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EdCollins
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November 26th, 2019 at 11:48:17 AM permalink
GenWyzgy's Confidence Side Pool Standings thru Week 13
Player Conf Wins Conf Losses
Sparty10k
4
8
Ayecarumba
5
7
GWAE
5
7
IndyJeffrey
6
6
kuma
6
6
MidwestAP
3
5
scolist
5
5
Johnzimbo
6
5
Michael99000
6
5
Beachbumbabs
6
5
JW17
7
5
rdw4potus
1
4
Wizard
4
4
miplet
6
4
PlayYourCardsRight
6
4
DJatc
7
4
prozema
8
4
Gordonm888
8
4
RisingDough
8
4
Bruce1
1
3
Mwalz9
2
3
Onenickelmiracle
2
3
Mission146
4
3
GenWyzgy
6
3
JohnnyQ
7
3
SOOPOO
8
3
Joeman
8
3
FourFiveFace
9
3
odiousgambit
2
2
Romes
2
2
Paradigm
6
2
EdCollins
10
2
unJon
10
2
beachbumbabs
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November 26th, 2019 at 12:22:11 PM permalink
Dangit. Dropped out of the 50% club. Still my best hope for a prize, though I might get one of my own back. Not that many in the 0-6 club.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
GWAE
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November 26th, 2019 at 1:08:41 PM permalink
Ahh crap, risingdough came out of nowhere to take the lead. I'm not skeered. I gots it
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
beachbumbabs
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November 26th, 2019 at 2:23:07 PM permalink
Way to go, kuma! Nice 6-0!
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
GenWyzgy
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November 27th, 2019 at 5:47:10 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

GenWyzgy's Confidence Side Pool Standings thru Week 13

Player Conf Wins Conf Losses
Sparty10k
4
8
Ayecarumba
5
7
GWAE
5
7



Wonder if any of the folks at the top of this table are now purposefully making their worst guess into their confidence bet?
SOOPOO
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November 27th, 2019 at 5:56:02 AM permalink
Quote: GenWyzgy

Quote: EdCollins

GenWyzgy's Confidence Side Pool Standings thru Week 13

Player Conf Wins Conf Losses
Sparty10k
4
8
Ayecarumba
5
7
GWAE
5
7



Wonder if any of the folks at the top of this table are now purposefully making their worst guess into their confidence bet?



?? They’ve already shown their best guess is most likely a loser. Why change that strategy?
JohnnyQ
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November 27th, 2019 at 5:57:23 AM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

Dangit. Dropped out of the 50% club. Still my best hope for a prize, though I might get one of my own back. Not that many in the 0-6 club.

EdC's table shows me with 6 out of the past 8 weeks picking 0.500, and the other two weeks balance out to 0.500 also.

Is there a prize for that ?
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
GWAE
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November 27th, 2019 at 9:51:36 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: GenWyzgy

Quote: EdCollins

GenWyzgy's Confidence Side Pool Standings thru Week 13

Player Conf Wins Conf Losses
Sparty10k
4
8
Ayecarumba
5
7
GWAE
5
7



Wonder if any of the folks at the top of this table are now purposefully making their worst guess into their confidence bet?



?? They’ve already shown their best guess is most likely a loser. Why change that strategy?



Bazinga
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
Ayecarumba
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November 29th, 2019 at 9:05:41 AM permalink
Quote: GenWyzgy

Quote: EdCollins

GenWyzgy's Confidence Side Pool Standings thru Week 13

Player Conf Wins Conf Losses
Sparty10k
4
8
Ayecarumba
5
7
GWAE
5
7



Wonder if any of the folks at the top of this table are now purposefully making their worst guess into their confidence bet?


I'm in this bizzaro side game world where confidence is everything. It's awesome...just like me. 😃
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
Mission146
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November 29th, 2019 at 12:09:06 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 13 Lines are as follows:

