unJon
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January 26th, 2023 at 2:33:37 PM permalink
After a big winning week and then a basically break even week, I feel primed for a big losing week.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
EdCollins
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January 27th, 2023 at 7:16:40 AM permalink
When selecting any of the following six props...

First Drive FG Made? YES
Both Teams Score 25+ Points? YES
Neither Team Scores 25+ Points? YES
Will the Game go to Overtime? YES
Will There be A Successful 2PT Conversion? YES
Will there be a Safety? YES

...be sure to specify which GAME it is for, as each of these props are listed for both games.

However, for any of the other 26 props, if you copy and paste the prop into your message, you don't have to note the game, as the prop itself will identify it.
Mission146
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January 27th, 2023 at 7:25:32 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

When selecting any of the following six props...

First Drive FG Made? YES
Both Teams Score 25+ Points? YES
Neither Team Scores 25+ Points? YES
Will the Game go to Overtime? YES
Will There be A Successful 2PT Conversion? YES
Will there be a Safety? YES

...be sure to specify which GAME it is for, as each of these props are listed for both games.

However, for any of the other 26 props, if you copy and paste the prop into your message, you don't have to note the game, as the prop itself will identify it.
link to original post



Thank you very much for this post and great catch!

I have gone through the Lines and added the matchup as part of the Line for these selections. Generally speaking, I am loathe to open Picks prior to making my own,(when I am playing, but also, in general, because it's easier to open all the PM's at once in different tabs) but I must make an exception this time in order to get clarification (if it is lacking) if anyone made these sorts of picks.

Thus far, I have only received three sets of Picks. If anyone feels as though my seeing these Picks will compromise the game, then please let me know and I will simply drop out. It's not a matter for a vote; if any single person feels that way---just PM me and say so and you will remain anonymous. If nobody PM's me requesting I drop out within the next seven days, then I will consider any complaints about me seeing these three sets of picks moot.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
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January 27th, 2023 at 7:28:58 AM permalink
UPDATE:

I have looked at these three sets of Picks and only one of them included anything relevant to the Game Props pointed out by EdCollins. Fortunately, the letter of the selection was included, and because the letter is unshared for that particular prop, I know what game it belongs to.

Anyway, if even one person thinks I should drop out, simply PM me and say so. I can say that I have already forgotten what all of the Picks were except the applicable Game Prop and that's only because I had to check if those two props shared the same letter.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
unJon
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January 27th, 2023 at 8:16:17 AM permalink
Quote: Mission146

UPDATE:

I have looked at these three sets of Picks and only one of them included anything relevant to the Game Props pointed out by EdCollins. Fortunately, the letter of the selection was included, and because the letter is unshared for that particular prop, I know what game it belongs to.

Anyway, if even one person thinks I should drop out, simply PM me and say so. I can say that I have already forgotten what all of the Picks were except the applicable Game Prop and that's only because I had to check if those two props shared the same letter.
link to original post



Most Mission offer ever. You should NOT drop out.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
Joeman
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January 27th, 2023 at 8:45:31 AM permalink
Quote: unJon

Most Mission offer ever. You should NOT drop out.

Agreed!



Mission,

The only reason I think you should drop out is if all three of these happen:

1) You opened and looked at my picks.
2) You made all of the opposite selections for your picks
3) You win the contest because you faded my picks.

On second thought, making you drop out is too harsh a punishment for this. Maybe split 1st place prize money with me instead. ;)
"Dealer has 'rock'... Pay 'paper!'"
gordonm888
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January 27th, 2023 at 11:03:31 AM permalink
1. Mission, you come across to all of us as so incredibly honest that I am sure that no one harbors a thought that you are trying to take advantage of a special situation.

2. Surely, we must all be aware that the only reason that we have a contest is because you have contributed the prize money. (Yeah, some donations have helped, but by far most of the prize money has come from you.) This inoculates you against any suspicion of dirty play.

