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Malaru
Malaru
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September 23rd, 2013 at 7:30:10 PM permalink
Well my first week was 1-5, last week I went 4-1 and this week as its going at half time of the Denver game- I stand to be 5-1 so nice come back after a bad first week, depending if Denver lets me down. if they dont Ill be 10-7 and Ill take that. :) So that gets me close to 60% (.588?) Making a good comeback.
"Although men flatter themselves with their great actions, they are not so often the result of a great design as of chance." - Francois De La Rochefoucauld
Mission146
Mission146
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September 23rd, 2013 at 9:52:26 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 3 Results can be found here, with the new Standings in the post immediately below:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/2/#post271607

Okay, so we are 223-303 for .424 on regular picks. We're a bit worse on Confidence Picks with a record of 23-36 for .390.

The combined record is 246-339 for .421...and that barely rounded up!

Our collective record, awful as it was, absolutely plummeted after last week. I can honestly say that I am not helping matters with my own Picks.

Oh well, Week 4 beckons, the lines will be out Thursday at around 0:00 EST. Regression to the mean is sometimes a beautiful thing.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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September 23rd, 2013 at 10:17:14 PM permalink
Okay,

It has been pointed out to me that ZoomZoom8 took the under on the Redskins for Week 2, the result was Over, but the program scored it as a win. I don't believe that I can actually go in and change records around in the program, so I have exactly no idea why the program did that.

This seems to be the only such game so far in which something like this happened, so for the time being, I'm just going to remember to adjust ZoomZoom8's record at the end.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
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September 23rd, 2013 at 10:28:53 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

It has been pointed out to me that ZoomZoom8 took the under on the Redskins for Week 2, the result was Over, but the program scored it as a win. I don't believe that I can actually go in and change records around in the program, so I have exactly no idea why the program did that.

This seems to be the only such game so far in which something like this happened, so for the time being, I'm just going to remember to adjust ZoomZoom8's record at the end.


This is old news, right? We caught this last week, right here in the forum. The program saw the word "under" and saw the spread (49.5) and thought he picked the "49ers Under." (The 49er/Seahawk game that week was a win for the under.)

This bug was fixed last week. The latest version of the program (1.24) now correctly grades his Week 2 "Redskins Under" as a loss.

ZoomZoom should be 1-5 in Week 2 and 7-11 overall, after three weeks.
Mission146
Mission146
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September 23rd, 2013 at 11:02:18 PM permalink
Oh, that's right, sorry about that!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
duckmankilla
duckmankilla
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September 24th, 2013 at 7:53:52 AM permalink
3-13. We were going for fewest wins in this pool, correct? smh.
Mission146
Mission146
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September 24th, 2013 at 9:50:36 AM permalink
I sure am, thank God for pushes!!!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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September 24th, 2013 at 5:41:23 PM permalink
Man, I hate the Giants... I'm pretty sure they hate me too.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
beachbumbabs
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September 25th, 2013 at 9:40:34 AM permalink
Mediocrity (me) loves company! Nice job, miplet!
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
Mission146
Mission146
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September 25th, 2013 at 9:26:26 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 4 Lines are as follows:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/2/#post272336

Please make the hurting stop, I've never picked this badly to start the season in my life!!!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
EdCollins
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September 25th, 2013 at 9:31:56 PM permalink
I'm sure most everyone is aware of it, but just in case you're not, the Steelers/Vikings game on Sunday is being played at Wembley Stadium, in London.
Malaru
Malaru
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September 26th, 2013 at 11:08:48 AM permalink
Theres some interesting ones this week. The Eagles vs the Broncos should be fun to watch
"Although men flatter themselves with their great actions, they are not so often the result of a great design as of chance." - Francois De La Rochefoucauld
deedubbs
deedubbs
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September 27th, 2013 at 12:07:55 PM permalink
I just discovered Ed's spreadsheet. Thanks, Ed! Anyone feel like uploading an updated version for me, so I don' t have to punch in the first few weeks?
EdCollins
EdCollins
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September 27th, 2013 at 12:22:37 PM permalink
Quote: deedubbs

I just discovered Ed's spreadsheet. Thanks, Ed! Anyone feel like uploading an updated version for me, so I don' t have to punch in the first few weeks?


No problem. My pleasure.

The latest version, with the data (picks) from the first three weeks:

http://www.edcollins.com/wov_nfl_football_contest_calculator_version_1.31.xlsm
Mission146
Mission146
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September 28th, 2013 at 1:09:48 AM permalink
Greetings,

The Week 4 reminders have been sent out.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
ten2win
ten2win
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September 28th, 2013 at 8:13:42 AM permalink
Any thoughts as to New England being +1 against Atlanta this week?
I don't know everything but I know a lot.
rdw4potus
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September 28th, 2013 at 8:29:41 AM permalink
Quote: ten2win

Any thoughts as to New England being +1 against Atlanta this week?



