The Week 3 Results can be found here, with the new Standings in the post immediately below:
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/2/#post271607
Okay, so we are 223-303 for .424 on regular picks. We're a bit worse on Confidence Picks with a record of 23-36 for .390.
The combined record is 246-339 for .421...and that barely rounded up!
Our collective record, awful as it was, absolutely plummeted after last week. I can honestly say that I am not helping matters with my own Picks.
Oh well, Week 4 beckons, the lines will be out Thursday at around 0:00 EST. Regression to the mean is sometimes a beautiful thing.
It has been pointed out to me that ZoomZoom8 took the under on the Redskins for Week 2, the result was Over, but the program scored it as a win. I don't believe that I can actually go in and change records around in the program, so I have exactly no idea why the program did that.
This seems to be the only such game so far in which something like this happened, so for the time being, I'm just going to remember to adjust ZoomZoom8's record at the end.
Quote: Mission146It has been pointed out to me that ZoomZoom8 took the under on the Redskins for Week 2, the result was Over, but the program scored it as a win. I don't believe that I can actually go in and change records around in the program, so I have exactly no idea why the program did that.
This seems to be the only such game so far in which something like this happened, so for the time being, I'm just going to remember to adjust ZoomZoom8's record at the end.
This is old news, right? We caught this last week, right here in the forum. The program saw the word "under" and saw the spread (49.5) and thought he picked the "49ers Under." (The 49er/Seahawk game that week was a win for the under.)
This bug was fixed last week. The latest version of the program (1.24) now correctly grades his Week 2 "Redskins Under" as a loss.
ZoomZoom should be 1-5 in Week 2 and 7-11 overall, after three weeks.
The Week 4 Lines are as follows:
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/2/#post272336
Please make the hurting stop, I've never picked this badly to start the season in my life!!!
Quote: deedubbsI just discovered Ed's spreadsheet. Thanks, Ed! Anyone feel like uploading an updated version for me, so I don' t have to punch in the first few weeks?
No problem. My pleasure.
The latest version, with the data (picks) from the first three weeks:
http://www.edcollins.com/wov_nfl_football_contest_calculator_version_1.31.xlsm
The Week 4 reminders have been sent out.
Quote: ten2winAny thoughts as to New England being +1 against Atlanta this week?
Easiest bet on the board. O/U is way too low on that game, too.
Injuries on both sides will make it interesting.Quote: rdw4potusEasiest bet on the board. O/U is way too low on that game, too.
The Week 4 Picks can be found here:
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/2/#post273129
1.) It looks as though our leader, StrictlyAP, is taking the week off.
2.) AssWhooperMcDaddy took the under on both the Jets game and the Titans game. However, the Titans play the Jets, so one of those picks has been removed.
1 vote for a pick, 2 for confidence of course
Most Love Seahawks 15
2nd most love Cowboys 13 Chiefs 13
Least Love Lions 1
2nd least love Bucs 2 Titans 2 Dolphins 2
Most Action Seahawks/Texans 24
2nd most action Cowboys/Chargers 23
Least Action Jets/Titans 10
2nd least action Dolphins/Saints 11
Most lopsided action
Bears 12 Lions 1
2nd most lopsided action
Chiefs 13 Giants 2
Even Action
Colts 5 Jags 5
Quote: terapinedHere's the rundown on our group picks for this week...
...Least Love - Lions 1
And, as I almost expected, this probably means they will win, given the group's current track record.
Sure enough, as I type this, right now they're further ahead than any other team. :)
Quote: EdCollinsAnd, as I almost expected, this probably means they will win, given the group's current track record.
Sure enough, as I type this, right now they're further ahead than any other team. :)
Yea of little faith!
I"d didn't like the -3, so passed on it. Yeah, me of little faith too :)
Decided to visit the retired pastor of our church, who had baptized Josie, and he always cheers Josie up.
Once again my timing was F***ING perfect.
He was home as was his wife. Just got a second opinion. First Doctor said his organs were shutting down and Pastor
Dick would not live till Christmas. Second doctor recommended Hospice and said 30 days at most.
His soon-to-be widow asked Josie to stop in and visit once or twice a week. And Josie will.
Logging out now and probably just sign on once a week to post my picks.
Maybe twice as I may have to brag about leading this pool soon.
Quote: Mission146
2.) AssWhooperMcDaddy took the under on both the Jets game and the Titans game. However, the Titans play the Jets, so one of those picks has been removed.
Just curious, what is the treatment of this situation? I am sure it was an honest mistake, so no problem, but depending on the precedent, there could be an angle late in the season to make this mistake.
Quote: deedubbsJust curious, what is the treatment of this situation? I am sure it was an honest mistake, so no problem, but depending on the precedent, there could be an angle late in the season to make this mistake.
I should catch these ahead of time, but I have been relying on the program to do all the work for me and getting lazy. In fact, I used to compile all the picks in a self-PM as they were coming in, and now I just verify that I have them and compile them all at once when time expires.
I'm probably going to need to get back to verifying all of the Picks starting this week, that way this sort of thing will be noticed sooner.
Quote: YouCanBetOnThat5-0. That's more like it.
Nicely done!
3-1 with a ND, but after the way this season has started for me, I'll gladly take it. It's my first winning week.
The Week 4 Results can be found here, with the Standings immediately below:
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/2/#post273820
1.) At 94-90 overall, as a group, we experienced our first winning week. Coincidentally, I also experienced my first winning week this week, so let's hope both streaks continue! (You guys get the same amount from me anyway, but my ego's still on the line!)
2.) Our Regular Picks improve to 309-379 for .449, surprisingly (given the winning week) Confidence Picks are even worse, having gone 8-14 this week to bring them down to 31-50 for .383 overall. The overall record is 340-429 for .442 overall.