Packers (-6) @ Giants (+6) O/U 45
Redskins (+10) @ Panthers (-10) O/U 39.5
49ers (+5.5) @ Ravens (-5.5) O/U 46
Titans (+1.5) @ Colts (-1.5) O/U 43.5
Eagles (-10) @ Dolphins (+10) O/U 45
Raiders (+10) @ Chiefs (-10) O/U 51
Buccaneers (-1.5) @ Jaguars (+1.5) O/U 47.5
Jets (-3) @ Bengals (+3) O/U 41
Rams (-2.5) @ Cardinals (+2.5) O/U 47.5
Chargers (-3) @ Broncos (+3) O/U 38.5
Browns (-2) @ Steelers (+2) O/U 39
Patriots (-3) @ Texans (+3) O/U 46
Vikings (+3) @ Seahawks (-3) O/U 50
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
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November 29th, 2019 at 12:10:20 PM permalink
I'm not a professional, and none of our lines are glitched, but if you look at VegasInsider right now, they've got the O/U for Dallas/Chicago at 225. I'd go ahead and grab that under while you can. jk
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
gordonm888
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November 29th, 2019 at 12:29:48 PM permalink
I would have been enthusiastic about picking all three Thursday games. Now, looking at the remaining 13 games ATS, I only have an opinion about 1-2 of them. I'll consider the possibility of taking a skip week.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
GWAE
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December 1st, 2019 at 9:02:10 AM permalink
:-( Mission please stand up
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
SOOPOO
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December 1st, 2019 at 9:40:50 AM permalink
Has not opened my email yet....
GWAE
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December 1st, 2019 at 9:43:02 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Has not opened my email yet....



I have an appointment at 1. Was holding off as long as I could so I could get bets in. Looks like I will have to skip betting this week, or at least the early games.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
Mission146
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mipletJoemanbeachbumbabs
December 1st, 2019 at 11:03:10 AM permalink
Sorry, car accident. Not my car, nobody seriously hurt but one passenger had to get medical. I have to do a couple things but will post in an hour or so.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
GWAE
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December 1st, 2019 at 11:16:32 AM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Sorry, car accident. Not my car, nobody seriously hurt but one passenger had to get medical. I have to do a couple things but will post in an hour or so.



that is ridiculous and not a valid excuse. ;-)

Glad everyone was ok and thank you for taking the time to update us. That is one of the things on my list of never been involved with. Will be 40 this year and never been in a wreck.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
Mission146
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December 1st, 2019 at 1:22:18 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

that is ridiculous and not a valid excuse. ;-)

Glad everyone was ok and thank you for taking the time to update us. That is one of the things on my list of never been involved with. Will be 40 this year and never been in a wreck.



Good variance!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
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December 1st, 2019 at 1:31:51 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 13 Picks are as follows:

Mission146:
49ers +5.5
Colts -1.5
Rams -2.5
Broncos +3-CONFIDENCE
Steelers +2

Gordonm888:
Colts -1.5
Eagles -10
Steelers +2 -Confidence
Cardinals +2.5
Seahawks +3

Genwyzgy:
Ravens -5.5 Confidence
49ers OVER 54
Raiders UNDER 51
Steelers OVER 39
Seahawks -3

GWAE:
49ers +5.5
Colts -1.5
Eagles -10
Patriots -3
Seahawks -3 confidence

Beachbumbabs:
Packers -6
Viking +3 -confidence
Rams -2.5
Browns -2
Ravens -5.5

Odiousgambit:
Titans OVER 43.5
Eagles UNDER 45
Buccaneers OVER 47.5
Jets UNDER 41
Chargers UNDER 38.5 -Confidence

IndyJeffrey:
Colts -1.5
Dolphins +10
Raiders +10
Patriots -3
Seahawks -3-confidence

miplet:
Titans +1.5
Buccaneers -1.5
Rams -2.5-confidence
Chargers -3
Browns -2

Prozema:
Packers -6
Eagles -10
Chiefs -10 Confidence
Chargers -3
Patriots -3

DJATC:
49ers UNDER46 -CONFIDENCE
Chiefs -10
Buccaneers -1.5
Jets OVER41
Chargers -3

kuma:
Ravens (under 46)
Chiefs (-10)
Buccaneers (-1.5)
Jets (over 41) -- confidence
Chargers (-3)

RisingDough:
Giants+6
Redskins+10 CONFIDENCE
Colts -1.5
Cardinals+2.5
Chargers-3

EdCollins:
Jets -3 Confidence
Vikings +3
Cardinals +2.5
Dolphins +10
Bucs -1.5

Gordonm888:
Colts -1.5
Eagles -10
Steelers +2 -Confidence
Cardinals +2.5
Vikings +3

JohnnyQ:
49ers (+5.5) CONFIDENCE
Eagles (-10)
Jaguars (+1.5)
Jets (-3)
Patriots (-3)

FourFiveFace:
49ers +5.5
Raiders +10-Confidence
Buccaneers -1.5
Cardinals +2.5
Steelers +2

Genwyzgy:
Ravens -5.5
49ers OVER 54
Raiders OVER 51 Confidence
Steelers OVER 39
Seahawks -3

Johnzimbo:
Ravens -5.5
Raiders +10
Panthers – 10
Panthers under 39.5
Cardinals +2.5 confidence

scolist:
Buccaneers -1.5
Jets -3 Confidence
Titans +1.5
49ers +5.5
Patriots -3

JW17:
Broncos +3 Confidence
Seahawks -3
Colts -1..5
Dolphins +10
Chiefs -10

PlayYourCardsRight:
Chiefs -10
Bengals +3
Rams -2.5
Steelers +2
Seahawks -3 CONFIDENCE