3. If you do win one of these contests we would all be delighted for you. But we would also shrug our shoulders and laugh our heads off that such an unlikely outcome had actually occurred. ;)

Good luck.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
billryan
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January 27th, 2023 at 11:46:30 AM permalink
Anyone who thinks one gains an advantage by reading this crews picks hasn't been paying attention.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
Mission146
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January 27th, 2023 at 1:33:36 PM permalink
Quote: Joeman

Quote: unJon

Most Mission offer ever. You should NOT drop out.

Agreed!

Mission,

The only reason I think you should drop out is if all three of these happen:

1) You opened and looked at my picks.
2) You made all of the opposite selections for your picks
3) You win the contest because you faded my picks.

On second thought, making you drop out is too harsh a punishment for this. Maybe split 1st place prize money with me instead. ;)
link to original post



Honestly, I don't remember what your Picks were or if you have even made them yet. I can say that I was mostly planning to bet props this week, so as a result, my Picks are not going to directly conflict with anyone's that I have seen as only one person bet a prop so far and there is no way to bet its opposite, even if I wanted to.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
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January 27th, 2023 at 1:39:10 PM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

1. Mission, you come across to all of us as so incredibly honest that I am sure that no one harbors a thought that you are trying to take advantage of a special situation.

2. Surely, we must all be aware that the only reason that we have a contest is because you have contributed the prize money. (Yeah, some donations have helped, but by far most of the prize money has come from you.) This inoculates you against any suspicion of dirty play.

3. If you do win one of these contests we would all be delighted for you. But we would also shrug our shoulders and laugh our heads off that such an unlikely outcome had actually occurred. ;)

Good luck.
link to original post



1.) Oh, I promise that I am not the world's most honest person, far from it. That said, the integrity of these games has always been very important to me because I enjoy all of the fun people have with them. While I'm not above lying (in general), I can also say that I am not interested enough in financial enrichment that I would lie for that purpose.

Or, perhaps I'm honest. The honest man admits that he sometimes lies? I don't know. Either way, in those ways that lying sometimes benefits me, none of those ways would ever apply to the forum that I can think of.

2.) I appreciate that! My strategy this week is going to be much higher risk. I'm going to spread it out a bit, but it will become clear that my Picks are correlated and essentially clearly hoping for one broader event.

3.) Haha. I think that I'm actually one of the most consistent when I do participate in the WoV Picks Game, unfortunately, I have been consistently slightly above average and have never won anything!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
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January 29th, 2023 at 7:08:54 AM permalink
Greetings!

The Conference Championship Picks are as follows:

Mission146:
D.) Both Teams Score 25+ Points Bengals/Chiefs? YES +330 $100
G.) Will There be A SUCCESSFUL 2PT Conversion Bengals/Chiefs? YES +265 $60
A.) Joe Burrow Passing Yards 300+? YES +125 $100
H.) Joe Mixon Rushing + Receiving Yards 100+ Combined? YES +155 $100
F.) Tee Higgins 75+ Receiving Yards? YES +180 $100

Gordonm888
$100 George Kittle Receiving Yards 75+? YES +295
$100 Both Teams Score 25+ Points Bengals/Chiefs? YES +330
$100 Will the Game go to OVERTIME Bengals/Chiefs? YES +1000

Gaming711:
C.) Deebo Samuel Rushing + Receiving Yards 100+? YES +300 $200
G.) Devonta Smith Receiving Yards 100+? YES +300 $200
H.) George Kittle Receiving Yards 75+? YES +295 $90

FourFiveFace:
Eagles -2.5 +100 $200
49ers @ Eagles Total UNDER 46.5 +100 $200

ksdjdj:
First Drive FG MADE 49ers/Eagles: YES +475 - $156
FIRST DRIVE FG MADE Bengals/Chiefs? YES +475 - $156

miplet:
Devonta Smith Receiving Yards 100+? YES +300 $79
A.J. Brown Receiving Yards 100+? YES +265 $78

EdCollins
49ers to WIN +135 $200
First Score BENGALS TOUCHDOWN? YES +205 $88
Both Teams Score 25+ Points Bengals/Chiefs? YES +330 $50
BOTH TEAMS SCORE 25+ POINTS 49ers/Eagles? YES +370 $50
Will There be A SUCCESSFUL 2PT Conversion Bengals/Chiefs? YES +265 $50

