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joedol
joedol
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June 17th, 2020 at 9:07:28 AM permalink
Any update on the Wixiplay cheating sandal? I take it all sites with the same software should be suspect?
Thanks for all you do.
Wizard
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June 17th, 2020 at 1:22:41 PM permalink
Thanks. Keep those questions coming. Live stream tomorrow.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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June 18th, 2020 at 4:12:20 AM permalink
Virginia will soon have casinos* and it's a state many people thought would never have them. What states do you think will continue to 'hold out' for at least a few decades, or will there be any?

*fyi subject to approval by local referendum in Nov. elections in 5 communities only
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
Gialmere
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June 19th, 2020 at 1:27:00 PM permalink
Episode #31
Stream Date: 06-18-2020
Length: 01:03:26
Topic: Ask Me Anything

Subjects
Meet Pickle
The Wizard of Odds blackjack calculator
Specific Wizard questions
Vegas Aces Jeopardy!
Pai Gow Tiles: Tracking tiles
The Wizard's biggest craps win
US states holding out against gambling
Online casino cheating
Mountain climbing in Colorado
Online vs brick and mortar casinos
Slots: Advantage plays
Non cash table game chip purchasing
Banning casino chips
Favorite Star Trek actor
Blackjack: Using the Martingale
Cheating at online backgammon
Craps: Dice influence
Will Vegas have a second lock down?
Vegas magic acts
Cryptographic dice cheating
Heavy Metal bands
Texas Hold'em poker
Stadium casino games
Casino custom playing cards
The Vegas monorail
Casino dress codes
The Silverton casino
Video Poker: Returns over 100%
Cab, Uber or Lyft?
Baccarat: Advantage plays

Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
Wizard
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Wizard
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June 22nd, 2020 at 7:36:22 AM permalink
I know it's short notice, but we're having this week's live stream early, tomorrow, Tuesday, at 3 PM PST. Just another Ask Me Anything. I also welcome questions here.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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June 22nd, 2020 at 9:04:10 AM permalink
Had you ever heard of Juneteenth? do you think it will become a de facto holiday , official holiday, or forgotten next year and after [except Texas and maybe Oklahoma]?
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
TinMan
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June 22nd, 2020 at 9:18:57 AM permalink
You’ve remarked that it’s really hard to come up with a successful new table game.

Are there any games you’ve seen that you thought would be huge hits but they failed?
If anyone gives you 10,000 to 1 on anything, you take it. If John Mellencamp ever wins an Oscar, I am going to be a very rich dude.
Wizard
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June 22nd, 2020 at 12:51:48 PM permalink
I know it's short notice, but I'm going to be on Heather's Jeopardy game in 5 minutes: https://www.youtube.com/c/VegasAces/live
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Gialmere
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June 23rd, 2020 at 7:09:34 AM permalink
In your most recent CE video you examine a poker game utilizing a deck with the 2s, 3s, 4s and 5s removed. What are your thoughts on using such a deck? Do you find it interesting? Gimmicky? Confusing to players?

What are your and Heather's favorite types of strange phenomena (such as ghosts, ESP, space aliens, bigfoot etc)? Note: You need not actually believe in the phenomena.
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
Gialmere
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June 27th, 2020 at 1:34:33 PM permalink
Episode #32
Stream Date: 06-23-2020
Length: 01:00:58
Topic: Ask Me Anything

Subjects
Removing your players card before a big win
Will Vegas shut down again?
A math puzzle
The Wizard of Vegas website
A brief history of the Wizard's gambling
Will cryptocurrency be accepted in Vegas?
Does the Wizard play the stock market?
House Edge vs Element of Risk
Will Vegas buffets survive?
Juneteenth
Blackjack: Graphing true count vs house edge
Good table games that weren't successful
Baccarat: Advantage plays
Masks in the casino
Movie: Cube
Movie: Mean Girls
Beard maintenance
Games using a depleted deck
Strange phenomena
Book recommendations
Ultimate Texas Hold'em: Face up cards
Craps: Are there magnets under the table?
Slots: Why are buffalo machines so popular?
Name that tune
White boards on The Big Bang Theory
The gambler's fallacy
Giving advice at the table
A Wizard card counting story

Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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July 1st, 2020 at 4:21:42 PM permalink
If there are going to be casinos in Virginia, it will be in up to 5 particular places only for now that have to be OK'd by local referendum. The state wants the tax money but these 5 places are generally depressed economically for various reasons compared to the rest of the state.

