$100 Says I Can Only Solve This Problem!

Quote: USpapergames

Please provide the probabilities if you think it's so easy to do, unless your math skills are stronger than the best mathematicians on this forum, you stand no chance of completing the task.

Quote: DRich

Did you not know TElliot is a Phd in mathematics? He may or may not be the best math guy on this forum but I would guess he is much more skilled than you. He also has over 30 years of doing this stuff.

Has MDawg found a new persona?

Quote: USpapergames

No, but even if he is a Ph.D. mathematician it still doesn't matter. There are many Ph.D.'s who have attempted & failed to solve these probabilities (I know of one on this forum). I took this problem to U.C. Davis & their entire math department couldn't solve this problem lol. I am the worlds leading expert in combinatorial statistics. But I digress, I'm a specialist in this field, not to say my other math skills are average but I'm only an expert in 1 branch of mathematics & there are plenty of games that require different math skills to analyze.

Quote: CrystalMath

Bullshit.

Quote: CrystalMath

Bullshit.

Quote: USpapergames

Please prove me wrong 🙏

I have the answers so I'll know if your lying ;)

Quote: DRich

You are becoming a parody of yourself. I just assumed you were some cocky kid trying to get a job at IGT. Apparently I gave you way too much credit. The people you are dealing with here are all experts in their fields. TEliiot, CrystalMath, Wizard, Gordon. These guys are the experts and you are just a person yelling "look at me".

Quote: DRich

You are becoming a parody of yourself. I just assumed you were some cocky kid trying to get a job at IGT. Apparently I gave you way too much credit. The people you are dealing with here are all experts in their fields. TEliiot, CrystalMath, Wizard, Gordon. These guys are the experts and you are just a person yelling "look at me".

Quote: USpapergames

Here is something you don't know about me. I have a universal method for deriving a complete statistical analysis of probabilities to any defined group with any amount of elements within any amount of sets. The theorem is being nominated for an Able prize by this year's winner Hillel Furstenberg, who I reached out to by email sharing my research which he requested that it be formally published before nominated.

Quote: OnceDear

Hi Drich, AIUI, Wizard might treat this as a personal insult. Please be mindful of that and take this as a warning.
Cheers.

Quote: DRich

You sound like a person trying to get someone to do the math for you.

Publish your math here and everyone will say either you found a great method or they will probably show you a better and easier way to solve it. These people get paid tens of thousands of dollars to do gaming math.

Quote: DRich

Thank you, I will gladly accept any punishment that the moderators believe I deserve.

Quote: USpapergames

Here is something you don't know about me. I have a universal method for deriving a complete statistical analysis of probabilities to any defined group with any amount of elements within any amount of sets. The theorem is being nominated for an Able prize by this year's winner Hillel Furstenberg, who I reached out to by email sharing my research which he requested that it be formally published before nominated.

Quote: USpapergames

Way too scared to share prematurely. However, I could share the 4 card hand probabilities with you in private if that would help?

Quote: teliot

in other words it's not being nominated because you haven't published it and when I suggested an appropriate Journal you told me that it was mostly in your head and not written down. Until you write it down formally and publish it, all you have are words in your head. I've got lots of words in my head too, fortunately I've managed to write a few down over the years.

Here's the deal, publish anything in a major mathematical Journal, anything at all, and then I'll have a look at your problem. Prove that you have at least a modicum of skill by publishing something in a major journal. If you want me to be interested in your work, give me some respect by first proving yourself worthy of my attention.

Quote: DRich

That wouldn't interest me at all. I am not much of a gaming math guy. I can solve simple poker games and reel slots but that is not my forte.

Quote: USpapergames

I never said I didn't have my research written down??? You make me out to sound like a lunatic! I said I don't have much of it written in "WORDS". All of it is written down, all of it! But my research is anything but punishable & I think Donguy will attest to that.

Quote: USpapergames

One thing to note is that I have a language processing disorder and much of my research isn't even written in words.

Quote: teliot

I suppose "words" needs a definition. If it is in symbols and code that you invented from scratch because of your language disorder, it will be tough to get that published, for sure.

Quote: USpapergames

Guys can you tell me the truth, do I write or talk funny because of my lpd or is it just a struggle to find the correct words?

I'm trying to figure out why everyone seems to misunderstand me when taking the time to make sure my wording, by definition, is correct.

Quote: Mental

I don't think you even want to communicate. Communicating requires receiving and transmitting, and I don't feel you try to do either. You just want to keep attention on yourself. The circus gets boring pretty quickly.