Easiest bet on the board. O/U is way too low on that game, too.
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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September 28th, 2013 at 8:33:22 AM permalink
Quote: rdw4potus

Easiest bet on the board. O/U is way too low on that game, too.

Injuries on both sides will make it interesting.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
Mission146
Mission146
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September 28th, 2013 at 3:14:32 PM permalink
I agree, I'd hesitate to make any predictions as to the O/U with those injuries.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
odiousgambit
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September 28th, 2013 at 3:55:40 PM permalink
at this stage, never underestimate the savvy of the point-setters of the early line
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
Mission146
Mission146
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September 28th, 2013 at 10:57:56 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 4 Picks can be found here:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/2/#post273129

1.) It looks as though our leader, StrictlyAP, is taking the week off.

2.) AssWhooperMcDaddy took the under on both the Jets game and the Titans game. However, the Titans play the Jets, so one of those picks has been removed.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
terapined
terapined
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September 29th, 2013 at 7:28:14 AM permalink
Here's the rundown on our group picks for this week.
1 vote for a pick, 2 for confidence of course

Most Love Seahawks 15
2nd most love Cowboys 13 Chiefs 13

Least Love Lions 1
2nd least love Bucs 2 Titans 2 Dolphins 2

Most Action Seahawks/Texans 24
2nd most action Cowboys/Chargers 23

Least Action Jets/Titans 10
2nd least action Dolphins/Saints 11

Most lopsided action
Bears 12 Lions 1
2nd most lopsided action
Chiefs 13 Giants 2

Even Action
Colts 5 Jags 5
Its just a forum. Nothing here to get obsessed about.
EdCollins
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September 29th, 2013 at 11:48:07 AM permalink
Quote: terapined

Here's the rundown on our group picks for this week...

...Least Love - Lions 1


And, as I almost expected, this probably means they will win, given the group's current track record.

Sure enough, as I type this, right now they're further ahead than any other team. :)
thecesspit
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September 29th, 2013 at 1:18:15 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

And, as I almost expected, this probably means they will win, given the group's current track record.

Sure enough, as I type this, right now they're further ahead than any other team. :)



Yea of little faith!

I"d didn't like the -3, so passed on it. Yeah, me of little faith too :)
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
Buzzard
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September 29th, 2013 at 4:00:21 PM permalink
Damn, this shit is really getting to me. No, not this pool. I still intend to win. Josie's therapist is out of town till Oct 16.
Decided to visit the retired pastor of our church, who had baptized Josie, and he always cheers Josie up.
Once again my timing was F***ING perfect.
He was home as was his wife. Just got a second opinion. First Doctor said his organs were shutting down and Pastor
Dick would not live till Christmas. Second doctor recommended Hospice and said 30 days at most.
His soon-to-be widow asked Josie to stop in and visit once or twice a week. And Josie will.
Logging out now and probably just sign on once a week to post my picks.
Maybe twice as I may have to brag about leading this pool soon.
Shed not for her the bitter tear Nor give the heart to vain regret Tis but the casket that lies here, The gem that filled it Sparkles yet
YouCanBetOnThat
YouCanBetOnThat
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September 29th, 2013 at 4:32:11 PM permalink
5-0. That's more like it.
YouCanBetOnThat.com, a podcast for the recreational gambler
duckmankilla
duckmankilla
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September 29th, 2013 at 11:20:35 PM permalink
3-1 with my confidence pick of OVER 48 coming tomorrow night. Could have my greatest week yet and get more wins this week than I've had in the first 3 combined. Here's hoping Brees has a field day tomorrow and Miami is playing catch up. Or the other way around.
deedubbs
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September 29th, 2013 at 11:24:28 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146



2.) AssWhooperMcDaddy took the under on both the Jets game and the Titans game. However, the Titans play the Jets, so one of those picks has been removed.



Just curious, what is the treatment of this situation? I am sure it was an honest mistake, so no problem, but depending on the precedent, there could be an angle late in the season to make this mistake.
Mission146
Mission146
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September 30th, 2013 at 4:23:47 AM permalink
Quote: deedubbs

Just curious, what is the treatment of this situation? I am sure it was an honest mistake, so no problem, but depending on the precedent, there could be an angle late in the season to make this mistake.



I should catch these ahead of time, but I have been relying on the program to do all the work for me and getting lazy. In fact, I used to compile all the picks in a self-PM as they were coming in, and now I just verify that I have them and compile them all at once when time expires.

I'm probably going to need to get back to verifying all of the Picks starting this week, that way this sort of thing will be noticed sooner.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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September 30th, 2013 at 4:26:20 AM permalink
Quote: YouCanBetOnThat

5-0. That's more like it.



