Election Betting
November 4th, 2024 at 6:06:27 PM
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In any case the day is finally almost here and we may even know the results before the day after.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 4th, 2024 at 6:41:29 PM
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Quote: AutomaticMonkeyQuote: unJon
Maybe off topic, but I don’t think someone really believes something unless they are willing to wager on it. If they aren’t willing, they may think they believe something but really they are just wishing it were so.
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Quite a broad brush. There are certain things that are inappropriate to bet on. Someone dying, injury, illness, war, committing crimes. For a winning bettor is right to celebrate and these are things that should only be mourned.
Being politics has consequences that include these things, considering politics itself inappropriate to bet on is a reasonable extension and I respect it.
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I can understand that point of view.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
November 4th, 2024 at 6:42:05 PM
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Quote: FinsRuleWant to make sure I’m interpreting this correctly. I win $100 if Republicans get 51 senators? You get $200 if Dems get 51 senators? If it’s 50-50, push? If those are the terms, I am definitely in.
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No. Switch the sides of the bet.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
November 4th, 2024 at 6:47:29 PM
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Quote: WizardQuote: FinsRuleWant to make sure I’m interpreting this correctly. I win $100 if Republicans get 51 senators? You get $200 if Dems get 51 senators? If it’s 50-50, push? If those are the terms, I am definitely in.
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No. Switch the parties.
link to original post
There should be no push. The Democrats retain control with a Harris win and a 50-50 split as the VP votes in the event of a tie.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
November 4th, 2024 at 8:01:07 PM
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I explained why... I said I know people who are willing to take bad bets(odds) in-order to hedge off for large amounts.Quote: MDawgYes, I figured it was another one of your "Big deal! Ill give you $5,500 and I haven't seen it nor do I know what kind it is." sight unseen offers to do something that you would later walk back.
Why ask how much I am willing to take, if you are not willing to put up anything to begin with?
link to original post
You haven't answered how much you are willing to take and if you're willing to escrow all the bet amounts.
Just like Mile and others here...Including yourself, people are looking for good deals and opportunities I that include hedge etc.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
November 4th, 2024 at 9:19:27 PM
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Time for another update on the odds. Here they are the last three days:
PredictIt share price on Harris:
Sat: $0.55
Sun: $0.53
Mon: $0.51
Pinnacle odds on Harris:
Sat +108
Sun +119
Mon: +137
In other words, modest movement in Trump's favor.
PredictIt share price on Harris:
Sat: $0.55
Sun: $0.53
Mon: $0.51
Pinnacle odds on Harris:
Sat +108
Sun +119
Mon: +137
In other words, modest movement in Trump's favor.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
November 4th, 2024 at 9:27:31 PM
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Dixville notch , first town to vote , results are in
Trump 3
Harris 3
Trump 3
Harris 3
Happy days are here again
November 4th, 2024 at 9:33:47 PM
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The Senate
Okay to be clear: Republicans starting with a baseline of 49 senators, Dems currently have 47 senators + 4 independent senators that caucus with them.
West Virginia will almost certainly flip from Manchin, an independent who now caucuses with the Democrats, to a Republican who leads by 34 points.
Montana senator slot is likely to flip from Blue to Red as the Republican candidate, Sheehy, leads by 7.7 points.
Ohio may also possibly flip from Blue to Red as the Republican Senator candidate, Moreno, now leads the Democrat Brown by 1.7 points according to the RCP polling average.
Texas' Ted Cruz is thought to be the most vulnerable incumbent Republican senator but the average of RCP polls show he is leading by 4.4 points.
In Florida, which is currently Red, the Republican Scott leads the Democrat Mucarsel-Powell by 4.6%
The other Republican seat in play is Missouri, where there has been no polling since September. Hawley(R) led at that time by 11 points
Note: edited to reflect updated margins, which have trended towards the Republican candidates.
Okay to be clear: Republicans starting with a baseline of 49 senators, Dems currently have 47 senators + 4 independent senators that caucus with them.
West Virginia will almost certainly flip from Manchin, an independent who now caucuses with the Democrats, to a Republican who leads by 34 points.
