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28 members have voted
I thought Atlantic City casinos were supposed to be struggling, but perhaps a million dollars is just a drop in the bucket and didn't make anybody's radar. Whatever the case, the same group of advantage players hit another game with the exact same flaw, Golden Egypt. Here is a full article about it, DÉJÀ VU: ADVANTAGE PLAYER CRACKS ONLINE CASINOS AGAIN, THIS TIME FOR OVER $500K.
Golden Egypt is a popular game here in Las Vegas. Now that the cat is out of the bag on that advantage play, I think I'll explain in which of the 32 coin configurations it is a positive play. It is definitely vulnerable to vultures anywhere.
The question for now is there a third game out there with the same kind of variable state flaw or will the casinos figure out what went wrong this time? The whole thing reminds me of this quote...
Direct: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eKgPY1adc0A
The question for the poll is what are your thoughts? (multiple votes allowed)
I'll help you out a little.
Will it be much less likely they make a 3rd mistake since I have been laying out exactly why and how they are making mistakes along with the aproximate player advantage?
Revel (math)
Plaza
Just a little reminder since...
Those who forget history are doomed to repeat (or something like that.)
p.s. Just giving you a hard time since, well , I know this is what you do. It seems to me you have actually been way more thoughtful of AP'S for a long while now.
You are the one taking the cat out of the bag.Quote: WizardYou may recall from the thread on Ocean Magic that advantage players took online casinos for almost a million dollars because the Ocean Magic game started in the same advantage game state for every player in every casino and every bet denomination. You would think a million dollar loss would cause someone to figure out why Ocean Magic was getting killed. A simple Internet search would have easily taken them to the Ocean Magic thread here or this article.
I thought Atlantic City casinos were supposed to be struggling, but perhaps a million dollars is just a drop in the bucket and didn't make anybody's radar. Whatever the case, the same group of advantage players hit another game with the exact same flaw, Golden Egypt. Here is a full article about it, DÉJÀ VU: ADVANTAGE PLAYER CRACKS ONLINE CASINOS AGAIN, THIS TIME FOR OVER $500K.
Golden Egypt is a popular game here in Las Vegas. Now that the cat is out of the bag on that advantage play, I think I'll explain in which of the 32 coin configurations it is a positive play. It is definitely vulnerable to vultures anywhere.
The question for now is there a third game out there with the same kind of variable state flaw or will the casinos figure out what went wrong this time? The whole thing reminds me of this quote...
Direct: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eKgPY1adc0A
The question for the poll is what are your thoughts? (multiple votes allowed)
Quote: onenickelmiracleYou are the one taking the cat out of the bag.
Seems to me that njonlinegambling.com did.
Not really, they're at the bottom of the page, you'll be at the top. You're just using that as an excuse. BFS.Quote: WizardSeems to me that njonlinegambling.com did.
Quote: onenickelmiracleNot really, they're at the bottom of the page, you'll be at the top. You're just using that as an excuse. BFS.
Fair point. I would argue that the Golden Egypt play is well known already through word of mouth.
Direct: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3R2tgy33Xs
That said, my initial results so far show that if there are at least two coins in reels 1 to 4, then you should play. Reel 5 doesn't figure into the decision. I should say that someone on the Golden Egypt Atlantic City Team feels my advantage numbers are too small.
Here they are for all 32 coin configurations. A 1 means there is already a coin and a 0 not. The value column shows the value, measured in bets, of finding a game in that state. If it's blank, then the value is negative. This is based on a hypothetical 94% game, which I know is a rosy assumption. The spins column shows the average number of times you'll play to get that value out of the game. So, the value should not be misinterpreted as a player advantage per spin.
Initial coin pattern | Value | Spins |
---|---|---|
0--0--0--0--0 | ||
0--0--0--0--1 | ||
0--0--0--1--0 | ||
0--0--0--1--1 | ||
0--0--1--0--0 | ||
0--0--1--0--1 | ||
0--0--1--1--0 | 0.23 | 15.35 |
0--0--1--1--1 | 0.65 | 15.62 |
0--1--0--0--0 | ||
0--1--0--0--1 | ||
0--1--0--1--0 | 0.37 | 15.36 |
0--1--0--1--1 | 0.79 | 15.62 |
0--1--1--0--0 | 1.93 | 15.35 |
0--1--1--0--1 | 2.36 | 15.62 |
0--1--1--1--0 | 3.16 | 17.48 |
0--1--1--1--1 | 3.96 | 17.64 |
1--0--0--0--0 | ||
1--0--0--0--1 | ||
1--0--0--1--0 | 0.35 | 15.36 |
1--0--0--1--1 | 0.77 | 15.62 |
1--0--1--0--0 | 1.90 | 15.35 |
1--0--1--0--1 | 2.34 | 15.63 |
1--0--1--1--0 | 3.13 | 17.48 |
1--0--1--1--1 | 3.94 | 17.64 |
1--1--0--0--0 | 2.05 | 15.36 |
1--1--0--0--1 | 2.49 | 15.63 |
1--1--0--1--0 | 3.29 | 17.48 |
1--1--0--1--1 | 4.09 | 17.64 |
1--1--1--0--0 | 5.40 | 17.48 |
1--1--1--0--1 | 6.21 | 17.64 |
1--1--1--1--0 | 7.46 | 18.84 |
1--1--1--1--1 | 8.94 | 18.96 |
Questions or comments?
