Thread Rating:

Poll

11 votes (32.35%)
No votes (0%)
No votes (0%)
No votes (0%)
No votes (0%)
No votes (0%)
1 vote (2.94%)
No votes (0%)
6 votes (17.64%)
16 votes (47.05%)

34 members have voted

TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
Joined: May 22, 2013
  • Threads: 37
  • Posts: 3616
December 29th, 2015 at 6:50:14 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I'm afraid as a relatively new member, the most credit I can extend is $20. I'll book the full $100 if you pay in advance.


Hypothetical only.?.
If I say I'd like to lay $100 on Trump to NOT win the GOP, and you covered that as well....
Could you be construed as an Internet based bookie? Or does there have to be Vig involved?
Is that the term, Vig?
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
Asswhoopermcdaddy
Asswhoopermcdaddy
Joined: Nov 30, 2009
  • Threads: 85
  • Posts: 550
December 29th, 2015 at 6:52:32 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Here are the updated odds. The "probability" column shows the probability of winning after squeezing the juice out of the 5 Dimes line. Then the fair odds based on that probability.

Candidate 5 Dimes Probability Fair Odds
Marco Rubio 185 32.7% 206
Ted Cruz 260 25.9% 287
Donald Trump 320 22.2% 351
Jeb Bush 825 10.1% 894
Chris Christie 1450 6.0% 1,565
Ben Carson 10000 0.9% 10,749
Carlie Fiorina 15000 0.6% 16,119
John Kasich 15000 0.6% 16,119
Mike Huckabee 15000 0.6% 16,119
Rand Paul 20000 0.5% 21,490


P.S. I will not tolerate hijacking of this thread. This is a place to discuss betting on the election -- not for any anti-Muslim rants.




Where is Donald on the 5 dimes list? Is he that favored that there is no action?
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
Joined: Oct 14, 2009
  • Threads: 1367
  • Posts: 22724
December 29th, 2015 at 7:01:57 AM permalink
Quote: TwoFeathersATL

Could you be construed as an Internet based bookie? Or does there have to be Vig involved?
Is that the term, Vig?



Absolutely not. These are just friendly bets and the site makes no promises that the loser will honor them.

There is no vig.
It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
Joined: May 22, 2013
  • Threads: 37
  • Posts: 3616
December 29th, 2015 at 7:25:42 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Absolutely not. These are just friendly bets and the site makes no promises that the loser will honor them.

There is no vig.


It was a tougue-in-cheek question ;-)
But as time goes by that other bet, the one where Trump DOES win the GOP might look more attractive. Hopefully we don't get quite that close to the brink, but it is still early....

Happy New Year to us all!
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
djatc
djatc
Joined: Jan 15, 2013
  • Threads: 83
  • Posts: 4477
December 29th, 2015 at 11:19:10 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I'm afraid as a relatively new member, the most credit I can extend is $20. I'll book the full $100 if you pay in advance.



I've met max pen and he is a stand up guy and I vouch for his trust.
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
Joined: May 22, 2013
  • Threads: 37
  • Posts: 3616
December 29th, 2015 at 11:42:32 AM permalink
Quote: djatc

I've met max pen and he is a stand up guy and I vouch for his trust.


With your vouching, no doubt the Wiz will allow you to send the other $80 on his behalf..;-)
Last edited by: TwoFeathersATL on Dec 29, 2015
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
thereheisnot
thereheisnot
Joined: Dec 28, 2015
  • Threads: 0
  • Posts: 2
December 29th, 2015 at 12:00:57 PM permalink
Any bet on, like if Trump loses to Clinton, will the Republican party blame the salesman ( McCain, Romney, Trump ) and not the
product ? Just wondering.
petroglyph
petroglyph
Joined: Jan 3, 2013
  • Threads: 19
  • Posts: 3359
December 29th, 2015 at 12:48:02 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Absolutely not. These are just friendly bets and the site makes no promises that the loser will honor them.

There is no vig.

I think Trump will do something like Ron Paul did, or Ross Perot, and pull out long enough to screw up his chances.

Ultimately he won't be sworn in as POTUS. Are you offering a wager on that?
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
Joined: May 22, 2013
  • Threads: 37
  • Posts: 3616
December 29th, 2015 at 1:56:01 PM permalink
Quote: petroglyph

I think Trump will do something like Ron Paul did, or Ross Perot, and pull out long enough to screw up his chances.

Ultimately he won't be sworn in as POTUS. Are you offering a wager on that?


Rather than address that to anyone in particular, on this particular board, was there some wager you wanted to make, just between friends, that you wanted to offer?
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
petroglyph
petroglyph
Joined: Jan 3, 2013
  • Threads: 19
  • Posts: 3359
December 29th, 2015 at 3:56:06 PM permalink
Quote: TwoFeathersATL

Rather than address that to anyone in particular, on this particular board, was there some wager you wanted to make, just between friends, that you wanted to offer?

I don't know how "lines" work, simple man really. https://youtu.be/sHQ_aTjXObs, see?

I put a lot of details out, I thought I would see if Wizard might offer some kind of odds with all that detail.

Are you saying the Trumpster is moving to Wash? I hate to take even money on it, seeing as how Don is every mans friend.

  • Jump to: