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billryan
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December 31st, 2024 at 3:41:55 PM permalink
Four legs are good, two legs better.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
DRich
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December 31st, 2024 at 3:43:34 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

Four legs are good, two legs better.
link to original post



Not for a chair.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
billryan
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December 31st, 2024 at 3:52:12 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: billryan

Four legs are good, two legs better.
link to original post



Not for a chair.
link to original post



Nor a forum.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
AZDuffman
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December 31st, 2024 at 4:30:30 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

Four legs are good, two legs better.
link to original post



Seems like something sheep would say.

For those of you in Rio Linda, look up what that means before whining it is a personal insult.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
AutomaticMonkey
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December 31st, 2024 at 5:21:34 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

Quote: DRich

Quote: billryan

Four legs are good, two legs better.
link to original post



Not for a chair.
link to original post



Nor a forum.
link to original post



Nor for sex.

(Sorry if that gets anyone's goat.)
DRich
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December 31st, 2024 at 7:04:52 PM permalink
Quote: AutomaticMonkey

Quote: billryan

Quote: DRich

Quote: billryan

Four legs are good, two legs better.
link to original post



Not for a chair.
link to original post



Nor a forum.
link to original post



Nor for sex.

(Sorry if that gets anyone's goat.)
link to original post



I believe all of my sexual encounters have involved four legs.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
gordonm888
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January 1st, 2025 at 9:41:27 AM permalink
Quote: JimRockford

Quote: rxwine

it's a National Review piece. It's not going to be written with a glass half-full perspective. it's going to be a glass half-empty.
link to original post


Gordon’s post is entirely verbatim from a National Review article posted with no attribute. Do moderators not respect rule 2 around here?
link to original post



I agree that my post was a Rule 2 exception and I am self-suspending from the forum for 4 days.

I have also modified my original post by adding an attribution to author Philip Klein and the National Review for excerpting from his longer article and by adding a link to the original article.

The NR article itself is almost entirely based on facts reported by David Brinkley in his book "The Unfinished Presidency," a book which otherwise has a tone of praising Jimmy Carter. I therefore respectfully disagree with the above comments about glass half-full versus half-empty.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
rxwine
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January 1st, 2025 at 10:35:48 AM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

Quote: JimRockford

Quote: rxwine

it's a National Review piece. It's not going to be written with a glass half-full perspective. it's going to be a glass half-empty.
link to original post


Gordon’s post is entirely verbatim from a National Review article posted with no attribute. Do moderators not respect rule 2 around here?
link to original post



I agree that my post was a Rule 2 exception and I am self-suspending from the forum for 4 days.

I have also modified my original post by adding an attribution to author Philip Klein and the National Review for excerpting from his longer article and by adding a link to the original article.

The NR article itself is almost entirely based on facts reported by David Brinkley in his book "The Unfinished Presidency," a book which otherwise has a tone of praising Jimmy Carter. I therefore respectfully disagree with the above comments about glass half-full versus half-empty.
link to original post



You must have left out the tone praising him more than diminishing him then if that’s the case. Just my opinion though. Others may see it as more positive. I missed it though.
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EvenBob
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January 1st, 2025 at 11:05:24 AM permalink
Jimmy Carter during his presidency was interested in establishing a Holocaust museum. So he put somebody in charge of setting up a Holocaust council and when this person sent the list of people on the council to Carter, he wrote back that there were too many Jews on the list. The list was 80% Jews most of whom were Holocaust survivors. So Carter wanted a Holocaust museum, but he wanted as few Jews as possible setting it up. So another list was made that contained mostly non-Jewish people and Carter rejected one of the historians on the list because his name sounded 'too Jewish' even though the guy was a presbyterian. And people wonder why he's called anti-Semitic.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
rxwine
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January 1st, 2025 at 11:15:35 AM permalink
From the (American Jewish Committee). WWW.AJC.org.


Quote:

Carter’s support for the freedom of Jews in the Soviet Union, signing of legislation in 1977 banning American corporations and individuals from complying with the Arab boycott of Israel, and establishing in 1978 the President’s Commission on the Holocaust, which led to the United States Holocaust Memorial Museum in 1993, have had decisive, positive long-term impact.



Quote:

American Jewish Committee (AJC) stands up for Israel’s right to exist in peace and security; confronts antisemitism, no matter the source; and upholds the democratic values that unite Jews and our allies.