IndyJeffrey
Bengals -1 +110 $200
Bengals @ Chiefs Total UNDER 47.5 +100 $146
Will There be A SUCCESSFUL 2PT Conversion Bengals/Chiefs? YES +265 $50
Will There Be a Successful 2PT Conversion 49ers/Eagles? YES +275 $50
49ers TO WIN +135 $200
49ers @ Eagles Total UNDER 46.5 +100 $200

Johnzimbo:
Bengals TO WIN +100 $200
Bengals -1 +110 $200
Eagles -2.5 +100 $174
Eagles To WIN -135 $200

unJon:
Bengals @ Chiefs Total OVER 47.5 +100 $200
Bengals/Chiefs Both Teams Score 25+ Points? YES +330 $100
Deebo Samuel Rushing + Receiving Yards 100+? YES +300 $100
49ers @ Eagles Total UNDER 46.5 +100 $200

Wizard:
G.) Will there be a SAFETY 49ers/Eagles YES +1100 $107
H.) Will there be a SAFETY Bengals/Chiefs? YES +1100 $50

GenWyzgy:
H.) George Kittle Receiving Yards 75+ YES +295 $100
D.) Joe Mixon 75+ Rushing Yards? YES +185 $200
H.) Joe Mixon Rushing + Receiving Yards 100+ Combined? YES +155 $102

JohnnyQ:
Eagles -2.5 +100 $150
Bengals -1 +110 $100

SOOPOO:
C.) BOTH TEAMS SCORE 25+ POINTS 49ers/Eagles? YES +370 $200
D.) Both Teams Score 25+ Points Bengals/Chiefs? YES +330 $199

Billryan:
C.) BOTH TEAMS SCORE 25+ POINTS 49ers/Eagles? YES +370* $100
E.) Will There Be a Successful 2PT Conversion 49ers/Eagles? YES +275 $75
H.) George Kittle Receiving Yards 75+? YES +295 $75
D.) Both Teams Score 25+ Points Bengals/Chiefs? YES +330 $100
G.) Will There be A SUCCESSFUL 2PT Conversion Bengals/Chiefs? YES +265 $50
G.) Travis Kelce 100+ Receiving Yards? YES +190 $100

Mukke:
49ers TO WIN +135 $100
E.) Will There Be a Successful 2PT Conversion? 49ers/Eagles YES +275 $50

VegasBrent:
Eagles -2.5 +100 $200
Chiefs +1 -110 $198

Joeman:
49ers +2.5 +100 $50
Bengals -1 +110 $50
49ers @ Eagles Total UNDER 46.5 +100 $200
49ers @ Eagles First Drive FG MADE: YES +475 $50
Isiah Pacheco 75+ Rushing Yards? YES +310 $100
JuJu Smith-Schuster 75+ Receiving Yards? YES +310 $50
Bengals @ Chiefs Total OVER 47.5 +100 $100


NOTE: Mukke was the player with the Pick that I saw that involved a game prop of the three sets of Picks I saw before I should have. As everyone can see, my Picks sell out on the Bengals offense and count on KC to at least keep up, so Mukke picked a game that I had no intention of Picking anyway, and even if I did, there is no way for me to bet in a way that opposes Mukke's pick. Thus, knowing this one pick offered no possible advantage. Also, the 2PT props had a different letter, which is how I knew Mukke's prop was for this game.

Picks are listed opposite the order they were received, so the other Picks I saw were Joeman's and VegasBrent's. That said, I just glanced at those to make sure that there were no ambiguous GAME PROPS. VegasBrent has no game props and Joeman's game props already included the teams involved. I can say that even if I had memorized what they were doing (I didn't) it wouldn't have changed my strategy.

Let's have some fun, guys!!! Enjoy the games!

EDIT NOTE: The edit on this post was simply to move the amount IndyJeffrey is betting on each Pick from the left to the right.
Last edited by: Mission146 on Jan 29, 2023
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
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January 29th, 2023 at 7:14:14 AM permalink
Greetings!

