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EvenBob
EvenBob
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September 9th, 2022 at 2:44:30 PM permalink
Quote: UP84

Quote: EvenBob

I discovered roulette completely by accident and playing it is not gambling for me because I know I'm going to win every single session.
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My nomination for the Most Outlandish Forum Statement of 2022.



It's pretty tough to lose a session where you're trying to make one unit and you have an 80% hit rate. The only way I could lose will be to get a whole lot of zeros and that's not going to happen. And even then I just keep playing till I'm one unit ahead. 80% hit rate means I get 8 out of 10 guesses right the first time. But it's not linear, I could get 15 in a row correct on the 1st bet and then lose the next three in a row. It doesn't matter, I'm going to win every session it's not possible to lose because if the outcomes are not playing my game I don't bet. I only make a bet when the outcomes are extremely favorable to what I do.
"It's not enough to succeed, your friends must fail." Gore Vidal
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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September 9th, 2022 at 3:49:06 PM permalink
Maybe it’s just me, but what do you mean by ‘hit rate’?
EvenBob
EvenBob
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September 9th, 2022 at 4:51:37 PM permalink
Quote: ThatDonGuy



Question 1: how are you defining "a hit"



80% hit rate means I get 8 out of 10 correct on average on the 1st bet. Flat betting only, I never use a progression.

Quote: ThatDonGuy

Question 2: at what point is a session a loss?



It would be when I fail to make one unit no matter what I do. But that never happens. With an 80% hit rate is not possible.

"It's not enough to succeed, your friends must fail." Gore Vidal
DRich
DRich
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September 9th, 2022 at 5:42:12 PM permalink
I assume that you are not saying that you win 80% of your bets. I could see winning on 80% of the spins if you make multiple bets.

For hit rate I would think each bet made would have to hit 80% of the time for it to be a 80% hit rate.
Order from chaos
darkoz
darkoz
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September 9th, 2022 at 5:47:13 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Quote: UP84

Quote: EvenBob

I discovered roulette completely by accident and playing it is not gambling for me because I know I'm going to win every single session.
link to original post

My nomination for the Most Outlandish Forum Statement of 2022.



It's pretty tough to lose a session where you're trying to make one unit and you have an 80% hit rate. The only way I could lose will be to get a whole lot of zeros and that's not going to happen. And even then I just keep playing till I'm one unit ahead. 80% hit rate means I get 8 out of 10 guesses right the first time. But it's not linear, I could get 15 in a row correct on the 1st bet and then lose the next three in a row. It doesn't matter, I'm going to win every session it's not possible to lose because if the outcomes are not playing my game I don't bet. I only make a bet when the outcomes are extremely favorable to what I do.
link to original post



When the outcomes are favorable?

And what was the purpose of making your first return post suspiciously a political post involving governor Whitmire?
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
avianrandy
avianrandy
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September 9th, 2022 at 5:59:08 PM permalink
I would just as soon go to a brick and mortar casino. When I win I just go to the cage and collect my winnings. I get my money then and not worry about getting paid or paying a fee for wire transfer or whatever
ThatDonGuy
ThatDonGuy
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ChumpChange
September 9th, 2022 at 6:17:56 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Quote: ThatDonGuy



Question 1: how are you defining "a hit"



80% hit rate means I get 8 out of 10 correct on average on the 1st bet. Flat betting only, I never use a progression.

Quote: ThatDonGuy

Question 2: at what point is a session a loss?



It would be when I fail to make one unit no matter what I do. But that never happens. With an 80% hit rate is not possible.
link to original post


3. How much do you bet on the "first bet"?

And losing money with an 80% hit rate is very possible, if the value of the losses exceed the value of the wins by enough.
Example: bet 2 on 1-12, 2 on 25-36, and 1 on 16-21
Any of the numbers 1-12, 16-21, or 25-36 results in +1 on the bet. This is a 78.9% hit rate.
Any of the other 8 numbers results in -5 on the bet, but Don't Worry, with that 78.9% hit rate, you'll make it back in no time - except that the probability of winning six straight bets is slightly less than 1/4.
EvenBob
EvenBob
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September 9th, 2022 at 7:06:52 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

I assume that you are not saying that you win 80% of your bets.



Yes I win 80% of the bets I make, but I don't bet very often because I don't see the opportunity very often but I see it a lot more online because I can look at 90 outcomes an hour on multiple platforms. I cherry pick my bets with extreme care because I'm only trying to win one unit because that's all I need to win. I'm at home I can play anytime I like night or day and as often as I like. It's like a dream come true. Yes I have been playing Bovada but that's only one platform you need two or three platforms in order for it to be viable. Because when one of them isn't working the odds are good one of the others is working. By working I mean playing my game. Sometimes none of them are working and someone on another forum his coined this the Global Effect. It can sometimes last for a couple days where I see nothing to bet on.
"It's not enough to succeed, your friends must fail." Gore Vidal
EvenBob
EvenBob
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September 9th, 2022 at 7:11:57 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz



When the outcomes are favorable?

And what was the purpose of making your first return post suspiciously a political post involving governor Whitmire?
link to original post



She's the one that signed it into law, she could have vetoed it. How is that political I don't get it

Yes when the outcomes are favorable to the game I'm playing. I virtually bet and when I'm winning virtually I take a chance and make an educated guess to try and win one unit and I'm right 80% of the time. 80% sounds really good but it's kind of pathetic, if Annie Oakley only hit 80% of what she shot at she would have killed a lot of people. If you got into a car accident 80% of the times you drove you wouldn't be driving anymore.
"It's not enough to succeed, your friends must fail." Gore Vidal
EvenBob
EvenBob
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September 9th, 2022 at 7:16:39 PM permalink
Quote: avianrandy

I would just as soon go to a brick and mortar casino. When I win I just go to the cage and collect my winnings.



I can do the same thing at the online casinos because everything is done through PayPal. I can make a withdrawal immediately every time I win if I wanted to. And because these are regulated by the state it's very hard for them to get away with cheating. Because if there are complaints there are investigations and they can get shut down and banned. This isn't some Backwater Casino in outer Mongolia that can do anything it wants. State-run casinos are highly regulated and huge money makers. Why more states don't allow this is a mystery.
"It's not enough to succeed, your friends must fail." Gore Vidal

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