Quote: GialmereI think Heather and the Wizard have good chemistry together. Both shows were fun to watch.
Sadly, I'll be working so will have to settle with watching later at night. If, however, you'll accept early questions from site users in this situation...
1) The structure of the tournament was two games making up a match, with the total from the first game added to the total from the second to determine the match winner. Given this structure, should a player always wager everything in the first game's final Jeopardy!?
2) In match #4, the leader going into the second game's final Jeopardy wagered zero, opening himself up to be overtaken by the second place player. Was this his best strategy for final Jeopardy!? Assume that if the leader's self-perceived knowledge of the final category (Shakespeare Dramas) was 100, his perception of the second place player's knowledge was 98. Edit I was mistaken. The leader going into the second final could not be caught if he nearly doubled up. The second place player made the right move by not risking anything, since right or wrong, his fate depended on the first place player getting his response correct. The third place player was not a factor.
Is there a jackpot size "tipping point" in multi-state lotteries where it is more likely that the big prize will be split than there will be a single winner? If so, what is that amount?
Regarding the Super Bowl
If I want to bet a total of $100,000 on a single Super Bowl prop (e.g., No Safety), is it better to try to get all $100k down in a single wager at one book, or should I break it up into smaller wagers spread over time, hoping that the payouts change in my favor?
Quote: AyecarumbaRegarding the Lottery
Is there a jackpot size "tipping point" in multi-state lotteries where it is more likely that the big prize will be split than there will be a single winner? If so, what is that amount?
Good question. Here are the jackpot points where there is a 50/50 chance of at least one winner:
Powerball: $704 million
Mega Millions: $867 million
To answer your question, here are the jackpot points where multiple winners are more likely than one:
Powerball: $975 million
Mega Millions: $1.65 billion.
Please keep in mind there isn't much data for jackpots this big, so take these estimates with a grain of salt.
Adam Hartung, a writer on the Forbes magazine site, stated that
Quote: Why Cheating in Sports is Prevalent---And We Can't Stop It...Being at the top of any sport is worth 10 to 100 times as much as being second...
If you knew that taking a series of injections would improve your performance so that, with training, you could be the best in the world...
1) What sport would you "cheat" at?
2) What if the trade off was shortening your life... somewhere between 6 months and 2 years. How much would the reward need to be to make it worth it to you?
Quote: AyecarumbaRegarding Cheating in Sports
Adam Hartung, a writer on the Forbes magazine site, stated that
If you knew that taking a series of injections would improve your performance so that, with training, you could be the best in the world...
1) What sport would you "cheat" at?
2) What if the trade off was shortening your life... somewhere between 6 months and 2 years. How much would the reward need to be to make it worth it to you?
I think I would choose boxing. I wouldn't care if it took 20 years off my life.
I assume you eat meat now, what with going to El Gordo and all that
Quote: odiousgambitIf something like the New Green Deal gets employed in our country and they advocate we all quit eating meat to save the planet, will you quit eating meat?
I assume you eat meat now, what with going to El Gordo and all that
Good question. I'll save it for the air, except to compliment you on your good memory. I love Tacos el Gordo. However, I draw the line at eating the brain tacos.
Quote: BozLegal books offering opportunities that you WILL get paid on when you win. And they are +EV, just looking for the best ways to maximize the play.
Would you please just tell me one of these alleged +EV plays. Feel free to PM me if you don't want everyone to know.
Quote: WizardLive Stream reminder in two days (Thursday at 3:00 PST). As usual, I'm accepting questions here.
-- Any casinos with good Chinese New Year chips this year?
-- It's a Leap Year. If you were born on February 29, would you pick February 28 or March 1 as your birthday?
-- Big Game touts?... How's "No Safety" looking with this matchup?
-- How do you remember Kobe Bryant? A father of four girls, and a big proponent for opportunities for women in sports, particularly his support for the WNBA league. Or an accused rapist who was arrested in 2003, but didn't go to trial because the criminal charges were dropped due to the alleged victim's unwillingness to testify (silence encouraged perhaps by an undisclosed settlement)?
-- Is there a jackpot size/odds combination where you would switch from a "No winner" wager on a multi-state lottery, to "winner"?
Quote: WizardWhat would I do without you, Aye?
hehe... 60 minutes on license plates...
How about parking and resort fees? In other words, will the rising costs for the privilege of gambling in Vegas eventually make it financially pointless for most future players to gamble in Vegas?
---------------------------------
What is the highest house edge you'll tolerate in a game when playing for non job related reasons?
Thanks for taking my questions Wizard and Heather! I'm "choked" up. hehe... (seriously though, that was a little unnerving. I'm glad you're okay.)