Sparty10k:
Jets -3–confidence
Packers -6
Jaguars +2
Broncos +3
Patriots -3.5

Joeman:
Packers -6 -Confidence
Seahawks -3
Steelers +2
Steelers OVER 39
Patriots -3

Michael99000:
Packers under 45
Redskins Over 39.5
49ers over 46
Titans Under 43.5
Eagles over 45 confidence

SOOPOO:
Chargers -3 Confidence
Raiders +10
Redskins +10
Jets-3
Browns-2

Ayecarumba:
Panthers -10
49ers +5.5
Dolphins +10 -Confidence
Raiders +10
Rams -2.5

PERFECTION BONUS WINNERS:

WEEK 2: DJATC ($6.67), Miplet ($6.67) JohnZimbo ($6.67)

WEEK 6: Gordonm888 ($40)

WEEK 8: Genwyzgy ($20)

WEEK 9: JW17 ($10)

WEEK 11: BeachBumBabs ($10) Scolist ($10)

WEEK 12: Kuma ($10)

WEEK 13 Perfection Bonus: $10
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
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December 1st, 2019 at 2:19:09 PM permalink
Gordonm888 is listed twice, with two different sets of picks.
Genwyzgy is listed twice, with two different sets of picks.
No defaults posted for Mike.
Please confirm that unJon is skipping this week.

Edit: Also check for defaults for Bruce1.
Last edited by: EdCollins on Dec 1, 2019
gordonm888
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December 1st, 2019 at 2:32:15 PM permalink
I submitted a change in my picks, which is the Gordonm888 picks listed right at the top of the post after Mission's picks (It has Seahawks +3.) The Gordonm888 picks listed lower down in the post (which has Vikings +3 ) is invalid and should be ignored..
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
Mission146
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December 1st, 2019 at 6:00:23 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Gordonm888 is listed twice, with two different sets of picks.
Genwyzgy is listed twice, with two different sets of picks.
No defaults posted for Mike.
Please confirm that unJon is skipping this week.

Edit: Also check for defaults for Bruce1.



Sounds good, will get on all of this in short order!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
beachbumbabs
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December 1st, 2019 at 6:03:55 PM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

I submitted a change in my picks, which is the Gordonm888 picks listed right at the top of the post after Mission's picks (It has Seahawks +3.) The Gordonm888 picks listed lower down in the post (which has Vikings +3 ) is invalid and should be ignored..



I'm not understanding this pick, Gordon. Seahawks are listed as -3 in Mission's lines. Am I missing something?

And Vikings are never invalid! Lol...
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
michael99000
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December 1st, 2019 at 8:05:20 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

I'm not understanding this pick, Gordon. Seahawks are listed as -3 in Mission's lines. Am I missing something?

And Vikings are never invalid! Lol...



Submit 2 sets of picks and make up your own lines. Pretty good strategy
GenWyzgy
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December 2nd, 2019 at 1:26:38 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins


Genwyzgy is listed twice, with two different sets of picks.



Both sets of my picks suck, but the first one listed is the correct one. I submitted it to replace the other set.
EdCollins
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December 2nd, 2019 at 8:32:15 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Sounds good, will get on all of this in short order!

Mission, can you update the standings this week? As you know, I don't have all of the picks yet and I'm about ready to go to bed. And starting tomorrow I'll be out of town for several days. (Company retreat.)

Thanks.
Mission146
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December 3rd, 2019 at 11:13:44 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Mission, can you update the standings this week? As you know, I don't have all of the picks yet and I'm about ready to go to bed. And starting tomorrow I'll be out of town for several days. (Company retreat.)

Thanks.



Sure thing! The standings will be updated later this evening!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
gordonm888
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December 4th, 2019 at 8:43:33 AM permalink
Goodness! I am concerned. We all appreciate what Mission does for this game and I don't ever remember a week where Mission has been so distracted. I am hoping that it is a good distraction rather than some personal catastrophe. My thoughts and prayers are with you, Mission.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
scolist
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December 4th, 2019 at 8:57:05 AM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

Goodness! I am concerned. We all appreciate what Mission does for this game and I don't ever remember a week where Mission has been so distracted. I am hoping that it is a good distraction rather than some personal catastrophe. My thoughts and prayers are with you, Mission.