Nicely done!

3-1 with a ND, but after the way this season has started for me, I'll gladly take it. It's my first winning week.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Malaru
Malaru
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September 30th, 2013 at 4:34:36 AM permalink
looks like ill be 4-1-1 this week, three weeks straight with just 1 miss. :) If I had not had a bad first week Id be killing this right now around 18-4
"Although men flatter themselves with their great actions, they are not so often the result of a great design as of chance." - Francois De La Rochefoucauld
beachbumbabs
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September 30th, 2013 at 7:01:53 AM permalink
Well, I knew it was too good to be true....sinking to my mediocre expectations...waaahhhh...ironic that my Viking boys finally came through and everything else went bleah.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
duckmankilla
duckmankilla
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September 30th, 2013 at 8:34:48 PM permalink
5-1 for me this week. Slowly climbing my way out of the basement
Mission146
Mission146
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September 30th, 2013 at 9:26:46 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 4 Results can be found here, with the Standings immediately below:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/2/#post273820

1.) At 94-90 overall, as a group, we experienced our first winning week. Coincidentally, I also experienced my first winning week this week, so let's hope both streaks continue! (You guys get the same amount from me anyway, but my ego's still on the line!)

2.) Our Regular Picks improve to 309-379 for .449, surprisingly (given the winning week) Confidence Picks are even worse, having gone 8-14 this week to bring them down to 31-50 for .383 overall. The overall record is 340-429 for .442 overall.

3.) I found this interesting, within .5%, or $0.50, $25.00 is what I would owe if I were actually in the game in that sense and if the game ended today.

4.) That's all I have, Positive Variance to all in Week 5, Lines will be posted around 0:00 on Thursday!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Buzzard
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September 30th, 2013 at 9:32:29 PM permalink
Congratulations to the top 3. But time for me to make a move.
Shed not for her the bitter tear Nor give the heart to vain regret Tis but the casket that lies here, The gem that filled it Sparkles yet
thecesspit
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September 30th, 2013 at 9:42:27 PM permalink
3rd place. Better still, above Buzz :)
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
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October 1st, 2013 at 8:23:09 AM permalink
Buzz,

I'm still on your six. Just a few cars between us to hide the surveillance! Good on you, cess! heeheehee...
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
Mission146
Mission146
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October 2nd, 2013 at 11:41:33 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 5 Lines have been posted:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/2/#post274768
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
duckmankilla
duckmankilla
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October 3rd, 2013 at 6:48:39 AM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Greetings!

The Week 5 Lines have been posted:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/2/#post274768



No Over/Unders this week? I see how it is Mission, I finally get a winning week and you take out the only thing I could pick correctly :-)

I assume it was an oversight. Any way you can post the Over/Under numbers as well?

Thanks.
Malaru
Malaru
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October 3rd, 2013 at 7:14:04 AM permalink
Here are the Over/Under spreads from Pinnacle Sports as of 10/3/2013 07:04:48 AM

I figured Id go ahead and post what they were at this time, in this UNOFFICIAL thread/post so everyone had an idea, just in case Mission didnt get back for a while- didnt want them to change a whole lot from the same that the other lines were taken from-

Mission feel free to use this data, I was just trying to catch it quick just in case it was oversight.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Buffalo Bills Cleveland Browns N/A
Kansas City Chiefs Tennessee Titans 38.5
Baltimore Ravens Miami Dolphins 43.5
Jacksonville Jaguars St. Louis Rams 41.5
New England Patriots Cincinnati Bengals 45
Seattle Seahawks Indianapolis Colts 43.5
Detroit Lions Green Bay Packers 53.5
New Orleans Saints Chicago Bears 48.5
Philadelphia Eagles New York Giants 53
Carolina Panthers Arizona Cardinals 41.5
San Diego Chargers Oakland Raiders 45
Denver Broncos Dallas Cowboys 56
Houston Texans San Francisco 49ers 41.5
New York Jets Atlanta Falcons 43
"Although men flatter themselves with their great actions, they are not so often the result of a great design as of chance." - Francois De La Rochefoucauld
Mission146
Mission146
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October 4th, 2013 at 7:41:49 AM permalink
Quote: duckmankilla

No Over/Unders this week? I see how it is Mission, I finally get a winning week and you take out the only thing I could pick correctly :-)

I assume it was an oversight. Any way you can post the Over/Under numbers as well?

Thanks.



Fecal Matter!

No problem, let me copy/paste the ones posted after your post!

Thanks, Malaru!!!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
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October 4th, 2013 at 7:44:08 AM permalink
I made the O/U a separate post, here is the link:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/2/#post275228
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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October 4th, 2013 at 9:52:15 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 5 reminders have now been sent.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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October 6th, 2013 at 12:06:04 AM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 5 Picks have been posted:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/3/#post275887

It appears that RStrata and MidwestAP are skipping this week.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
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October 6th, 2013 at 12:30:16 AM permalink
Note: Babs' picks are all messed up.