MISCELLANEOUS STUFF

1.) PLEASE CHECK YOUR PICKS AGAINST WHAT IS LISTED!!!

-I had to reformat roughly 75% of the Picks that I received so there would be something close to a Universal format. I did my best in this regard, but it is possible that I got something wrong, so if you read this, please compare what you have to what I did.

2.) I LOVE Wizard's Picks!!!

-The irony of, "Safety, YES," was just brilliant, and I think, intentional. Wizard knew he had to take a shot, so even if neither team scores two points by way of Safety, I award Wizard all of the irony points that exist.

3.) Not to pat myself on the back...but this game flipping rules!!!

-I love this game! You guys can be assured that I will do a Playoff Picks Game every year and this will be the permanent game structure!

That said, mistakes have been made:

A.) Next season, all possible prop bets will be assigned different letters in the Conference Championship round and Super Bowl.

B.) Next season, there will be a rule to simply copy/paste all Picks you want from the list and add the bet amount at the end.

Go Bengals offense and everyone have fun watching the games! Thank you to everybody for playing and, indirectly, causing me to want to put together this game!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
unJon
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January 29th, 2023 at 7:15:46 AM permalink
A lot of correlation in these picks!
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
SOOPOO
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January 29th, 2023 at 7:52:36 AM permalink
Quote: unJon

A lot of correlation in these picks!
link to original post



Of course! Wizard as an example had to pick long shots, as did I. Since there is no difference from finishing last or 6th, if you are wallowing near the bottom might as well ‘go big or go home’. The most likely result for me is I’m at $0 after this week. Same for Wizard. If both my picks magically hit I’m top two or three most likely.

Mission…. In summary, prop bets are WAY more fun that pointspread or money line bets!
unJon
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January 29th, 2023 at 8:26:58 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: unJon

A lot of correlation in these picks!
link to original post



Of course! Wizard as an example had to pick long shots, as did I. Since there is no difference from finishing last or 6th, if you are wallowing near the bottom might as well ‘go big or go home’. The most likely result for me is I’m at $0 after this week. Same for Wizard. If both my picks magically hit I’m top two or three most likely.

Mission…. In summary, prop bets are WAY more fun that pointspread or money line bets!
link to original post



All of which was predictable agree. So I expected someone in the cellars to instead go safe today, hope everyone else strikes out on the long shots, and be positioned to take the long shots in the Super Bowl instead.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
EdCollins
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January 29th, 2023 at 8:50:13 AM permalink
I believe this is our consensus.



A total of $4,134 risked on the 49ers/Eagles Game. Most popular is Eagles -2.5




A total of $3,499 risked on the Bengals/Chiefs game. Most popular is both Bengals and Chiefs each scoring 25+ points.


For obvious reasons, I won't be able to post the results immediately after the games.
Mission146
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January 29th, 2023 at 9:35:17 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

I believe this is our consensus.



A total of $4,134 risked on the 49ers/Eagles Game. Most popular is Eagles -2.5




A total of $3,499 risked on the Bengals/Chiefs game. Most popular is both Bengals and Chiefs each scoring 25+ points.

For obvious reasons, I won't be able to post the results immediately after the games.
link to original post



I imagine this weekend would be asking a lot of you from a programming standpoint.

If it helps, I was half-expecting to hand grade the Picks for this weekend and really don't mind if that is the case.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
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January 29th, 2023 at 9:46:32 AM permalink
Quote: Mission146

I imagine this weekend would be asking a lot of you from a programming standpoint.

If it helps, I was half-expecting to hand grade the Picks for this weekend and really don't mind if that is the case.

Actually, I don't have a "program" this time. It's just a spreadsheet and it's all ready to go. All I need are the YES/NO answers to the props. All I have to do now is enter YES or NO in the appropriate table and a lookup function then grades everyone's guesses. Formulas calculate the amount won lost based upon the odds I entered, and it will total all of their win/losses for me. Super simple.

It will take an hour or so, after the last game, before the answers to some of those props can be found online, I suspect.
Johnzimbo
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January 29th, 2023 at 1:00:49 PM permalink
Almost...a safety :)
Mission146
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January 29th, 2023 at 2:33:42 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Quote: Mission146

I imagine this weekend would be asking a lot of you from a programming standpoint.