Same here! I hope everything is well Mission!
There's no way out of here When you come in You're in for good There was no promise made The part you played The chance...........you took
Ayecarumba
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December 6th, 2019 at 8:46:55 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Mission, can you update the standings this week? As you know, I don't have all of the picks yet and I'm about ready to go to bed. And starting tomorrow I'll be out of town for several days. (Company retreat.)

Thanks.



Ed is out of town this week (and possibly next week as well). Is someone keeping an up to date copy of his worksheet?

Here's an unofficial copy of the consensus line from Vegas Insider @ noon today:

Ravens (-6) @ Bills (+6) O/U 43.5
Redskins (+12.5) @ Packers (-12.5) O/U 41.5
Broncos (+9) @ Texans (-9) O/U 42.5
49ers (+2.5) @ Saints (-2.5) O/U 44.5
Bengals (+7) @ Browns (-7) O/U 41.5
Panthers (+3) @ Hawks (-3) O/U 47
Lions (+13) @ Vikings (-13) O/U 43
Dolphins (+5.5) @ Jets (-5.5) O/U 45.5
Colts (+3) @ Buccaneers (-3) O/U 47
Chargers (-3) @Jaguars (+3) O/U 43
Chiefs (+3) @ Patriots (-3) O/U 49
Steelers (-2.5) @ Cardinals (+2.5) O/U 43.5
Titans (-2.5) @ Raiders (+2.5) O/U 47.5
Seahawks (Pick) @ Rams (Pick) O/U 47
Giants (+9.5) @ Eagles (-9.5) O/U 46
Last edited by: Ayecarumba on Dec 6, 2019
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
Mission146
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December 6th, 2019 at 9:57:36 AM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 14 Lines are as follows:

Quote: Ayecarumba

Ed is out of town this week (and possibly next week as well). Is someone keeping an up to date copy of his worksheet?

Here's an unofficial copy of the consensus line from Vegas Insider @ noon today:

Ravens (-6) @ Bills (+6) O/U 43.5
Redskins (+12.5) @ Packers (-12.5) O/U 41.5
Broncos (+9) @ Texans (-9) O/U 42.5
49ers (+2.5) @ Saints (-2.5) O/U 44.5
Bengals (+7) @ Browns (-7) O/U 41.5
Panthers (+3) @ Falcons (-3) O/U 47
Lions (+13) @ Vikings (-13) O/U 43
Dolphins (+5.5) @ Jets (-5.5) O/U 45.5
Colts (+3) @ Buccaneers (-3) O/U 47
Chargers (-3) @Jaguars (+3) O/U 43
Chiefs (+3) @ Patriots (-3) O/U 49
Steelers (-2.5) @ Cardinals (+2.5) O/U 43.5
Titans (-2.5) @ Raiders (+2.5) O/U 47.5
Seahawks (Pick) @ Rams (Pick) O/U 47
Giants (+9.5) @ Eagles (-9.5) O/U 46



And now grading last week's picks.
Last edited by: Mission146 on Dec 6, 2019
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
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December 6th, 2019 at 11:06:44 AM permalink
Greetings!

Please check for errors, though any errors will be corrected by EdCollins sooner or later anyway. It has been quite some time since I have done these all manually. I usually just go through and make sure one pick for each game is correct and then assume they are all correct.

First the Week 13 Results and then the updated standings, sorry no fancy table for the Standings.


The Week 13 Results are as follows:

Mission146: (5-1) (41-30)
49ers +5.5---WIN
Colts -1.5---LOSS
Rams -2.5---WIN
Broncos +3-CONFIDENCE---TWO WINS
Steelers +2---WIN

Gordonm888: (3-3) (47-30)
Colts -1.5---LOSS
Eagles -10---LOSS
Steelers +2 -Confidence---TWO WINS
Cardinals +2.5---LOSS
Seahawks +3---WIN

Genwyzgy: (2-4) (40-29)
Ravens -5.5 Confidence---TWO LOSSES
49ers OVER 54---LOSS
Raiders UNDER 51---WIN
Steelers OVER 39---LOSS
Seahawks -3---WIN

GWAE: (3-3) (35-42)
49ers +5.5---WIN
Colts -1.5---LOSS
Eagles -10---LOSS
Patriots -3---LOSS
Seahawks -3 confidence---TWO WINS

Beachbumbabs: (2-4) (34-38)
Packers -6---WIN
Viking +3 -confidence---TWO LOSSES
Rams -2.5---WIN
Browns -2---LOSS
Ravens -5.5---LOSS

Odiousgambit: (2-4) (30-39)
Titans OVER 43.5---WIN
Eagles UNDER 45---LOSS
Buccaneers OVER 47.5---LOSS
Jets UNDER 41---WIN
Chargers UNDER 38.5 -Confidence---TWO LOSSES

IndyJeffrey: (3-3) (40-37)
Colts -1.5---LOSS
Dolphins +10---WIN
Raiders +10---LOSS
Patriots -3---LOSS
Seahawks -3-confidence---TWO WINS

miplet: (4-2) (43-27)
Titans +1.5 ---WIN
Buccaneers -1.5---WIN
Rams -2.5-confidence ---TWO WINS
Chargers -3 ---LOSS
Browns -2---LOSS

Prozema: (3-3) (38-38)
Packers -6---WIN
Eagles -10---LOSS
Chiefs -10 Confidence---TWO WINS
Chargers -3---LOSS
Patriots -3---LOSS

DJATC: (4-2) (42-29)
49ers UNDER46 -CONFIDENCE---TWO WINS
Chiefs -10---WIN
Buccaneers -1.5---WIN
Jets OVER41---LOSS
Chargers -3---LOSS

kuma: (3-2) (41-35)
Ravens (under 46)---WIN
Chiefs (-10)---WIN
Buccaneers (-1.5)---WIN
Jets (over 41) -- confidence---LOSS
Chargers (-3)---LOSS

RisingDough: (2-4) (33-43)
Giants+6---LOSS
Redskins+10 CONFIDENCE---TWO WINS
Colts -1.5---LOSS
Cardinals+2.5---LOSS
Chargers-3---LOSS

EdCollins: (2-4) (46-30)
Jets -3 Confidence---TWO LOSSES
Vikings +3---LOSS
Cardinals +2.5---LOSS
Dolphins +10---WIN
Bucs -1.5---WIN

JohnnyQ: (2-4) (39-35)
49ers (+5.5) CONFIDENCE---TWO WINS
Eagles (-10) ---LOSS
Jaguars (+1.5) ---LOSS
Jets (-3) ---LOSS
Patriots (-3)---LOSS

FourFiveFace: (3-3) (47-30)
49ers +5.5---WIN
Raiders +10-Confidence---TWO LOSSES
Buccaneers -1.5---WIN
Cardinals +2.5---LOSS
Steelers +2---WIN

Johnzimbo: (0-6)
Ravens -5.5---LOSS
Raiders +10---LOSS
Panthers – 10---LOSS
Panthers under 39.5---LOSS
Cardinals +2.5 confidence---TWO LOSSES

scolist: (3-3) (46-29)
Buccaneers -1.5---WIN
Jets -3 Confidence---TWO LOSSES
Titans +1.5---WIN
49ers +5.5---WIN
Patriots -3---LOSS

JW17: (5-1) (48-29)
Broncos +3 Confidence---TWO WINS
Seahawks -3---WIN
Colts -1..5---LOSS
Dolphins +10---WIN
Chiefs -10---WIN

PlayYourCardsRight: (6-0) (38-31) *****PERFECTION*****
Chiefs -10---WIN
Bengals +3---WIN
Rams -2.5---WIN
Steelers +2---WIN
Seahawks -3 CONFIDENCE---TWO WINS

Sparty10k: (2-4)
Jets -3–confidence---TWO LOSSES
Packers -6---WIN
Jaguars +2---LOSS
Broncos +3---WIN
Patriots -3.5---LOSS

Joeman: (4-2) (45-30)
Packers -6 -Confidence---TWO WINS
Seahawks -3---WIN
Steelers +2---WIN
Steelers OVER 39---LOSS
Patriots -3---LOSS

Michael99000: (4-2) (40-35)
Packers under 45---WIN
Redskins Over 39.5---LOSS
49ers over 46---LOSS
Titans Under 43.5---WIN
Eagles over 45 confidence---TWO WINS

SOOPOO: (1-5) (48-28)
Chargers -3 Confidence---TWO LOSSES
Raiders +10---LOSS
Redskins +10---WIN
Jets-3---LOSS
Browns-2---LOSS

Ayecarumba: (4-2) (39-37)
Panthers -10---LOSS
49ers +5.5---WIN
Dolphins +10 -Confidence---TWO WINS
Raiders +10---LOSS
Rams -2.5---WIN

DEFAULT PICKS:

Wizard: (2-3) (35-33)
BENGALS OVER 41-LOSS
Broncos OVER 38.5---WIN
Browns OVER 39---LOSS
Buccaneers OVER 47.5---WIN
Cardinals---OVER 47.5---LOSS

Bruce1: (3-2) (27-35)
Titans OVER 43.5---WIN
Steelers OVER 39---LOSS
Giants OVER 45---LOSS
Eagles OVER 45---WIN
Broncos OVER 38.5---WIN
Last edited by: Mission146 on Dec 6, 2019
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
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December 6th, 2019 at 11:21:28 AM permalink
A FEW THINGS

1.) The post above does not yet include default picks, but those will be added.