In the wake of Hamas’ brutal October 7 attack—the worst massacre of Jews since the Holocaust—AJC has mobilized its unparalleled global network to tackle the unprecedented threats facing world Jewry.

From world capitals to college campuses, AJC works with leaders across society to support Israel and combat surging antisemitism, and we leverage strategic communications to educate, counter misinformation, and shape public opinion.



They do reflect on their differences with Carter’s legacy. Just thought I’d offer some balance.
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EvenBob
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January 1st, 2025 at 11:32:31 AM permalink
Quote: rxwine

From the (American Jewish Committee). WWW.AJC.org.


Quote:

Carter’s support for the freedom of Jews in the Soviet Union, signing of legislation in 1977 banning American corporations and individuals from complying with the Arab boycott of Israel, and establishing in 1978 the President’s Commission on the Holocaust, which led to the United States Holocaust Memorial Museum in 1993, have had decisive, positive long-term impact.



Quote:

American Jewish Committee (AJC) stands up for Israel’s right to exist in peace and security; confronts antisemitism, no matter the source; and upholds the democratic values that unite Jews and our allies.

In the wake of Hamas’ brutal October 7 attack—the worst massacre of Jews since the Holocaust—AJC has mobilized its unparalleled global network to tackle the unprecedented threats facing world Jewry.

From world capitals to college campuses, AJC works with leaders across society to support Israel and combat surging antisemitism, and we leverage strategic communications to educate, counter misinformation, and shape public opinion.





They do reflect on their differences with Carter’s legacy. Just thought I’d offer some balance.
link to original post



In 1987 when Carter was no longer president he went to bat for a Nazi SS officer accused of Holocaust crimes who had been deported from the United States and was facing trial in Austria for the crimes he committed. Carter tried to get him sent back to the United States so he wouldn't have to face trial. And people wonder why he's called antisemitic.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
rxwine
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January 1st, 2025 at 1:11:29 PM permalink
Jocelyn Wildenstein, ‘Catwoman’ socialite known for her extreme cosmetic surgery, dies

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SOOPOO
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January 1st, 2025 at 2:35:58 PM permalink
Quote: rxwine

Jocelyn Wildenstein, ‘Catwoman’ socialite known for her extreme cosmetic surgery, dies


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I think posting that picture should garner you a suspension.
rxwine
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January 1st, 2025 at 2:51:23 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

[
I think posting that picture should garner you a suspension.
link to original post



Yeah, I should have posted it in EB’s cat thread.
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MDawg
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January 1st, 2025 at 2:56:16 PM permalink
If you find old news stock covering Carter's choice to walk down Pennsylvania Avenue waving rather than inside a vehicle, it was viewed as a "brilliant" move. I would agree.

“I told the Secret Service what I was gonna do,” Carter told Chris Matthews with evident pride looking back. “I didn’t ask their permission.” He kept the inaugural walk secret right up ‘til he and Rosalyn had opened the door on the presidential limousine: “I think it broke the ice. It showed that I trusted the American people, that I thought it was time for animosity and hatred in our country’s politics to be over.”

Since then, other Presidents do the same, at least part of the way, so how could anyone argue it was a bad move if they all copied him?

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
EvenBob
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January 1st, 2025 at 3:10:48 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

If you find old news stock covering Carter's choice to walk down Pennsylvania Avenue waving rather than inside a vehicle, it was viewed as a "brilliant" move. I would agree.

“I told the Secret Service what I was gonna do,” Carter told Chris Matthews with evident pride looking back. “I didn’t ask their permission.” He kept the inaugural walk secret right up ‘til he and Rosalyn had opened the door on the presidential limousine: “I think it broke the ice. It showed that I trusted the American people, that I thought it was time for animosity and hatred in our country’s politics to be over.”

Since then, other Presidents do the same, at least part of the way, so how could anyone argue it was a bad move if they all copied him?


link to original post



He did it for his ego, walked the entire way. Nothing to do with trusting the American people, he knew the Secret Service was watching every move. He did it so his gigantic ego could suck in what he considered all the adulation of him getting elected. The only reason he got elected was because of Richard Nixon, if it wasn't for Nixon he never would have had a chance. If you read stuff written by people who actually knew Jimmy Carter they all say he was totally full of himself, arrogant and egotistical.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
AZDuffman
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January 1st, 2025 at 3:56:13 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob



He did it for his ego, walked the entire way. Nothing to do with trusting the American people, he knew the Secret Service was watching every move. He did it so his gigantic ego could suck in what he considered all the adulation of him getting elected. The only reason he got elected was because of Richard Nixon, if it wasn't for Nixon he never would have had a chance. If you read stuff written by people who actually knew Jimmy Carter they all say he was totally full of himself, arrogant and egotistical.
link to original post



The carrying his own bag thing was fake, the bag was empty. Don't think he was authentic, he was not.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
EvenBob
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January 1st, 2025 at 5:18:53 PM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

Quote: EvenBob



He did it for his ego, walked the entire way. Nothing to do with trusting the American people, he knew the Secret Service was watching every move. He did it so his gigantic ego could suck in what he considered all the adulation of him getting elected. The only reason he got elected was because of Richard Nixon, if it wasn't for Nixon he never would have had a chance. If you read stuff written by people who actually knew Jimmy Carter they all say he was totally full of himself, arrogant and egotistical.
link to original post



The carrying his own bag thing was fake, the bag was empty. Don't think he was authentic, he was not.
link to original post



"Jimmy Carter's smiling, man-of-the-people image that saw him carry his own luggage was 'all show', say ex-Secret Service agents who claim ex-president was 'rude and short' and 'talked down' to soldiers... Secret Service agents revealed Jimmy Carter was nothing like the smiling, friendly president that he projected and, in reality, was 'short and rude most of the time.'..His icy demeanor would make him the most detested commander-in-chief by Secret Service agents of all US presidents in recent memory."
The First Family Detail: Secret Service Agents Reveal the Hidden Lives of the Presidents

The Secret Service agents who dealt with Carter in the White House claim he was constantly rude, never said hello to anybody, if you said hello to him he would ignore you, every bag he is seen carrying by the Press is totally empty, he would arrive sometimes at 6:00 a.m. so the Press could see him and then he would go into the Oval Office and take a nap for 2 hours. They claim the grinning good old boy that Carter showed the public was a total opposite of who he really was. He was ex-military but he treated the military like crap and refused to let anybody wear a military uniform in the White House. They claim that Carter was a great actor, and that's what he was doing whenever he was in front of the public, acting. After he was voted out of office he would occasionally stay at Blair House in Washington DC as a guest and his enormous ego made him take down the pictures of Republican presidents and replace them with pictures of himself while he was staying there. The Secret Service said he only ever smiled when he was in public and he never ever smiled in the White House.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
rxwine
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January 1st, 2025 at 6:03:52 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Quote: AZDuffman

Quote: EvenBob



He did it for his ego, walked the entire way. Nothing to do with trusting the American people, he knew the Secret Service was watching every move. He did it so his gigantic ego could suck in what he considered all the adulation of him getting elected. The only reason he got elected was because of Richard Nixon, if it wasn't for Nixon he never would have had a chance. If you read stuff written by people who actually knew Jimmy Carter they all say he was totally full of himself, arrogant and egotistical.
link to original post



The carrying his own bag thing was fake, the bag was empty. Don't think he was authentic, he was not.
link to original post



"Jimmy Carter's smiling, man-of-the-people image that saw him carry his own luggage was 'all show', say ex-Secret Service agents who claim ex-president was 'rude and short' and 'talked down' to soldiers... Secret Service agents revealed Jimmy Carter was nothing like the smiling, friendly president that he projected and, in reality, was 'short and rude most of the time.'..His icy demeanor would make him the most detested commander-in-chief by Secret Service agents of all US presidents in recent memory."
The First Family Detail: Secret Service Agents Reveal the Hidden Lives of the Presidents

The Secret Service agents who dealt with Carter in the White House claim he was constantly rude, never said hello to anybody, if you said hello to him he would ignore you, every bag he is seen carrying by the Press is totally empty, he would arrive sometimes at 6:00 a.m. so the Press could see him and then he would go into the Oval Office and take a nap for 2 hours. They claim the grinning good old boy that Carter showed the public was a total opposite of who he really was. He was ex-military but he treated the military like crap and refused to let anybody wear a military uniform in the White House. They claim that Carter was a great actor, and that's what he was doing whenever he was in front of the public, acting. After he was voted out of office he would occasionally stay at Blair House in Washington DC as a guest and his enormous ego made him take down the pictures of Republican presidents and replace them with pictures of himself while he was staying there. The Secret Service said he only ever smiled when he was in public and he never ever smiled in the White House.
link to original post



