September 26th, 2021 at 8:40:30 PM permalink
    Quote: vegas

    To quote Jim Carrey 1 in 107,294,826,280,306,000,000. "So your telling me there's a chance"

  • link to original post

    joke of the day 👍
    All persons reading my posts gamble at their own risk, as I do. I don't ordinarily dispute math. I may dispute math I don't understand, or if I think it's faulty. I am not a conspiracy theorist.
    FastEddie
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    September 26th, 2021 at 9:13:04 PM permalink
    60 winning hands in a row is joke of the year, but nobody is laughing.
    AlanMendelson
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    September 26th, 2021 at 9:24:33 PM permalink
    Quote: FastEddie

    60 winning hands in a row is joke of the year, but nobody is laughing.

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    Why is it a joke? Because the odds say it shouldn't happen? The odds look at the possibility in a rear view mirror.

    But how many times has blackjack been played by a single player for at least sixty hands? And out of all those times everyone is so positive a string of 60 wins can't happen?

    It's a big world. Anything can happen.

    If you have a 42% chance winning one hand, does that percentage decrease on the next hand?

    If a coin has a 50% chance of being heads on one flip isnt it still 50% on the next flip?

    That any of us exist with our own string of DNA shows anything can happen.

    If you used DNA in the rear view mirror YOU would not exist because the odds say that. Yet you do exist.
    rainman
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    September 26th, 2021 at 10:16:35 PM permalink
    60 hands in a Yo!

    Yourself and MDawg are now bound for eternity.
    AlanMendelson
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    September 26th, 2021 at 11:17:10 PM permalink
    Quote: rainman

    60 hands in a Yo!

    Yourself and MDawg are now bound for eternity.

  • link to original post



    Trolling?
    Dieter
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    Hunterhill
    September 26th, 2021 at 11:40:19 PM permalink
    Quote: AlanMendelson


    It's a big world. Anything can happen.

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    I'm just a little surprised it happened so soon.

    Assuming we have 107x1019 trials to run through; if 1000 hands of blackjack have been played every second for 50 years, we still have nearly 107x1019 hands to go... Like 340 billion years worth.
    May the cards fall in your favor.
    Wellbush
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    September 27th, 2021 at 1:47:09 AM permalink
    Quote: Wizard

    Let's simplify the question and use the pass bet in craps. If the shoeless man won just 11 bets in a row, he could parlay that $600 to $1,228,800. The probability of that is just 1 in 2,395. What you are claiming has a probability of 1 in 107,294,826,280,306,000,000.

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    yes, I agree. Seems difficult to believe. That he had an exceptional run, considering he's a frequent, arguably savvy gambler, that seems perpetually well cashed up? Not as hard to believe. It may come down to the fact that his run was so exceptional, that he calculated his winnings, and in hindsight estimated what may have occurred in an excessively favourable light? Unless one can obtain verifiable proof, for or against the facts, we can only wonder.

    You will note what's in my signature, and in OD's as well. It may be worth revisiting the idea of placing some clear signage on the main pages of this site, with something similar. This kind of signage need not interfere with site advertising. Mods could then reiterate the caveats clearly shown on the site, whenever such exceptional talk or claims are made.

    Whilst I am toying with a betting system of my own, I DO NOT think people should do the same unless they have tried and tested their own system, and are prepared to take their own risk. What one may experience on free software, can invariably be different to what's experienced with paid bets, both online and at a casino. I've experienced this first hand. Pointing out these anomalies could be a helpful deterrent to new gamblers unaware of the risks.
    Last edited by: Wellbush on Sep 27, 2021
    All persons reading my posts gamble at their own risk, as I do. I don't ordinarily dispute math. I may dispute math I don't understand, or if I think it's faulty. I am not a conspiracy theorist.
    OnceDear
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    September 27th, 2021 at 2:04:18 AM permalink
    Quote: AlanMendelson

    Quote: rainman

    60 hands in a Yo!

    Yourself and MDawg are now bound for eternity.

  • link to original post



    Trolling?
  • link to original post


    I disagree.
    Rainman rightly observed that MDawg and AlanMendelson were to go in the same basket. That was an expression used by wizard himself out of no-where.
    Incidentally I asked him later if that constituted an insult to you and MDawg and he said it wasn't.
    Quote: Wizard Bolding mine

    I see the comparison to Alan's 18 yo's in a row as already been made. As a reminder, the probability of that, starting with any one roll, is 1 in 39,346,408,075,296,500,000,000. That is still 367 times more unlikely than starting with any one hand in blackjack, but they are the same order of magnitude.