Montana senator slot is likely to flip from Blue to Red as the Republican candidate, Sheehy, leads by 7.7 points.
Ohio may also possibly flip from Blue to Red as the Republican Senator candidate, Moreno, now leads the Democrat Brown by 1.7 points according to the RCP polling average.
Texas' Ted Cruz is thought to be the most vulnerable incumbent Republican senator but the average of RCP polls show he is leading by 4.4 points.
In Florida, which is currently Red, the Republican Scott leads the Democrat Mucarsel-Powell by 4.6%
The other Republican seat in play is Missouri, where there has been no polling since September. Hawley(R) led at that time by 11 points
Note: edited to reflect updated margins, which have trended towards the Republican candidates.
Last edited by: gordonm888 on Nov 5, 2024
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
November 4th, 2024 at 10:01:23 PM
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This just in...
Florida has finished counting its ballots.
Al Gore declared president!
Florida has finished counting its ballots.
Al Gore declared president!
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
November 5th, 2024 at 12:50:02 AM
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Quote: AxelWolfYou haven't answered how much you are willing to take and if you're willing to escrow all the bet amounts.
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I did answer how and I am not surprised that you couldn't follow or didn't read any of that, but did not answer how much: up to $10,000. but it's too late now I would not have taken any money past 5pm PST.
As soon as you made with the equivocal talk I didn’t bother to follow up on this thread until now, sorry.
Last edited by: MDawg on Nov 5, 2024
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 5th, 2024 at 2:24:48 AM
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I don't know that I was ambuguouse about anything. You can say whatever you want about me, however I'm a man of my word and I 1000% honor legitimate bets and deals I engage in.Quote: MDawgQuote: AxelWolfYou haven't answered how much you are willing to take and if you're willing to escrow all the bet amounts.
link to original post
I did answer how and I am not surprised that you couldn't follow or didn't read any of that, but did not answer how much: up to $10,000. but it's too late now I would not have taken any money past 5pm PST.
As soon as you made with the equivocal talk I didn’t bother to follow up on this thread until now, sorry.
link to original post
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
November 5th, 2024 at 2:48:46 AM
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Finally! An end in sight.
Vote early, vote often!
Vote early, vote often!
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
November 5th, 2024 at 4:11:30 AM
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.
if it's close as a great many think it is it could take several days to know who won - see link
in 2020 it took until 4 days after the election for news outlets to declare the winner
ballots from overseas and from the military sometimes arrive after election day
in very close elections the outcome is unclear until these ballots are counted
https://archive.ph/gGyqs
.
if it's close as a great many think it is it could take several days to know who won - see link
in 2020 it took until 4 days after the election for news outlets to declare the winner
ballots from overseas and from the military sometimes arrive after election day
in very close elections the outcome is unclear until these ballots are counted
https://archive.ph/gGyqs
.
the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
November 5th, 2024 at 5:53:42 AM
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Polymarket Trump 62 Harris 38
Predictit Trump 52 Harris 48.
It’s funny…. You NEVER see sports betting sites with odds this different.
Let the coin toss begin!
Predictit Trump 52 Harris 48.
It’s funny…. You NEVER see sports betting sites with odds this different.
Let the coin toss begin!
November 5th, 2024 at 6:12:46 AM
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A strange observation, that may be meaningless.
Each morning, as I distribute my free meals, I pass two early voting places. All last week and yesterday, the line to vote or drop off your ballot was out the door. Just now, both places are ghost towns.
Each morning, as I distribute my free meals, I pass two early voting places. All last week and yesterday, the line to vote or drop off your ballot was out the door. Just now, both places are ghost towns.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
November 5th, 2024 at 6:27:09 AM
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Quote: AxelWolfI don't know that I was ambuguouse about anything. You can say whatever you want about me, however I'm a man of my word and I 1000% honor legitimate bets and deals I engage in.Quote: MDawgQuote: AxelWolfYou haven't answered how much you are willing to take and if you're willing to escrow all the bet amounts.
link to original post
I did answer how and I am not surprised that you couldn't follow or didn't read any of that, but did not answer how much: up to $10,000. but it's too late now I would not have taken any money past 5pm PST.