2.) I'm getting 72-71 overall and I feel like spreads went better than totals. I think Over/Unders (selected) went 11-15 so spread picks would have been 61-56. We had an unusual week in which every cover excepting one was by greater than three points, so weird week for the books. Line moves between posting and betting would be unlikely to make a difference given how far off almost all of the lines were.

(61 * 100) - (56 * 110) = -$60

In other words, we actually benefitted from the Picks going up late as far as GWAE's side pool goes because we would have lost money overall.

3.) The earlier you make the picks the better? Except for me, the Picks are listed in reverse chronological order this week. (I picked first but also listed myself first only because I had to go to my outbox to fetch my picks.---Sent to OneNickelMiracle)

I don't mind saying that because the integrity of the OneNickelMiracle-Prozema-Mission146 trophy is not compromised. Ayecarumba and myself are the only two who can still win (everyone else is mathematically eliminated for not enough qualifying picks to this point) and have already agreed to split it. We both only have to make early picks in order to qualify and have both continued to do so throughout the remainder of the weeks.

4.) I am now adding the Default Picks and will post the updated standings. Again, sorry they will not be in a fancy chart but I am not coding that shizzz manually as it would take me approximately three years.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
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December 6th, 2019 at 12:02:47 PM permalink
STANDINGS

Here is what I have for the Standings:

NOTE: I have UnJon as a Week 13 Skip as I could not find any Default Picks for him, but will look again if there is a protest.

SOOPOO 48-28 .6315
JW17 48-29 .6233
Miplet 43-27 .6142
Scolist 46-29 .6133
FourFiveFace 47-30 .6103
GordonM888 47-30 .6103
EdCollins 46-30 .6052
Joeman 45-30 .6000
Unjon 43-29 .5972
DJATC 42-29 .5915
Genwyzgy 40-29 .5797
Mission146 41-30 .5774
PlayYourCardsRight 38-31 .5507
Kuma 41-35 .5394
Michael99000 40-35 .5333
IndyJeffrey 40-37 .5194
Wizard 35-33 .5147
AyeCarumba 39-37 .5131
JohnZimbo 38-38 .5000
Prozema 38-38 .5000
Sparty10k 37-39 .4868
BeachBumBabs 34-38 .4722
GWAE 35-42 .4545
Bruce1 27-35 .4354
OdiousGambit 30-39 .4347
RisingDough 33-43 .4342
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
gordonm888
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December 6th, 2019 at 12:16:15 PM permalink
I would suggest that we use Ayecarumba's lines as official, unless Mission appears and tells us otherwise.

We should continue to send picks to Mission (assuming he will eventually return to the forum and to this thread). However, I think we should also send our picks to another person, as a backup. In my opinion, the most logical person would be BBB, although I have not yet asked her if she would be willing.

So, pending an okay from BBB, I am suggesting we send our picks this week to both Mission and BBB.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
Mission146
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December 6th, 2019 at 12:23:06 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

STANDINGS

Here is what I have for the Standings:

NOTE: I have UnJon as a Week 13 Skip as I could not find any Default Picks for him, but will look again if there is a protest.

SOOPOO 48-28 .6315
JW17 48-29 .6233
Miplet 43-27 .6142
Scolist 46-29 .6133
FourFiveFace 47-30 .6103
GordonM888 47-30 .6103
EdCollins 46-30 .6052
Joeman 45-30 .6000
Unjon 43-29 .5972
DJATC 42-29 .5915
Genwyzgy 40-29 .5797
Mission146 41-30 .5774
PlayYourCardsRight 38-31 .5507
Kuma 41-35 .5394
Michael99000 40-35 .5333
IndyJeffrey 40-37 .5194
Wizard 35-33 .5147
AyeCarumba 39-37 .5131
JohnZimbo 38-38 .5000
Prozema 38-38 .5000
Sparty10k 37-39 .4868
BeachBumBabs 34-38 .4722
GWAE 35-42 .4545
Bruce1 27-35 .4354
OdiousGambit 30-39 .4347
RisingDough 33-43 .4342



Okay, not as much separation as some might think, here are a few observations:

1.) Anyone from PlayYourCardsRight on up can theoretically move into first place in as little as one week, though it would take a lot.

2.) AyeCarumba can theoretically move into a tie for last place this week whereas anyone below AyeCarumba can theoretically move into sole ownership of last place.

3.) With four weeks to go, nobody is as yet mathematically eliminated from winning or from any consolation prizes. Obviously beyond doubtful that 48-52 gets last place for SOOPOO or 57-43 wins it for RisingDough, (or that any such records can even be achieved by either) but these events are still mathematically possible.