If it helps, I was half-expecting to hand grade the Picks for this weekend and really don't mind if that is the case.

Actually, I don't have a "program" this time. It's just a spreadsheet and it's all ready to go. All I need are the YES/NO answers to the props. All I have to do now is enter YES or NO in the appropriate table and a lookup function then grades everyone's guesses. Formulas calculate the amount won lost based upon the odds I entered, and it will total all of their win/losses for me. Super simple.

It will take an hour or so, after the last game, before the answers to some of those props can be found online, I suspect.
link to original post



My technical jargon leaves something to be desired. I just refer to anything that I wouldn't even know how to start doing as a, "Program."

In any case, thank you for everything!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
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January 29th, 2023 at 4:42:02 PM permalink
I can't believe I have to ask this. Now that I'm about to score it I'm not sure what is correct... and I can make a case for either side.

First Drive Bengals/Chiefs FG Made: YES

Is that First Drive OF THE GAME? If so, this prop is a No. The Bengals punted on the game's first drive.

Or is that First Drive FOR EITHER TEAM? If so, this prop is a YES, as the Chiefs scored a FG on THEIR FIRST DRIVE.


Thanks.
Mission146
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January 29th, 2023 at 4:47:57 PM permalink
Great question! It’s the first drive of the entire game, so that Pick is a NO.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
gordonm888
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January 29th, 2023 at 7:07:07 PM permalink
OUCH! I had $100 on Chiefs/Bengals to go into Overtime at +1000 and that doofus commits an out-of-bounds roughing penalty with 4 seconds left.

I probably would have had $1,000 (in contest funds) without that penalty, instead I have zero and am out of the contest.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
Vegasbrent
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January 29th, 2023 at 7:12:11 PM permalink
Brutal and unbelievably stupid! Absolutely incomprehensible how you can be that stupid with the game literally on the line.
It's not a sin if you don't win, but it's a tragedy if you don't try. Be happy and have fun!
EdCollins
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January 29th, 2023 at 7:20:59 PM permalink
I believe I already have everything graded and scored. Obviously, my apologies if anything is in error. If so, no worries... I'll fix it right away.

Here's my lookup table for the bets and props. Note that most all props were NOs. Of the four that were YES, only one of them had any action.






Edit: That should be +165 as the odds for Mahomes passing 300 yards.
miplet
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January 29th, 2023 at 7:21:58 PM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

OUCH! I had $100 on Chiefs/Bengals to go into Overtime at +1000 and that doofus commits an out-of-bounds roughing penalty with 4 seconds left.

I probably would have had $1,000 (in contest funds) without that penalty, instead I have zero and am out of the contest.
link to original post

All the cool kids are out.
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EdCollins
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January 29th, 2023 at 7:23:08 PM permalink
WOV 2023 NFL Playoff Picks Contest
Results after Sunday's Championship Games


Player Bet Bet $ Odds Result $ Won
BillryanBoth 49ers and Eagles Each Score Score 25+ Points YES$100+370Lost
-$100
BillryanWill 49ers/Eagles See a Successful 2PT Conversion? YES$75+275Lost
-$75
BillryanGeorge Kittle Receiving Yards 75+? YES$75+295Lost
-$75
BillryanBoth Bengals and Chiefs Each Score 25+ Points? YES$100+330Lost
-$100
BillryanWill The Bengals/Chiefs See a Successful 2PT Conversion? YES$50+265Lost
-$50
BillryanTravis Kelce 100+ Receiving Yards? YES$100+190Lost
-$100






EdCollinsBoth 49ers and Eagles Each Score Score 25+ Points YES$50+370Lost
-$50
EdCollins49ers To WIN$200+135Lost
-$200
EdCollinsFirst Score Bengals Touchdown? YES$88+205Lost
-$88
EdCollinsBoth Bengals and Chiefs Each Score 25+ Points? YES$50+330Lost
-$50
EdCollinsWill The Bengals/Chiefs See a Successful 2PT Conversion? YES$50+265Lost
-$50






