MLB Double Your Money
Quote: jh111SERIES 1 - A BET
Colorado Rockies +1.5 on 4/3, 1310 EST
Good Luck!
I'm always interested when someone posts picks before a game..... But you should post the odds you are laying as well as the runs involved or your results will be meaningless. If you are laying 3-1 and win 70% you of course are an overall loser. So it looks like your first pick is risking $180 to win $100, correct?
Quote: SOOPOOI'm always interested when someone posts picks before a game..... But you should post the odds you are laying as well as the runs involved or your results will be meaningless. If you are laying 3-1 and win 70% you of course are an overall loser. So it looks like your first pick is risking $180 to win $100, correct?
I agree.
This was kind of a special circumstance as I wanted to make sure I got the play out and posted last night before the run line odds were available. I have a wife and 3 kids so shit can get a little crazy.
Yes -180 is what I had on Galaxy.
Quote: BozIt’s a winner 1-0 Rockies. Count me as a believer!
One down...six months to go.
Quote: jh111SERIES 1 - A BET
Colorado Rockies +1.5 on 4/3, 1310 EST
Good Luck!
Series #1
Colorado +1.5 @ -180 - A Bet Win
1-0, +1 unit
I will post how to play it along with the line at least 30 minutes before first pitch.
Quote: jh111Series #1
Colorado +1.5 @ -180 - A Bet Win
1-0, +1 unit
what am I missing?
how do you count a bet at -180 as a 1 unit win?
Quote: lilredroosterwhat am I missing?
how do you count a bet at -180 as a 1 unit win?
Bet 1.8 units.
Quote: RSBet 1.8 units.
yes, but he didn't say that
and I think the custom if not otherwise mentioned is to consider all bets for 1 unit
also, if he makes all different size bets on the moneyline it is very difficult to calculate R.O.I. because you would have to first add up all of the different size bets
much easier to consider all bets for 1 unit and then you know exactly how much has been wagered when the won/loss record is quoted and its then very easy to divide the amount won or lost by the total amount bet to get the R.O.I.
Quote: lilredroosteryes, but he didn't say that
and I think the custom if not otherwise mentioned is to consider all bets for 1 unit
also, if he makes all different size bets on the moneyline it is very difficult to calculate R.O.I. because you would have to first add up all of the different size bets
much easier to consider all bets for 1 unit and then you know exactly how much has been wagered when the won/loss record is quoted and its then very easy to divide the amount won or lost by the total amount bet to get the R.O.I.
Every series is played to win 1 unit.
Recommended unit size is $25 for every $1000 in your bankroll.
Any other questions?
Quote: jh111Every series is played to win 1 unit.
Recommended unit size is $25 for every $1000 in your bankroll.
Any other questions?
What is Elvis up to these days?
I will do my best to check in from time to time, but I have kids' baseball games and birthday parties today so will be tough. Good vibes!
William Hill at -155 (10:03am pt)Quote: jh111As of 1110 EST, the line is currently Cleveland -156 at Covers.com. If the line remains at -151 or higher, we will play Cleveland on the ML.
reverseQuote: jh111If it drops to -150 or lower, then we will play Cleveland +1.5. I recommend placing your wager as close to first pitch as possible.
Cleveland +1.5
-280
ok
Quote: 7crapsWilliam Hill at -155 (10:03am pt)
reverse
Cleveland +1.5
-280
ok
-160 was a ML play.
Quote: jh111As of 1110 EST, the line is currently Cleveland -156 at Covers.com. If the line remains at -151 or higher, we will play Cleveland on the ML. If it drops to -150 or lower, then we will play Cleveland +1.5. I recommend placing your wager as close to first pitch as possible.
I will do my best to check in from time to time, but I have kids' baseball games and birthday parties today so will be tough. Good vibes!
Series #2
Cleveland ML @ -160 - A bet Win
2-0, +2 units
*2 more A bets on Tuesday.
Quote: jh111Series #2
Cleveland ML @ -160 - A bet Win
2-0, +2 units
*2 more A bets on Tuesday.
Let me guess... your plays for Tuesday are going to be Mets (DeGrom -220) and Redsox (sale -240)?
Quote: WatchMeWinLet me guess... your plays for Tuesday are going to be Mets (DeGrom -220) and Redsox (sale -240)?
1 for 2.
* Boston Red Sox ML @ -230 on 4/9, 1405 EST
* Texas Rangers RL +1.5 @ -170 on 4/9, 2140 EST
Good Vibes!
Quote: jh111SERIES 3 and 4 - A BETS
* Boston Red Sox ML @ -230 on 4/9, 1405 EST
* Texas Rangers RL +1.5 @ -170 on 4/9, 2140 EST
Good Vibes!
