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unJon
unJon
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
  • Threads: 14
  • Posts: 3373
September 9th, 2019 at 8:58:48 PM permalink
Quote: prozema

Everyone who picked the Broncos needs some help.

Joe Cool is a second half QB.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
EdCollins
EdCollins
Joined: Oct 21, 2011
  • Threads: 19
  • Posts: 1539
Thanks for this post from:
IndyJeffreyprozemabeachbumbabs
September 9th, 2019 at 10:13:46 PM permalink
My automated Wizard of Vegas Forum Contest Grading Calculator now generates this weekly consensus table. If it is of interest to anyone, I can post it early each Sunday morning, soon after Mission posts everyone's picks.

Week 1 Consensus
Game Line Total Visitor Home Over Under
Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears
-
-
Los Angeles Rams @ Carolina Panthers
2
50
8
2
1
Tennessee Titans @ Cleveland Browns
-5.5
45.5
4
5
1
3
Kansas City Chiefs @ Jacksonville Jaguars
3.5
52
11
1
4
Baltimore Ravens @ Miami Dolphins
6.5
37.5
6
3
9
Atlanta Falcons @ Minnesota Vikings
-4
47.5
4
2
1
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets
-3
41
7
2
2
4
Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles
-10
46
3
2
9
Indianapolis Colts @ Los Angeles Chargers
-6.5
44.5
2
6
1
Cincinnati Bengals @ Seattle Seahawks
-9.5
44
4
2
1
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals
2.5
46.5
2
4
4
New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys
-7
45.5
7
3
San Francisco 49ers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-1
51
2
1
3
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots
-6
49
3
1
1
3
Houston Texans @ New Orleans Saints
-7
53.5
8
2
1
5
Denver Broncos @ Oakland Raiders
-1.5
43
17
2
EdCollins
EdCollins
Joined: Oct 21, 2011
  • Threads: 19
  • Posts: 1539
Thanks for this post from:
AyecarumbaMission146prozema
September 9th, 2019 at 10:14:48 PM permalink
Thanks to everyone who is participating, thanks to those making additional contributions to the prize fund, and of course thanks to Mission for hosting.

And away we go...

Week 1 Results and Current Standings

unJon (3-3)
Broncos +1.5 Confidence (loss)
Rams -2 (win)
Titans UNDER 45 (loss)
Ravens -6.5 (win)
Texans +7 (win)

MidwestAP (4-2)
Bills +3 (win)
49ers +1 Confidence (win)
Titans +5.5 (win)
Saints UNDER 53.5 (loss)
Broncos +1.5 (loss)

IndyJeffrey (2-4)
Redskins UNDER 46 (loss)
49ers UNDER 51 (win)
Lions UNDER 46.5 Confidence (loss)
Colts UNDER 44.5 (loss)
Broncos UNDER 43 (win)

Sparty10k (2-4)
Rams UNDER 50 (loss)
Giants UNDER 45.5–Confidence (loss)
Steelers UNDER 49 (win)
Texans +7 (win)
Broncos +1.5 (loss)

RisingDough (3-3)
Eagles UNDER 46 (loss)
Ravens OVER 37.5 Confidence (win)
Cowboys -7 (win)
Broncos +1.5 (loss)
Saints UNDER 53.5 (loss)

Romes (5-1)
Bills +3 (win)
Bengals +9.5 (win)
Browns OVER 45.5 (win)
Texans UNDER 53.5 (loss)
Texans +7 Confidence (win)

Wizard (4-2)
Bills (+3) Confidence (win)
Dolphins (+6.5) (loss)
Cowboys (-7) (win)
Steelers (+6) (loss)
Texans (+7) (win)

BeachBumBabs (4-2)
Vikings -4 Confidence (win)
Bengals +9.5 (win)
Chargers -6.5 (loss)
Chiefs -3.5 (win)
Saints -7 (loss)

PlayYourCardsRight (3-3)
Buccaneers -1 (loss)
Chiefs -3.5 (win)
Chiefs UNDER 52 (loss)
Rams -2 Confidence (win)
Broncos +1.5 (loss)

EdCollins (5-1)
Rams -2 Confidence (win)
Cowboys -7 (win)
Chiefs -3.5 (win)
Ravens -6.5 (win)
Seahawks -9.5 (loss)

scolist (4-1)
Chiefs -3.5 (win)
Chargers -6.5 (loss)
Patriots UNDER 49 (win)
Cowboys -7 (win)
Jets UNDER 41 (win)

JohnZimbo (2-4)
Browns -5.5 (loss)
Ravens -6.5 (win)
Lions UNDER 46.5 Confidence (loss)
Cowboys -7 (win)
Saints -7 (loss)

Joeman (3-3)
Ravens -6.5 Confidence (win)
Giants UNDER 45.5 (loss)
Chiefs -3.5 (win)
Browns -5.5 (loss)
Steelers +6 (loss)