FourFiveFaceEagles -2.5$200+100Won
$200
FourFiveFace49ers @ Eagles Total Under 46.5$200+100Won
$200






Gaming711Deebo Samuel Rushing + Receiving Yards 100+? YES$200+300Lost
-$200
Gaming711Devonta Smith Receiving Yards 100+? YES$200+300Lost
-$200
Gaming711George Kittle Receiving Yards 75+? YES$90+295Lost
-$90






GenWyzgyGeorge Kittle Receiving Yards 75+? YES$100+295Lost
-$100
GenWyzgyJoe Mixon 75+ Rushing Yards? YES$200+185Lost
-$200
GenWyzgyJoe Mixon Rushing + Receiving Yards 100+ Combined? YES$102+155Lost
-$102






Gordonm888George Kittle Receiving Yards 75+? YES$100+295Lost
-$100
Gordonm888Both Bengals and Chiefs Each Score 25+ Points? YES$100+330Lost
-$100
Gordonm888Will The Bengals/Chiefs See Overtime? YES$100+1000Lost
-$100






IndyJeffreyWill 49ers/Eagles See a Successful 2PT Conversion? YES$50+275Lost
-$50
IndyJeffrey49ers To WIN$200+135Lost
-$200
IndyJeffrey49ers @ Eagles Total Under 46.5$200+100Won
$200
IndyJeffreyBengals -1$200+110Lost
-$200
IndyJeffreyBengals @ Chiefs Total Under 47.5$146+100Won
$146
IndyJeffreyWill The Bengals/Chiefs See a Successful 2PT Conversion? YES$50+265Lost
-$50






Joeman49ers +2.5$50+100Lost
-$50
Joeman49ers @ Eagles Total Over 46.5$200+100Lost
-$200
JoemanBengals -1$50+110Lost
-$50
JoemanFirst Drive FG Made 49ers/Eagles: YES$50+475Lost
-$50
JoemanIsiah Pacheco 75+ Rushing Yards? YES$100+310Lost
-$100
JoemanJuJu Smith-Schuster 75+ Receiving Yards? YES$50+310Lost
-$50
JoemanBengals @ Chiefs Total Over 47.5$100+100Lost
-$100






JohnnyQEagles -2.5$150+100Won
$150
JohnnyQBengals -1$100+110Lost
-$100






JohnzimboEagles -2.5$174+100Won
$174
JohnzimboEagles To WIN$200-135Won
$148
JohnzimboBengals To WIN$200+100Lost
-$200
JohnzimboBengals -1$200+110Lost
-$200






ksdjdjFirst Drive FG Made 49ers/Eagles: YES$156+475Lost
-$156
ksdjdjFirst Drive Bengals/Chiefs FG Made: YES$156+475Lost
-$156






mipletDevonta Smith Receiving Yards 100+? YES$79+300Lost
-$79
mipletA.J. Brown Receiving Yards 100+? YES$78+265Lost
-$78






Mission146Both Bengals and Chiefs Each Score 25+ Points? YES$100+330Lost
-$100
Mission146Will The Bengals/Chiefs See a Successful 2PT Conversion? YES$60+265Lost
-$60
Mission146Joe Burrow Passing Yards 300+? YES$100+125Lost
-$100
Mission146Joe Mixon Rushing + Receiving Yards 100+ Combined? YES$100+155Lost
-$100
Mission146Tee Higgins 75+ Receiving Yards? YES$100+180Won
$180






Mukke49ers To WIN$100+135Lost
-$100
MukkeWill 49ers/Eagles See a Successful 2PT Conversion? YES$50+275Lost
-$50






SOOPOOBoth 49ers and Eagles Each Score Score 25+ Points YES$200+370Lost
-$200
SOOPOOBoth Bengals and Chiefs Each Score 25+ Points? YES$199+330Lost
-$199






unJonDeebo Samuel Rushing + Receiving Yards 100+? YES$100+300Lost
-$100
unJon49ers @ Eagles Total Under 46.5$200+100Won
$200
unJonBengals @ Chiefs Total Over 47.5$200+100Lost
-$200
unJonBoth Bengals and Chiefs Each Score 25+ Points? YES$100+330Lost
-$100






VegasBrentEagles -2.5$200+100Won
$200
VegasBrentChiefs +1$198-110Won
$180






WizardWill The 49ers/Eagles See a Safety? YES$107+1100Lost
-$107
WizardWill The Bengals/Chiefs See a Safety? YES$50+1100Lost
-$50


Recall that breakage off of whole dollar amounts are rounded down.