The advocates will say the casinos will help the localities economically by providing jobs etc.

Those against it will say gambling addiction and other problems will make things worse instead of better.

How do you come down on all this?
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
Wizard
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July 2nd, 2020 at 9:23:47 AM permalink
Keep your questions coming. Next live stream scheduled for July 9.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
racquet
racquet
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July 2nd, 2020 at 2:40:43 PM permalink
I'd ask a more general question: Do you think that casinos, on balance and over time, help or hurt depressed areas? See: Atlantic City, Biloxi, Native American tribal areas.
smoothgrh
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July 3rd, 2020 at 11:36:39 AM permalink
Why do you occasionally wear Oregon Ducks shirts?

I went to Oregon (when only our track and field teams were good)!

Go Ducks!
Gialmere
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July 8th, 2020 at 7:55:02 AM permalink
You say you don't have any good casino stories, but would you please tell us about the time you were gambling on a cruise ship and got googled by a suspicious casino manager? It's an amusing tale.

Any advice for players in a cruise ship casino?
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
Wizard
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July 8th, 2020 at 8:24:26 AM permalink
Keep those questions coming. Live stream scheduled for tomorrow at 3:00 PM, PST.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Joeman
Joeman
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July 8th, 2020 at 8:36:23 AM permalink
Not a gambling question, but a game show one...

Wheel of Fortune added the "$1 Million wedge" to the wheel in 2008. My question is, does having this wedge on the wheel benefit the contestants in terms of EV?

This was actually the subject of my first post here back in 2014. I was thinking it would be a good Ask The Wizard question for the WoO site, but at the time, the WoO directed me to ask it in the WoV forum.

I initially got some replies, but didn't get any definitive answers. I ended up taking a shot at answering my own question on the last post in that thread, and came to the conclusion that the addition of the $1 Million wedge was decidedly -EV for the contestants. However, looking back at my work, I can see one error, as well as several WAG assumptions.

If my conclusion is indeed correct, I think that's pretty crummy of Wheel to add a feature that hurts the contestants' earning potential, yet tout it as something desirable. That seems like the MO of shady casinos, not legit game shows.
"Dealer has 'rock'... Pay 'paper!'"
Wizard
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July 9th, 2020 at 11:12:08 AM permalink
Quote: Joeman

Not a gambling question, but a game show one...



Let's take this topic over to the original thread.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Gialmere
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July 13th, 2020 at 5:09:09 PM permalink
Episode #33
Stream Date: 07-09-2020
Length: 01:05:52
Topic: Ask Me Anything

Subjects
Mountain climbing
Movie: Touching the Void
Will Vegas casinos close again?
Do casinos help depressed areas?
Hiring the Wizard for analysis
College t-shirts
Movie trivia question
Analyzing games with no perfect strategy
The Wizard gambles on a cruise ship
Advantage slots
Video Poker: Comparing pay tables
Getting kids excited about math
Advantage players hiring the Wizard
Sports Betting: Becoming a pro
The house edge at a given true count
Craps: Odds bets
Taxes on gambling
Online gambling and addiction
Craps: Pass or don't pass?
Non gambling EV situations
Craps: Dice setting
Is the Wizard a party animal?
The Wizard now looks like a wizard
Side bets
What do you put on a hotdog?
Calculating a house edge
Monopoly strategy
UNLV or CSN?

Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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July 15th, 2020 at 7:47:21 AM permalink
I noticed looking at your WoO site, "oscar's grind" compared to the Labouchere system, in Bacc the Grind has a 99.46% chance of working with 250 units, while the Labo system has a 99.45% chance with 2500 units, a pretty big difference.

So, two questions,

* Upon reflection I guess it is not correct to think of the 99.45 or 99.46% to be the same thing as "return" , but can you go into that, as in: why not? If n is the number of trials, does the chance of a successful session and 'return' tend to converge as n increases? [edited]

* do you ever consider one system better than another? It kind of seems like you can say that here with these two.
Last edited by: odiousgambit on Jul 15, 2020
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
Gialmere
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July 15th, 2020 at 9:09:28 AM permalink
My daughter has expressed an interest in getting married in Vegas. As locals, do you or Heather have any insider advice on the do's and don'ts of throwing a Las Vegas Wedding?
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
Wizard
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July 16th, 2020 at 9:59:22 AM permalink
Reminder of the live stream today at 3:00. I will take questions for another couple hours or so.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Gialmere
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Zuga
July 18th, 2020 at 12:21:40 PM permalink
Episode #34
Stream Date: 07-16-2020
Length: 01:01:24
Topic: Ask Me Anything

Subjects
The Mensa IQ test
Paying off your markers: Part 1
Table game comps
Sports betting: Managing the juice
Baccarat: Is it beatable?
Getting married in Vegas
Video poker as retiree entertainment
How to build your own side bet
Blackjack: Finding local casino rules
Blackjack: Machine shuffle frequency
Statistical manipulation
Renaming sports teams
Which slots would the Wizard play?
Betting systems: The house edge
The Wizard websites
Paying off your markers: Part 2
Honeymoon destinations
Camaro or Corvette?
How the Wizard entertains guests
Vegas shows
Reallocating unpaid progressives
Pai Gow Tiles
Caribbean Stud Poker: Is it dying?
Are there successful dice controllers?
Will casinos improve their payouts?

Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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July 18th, 2020 at 6:45:20 PM permalink
thanks for including my question in your "ask the Wizard" at WoO
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
Gialmere
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July 22nd, 2020 at 7:48:24 AM permalink
In addition to Vegas, you've studied most of the tribal casinos in Southern California. Which ones do you recommend for recreational players?

How do think tribal casinos compare to Vegas casinos? Better, worse or about the same?
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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July 23rd, 2020 at 3:32:44 AM permalink
OK I admit that for me at least, to some degree, this show is benefiting from what you might call virus-induced boredom, all this staying at home, that is. But last show was pretty good.
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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July 23rd, 2020 at 3:34:47 AM permalink
You might see a darkside Craps player taking down his darkside line bet when the bet travels to the 6 or 8. For a small consideration, he might allow you to take over the bet for yourself instead of removing it.  You're making a Mark out of him in a way, so are you being unethical?
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
smoothgrh
smoothgrh
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July 23rd, 2020 at 12:58:17 PM permalink
If you could choose only one restaurant in Las Vegas to bring out-of-town guests to eat at (and they’re not picky about the kind of food, dietary restrictions, classiness, etc) which one would it be?
Gialmere
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July 23rd, 2020 at 4:21:48 PM permalink
Good show with some good questions this week.

P.S What happened to name that tune?