A running total would be great. Just how much you are up or down for the season.
Quote: billryanA running total would be great. Just how much you are up or down for the season.
Couple posts back...updated after each game.
Quote: jh111SERIES 3 and 4 - A BETS
* Boston Red Sox ML @ -230 on 4/9, 1405 EST
Good Vibes!
Uh oh..
Do we now get the inevitable “B bet” risking whatever to win 330?
Let me know because I’ll have to take a loan from my 401k to cover the possible C bet
By the way , this system was invented shortly after baseball itself was.
Quote: michael99000Uh oh..
Do we now get the inevitable “B bet” risking whatever to win 330?
Let me know because I’ll have to take a loan from my 401k to cover the possible C bet
By the way , this system was invented shortly after baseball itself was.
Excellent content - will be tough to top that in your next post, but I have faith in you.
Quote: jh111Excellent content - will be tough to top that in your next post, but I have faith in you.
Hey I’m just here to double my money. Now I know -230 MLB favorites are the way to do it.
Looking forward to the B Bet
Quote: jh111SERIES 3 and 4 - A BETS
* Boston Red Sox ML @ -230 on 4/9, 1405 EST
* Texas Rangers RL +1.5 @ -170 on 4/9, 2140 EST
Good Vibes!
Series #3 and #4
(3) Boston ML @ -256 - A bet Loss -$64
(4) Texas RL +1.5 @ -170 - A bet Win +$25
Starting Bankroll - $1000 (playing TO WIN $25 for every $1000)
Current Bankroll - $1011
Pending Series - B bet TO WIN $89 on Boston
Record/Units - 3-0, +3 units
- Texas Rangers RL +1.5 @ -160 on 4/10, 2140 EST
Good Vibes!
Quote: jh111Series 5 - A Bet
- Texas Rangers RL +1.5 @ -160 on 4/10, 2140 EST
Good Vibes!
Series #5
(5) Texas RL +1.5 @ -160 - A bet Win +$25
Starting Bankroll - $1000 (playing TO WIN $25 for every $1000)
Current Bankroll - $1036
Pending Series - B bet TO WIN $89 on Boston
Record/Units - 4-0, +4 units
I'm confused. You posted this bet, which was a loss, right?Quote: jh111Record/Units - 4-0, +4 units
Shouldn't your record be 4-1, +1.7 Units?Quote: jh111* Boston Red Sox ML @ -230 on 4/9, 1405 EST
Quote: JoemanI'm confused. You posted this bet, which was a loss, right?Shouldn't your record be 4-1, +1.7 Units?
It's a 3 game chase - so we'll be playing Boston again today in a B bet trying to recoup the losses from the A bet.
It's not really an OFFICIAL loss unless you lose a C bet.
Current bankroll reflects the money lost from the Boston game though.
Quote: billryanI'm confused. A win is a win but a loss isn't a lose until you lose three in a row?. Perhaps a clearer explanation would help.
If you want to count it as a loss, then count it as a loss.
Only thing that really matters anyway is the bankroll.
Quote: jh111Series #3 and #4
(3) Boston ML @ -256 - A bet Loss -$64
(4) Texas RL +1.5 @ -170 - A bet Win +$25
Starting Bankroll - $1000 (playing TO WIN $25 for every $1000)
Current Bankroll - $1011
Pending Series - B bet TO WIN $89 on Boston
Record/Units - 3-0, +3 units
Series 3 - B Bet
- Boston Red Sox ML @ -190 on 4/11, 1910 EST (risking 169 to win 89)
Good Vibes!
Come on bill, you really need to think. If A wins, you win. if A loses it's not a loss until C wins. C can't lose because you still have a bet on the B game. B always wins because when A wins, you win.Quote: billryanI'm confused. A win is a win but a loss isn't a lose until you lose three in a row?. Perhaps a clearer explanation would help.
Don't be a pessimist, that's not a winning attitude, bad attitudes can change the outcomes of games/events you bet on.
Never mind math or logic. All's you have to do to WIN and be SUCCESSFUL and wealthy beyond your wildest dreams is to THINK POSITIVE and stay hydrated.
Good Vibes!
Quote: AxelWolfCome on bill, you really need to think. If A wins, you win. if A loses it's not a loss until C wins. C can't lose because you still have a bet on the B game. B always wins because when A wins, you win.
Don't be a pessimist, that's not a winning attitude, bad attitudes can change the outcomes of games/events you bet on.
Never mind math or logic. All's you have to do to WIN and be SUCCESSFUL and wealthy beyond your wildest dreams is to THINK POSITIVE and stay hydrated.
Good Vibes!
