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Pinit2winit
Pinit2winit
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November 15th, 2015 at 4:00:30 PM permalink
ill have 3 with az/cinci. I took your 7 picks for 5 i cannot remember if cards were +3 or +3.5. It was at william hill. Debating a hedge if Giants cover. 5 to win 500 for me or i could hedge seahawks for 250 guarenteed

Edit: what happens if they lose by 3? Do ties reduce to next level at William hill or just push or lose?
teddys
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November 15th, 2015 at 4:36:52 PM permalink
Quote: Pinit2winit

ill have 3 with az/cinci. I took your 7 picks for 5 i cannot remember if cards were +3 or +3.5. It was at william hill. Debating a hedge if Giants cover. 5 to win 500 for me or i could hedge seahawks for 250 guarenteed

Edit: what happens if they lose by 3? Do ties reduce to next level at William hill or just push or lose?



DO NOT HEDGE.

It had to have been for +3.5 if you were playing the half-point card.
"Dice, verily, are armed with goads and driving-hooks, deceiving and tormenting, causing grievous woe." -Rig Veda 10.34.4
Pinit2winit
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November 15th, 2015 at 4:51:26 PM permalink
It was on the app under single sport parlay and i added legs that way. Not sure


Edit.... yeah i F'd that one up. i see now the "mobile parlay card"
AxelWolf
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November 15th, 2015 at 5:17:52 PM permalink
Quote: teddys

DO NOT HEDGE.

BS.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
muleyvoice
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November 15th, 2015 at 5:22:09 PM permalink
Has Father Time caught up with Peyton Manning ? 4 interception in 2 and 1/2 quarters and benched.
beachbumbabs
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November 15th, 2015 at 5:41:43 PM permalink
Go CARDS!!!!!!
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
Pinit2winit
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November 15th, 2015 at 6:22:07 PM permalink
About not hedging. ... isn't that ap cashing in on guarenteed money instead of leaving risk out there?
djatc
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November 15th, 2015 at 6:43:30 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Titans +5.5 was a huge card killer for me, putting me at 3-1 on games resolved so far. If Bears +7.5 and Minn +3.5 cover, which are looking good, I'll have two live cards hinging on Ariz +3.5.



SEA by 3 for best results. I have my seahawks cap on.
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
beachbumbabs
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November 15th, 2015 at 6:50:32 PM permalink
Quote: djatc

SEA by 3 for best results. I have my seahawks cap on.



Depends on who's defining "best". I have AZ moneyline. But I'd be happy enough with SEA by 2. Safety!!...lol.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
Pinit2winit
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November 15th, 2015 at 6:57:38 PM permalink
I really just dislike the Hawks after how rude lynch and Sherman were the years they were good. Publicly acted like idiots
Wizard
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November 15th, 2015 at 7:05:20 PM permalink
19-0 Cards as of this writing! Hope you all rode my coattails this week.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
djatc
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November 15th, 2015 at 7:10:47 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

19-0 Cards as of this writing! Hope you all rode my coattails this week.



DID YOU HEDGE DONT LIE
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
Wizard
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November 15th, 2015 at 7:20:51 PM permalink
Quote: djatc

DID YOU HEDGE DONT LIE



No!!!
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
teddys
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November 15th, 2015 at 8:42:19 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

19-0 Cards as of this writing! Hope you all rode my coattails this week.

WIZARD HUBRIS

Edit: Nice win.
"Dice, verily, are armed with goads and driving-hooks, deceiving and tormenting, causing grievous woe." -Rig Veda 10.34.4
Pinit2winit
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November 15th, 2015 at 9:17:35 PM permalink
WOOOOOOTTTTTTT
beachbumbabs
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November 15th, 2015 at 9:18:04 PM permalink
<clap clap clap clap clap> Go Cards! Go Wizard! Yeehaw! (what a great TD @ 2 min). Hang on, redbirds!
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
Pinit2winit
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November 15th, 2015 at 9:19:56 PM permalink
MY kid (3yr old) "GO LITTLE RED BIRDS!!!"