Good to see you two believe multiple sources might indicate something is true about.a President. Not like those people who hear multiple sources of info and keep denying it is true. Keep up the good work.
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EvenBob
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January 1st, 2025 at 6:34:08 PM permalink
Quote: rxwine



Good to see you two believe multiple sources might indicate something is true about.a President. Not like those people who hear multiple sources of info and keep denying it is true. Keep up the good work.
link to original post



Absolutely totally depends on what the source is. A New York Times bestselling book by a well-known author is a pretty good source.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
AZDuffman
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January 2nd, 2025 at 2:32:36 AM permalink
Quote: rxwine

Quote: EvenBob

Quote: AZDuffman

Quote: EvenBob



He did it for his ego, walked the entire way. Nothing to do with trusting the American people, he knew the Secret Service was watching every move. He did it so his gigantic ego could suck in what he considered all the adulation of him getting elected. The only reason he got elected was because of Richard Nixon, if it wasn't for Nixon he never would have had a chance. If you read stuff written by people who actually knew Jimmy Carter they all say he was totally full of himself, arrogant and egotistical.
link to original post



The carrying his own bag thing was fake, the bag was empty. Don't think he was authentic, he was not.
link to original post



"Jimmy Carter's smiling, man-of-the-people image that saw him carry his own luggage was 'all show', say ex-Secret Service agents who claim ex-president was 'rude and short' and 'talked down' to soldiers... Secret Service agents revealed Jimmy Carter was nothing like the smiling, friendly president that he projected and, in reality, was 'short and rude most of the time.'..His icy demeanor would make him the most detested commander-in-chief by Secret Service agents of all US presidents in recent memory."
The First Family Detail: Secret Service Agents Reveal the Hidden Lives of the Presidents

The Secret Service agents who dealt with Carter in the White House claim he was constantly rude, never said hello to anybody, if you said hello to him he would ignore you, every bag he is seen carrying by the Press is totally empty, he would arrive sometimes at 6:00 a.m. so the Press could see him and then he would go into the Oval Office and take a nap for 2 hours. They claim the grinning good old boy that Carter showed the public was a total opposite of who he really was. He was ex-military but he treated the military like crap and refused to let anybody wear a military uniform in the White House. They claim that Carter was a great actor, and that's what he was doing whenever he was in front of the public, acting. After he was voted out of office he would occasionally stay at Blair House in Washington DC as a guest and his enormous ego made him take down the pictures of Republican presidents and replace them with pictures of himself while he was staying there. The Secret Service said he only ever smiled when he was in public and he never ever smiled in the White House.
link to original post



Good to see you two believe multiple sources might indicate something is true about.a President. Not like those people who hear multiple sources of info and keep denying it is true. Keep up the good work.
link to original post



Sources matter. It is why I called out "The Atlantic" on here some time ago. They tend to publish things with only one source often anonymous. USSS agents who go on the record like that are vetted.
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GenoDRPh
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January 2nd, 2025 at 7:39:09 AM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Quote: AZDuffman

Quote: EvenBob



He did it for his ego, walked the entire way. Nothing to do with trusting the American people, he knew the Secret Service was watching every move. He did it so his gigantic ego could suck in what he considered all the adulation of him getting elected. The only reason he got elected was because of Richard Nixon, if it wasn't for Nixon he never would have had a chance. If you read stuff written by people who actually knew Jimmy Carter they all say he was totally full of himself, arrogant and egotistical.
link to original post



The carrying his own bag thing was fake, the bag was empty. Don't think he was authentic, he was not.
link to original post



"Jimmy Carter's smiling, man-of-the-people image that saw him carry his own luggage was 'all show', say ex-Secret Service agents who claim ex-president was 'rude and short' and 'talked down' to soldiers... Secret Service agents revealed Jimmy Carter was nothing like the smiling, friendly president that he projected and, in reality, was 'short and rude most of the time.'..His icy demeanor would make him the most detested commander-in-chief by Secret Service agents of all US presidents in recent memory."
The First Family Detail: Secret Service Agents Reveal the Hidden Lives of the Presidents