P.P.S. I vote for the D'Alembert system next.
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
miplet
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July 23rd, 2020 at 4:37:14 PM permalink
The Ultimate Texas Hold’em question about needing to beat the dealer to get paid is described at https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/questions-and-answers/math/32812-ultimate-texas-holdem-trips/ and other places on the forum.
“Man Babes” #AxelFabulous
Gialmere
Gialmere
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July 25th, 2020 at 12:12:03 PM permalink
Episode #35
Stream Date: 07-23-2020
Length: 01:05:30
Topic: Ask Me Anything

Subjects
Mensa IQ test results
Tribal casinos in Southern California
A house edge dilemma
UNLV dorm room tips
Blackjack: Can you make good money?
The Wizard's college days
Craps: Trading dark side wagers
Blackjack: Counting cards online
Spanish 21: Card counting
Video Poker: The double up option
Money management strategies
Ultimate Texas Hold'em: Trips bet
Slots: Multi-denomination machines
Keno: Why do people like it?
Dice influence skepticism
Producing Wizard videos
Exploiting online loss rebates
Cruise ship casinos
Sports betting: The juice
Blackjack: Shuffle tracking
Mandalay Bay: Best games to play
Poker or blackjack?
Is bubble craps rigged?
How to contact the Wizard
Crapless Craps: Best bets?
Changing one thing about casinos
Reputable youtube gambling channels
Have fun and make good bets

Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
Gialmere
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July 29th, 2020 at 8:23:53 AM permalink
Both you and Heather have discussed the various big Vegas shows you have seen. My wife and I, however, prefer lounge lizard acts, the cheesier the better. Do either of you recommend a classic Vegas lounge act to catch? Is there an old act you have fond memories of?
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
Gialmere
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July 29th, 2020 at 7:39:49 PM permalink
Edit. Wrong thread.
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
Wizard
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Wizard
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July 30th, 2020 at 3:21:49 AM permalink
Live stream reminder today. Keep your questions coming.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Gialmere
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smoothgrh
August 1st, 2020 at 5:52:55 PM permalink
Episode #36
Stream Date: 07-30-2020
Length: 01:10:31
Topic: Ask Me Anything

Subjects
Rant: Third party hotel booking
The Wizard's poker play
Dealer pit signals
Video Poker: Chasing the royal
What part of gambling is fun for the Wizard?
UTH: The Florida Trips bet
What are the Wizard's favorite table games?
Fun with flags
Video Poker: Machine card shuffling
Cryptocurrency in casinos
The snowplow math puzzle
Appreciating a rainy day
Sports Betting: Adjusting bets for COVID
Which Vegas casinos are open?
Blackjack: Card count vs card aware
Name that tune
The melodica
The Slot Lady
Video Keno: Payout frequency
Future Wizard collaborations
Slots: Skill based games
Privacy in a non-cash society
Bubble Craps: The vig on buy bets
Baccarat: Nepal variant
UTH: Where to play online
Roulette: Is the game rigged?
Penny stocks
Hiring the Wizard as an instructor
Roulette: Testing the wheel for fairness
What happened to Red Dog?

Last edited by: Gialmere on Aug 1, 2020
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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August 5th, 2020 at 10:48:48 AM permalink
Questions for Heather:

The original Star Trek is long gone, were you a fan of any of the offshoots?

What science fiction on TV do you watch now, if anything?
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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August 5th, 2020 at 10:49:07 AM permalink
Question: Do you think APs sometimes ignore the fact that a +EV situation can become -EV once the tax implications kick in? Do many or most APs practice tax evasion as a result?
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
DRich
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August 5th, 2020 at 12:03:10 PM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit

Question: Do you think APs sometimes ignore the fact that a +EV situation can become -EV once the tax implications kick in? Do many or most APs practice tax evasion as a result?



I would guess over 99% of all gamblers are avoiding claiming all of their wins on taxes.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
Gialmere
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August 6th, 2020 at 7:39:49 AM permalink
Both you and Heather have discussed the various big Vegas shows you have seen. My wife and I, however, prefer lounge lizard acts, the cheesier the better. Do either of you recommend a classic Vegas lounge act to catch? Is there an old act you have fond memories of?

(Recycled from last week.)
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
Joeman
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smoothgrh
August 6th, 2020 at 8:47:07 AM permalink
Can you comment on current IRS laws regarding reporting gambling winnings for the recreational gambler? They seem very unfair if you take the standard deduction. Has there been any push to change them to be more fair?