Edit" Thanks Wiz!!
Wizard
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November 15th, 2015 at 9:40:33 PM permalink
Whew! Thank you. What a game. I'm exhausted just watching it. Had lots of prop bets on it to, which went very well for the most part. Got great odds on a high number of field goals by Arizona at 5dimes. Some square must have been pounding it the other way.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Frogger
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November 16th, 2015 at 5:25:00 AM permalink
That would make for an interesting thread! What other prop bets did you have?
Pinit2winit
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November 17th, 2015 at 1:41:22 AM permalink
Sooooo how about them pick'ems this week... haha amazing how 1 week can change the whole NFL and spreads.
Wizard
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November 19th, 2015 at 3:42:46 PM permalink
Ready for week 11! Here is the William Hill Card.

Underdog Favorite Market on Underdog
Ten +2.5 Jax 3 (-120)
Det +1.5 Oak 1
Dal +0.5 Mia PK
Indy +5.5 Atl 5.5
StL +1.5 Bal 2.5 (EV)
Hou +1.5 NYJ -1
GB +0.5 Min 1
TB +5.5 Phil 5.5
Den +0.5 Chic 1
Cin +4.5 Ariz 5
SF +12.5 Sea 12.5
SD +3.5 KC 3 (EV)
Buff +7.5 NE 7 (-105)


At this early point (Thursday 3:30 PM) there isn't much there. In fact, here is what little there is:

Pick Basis Points
Jax -2.5 8
SD +3.5 14
Buff +7.5 12


Jax -2.5 is today too. Remember you need to get to 53 basis points to break even.

Maybe with some line movements we'll get to 53 but it may also be one of those weeks to sit out.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Pinit2winit
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November 20th, 2015 at 12:26:15 AM permalink
At which point spread does Cinci over AZ become a good play?
Wizard
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November 20th, 2015 at 2:38:39 AM permalink
Quote: Pinit2winit

At which point spread does Cinci over AZ become a good play?



If Cinci falls to a 3.5 point underdog in the market getting 4.5 points would be a good play, worth 17 basis points. If they only to fall to 4 they would still be worth 10 basis points, which might make for a good filler if you have other more solid picks.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
z2newton
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November 20th, 2015 at 12:23:30 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Ready for week 11! Here is the William Hill Card.

Underdog Favorite Market on Underdog
Ten +2.5 Jax 3 (-120)
Det +1.5 Oak 1
Dal +0.5 Mia PK
Indy +5.5 Atl 5.5
StL +1.5 Bal 2.5 (EV)
Hou +1.5 NYJ -1
GB +0.5 Min 1
TB +5.5 Phil 5.5
Den +0.5 Chic 1
Cin +4.5 Ariz 5
SF +12.5 Sea 12.5
SD +3.5 KC 3 (EV)
Buff +7.5 NE 7 (-105)



Thanks wizard. Looks like you left off one game. Washington @ Carolina.
Wizard
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November 20th, 2015 at 1:05:37 PM permalink
Quote: z2newton

Thanks wizard. Looks like you left off one game. Washington @ Carolina.



It wasn't on the card. Maybe it was circled at the time of printing.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
z2newton
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November 20th, 2015 at 3:42:56 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

It wasn't on the card. Maybe it was circled at the time of printing.



Too bad. Carolina is at -7. Looks like it has been most of the week.
Pinit2winit
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November 21st, 2015 at 6:03:24 AM permalink
-7.5 on the mobile parlay card
Wizard
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November 21st, 2015 at 1:44:09 PM permalink
Here is an update on week 11

Underdog Favorite Market on Underdog
Ten +2.5 Jax 0
Det +1.5 Oak -1
Dal +0.5 Mia -1
Indy +5.5 Atl 5
StL +1.5 Bal 2.5 (-105)
Hou +1.5 NYJ 3 (+105)
GB +0.5 Min 1
TB +5.5 Phil 5.5
Den +0.5 Chic -1
Cin +4.5 Ariz 4.5
SF +12.5 Sea 12.5
SD +3.5 KC 3 (+105)
Buff +7.5 NE 7 (-115)


Not a very good week. I love NYJ -1.5 with 29 basis points. Big line movement on that game. WH may take if off the cards. Here are my picks:

Pick Basis Points
Det +1.5 12
Bal -1.5 8
NYJ -1.5 29
Buff +7.5 9


I think I'll just bet these four this week. Normally I don't like the pick-4 cards but this will be one of those exceptions.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Pinit2winit
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November 21st, 2015 at 7:37:40 PM permalink
You lIke a 4 team or straight bet on jets more?

