ChumpChange's Blog

Color Up - Craps with a Dealer at the table

Color Up is a Craps YouTube channel where the host tries out different craps strategies, some suggested. In this episode he invites a Dealer to play with him. They take turns rolling the dice. Episode 1 has the host rolling, but the Dealer being stickman; and Episode 2 is reversed. The Dealer has so much craps lingo, it's worth a watch just for that!

My Favorite Strategy with Live Craps Dealer Part 1 - YouTube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GT4-KMUyvQc
My Favorite Strategy with Live Craps Dealer Part 2 - YouTube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LgNkul9XX1A

My takeaway from watching this is I'm going to re-figure my Passline Progressive, but not quite to what these two were doing. If I can win a 10 bet session for every win past 11 in a row on the Passline, I'm gonna start with that.

PS: Just got an antivirus threat on a casino game I had on my Windows 98SE machine. Just copying files to a new 10 TB hard drive.

Video Poker Results

I'm playing 5 credit 9/6 Jacks Or Better VP on the Wizard website.
After 100 hands, I'm down 115 credits. 500 credits bet, 385 credits won. 77% return. I haven't gotten more than 3 of a kind.
After 200 hands, I'm down 245 credits. 1000 credits bet, 755 credits won. 75.5% return. I got 2 full houses.
After 300 hands, I'm down 190 credits. 1500 credits bet, 1310 credits won, 87.33% return. I got 2 full houses & a flush.
After 400 hands, I'm down 45 credits. 2000 credits bet, 1955 credits won , 97.75% return. I got a 4 of a kind, a couple full houses and a couple flushes. I was up 15 credits.
After 500 hands, I'm down 100 credits. 2500 credits bet, 2400 credits won, 96.0% return.
After 600 hands, I'm down 145 credits. 3000 credits bet, 2855 credits won, 95.167% return. I got a couple straights.
After 700 hands, I'm down 75 credits. 3500 credits bet, 3425 credits won, 97.86% return. I got 4 to a Royal Flush.
After 800 hands, I'm down 150 credits. 4000 credits bet, 3850 credits won, 96.25% return.
After 900 hands, I'm down 280 credits, 4500 credits bet, 4220 credits won, 93.78% return. (Tied for worst 100 hands up til now.)
After 1000 hands, I'm down 255 credits. 5000 credits bet, 4745 credits won, 94.90% return. I got a 4 of a kind.
I'm gonna quit now. Down $63.75 on a quarter machine. There's been 2 EAS Alerts in 2.5 hours on TV. It's almost 4 am.

BJ Win on Hoyle Casino

I was at $18.5K on a new installation of Hoyle Casino 2012. The multi-millions I had before Windows 10 crashed again could not be rescued.
So I was betting a progression of $120, $120, $240, $240, $360, $480, $600, $900, $1200, $1800, $1800... where I'm only down one unit if I lose the 3rd hand, or I lose on double downs & splits on bets higher than $120. I won $7K+ and I'm at $25.5K.

With 6 wins I'd be up $1080
With 10 wins I'd be up $4380
With 13 wins I'd be up $9780

Of course winning 3:2 BJ's and other bets can change those amounts. May want to limit splits and double downs beyond the 4th win in a row. Pushes do not end the progression but surrenders do. Taking insurance with a Blackjack counts as a win.

I could use this progression on the Passline or the PB 6/8 on a craps table too. Divide by 10 to get back to a $12 original bet.
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Later: I doubled my money to $50K by raising my base bet a unit from $150 after finishing a progression 5 units ahead by balance. So I started with 20 unit sessions of $3,000 and used a $150, $150, $300, $300, $450, $600, $750, $1125, $1500, $2250, $2250 progression. If I got to $750 ahead I'd double the progression. If I got to $2250 ahead I'd triple the progression to start at $450. If I got to $4500 ahead, I'd quadruple the progression to start at $600. So I found myself jumping from $25K to $50K and Hoyle Casino opened up a credit line for me when I got to $50K. The statistics said I was losing on plus counts, but winning big on 0 or negative counts. I was winning a few 11 in-a-row hand sequences that moved me up.
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Next morning: I started with a 50 unit session with plans to raise my progressions when I was 50 units ahead instead of 5 units because "What goes up stays up." will be more likely to happen since a completed 11 in-a-row progression will typically win me 50+ units. I started with a $15K session with a $300 base bet. I couldn't get together more than 5 wins in-a-row and over the space of 90 minutes of very fast play I lost all 50 units of the session. So I'm down to $35K.
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Played a 25 minute session and was down to $30K then won back to $45K with an 11 in-a-row on a $300 base bet. Won another couple sequences that put me up over $50K when they ended.

Gambling With an Edge - blackjack player, "It's not a Fluke."

Gambling With an Edge - blackjack player, "It's not a Fluke." https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hk9RYphCp-Q

Our guest this week uses the handle, "It's Not a Fluke." He is an advantage player that has also worked as a dealer, a supervisor, and in surveillance.

We welcome your questions - send them to us at gamblingwithanedge@gmail.com, or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter.

Show Notes

[00:00] Introduction of ItsNotAFluke, a current AP who previously worked in surveillance
[00:37] Fluke's early casino career and experience in dealer training
[07:19] Sycuan and the Tran Organization
[15:25] High stakes shuffle trackers
[19:44] Employee theft, day to day operations and monitoring AP
[27:13] Reno pit boss experience with a card counter
[34:55] South Point Casino June Promotion: Half Price Gas and Goods
[35:38] VideoPoker.com: Gold membership offers correction on most games
[36:31] Working during a grand opening of a casino in northern California
[39:47] Fluke gets fired after a bet capping incident
[44:08] Fluke's transition into AP
[49:05] How does Fluke's wife handle his AP life?

SouthPointCasino.com
VideoPoker.com

Gambling With an Edge is a weekly radio show dedicated to making you a better gambler tomorrow than you were yesterday. The hosts, Bob Dancer, and Richard Munchkin are both authors and professional gamblers. You can learn more about them at gamblingwithanedge.com

All, Tall, Small Winners - Live Craps game

All wins: $1 on each bet pays 210 to 1; $5 on each pays $1050.

Live Craps Game #30 - AWESOME 30+ ROLLS! - The Cosmopolitan, Las Vegas, NV - Inside the Casino - YouTube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9cCdxKnP0zc


https://wizardofodds.com/games/craps/appendix/5/
Small and Tall

The Small bet wins if the shooter rolls every total from 2 to 6 before a 7. The Tall bet requires the shooter to roll every total from 8 to 12 before a 7. Both have a probability of winning of 0.026354, or about 1 in 38. There are two known payoffs, as follows:

If wins pay 34 to 1 (or 35 for 1), then the house edge is 7.76%.
If wins pay 30 to 1 (or 31 for 1), then the house edge is 18.30%.

All
The All bet wins if the shooter rolls every total except a 7 before a 7. It is always offered along with the Small and Tall bets explained above. The probability of winning of 0.005258, or about 1 in 190. There are two known payoffs, as follows:

If wins pay 175 to 1 (or 176 for 1), then the house edge is 7.47%.
If wins pay 150 to 1 (or 151 for 1), then the house edge is 20.61%.