    I have said many times that I don't believe Alan and think his memory is not perfect. I suspect he read somewhere that the probability of an 11 is 1 in 18, and the 18 stuck in his head.

    Likewise, I think your memory, or your math, is not perfect. You are now in the same basket with Alan. May you become good friends.

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    You have both made posts about astronomically unlikely events. I'm not talking about unlikely I'm talking about implausible. You are indeed now bound for eternity by this almost unique characteristic. Keep a space in the basket for the un-named member that claimed 30 BJ hands in a row.
    Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
    AlanMendelson
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    September 27th, 2021 at 2:20:23 AM permalink
    Quote: OnceDear

    Quote: AlanMendelson

    Quote: rainman

    60 hands in a Yo!

    Yourself and MDawg are now bound for eternity.

  • link to original post



    Trolling?
  • link to original post


    I disagree.
    Rainman rightly observed that MDawg and AlanMendelson were to go in the same basket. That was an expression used by wizard himself out of no-where.
    Incidentally I asked him later if that constituted an insult to you and MDawg and he said it wasn't.

    You have both made posts about astronomically unlikely events. I'm not talking about unlikely I'm talking about implausible. You are indeed now bound for eternity by this almost unique characteristic. Keep a space in the basket for the un-named member that claimed 30 BJ hands in a row.
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    The difference is Mdawg claimed he won. I made no such claim. I reported what I saw.

    There are many reasons to account for 18 yos in a row, including flawed dice.

    I reported how one time at Caesars a new box of Paulson dice was opened. A new stick was unwrapped and I was the next shooter.

    One of the five dice was missing a pip from the 6. A small flaw, yes, but a flaw that could alter results. The die was removed when I pointed it out to the floor man.

    But getting back to the post in question. What contribution was made to the discussion? The contribution escapes me.

    I feel I was trolled and I feel that questioning what I observed and reported is an attack on my professionalism and my credibility.
    OnceDear
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    September 27th, 2021 at 2:38:21 AM permalink
    Quote: AlanMendelson

    I feel I was trolled and I feel that questioning what I observed and reported is an attack on my professionalism and my credibility.

  • link to original post



    OK. If you feel you were trolled, indeed if anyone thinks they are being trolled, take it as a complaint to one of we moderators. We are easily identified. This whole forum has too many threads polluted by complaints about other users.

    TAKE COMPLAINTS AND ACCUSATIONS TO THE MODERATORS BY PM!

    Alan. That ship has sailed. Your credibility was questioned and tested in the presence of your peers way back when you made that claim. It was always the claim that was attacked and way back then, you pinned your credibility to it. You own that claim and all its implications.

    I rule that you were not being trolled by Rainman. You are not being trolled or insulted here. If you disagree take it to Wizard by PM.
    Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
    AlanMendelson
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    September 27th, 2021 at 2:54:01 AM permalink
    Quote: OnceDear

    Quote: AlanMendelson

    I feel I was trolled and I feel that questioning what I observed and reported is an attack on my professionalism and my credibility.

  • link to original post



    OK. If you feel you were trolled, indeed if anyone thinks they are being trolled, take it as a complaint to one of we moderators. We are easily identified. This whole forum has too many threads polluted by complaints about other users.

    TAKE COMPLAINTS AND ACCUSATIONS TO THE MODERATORS BY PM!

    Alan. That ship has sailed. Your credibility was questioned and tested in the presence of your peers way back when you made that claim. It was always the claim that was attacked and way back then, you pinned your credibility to it. You own that claim and all its implications.

    I rule that you were not being trolled by Rainman. You are not being trolled or insulted here. If you disagree take it to Wizard by PM.
  • link to original post



    There's no need because nothing will change. But each time I'm attacked I think I have the right to defend myself. After all... I was there and not one of who criticize me was there. And to date no one who was there has said my report was wrong.

    And... as I used to say on TV... that is the bottom line for your money.
    Wizard
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    September 29th, 2021 at 3:56:33 PM permalink
    I confess I made a math error in my original post about the probability of 60 wins in a row over a period of time. That post has now been corrected.
    "For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
    SOOPOO
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    September 29th, 2021 at 4:11:04 PM permalink
    Quote: rainman

    60 hands in a Yo!

    Yourself and MDawg are now bound for eternity.