She picked both Detroit and Green Bay... and they play each other. Furthermore, both lines listed (+1 and -2.5) are not the correct lines.

She picked the Vikings and they have a bye.

She picked the Vikings over. (And again, they have a bye.)


Cut and paste error?
EdCollins
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October 6th, 2013 at 12:35:23 AM permalink
Lots and lots of love for both the Pats (against the Bengals) and the Chiefs (against the Titans).

Lots of love overall for the visiting teams this week.
terapined
terapined
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October 6th, 2013 at 7:20:51 AM permalink
Here's the rundown on our group picks for this week.
1 vote for a pick, 2 for confidence of course

Most Love
Chiefs 24
Pats 23
Seahawks 19

Least Love
Rams 1
Giants 1
49'ers 1

Most action
Chiefs/Titans 31
Seahawks/Colts 26
Pats/Bengals 25

Least action
Panthers/cards 6
Ravens/Dolphins 7
Jags/Rams 8

Most lopsided action
Texans 14 49'ers 1
Eagles 13 Giants 1
Pats 23 Bengals 2

Closest to even action
Ravens 3 Dolphins 2
Falcons 6 Jets 4

Overall the action among us is very lopsided in just about every game. I'd hate to be a bookie taking our action.
Either Our group will crush this weekend or get crushed.
Its just a forum. Nothing here to get obsessed about.
Malaru
Malaru
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October 6th, 2013 at 7:34:34 AM permalink
Quote: terapined

Here's the rundown on our group picks for this week.
1 vote for a pick, 2 for confidence of course

Most Love
Chiefs 24
Pats 23
Seahawks 19

Least Love
Rams 1
Giants 1
49'ers 1

Most action
Chiefs/Titans 31
Seahawks/Colts 26
Pats/Bengals 25

Least action
Panthers/cards 6
Ravens/Dolphins 7
Jags/Rams 8

Most lopsided action
Texans 14 49'ers 1
Eagles 13 Giants 1
Pats 23 Bengals 2

Closest to even action
Ravens 3 Dolphins 2
Falcons 6 Jets 4





Hmm, Terapin my stats dont quite matchup-

Most Love: Pats & Chiefs, 22 each
2nd most loved: Seahawks 20

Least Love: 49ers, 1
2nd least love: Dolphins, Rams, Bengles, Giants, & Panthers, 2

Most Action: Cheifs vs. Titans, 26
2nd most action: Patriots vs. Bengles, 24

Least Action: Ravens vs. Dolphins & Panthers vs. Cardinals, 6
2nd least action: Jags vs. Rams, 8

Most lopsided action: Texans (15) vs. 49ers (1)
2nd most lopsided action: Patriots (22), vs. Bengles (2)

No even action games

Most Confidence: Chiefs (5)
2nd Most Confidence: Texans (4)


Im showing 49ers as only team with just one pick, Giants & Rams both having two.- (boz & Odious on Giants for example) - and I also just to see how it looks, took out the extra confidence so obviously thats going to make some of yours more- but yea, only one team had only one pick- which changes the lopsided action, ect.. just.. looking it over. :)
"Although men flatter themselves with their great actions, they are not so often the result of a great design as of chance." - Francois De La Rochefoucauld
terapined
terapined
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October 6th, 2013 at 7:44:33 AM permalink
Quote: Malaru

Im showing 49ers as only team with just one pick, Giants & Rams both having two.- (boz & Odious on Giants for example) - and I also just to see how it looks, took out the extra confidence so obviously thats going to make some of yours more- but yea, only one team had only one pick- which changes the lopsided action, ect.. just.. looking it over. :)



Some of my figures might be wrong. Compiled this quickly and starting early on recreational substances. But then some of your figures are in error but no biggie.
For instance, Odious didn't pick the Giants to cover, he picked the Giant/Eagles game to score under 53.
What's actually funny is that you thought Odious picked Giants when in reality, he actually picked their opponent Eagles to cover. LOL
He thinks the Eagles will beat the Giants and has 1 point and he thinks it will be a low scoring game.
Its just a forum. Nothing here to get obsessed about.
Malaru
Malaru
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Joined: Mar 22, 2010
October 6th, 2013 at 8:06:28 AM permalink
true, i did count double for over/under + a +- - I guess what I should have done is count that as an additional action point (which it is for the game) seperate from the team action consideration. I think a double-bet on the game shoudl be reflected in these stats, ill just have to seperate it from the team action. :)
"Although men flatter themselves with their great actions, they are not so often the result of a great design as of chance." - Francois De La Rochefoucauld
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