Pretty much exactly what I was trying to say - thanks.
If A wins, it's a win. If it loses, you double the bet on Bet B. If B wins, you count the previous loss on Bet A as a win. If Bet B loses, you bet more on C. If C wins, You count both A and B as wins? What if Bet C loses? Is it one loss or three?
Quote: billryanI'm more confused than before I read the explanation.
If A wins, it's a win. If it loses, you double the bet on Bet B. If B wins, you count the previous loss on Bet A as a win. If Bet B loses, you bet more on C. If C wins, You count both A and B as wins? What if Bet C loses? Is it one loss or three?
Simplified explanation:
Everything is fine until someone inevitably gets swept. Then it’s not fine.
Quote: michael99000Simplified explanation:
Everything is fine until someone inevitably gets swept. Then it’s not fine.
Yes - so currently everything is fine.
Quote: jh111Series 3 - B Bet
- Boston Red Sox ML @ -190 on 4/11, 1910 EST (risking 169 to win 89)
Good Vibes!
Series #3
(3) Boston ML @ -182 - B bet Win +$89
Starting Bankroll - $1000 (playing TO WIN $25 for every $1000)
Current Bankroll - $1125
Overall Record/Units - 5-0, +5 units
***
A Bets = 4-1
B Bets = 1-0
C Bets = none
Bill, what’s so difficult to follow? It’s a three step martingale.
FYI, steeldco posted picks over several years here in the past and he did quite well, so that's meant as a compliment and not some kind of attack or w/e.
Good luck (not that you'll need it :) ), and hopefully we can all make some money together. Question: Would it be okay, according to your system, for me to bet on the next thing you write for a pick? Or do I have to wait until a new "series" starts? Thx
Quote: jh111
Starting Bankroll - $1000 (playing TO WIN $25 for every $1000)
Current Bankroll - $1125
Overall Record/Units - 5-0, +5 units
***
A Bets = 4-1
B Bets = 1-0
C Bets = none
Got it now. Above is the summary that splains it to me. The 5-1 is meaningless as you take runs and/or favorites, but the +$125 so far is crystal clear. Since you did define a starting bankroll of $1000 and a defined endpoint of doubling it, I am now looking forward to your progress (hopefully) or regress (hopefully not!)
Quote: jh111Yes - so currently everything is fine.
Man jumps off the Empire State building. As he passes the 90th floor, his phone rings. He answers it as he passes the 60th floor.
How is it going,asks an unknown caller as he passes the 40th floor. Staring at the rapidly approaching sidewalk,he replies- So far, so good.
LOL, Me too! Seriously, here is how I came up with that nonsense I posted.,.... I pretended I was a sports huckster trying to confuse a potential client so I could sell him my system.Quote: billryanI'm more confused than before I read the explanation.
If A wins, it's a win. If it loses, you double the bet on Bet B. If B wins, you count the previous loss on Bet A as a win. If Bet B loses, you bet more on C. If C wins, You count both A and B as wins? What if Bet C loses? Is it one loss or three?
I hope you know it's was complete sarcasm, I was just funning you, I would never start out a serious post too you that said, "Come on bill think".
not really a standard Marty.Quote: unJonBill, what’s so difficult to follow? It’s a three step martingale.
looks to me as some type of chasing a loss bet method.
The loss was 2.3 units (Boston game - mine was, not understand why it went up to a loss of 2.56 units)
The next bet for 'that' series of bets was
6.76 units to win 3.56 units (the 1st loss PLUS a 1 unit win)
the -190 comes into play
bottom line is what the bankroll is currently
and what the average draw-down would be with this type of betting systems before doubling any starting bankroll.
Quote: unJonThis is a fun thread. Thanks for posting these bets.
Bill, what’s so difficult to follow? It’s a three step martingale.
My pleasure unJon - hope it stays fun.
Quote: WatchMeWinGive the guy some slack. It is not a bad way to play the games. Vegas Dave type system. Not my cup of tea, but not the worst Ive seen. Baseball, by far, is the best sport to bet with high winning probabilities .
What he said.
Quote: RSLooking pretty good to me so far. Even though you're betting slight favorites, still quite impressive to be up 5 units in only 5 (or 6?) wagers. Is this steeldco 2.0?
FYI, steeldco posted picks over several years here in the past and he did quite well, so that's meant as a compliment and not some kind of attack or w/e.
Good luck (not that you'll need it :) ), and hopefully we can all make some money together. Question: Would it be okay, according to your system, for me to bet on the next thing you write for a pick? Or do I have to wait until a new "series" starts? Thx
I appreciate the post - thanks.
And the next thing I write for a pick will be a new series - so perfect timing.