  • link to original post



    POST OF THE YEAR! Heck, POST OF THE DECADE!

    Alan, of course ANYONE who posts seeing an event like 18 yo’s or 60 BJ wins in a row will lose all credibility. Don’t take it personally! Frankly, I would be embarrassed if anyone I know would believe such a claim.

    Is there ANY chance such an event happened in your presence? Of course, but it is much more reasonable for me to live my life disbelieving a 4e22 occurrence happened. I’ll take the consequences if I am ever proved wrong on something like this.

    You are still a hero having gotten married at a craps table.
    Wizard
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    September 29th, 2021 at 4:23:20 PM permalink
    Quote: SOOPOO

    Is there ANY chance such an event happened in your presence? Of course, but it is much more reasonable for me to live my life disbelieving a 4e22 occurrence happened. I’ll take the consequences if I am ever proved wrong on something like this.

  • link to original post



    Math puzzle time!

    Alex is such a truthful person that he speaks the truth 999,999 times out of a million. The other one time, his memory betrayed him.

    Alex just witnessed 18 rolls in craps. The following conversation then ensues:

    Steve: Were all 18 rolls a "yo"?
    Alex: Yes

    What is the probability Alex speaks the truth?
    "For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
    Deucekies
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    September 29th, 2021 at 6:14:43 PM permalink
    Quote: Wizard


    What is the probability Alex speaks the truth?

  • link to original post



    50%. Either he does or he doesn't. ;-)
    Casinos are not your friends, they want your money. But so does Disneyland. And there is no chance in hell that you will go to Disneyland and come back with more money than you went with. - AxelWolf and Mickeycrimm
    SOOPOO
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    September 29th, 2021 at 6:15:57 PM permalink
    Figure out the odds of 18 yo’s in a row. Then multiply that by 1,000,000.
    unJon
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    September 29th, 2021 at 6:22:46 PM permalink
    Quote: SOOPOO

    Figure out the odds of 18 yo’s in a row. Then multiply that by 1,000,000.

  • link to original post



    No. It’s a Bayes Theorem problem.

    Sorry, read your answer wrong.
    Last edited by: unJon on Sep 29, 2021
    The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
    ChesterDog
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    September 29th, 2021 at 6:41:51 PM permalink
    Quote: Wizard

    Quote: SOOPOO

    Is there ANY chance such an event happened in your presence? Of course, but it is much more reasonable for me to live my life disbelieving a 4e22 occurrence happened. I’ll take the consequences if I am ever proved wrong on something like this.

  • link to original post



    Math puzzle time!

    Alex is such a truthful person that he speaks the truth 999,999 times out of a million. The other one time, his memory betrayed him.

    Alex just witnessed 18 rolls in craps. The following conversation then ensues:

    Steve: Were all 18 rolls a "yo"?
    Alex: Yes

    What is the probability Alex speaks the truth?
  • link to original post




    Let Y stand for the event of 18 yo's.
    Let S stand for the event of Alex's saying he saw 18 yo's.
    Let P stand for probability.

    Then:
    P(Y and S) = P(Y) * P(S|Y) = P(S) * P(Y|S)

    Solve for P(Y|S):
    P(Y|S) = P(Y) * P(S|Y) / P(S)

    S can occur either of two ways: Either Y happened and Alex told a truth, or Y didn't happen and Alex did not tell a truth.
    So:
    P(S) = P(Y) * P(S|Y) + P(not Y) * P(S| not Y)

    Then P(Y|S) = P(Y) * P(S|Y) / [ P(Y) * P(S|Y) + P(not Y) * P(S| not Y) ]

    Known values:
    P(Y) = 2.54153 x 10-23
    P(S|Y) = 999,999 / 1,000,000
    P(S| not Y) = 1 / 1,000,000

    Then:
    P(Y|S) = 2.54153 x 10-23 * 999,999 / 1,000,000 / [ 2.54153 x 10-23 * 999,999 / 1,000,000 + (1 - 2.54153 x 10-23) * 1 / 1,000,000 ]

    P(Y|S) = 2.54153 x 10-17
    So, the probability that Alex told the truth is about one million times the probability that all 18 rolls were eleven.






    Wizard
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    Wizard
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    September 29th, 2021 at 6:56:46 PM permalink
    Quote: ChesterDog

    P(Y|S) = 2.54153 x 10-17






  • link to original post



    I agree!
    "For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
    FinsRule
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    September 30th, 2021 at 4:24:11 AM permalink
    Admittedly, I’m not an expert on WoV forum rules. Saying you saw 18 yos in a row is fine? Or saying you won 60 hands of blackjack or 400 hands of blackjack in a row is fine. But If you tell someone “There is no way that actually happened”, the latter person gets suspended?

