WOV 2023 NFL Playoff Picks Game

Quote: Mission146

Greetings!

The total Prize Pool is up to $275, which includes $200 from me, an extremely generous $50 donation from JohnZimbo (his winnings for the, "You Suck," prize in the regular WoV Picks Game less his Entry Fee, which goes to Gordonm888) and a separate generous $25 donation from UnJon.

Barring any further developments, the Prize Pool for Top 3 will be:

First Place: $150
Second Place: $75
Third Place: $25

I have asked UnJon whether he wants to add to the regular Top Three or create a separate prize with his funds, so I am waiting to hear back on that. If he chooses the former, then Third Place will pay $50 instead.
link to original post

UnJon leaves it to my discretion, but he has also come up with an idea for the, "Highest Turnover," award. I have decided to adopt this idea, so Third Place will receive $25 and the person who makes the most money in total bets will receive UnJon's $25 prize!

Also, one simple solution for (most, if not all) spreads and totals is that I am just going to get rid of the juice. Therefore, if the Line for a spread or total is -110 for both sides, then it will simply become +100.

Granted, that actually makes them breakeven bets, which is an improvement to other bets. That said, they aren't the highest potential reward bets, so I think it's fine. I might trim down other Lines a bit, as well, to more or less remove some of the vig.

Quote: Mission146

Granted, that actually makes them breakeven bets, which is an improvement to other bets. That said, they aren't the highest potential reward bets, so I think it's fine. I might trim down other Lines a bit, as well, to more or less remove some of the vig.

I think that is a great idea since it isn't real money and everybody has access to the same lines it really doesn't matter what the payouts are. Maybe add some parlays that pay 7 to1 for a three teamer and 14 to one for a four teamer. That way no one will probably be out of contention at any time.

Quote: DRich

Quote: Mission146

Granted, that actually makes them breakeven bets, which is an improvement to other bets. That said, they aren't the highest potential reward bets, so I think it's fine. I might trim down other Lines a bit, as well, to more or less remove some of the vig.

I think that is a great idea since it isn't real money and everybody has access to the same lines it really doesn't matter what the payouts are. Maybe add some parlays that pay 7 to1 for a three teamer and 14 to one for a four teamer. That way no one will probably be out of contention at any time.
link to original post

I think with some of the Conference Championship player props and Super Bowl player/game props everyone should still be in it as long as they have some amount of game bankroll left. If it doesn't look that way, I'll adjust. I'm going to try to strike a balance with keeping people in contention and not having it such that the whole game can be won by hitting a fluke. If people don't bet conservatively enough to give themselves a chance if early bets go poorly, then that was their strategy.

Gordonm888 has most graciously donated $100 of his WoV Picks Game winnings to this event! He has suggested that it be added to the main prizes; thank you very much to Gordonm888 and the new Top Three Prizes shall be as follows:

1st Place: $200
2nd Place: $100
3rd Place $50

There is also a consolation prize for the player who can make the most in total $$$ bet, courtesy of a $25 donation to the Playoff Game by UnJon!

I would like to again thank JohnZimbo for his $50 contribution to the pool, Gordonm888 for his $100 contribution and UnJon for his $25 contribution!

Please do not take this as a solicitation of more donations, because it is absolutely NOT, but what I will say is that no additional donations will be accepted once the game is underway. However, should you think of something you want to do on the side while this game is underway that both:

A.) Ties into this game.

And:

B.) Creates no additional work for me.

You will be perfectly welcome to do that even if the game is underway.

Greetings!

Picks Formatting

Please try to format your Picks as you see in the Lines below. I don't know why you would change the order of the information, but all information MUST appear (team, bet type and Line) in order for your bet to be valid.

Please remember all players are starting with a, 'Bankroll,' of $500.

RULES for WildCard Weekend

2a.) All players will make no fewer than five bets the first week of the Playoffs.

2b.) All players will make no greater than ten bets the first week of the Playoffs.

2c.) The minimum bet for the first week of the Playoffs shall be $50, per bet.

2d.) The maximum bet for the first week of the Playoffs shall be $100, per bet.

The good news is that 2a and 2c are the only possible rules to break, at least without simultaneously breaking multiple rules that would include these two rules anyway, this week.

PICKS ARE DUE BY 10:00A.M., EST, SATURDAY, JANUARY 14TH, 2023----NO EXCEPTIONS FOR ANY REASON!