Quote: odiousgambit

Question: Do you think APs sometimes ignore the fact that a +EV situation can become -EV once the tax implications kick in? Do many or most APs practice tax evasion as a result?

I would think that this would only apply to part-time AP's. Don't full-time AP's report their profit (wins minus losses and expenses) as self-employment income?
"Dealer has 'rock'... Pay 'paper!'"
Gialmere
Gialmere
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August 7th, 2020 at 4:52:01 PM permalink
Episode #37
Stream Date: 08-06-2020
Length: 01:00:48
Topic: Ask Me Anything

Subjects
Precious metals and the US dollar
Is advantage play worth the effort?
An advantage play Wizard story
Big win and big loss emotions
Gambling misconceptions
Vegas lounge acts
Baccarat: Combined probability
Flag Trivia Challenge
Advantage play and taxes
Blackjack: Mixed color probability
A life or death wager
Are casinos changing odds during COVID?
Recommended podcasts
Mandatory side bets
Star Trek offshoots
Name That Tune
Science fiction
U2, Michael Jackson or Prince?
Show: M J Live
Star Trek: The Experience
The Wizard's favorite table games
Sports betting: Home field advantage
Slots: Changing payouts remotely
Unconventional dice
Contacting the Wizard

Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
Gialmere
Gialmere
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August 13th, 2020 at 6:53:44 AM permalink
Assuming there's a season, are you seeing any bargains for the Superbowl odds this year?
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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August 13th, 2020 at 8:08:56 AM permalink
Now that casinos are confirming that they can do things like triple zero roulette, and gamblers will still play, why do they offer blackjack games that can be beaten in the first place?
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
Gialmere
Gialmere
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August 14th, 2020 at 5:25:02 PM permalink
Episode #38
Stream Date: 08-13-2020
Length: 01:01:50
Topic: Ask Me Anything

Subjects
The newest member of Mensa
North Dakota
Blackjack: Asking for a reshuffle
Positional probability
James Grosjean books
Baccarat: Phil Ivey edge sorting
Fun with Flags Trivia Challenge
FwF Rant: Snooty Commonwealths
Grimms' Fairy Tales
FwF Trivia Challenge (continued)
Math: Order of operations
FwF Trivia Challenge (continued)
Early Superbowl futures bets
Blackjack: Why do casinos still offer it?
Video Poker: House edges
Slots: Single vs multi-line
Table game fusions
Video Poker: Always going for the royal
Mensa social events
Cashing chips to avoid paperwork
California
Going out during COVID


Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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August 18th, 2020 at 9:23:26 AM permalink
Question for Heather,

Whoa! throwing some hate Boo Boo Bear's way? Must be a story there ... he looks like a mean boss you had once maybe?



sorry, due for some teasing on this for sure though
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
odiousgambit
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August 18th, 2020 at 9:24:54 AM permalink
assuming you are eating more at home now, are you doing some of the cooking now?
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
smoothgrh
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August 18th, 2020 at 11:40:51 AM permalink
If we’re talking about food, I’ll resubmit my question that didn’t get answered:

If you had to choose one restaurant in Las Vegas to bring out-of-town guests (and they’re not picky about the kind of food, dietary restrictions, classiness, etc) which one would it be?
Gialmere
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August 19th, 2020 at 7:52:33 AM permalink
Which now defunct Vegas attractions or venues do you wish you had checked out while you still had the chance?

You've probably made the drive between Vegas and LA more than 100 times. What is the fastest speed you've ever hit while racing across the big empty?
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
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August 19th, 2020 at 12:02:59 PM permalink
I am afraid something came up and I can't do the live stream tomorrow. The next one is scheduled for next Thursday at the usual time.

My apologies for the late notice.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
joedol
joedol
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August 24th, 2020 at 11:16:06 AM permalink
When playing table games, will I be rated the same playing by myself as I would playing with a full table?
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