    Just want to make sure I’ve got this straight.
    Dieter
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    September 30th, 2021 at 4:41:02 AM permalink
    Quote: FinsRule

    Admittedly, I’m not an expert on WoV forum rules. Saying you saw 18 yos in a row is fine? Or saying you won 60 hands of blackjack or 400 hands of blackjack in a row is fine. But If you tell someone “There is no way that actually happened”, the latter person gets suspended?

    Just want to make sure I’ve got this straight.

  • link to original post



    Calling someone a liar would be an insult.
    Calling their statement hard to believe is not.
    May the cards fall in your favor.
    Marcusclark66
    Marcusclark66
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    September 30th, 2021 at 5:15:07 AM permalink
    Quote: Dieter

    Quote: FinsRule

    Admittedly, I’m not an expert on WoV forum rules. Saying you saw 18 yos in a row is fine? Or saying you won 60 hands of blackjack or 400 hands of blackjack in a row is fine. But If you tell someone “There is no way that actually happened”, the latter person gets suspended?

    Just want to make sure I’ve got this straight.

  • link to original post



    Calling someone a liar would be an insult.
    Calling their statement hard to believe is not.
  • link to original post



    Rules and regulations must live by them. I admire your tenacity and your consistency. Thanks for doing a superb job.
    Marcus Clark. Real Person; AKA MarcusClark66. *Professional Casino Security Expert. *Certified EMT *Certified Company Firearms Instructor. *Certified Gaming Regulations Interpreter for Corporate Applications. *Domestic UrbanTactical Combat Casualty Expert. *Tic-Tac-Toe Expert (Real Competitive Versions) & Mastering Chess. *Honorary & Official #1 Fan of the MDawg Adventures Club. *Mastering Cracking it. Bit-by-Bit, Piece-by-Piece Crediting Forum Members. *Certified Casino Property Entry & Exit Point Analyzer *Baccarat Winning Session Record: 12 out of 12 & 1 out of 1 Mini Session. Baccarat Losing Session Record: 2 Losing Sessions.
    AxelWolf
    AxelWolf
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    September 30th, 2021 at 5:24:19 AM permalink
    Quote: FinsRule

    Admittedly, I’m not an expert on WoV forum rules. Saying you saw 18 yos in a row is fine? Or saying you won 60 hands of blackjack or 400 hands of blackjack in a row is fine. But If you tell someone “There is no way that actually happened”, the latter person gets suspended?

    Just want to make sure I’ve got this straight.

  • link to original post

    Lying and makeing up complete BS is not agisnt the form rules.
    ♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
    Wizard
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    Wizard
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    September 30th, 2021 at 5:30:01 AM permalink
    Quote: AxelWolf

    Lying and makeing up complete BS is not agisnt the form rules.

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    Neither is remembering things incorrectly.
    "For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
    AxelWolf
    AxelWolf
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    September 30th, 2021 at 9:23:34 AM permalink
    Quote: Wizard

    Quote: AxelWolf

    Lying and makeing up complete BS is not agisnt the form rules.

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    Neither is remembering things incorrectly.
  • link to original post

    What if you remember things incorrectly, but then you double and triple down on it only to backpedal once someone actually does the math? Yes, it is certainly nice of you to have given your Dawg(please reference the Urban Dictionary before you get all banhammery ) an out on this. It was such a ridiculous claim that it was embarrassing to us all.

    Or what if it's found out what someone said something many times (and even proposed a bet over it) was incorrect entirely in the first place?

    Some 60 hands, perhaps it was only 50? Maybe everything an individual has said has been misremembered.

    What happens when we add that up to all the other extraordinarily unlikely claims coming from the same individual? Shall we come up with a list? I think you would be simply amazed.

    Yes, I know, none of this is against the rules, but not long ago members were given a little more leeway when calling out this type of stuff.

    I certainly believe these claims should be called out so the Wizard Of Odds doesn't get nicknamed The Wizard Of Frauds.
    Last edited by: AxelWolf on Sep 30, 2021
    ♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
    MDawg
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    AlanMendelson
    September 30th, 2021 at 11:03:14 AM permalink
    Perhaps a little imprecision ("I make $20,000 a week") goes with the territory.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
    Wizard
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    FinsRuleDieter
    September 30th, 2021 at 11:15:54 AM permalink
    Quote: AxelWolf

    What happens when we add that up to all the other extraordinarily unlikely claims coming from the same individual? Shall we come up with a list? I think you would be simply amazed.

