rsactuary
rsactuary
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January 11th, 2021 at 5:34:58 PM permalink
Quote: speedycrap

I am sorry. My bad. Then make it 20 Jan 2021 No Biden Inauguration. Still interested?? I have US$80 ready and available.



No, I'm only willing to bet on the 24th
ThatDonGuy
ThatDonGuy
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January 11th, 2021 at 6:04:09 PM permalink
Quote: rsactuary

No, I'm only willing to bet on the 24th


Be careful; remember what happened in 2009 - Obama had a second "secret" swearing-in because he didn't read the oath as it appears in the Constitution in the first one. He was not particularly thrilled that he was asked to do it again, but birthers were going to have a field day with it if he didn't.
terapined
terapined
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January 11th, 2021 at 6:22:26 PM permalink
Quote: ThatDonGuy

Be careful; remember what happened in 2009 - Obama had a second "secret" swearing-in because he didn't read the oath as it appears in the Constitution in the first one. He was not particularly thrilled that he was asked to do it again, but birthers were going to have a field day with it if he didn't.


That was John Roberts
He tried to wing the oath from memory and blew it
2nd one, he read from a paper.
speedycrap
speedycrap
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January 11th, 2021 at 7:02:11 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

BetFair is taking action on Trump to leave before the end of his term. The betting odds suggest a 9.8% chance.

As a reminder, political opinions are not allowed at WoV. Discussion of betting on politics is.

Hello Wizard. Since RSactuary is all talk but no action. (RSactuary wrote "I woud bet all my life savings") Would you take US$50 please? I will take 10-1 odds meaning if I win, I will make US$500. If I lose, I will lose US$50. I think it is a very sweet deal to you. +EV. To make it better, my potential winnings will be put towards the dinner of 2022 Spring Fling of WizardofVegas.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO 
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January 11th, 2021 at 7:25:04 PM permalink
Quote: speedycrap

Quote: Wizard

BetFair is taking action on Trump to leave before the end of his term. The betting odds suggest a 9.8% chance.

As a reminder, political opinions are not allowed at WoV. Discussion of betting on politics is.

Hello Wizard. Since RSactuary is all talk but no action. (RSactuary wrote "I woud bet all my life savings") Would you take US$50 please? I will take 10-1 odds meaning if I win, I will make US$500. If I lose, I will lose US$50. I think it is a very sweet deal to you. +EV. To make it better, my potential winnings will be put towards the dinner of 2022 Spring Fling of WizardofVegas.



Speedy has paid me once, and I ferried money from him to pay off a different WoV member. So Wiz... he’s probably good for the EASY $50. He will be on the hook for $20 to me already. I got my bet in early so only gave him 9-1!
speedycrap
speedycrap
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January 11th, 2021 at 7:36:31 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: speedycrap

Quote: Wizard

BetFair is taking action on Trump to leave before the end of his term. The betting odds suggest a 9.8% chance.

As a reminder, political opinions are not allowed at WoV. Discussion of betting on politics is.

Hello Wizard. Since RSactuary is all talk but no action. (RSactuary wrote "I woud bet all my life savings") Would you take US$50 please? I will take 10-1 odds meaning if I win, I will make US$500. If I lose, I will lose US$50. I think it is a very sweet deal to you. +EV. To make it better, my potential winnings will be put towards the dinner of 2022 Spring Fling of WizardofVegas.



Speedy has paid me once, and I ferried money from him to pay off a different WoV member. So Wiz... he’s probably good for the EASY $50. He will be on the hook for $20 to me already. I got my bet in early so only gave him 9-1!

No No No No, Soopoo. The sales pitch should be +EV. Also just in case, US$500 for 2022 dinner of Spring Fling.
(Thanks for the help, you are invited to dinner of 2022 Spring Fling, all food and non alcoholic beverages covered by me.)
ams288
ams288
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January 12th, 2021 at 3:09:10 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

BetFair is taking action on Trump to leave before the end of his term. The betting odds suggest a 9.8% chance.

As a reminder, political opinions are not allowed at WoV. Discussion of betting on politics is.



How have the odds changed tonight now that McConnell apparently supports impeachment and some House republicans like Liz Cheney are voting to impeach?
Ding Dong the Witch is Dead
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
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January 12th, 2021 at 4:51:24 PM permalink
Quote: speedycrap

Hello Wizard. Since RSactuary is all talk but no action. (RSactuary wrote "I woud bet all my life savings") Would you take US$50 please? I will take 10-1 odds meaning if I win, I will make US$500. If I lose, I will lose US$50. I think it is a very sweet deal to you. +EV. To make it better, my potential winnings will be put towards the dinner of 2022 Spring Fling of WizardofVegas.



I accept! Please confirm by 12:01 AM (Pacific time) on Jan 13 or I will consider the bet to have no action, as the news is changing by the hour.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
speedycrap
speedycrap
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Joined: Oct 13, 2013
January 12th, 2021 at 5:18:16 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I accept! Please confirm by 12:01 AM (Pacific time) on Jan 13 or I will consider the bet to have no action, as the news is changing by the hour.

Wizard, you have a bet.
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
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January 12th, 2021 at 8:52:40 PM permalink
Quote: speedycrap

Wizard, you have a bet.



Double-confirmed. The bet is on!
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
speedycrap
speedycrap
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Thanked by
RogerKint
January 12th, 2021 at 10:19:32 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Double-confirmed. The bet is on!

GOD bless America
Mission146
Mission146
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January 21st, 2021 at 2:02:16 PM permalink
Here's the follow-up to my October article in which we go over results:

https://wizardofvegas.com/articles/election-betting-results/

SPOILER ALERT: Every single bet was a winner. I had identified one value bet in October, but specifically said in the October article that I'd not take that binary simply because there was so much essentially free money on the table.

What bet was the funniest (and one of the easiest) wins? It had to do with a certain person coming in third...
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
SOOPOO
SOOPOO 
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January 21st, 2021 at 4:01:43 PM permalink
I’m assuming speedy has accepted defeat and will be paying Mike and me our winnings! As per my agreement with speedy, he will buy lunch next time we meet.
speedycrap
speedycrap
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January 21st, 2021 at 4:29:56 PM permalink
Yes, money sent to Wizard already. You lunch will be ready anytime we meet.
Ace2
Ace2
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Mission146
January 21st, 2021 at 4:46:54 PM permalink
Nice win. I can’t imagine laying 10 to 1 on anything
It’s all about making that GTA
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
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January 22nd, 2021 at 5:36:42 AM permalink
Quote: speedycrap

Yes, money sent to Wizard already. You lunch will be ready anytime we meet.



I confirm this.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
SOOPOO
SOOPOO 
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January 22nd, 2021 at 7:02:24 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I confirm this.



I expect a Wiz tip of a $2 bill for brokering this bet......
Mental
Mental
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January 22nd, 2021 at 7:23:15 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I expect a Wiz tip of a $2 bill for brokering this bet......



Following PredictIt, the Wiz will take 10% of the profit and then a withdrawal fee of 5% for capital plus profit.
Gambling is a math contest where the score is tracked in dollars. Try not to get a negative score.
Ace2
Ace2
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January 22nd, 2021 at 8:20:34 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I expect a Wiz tip of a $2 bill for brokering this bet......

That would probably make the bet illegal
It’s all about making that GTA
speedycrap
speedycrap
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January 22nd, 2021 at 12:19:18 PM permalink
Quote: Ace2

That would probably make the bet illegal

I like illegal transaction. Since it is ILLEGAL, then all bets are off. And I want my money back from Wizard please. I am a nice guy, so I say please. I think this is my lucky day. And thanks Ace2.
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