FYI your cats seem to get more attention and validity. The industry as a hole probably takes heed once you give your opinion and show the math.Quote: WizardFair point. I would argue that the Golden Egypt play is well known already through word of mouth.
Occasionally someone will leave with the wild activated, and there will be one or two spins with wilds coming on subsequent spins. I would assume it's a good play with a wild column in reels 1-3 and not a good play in reel 5, but not sure about the 4th reel.
That said, for an 86% game, I recommend playing with at least two wilds in the first three reels.
Initial coin patern | Win per session | Avg spins |
---|---|---|
0--0--0--0--0 | ||
0--0--0--0--1 | ||
0--0--0--1--0 | ||
0--0--0--1--1 | ||
0--0--1--0--0 | ||
0--0--1--0--1 | ||
0--0--1--1--0 | ||
0--0--1--1--1 | ||
0--1--0--0--0 | ||
0--1--0--0--1 | ||
0--1--0--1--0 | ||
0--1--0--1--1 | ||
0--1--1--0--0 | 0.75 | 10.86 |
0--1--1--0--1 | 1.08 | 11.09 |
0--1--1--1--0 | 1.79 | 11.08 |
0--1--1--1--1 | 2.45 | 11.29 |
1--0--0--0--0 | ||
1--0--0--0--1 | ||
1--0--0--1--0 | ||
1--0--0--1--1 | ||
1--0--1--0--0 | 0.73 | 10.85 |
1--0--1--0--1 | 1.07 | 11.08 |
1--0--1--1--0 | 1.77 | 11.08 |
1--0--1--1--1 | 2.41 | 11.29 |
1--1--0--0--0 | 0.87 | 10.86 |
1--1--0--0--1 | 1.23 | 11.07 |
1--1--0--1--0 | 1.91 | 11.07 |
1--1--0--1--1 | 2.57 | 11.30 |
1--1--1--0--0 | 3.82 | 12.94 |
1--1--1--0--1 | 4.48 | 13.07 |
1--1--1--1--0 | 5.61 | 13.08 |
1--1--1--1--1 | 6.79 | 13.22 |
Quote: smurgerburgerI would like to see the EV for actually wild reels.
Here are expected returns by which reels were left wild. This is for the next spin only and does not consider the value of future spins. Usual caveat of these being rough estimates.
Reel 1 | Reel 2 | Reel 3 | Reel 4 | Reel 5 | ER |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.30 |
0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.42 |
0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.85 |
0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.04 |
0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.53 |
0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2.65 |
0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6.69 |
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.20 |
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.68 |
0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2.78 |
0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6.75 |
0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9.38 |
0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13.71 |
0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26.34 |
0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 71.76 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.19 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.65 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2.76 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6.73 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9.30 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13.52 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26.22 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 71.76 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.57 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13.77 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26.71 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 73.20 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 32.91 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 74.93 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 89.06 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 300.12 |
Quote: WizardHere are some results for an 86% game. As to the wilds, I recommend playing with any already wild reel. In looking at it more carefully, if you have reel 5 wild only and no coins, then don't play. However, it is marginal to complicate the strategy rules for both coins and wilds.
Is your suggestion about wilds intended for the 86% game or the 96% game?
Quote: smurgerburgerIs your suggestion about wilds intended for the 86% game or the 96% game?
86%
Quote: AxelWolfThe industry as a hole...
Nicely put; I agree.
10100, 01100, 11000 at Vegas seems *barely* above even (EV = $0.50/dollar-denomination; e.g. a play at $3 is EV=$1.50). 73-86% (for 86% game) seems low.
If both col 4 & col 5 are wild I play, but didn't keep stats.
I'm still surprised Wiz has 4+5 as not a play. A low value natural 3 of a kind doesn't seem *that* rare.
Meanwhile, I stand by my advice of playing 2 out of the first 3 reels.
from your chart, it seems only 2 coins in the 1st 3 columns is -EV.Quote: WizardHere are some results for an 86% game. As to the wilds, I recommend playing with any already wild reel. In looking at it more carefully, if you have reel 5 wild only and no coins, then don't play. However, it is marginal to complicate the strategy rules for both coins and wilds.