As soon as you made with the equivocal talk I didn’t bother to follow up on this thread until now, sorry.
link to original post
link to original post
What difference does it make if you are or are not a person of your word if you were not going to be the one wagering?
In any case, I saw a post you made about how it was a bad bet, another about how you weren't dumb enough to make the bet, and then something about how you might know some people who would. That's all quite equivocal especially considering the last time you made an offer it was sight unseen unequivocal for Wizard's watch, and you later revised the offer to be "if it's a good deal" - and from there - no deal! When I make an offer I do all the research before, I don't make an offer and then later qualify it! I hate when people do that, they offer to buy something and then start asking questions about the item. Ask the questions first!
Last edited by: MDawg on Nov 5, 2024
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 5th, 2024 at 6:32:14 AM
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Quote: billryanA strange observation, that may be meaningless.
Each morning, as I distribute my free meals, I pass two early voting places. All last week and yesterday, the line to vote or drop off your ballot was out the door. Just now, both places are ghost towns.
link to original post
The early voting place down the street (a library) has been busy all week, but today, it's just one of many voting places all over.
Sanitized for Your Protection
November 5th, 2024 at 6:33:13 AM
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Quote: billryanA strange observation, that may be meaningless.
Each morning, as I distribute my free meals, I pass two early voting places. All last week and yesterday, the line to vote or drop off your ballot was out the door. Just now, both places are ghost towns.
link to original post
In my neck of the woods, there were maybe 10% as many early voting places as compared to ‘regular election day’ voting places. Seems like they will have to (or at least should) increase the former and decrease the latter.
NY has a ‘State Senate’ and ‘State Assembly’. Two separate bodies similar to the Federal Senate and House. Similar to 48 other states. Which ONE state does not have two separate governing bodies? (No googling!). (Unicameral legislature).
November 5th, 2024 at 6:34:20 AM
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Quote: billryanA strange observation, that may be meaningless.
Each morning, as I distribute my free meals, I pass two early voting places. All last week and yesterday, the line to vote or drop off your ballot was out the door. Just now, both places are ghost towns.
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I'm just across the river from Mississippi
It's raining. Not good for voting but good for the Mississippi River. Water level of the big Muddy still pretty low
No early in person voting in Mississippi
It's sad that some states still don't have early voting
I voted a couple weeks ago in FL
2 key issues on the ballot in FL
Recreational MJ and Choice
Very interested to see how they do as the Governor campaigned against both
When somebody doesn't believe me, I could care less. Some get totally bent out of shape when not believed. Weird. I believe very little on all forums
November 5th, 2024 at 6:36:18 AM
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Quote: HunterhillDixville notch , first town to vote , results are in
Trump 3
Harris 3
link to original post
So it is okay to release actual results from this one place, but not okay to release exit polls even until after at least some polls close?
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 5th, 2024 at 6:39:28 AM
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If you study the Bush v. Gore Florida votes, the votes that each side was pushing to have disqualified ended up being helpful to that same side, in other words - neither side really knew what it was doing.
Similar to jury selection, after all the studies and voir dire, many of the most experienced trial attorneys will say, just give me the first 12 out of the box.
You may end up shooting yourself in the foot, telling people to vote early or not vote early, vote by mail or not vote by mail. Supposedly the Republicans have always been fearful of a large turnout, but maybe that isn't even the case anymore.
Similar to jury selection, after all the studies and voir dire, many of the most experienced trial attorneys will say, just give me the first 12 out of the box.
You may end up shooting yourself in the foot, telling people to vote early or not vote early, vote by mail or not vote by mail. Supposedly the Republicans have always been fearful of a large turnout, but maybe that isn't even the case anymore.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 5th, 2024 at 6:42:45 AM
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I'm going to say Utah, but Louisiana operates under a different system than the rest of the Union so it might be the Bayou State.
I was 0-2 on that.
I was 0-2 on that.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
November 5th, 2024 at 6:49:42 AM
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Quote: rxwineQuote: billryanA strange observation, that may be meaningless.