4.) There are nine players who can theoretically be at exactly .500 after this week.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
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December 6th, 2019 at 12:24:16 PM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

I would suggest that we use Ayecarumba's lines as official, unless Mission appears and tells us otherwise.

We should continue to send picks to Mission (assuming he will eventually return to the forum and to this thread). However, I think we should also send our picks to another person, as a backup. In my opinion, the most logical person would be BBB, although I have not yet asked her if she would be willing.

So, pending an okay from BBB, I am suggesting we send our picks this week to both Mission and BBB.



Yes, I have confirmed and then posted those lines in the Official Thread.

You guys are good sending the Picks to just me, everything will be fine from here on out.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
unJon
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December 6th, 2019 at 1:14:55 PM permalink
Thanks, Mission. No protest. Skip week was unintentional but I never sent default picks so on me.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
Mission146
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December 6th, 2019 at 1:23:26 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

Thanks, Mission. No protest. Skip week was unintentional but I never sent default picks so on me.



Good deal, thanks!

For you and anyone: Default Picks may be submitted at any time. They did not have to predate Week 1.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
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December 7th, 2019 at 10:22:55 AM permalink
I'm back in town.

Mission, thanks for posting the results this week and for posting the default picks for Wizard and Bruce1, which I did not have. And thanks for confirming the correct picks for Gordonm888 and Genwyzgy.

I did find two mistakes:

1) Wizard's default pic of Bucs Over 47.5 was a loss, not a win. (Only 39 total points scored.)

2) kuma finished 3-3 not 3-2.

These corrections will be reflected in the Week 14 Standings, which I'll post Monday night after the Eagles defeat the Giants.

Here's the updated record of Skip Weeks through Week 13:

BeachBumBabs: Week 6
Bruce1: Week 1
DJATC: Week 3
GenWyzgy: Week 12
miplet: Week 1
PlayYourCardsRight: Week 5
unJon: Week 13
Wizard: Week 10
-----------------------------------
MidwestAP: Week 10, Week 12-13
Mwalz9: Week 7-13
Onenickelmiracle: Week 1, Week 7-13
Paradigm: Week 7, Week 10-13
rdw4potus: Week 5, Week 10-13
Romes: Week 4-9, Week 11-13
EdCollins
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December 7th, 2019 at 10:31:02 AM permalink
Note: If the Vikings had covered the spread Monday Night, I'm in 2nd Place instead of 7th Place. THAT's how tight those top 8 or 9 places are.
Mission146
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December 7th, 2019 at 10:44:44 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

I'm back in town.

Mission, thanks for posting the results this week and for posting the default picks for Wizard and Bruce1, which I did not have. And thanks for confirming the correct picks for Gordonm888 and Genwyzgy.

I did find two mistakes:

1) Wizard's default pic of Bucs Over 47.5 was a loss, not a win. (Only 39 total points scored.)

2) kuma finished 3-3 not 3-2.

These corrections will be reflected in the Week 14 Standings, which I'll post Monday night after the Eagles defeat the Giants.

Here's the updated record of Skip Weeks through Week 13:

BeachBumBabs: Week 6
Bruce1: Week 1
DJATC: Week 3
GenWyzgy: Week 12
miplet: Week 1
PlayYourCardsRight: Week 5
unJon: Week 13
Wizard: Week 10
-----------------------------------
MidwestAP: Week 10, Week 12-13
Mwalz9: Week 7-13
Onenickelmiracle: Week 1, Week 7-13
Paradigm: Week 7, Week 10-13
rdw4potus: Week 5, Week 10-13
Romes: Week 4-9, Week 11-13



Thanks for everything you do, Ed! I'm sorry I didn't have everything up quickly enough for you to get it all done. Also, thank you for the corrections! Been awhile since I have done them all manually.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
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December 8th, 2019 at 8:43:33 AM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 14 Picks are as follows:

Mission146:
Ravens -6
49ers +2.5
Seahawks PK CONFIDENCE
Lions +13
Steelers -2.5

FourFiveFace:
Bills +6
Broncos +9
Saints -2.5-Confidence
Dolphins +5.5
Buccaneers -3

JohnnyQ:
Saints (-2.5)
Browns (-7) CONFIDENCE
Jaguars (+3)
Cardinals (+2.5)
Rams (Pick)

GenWyzgy:
Lions over 43 Confidence
Chiefs +3
Giants under 46
Texans -9
49ers over 44.5