Edit: damn weekend shift... by the time I read this it's already 3.5 jets +.5 lions -2.5 ravens.... looks like I'm sitting with the bets I already have. Good luck to you though! !
Wizard
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November 21st, 2015 at 8:42:20 PM permalink
Quote: Pinit2winit

You lIke a 4 team or straight bet on jets more?



I never make straight bets against the spread.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Pinit2winit
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November 21st, 2015 at 10:42:14 PM permalink
Thanks, good to know :D
clamchowder
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November 22nd, 2015 at 12:26:06 AM permalink
I bet today at WH in Reno. Added Wash +7.5 which was on the Northern Nevada cards.

No issues with Jets -1.5 although the cards had the usual delay for approval.

Peppermill had Lions +2.5 but the Chargers are +3 since it is not a true half-point card.
Pinit2winit
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November 22nd, 2015 at 8:33:48 PM permalink
For some reason i knew the chargers was a terrible play. People arent conviced the chiefs are good but because they are wishy washy but the matchup of corners to recievers and visa versa was in thier favor today big time. San Diego just plain sucks.
Pinit2winit
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November 22nd, 2015 at 9:35:12 PM permalink
WHOH panthers +1.5 against cowboys.... get the line before they take it down....
z2newton
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November 23rd, 2015 at 8:13:49 PM permalink
So here is a question I hope someone can answer (Wizard?). How does the number of games per week affect your chance of success if any? I started thinking about this a couple of weeks ago when I was surprised to see 6 teams on a bye week instead of the usual 4 and I always skip the Thursday game. Now with Thanksgiving coming up there a three games on thursday leaving 11 games on sunday to choose from.
Wizard
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November 23rd, 2015 at 9:07:56 PM permalink
Quote: z2newton

So here is a question I hope someone can answer (Wizard?). How does the number of games per week affect your chance of success if any?



The more games to choose from the better.

Week 12 is not looking good. I assume the Thanksgiving games will be on the card but so much of the value is in waiting until Saturday on the line movements.

Did anybody make anything in week 11? 4 of the 5 plays I gave you guys won.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Pinit2winit
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November 24th, 2015 at 12:07:42 AM permalink
I just parlayed the first 4 you gave and lost due to the jets. I lost my own 12 team teaser only due to the vikings losing by more than 9.5... a shame. I did make a bet on the cowboys that pulled through as well as a parlay on the money line for the pats along with timberwolves (kinda counts eh?)
z2newton
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November 24th, 2015 at 11:32:56 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

The more games to choose from the better.

Week 12 is not looking good. I assume the Thanksgiving games will be on the card but so much of the value is in waiting until Saturday on the line movements.

Did anybody make anything in week 11? 4 of the 5 plays I gave you guys won.




I considered betting saturday night but it didn't look very appealing so I stayed put. There were a couple of good line moves by sunday morning but I didn't get up in time to do anything.
AxelWolf
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November 26th, 2015 at 4:27:43 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

The more games to choose from the better.

Week 12 is not looking good. I assume the Thanksgiving games will be on the card but so much of the value is in waiting until Saturday on the line movements.

Did anybody make anything in week 11? 4 of the 5 plays I gave you guys won.

We had one 5 team hit, but barley made anything. A measly +$350 profit for week 11 - $15 tip for the teller(better than a poke in the eye with a sharp stick).
-----------
Who's betting tomorrows games?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
Pinit2winit
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November 26th, 2015 at 10:45:49 AM permalink
Me as usual. If you parlay the monet lines on cards bengals green bay and buccs it pays 4-1
Wizard
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November 26th, 2015 at 10:45:50 AM permalink
It's time for week 12! Here is the William Hill card.