Each morning, as I distribute my free meals, I pass two early voting places. All last week and yesterday, the line to vote or drop off your ballot was out the door. Just now, both places are ghost towns.
link to original post
The early voting place down the street (a library) has been busy all week, but today, it's just one of many voting places all over.
link to original post
That may well explain it. In Arizona, unlike New York or Nevada, you can vote anywhere in your county. NY limited you to one polling place,but that might have changed. In Nevada, you could vote early anywhere in the county, but had an assigned place for Election Day.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
November 5th, 2024 at 6:50:49 AM
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Quote: MDawgQuote: HunterhillDixville notch , first town to vote , results are in
Trump 3
Harris 3
link to original post
So it is okay to release actual results from this one place, but not okay to release exit polls even until after at least some polls close?
link to original post
It's symbolic.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
November 5th, 2024 at 7:29:46 AM
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Massive Lines to Vote in Pennsylvania as Polls Open in Pivotal State
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 5th, 2024 at 7:37:56 AM
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The Senate
Okay to be clear: Republicans starting with a baseline of 49 senators, Dems currently have 47 senators + 4 independent senators that caucus with them.
West Virginia will almost certainly flip from Manchin, an independent who now caucuses with the Democrats, to a Republican who leads by 34 points.
Montana senator slot is likely to flip from Blue to Red as the Republican candidate, Sheehy, leads by 7.7 points.
Ohio may also possibly flip from Blue to Red as the Republican Senator candidate, Moreno, now leads the Democrat Brown by 1.7 points according to the RCP polling average.
Texas' Ted Cruz is thought to be the most vulnerable incumbent Republican senator but the average of RCP polls show he is leading by 4.4 points.
In Florida, which is currently Red, The Republican Scott leads the Democrat Mucarsel-Powell by 4.6%
The other Republican seat in play is Missouri, where there has been no polling since September. Hawley(R) led at that time by 11 points
Note: edited to reflect updated margins, which have trended towards the Republican candidates.
Okay to be clear: Republicans starting with a baseline of 49 senators, Dems currently have 47 senators + 4 independent senators that caucus with them.
West Virginia will almost certainly flip from Manchin, an independent who now caucuses with the Democrats, to a Republican who leads by 34 points.
Montana senator slot is likely to flip from Blue to Red as the Republican candidate, Sheehy, leads by 7.7 points.
Ohio may also possibly flip from Blue to Red as the Republican Senator candidate, Moreno, now leads the Democrat Brown by 1.7 points according to the RCP polling average.
Texas' Ted Cruz is thought to be the most vulnerable incumbent Republican senator but the average of RCP polls show he is leading by 4.4 points.
In Florida, which is currently Red, The Republican Scott leads the Democrat Mucarsel-Powell by 4.6%
The other Republican seat in play is Missouri, where there has been no polling since September. Hawley(R) led at that time by 11 points
Note: edited to reflect updated margins, which have trended towards the Republican candidates.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
November 5th, 2024 at 10:17:39 AM
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Quote: gordonm888The Senate
Okay to be clear: Republicans starting with a baseline of 49 senators, Dems currently have 47 senators + 4 independent senators that caucus with them.
West Virginia will almost certainly flip from Manchin, an independent who now caucuses with the Democrats, to a Republican who leads by 34 points.
Montana senator slot is likely to flip from Blue to Red as the Republican candidate, Sheehy, leads by 7.7 points.
Ohio may also possibly flip from Blue to Red as the Republican Senator candidate, Moreno, now leads the Democrat Brown by 1.7 points according to the RCP polling average.
Texas' Ted Cruz is thought to be the most vulnerable incumbent Republican senator but the average of RCP polls show he is leading by 4.4 points.
In Florida, which is currently Red, The Republican Scott leads the Democrat Mucarsel-Powell by 4.6%
The other Republican seat in play is Missouri, where there has been no polling since September. Hawley(R) led at that time by 11 points
Note: edited to reflect updated margins, which have trended towards the Republican candidates.
link to original post
It's election day. Shouldn't we be done with polls
I'm hoping a lot of polls are off
I think polling is absurd when you only get a 1% participation rate. I think the back and forth leaders in polls is BS. I think one Presidential candidate was always leading
Only poll I'm hoping is on the money is Ann Selzer because if she is right, means most polls in Iowa were wrong 😉
When somebody doesn't believe me, I could care less. Some get totally bent out of shape when not believed. Weird. I believe very little on all forums
November 5th, 2024 at 10:32:38 AM
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Quote: terapined]It's election day. Shouldn't we be done with polls
Gotta wait until the results at least.