That said, for an 86% game, I recommend playing with at least two wilds in the first three reels.
Initial coin patern Win per session Avg spins 0--0--0--0--0 0--0--0--0--1 0--0--0--1--0 0--0--0--1--1 0--0--1--0--0 0--0--1--0--1 0--0--1--1--0 0--0--1--1--1 0--1--0--0--0 0--1--0--0--1 0--1--0--1--0 0--1--0--1--1 0--1--1--0--0 0.75 10.86 0--1--1--0--1 1.08 11.09 0--1--1--1--0 1.79 11.08 0--1--1--1--1 2.45 11.29 1--0--0--0--0 1--0--0--0--1 1--0--0--1--0 1--0--0--1--1 1--0--1--0--0 0.73 10.85 1--0--1--0--1 1.07 11.08 1--0--1--1--0 1.77 11.08 1--0--1--1--1 2.41 11.29 1--1--0--0--0 0.87 10.86 1--1--0--0--1 1.23 11.07 1--1--0--1--0 1.91 11.07 1--1--0--1--1 2.57 11.30 1--1--1--0--0 3.82 12.94 1--1--1--0--1 4.48 13.07 1--1--1--1--0 5.61 13.08 1--1--1--1--1 6.79 13.22
you need 3 coins, with 2 in the 1st 3 columns .
incidentally, what's the win per session for 10011, 01011 and 00111?
Quote: 100xOddsincidentally, what's the win per session for 10011, 01011 and 00111?
Maybe I didn't make myself clear, but my advice is to play only with at least two coins in the first three reels from the left. Profit/loss figures would be misleading otherwise, because the player shouldn't play in the first place. I would need some sort of play ending event, which is currently NOT having at least 2 coins in the first three reels.
Quote: WizardMaybe I didn't make myself clear, but my advice is to play only with at least two coins in the first three reels from the left.
maybe im mis-reading your chart but it seems only having 2 coins in the 1st 3 reels is -EV?
0--1--1--0--0 0.75 ev
1--0--1--0--0 0.73 ev
1--1--0--0--0 0.87 ev
and from my experience, I've lost more $ than won by playing only 2 coins in the 1st 3 reels.
so play with 2 coins in the first 3 reels PLUS at least another coin in any reel?
Please write that full article on Golden Egypt Wiz 6 votes (35.29%)
We have a tie so far.
Quote: 100xOddsmaybe im mis-reading your chart but it seems only having 2 coins in the 1st 3 reels is -EV?
0--1--1--0--0 0.75 ev
1--0--1--0--0 0.73 ev
1--1--0--0--0 0.87 ev
and from my experience, I've lost more $ than won by playing only 2 coins in the 1st 3 reels.
so play with 2 coins in the first 3 reels PLUS at least another coin in any reel?
The 0.75 means that taking over a game with coins in reels 2 and 3 is worth 75% of a bet. It is not a return on investment, but a bonus, shall we say.
Your point about actual wins and losses are well taken. As I wrote before, I could be wrong. Let me chew on it.
Quote: AxelWolfAre you going to ruin Golden Egypt too Wiz? 6 votes (35.29%)
Please write that full article on Golden Egypt Wiz 6 votes (35.29%)
We have a tie so far.
I'll probably ruin it regardless of the vote ;-)
Having run thousands of spins via the freeplay emulator at Casumo previously, I also suspected 2/4/5 was slightly positive although naturally it's very dependent on the target percentage of the machine in the particular location, and given that a decent percentage of the payout is reliant on bonuses and the odd huge win, it would be variance heavy.
However, if you need to increase playing volume (and who doesn't) then it's good to know that at least it's viable. The problem with this game in general is that the +EV scenarios tend to manifest themselves more at lower stakes, meaning that generating considerable volume (which of course -> expected profit) isn't easy. Even if you see a recreational player walk away from a decent setup, it's pretty likely your turnover on that unit will be below $50 and hence your expected profit isn't anything remotely spectacular. I guess if you see a unit on 2/4/5 on a higher stake, then the $EV could actually be higher than a better setup on a lower stake, etc...
My other thought focuses on reel 5. In my own research I can only really remember one major scenario which developed and significantly benefited from reel 5 also being wild. I'm pretty surprised that there's a considerable difference in the EV between 2/4 and 2/4/5 and also between 1/4 and 1/4/5.
In your own examples if 1/4 improves on 1 then 1/4/5 will automatically increase the payout further by 25% (or whatever the average difference between 5oak and 4oak) over 1/4, excluding redundancies where the natural 5th reel symbol would have made 5oak anyway.
My concern with the high limit machines is the possibility that the RTP is significantly lower on these as Mickey Crimm suggested somewhere.
