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MDawg
MDawg
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September 25th, 2021 at 1:43:31 PM permalink
When I used to play hand shuffled doubledeck Blackjack I'd feel as though the cards were "stuck" for a while after the decks were changed. By stuck I mean, not contributing to much wins for me no matter what the count.
Also, one night when I was beating the h out of the house at single deck, won sixty some hands in a row, they kept changing decks (although this had zero effect, I just kept winning every single hand anyway, that night), but it goes to show that even the house thinks that changing the deck lends to eliminating a player win streak.

Does a less or poorly shuffled deck make you win less at Blackjack? Well, one night it made no difference but in general my observation is that it does tend to give more hands to the dealer, at least for a while.


At Baccarat my observation is somewhat the opposite - it is that the less shuffled (within reason) decks tend to "streak" more - more and longer Bank or Player runs. At the casinos where they take the pre shuffled decks right out of the box and hand them over for player cut versus place them into a shuffling machine for ten more minutes of shuffle, I tend to win easier and faster.


All of this is anecdotal evidence only.
I tell you itís wonderful to be here, man. I donít give a damn who wins or loses. Itís just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
FastEddie
FastEddie
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September 25th, 2021 at 2:22:19 PM permalink
I DO NOT Believe you won 60+ hands in a row !
OnceDear
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OnceDear 
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September 25th, 2021 at 2:22:45 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

one night when I was beating the h out of the house at single deck, won sixty some hands in a row, they kept changing decks (although this had zero effect, I just kept winning every single hand anyway, that night), but it goes to show that even the house thinks that changing the deck lends to eliminating a player win streak

....

Quote:

All of this is anecdotal evidence only.

  • link to original post

    Did I read that right? Did I edit appropriately?
    That's one h of a streak. one H of an anecdote.

    Let's assume probability of losing a hand is 50%,
    Then I estimate that night's 60 won hands in a row was roughly a 1 in 1.15292150461e+18 event

    1 in 1,150,000,000.000.000,000 give or take a bit.

    That would be some 16,000 times less likely than seeing 11 yos in a row at craps and might qualify as 'claim of the decade'.

    Someone please sanity check my math. Thanks
    Last edited by: OnceDear on Sep 26, 2021
    Beware. The earth is NOT flat. Hit and run is not a winning strategy: Pressing into trends IS not a winning strategy: Progressives are not a winning strategy: Don't Buy It! .Don't even take it for free.
    OnceDear
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    September 25th, 2021 at 2:27:35 PM permalink
    Quote: FastEddie

    I DO NOT Believe you won 60+ hands in a row !

  • link to original post


    FastEddie, I believe that you are allowed to say that.
    I believe that if MDawg says he won 60 hands in a row, then there is a higher probability that he made a slight typo or erred in some way than he actually experienced an event that is 16000 times less likely that witnessing 11 yos in a row at craps.
    I can barely believe that MDawg even CLAIMED that he won 60 hands in a row. At least not intentionally.
    Last edited by: OnceDear on Sep 26, 2021
    Beware. The earth is NOT flat. Hit and run is not a winning strategy: Pressing into trends IS not a winning strategy: Progressives are not a winning strategy: Don't Buy It! .Don't even take it for free.
    FastEddie
    FastEddie
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    September 25th, 2021 at 2:30:55 PM permalink
    I DO NOT believe MDawg will retract his statement !
    heatmap
    heatmap
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    September 25th, 2021 at 2:31:12 PM permalink
    Quote: technics

    Does poorly done hand shuffling favor the House?link to original post



    even an automatic shuffler will produce the same exact order of the hand shuffled at some point in time.

    the one shoe does not matter to them (because its really all the shoes over time which provide their house "edge") - unless they know someone is counting and then if legally possible they will call for a shuffle

    make sure you play some hands yourself on an actual deck of cards and you will usually notice the same patterns you are seeing in the casino as well
    OnceDear
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    OnceDear 
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    September 25th, 2021 at 2:34:59 PM permalink
    Quote: OnceDear

    Quote: FastEddie

    I DO NOT Believe you won 60+ hands in a row !

  • link to original post


    FastEddie, I believe that you are allowed to say that.
    I believe that if MDawg says he won 60 hands in a row, then there is a higher probability that he made a slight typo or erred in some way than he actually experienced an event that is 16000 times less likely that witnessing 11 yos in a row at craps.
    I can barely believe that MDawg even CLAIMED that he won 60 hands in a row. At least not intentionally.
  • link to original post

    Ah. Humblest apologies. I had it in my head that 11 yos in a row was the record for most unlikely event ever claimed here. Actually 18 yos in a row is the record breaker. and this 60 wins in a row of MDawgs, would be a far far more likely event. Walk in the park for anyone pressing into the streak.

    So I withdraw my nomination for 'Claim of the decade'.
    Last edited by: OnceDear on Sep 26, 2021
    Beware. The earth is NOT flat. Hit and run is not a winning strategy: Pressing into trends IS not a winning strategy: Progressives are not a winning strategy: Don't Buy It! .Don't even take it for free.
    OnceDear
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    September 25th, 2021 at 2:38:18 PM permalink
    Quote: FastEddie

    I DO NOT believe MDawg will retract his statement !

  • link to original post

    I DO believe that someone in this thread will get suspended for implying some sort of insult.

    60 Wins in a row at Blackjack. Hmmmmm. OKaaaayyyy.
    Last edited by: OnceDear on Sep 26, 2021
    Beware. The earth is NOT flat. Hit and run is not a winning strategy: Pressing into trends IS not a winning strategy: Progressives are not a winning strategy: Don't Buy It! .Don't even take it for free.
    MDawg
    MDawg
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    September 25th, 2021 at 2:38:24 PM permalink
    I've posted about this many times before. It was the night the casino was trying everything to break up my streak, got to where they changed decks constantly, changed dealers, eventually they would shuffle after each hand. Nothing worked, I just kept winning. I then lost two hands, and left. Sadly I wasn't even betting that much so I ended up winning just under 70K. That happens sometimes. You are having such a good time winning you forget to bet.

    I wasn't a known player at that time yet, which is why they were so frantic. For years the pit boss and others at that casino kept joking about how I had that particular pit boss that night in a muddle.
    I tell you itís wonderful to be here, man. I donít give a damn who wins or loses. Itís just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
    FastEddie
    FastEddie
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    September 25th, 2021 at 2:39:23 PM permalink
    Which begs the question ď Once Dear, Do you believe MDawg won 60 plus hands in a row ? ? ? No answer is an answer.

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