Sanitized for Your Protection
November 5th, 2024 at 10:44:55 AM
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I agree especially since the actual samples are less than one tenth of 1%. I also assume that the polling lists of "likely voters" are close to identical and many of those polled were hit more than once. Consider a state like Iowa where there are perhaps 10+ different polls done. It seems logical that each of those polling lists used by the different pollsters are going to match and are very similar yet there are different results, and the percentages, i.e., 2% or less are the final numbers. How does a poll with a sampling of less than 900 respondents come up with a 1 or 2 percent result? Totally, in my mind, illogical and not real.
tuttigym
tuttigym
November 5th, 2024 at 10:46:39 AM
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Quote: MDawgQuote: HunterhillDixville notch , first town to vote , results are in
Trump 3
Harris 3
link to original post
So it is okay to release actual results from this one place, but not okay to release exit polls even until after at least some polls close?
link to original post
They vote at like midnight and the results get reported like this every election. As someone else said a symbolic place and thing. I doubt 6 votes will sway things.
Also, their polls are closed.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
November 5th, 2024 at 10:57:51 AM
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Looks like turnout is going to be extremely high this year. Michigan on track to break the 2020 record, according to the MI Secretary of State.
Ding Dong the Witch is Dead
November 5th, 2024 at 11:08:51 AM
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Quote: ams288Looks like turnout is going to be extremely high this year. Michigan on track to break the 2020 record, according to the MI Secretary of State.
link to original post
Something has to be wrong with polling if participation in actual voting is reaching record levels yet pollsters down to less then 1% participation in polls
When somebody doesn't believe me, I could care less. Some get totally bent out of shape when not believed. Weird. I believe very little on all forums
November 5th, 2024 at 11:44:46 AM
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Quote: SOOPOOQuote: billryanA strange observation, that may be meaningless.
Each morning, as I distribute my free meals, I pass two early voting places. All last week and yesterday, the line to vote or drop off your ballot was out the door. Just now, both places are ghost towns.
link to original post
In my neck of the woods, there were maybe 10% as many early voting places as compared to ‘regular election day’ voting places. Seems like they will have to (or at least should) increase the former and decrease the latter.
NY has a ‘State Senate’ and ‘State Assembly’. Two separate bodies similar to the Federal Senate and House. Similar to 48 other states. Which ONE state does not have two separate governing bodies? (No googling!). (Unicameral legislature).
link to original post
Isn't it crazy that it's harder to vote on actual election day then early voting
In FL you can early vote at any location in the county.
On election day, you are restricted to just 1 place
When somebody doesn't believe me, I could care less. Some get totally bent out of shape when not believed. Weird. I believe very little on all forums
November 5th, 2024 at 1:32:28 PM
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I think the networks will start releasing exit polls in half an hour. Time for a final check before then. As of 1:30 PM PST, 11/5/24, it is dead even at PredictIt.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
November 5th, 2024 at 1:40:30 PM
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Quote: WizardI think the networks will start releasing exit polls in half an hour. Time for a final check before then. As of 1:30 PM PST, 11/5/24, it is dead even at PredictIt.
link to original post
Note that is not an election prediction but an ascension prediction, which includes Biden leaving office before January 21.
November 5th, 2024 at 4:48:48 PM
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If you have Trump right now, you’re feeling great.
November 5th, 2024 at 5:30:41 PM
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I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 5th, 2024 at 5:48:13 PM
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I used to live 20 miles away from Dixville Notch. The midnight vote was started around 1960 as a publicity stunt.Quote: AZDuffmanQuote: MDawgQuote: HunterhillDixville notch , first town to vote , results are in
Trump 3
Harris 3
link to original post
So it is okay to release actual results from this one place, but not okay to release exit polls even until after at least some polls close?
link to original post
They vote at like midnight and the results get reported like this every election. As someone else said a symbolic place and thing. I doubt 6 votes will sway things.