The Secret Service agents who dealt with Carter in the White House claim he was constantly rude, never said hello to anybody, if you said hello to him he would ignore you, every bag he is seen carrying by the Press is totally empty, he would arrive sometimes at 6:00 a.m. so the Press could see him and then he would go into the Oval Office and take a nap for 2 hours. They claim the grinning good old boy that Carter showed the public was a total opposite of who he really was. He was ex-military but he treated the military like crap and refused to let anybody wear a military uniform in the White House. They claim that Carter was a great actor, and that's what he was doing whenever he was in front of the public, acting. After he was voted out of office he would occasionally stay at Blair House in Washington DC as a guest and his enormous ego made him take down the pictures of Republican presidents and replace them with pictures of himself while he was staying there. The Secret Service said he only ever smiled when he was in public and he never ever smiled in the White House.
link to original post



Multiple USSS agents have gone on recent record praising his humanity, kindness and compassion. Based on events of the last 5 years or so, I would not trust any USSS agent to tell the truth in any circumstance, due to lack of trust. Examples available upon request.

Do we have primary sources confirming he banned service personnel from wearing military uniforms at The White House, and not just from a dude trying to sell a book?
billryan
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January 2nd, 2025 at 7:48:09 AM permalink
The White House generally avoids having the military in uniform in the West Wing except for times of war. As Carter's term was one of the rare administrations in which the US was not in conflict, it makes sense that they didn't have uniformed aides.
No US Serviceman died from hostile fire during his administration, an event last achieved during the Buchanan Administration in the 1850s, and not repeated since.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
EvenBob
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January 2nd, 2025 at 10:29:23 AM permalink
Quote: GenoDRPh



Multiple USSS agents have gone on recent record praising his humanity, kindness and compassion. Based on events of the last 5 years or so, I would not trust any USSS agent to tell the truth in any circumstance, due to lack of trust. Examples available upon request.

Do we have primary sources confirming he banned service personnel from wearing military uniforms at The White House, and not just from a dude trying to sell a book?
link to original post



The Secret Service agents in the book that I linked to we're talking about his years in the White House. Nobody cares about the 50 years that happened after he left the White House trying to clean up his record as a jerk.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
rxwine
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January 2nd, 2025 at 6:46:06 PM permalink
The Osmonds, are finally old enough to start dying off. (perhaps others have died, but may have missed it)

Quote:

Wayne Osmond, who co-founded the Osmonds, scored four Top 10 singles with the group and was a regular on the hit variety show Donny & Marie starring his younger brother and sister, died January 1 after a stroke. He was 73.

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jpfromla
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January 2nd, 2025 at 8:21:09 PM permalink
No, eight died trying to rescue the Iranian hostages. Yes, they died when the helicopter crashed in the desert. There would have been casualties if Jimmy didn't abandon the attempt.
Nathan
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January 5th, 2025 at 8:46:12 AM permalink
Quote: rxwine

Jocelyn Wildenstein, ‘Catwoman’ socialite known for her extreme cosmetic surgery, dies


link to original post



Dying. What an AWFUL way to spend New Year's day! 😱😳☢️😵‍💫😭
In both The Hunger Games and in gambling, may the odds be ever in your favor. :D "Man Babes" #AxelFabulous "Olive oil is processed but it only has one ingredient, olive oil."-Even Bob, March 27/28th. :D The 2 year war is over! Woo-hoo! :D I sometimes speak in metaphors. ;) Remember this. ;) Crack the code. :D 8.9.13.25.14.1.13.5.9.19.14.1.20.8.1.14! :D "For about the 4096th time, let me offer a radical idea to those of you who don't like Nathan -- block her and don't visit Nathan's Corner. What is so complicated about it?" Wizard, August 21st. :D
DRich
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January 5th, 2025 at 9:08:34 AM permalink
Quote: Nathan



Dying. What an AWFUL way to spend New Year's day! 😱😳☢️😵‍💫😭



Sadly, I lost a very close friend that died unexpectedly on New Year's day. I will be heading back to Las Vegas for the funeral service.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
Nathan
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January 5th, 2025 at 2:02:13 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: Nathan



Dying. What an AWFUL way to spend New Year's day! 😱😳☢️😵‍💫😭



Sadly, I lost a very close friend that died unexpectedly on New Year's day. I will be heading back to Las Vegas for the funeral service.
link to original post



I am sorry to hear that. 😫 My condolences. 😫
In both The Hunger Games and in gambling, may the odds be ever in your favor. :D "Man Babes" #AxelFabulous "Olive oil is processed but it only has one ingredient, olive oil."-Even Bob, March 27/28th. :D The 2 year war is over! Woo-hoo! :D I sometimes speak in metaphors. ;) Remember this. ;) Crack the code. :D 8.9.13.25.14.1.13.5.9.19.14.1.20.8.1.14! :D "For about the 4096th time, let me offer a radical idea to those of you who don't like Nathan -- block her and don't visit Nathan's Corner. What is so complicated about it?" Wizard, August 21st. :D
AZDuffman
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January 5th, 2025 at 2:57:22 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: Nathan