Paradigm (2-4)
Broncos +1.5 Confidence (loss)
Steelers +6 (loss)
Steelers UNDER 49 (win)
Dolphins OVER 37.5 (win)
Chargers -6.5 (loss)

FourFiveFace (2-4)
Falcons +4 Confidence (loss)
Redskins +10 (win)
Dolphins +6.5 (loss)
Panthers +2 (loss)
Colts +6.5 (win)

DJATC (2-4)
Redskins UNDER 46 (loss)
Ravens OVER 37.5 Confidence (win)
Chiefs UNDER 52 (loss)
Texans UNDER 53.5 (loss)
Broncos +1.5 (loss)

Mission146 (1-5)
Chiefs -3.5 (win)
Lions -2.5 (loss)
Broncos +1.5 Confidence (loss)
Bills OVER 41 (loss)
Eagles UNDER 46 (loss)

prozema (4-2)
Redskins UNDER 46 (loss)
Ravens OVER 37.5 Confidence (win)
Jaguars UNDER 52 (loss)
Cowboys -7 (win)
Bills +3 (win)

Mwalz9 (5-1)
CHIEFS -3.5 Confidence (win)
PATRIOTS -6 (win)
LIONS -2.5 (loss)
TITANS +5.5 (win)
SAINTS OVER 53.5 (win)

Kuma (3-3)
Eagles UNDER 46 (loss)
Bills +3 (win)
Ravens OVER 37.5 (win)
Texans +7 (win)
Broncos +1.5 Confidence (loss)

rdw4potus (3-3)
Falcons +4 (loss)
Falcons UNDER 47.5 (win)
Broncos +1.5 Confidence (loss)
Broncos UNDER 43 (win)
rams -2 (win)

JW17 (4-2)
Broncos +1.5 Confidence (loss)
Cardinals +2.5 (win)
Chiefs -3.5 (win)
Bengals +9.5 (win)
Buccaneers UNDER 51 (win)

SOOPOO (5-1)
Falcons +4 (loss)
Chiefs -3.5 Confidence (win)
Bills + 3 (win)
Texans +7 (win)
Titans +5.5 (win)

Ayecarumba (3-3)
Ravens -6.5 (win)
Rams -2 (win)
Cardinals +2.5 (win)
Chargers -6.5 (loss)
Browns -5.5 Confidence (loss)

Odiousgambit (1-5)
Eagles -10 Confidence (loss)
Cardinals +2.5 (win)
Seahawks -9.5 (loss)
Texans UNDER 53.5 (loss)
Steelers OVER 49 (loss)

GenWyzgy (3-3)
Redskins UNDER 46 (loss)
Titans UNDER 45.5 Confidence (loss)
Cowboys -7 (win)
Cardinals +2.5 (win)
Bills UNDER 41 (win)

Michael99000 (2-4)
Eagles UNDER 46 Confidence (loss)
Jets OVER 41 (loss)
Dolphins OVER 37.5 (win)
Buccaneers UNDER 51 (win)
Jaguars UNDER 52 (loss)

GWAE (1-5)
Jets -3 (loss)
Browns -5.5 (loss)
Rams -2 (win)
Bengals OVER 44 (loss)
Chargers -6.5 Confidence (loss)

JohnnyQ (5-1)
Redskins (+10) Confidence (win)
Dolphins (+6.5) (loss)
Titans (+5.5) (win)
Bengals (+9.5) (win)
Texans (+7) (win)

Gordonm888 (3-3)
Jets UNDER 41 (Confidence) (win)
Jets -3 (loss)
Jaguars +3.5 (loss)
Panthers +2 (loss)
Colts +6.5 (win)

Name Wins Losses %
EdCollins 5 1 83.33%
JohnnyQ 5 1 83.33%
Mwalz9 5 1 83.33%
Romes 5 1 83.33%
SOOPOO 5 1 83.33%
scolist 4 1 80.00%
BeachBumBabs 4 2 66.67%
JW17 4 2 66.67%
MidwestAP 4 2 66.67%
prozema 4 2 66.67%
Wizard 4 2 66.67%
Ayecarumba 3 3 50.00%
GenWyzgy 3 3 50.00%
Gordonm888 3 3 50.00%
Joeman 3 3 50.00%
Kuma 3 3 50.00%
PlayYourCardsRight 3 3 50.00%
rdw4potus 3 3 50.00%
RisingDough 3 3 50.00%
unJon 3 3 50.00%
DJATC 2 4 33.33%
FourFiveFace 2 4 33.33%
IndyJeffrey 2 4 33.33%
JohnZimbo 2 4 33.33%
Michael99000 2 4 33.33%
Paradigm 2 4 33.33%
Sparty10k 2 4 33.33%
GWAE 1 5 16.67%
Mission146 1 5 16.67%
Odiousgambit 1 5 16.67%
Totals 93 86 51.96%



Record of Skip Weeks

Week 1: N/A (If anyone submits picks in Week 2 who did not submit any picks in Week 1, they will then be considered a Week 1 Skip.)