Also, their polls are closed.
link to original post
Happy days are here again
November 5th, 2024 at 6:01:24 PM
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Quote: HunterhillI used to live 20 miles away from Dixville Notch. The midnight vote was started around 1960 as a publicity stunt.Quote: AZDuffmanQuote: MDawgQuote: HunterhillDixville notch , first town to vote , results are in
Trump 3
Harris 3
link to original post
So it is okay to release actual results from this one place, but not okay to release exit polls even until after at least some polls close?
link to original post
They vote at like midnight and the results get reported like this every election. As someone else said a symbolic place and thing. I doubt 6 votes will sway things.
Also, their polls are closed.
link to original post
link to original post
Thanks! I did not know when it started and would have guessed way further back.
Meanwhile the speed with which differing sources are calling states remains interesting. Watching the online tally is worse than watching NFL game updates when you have a bet but cannot watch the game itself.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
November 5th, 2024 at 6:23:19 PM
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9:20 eastern. Predictit 65-35 Trump
Polymarket 68-32 Trump.
CNN are wussies. Haven’t declared Illinois or NY for Harris yet. She’s up by 600k in NY.
Polymarket 68-32 Trump.
CNN are wussies. Haven’t declared Illinois or NY for Harris yet. She’s up by 600k in NY.
November 5th, 2024 at 6:35:16 PM
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VA might be the surprise tonight. Really tight with 56% in. Blue team can’t realistically win without it.
"Truth is ever to be found in the simplicity, and not in the multiplicity and confusion of things."
-- Isaac Newton
November 5th, 2024 at 6:41:07 PM
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Quote: SOOPOO
CNN are wussies. Haven’t declared Illinois or NY for Harris yet. She’s up by 600k in NY.
link to original post
Might change when Batavia reports.
Fox appears to be calling fastest for both sides for those who care. NBC and AP calling far slower.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
November 5th, 2024 at 6:49:48 PM
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Quote: JimRockfordVA might be the surprise tonight. Really tight with 56% in. Blue team can’t realistically win without it.
link to original post
No chance. They show where the outstanding votes are. Harris will end up winning Virginia comfortably. SOOPOO has already called Virginia for Harris.
Fox and CNN are paying FAR too little attention to House races.
And should also do a little more Senate reporting.
November 5th, 2024 at 6:51:37 PM
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Quote: FinsRuleIf you have Trump right now, you’re feeling great.
link to original post
Why? What has he won that he wasn't expected to?
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
November 5th, 2024 at 7:03:10 PM
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Quote: SOOPOOQuote: JimRockfordVA might be the surprise tonight. Really tight with 56% in. Blue team can’t realistically win without it.
link to original post
No chance. They show where the outstanding votes are. Harris will end up winning Virginia comfortably. SOOPOO has already called Virginia for Harris.
Fox and CNN are paying FAR too little attention to House races.
And should also do a little more Senate reporting.
link to original post
If you say so. There are a lot of outstanding votes in the countryside too. They’re just spread out.
"Truth is ever to be found in the simplicity, and not in the multiplicity and confusion of things."
-- Isaac Newton
November 5th, 2024 at 7:05:23 PM
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Meanwhile, I’m calling the Texas Senate race for Ted Cruz. Up 8% with 65% in.
"Truth is ever to be found in the simplicity, and not in the multiplicity and confusion of things."
-- Isaac Newton
November 5th, 2024 at 7:12:22 PM
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At this point Harris will need all three PA MI WI to win.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
November 5th, 2024 at 7:22:47 PM
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Betting markets are seeing something CNN isn’t. Predictit 86-14. Polymarket 89-11. For Trump.
I’m getting my check to the Wiz ready..
Anyone here taking Harris at 9-1?
I’m getting my check to the Wiz ready..
Anyone here taking Harris at 9-1?
November 5th, 2024 at 7:39:32 PM
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Quote: SOOPOOBetting markets are seeing something CNN isn’t. Predictit 86-14. Polymarket 89-11. For Trump.
I’m getting my check to the Wiz ready..
Anyone here taking Harris at 9-1?
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I'm kicking myself for not taking your offer of +1MM popular votes on Trump!
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
