If you don't care about the royal, you might as well play single coin so, right off the bat, you are saving a dollar a spin.
Trying to beat video poker without taking promos, slot clubs, drawings and the like is a very tough thing to do. Most players lose a little on every spin but make it up with rebates on their volume.
The Wizard has a web game you can play that starts with 1,000 credits. I'd suggest playing 10,000 hands minimum and see how much you're down after each 100 hands. Maybe it's easier at a casino where you can count session points and make a note.
https://wizardofvegas.com/games/video-poker/
I fell to 760 credits, just one straight flush from being ahead, then I got a 4 of a kind and a Full House and I was back at 900 credits, so not ahead.
Quote: rektfastNo. But if you think of your bankroll like a sine wave, you want to cash out at the apex. So shouldn't we play few hands, but at very high bets per hand, and then just quit once you're ahead? I feel like just playing VP forever is a losing proposition even if with comps you can get slightly over 100% RTP. There has to be some way to limit the scope of the game and make it winnable.
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It would make sense if your bankroll followed a sine wave and not, say, a random walk.
Quote: rektfastNo. But if you think of your bankroll like a sine wave, you want to cash out at the apex. So shouldn't we play few hands, but at very high bets per hand, and then just quit once you're ahead? I feel like just playing VP forever is a losing proposition even if with comps you can get slightly over 100% RTP. There has to be some way to limit the scope of the game and make it winnable.
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Quitting while you're ahead sounds great.
When are you ahead?
What tells you that you won't be winning the next hand if you don't quit?
I've been trying to figure this out for years, and I haven't cottoned on to the certain circumstances that could improve my play results from this technique.
Quote: rektfastI've heard some machines are rigged not to hit royal flushes or that they use a form of pseudo-RNG.
Every random number generator is a pseudo-RNG. You can't program something to be truly random. You can get really really really really really close, but never to true randomness.
Quote: rektfastIf it is based on an atomic clock or whatever you could probably rig the RNG by pulling the lever at equal milliseconds apart, right? People say slot machines tend to give out hand pays the same day and time over and over which implies it is not randomized properly
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I have heard rumors of one RNG timing attack.
I have no direct information about it.
The attack required methods which were in violation of device laws.
As for anecdotal reports from slot players, please assume that their conclusions are erroneous. I don't think time of day or day of week plays a factor.
I can believe that point multiplier days draw in more slot players at once, and someone is likely to hit a payout (think of the monkeys with typewriters eventually producing Shakespeare), but that doesn't mean you are more likely to.
I don't find myself breaking up a 3 of a kind to try for a Royal for some reason.
Hmmmm...
Also, what if putting a very large amount of credits into the machine gets you marked as a whale and improves your RNG? There are many crooked things in online gaming which would be trivial to implement in VP.
Quote: rektfastNow that is an interesting observation and part of the reason I think mathematically "optimal" play is not correct. Perhaps the last card is still in RAM and influences the RNG. Someone used savestates on old video poker ROMs and noticed that the cards dealt are, in fact, different if you rewind and draw again. So the outcome is not predetermined but actually different every attempt.
Also, what if putting a very large amount of credits into the machine gets you marked as a whale and improves your RNG? There are many crooked things in online gaming which would be trivial to implement in VP.
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Nevada gaming laws require the RNG to be running at all times with the decision made at the time button is hit. That's for the deal and the draw. No cards are held in the RAM.
With VP you could be 40,000 credits behind before you see your first Royal 4,000 credit win. You'll need another nine Royals to catch up and some of those are already baked into the HA.
Quote: rektfastIn slots they say the best strategy is to play the highest denomination possible. Probably the same is true for VP. Also, only playing a low number of hands makes fat-fingers and wrong inputs much less of a problem. What's the highest credit version of video poker? $50 a hand or something? I believe the optimal strategy would require as high of a wager as possible
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Wow. Not even worth the effort.
Quote: ChumpChangeThe pay table determines whether you get a favorable HA%. You might find worse pay tables at lower denominations, but you walk into a convenience store and get 6/5 $1 JoB, you should skip that game no matter the denomination.
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That's not always true. It depends on what class machine you are playing. VP machines in NY show regular 9/6 payouts but payout under 90%. It's because they are video lottery terminals, not games of skill.
I might expect the pay table to be 7/5 or 8/5 JoB, might see 8/6 on $1 denoms.
Meanwhile, another Royal Miss!
On my last 50 credits I missed hitting a Straight Flush 3 times!
So instead of getting way back up to 750 or 1,000 credits, I lost them all and went down swinging. I'll have to refresh the page to start a new game, or take a damn break.
Maybe the optimal decision is to play one hand and then use your winnings to buy stock in the casino
Quote: rektfastIf it is based on an atomic clock or whatever you could probably rig the RNG by pulling the lever at equal milliseconds apart, right? People say slot machines tend to give out hand pays the same day and time over and over which implies it is not randomized properly
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If slot machines gave out hand pays the same day and time over and over again that would be wonderful!
They would be very easy to beat.
Former member here Rob Singer has a progressive wagering strategy where he is employs what he calls 'special plays' or less optimal plays trying to hit quads at the expense of Royals. It is a bad and losing strategy.
And our own Alan Mendelson is a big proponent of "quitting while ahead". He has started many discussions on this topic on numerous forums in the last 10 years. This too is not a real or winning strategy.
So what could go wrong with putting these two voodoo, losing strategies together? Two negatives equals a plus right? :)
Rob Singer sounds like he had the same idea. Is there some way to make a side-bet to improve your VP odds? There must be some advantage opportunities people haven't thought of.
I'm also skeptical of Player's Rewards cards to the point that I think facial recognition could be used by the casino to keep track of whether you're an AP or a fish and adjust the machines accordingly.
As an aside, I know serious gamblers and pro poker players personally who believe astrology influences their performance at tournaments. After the pandemic practice shutdowns, machines were infamously looser because casinos had to make their payout percentages in time for the end of the quarter.
If you already have a 99.4% RTP machine and start adding on weird superstitious stuff like that, you could theoretically make VP beatable.
I’ve always wondered why those people sell that system instead of going out and playing those machines themselves at the right time each day to become millionaires.
Also once the word gets out to too many people wouldn’t casinos have trouble staying in business if people just play the machines only at the time they pay a jackpot?
Either that or it’s possible that there is a lot of misinformation out there and slot machines aren’t actually exploitable to play at the same time everyday.
You would think that if it was true people would just do it & keep it quiet instead of selling the information or discussing it all the time,
Quote: rektfastI mean operating systems like Windows have bugs and hacks and zero days all the time and people have no incentive to share their findings with the public because it would just get fixed. I doubt slots are that much more secure.
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So if you believe that slots pay jackpots at the same time each day what you should be doing is playing slot machines all day, recording when they hit jackpots and then going back & playing them at the same time of day.
If you believe they are full of bugs and hacks then you should be playing them all day to find the bugs & then cleaning up monetarily.
Best of luck, I hope that you are right and can win lots of money!
Quote: rektfastI mean operating systems like Windows have bugs and hacks and zero days all the time and people have no incentive to share their findings with the public because it would just get fixed. I doubt slots are that much more secure.
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Bugs in the system hun? Like the "double up bug"? lol.
Do the machines teleport their hot and cold cycles to you as well?
Quote: rektfastIn slots they say the best strategy is to play the highest denomination possible. Probably the same is true for VP. Also, only playing a low number of hands makes fat-fingers and wrong inputs much less of a problem. What's the highest credit version of video poker? $50 a hand or something? I believe the optimal strategy would require as high of a wager as possible
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Who are they that say higher denomination is a better strategy?
It may or may not be a better RTP. It may or may not be a more comfortable level of volatility.
Going broke chasing a GrandMegaMajorPot is decidedly not a better strategy, so hopefully your bankroll suits the undertaking.
Video poker paytables are directly displayed on the machine; Nevada law requires that the game being offered have fair probabilities, as would suit a common deck of playing cards.
As others have pointed out, there are gaming machines in certain jurisdictions that look like video poker, but are not video poker. Beware the genie and any really weird paytables.
Note to kewlj: I think you maybe meant Class II instead of Class 3.
Quote: Dieter
Note to kewlj: I think you maybe meant Class II instead of Class 3.
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Yep, class 2. I got it classes ass backwards, but I think everyone got my point.
Incidentally, when playing high hands per hour, how do you stop making mistakes? I seem to click through small pairs by accident. Playing quickly I'm only 97ish% accurate. How do you get to 99.9%?
Quote: rektfastGood point.
Incidentally, when playing high hands per hour, how do you stop making mistakes? I seem to click through small pairs by accident. Playing quickly I'm only 97ish% accurate. How do you get to 99.9%?
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By not playing quickly. Accuracy is far more important than speed.
What % is considered an advantage player, 99.9% accuracy?
At any rate I believe that the posters here have proven that chasing quads at the expense of royals is not correct, so I'm glad we sorted that out.
Quote: rektfastWhat % is considered an advantage player, 99.9% accuracy?
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I believe that "advantage player" refers to other aspects of the play.
but back to video poker yea i can give you 3 solid softwares on video poker made by 3 different programers and one of them claims his software shuffles the 1 single deck 7 times over before the deal button is hit damn near to random can be and all these software will follow your ebb n flow of full houses straights and flushes per 100 hand
no there is no commish nor a zero or double zero combat with but the game has its own problems you can spread your bet 1-7 or your bankroll 1-7 if your rich , tamper with your bets during a session if you think it helps, i cant speak for everyone but my last memories were to stick with 1 denom through out the session is safest, i lost out on a 125 credit winner by not starting off on the prefered denom but still hit a good jackpot, that slot massacre friend seems to love to tamper with the denom during session play i honestly dont think it matters if your already playing a winning comp game.
5 spin method, going on off-peak hours after holidays, leaving the casino after your first hand pay, and doing stuff like resetting pity timers by printing a voucher and removing your player card can probably make VP positive.
I personally believe that video poker is just as rigged as slot machines and playing the same machine for a long period of time is rigged to make you lose. Probably once your session is in the green you should pull your money out and switch to another machine and repeat the process
Quote: rektfastPixel perfect one-frame inputs are not that difficult to do. People play Tekken and hit EWGFs all the time. Has anyone tried playing VP or slots with a millisecond timer and trying to hit the button at equal intervals until they find a timing that produces positive RTP?
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I don't think milliseconds is good enough. I have heard stories about people who had "accuracy" to within a tenth of a millisecond, but even with "only" a 1 MHz clock, that's still just a 1/100 chance. Of course, having a 1/100 chance of a payout much greater than that is asking for trouble, which is why I am under the impression that the RNG is not periodic, or at least not periodic in terms of when a jackpot/Royal hits.
With a truly periodic RNG, once you know when a Royal is dealt, it should be dealt again every 2,598,960 cycles. On the other hand, if the period is, say, 1 million times that, but you divide the value by 2.6 million and round down (if you take the remainder, then the original cycle occurs), then there will be 1 million Royals in spades dealt every 2.6 trillion cycles, but they will not all be 2.6 million cycles apart.
then everyone would be playing top speed and making mistakes and killing there ev in the game =/ nothing has proven speed of play has any merit towards the game.
As for the timing attacks, I don't know if the way the RNG works is a trade secret but I've seen slot mechanics discuss this sort of thing before. The "shuffler" probably works the same way Hearthstone and Magic Arena do, which is to say not at all.
Quote: ThatDonGuyWith a truly periodic RNG, once you know when a Royal is dealt, it should be dealt again every 2,598,960 cycles. On the other hand, if the period is, say, 1 million times that, but you divide the value by 2.6 million and round down (if you take the remainder, then the original cycle occurs), then there will be 1 million Royals in spades dealt every 2.6 trillion cycles, but they will not all be 2.6 million cycles apart.
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Here's an example of what I mean. Suppose the probability of getting a Royal Flush on a deal was 1 / 625,000. I constructed a periodic RNG of period 250,000,000 where the number is divided by 400 and rounded down so you have an equal chance of getting a number between 0 and 624,999, with 0 being a Royal Flush, and here are the number of periods needed between each two consecutive Royal Flushes for the first 50:
1,785,655
183,129
306,653
1,737,321
759,712
58,046
1,828,260
505,900
133,462
234,360
53,291
636,224
1,279,975
367,831
360,856
898,661
1,126,068
139,280
189,376
102,573
124,813
972,050
857,174
311,552
460,016
1,066,592
1,848,028
1,680,236
267,832
244,527
37,134
54,245
730,636
690,317
265,622
309,102
233,245
841,440
406,358
196,001
898,774
1,831,063
627,831
289,199
1,317,883
959,603
759,753
1,595,736
1,956,617
179,035
In other words, the first Royal comes up in the 1,785,655th number generated, the second comes up 183,129 numbers after that, the third 306,653 after that, and so on.
Note that every number from 0 to 624,999 comes up 400 times in every 250 million consecutive periods, and whenever a number does appear, it will appear again exactly 250 million periods later.
that John guy claimed to do it and went home a winner 100k cash, ive hit 2 royals within 20min each other, once in ac and other in pa but i dont play hardcore like most video poker players.