Underdog Favorite Market on Underdog
Phil +1.5 Det 0
Car +1.5 Dal PK
Chic +8.5 GB 8
NO +2.5 Texans 3
Min +0.5 Atl 1
StL +8.5 Cin 8
TB +3.5 Indy 3
Wash +2.5 NYG 2.5 (EV)
Ten +1.5 Oak 1.5
Buffalo +6.5 KC 6.5
Mia +3.5 NYJ 3.5 (-120)
SD +3.5 Jack 4
SF +10.5 Ariz 10
Pit +3.5 Sea 3.5
Den +2.5 NEP 3 (-120)
Bal +2.5 Clev 3


The first three games are today and Det/Phil is being played as I write this.

Here are some of my picks for this week as of Thursday morning.

Pick Basis Points
Hou -2.5 18
TB +3.5 24
SF +10.5 14
NEP -2.5 8
Clev -2.5 18


I'll wait until Saturday as usual to see how the lines move.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
NokTang
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November 26th, 2015 at 3:46:51 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard


Pick Basis Points
Hou -2.5 18
TB +3.5 24
Ariz +10.5 14
NEP -2.5 8
Clev -2.5 18


I'll wait until Saturday as usual to see how the lines move.



Hello from Asia. Many thanks. You might notice a typo on the Ariz plus 10.5. While most know it's a typo, there are millions out there in the world who might not. Happy Thanksgiving.
djatc
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November 26th, 2015 at 4:25:00 PM permalink
Quote: NokTang

Quote: Wizard


Pick Basis Points
Hou -2.5 18
TB +3.5 24
Ariz +10.5 14
NEP -2.5 8
Clev -2.5 18


I'll wait until Saturday as usual to see how the lines move.



Hello from Asia. Many thanks. You might notice a typo on the Ariz plus 10.5. While most know it's a typo, there are millions out there in the world who might not. Happy Thanksgiving.



Ya ill bet $eleventy dollars
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
Wizard
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November 28th, 2015 at 7:30:46 AM permalink
There have been lots of line movements since my last post. Here is an updated look at week 12, as of early Saturday morning.

Underdog Favorite Market on Underdog
NO +2.5 Texans +3 (+105)
Min +0.5 Atl 1
StL +8.5 Cin 9
TB +3.5 Indy +3 (-120)
Wash +2.5 NYG 2.5 (-105)
Ten +1.5 Oak 1.5
Buffalo +6.5 KC 6
Mia +3.5 NYJ +4 (-115)
SD +3.5 Jack 4.5
SF +10.5 Ariz 10
Pit +3.5 Sea 3.5
Den +2.5 NEP +3 (-125)
Bal +2.5 Clev 3


Here are my picks:

Pick Basis Points
Texas -2.5 33
TB +3.5 34
Buffalo +6.5 10
NYJ -3.5 9
Jack -3.5 11
SF +10.5 14
Clev -2.5 18


Even with only 13 games, there are plenty of ripe picks.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
TomG
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November 28th, 2015 at 6:36:44 PM permalink
Already won early with Detroit +0.5 and Chicago +9.5, so if there is ever a week to win big. . .

Very heavy on Houston -2.5, Tampa +3.5, Denver +3.5, and Cleveland -2.5

Only bet on Jacksonville -3.5 tonight. Took San Francisco +10.5 off the board, so didn't put them on any cards.
Pinit2winit
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November 29th, 2015 at 1:52:07 PM permalink
Tb screwed my parlays but I layer heavy on chiefs by the spread. About 75% of bankroll for a nice boost to my sports betting account.

Edit: who thinks browns are going to smash the ravens?
Wizard
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November 29th, 2015 at 2:18:40 PM permalink
I'm 2-3 on games resolved so far. At least I don't have to sweat SF and Cleveland.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Pinit2winit
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November 29th, 2015 at 5:10:34 PM permalink
Broncos with an upset, im smelling it.
Wizard
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December 3rd, 2015 at 8:51:49 PM permalink
Here is the William Hill week 13 card.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Pinit2winit
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December 3rd, 2015 at 8:55:31 PM permalink
Good numbers for the favorites in my opinion. GL all
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