As usual, I happily accept questions here too.
Also, if anyone would like to volunteer, it would be great to get a list of about the top 10-15 topics discussed, for purposes of the detailed video description. Thank you.
Quote: GialmereWizard, on one hand you are a respected mathematician and known scientific skeptic; on the other hand you love attending Burning Man which is a festival brimming with New Age mysticism and pseudoscience such as crystal healing, astrology and pyramid power. How do you reconcile this yin and yang in your personality?
I would not describe Burning Man in that way. I saw quite a few people doing tarot card and palm readings, but I file that under entertainment value. Maybe I didn't go looking for that, but new age mysticism is not the purpose of Burning Man.
Stream Date: 05-09-2019
Length: 47:44
Topic: Ask Me Anything
Subjects
WOO website
Winchester Mystery House
How did Wizard and Heather meet?
Best one-time-only casino bet
Wizard's mountain climbing plans
Skydiving
South Point and Silverton casinos
Game of Thrones TV show
Casino table game placement
Games the Wizard hasn't played/Slot design
Splitting 9s in blackjack/Taking heat for proper play
Is craps beatable?/Dice setting/Hedging bets
Money management
Angela Wyman
Sports buyback hedging
Was the Wizard ever a dealer?
Good craps bets
Baccarat is boring
Smart vs fun betting
Pro bj card counter or pro poker player?
Quote: GialmereEpisode #1
Stream Date: 05-09-2019
Length: 47:44
Topic: Ask Me Anything
Subjects
WOO website
Winchester Mystery House
How did Wizard and Heather meet?
Best one-time-only casino bet
Wizard's mountain climbing plans
Skydiving
South Point and Silverton casinos
Game of Thrones TV show
Casino table game placement
Games the Wizard hasn't played/Slot design
Splitting 9s in blackjack/Taking heat for proper play
Is craps beatable?/Dice setting/Hedging bets
Money management
Angela Wyman
Sports buyback hedging
Was the Wizard ever a dealer?
Good craps bets
Baccarat is boring
Smart vs fun betting
Pro bj card counter or pro poker player?
Here's that video:
Stream Date: 05-23-2019
Length: 1:01:02
Topic: Burning Man
Subjects
Happy Birthday Wizard!
Burning Man overview
Principles of Burning Man
Burning Man art
Getting tickets to Burning Man
Ticket frustration
EDC (Electric Daisy Carnival)
Musical tastes
What is Burning Man?
Cost of attending/RV rental
Gambling at Burning Man
Nudity and the Orgy Dome
Playa crime and theft
Organizing Burning Man
Proper footwear and care
On an earlier stream you expressed interest in Andrew Yang's presidential run. Any closing thoughts now that he has dropped out of the race?
Should the Superbowl be moved to Saturday?
If you could replace a holiday, which would go, and what new one would you put on the calendar?
Which new casino do you think you’ll like more, the Circa downtown or the Resorts World property on the Strip?
Quote: GialmereEpisode #2
Thanks! I just copied and pasted your list to the video description.
Quote: GialmereOn an earlier stream you expressed interest in Andrew Yang's presidential run. Any closing thoughts now that he has dropped out of the race?
Dang, I didn't know he dropped out.
Quote: GialmereDo you think Americans should be allowed to legally bet on US presidential elections or would that invite too much corruption?
Good one. Keep those questions coming.
Reminder, Live Stream at 3:00 PST today.
Stream Date: 05-30-2019
Length: 1:02:18
Topic: Things To Do In Las Vegas Besides Gambling
Subjects
The actuarial profession
Vegas hiking and climbing
Mountain and road biking
Wetlands Park
Sunrise, Frenchman and Lone Mountains
Kayaking on Lake Mead
Hot springs
Best craps casinos
Horse riding
Games the Wizard enjoys
Snow White and the Mandela effect
Slot machines
Game shows
Deal Or No Deal math
Fun off Strip casinos
Ziplining
Characters on the Strip
Naming the decades
What is the Wizard up to now?
Stream Date: 06-06-2019
Length: 56:32
Topic: Jeopardy James was Right
Subjects
Tournament strategy overview
Daily Doubles
Jennings vs Holzhauer style of play
The Jeopardy clicker
Analysis of Holzhauer's last game
Final Jeopardy analysis
Anger, conspiracy theories and aftermath
Does the Wizard know Jeopardy James?
Would the Wizard be on a game show?