Please double check everything. I had to strip the amount bet from each selecton, and enter it in a different cell. And note that earlier, Mission said he also did a small bit of reformatting, for uniformity.
EdCollins
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January 29th, 2023 at 7:23:40 PM permalink
Mission146
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January 29th, 2023 at 7:43:38 PM permalink
Quote: Vegasbrent

Brutal and unbelievably stupid! Absolutely incomprehensible how you can be that stupid with the game literally on the line.
link to original post



Bengals. History repeats.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
unJon
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January 29th, 2023 at 7:46:25 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Quote: Vegasbrent

Brutal and unbelievably stupid! Absolutely incomprehensible how you can be that stupid with the game literally on the line.
link to original post



BengalsBungles. History repeats.
link to original post



FTFY
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
Mission146
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January 29th, 2023 at 7:46:49 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins


link to original post



It sucks that so many are out, but I think we’re sticking with this as a Playoff format. You take your shots when it’s your only choice; the Bengals offense lets you down; it’s fun!

For my part, I’ll definitely not be so conservative the first two weeks again. I’ll probably still go for hedging with a chance at double wins, but I’ll actually have a bit of a side I’m taking overall.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
IndyJeffrey
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January 30th, 2023 at 3:06:45 AM permalink
Quote: Mission146


For my part, I’ll definitely not be so conservative the first two weeks again. I’ll probably still go for hedging with a chance at double wins, but I’ll actually have a bit of a side I’m taking overall.



So, I’m not so sure. Perhaps the best strategy is to be conservative in the early rounds, and have a bankroll going into SB and then go big.

I understand the all or bust strategy in every round though, given the entry fee.
JohnnyQ
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January 30th, 2023 at 4:09:56 AM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

OUCH! I had $100 on Chiefs/Bengals to go into Overtime at +1000 and that doofus commits an out-of-bounds roughing penalty with 4 seconds left.

Yep, just hand the game to the Chiefs. Aaaarrrrgggghhhh.

There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
GenWyzgy
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January 30th, 2023 at 4:32:43 AM permalink
Very fun despite the brutal prop bets! Thanks for doing this and the regular season contest, Mission!
Joeman
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January 30th, 2023 at 4:52:12 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Please double check everything. I had to strip the amount bet from each selection, and enter it in a different cell. And note that earlier, Mission said he also did a small bit of reformatting, for uniformity.



At the risk of putting a blemish on my otherwise perfect Sunday, I actually had the UNDER on the Eagles game, not the over.
Last edited by: Joeman on Jan 30, 2023
"Dealer has 'rock'... Pay 'paper!'"
EdCollins
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January 30th, 2023 at 9:45:13 AM permalink
Quote: Joeman

At the risk of putting a blemish on my otherwise perfect Sunday, I actually had the UNDER on the Eagles game, not the over.

Fixed. So sorry. My mistake. Here's the correction and updated standings.


Player Bet Bet $ Odds Result $ Won
Joeman49ers +2.5$50+100Lost
-$50
Joeman49ers @ Eagles Total Under 46.5$200+100Won
$200
JoemanBengals -1$50+110Lost
-$50
JoemanFirst Drive FG Made 49ers/Eagles: YES$50+475Lost
-$50
JoemanIsiah Pacheco 75+ Rushing Yards? YES$100+310Lost
-$100
JoemanJuJu Smith-Schuster 75+ Receiving Yards? YES$50+310Lost
-$50
JoemanBengals @ Chiefs Total Over 47.5$100+100Lost
-$100