Perfection Bonus Amount

Now $20.00.
PlayYourCardsRight
PlayYourCardsRight
Joined: Dec 29, 2011
  • Threads: 8
  • Posts: 170
Thanks for this post from:
EdCollinsMission146beachbumbabs
September 9th, 2019 at 10:44:00 PM permalink
One weekend, and I've already gotten a head start on being the most average. Come and get me, suckers and 😂🤣😂🤣
Romes
Romes
Joined: Jul 22, 2014
  • Threads: 28
  • Posts: 5552
Thanks for this post from:
Mission146mwalz9
September 9th, 2019 at 11:11:58 PM permalink
Ugh, first half 14-3 was looking like the perfection bonus with Texas/Saints UNDER 53.5... Drew put up a hell of a second half to push me back on the 5-1. Not a bad first week though =).
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
Joined: Nov 17, 2009
  • Threads: 236
  • Posts: 6763
Thanks for this post from:
Mission146
September 10th, 2019 at 12:02:59 AM permalink
Quote: PlayYourCardsRight

One weekend, and I've already gotten a head start on being the most average. Come and get me, suckers and 😂🤣😂🤣



hehe.... Nice try, but who's #1 on the average list?.... Thank you alphabetical sorting!

I'm not sure how I feel about the Brown's disappointing meltdown. I predict a bounce back in week 2!
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
GWAE
GWAE
Joined: Sep 20, 2013
  • Threads: 93
  • Posts: 9854
Thanks for this post from:
Mission146gordonm888
September 10th, 2019 at 2:56:46 AM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

This is an interesting experiment, but it could be expensive. It seem to me that the aggregate pick success of the contestants last year was below 50%. And that started from week 1 - so, clearly, no one was tanking to win a "You Suck" award.

Also, the 17 picks for the Broncos were based largely on the stale line after Antonio Brown was dismissed from the Raiders. So, if you're betting $170 on the current, updated line then . . . um . . . good luck! 'Cause you don't have the perceived edge that motivated all those picks.


Edit: OMG, the Dolphins suck epicly



damn you gordon. You brought my error to my attention so I got out of the bet.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
GWAE
GWAE
Joined: Sep 20, 2013
  • Threads: 93
  • Posts: 9854
Thanks for this post from:
Mission146
September 10th, 2019 at 2:58:11 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

My automated Wizard of Vegas Forum Contest Grading Calculator now generates this weekly consensus table. If it is of interest to anyone, I can post it early each Sunday morning, soon after Mission posts everyone's picks.

Week 1 Consensus

Game Line Total Visitor Home Over Under
Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears
-
-
Los Angeles Rams @ Carolina Panthers
2
50
8
2
1
Tennessee Titans @ Cleveland Browns
-5.5
45.5
4
5
1
3
Kansas City Chiefs @ Jacksonville Jaguars
3.5
52
11
1
4
Baltimore Ravens @ Miami Dolphins
6.5
37.5
6
3
9
Atlanta Falcons @ Minnesota Vikings
-4
47.5
4
2
1
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets
-3
41
7
2
2
4
Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles
-10
46
3
2
9
Indianapolis Colts @ Los Angeles Chargers
-6.5
44.5
2
6
1
Cincinnati Bengals @ Seattle Seahawks
-9.5
44
4
2
1
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals
2.5
46.5
2
4
4
New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys
-7
45.5
7
3
San Francisco 49ers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-1
51
2
1
3
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots
-6
49
3
1
1
3
Houston Texans @ New Orleans Saints
-7
53.5
8
2
1
5
Denver Broncos @ Oakland Raiders
-1.5
43
17
2



I don't know if you saw the betting that I am doing but yes if your system does it automatically it would be great help to me because I am placing bets based on these. It took me about 30 min to do it manually.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
mwalz9
mwalz9
Joined: Feb 7, 2012
  • Threads: 51
  • Posts: 745
September 10th, 2019 at 6:21:13 AM permalink
Duplicate post.

Sorry!
mwalz9
mwalz9
Joined: Feb 7, 2012
  • Threads: 51
  • Posts: 745
Thanks for this post from:
Mission146Romes
September 10th, 2019 at 6:22:19 AM permalink
Quote: Romes

Ugh, first half 14-3 was looking like the perfection bonus with Texas/Saints UNDER 53.5... Drew put up a hell of a second half to push me back on the 5-1. Not a bad first week though =).



I feel ya. I had the Lions for a perfection bonus. Look how that one ended!

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