Dying. What an AWFUL way to spend New Year's day! 😱😳☢️😵‍💫😭



Sadly, I lost a very close friend that died unexpectedly on New Year's day. I will be heading back to Las Vegas for the funeral service.
link to original post



I wonder if there was ever a study of how many people die a week before Christmas vs. a week after. There is a thought that people can "hold on" a few extra days when their mind wants to. My dad's dad died the week after Christmas to name one I have heard of. Deaths should be fairly level week by week. If more die the week after it gives credit to such a theory.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
Wizard
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January 7th, 2025 at 7:51:25 PM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

I wonder if there was ever a study of how many people die a week before Christmas vs. a week after. There is a thought that people can "hold on" a few extra days when their mind wants to. My dad's dad died the week after Christmas to name one I have heard of. Deaths should be fairly level week by week. If more die the week after it gives credit to such a theory.
link to original post



If I were still a Social Security actuary, I could have easily answered this. My educated guess is it is a negligible effect.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Wizard
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January 7th, 2025 at 7:53:24 PM permalink
Peter Yarrow of Peter, Paul & Mary -- dead at 86.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
smoothgrh
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January 7th, 2025 at 9:14:00 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Peter Yarrow of Peter, Paul & Mary -- dead at 86.
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I immediately thought of the true story about "Puff the Magic Dragon" lyrics left in Peter's typewriter.

I was never a big fan of those musicians, but I always had respect for them. Another era turning the page…
billryan
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January 7th, 2025 at 10:21:48 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Quote: AZDuffman

I wonder if there was ever a study of how many people die a week before Christmas vs. a week after. There is a thought that people can "hold on" a few extra days when their mind wants to. My dad's dad died the week after Christmas to name one I have heard of. Deaths should be fairly level week by week. If more die the week after it gives credit to such a theory.
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If I were still a Social Security actuary, I could have easily answered this. My educated guess is it is a negligible effect.
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The increased traveling would bump up the deaths, but I don't know if it would be significant.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
billryan
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January 7th, 2025 at 10:31:32 PM permalink
Quote: smoothgrh

Quote: Wizard

Peter Yarrow of Peter, Paul & Mary -- dead at 86.
link to original post



I immediately thought of the true story about "Puff the Magic Dragon" lyrics left in Peter's typewriter.

I was never a big fan of those musicians, but I always had respect for them. Another era turning the page…
link to original post



I bumped into him in a piano store in NYC in the mid-1980s. He was surprisingly fit and couldn't have been nicer.
Puff will always have a special place in my heart. Rest in Peace.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
Nathan
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January 8th, 2025 at 2:20:26 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Quote: smoothgrh

Quote: Wizard

Peter Yarrow of Peter, Paul & Mary -- dead at 86.
link to original post



I immediately thought of the true story about "Puff the Magic Dragon" lyrics left in Peter's typewriter.

I was never a big fan of those musicians, but I always had respect for them. Another era turning the page…
link to original post



I bumped into him in a piano store in NYC in the mid-1980s. He was surprisingly fit and couldn't have been nicer.
Puff will always have a special place in my heart. Rest in Peace.
link to original post



At least you had a NICE encounter with Peter. 😀 Somebody said they were seated next to Charlotte Rae on a plane and Charlotte said "No autographs please." The Person snidely said,"I'm not interested in getting your autograph, I'm legitimately just seated next to you!" 💡
In both The Hunger Games and in gambling, may the odds be ever in your favor. :D "Man Babes" #AxelFabulous "Olive oil is processed but it only has one ingredient, olive oil."-Even Bob, March 27/28th. :D The 2 year war is over! Woo-hoo! :D I sometimes speak in metaphors. ;) Remember this. ;) Crack the code. :D 8.9.13.25.14.1.13.5.9.19.14.1.20.8.1.14! :D "For about the 4096th time, let me offer a radical idea to those of you who don't like Nathan -- block her and don't visit Nathan's Corner. What is so complicated about it?" Wizard, August 21st. :D
GenoDRPh
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January 8th, 2025 at 2:45:39 AM permalink
Quote: Nathan

Quote: billryan

Quote: smoothgrh

Quote: Wizard

Peter Yarrow of Peter, Paul & Mary -- dead at 86.
link to original post



I immediately thought of the true story about "Puff the Magic Dragon" lyrics left in Peter's typewriter.