gordonm888
Administrator
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January 30th, 2023 at 10:20:09 AM permalink
Aaaah, so 8 of us are now below the infamous BillRyan line. Fortune is a cruel mistress.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
billryan
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January 30th, 2023 at 2:15:07 PM permalink
I'm open to suggestions on which longshot to go with, and I will split my winnings with whomever's idea I end up using. In case two or more make the same suggestion, only the first will qualify. I figure it has to be at least 30-1 to have a prayer.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
billryan
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January 30th, 2023 at 2:15:22 PM permalink
I'm open to suggestions on which longshot to go with, and I will split my winnings with whomever's idea I end up using. In case two or more make the same suggestion, only the first will qualify. I figure it has to be at least 30-1 to have a prayer.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
DRich
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January 30th, 2023 at 2:41:21 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

I'm open to suggestions on which longshot to go with, and I will split my winnings with whomever's idea I end up using. In case two or more make the same suggestion, only the first will qualify. I figure it has to be at least 30-1 to have a prayer.
link to original post



I would suggest betting it all on Overtime. It's a longshot but still gives you a chance to win if others don't bet overtime. Of course, by me posting this the leaders will realize betting a small amount on overtime would be beneficial to them.

Free advice, good luck!
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
JohnnyQ
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January 30th, 2023 at 2:42:29 PM permalink
Uh, post it or PM it ?
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
billryan
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January 30th, 2023 at 3:07:50 PM permalink
I'd suggest here, in the unlikely event we somehow cash in.

Over time, a safety and a two-point conversion might do it.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
AitchTheLetter
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January 30th, 2023 at 3:29:50 PM permalink
If you can bet on specifically a One Point Safety happening (something that has not happened in professional football). Do that. Otherwise, I would go with successful 2 point conversion.
Aut inveniam viam aut faciam
DRich
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January 30th, 2023 at 3:33:11 PM permalink
Quote: AitchTheLetter

If you can bet on specifically a One Point Safety happening (something that has not happened in professional football). Do that. Otherwise, I would go with successful 2 point conversion.
link to original post



Probably betting $1 on a one point safety would win the contest. I still remember the one in the Fiesta Bowl about ten years ago.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
billryan
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January 30th, 2023 at 3:40:06 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: AitchTheLetter

If you can bet on specifically a One Point Safety happening (something that has not happened in professional football). Do that. Otherwise, I would go with successful 2 point conversion.
link to original post



Probably betting $1 on a one point safety would win the contest. I still remember the one in the Fiesta Bowl about ten years ago.
link to original post



I'm hoping the minimum bet stays at $50, so I have one Hail Mary left in the contest.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
Vegasbrent
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January 30th, 2023 at 3:42:56 PM permalink
For the Superbowl:

4a.) All players must make at least one selection for the Super Bowl.

4b.) There is no maximum number of bets that can be made, provided you have the bankroll.

4c.) The minimum bet amount permitted is $50, per bet.

4d.) The maximum bet allowed is $250, per bet.
It's not a sin if you don't win, but it's a tragedy if you don't try. Be happy and have fun!
Vegasbrent
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February 9th, 2023 at 8:55:36 AM permalink
Have the bets been posted yet for the Superbowl? Not sure if I missed something or if they just weren't posted yet.
It's not a sin if you don't win, but it's a tragedy if you don't try. Be happy and have fun!
Johnzimbo
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February 9th, 2023 at 12:15:21 PM permalink
We need the props Mission146....
JohnnyQ
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February 9th, 2023 at 2:00:59 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

WoV NFL Playoff Picks Game 2023!
4.) The Super Bowl will consist of the following Lines:

-Spread
-Total
-Moneyline
-Select Game Props
-Select Player Props


4a.) All players must make at least one selection for the Super Bowl.

4b.) There is no maximum number of bets that can be made, provided you have the bankroll.

4c.) The minimum bet amount permitted is $50, per bet.

4d.) The maximum bet allowed is $250, per bet.

link to original post

From the first post on the first page.
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
odiousgambit
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February 10th, 2023 at 1:55:29 AM permalink
will try to reach our boy today
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
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