Cheating on The Price Is Right
Deal Or No Deal/American Ninja Warrior/Survivor/Fear Factor
Wizard websites
Mount Everest
Sports betting
Brain farts
Must-hit-by slots
Dice
[Note: This episode is currently not uploaded at WOO]
Stream Date: 06-13-2019
Length: 55:48
Topic: Ask Me Anything
Subjects
Parking ticket rant
Free parking on the Strip
Movie "Inside The Edge"
Trespassing advantage players
Future Wizard videos
Vertigo activities
Craps place, lay and buy bets
Nelson's Landing cliff jumping
Sunscreens
Underwater statues
Sauna Cave
Lava tube spelunking
Bats
Variable state slot machines
Odds bets during the come out roll
Loss rebates
[Note: This video is not uploaded at WOO]
Stream Date: 06-27-2019
Length: 1:13:56
Topic: Ask Me Anything
Subjects
Wizard's DNA test results
TV series finale shows
A Clockwork Orange book vs film
Bitcoin and the US Dollar
Yermo Sculpture Garden
Tiananmen Square protest
Tourism
Movie: Inside The Edge
Unrealistic Vegas films
Wizard's IMDb page
Gambling and Taxes
Video poker books
Accruing comps
Advantage play vs cheating
Simple video poker house edge calculation
Casino mergers
Growing up in Las Vegas
Nuclear waste in Nevada
Zombie Apocalypse
A genie's wish
Cutting off drunk players
[Note: This video is not uploaded at the WOO website]
Quote: GialmereEpisode #6
Stream Date: 06-27-2019
Length: 1:13:56
Topic: Ask Me Anything
Subjects
Wizard's DNA test results
TV series finale shows
A Clockwork Orange book vs film
Bitcoin and the US Dollar
It seemed as if the Wiz created a new portmanteau: flimsical, combining flimsy and whimsical in regard to Bitcoin.
But not unexpected, it’s already on the interwebs including Urban Dictionary. Except I don’t agree with the Web’s definitions.
Nice word!
Quote: smoothgrhIt seemed as if the Wiz created a new portmanteau: flimsical, combining flimsy and whimsical in regard to Bitcoin.
But not unexpected, it’s already on the interwebs including Urban Dictionary. Except I don’t agree with the Web’s definitions.
Nice word!
Thank you for the kind and very unexpected compliment.
Speaking of giving thanks, I would like to give a big one to Gialmere for the topic lists. I just added the lists to the last four videos you mentioned and put the missing ones on WoO.
Stream Date: 07-18-2019
Length: 58:27
Topic: Ask Me Anything
Subjects
Rude players rant
Should you point out poor strategy?
The Book says...
The Wizard in Texas
Massive starling/grackle flock
Games where other players affect you
Gambling for a living
Adjusting video poker strategy
What is the best sportsbook?
Encore Boston blackjack lawsuit
The chicken nugget challenge
The Wizard of Odds trademark
Ultimate Texas Hold'em
Games too good to be true
Should you play craps proposition bets?
Uno (card game)
Board game cheating confession
Craps dice setting
Wizard's favorite casino and board games.
Craps table dice randomizers
Mississippi Stud
Good gambling movies and documentaries
The preacher who married Mr and Mrs Wizard
Online poker
Burning Man photo book
Sensible shoes and sitting vs standing for dealers
Craps popularity
The Unofficial Pet Cemetery of Boulder City
Craps: Can the odds bet ever give you an advantage?
Progressive slots breakeven point
Earthquakes (and how they effect a craps shoot)
[Note: This episode already has a handful of the topics on its WOO page. This list is far more (and perhaps far too) comprehensive.]
Stream Date: 08-15-2019
Length: 01:04:46
Topic: Ask Me Anything
Subjects
Rock Paper Scissors Lizard Spock
Craps: The vig when buying the 4 or 10
Did Phil Ivey cheat at baccarat?
Encore Boston blackjack lawsuit
Hiring the Wizard for gambling math help
Marijuana in Vegas
Should Vegas have a red light district?
Pot smoking dealers
Current Blackjack News (newsletter)
Worst games/bets in a casino
South Point Casino
Burning Man 2019
2020 election issues and candidates
Primaries vs caucuses
Total eclipse (of the heart)
Betting on elections
Allowing pro sports teams in Vegas
The ethics of killing zombies
What do sports bets like -125 or +150 mean?
The Wizard's 2019 Cutting Edge plans
Earthquake, fire and nuclear war drills
Stream Date: 08-29-2019
Length: 01:00:04
Topic: Ask Me Anything
Subjects
Airline fees rant
Bummed about missing Burning Man
Real casinos vs online casinos
Taxes on table game payouts
How would the Wizard run Burning Man?
Sparkle ponies
Tipping based on attractiveness
Printing a table game layout
Setting the betting line on political elections
Wizard's favorite Reno casinos
Craps: Taking down a put bet
Continuous shuffle machine vs shoe
Craps: Field numbers
The current state of Keno
Craps: What is a put bet?