Quote: USpapergames

I've got a great way to tell if I'm full of it! Let's all try and solve these probabilities & I nobody can then I think it's obvious I'm the combo king of WoV. Or you guys could just talk to Donguy since I sent I'm 3 two hour videos of me explaining in detail about my theorem. I haven't spoken to him since I submitted the videos but he subscribed to my channel & I'm assuming he would have said something by now if he wasn't convinced.

Quote: ThatDonGuy

Er, I haven't had a chance to look at your videos - for some reason, the YouTube app on Roku doesn't show them when I go to your channel's page.

Quote: ThatDonGuy

Er, I haven't had a chance to look at your videos - for some reason, the YouTube app on Roku doesn't show them when I go to your channel's page.

Quote: USpapergames

I am the worlds leading expert in combinatorial statistics.

Quote: USpapergames

Ok, I really didn't want to post this. I wanted people to solve the 4 card hand ranking probabilities also :/

Show Spoiler

https://drive.google.com/file/d/10zU8jSEWHe0ExiIcuqqKkxS_tLmCzYjg/view?usp=drivesdk

      Hand     Number     Frequency    Cumm. Prob       Cycle
--------------------------------------------------------------
Color_Quad         25    0.0006376%    0.0006376%      156849
Quad_Flush        100    0.0025502%    0.0025502%       39212
Suited_D2T        300    0.0076507%    0.0076507%       13071
Fools_Hand    3920800   99.9891639%   99.9891639%           1
        --    3921225  100.0000000%  100.0000000%           1

Quote: rdw4potus

Seriously, you aren't this message board's leading expert in combinatorial statistics...

Quote: USpapergames

I am the worlds leading expert in combinatorial statistics. But I digress, I'm a specialist in this field, not to say my other math skills are average but I'm only an expert in 1 branch of mathematics & there are plenty of games that require different math skills to analyze..

Quote: USpapergames

I'm confused? Then why did you ask to see my research if you lack the skills to analyze it???

Quote: rdw4potus

Seriously, you aren't this message board's leading expert in combinatorial statistics...

Quote: Mental

Quote: USpapergames

Ok, I really didn't want to post this. I wanted people to solve the 4 card hand ranking probabilities also :/

Show Spoiler

https://drive.google.com/file/d/10zU8jSEWHe0ExiIcuqqKkxS_tLmCzYjg/view?usp=drivesdk

I decided to code up a few of these. 4-card hands.

      Hand     Number     Frequency    Cumm. Prob       Cycle
--------------------------------------------------------------
Color_Quad         25    0.0006376%    0.0006376%      156849
Quad_Flush        100    0.0025502%    0.0025502%       39212
Suited_D2T        300    0.0076507%    0.0076507%       13071
Fools_Hand    3920800   99.9891639%   99.9891639%           1
        --    3921225  100.0000000%  100.0000000%           1

It is easy but tedious to code each hand rule. Each hand requires a few lines of new code. Remember that I don't claim that I am smart to be able to do this. My position all along has been that this is a fairly simple problem.

Quote: billryan

MATH FIGHT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Quote: teliot

"Combinatorial Statistics" is not a formal area of mathematics, like "algebraic geometry" or "statistical mechanics." For example, there is no Wikipedia page on "combinatorial statistics".

If you read the wiki page on Combinatorics, you don't even see a single mention of "combinatorial statistics" as one of the identified sub-disciplines related to combinatorics. Nor do these two words appear adjacent to each other anywhere on the page.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Combinatorics

2.1 Enumerative combinatorics
2.2 Analytic combinatorics
2.3 Partition theory
2.4 Graph theory
2.5 Design theory
2.6 Finite geometry
2.7 Order theory
2.8 Matroid theory
2.9 Extremal combinatorics
2.10 Probabilistic combinatorics
2.11 Algebraic combinatorics
2.12 Combinatorics on words
2.13 Geometric combinatorics
2.14 Topological combinatorics
2.15 Arithmetic combinatorics
2.16 Infinitary combinatorics

Likewise, Amazon.com does not list a single book on the subject of "Combinatorial Statistics."

There are a couple of links to "combinatorial statistics" if you do a Google search, but again, this is more anecdotal than a definition of an area of mathematics.

Being the world's expert in something that doesn't exist is quite a feat!

By the way, I am the world's leading expert on the topology of the empty set, so-called emptorial topology. Some people think my expertise is pointless. No joking, my research areas as a professor were in algebraic number theory, computational number theory and elementary number theory. You'll find those discussed on Wikipedia if you're at all interested.