1-1-0-0-1
1-0-1-0-1
0-1-1-0-1
or better
If machines are super-loose, I recommend two coins in the first FOUR reels.
1-0-0-1-0
0-1-0-1-0
0-0-1-1-0
or better
Also, in the recent "Bullfight" entry, rule #10 has eight rank errors.
I saw that right away, it makes perfect sense. Which one is Pink?Quote: GialmereA small nit, but in the external link section you twice refer to the game as "Golden Magic".
Also, in the recent "Bullfight" entry, rule #10 has eight rank errors.
Quote: GialmereA small nit, but in the external link section you twice refer to the game as "Golden Magic".
Also, in the recent "Bullfight" entry, rule #10 has eight rank errors.
Thank you for the corrections.
Quote: DobrijHello!
Someone remember that I talked about this in 2017 here, but everyone laughed/doubted
: )
You talked about a different issue with this same game. And most people did understand and just wanted you to stop talking about it in public.
Did you make 10's of thousands so far?Quote: DobrijHello!
Someone remember that I talked about this in 2017 here, but everyone laughed/doubted
: )
Quote: rdw4potus
You talked about a different issue with this same game. And most people did understand and just wanted you to stop talking about it in public.
You do not understand, we wanted it to produce a resonance. Since we had a long time to explain with the manufacturer IGT. But as I see there (in IGT) are idiots who having learned about the problem for a long time, did not fix it.
I think many gamblers to make money on it, so this is a happy end : )
Oh, for dissatisfied, for the professional gamblers who think that the casino owes them, they are simply greedy and stupid people, which besides the casinos don’t know anything, these are parasites of society, and they have a distorted psyche
Yes, this was also what Exoter (or whatever his name was) was going on about when he was claiming to be making hundreds of thousands a month or whatever. I think there was also a discussion about this and Drich confirmed some aspects of it being changed because of AP's.Quote: onenickelmiracleI remembered Dobrij's post. They install them now with only one coin on reel 3, before was 1,3,5. Maybe that's how they start different payback returns. I have experience seeing 1,3,5s then the 3s put in and later the 135s out.
Quote: AxelWolfYes, this was also what Exoter (or whatever his name was) was going on about when he was claiming to be making hundreds of thousands a month or whatever. I think there was also a discussion about this and Drich confirmed some aspects of it being changed because of AP's.
So are APs angry that other people figured it out?
Angry they couldn't keep a lucrative secret because of the nature and power of human knowledge
Quote: DobrijYou do not understand, we wanted it to produce a resonance. Since we had a long time to explain with the manufacturer IGT. But as I see there (in IGT) are idiots who having learned about the problem for a long time, did not fix it.
I was referring to this.
Quote: smurgerburgerI was referring to this.
Because I represent the casino in this situation, and we had a court with the players and the commission on the gambling business. We had to pay damages
I have no idea how much one could have made if they few to every location where they were first installing seeded games. I guess it would depend on the denominations and how many others showed up to do the same. I don't even know how juiced up the machine were when they started. I am not angry since I rarely play them.Quote: darkozSo are APs angry that other people figured it out?
Angry they couldn't keep a lucrative secret because of the nature and power of human knowledge
The internet sucks for some AP's because all of the spoon fed information easily given out. Books were bad enough, however, one had to know something good was going on and then know what books to look for. Then they would actually have go get the books. IIRC it was Card player magazine that also helped kill lots of good stuff like Flush Attack. Knowing what I know now, i'm surprised the Flush Attack actually lasted as long as it did. When I quit my Job to pursue that, I had no clue what to expect. I just took leap of faith, perhaps I just assumed it would last forever. Nowadays, something like that would not last for long because it would get flooded with nothing but hustlers.
Quote: DobrijBecause I represent the casino in this situation, and we had a court with the players and the commission on the gambling business. We had to pay damages
Ah, a darksider.
And admits they lost in court and had to pay damages
Let me guess you tried to swindle the players by refusing to honor the money they won?
Quote: darkozAh, a darksider.
And admits they lost in court and had to pay damages
Let me guess you tried to swindle the players by refusing to honor the money they won?
Yes, I looked at the martingale secret : ))
We paid damages from the manufacturer of the machines and not the players. In this business of the absurd and bureaucracy enough. Wonder how the other operators will solve the problems, who suffered losses with this games...
Quote: DobrijBecause I represent the casino in this situation, and we had a court with the players and the commission on the gambling business. We had to pay damages
Makes sense.
It seems to me that using a player's card with this game is ok, up until the point that you will be receiving the wild colums together. Especially since there are frequently many spins involved.
1 spin before wild column(s) are coming I would say to remove the card, since you can see the huge wins coming in advance. I would think that even ploppy players could figure this out.
Perhaps this will also work at the moment that you hit the rare bonus. Yank out the card and avoid showing that win as well.