Strategy cards at the blackjack table
Promoting your own table game
Comment cards and diplomacy at Cutting Edge
LV Raiders' effect on the local economy
Computer coding for dice games
Blackjack tournament strategy
Side bets are sucker bets
Pai Gow tiles hand setting
Blackjack card counting basics and exercise
Making a living playing table games
Five Card Charlie
Mister Rogers trivia and earworm songs
Stream Date: 09-12-2019
Length: 01:09:06
Topic: Ask Me Anything
Subjects
Lake Powell and Lake Las Vegas
Placing only side bets
Baby Shark, cinema tastes, and the Muppets
Money management
Gambling and dopamine
Pai Gow Poker
2024 solar eclipse preparation
Video Poker Wizard App
Games as a measure of intelligence
How and where to watch a solar eclipse
Dealer and player pet peeves
Is blackjack a dying advantage game?
What's the house edge for Face Up Pai Gow Poker?
Taking a car vs taking a bicycle
Tracking your wins and losses
Luck vs random variation
Heather and the Wizard discuss their upcoming books
Calculating a good video poker progressive amount
What's the Wizard's ideal place to live?
Cellphones in a sportsbook
The best way to ask the Wizard a question
Vaping pros and cons
Artificial intelligence and gaming
Triple 0 roulette
Naming a casino
Burning Man: Feeling the burn (and bike theft)
Stream Date: 10-03-2019
Length: 01:03:52
Topic: Ask Me Anything
Subjects
Good Wizard questions and interviews
Lake Powell trip report (part1)
Vegas water parks
Video Poker pay tables
Wizard's favorite card counting system
Poker books and improving your game
Blackjack and continuous shuffle machines
Wizard's Book: Gambling 102 second edition
Working at Disneyland
Craps: Free odds, pass vs don't pass, place bets
Giving advice to other players at the table
Good blackjack books
Gambling addiction
South Point and Rio casinos
Ziplining at the Rio
A pride dollar
Can some side bets be beaten?
Lake Powell history and trip report (part 2)
Bacteria danger in Lake Mead
Face Up Pai Gow Poker
Of all the games that you yourself have designed, which one is your favorite?
As a slot designer, do you think that the continued use of card symbols (10, J, Q, K, A) on the reels is lazy design that detracts from a game's theming, or do you consider them to be traditional symbols that give players a standard point of reference while the top symbols handle the theming?
When explaining the birthday paradox, do people born on February 29th screw up the math?
How do you think the universe will end? Big freeze? Big crunch? Big slurp? Other?
Reminder that this Thursday will be another Live Stream. As usual, if you can't make it, you're welcome to leave your questions here.
Episode #12
Stream Date: 10-24-2019
Length: 01:13:30
Topic: Halloween Special
Subjects
Father Michael and Lieutenant Ferris
The Fetish and Fantasy Halloween Ball
A reverend and a red shirt walk into a bar...
A Starburst candy story
Heather's Halloween tales
Thoughts on electronic craps games
Video game gambling
Confession: I advantage play food apps
Legalizing Marijuana
Feast of the Ascension vs Feast of the Assumption
Confession: I use the Hard Rock casino as free airport parking
The seven deadly sins (and Gilligan's Island)
Confession: I leave an empty bowl on my porch for Halloween
Confession: I empty the full bowl on the porch for Halloween
Scolding other parent's kids
Confession: I bet the Hard 8 and then parlay the wins
Gambling sins and bad casino etiquette
Confession: I trick-or-treated until I was 16 years old
Haunted houses and corn mazes
The Shining
2019 Global Gaming Expo
G2E: Star Trek photo op
G2E Jeopardy: The Wizard vs Jeopardy James
Wizard of Oz trivia
A disc golf hole-in-one
The sin of lust
Scary Halloween Movies
Stream Date: 11-14-2019
Length: 01:02:09
Topic: Ask Me Anything
Subjects
2019 Fetish and Fantasy Halloween Ball report
The physics of spanking
Jinx! Buy me a coke!
Childhood games
Special relativity vs general relativity
Praise for the Rampart casino sportsbook
Gift card rant
Wizard of Vegas website 10th Anniversary
Policing a web forum
Rude people in Vegas
New table games in Vegas
Will there be 0000 roulette?
Spanish 21 vs blackjack
An AP workshop in town
Favorite board games
Meeting forum members
Future casino implosion possibilities
Reporting site bugs to the Wizard
Pros and cons of professional gambling
Continuous shuffle machines in blackjack
Calculating the house edge in casino games
Is the Wizard God?