Odiousgambit:
Rams (Pick)
Steelers (-2.5)
Titans (-2.5)
Chargers (-3)
Giants OVER 46

miplet:
Ravens -6
Falcons -3
Dolphins +5.5
Cardinals +2.5
Titans -2.5-confidence

kuma:
Falcons (-3) -- confidence
Lions (over 43)
Buccaneers (-3)
Titans (-2.5)
Eagles (under 46)

DJATC:
Falcons -3 -CONFIDENCE
Chargers UNDER43
Buccaneers -3
Titans -2.5
Giants UNDER46

PlayYourCardsRight:
Ravens -6
49ers +2.5
Chiefs +3
Titans -2.5
Seahawks Pick CONFIDENCE

EdCollins:
Redskins +12.5 (Confidence)
Giants +9.5
Broncos +9
Dolphins +5.5
49ers +2.5

unJon:
Redskins OVER 41.5-confidence
Browns -7
Titans -2.5
49ers +2.5
Dolphins UNDER 45.5

GWAE:
Bengals +7
Lions +13
Dolphins +5.5
Chiefs +3
Steelers -2.5 confidence

Sparty10k:
Broncos +9
Bengals +7–confidence
Jaguars +3
Cardinals +2.5
Seahawks Pick

Gordonm888:
Saints -2.5
Bengals +7
Falcons -3
Dolphins +5.5
Patriots -3 -Confidence

scolist:
Dolphins +5.5
Seahawks PK Confidence
Ravens Over 43.5
Ravens -6
Giants Under 46

Johnzimbo:
Bills +6
Bills over 43.5
Seahawks pick
Seahawks over 47 confidence
Saints under 44.5

IndyJeffrey:
Bills +6
Packers UNDER 41.5
Saints -2.5
Falcons -3-confidence
Titans -2.5

JW17:
Broncos +9 Confidence
Ravens -6
Saints -2.5
Browns -7
Seahawks PK

RisingDough:
Bills+6
Texans-9
Saints-2.5
Patriots-3
Rams pk CONFIDENCE

Beachbumbabs:
Vikings -13
Rams pK - confidence
Jets -5.5
Colts +3
Chargers -3

Michael99000:
Ravens Under 43.5
Redskins under 41.5
Broncos Under 42.5
49ers under 44.5
Bengals Over 41.5 confidence

SOOPOO:
Giants +9.5 Confidence
Chiefs +3
49ers +2.5
Steelers -2.5
Bengals +7

Ayecarumba:
Ravens -6
Redskins +12.5
49ers +2.5 -Confidence
Raiders +2.5
Seahawks -Pick

DEFAULT PICKS:

Wizard:
Bengals OVER 41.5
Bills OVER 43.5
Broncos OVER 42.5
Buccaneers OVER 47
Cardinals OVER 43.5

Bruce1:
Titans OVER 47.5
Steelers OVER 43.5
Giants OVER 46
Falcons OVER 47
Broncos OVER 42.5

PERFECTION BONUS WINNERS:

WEEK 2: DJATC ($6.67), Miplet ($6.67) JohnZimbo ($6.67)

WEEK 6: Gordonm888 ($40)

WEEK 8: Genwyzgy ($20)

WEEK 9: JW17 ($10)

WEEK 11: BeachBumBabs ($10) Scolist ($10)

WEEK 12: Kuma ($10)

WEEK 13: PlayYourCardsRight ($10)

WEEK 14 PERFECTION BONUS: $10
Last edited by: Mission146 on Dec 9, 2019
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
prozema
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December 8th, 2019 at 10:10:52 AM permalink
Ah crap, I forgot to submit picks. Does that mean I'm skipping or taking defaults? I would prefer to use my defaults.
Mission146
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December 8th, 2019 at 10:23:33 AM permalink
Quote: prozema

Ah crap, I forgot to submit picks. Does that mean I'm skipping or taking defaults? I would prefer to use my defaults.



Defaults if you have skipped, skip week if you haven't.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
prozema
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December 8th, 2019 at 10:39:16 AM permalink
Guess Im skipping then. Ok... Thanks.
michael99000
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December 8th, 2019 at 11:01:22 AM permalink
All I need is no points scored these last 3 quarters and my SF/NO under is a winner
EdCollins
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December 8th, 2019 at 1:22:30 PM permalink
Quote: michael99000

All I need is no points scored these last 3 quarters and my SF/NO under is a winner

Thanks for giving me my laugh for the day. I laughed out loud when I read that.
miplet
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December 8th, 2019 at 2:00:24 PM permalink
Quote: michael99000

All I need is no points scored these last 3 quarters and my SF/NO under is a winner

At least it ended in a scorigami!
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DRich
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December 8th, 2019 at 2:08:27 PM permalink
Quote: miplet

At least it ended in a scorigami!



Thank you, I haven't seen that before.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
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