I was never a big fan of those musicians, but I always had respect for them. Another era turning the page…
link to original post



I bumped into him in a piano store in NYC in the mid-1980s. He was surprisingly fit and couldn't have been nicer.
Puff will always have a special place in my heart. Rest in Peace.
link to original post



At least you had a NICE encounter with Peter. 😀 Somebody said they were seated next to Charlotte Rae on a plane and Charlotte said "No autographs please." The Person snidely said,"I'm not interested in getting your autograph, I'm legitimately just seated next to you!" 💡
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Some of these haughty celebs, I wouldn't be able to pick out of police line-up, much less interested in their autograph.
Tanko
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January 8th, 2025 at 3:41:24 AM permalink
Quote: Nathan

At least you had a NICE encounter with Peter.



Not everyone did.

He pleaded guilty to taking “immoral and improper liberties” with a child and served three months.

The victim who was 14 at the time, claims she was raped.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/history/2021/05/17/peter-yarrow-carter-pardon-assault/
AZDuffman
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January 8th, 2025 at 4:17:56 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Quote: AZDuffman

I wonder if there was ever a study of how many people die a week before Christmas vs. a week after. There is a thought that people can "hold on" a few extra days when their mind wants to. My dad's dad died the week after Christmas to name one I have heard of. Deaths should be fairly level week by week. If more die the week after it gives credit to such a theory.
link to original post



If I were still a Social Security actuary, I could have easily answered this. My educated guess is it is a negligible effect.
link to original post



Even negligible would be important to the point of it because I am talking just a small subset of people. We sometimes hear of that sickly old man or woman who dies right after the last of the family shows up, etc. Or some other thing, Like Burt Cooper dying right after the moon landing in "Mad Men." I read way back in the 90s maybe 80s where they studied this with Jewish men who died right before vs. right after important Jewish holidays and found some even negligible effect.

As a side question, do the actuaries over there ever do this kind of project even if for simple pure research? I know it is not their purpose, but I could see it as one of those things various agencies do just to do.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
Tanko
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January 8th, 2025 at 7:01:51 AM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman



I wonder if there was ever a study of how many people die a week before Christmas vs. a week after. There is a thought that people can "hold on" a few extra days when their mind wants to.
link to original post



'Christmas and New Year as risk factors '

'On Christmas and New Year, mortality from natural causes spikes in dead-on-arrival (DOA) and emergency department (ED) settings. There are more DOA/ED deaths on 12/25, 12/26, and 1/1 than on any other day.'

'The two weeks starting with Christmas are associated with an excess of 42,325 natural deaths over a 25 year period. This nontrivial loss of life is an important public health concern and warrants further research...'
rxwine
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January 8th, 2025 at 8:35:08 AM permalink
Just for instance, you might be able to extend someone's life somewhat by giving them a blood transfusion. Usually, if someone has everything going against them living more than hours or a day, families or the person themselves may request all the extra efforts stop.
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Wizard
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January 8th, 2025 at 8:38:02 AM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

As a side question, do the actuaries over there ever do this kind of project even if for simple pure research? I know it is not their purpose, but I could see it as one of those things various agencies do just to do.
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Most of them had no curiosity and did only what was required of their job, if that. However, my immediate boss was the curious type, but about different things. He exposed a lot of fraud in the representative payee program. One other higher-level boss, who I promised to not name, did a report that showed smokers save Social Security and Medicare billions of dollars because they die younger and thus consume benefits a shorter period of time. However, the report was never published. For that reason, I strongly oppose cigarette taxes.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Johnzimbo
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January 8th, 2025 at 9:16:47 AM permalink
Quote: smoothgrh

Quote: Wizard

Peter Yarrow of Peter, Paul & Mary -- dead at 86.
link to original post



I immediately thought of the true story about "Puff the Magic Dragon" lyrics left in Peter's typewriter.