Quote: DRich

Because there are four or five people on this forum that are skilled in the trade. They will either tell you how great your method is, or they may be able to offer you some ideas on ways to improve it.

Quote: USpapergames

Can you please answer why you believe that to be the case? Is it because I don't have the reputation as the Wizard does that I couldn't possibly be that knowledgeable in one particular field of study? Doesn't it make sense to just refrain from giving your opinion till you have the facts? T me it's obvious you (& plenty of other WoV members) are going to owe me a FAT apology.

Quote: teliot

"Combinatorial Statistics" is not a formal area of mathematics, like "algebraic geometry" or "statistical mechanics." For example, there is no Wikipedia page on "combinatorial statistics".

If you read the wiki page on Combinatorics, you don't even see a single mention of "combinatorial statistics" as one of the identified sub-disciplines related to combinatorics. Nor do these two words appear adjacent to each other anywhere on the page.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Combinatorics

2.1 Enumerative combinatorics
2.2 Analytic combinatorics
2.3 Partition theory
2.4 Graph theory
2.5 Design theory
2.6 Finite geometry
2.7 Order theory
2.8 Matroid theory
2.9 Extremal combinatorics
2.10 Probabilistic combinatorics
2.11 Algebraic combinatorics
2.12 Combinatorics on words
2.13 Geometric combinatorics
2.14 Topological combinatorics
2.15 Arithmetic combinatorics
2.16 Infinitary combinatorics

Likewise, Amazon.com does not list a single book on the subject of "Combinatorial Statistics."

There are a couple of links to "combinatorial statistics" if you do a Google search, but again, this is more anecdotal than a definition of an area of mathematics.

Being the world's expert in something that doesn't exist is quite a feat!

By the way, I am the world's leading expert on the topology of the empty set, so-called emptorial topology. Some people think my expertise is pointless. No joking, my research areas as a professor were in algebraic number theory, computational number theory and elementary number theory. You'll find those discussed on Wikipedia if you're at all interested.

Quote: rdw4potus

I believe that you aren't this board's leading expert on combinatorics because you think this problem is hard. Many members here don't think so. I have every confidence that half a dozen of them could do this, and do it without much issue. If it's hard for you and easy for them, they're better than you.

Quote: USpapergames

So your saying they could do it & they choose not to? Don't you think if they could they would have done it by now and proved me wrong already? Are you aware Shackleford himself spent hours just trying to solve a sub-portion of this problem & got now where? I'd rather not post the evidence to this again but surely someone here knows this, right?

Quote: rdw4potus

Yes. It isn't interesting and here is no benefit to them doing it. Why take the time? And I don't believe that Mike tried and struck out.

Quote: USpapergames

Can you please remove yourself from this thread? Anyone who is going to call me a liar, I wish to never read another one of their comments for the rest of my life.

Quote: OnceDear

Here ya go USPG... https://wizardofvegas.com/block/rdw4potus/

Quote: USpapergames

Thank you! Wow that was fast ;)

Can he still comment in the thread and make fun of me?

Quote: rdw4potus

I can comment. I suspect that making fun of you is against the forum's rules. So are trolling and thumbtacking, both of which you're getting pretty close to.

Quote: unJon

rdw4potus can still post on the thread. You won’t see those posts unless

someone quotes them.

Quote: USpapergames

So your saying they could do it & they choose not to? Don't you think if they could they would have done it by now and proved me wrong already? Are you aware Shackleford himself spent hours just trying to solve a sub-portion of this problem & got now where? I'd rather not post the evidence to this again but surely someone here knows this, right?

Quote: Mental

So now we are you employees who have deadlines to provide deliverables to you? You are the one who said 4x5x5 is infinitely harder than 25x4. I wrote a bit of code before breakfast this morning that proved you are wrong. I easily handled four of your four-card hands with a 4x5x5

deck. including doublets, suited, colored. Now, you say that is worthless. You demand that I do the whole set of four-card hands, which you say "Believe me when I say you couldn't write a program to solve the 4 card probabilities if you had a month".

How can you even evaluate my capabilities? How can you prove difficulty? You should accept my telling you that it is straightforward but tedious. You have no domain experience and I have decades of experience. You are clueless in this domain. If I do code the rest of the cases before breakfast tomorrow, you will certainly make new demands.

The five card hands will be a trifle if I do the four card hands. I must be nuts to even respond to your baseless taunts.