I'm pretty pumped to say:

The WildCard Weekend Lines are as follows:

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings---though ADJUSTED by Mission146)

*************

Seahawks @ 49ers

Seahawks +9.5 +100
49ers -9.5 -105

Seahawks/49ers OVER 42.5 +100
Seahawks/49ers UNDER 42.5 +100

Seahawks To WIN +450
49ers to WIN -450

Chargers @ Jaguars

Chargers -1 -105
Jaguars +1 +105

Chargers/Jaguars OVER 47.5 +100
Chargers/Jaguars UNDER 47.5 +100

Chargers To WIN -110
Jaguars To WIN +110

Dolphins @ Bills

Dolphins +10.5 +100
Bills -10.5 + 100

Dolphins/Bills OVER 45 +100
Dolphins/Bills UNDER 45 +100

Dolphins To WIN +500
Bills To WIN -500

Giants @ Vikings

Giants +3 +100
Vikings -3 +100

Giants/Vikings OVER 48.5 +100
Giants/Vikings UNDER 48.5 +100

Giants To WIN +145
Vikings To WIN -145

Ravens @ Bengals

Ravens +6.5 +100
Bengals -6.5 +100

Ravens/Bengals OVER 44 +100
Ravens/Bengals UNDER 44 -100

Ravens To WIN +270
Bengals To WIN -270

Cowboys @ Buccaneers

Cowboys -2.5 -105
Buccaneers +2.5 +100

Cowboys/Buccaneers OVER 45.5 +100
Cowboys/Buccaneers UNDER 45.5 +100

Cowboys To WIN -130
Buccaneers To WIN +130

**************

Please remember that all are welcome to participate in this contest and it is free of charge! As of right now, the Prize Pool is as follows:

1st Place: $200
2nd Place: $100
3rd Place $50

There is also a consolation prize for the player who can make the most in total $$$ bet, courtesy of a $25 donation to the Playoff Game by UnJon!

Donations to Prize Pool:

Gordonm888: $100
JohnZimbo: $50
UnJon $25

Thank you very much to all who play! Please remember:

1.) You do not need an invitation or reminder to play; you must simply PM me your Picks before the deadline.

2.) If you wish to receive a reminder (Thursday evening) then please make any post in this thread and you will get one.

3.) Individuals who participated in the WoV Picks Game of 2022 will automatically receive a reminder both this evening, and on Thursday evening, if they have not already picked.

Once again, the Lines are as follows:

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings---though ADJUSTED by Mission146)

*************

Seahawks @ 49ers

Seahawks +9.5 +100
49ers -9.5 -105

Seahawks/49ers OVER 42.5 +100
Seahawks/49ers UNDER 42.5 +100

Seahawks To WIN +450
49ers to WIN -450

Chargers @ Jaguars

Chargers -1 -105
Jaguars +1 +105

Chargers/Jaguars OVER 47.5 +100
Chargers/Jaguars UNDER 47.5 +100

Chargers To WIN -110
Jaguars To WIN +110

Dolphins @ Bills

Dolphins +10.5 +100
Bills -10.5 + 100

Dolphins/Bills OVER 45 +100
Dolphins/Bills UNDER 45 +100

Dolphins To WIN +500
Bills To WIN -500

Giants @ Vikings

Giants +3 +100
Vikings -3 +100

Giants/Vikings OVER 48.5 +100
Giants/Vikings UNDER 48.5 +100

Giants To WIN +145
Vikings To WIN -145

Ravens @ Bengals

Ravens +6.5 +100
Bengals -6.5 +100

Ravens/Bengals OVER 44 +100
Ravens/Bengals UNDER 44 -100

Ravens To WIN +270
Bengals To WIN -270

Cowboys @ Buccaneers

Cowboys -2.5 -105
Buccaneers +2.5 +100

Cowboys/Buccaneers OVER 45.5 +100
Cowboys/Buccaneers UNDER 45.5 +100

Cowboys To WIN -130
Buccaneers To WIN +130

**************

Quote: Mission146

Picks Formatting

Please try to format your Picks as you see in the Lines below. I don't know why you would change the order of the information, but all information MUST appear (team, bet type and Line) in order for your bet to be valid.

Please remember all players are starting with a, 'Bankroll,' of $500.

Should we put the dollar amount in front?

E.g.: $100 Bengals -6.5 +100

Quote: Joeman

Quote: Mission146

Picks Formatting

Please try to format your Picks as you see in the Lines below. I don't know why you would change the order of the information, but all information MUST appear (team, bet type and Line) in order for your bet to be valid.

Please remember all players are starting with a, 'Bankroll,' of $500.

Should we put the dollar amount in front?

E.g.: $100 Bengals -6.5 +100
link to original post

I would say anywhere is fine for dollar amount provided the "$" is clearly positioned.

Ugggh. NFL Wild Card games are notoriously difficult to pick. And two of the games have major QB uncertainties (Tua and Lamar). And we have a new contest structure and rules that none of us has experience with (and praise for Mission for conjuring up such an interesting structure.)

And, in this contest, the formidable Johnzimbo will be playing to win, not to lose. Miplet and EdCollins are blue-chip pickers who surely can't run bad forever. I'm also worried about that group of pickers that finished 2nd through 6th in the previous contest : VegasBrent, IndyJeffrey, FourFiveFace, Jim Rockford and PlayYourCardsRight- IMO, those guys have game. Wizard can't be counted out because he has probably won more of the forum's NFL picks contests than anyone. And, KSDJDJ and SOOPOO are experienced sports gamblers who know what they are doing and may be about to give the rest of us a lesson.

And the pattern of history is that darkhorse contestants often emerge as the front-runner and eventual contest winner.

For myself, I predict: PAIN.

I finished third to last in last year's playoff contest, so I'm not worth worrying about.

I expect to end up south of the Mendoza Line.