    Yes, I know, none of this is against the rules, but not long ago members were given a little more leeway when calling out this type of stuff.

    I certainly believe these claims should be called out so the Wizard Of Odds doesn't get nicknamed The Wizard Of Frauds.

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    Everything you just wrote is fine. I encourage skepticism and ridiculous claims should get called out. Just remember to attack the writing, the the writer. It is even fine to question the totality of ones claims based on multiple stories.

    Just do it nicely. That is all I ask.
    "For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
    MDawg
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    September 30th, 2021 at 11:23:06 AM permalink
    As well, if anyone chooses to challenge anything, the challenged has the right to respond. Nicely, of course.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
    gordonm888
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    OnceDear
    September 30th, 2021 at 3:02:28 PM permalink
    Quote: rainman

    60 hands in a Yo!

    Yourself and MDawg are now bound for eternity.

  • link to original post



    Actually much like Javert and Jean Valjean in Les Miserables*, I would suggest that OnceDear and MDawg are now bound together for eternity.

    (*Explanation: In Les Miz, Javert stalks Jean Valjean for decades because of a trivial crime.)
    So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
    OnceDear
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    September 30th, 2021 at 3:09:26 PM permalink
    Quote: gordonm888

    Quote: rainman

    60 hands in a Yo!

    Yourself and MDawg are now bound for eternity.

  • link to original post



    Actually much like Javert and Jean Valjean in Les Miserables*, I would suggest that OnceDear and MDawg are now bound together for eternity.

    (*Explanation: In Les Miz, Javert stalks Jean Valjean for decades because of a trivial crime.)
  • link to original post

    Personal insult against Mdawg and myself. 7 days.



    $:o)
    /JK
    Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
    mwalz9
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    October 1st, 2021 at 2:12:01 PM permalink
    I have a legit question that I don't know how to do. Can someone show me an example of calling out a lie where you attack the writing and not the writer?

    If you call the writing a lie, aren't you by default calling the writer a liar?

    I can't think of a good, nice way that I would word "That is a lie", or "I don't believe you".
    rainman
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    October 1st, 2021 at 2:29:43 PM permalink
    Quote: mwalz9

    I have a legit question that I don't know how to do. Can someone show me an example of calling out a lie where you attack the writing and not the writer?

    If you call the writing a lie, aren't you by default calling the writer a liar?

    I can't think of a good, nice way that I would word "That is a lie", or "I don't believe you".

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    You project it onto yourself.

    What you have said is beyond my capacity to believe you.
    Your words are at odds with my logic and reason and I must choose to not believe them.

    You are free to choose what you believe if you are sanctioned for voicing that choice
    you sir are under the rule of a tyranny where logic is the enemy and truth is a menace.
    Dieter
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    October 1st, 2021 at 2:52:07 PM permalink
    Quote: rainman


    You project it onto yourself.

  • link to original post



    Exactly this.
    The same way I apologize for having a little trouble with one of my ears instead of telling Grandma that she's mumbling incoherently.
    May the cards fall in your favor.
    OnceDear
    OnceDear
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    October 1st, 2021 at 3:08:23 PM permalink
    Quote: Dieter

    Quote: rainman


    You project it onto yourself.

  • link to original post



    Exactly this.
    The same way I apologize for having a little trouble with one of my ears instead of telling Grandma that she's mumbling incoherently.
  • link to original post

    All perfectly true.
    One must simply be polite and inoffensive in the perception of the notional average reasonable person.
    If members are so thoughtful as to clearly TRY not to be insulting, then Moderators will go the extra mile in trying not to impose a penalty.
    "I cannot believe the assertion in your post" is quite safe. Because it is an observation on my own abilities AND is a reference to the assertion in the post"
    "I do not believe your post" is in a grey area
    "I do not believe you" is an obvious implication that the poster is a liar and would be un-accepable.

    There is some subjectivity still in the extent of any potential Insult. E.g. If I posted I served with Special Forces in Vietnam where I lost an eye and you cast that in any doubt in any way, then I might reasonably see that as personally insulting.
    Just be kind and sensitive.
    Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
    rainman
    rainman
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    October 1st, 2021 at 4:59:13 PM permalink
    Quote: OnceDear

    Quote: Dieter

    Quote: rainman


    You project it onto yourself.

