Coronavirus math

Quote: billryan

Every person who gets infected extends the pandemic a few weeks. These 30,000 new infections will interact with others, especially if they don't get sick themselves, and those newly infected will each infect a few more. In a few weeks we have 100,000 people walking around infected, many of whom will be insisting on their right to infect others.

But another big problem is MANY Americans simply became tired of whatever "lockdown" their state/local government required. And harshly enforcing a strict lockdown with big fines for non-compliance would have the country in even a bigger uproar.

I'm watching New Zealand rugby on my DVR now with thousands of fans. They can do this because they had a STRICT lockdown and literally quashed the virus.

There is ZERO community spread in NZ currently. Their approach was stem and swift, but it did work. And only 22 out of ~5M died from Covid-19. In this case, they almost certainly had more flu deaths. They estimate 400-500 flu deaths a year there.

https://www.noted.co.nz/health/health-health/influenza-nz-evolving-threat

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2020/06/29/theater/when-broadway-reopening-coronavirus.amp.html

Broadway now shut down till January with no date set even then.

I doubt NY casinos (aside from Indian casinos) will open before January either.

They won't be able to explain opening those large gatherings when Broadway is shuttered.

Quote: darkoz

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2020/06/29/theater/when-broadway-reopening-coronavirus.amp.html

Broadway now shut down till January with no date set even then.

I doubt NY casinos (aside from Indian casinos) will open before January either.

They won't be able to explain opening those large gatherings when Broadway is shuttered.

Real question in NY is whether schools open in the fall. Cuomo said he wants to but that anything can happen over next two months, so he hasn’t committed.

Quote: darkoz

Lol, NY is open.

We got our Coronavirus cases down to almost nothing.

Florida and Texas are going back to lockdown. It will hit Vegas too.

Pretty soon you will have to travel to NY for your gambling

Oh wait, we instituted a 14 day quarantine to keep all the sick people out. Too bad;

Schools open? Nope
Gambling in NY? Next year maybe?
Picking up my car at MSY, be in Biloxi in under two hours. Where you going today?

Quote: DeMango

Schools open? Nope
Gambling in NY? Next year maybe?
Picking up my car at MSY, be in Biloxi in under two hours. Where you going today?

Physically I am at the dentist having elective surgery done (tooth implant). Everyone here wearing masks in the office till we are seen.

If you mean where I am going for income I have made $16,000 this week on the stock market from home

interesting report from 60 minutes (linked) which interviews several expert saying that because of the rush to get them, many of the antibody tests were of poor quality and were flawed


then there is this from the CDC (linked) which impacts upon the concept of herd immunity:


"A positive test result shows you might have antibodies from an infection with the virus that causes COVID-19. However, there is a chance a positive result means that you have antibodies from an infection with a virus from the same family of viruses (called coronaviruses), such as the one that causes the common cold.
Having antibodies to the virus that causes COVID-19 𝐦𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭 provide protection from getting infected with the virus again. If it does, 𝐰𝐞 𝐝𝐨 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐤𝐧𝐨𝐰 how much protection the antibodies might provide or how long this protection might last."


https://www.cbsnews.com/news/coronavirus-antibody-testing-inaccurate-data-60-minutes-2020-06-28/

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/testing/serology-overview.html

I'm getting early reports that pandemic pigs fly.

Quote: rxwine

Opening bars is the least sensible. Closed area, drunk people -- what could go wrong?

At the beginning of the evening a sensible group of people will be going out with a stay safe plan, including masks and social distancing. By the end of the night its no masks, sharing drinks, passing the pot and group hugs all around .

Quote: billryan

April of which year?

LOL!

Quote: DeMango

Schools open? Nope
Gambling in NY? Next year maybe?
Picking up my car at MSY, be in Biloxi in under two hours. Where you going today?

Hope you wore a mask. Mississippi had 669 new cases yesterday, while here in the cesspool (NYC) with almost 3x the population of Mississippi, we had 240.