I was never a big fan of those musicians, but I always had respect for them. Another era turning the page…
link to original post



First thought for me was the scene from Meet the Parents
AZDuffman
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January 8th, 2025 at 9:26:11 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Quote: AZDuffman

As a side question, do the actuaries over there ever do this kind of project even if for simple pure research? I know it is not their purpose, but I could see it as one of those things various agencies do just to do.
link to original post



Most of them had no curiosity and did only what was required of their job, if that. However, my immediate boss was the curious type, but about different things. He exposed a lot of fraud in the representative payee program. One other higher-level boss, who I promised to not name, did a report that showed smokers save Social Security and Medicare billions of dollars because they die younger and thus consume benefits a shorter period of time. However, the report was never published. For that reason, I strongly oppose cigarette taxes.
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Back when the MSA was being set up and AG lawsuits against tobacco companies that was a line of defense they wish they could have used. But it is the revers of "Have you stopped beating your wife" as a question. Meaning they say they save money by shortening lives they can get sued for shortening lives. They say they don't shorten lives they open themselves to the increased cost lawsuits.

This brings up an actuary question. Was more of your time spend doing research on this stuff vs. "the actual math?" It kind of reminds me of my landman days where the attorneys did the final legal work but 90% of the time was spend in research.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
AZDuffman
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January 8th, 2025 at 9:28:07 AM permalink
Quote: rxwine

Just for instance, you might be able to extend someone's life somewhat by giving them a blood transfusion. Usually, if someone has everything going against them living more than hours or a day, families or the person themselves may request all the extra efforts stop.
link to original post



Not what I am talking about. I am talking about raw will to be alive just a few more days, can people do that? Like the old man that says, "well, I've seen everyone one last time so now I can die" and he does shortly.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
billryan
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January 8th, 2025 at 9:46:54 AM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

Quote: rxwine

Just for instance, you might be able to extend someone's life somewhat by giving them a blood transfusion. Usually, if someone has everything going against them living more than hours or a day, families or the person themselves may request all the extra efforts stop.
link to original post



Not what I am talking about. I am talking about raw will to be alive just a few more days, can people do that? Like the old man that says, "well, I've seen everyone one last time so now I can die" and he does shortly.
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I'm not sure about the will to live, but I will swear by the will to die. People can die simply because they think they are, or want to.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
Wizard
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January 8th, 2025 at 10:03:48 AM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

This brings up an actuary question. Was more of your time spend doing research on this stuff vs. "the actual math?" It kind of reminds me of my landman days where the attorneys did the final legal work but 90% of the time was spend in research.
link to original post



My primary job was to project the financial ramifications of any change in Social Security law. I was there through the Clinton years, which saw both the earnings test being cut back and taxes on benefits in increased. Both those areas were my specialty. Votes in Congress affecting those areas should have taken under advisement my numbers. To be honest, that wasn't enough to keep me busy most days, so I had a long leash to do what I wanted. Over a few beers, I would expand on that.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
rxwine
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January 8th, 2025 at 10:04:35 AM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

Quote: rxwine

Just for instance, you might be able to extend someone's life somewhat by giving them a blood transfusion. Usually, if someone has everything going against them living more than hours or a day, families or the person themselves may request all the extra efforts stop.
link to original post



Not what I am talking about. I am talking about raw will to be alive just a few more days, can people do that? Like the old man that says, "well, I've seen everyone one last time so now I can die" and he does shortly.
link to original post



If people have tried and failed, how would we figure out why they failed. I assume more than zero have failed trying to stay alive for something they considered important.

If someone one wants to publish, "How I stayed alive longer for a special event" they need to start writing ASAP..
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Wizard
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January 8th, 2025 at 10:06:26 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

I'm not sure about the will to live, but I will swear by the will to die. People can die simply because they think they are, or want to.
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I believe that. My father was in awful shape leading up to his death, but he was also in denial about how grave his condition was. One day I told him "It's okay to go." He replied "Go where?" I replied "To the other side." He never said another word and was gone a few hours later.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
AZDuffman
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Wizard
January 8th, 2025 at 10:48:17 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Quote: AZDuffman

This brings up an actuary question. Was more of your time spend doing research on this stuff vs. "the actual math?" It kind of reminds me of my landman days where the attorneys did the final legal work but 90% of the time was spend in research.
link to original post



My primary job was to project the financial ramifications of any change in Social Security law. I was there through the Clinton years, which saw both the earnings test being cut back and taxes on benefits in increased. Both those areas were my specialty. Votes in Congress affecting those areas should have taken under advisement my numbers. To be honest, that wasn't enough to keep me busy most days, so I had a long leash to do what I wanted. Over a few beers, I would expand on that.
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One day I hope we can meet and have those few beers. Off-strip!
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
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