  • link to original post



    Exactly this.
    The same way I apologize for having a little trouble with one of my ears instead of telling Grandma that she's mumbling incoherently.
  • link to original post

    All perfectly true.
    One must simply be polite and inoffensive in the perception of the notional average reasonable person.
    If members are so thoughtful as to clearly TRY not to be insulting, then Moderators will go the extra mile in trying not to impose a penalty.
    "I cannot believe the assertion in your post" is quite safe. Because it is an observation on my own abilities AND is a reference to the assertion in the post"
    "I do not believe your post" is in a grey area
    "I do not believe you" is an obvious implication that the poster is a liar and would be un-accepable.

    There is some subjectivity still in the extent of any potential Insult. E.g. If I posted I served with Special Forces in Vietnam where I lost an eye and you cast that in any doubt in any way, then I might reasonably see that as personally insulting.
    Just be kind and sensitive.
  • link to original post




    I answered a question on how to phrase a PC response so as to present it as disagreeing with someone
    instead of being adversarial.
    I am in no way in agreement with being coerced into giving PC responses.

    I'm Hungry and am headed to my favorite taco truck, later I will ask you questions
    about this statement.


    "I do not believe you" is an obvious implication that the poster is a liar and would be un-accepable.
    AlanMendelson
    AlanMendelson
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    October 1st, 2021 at 6:54:21 PM permalink
    Quote: rainman



    I answered a question on how to phrase a PC response so as to present it as disagreeing with someone
    instead of being adversarial.
    I am in no way in agreement with being coerced into giving PC responses.

    I'm Hungry and am headed to my favorite taco truck, later I will ask you questions
    about this statement.


    "I do not believe you" is an obvious implication that the poster is a liar and would be un-accepable.

  • link to original post



    I guess it's very important to you to beat a dead horse?
    Dieter
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    Dieter
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    October 1st, 2021 at 8:00:28 PM permalink
    Quote: AlanMendelson


    I guess it's very important to you to beat a dead horse?

  • link to original post



    I expect the question to be valid and relevant.

    Since I haven't gotten to the taco truck yet, I will guess as to rainman's question, and answer that
    - You are not REQUIRED to reply
    - You MAY reply nicely
    - You MAY reply not-nicely, in contradiction with established community standards, but graciously accept any consequences of your statements

    Sorry if that feels unduly coercive.
    May the cards fall in your favor.
    rainman
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    OnceDear
    October 1st, 2021 at 8:43:56 PM permalink
    Quote: AlanMendelson

    Quote: rainman



    I answered a question on how to phrase a PC response so as to present it as disagreeing with someone
    instead of being adversarial.
    I am in no way in agreement with being coerced into giving PC responses.

    I'm Hungry and am headed to my favorite taco truck, later I will ask you questions
    about this statement.


    "I do not believe you" is an obvious implication that the poster is a liar and would be un-accepable.

  • link to original post



    I guess it's very important to you to beat a dead horse?
  • link to original post




    What Horse and who killed it?
    What I'm trying to do AL is engage another Human being who I am certain
    has a higher intellect than me that I believe has a presupposition that
    is wrong, so if I lead this man of higher intellect down the path of righteousness
    and enlightenment AL, I will feel pretty good about myself. And If I fail AL,
    I also win for I will be the enlightened one.
    AlanMendelson
    AlanMendelson
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    October 1st, 2021 at 9:01:50 PM permalink
    Quote: rainman

    Quote: AlanMendelson

    Quote: rainman



    I answered a question on how to phrase a PC response so as to present it as disagreeing with someone
    instead of being adversarial.
    I am in no way in agreement with being coerced into giving PC responses.

    I'm Hungry and am headed to my favorite taco truck, later I will ask you questions
    about this statement.


    "I do not believe you" is an obvious implication that the poster is a liar and would be un-accepable.

  • link to original post



    I guess it's very important to you to beat a dead horse?
  • link to original post




    What Horse and who killed it?
    What I'm trying to do AL is engage another Human being who I am certain
    has a higher intellect than me that I believe has a presupposition that
    is wrong, so if I lead this man of higher intellect down the path of righteousness
    and enlightenment AL, I will feel pretty good about myself. And If I fail AL,
    I also win for I will be the enlightened one.
  • link to original post



    Dont you think we all got the picture already?
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