3.) I found this interesting, within .5%, or $0.50, $25.00 is what I would owe if I were actually in the game in that sense and if the game ended today.
4.) That's all I have, Positive Variance to all in Week 5, Lines will be posted around 0:00 on Thursday!
I'm still on your six. Just a few cars between us to hide the surveillance! Good on you, cess! heeheehee...
The Week 5 Lines have been posted:
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/2/#post274768
Quote: Mission146Greetings!
The Week 5 Lines have been posted:
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/2/#post274768
No Over/Unders this week? I see how it is Mission, I finally get a winning week and you take out the only thing I could pick correctly :-)
I assume it was an oversight. Any way you can post the Over/Under numbers as well?
Thanks.
I figured Id go ahead and post what they were at this time, in this UNOFFICIAL thread/post so everyone had an idea, just in case Mission didnt get back for a while- didnt want them to change a whole lot from the same that the other lines were taken from-
Mission feel free to use this data, I was just trying to catch it quick just in case it was oversight.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Buffalo Bills Cleveland Browns N/A
Kansas City Chiefs Tennessee Titans 38.5
Baltimore Ravens Miami Dolphins 43.5
Jacksonville Jaguars St. Louis Rams 41.5
New England Patriots Cincinnati Bengals 45
Seattle Seahawks Indianapolis Colts 43.5
Detroit Lions Green Bay Packers 53.5
New Orleans Saints Chicago Bears 48.5
Philadelphia Eagles New York Giants 53
Carolina Panthers Arizona Cardinals 41.5
San Diego Chargers Oakland Raiders 45
Denver Broncos Dallas Cowboys 56
Houston Texans San Francisco 49ers 41.5
New York Jets Atlanta Falcons 43
Quote: duckmankillaNo Over/Unders this week? I see how it is Mission, I finally get a winning week and you take out the only thing I could pick correctly :-)
I assume it was an oversight. Any way you can post the Over/Under numbers as well?
Thanks.
Fecal Matter!
No problem, let me copy/paste the ones posted after your post!
Thanks, Malaru!!!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/2/#post275228
The Week 5 reminders have now been sent.
The Week 5 Picks have been posted:
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/3/#post275887
It appears that RStrata and MidwestAP are skipping this week.
She picked both Detroit and Green Bay... and they play each other. Furthermore, both lines listed (+1 and -2.5) are not the correct lines.
She picked the Vikings and they have a bye.
She picked the Vikings over. (And again, they have a bye.)
Cut and paste error?
Lots of love overall for the visiting teams this week.
1 vote for a pick, 2 for confidence of course
Most Love
Chiefs 24
Pats 23
Seahawks 19
Least Love
Rams 1
Giants 1
49'ers 1
Most action
Chiefs/Titans 31
Seahawks/Colts 26
Pats/Bengals 25
Least action
Panthers/cards 6
Ravens/Dolphins 7
Jags/Rams 8
Most lopsided action
Texans 14 49'ers 1
Eagles 13 Giants 1
Pats 23 Bengals 2
Closest to even action
Ravens 3 Dolphins 2
Falcons 6 Jets 4
Overall the action among us is very lopsided in just about every game. I'd hate to be a bookie taking our action.
Either Our group will crush this weekend or get crushed.
Quote: terapinedHere's the rundown on our group picks for this week.
1 vote for a pick, 2 for confidence of course
Most Love
Chiefs 24
Pats 23
Seahawks 19
Least Love
Rams 1
Giants 1
49'ers 1
Most action
Chiefs/Titans 31
Seahawks/Colts 26
Pats/Bengals 25
Least action
Panthers/cards 6
Ravens/Dolphins 7
Jags/Rams 8
Most lopsided action
Texans 14 49'ers 1
Eagles 13 Giants 1
Pats 23 Bengals 2
Closest to even action
Ravens 3 Dolphins 2
Falcons 6 Jets 4
Hmm, Terapin my stats dont quite matchup-
Most Love: Pats & Chiefs, 22 each
2nd most loved: Seahawks 20
Least Love: 49ers, 1
2nd least love: Dolphins, Rams, Bengles, Giants, & Panthers, 2
Most Action: Cheifs vs. Titans, 26
2nd most action: Patriots vs. Bengles, 24
Least Action: Ravens vs. Dolphins & Panthers vs. Cardinals, 6
2nd least action: Jags vs. Rams, 8
Most lopsided action: Texans (15) vs. 49ers (1)
2nd most lopsided action: Patriots (22), vs. Bengles (2)
No even action games
Most Confidence: Chiefs (5)
2nd Most Confidence: Texans (4)
Im showing 49ers as only team with just one pick, Giants & Rams both having two.- (boz & Odious on Giants for example) - and I also just to see how it looks, took out the extra confidence so obviously thats going to make some of yours more- but yea, only one team had only one pick- which changes the lopsided action, ect.. just.. looking it over. :)
Quote: MalaruIm showing 49ers as only team with just one pick, Giants & Rams both having two.- (boz & Odious on Giants for example) - and I also just to see how it looks, took out the extra confidence so obviously thats going to make some of yours more- but yea, only one team had only one pick- which changes the lopsided action, ect.. just.. looking it over. :)
Some of my figures might be wrong. Compiled this quickly and starting early on recreational substances. But then some of your figures are in error but no biggie.
For instance, Odious didn't pick the Giants to cover, he picked the Giant/Eagles game to score under 53.
What's actually funny is that you thought Odious picked Giants when in reality, he actually picked their opponent Eagles to cover. LOL
He thinks the Eagles will beat the Giants and has 1 point and he thinks it will be a low scoring game.